Wes Carroll's Puzzler

06: That sounds accurate [***]

April 17, 2016 Wes Carroll
Wes Carroll's Puzzler
06: That sounds accurate [***]
Show Notes
You have just tested positive for a condition known to affect 1% of the population. However, your doctor assures you that the test for this condition is only 90% accurate. You’re not sure whether that’s supposed to make you feel better or not. So, you tell me: assuming no other information, what’s the chance that you have the condition? // Spiciness: *** out of ****