Breakaway - Investing & Finance

Tesla! AI, Self-driving, Waymo, Govt Overreach

Sean Hathaway Episode 72

Oregon Duck Football

Purdue 35-0. Ranked #1. 

Markets 

Netflix Earnings

  • New record high. $752 today, but reached $772.  
  • Maybe running ahead of itself a little, but still pure streaming play with no end of growth in site. 
  • Q4: Tyson, Football, Squid…

Tesla Earnings

Tesla up almost 22% today. At $260. High was 410. 

Sandy Munroe set me straight! 

  • Investor Deck
  • Everyone should simply listen to the Earnings Call
  • Elon said 20-30% growth next year. 
  • Full autonomy approved and ride-hailing in CA and TX in 2025. 
  • Safer than humans by Q2 2025
  • Full scale production of CyberCab by 2026. No steering wheel and no pedals. Big screen for movies and comfortable. 
  • Cybertruck became the third best-selling EV in Q3 in the U.S. (behind only Model Y and Model 3)
  • Increased AI training compute by over 75% in Q3
  • Over two billion miles driven cumulatively on FSD (Supervised)4 as of Q3 with more than 50% on V12
  • Two key points coming here:
    • Ability to learn. 10k miles per intervention. 
    • Optimus!!! 
      • Dexterity movement. 22 degrees of freedom. Human = 27. Doorknobs.
      • Think about the AI real-world functionality. 
      • Most advanced humanoid robot by a long-shot! 
      • Only company that can scale manufacturing. 
      • Optimus will be most valuable part of company. 
  • The Services and Other business achieved a record gross profit in Q3, growing over 90% year-on-year. 

Financials:

  • A lot of talk about the “machines” that build the machines. Most advanced factories in the world! 
  • Energy revenue up 52% YoY and Services up 29% YoY. 
  • Gross profit up 20%, with revenue up 8% 

Uber Demand aggregator?

Self-driving cars: 

WSJ on Waymo and San Francisco, LA, Phoenix and Austin.

  • Waymo is on a marketing blitz that includes social-media ads promoting the privacy of its cars for date night
  • Also going to partner thru Uber app. 
  • Competition is good and will keep regulators in check. 
    • Google Waymo. 
    • Amazon: Zoox. 
    • GM: Cruise

Googles Waymo Now Obviously the Leader in Self-Driving Cars   🤣

Lot’s talk tech: 

Waymo uses a combination of sensors and software to enable autonomous driving.

Government Over-reach

CA Electric Bills! 

Recommendations:

  • Rogan and Jelly Roll 
  • Trump Going on Rogan Podcast Tomorrow