Breakaway - Investing & Finance

Markets, Tariffs, Panic, Tesla, Robots, Xai

Sean Hathaway

Opening

Markets

Full Correction Territory (down 10%); quickly moving to “Bear” down 15%. 

  • S&P 17%, Tech 25%+
  • Apple in huge correction. PE still at 30
  • Netflix at 43. 

Tariffs

  • No income tax in the US income tax until 1913. 
  • Tariff rates: The U.S. charged less than most big players—think 2-5% versus 5-15% from others.
  • Trade Deficit 2024 was $918.4 billion.
  • Total US spending deficit: $1.8 trillion in 2024 per FRED. Spend $6t and take in $4t. 
  • Total US Debt. $36 trillion.
  • Interest expense is $1t growing

Ray Dalio on the significance and problem of debt.

Antonio Gracias on SS and Medicaid Fraud

Netflix

SpaceX

X & Xai

Elon announcement here

CNBC interview with Rich Greenfield. . 

WSJ Article here

Robotics

Tesla

Key Elements of RICO Charges

Government inefficiency

  1. Fix Regulation and be more efficientHere is video of Ezra Klein discussing with Jon Stewart why $44b of broadband connected zero homes in 4 years. 

Social Security:

Doge

Goal is to reduce spending by $1b or 15%.  

Entire Doge Interview with Brett Baier.  Survey at 1:10. $1b. $830m online survey.