Breakaway - Investing & Finance

Markets, Golf, Netflix, SpaceX, AI & Fear, Over-taxation

Episode 104

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0:00 | 50:49

Open

Cameron Young tied on 18. Longest drive on 18. 365. Full pause. Birdy on 17, the hardest hole. 

CAl FTB: Sucks

Facts of life: Your Thoughts define you

Miami

  • Beautiful and no state tax. Everyone moving there. 
  • Mansions and yachts, but lots of normal people too.  
  • Ken Griffin.  Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan have purchased a $170 million, 30,000-square-foot mansion on Miami’s

Markets

Long over-due correction. 

AI Fear

  • I've listened to a few podcasts featuring Marc Benioff in the last year. He is 100% all-in on AI. 
  • The idea that SAAS will be completed disrupted by AI is over-hyped. Jensen Huang put it well: AI will not invent a new hammer or screwdriver; they'll just use what exists. Analogy is to SaaS companies in general. 
  • Large Corporations (think Fortune 1000) are not goint to ditch big SaaS companies, like ERP (Workday, Oracle, SAP), Security, CRM, Analytics, Microsoft Office, etc... 

Long story, short: The AI replacement fear is over-hyped. 

Netflix

Netflix Loses Bidding War to Paramount! 

Tesla & SpaceX 

Interview with Elon.

  • Play at 0.28. Stop 2.00.
    • Tesla has most advanced Real-world AI. 
    • Starting scale production of CyberCab in April.
    • Tesla Semi coming this year

Merger 

  1. SpaceX acquired XaI
  2. SpaceX will go public.  
  3. SpaceX will merge with Tesla. 

Love this take from Travis on Autonomous driving. 

XAi 

XaI will be a financial behemoth

Andrej Karpathy on Elon’s management style

AI 

OpenAI 

Anthropic Claude

Government

NewYork City

Fareed Zakaria

CA Fraud

Nick Shirley Doing his Thing again in CA

Wealth Tax

https://x.com/stevenfiorillo/status/2033352518802026741

  • According to IRS migration data, New York has lost $111 billion in net adjusted gross income over the last decade from residents moving to other states.

WSJ on Billionaires leaving. 

  • Google co-founder Larry Page recently made headlines by spending $188 million on three Miami mansions.

Washington State passes 9.9% tax on income over $1m. 

  • Howard Schultz leaving. 
  • Bezos already gone. 

Recommendations:

  • Hims and Hers! 
  • Bill Gurley: Running down a Dream
  • Michael Lewis: Lyar’s Poker. 
  • The Rip. Was ok. 
  • The Running Man. great airplane movie. Glen Powel