Jun 24, 2021
Equity markets are hovering near all-time highs and look like they want to move higher. While the market wants to believe the FOMC when it says inflation spikes are temporary, it also looks like the market is waiting for the proof. That proof may come this week on Friday with the release of the PCE price index, the FOMCs preferred gauge of core consumer-level inflation. The PCE index is expected to show a strong gain from the previous month but at a slower rate than before. A hotter than expected number could spook the market.
Thursday's trading will be impacted by the weekly jobless claims figures, durable goods orders, a revision to the first-quarter GDP figures, and commentary from several Fed members. The GDP data is expected to be unrevised while jobless claims are expected to fall to a new post-pandemic low.