Safe Dividend Investing

Podcast 203 - HIGHEST SCORE EVER BY CIVITAS RESOURCES - TORM PLC 2ND - SUNCOR ENERGY 3RD -PLUS 7 MORE STOCKS

Ian Duncan MacDonald

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Welcome to this week's Safe Dividend Investing's podcast. You may want to go to the printed transcript, provided with this podcast, to review the 5 outstanding US stocks and 5 outstanding Canadian stocks identified this week. It is interesting to see these 10 stocks strengths and weaknesses revealed by 9 data elements.

The first 190 Safe Dividend Investing podcasts answered hundreds of  questions from my podcast listeners and readers of my publications. Not wanting to repeat  material that has already been covered, the weekly podcasts now deal with identifying each week 10 dividend stocks whose recent exceptional share price growth may make them worth considering as possible portfolio acquisitions.

Visit www.informus.ca for information on my six investment guide books and stock scoring software.


IAN
imacd@informus.ca

Ian Duncan MacDonald
Author, Artist, Commercial Risk Consultant,
President of Informus Inc
2 Vista Humber Drive
Toronto, Ontario
Canada, M9P 3R7
Toronto Telephone - 416-245-4994
New York Telephone - 929-800-2397
imacd@informus.ca

Pod 203 - 11 January 2025

Safe Dividend Investing-

Greetings to listeners all around the world. Welcome to Safe Dividend Investing’s Podcast # 203, on January 11 of 2025.  My name is Ian Duncan MacDonald. 

In the first 190 Podcasts of Safe Dividend Investing, you can find answers to hundreds of investment questions. Starting with Podcast 191 I changed to the current podcast format where I now bring to your attention five U.S.  and five Canadian high dividend stocks whose share price gained the most this week

Each stock has been scored.  The score is calculated out of a possible 100, the highest score I had until today ever calculated, out of the thousands I have scored, was a 78. The lowest was a 5. I personally prefer stocks scoring over 50 in my portfolio. 

If you go to the transcript, that accompanies this podcast you will see the 9 data elements used to calculate each of the 10 stock’s IDM scores presented in this podcast.

The Selection Criteria used to select the 5 US stocks and 5 Canadian stocks. were:

(1)    Trading volume exceeding 1 million in US shares and 170,000  in Canadian shares.

(2)    US dividend yield exceeding 5% and Canadian 4%

(3)    A weekly share price gain exceeding 1% in the US and 1% in Canada.

(4)    A US Operating Margin Exceeding 19% and 1% in Canada

(5)    A US Share Price Exceeding $13.98 and $33.14 in Canada

The 5 US stocks selected were:

1. Torm PLC (TRMD) :............................SCORE = 73

2.  Frontline PLC (FRO)……………………. .SCORE =  56

3. Civitas Resources Inc (CIVI ) ……….SCORE = 85

4.   Western Midstream Partners  (WES )..SCORE = 66

5. Organon & Company (OGN )…………...SCORE = 44

        The 5 Canadian Stocks selected  were:

1.      Canadian Natural Res (CNQ ) ..SCORE = 66

2.      Suncor Energy Inc  (SU)……..…..SCORE = 71

3.      Quebecor Inc (QBR.B )……….….SCORE = 59

4.      Nutrien Ltd  (NTR)………………...SCORE = 69

5.      Canadian Tire Corp (CTC.A) ……….SCORE 59

DISPLAY OF US STOCK SCORE CALCULATIONS

Stock Symbol & SCORE       1 = Price $   2= 4yr ago Price $    3= $ book value   4= advisor buys #   5= advisor strong buys #   6= div. yield %   7=operating margin %      8 = trade volume #   9 = P/E  ratio   10 = SCORE     

   STK               1                2                    3          4       5          6              7              8          9        =       10 

TRMD      (22.18)     (7.76)     (141.33)     (1)   (1)     (27.9)    (46.5)      (2M)   ( 2,6x)   =    73

FRO          (17.23)    (6.29)     (10.23)         (0)  (2)      (11.32)   (38.73)  ( 8M)   (7.0x)    =   56

CIVI        (51.32)     (22.35)    (65.29)        (9)  (1)        (9.68)     (29.75)    (1M)   (5.1x)   =   85

WES        (39.70)    (15.21)    (7.63)           (2)  (0)        (8.73)    (54.95)     (1M)   (10.3x)  = 66

OGN        (15.85)        (0)        (-0.27)          (1)   (2)        (7.07)    (12.20)     (4M)   (3.1x)    = 44             

DISPLAY OF CANADIAN SCORE CALCULATIONS

Stock Symbol & SCORE       1 = Price $   2= 4yr ago Price $    3= $ book value   4= advisor buys #   5= advisor strong buys #   6= div. yield %   7=operating margin %      8 = trade volume #   9 = P/E  ratio   10 = SCORE     

   STK               1                2                    3          4       5          6              7              8          9          =     10 

CNQ         (47.27)     (15.76)      (18.57)    (5)  (0)      (4.76)   (27.86)   (12M)  (32.7x)   =  66

SU            (56.80)     (23.36)       (33.55)    (10)  (1)     (4.01)   (17.47)   (11M)  (9.1x)     = 71

QBR.B    (31.65)     (30.72)         (9.29)      (5)  (0)      (4.11)    (24.91)   (1M)   (10.4x)   = 59

NTR        (69.91)      (68.27)         (73.36)    (11)  (0)    (4.44)   (6.60)     (2M)   (32.7x)   =69

CTC.A    (157.29)   (77.53)       (99.75)       (3)  (0)     (4.51)   (8.10)   (586K)   (13.5x) = 59   

While scoring the US and Canadian stocks I found the following interesting: 

The most expensive stock was Canadian Tire at $157.29 and the least expensive was Torm PLC at $22.18.

 The most buy recommendations by analysts was  for Suncor Energy at 10 and the least number of recommendations were for Torm PLC and Organon & Company. They each had one recommendation. Two stocks, each had 2 strong buy recommendations. They were Frontline PLC and Western Midstream Partners

The highest Book Value was for Torm PLC at $ $141.33 and the lowest was for Organon & Company  at minus $0.27.

The highest number of shares traded was  11 million for Suncor Energy and the lowest number of shares traded was for Canadian Tire Corporation at 586 thousand.

The highest dividend yield percentage was for Torm PLC at 27.93%. The lowest dividend yield was for  Suncor Energy at 4.01 %. 

The highest operating margin was for Western Midstream Partners at 54.95%  and the lowest was for Nutrien Ltd at 6.60%.

The best Price to Earnings ratio of 2.6x was for Torm PLC and the highest was a for Nutrien Ltd  at 32.76 x. 

The stock with the highest IDM score of 85 was for  Civitas Resources Inc. Out of thousands of stocks I have scored the highest I had ever previously scored had been a 78.  The lowest score was for  Organon & Company with a 44.  .

If you have not already obtained the stock scoring software that I supply free to those who purchase my investment guidebooks, please visit my website www.informus.ca where you can learn more about it. It has helped many investors quickly measure and compare the best financially strong stocks with high dividend payouts for their portfolios. In the transcript of this podcast you can find background information on the score and how financially strong stocks paying high dividends became the preferred investment.

Until next week’s podcast this is Ian Duncan MacDonald encouraging you to become a successful self-directed investor. Any questions and comments can be sent to imacd@informus.ca.

 

BACKGROUND

Investment companies work hard to convince the public that they could never invest profitably without allowing the financial industry to nibble away at a client’s life savings for the rest of their lives. The objective of advisors is to transfer as much money pocket of the financial institution that employs them. 

I knew 24 years ago that I had to find a better way to invest when I saw a $300,000 loss in the mutual funds an investment advisor had put my life savings into. Since then, I have learned if you are patient and disciplined you can easily grow your portfolio as a self-directed investor without paying hundreds of thousands of dollars in fees over your lifetime to the investment industry parasites.

My early research quickly showed me that most investors are speculators who see their wealth destroyed when their bet on a stock increasing in price falls below their purchase price.  With such speculative churning encouraged by the investment industry, it seemed obvious me that no one can accurately predict future share prices.

 I became a successful self-directed investor by carefully selecting and buying 20 strong, high dividend stocks through my bank’s online self-directed investment platform. 

Why have I never been disappointed in my income or my capital gain from my 20 stocks? Because my financially strong stocks have paid ever increasing dividend payments out of their company profits. 

While share prices are determined by impulsive speculators making guesses, my dividend payouts are the result of the wise revenue and expense decisions of the experienced managers of the companies whose shares I own.

By looking at free, accessible records that go back for decades, anyone can easily see before they buy a share how that stock’s fluctuating share price has had little or no impact on a stock’s rising dividend payouts.

What do I do when a market crash comes along, and the share price of my stocks, like all stocks, may drop by 50%? I relax and do nothing because I live off my dividends. Those dividends are paid throughout the crash as regularly as they have always been paid by these strong stocks. I know from experiencing the last three market crashes that the share prices of my 20 financially strong stocks w, high values. During the crash I pay my monthly bills with my dividend income just as I have always done.

 The idea the investment industry promotes that your portfolio must shrink in value after you retire is meant to scare you into buying more of their investment products. The value of my portfolio has grown by several multiples into the 7 figures and is still growing.

 I go for years without selling any of the stocks in my portfolio while realizing a dividend income of 6 to 8 percent each year of the value of my portfolio. Most years the share prices of my 20 strong companies can also increase by about 12%. These rising share prices often cause the company’s managers to proudly increase their dividend payouts to maintain their stock’s historically high dividend yield percentages. That has kept my dividend income well ahead of inflation. You too can also build a strong dividend portfolio just like I did.