State of Asia

How We Talk About China, with Kaiser Kuo

Asia Society Switzerland Season 8 Episode 5

Kaiser Kuo, host of the long-running Sinica podcast, joins us in Zurich to discuss the evolving narrative on China, and why the West is so often 'stunned' by Chinese breakthroughs in electric vehicles, green technology, or, most recently: AI, with DeepSeek.
We explore the reasons behind the challenges of reporting on China, the importance of strategic empathy, and the shifting dynamics of global influence, particularly in relation to American exceptionalism.

Recommendations mentioned at the end of the episode:

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STATE OF ASIA is a podcast from Asia Society Switzerland
Season 8, episode 5 - Published: February 4, 2025
Hosts: Nico Luchsinger and Remko Tanis, Asia Society Switzerland
Editor: Remko Tanis, Programs and Editorial Manager, Asia Society Switzerland

00:00:03 Remko Tanis 

From Asia society Switzerland, this is state of Asia. 

00:00:07 Remko Tanis 

I'm Remko Tanis. 

00:00:10 Remko Tanis 

One with even the slightest interest in China, to name one China focused podcast, and their answer is very, very likely going to be Seneca, our guest today on this podcast, Seneca cofounder and host Kaiser Cool has been talking about China from any number of angles almost uninterrupted for. 

00:00:27 Remko Tanis 

Years now on his show churning out weekly. 

00:00:30 

I. 

00:00:30 Remko Tanis 

That cover politics, economics, culture, humanities, tech. 

00:00:34 Remko Tanis 

Name it informed by his decades of living and working in China, and having built a wide, wide network of people ranging from prominent economists to his words chain, smoking, drinking, rock, musicians. If it's happening in China and what isn't happening in China. 

00:00:49 Remko Tanis 

Kaiser has got it covered with Seneca. 

00:00:50 

I. 

00:00:51 Remko Tanis 

And he's taken the conversation to go beyond the news of the day, searching for an answer to the question how do people in Europe and the US actually talk about China? 

00:01:00 Remko Tanis 

After attending the World Economic Forum in Davos late last month, Kies are swung by the Asia Society Switzerland offices in Zurich when my colleague Nicola and I sat down with him for a chat. 

00:01:10 

The. 

00:01:10 Remko Tanis 

How's it all very welcome to the state. 

00:01:12 Remko Tanis 

Asia podcast. 

00:01:13 Kaiser Kuo 

Thank you Remko. Thanks Nico. 

00:01:14 Remko Tanis 

Great to have you here in Zurich this. 

00:01:16 Remko Tanis 

We were chatting and you said, well, I'm releasing a narrative shift on things regarding China and. 

00:01:23 Remko Tanis 

You're here just after the news on deep seed broke and how it. 

00:01:26 Remko Tanis 

Is according to a lot of headlines, stunning Western AI companies, and I thought we've seen kind of the similar thing with the developments in the EV industry in China. 

00:01:36 Remko Tanis 

The renewables the move not too long ago from people fearing tick Tock ban in the US go into retail. 

00:01:43 Remko Tanis 

Always in Western sources, Western news media, the West is stunned by what China has accomplished. 

00:01:50 Remko Tanis 

Now, with deep sea you call that a narrative shift. 

00:01:52 Remko Tanis 

Do you mean by that? 

00:01:54 Kaiser Kuo 

Well, I'm not 100% sure I would call it yet. 

00:01:57 Kaiser Kuo 

Narrative shift, but I feel the stirrings of it for sure. 

00:02:00 Kaiser Kuo 

And it's it's fascinating to watch as it's taking place right for our eyes and and watching people talking about it. 

00:02:07 Kaiser Kuo 

So it's something I'm going to be, you know, keeping a very close eye on. I actually put out a very informal Twitter poll asking people whether, you know, what we are witnessing right now, as you say, because of the sort of TikTok refugee phenomenon where people leaving. 

00:02:20 Kaiser Kuo 

Were suddenly. 

00:02:21 Kaiser Kuo 

Xiao Hongshu and finding a very warm welcome there and being sort of astonished by the low prices of groceries and and the fact that people don't need to work two or three jobs to make ends meet and the relatively nice apartments that they live in all of that. 

00:02:36 Kaiser Kuo 

Of course, deep seek, right? 

00:02:39 Kaiser Kuo 

But as you say, this is. 

00:02:40 Kaiser Kuo 

This is layered atop a lot of other things. For example, this recognition that China is just such a leader in renewable energies. I think a lot of people are now waking up to the fact that China is now for two years in a row, installed more renewable cap. 

00:02:55 Kaiser Kuo 

Than the world had in the previous year. 

00:02:58 Kaiser Kuo 

So it's. 

00:02:59 Kaiser Kuo 

It's quite. 

00:02:59 Kaiser Kuo 

And then, of course, electric vehicles. 

00:03:00 Kaiser Kuo 

Vehicles. That's been very much in the. 

00:03:03 Kaiser Kuo 

So this stuff is crude and and I think it may have hit one. 

00:03:06 Kaiser Kuo 

Those those mythical tipping points at this point right now. 

00:03:10 Kaiser Kuo 

And it's fascinating, and it's not so much. 

00:03:12 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, I try not to get let my optimism get the better of me and start thinking about what does this narrative shift mean? You know, how good is this going to be? 

00:03:20 Kaiser Kuo 

Is this going to usher in a whole? 

00:03:22 Kaiser Kuo 

China song since I've been. 

00:03:24 Kaiser Kuo 

That would be wonderful and all that, but I'm more interested maybe in why are we always caught off guard by these things? 

00:03:30 Kaiser Kuo 

Why are we always so? 

00:03:32 Kaiser Kuo 

By what's happening in China, what does it actually say about us? 

00:03:37 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean about Americans, I mean. And actually, I think it does say quite a bit. 

00:03:40 Kaiser Kuo 

It's it is also very much about what Chinese capable of. 

00:03:44 Kaiser Kuo 

Know how? 

00:03:45 Kaiser Kuo 

Able to pull off these quite coordinated large scale transformations in society and it not for the reasons that people imagine. 

00:03:52 Kaiser Kuo 

I think it's a really interesting mirror to look in now and to see something about ourselves, but also a lens through which to look at China. 

00:03:59 Remko Tanis 

Do you have an idea on? 

00:04:00 Remko Tanis 

Why the US or Europe seem to be caught off guard by China in these fields so often. 

00:04:07 Kaiser Kuo 

Yeah, I've got lots of ideas about that. 

00:04:10 Kaiser Kuo 

I think that that part of it, I mean I I was writing about this this morning on Twitter. 

00:04:14 Kaiser Kuo 

And I mean, I'll try not to repeat exactly what I said, but I think part of it, you know, a very big part of it is that the way that we. 

00:04:22 Kaiser Kuo 

Lens the the Chinese narrative. 

00:04:23 Kaiser Kuo 

It's almost invariably political, right? 

00:04:26 Kaiser Kuo 

Our reporters there are mostly people who've been trained in, you know, understanding the Chinese political system. 

00:04:31 Kaiser Kuo 

System, which also often means they don't understand the Chinese political economy particularly well. 

00:04:38 Kaiser Kuo 

They don't necessarily understand cultural. 

00:04:40 Kaiser Kuo 

They don't have necessarily the language training to read things. 

00:04:45 Kaiser Kuo 

Free of. 

00:04:45 Kaiser Kuo 

Sort of. The distortions that come through translation or from just sort of impartial or just sort of only partial reading. 

00:04:53 Kaiser Kuo 

So part of it is the way we report China, I think we've seen this before, for example, in the early period of the COVID outbreak, I think we were really Hanford by the fact that we were covering it primarily as a political story. 

00:05:06 Kaiser Kuo 

We didn't understand it well, as a public health story. 

00:05:09 Kaiser Kuo 

And so when you look at back then, the narrative was either China has bungled this because of its Leninist political system because of the inability of people to report up. And there's certainly some. 

00:05:20 Kaiser Kuo 

To that, but then we also immediately afterward, as soon as China seemed to be doing well, we started talking about Chinese state capacity, how the Chinese political system, you know, has given the Chinese the ability to do this massive massive. 

00:05:35 Kaiser Kuo 

Tracing systems and these quarantines and and massive testing roll out. 

00:05:39 Kaiser Kuo 

Like. 

00:05:40 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean we we always look first to the the political system to understand it. 

00:05:46 Kaiser Kuo 

Once again, we're we're in that same. 

00:05:48 Kaiser Kuo 

And we we're always in that same trap now. 

00:05:50 Kaiser Kuo 

This isn't the fault, I don't think of the reporters themselves. 

00:05:54 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, you're in China? 

00:05:56 Kaiser Kuo 

You're 1 of only a handful of reporters for your. 

00:06:00 Kaiser Kuo 

This has obviously gotten much worse because of all the expulsions. You can go back and figure out, you know, who expelled who 1st. And you know, you could say that this is all the fault of the United States for having expelled all these People's Daily and and. 

00:06:14 Kaiser Kuo 

Xinhua reporters, or you could say it's the Chinese fault for having, you know, expelled these Wall Street Journal reporters after this really execrable op-ed by Walter Russell Mead called. 

00:06:25 Kaiser Kuo 

Sick Man of Asia, timing and all that you can. 

00:06:28 Kaiser Kuo 

That it doesn't really matter, but the effect is that there are not enough reporters in China and they're necessarily going to do the political stories first. There's really no choice. 

00:06:39 Kaiser Kuo 

So unfortunately we it leaves gigantic blind spots for us. So and that's just one of many reasons I'll go. 

00:06:45 Kaiser Kuo 

Mean. I think that a lot of it is this, this sort of Orientalist idea that. 

00:06:50 Kaiser Kuo 

East Asian says this is the same for the Japanese. 

00:06:52 Kaiser Kuo 

Only capable of imitation, not of. 

00:06:55 Kaiser Kuo 

This idea that there are, you know, these sort of soulless automatons, that they can't invent this idea that we've held onto a very long time, that, you know, innovation is the is the exclusive purview of. 

00:07:08 Kaiser Kuo 

The the white man, the the lone genius toiling in Menlo Park. 

00:07:13 Kaiser Kuo 

You know, New Jersey or Menlo Park, CA, right in his garage. 

00:07:17 Kaiser Kuo 

That myth, and that's. 

00:07:20 Kaiser Kuo 

A big problem as well, but many more reasons. 

00:07:22 Nico Luchsinger 

Part of the reason why the deep seek story landed so well is it was excellent timing. 

00:07:28 Nico Luchsinger 

Because the announcement, the release of their R1 model came really just a few days after President Trump's. 

00:07:34 Nico Luchsinger 

Also, after announcing of the Stargate Project and if in thinking a lot about this, somebody called this a split screen and I think there's lots to. 

00:07:41 Nico Luchsinger 

To the split screen because. 

00:07:43 Nico Luchsinger 

You have, you know, in the space of a few days, an announcement on the American side of 500 billion investment into. 

00:07:50 Nico Luchsinger 

Data centers to advance AI and then a few days later, you know from China where the narrative is. It's kind of an entirely top down, state controlled, huge bureaucracy driven things. 

00:08:04 Nico Luchsinger 

You have the guys who are basically running a hedge fund under their side project is an AI company and they develop this model basically on purposely on a on a shoestring budget. And then they're also publishing, it's an open source model. 

00:08:17 Nico Luchsinger 

In a way, it's it's not a shift of narrative so much. 

00:08:21 Nico Luchsinger 

Kind of like a. 

00:08:21 Kaiser Kuo 

Complete inversion. Yeah. Yeah, an inversion of the narrative. 

00:08:24 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean. 

00:08:25 Kaiser Kuo 

What's even more stunning about it now? 

00:08:27 Kaiser Kuo 

Let's let's be fair. 

00:08:28 Kaiser Kuo 

This is not apples to apples. I mean, Stargate is not a comparable thing. 

00:08:33 Kaiser Kuo 

What one company? 

00:08:34 Kaiser Kuo 

But the optics are certainly there and they. 

00:08:36 Kaiser Kuo 

Certainly. 

00:08:39 Kaiser Kuo 

Are pretty shocking and we should. 

00:08:41 Kaiser Kuo 

You know, we should be careful to understand what these guys at deep seek actually. 

00:08:45 Kaiser Kuo 

And there's another angle that I don't think has been really explored enough, and that is how it's the very thing that so many people were sort of complaining about. 

00:08:55 Kaiser Kuo 

How Xi Jinping was so hell bent on driving people out of the finance sector, you know, engineers should be doing engineering. Physicists should be doing physics. 

00:09:05 Kaiser Kuo 

I think that this actually attests to the over financialization of of the American and many other European many European economies. 

00:09:13 Kaiser Kuo 

The idea that our best and brightest STEM students go to Silicon Valley, which by the way, has very little to do with silicon these days. 

00:09:22 Kaiser Kuo 

And we work for what are essentially digital media companies and they make a lot of money in these social media companies, right? 

00:09:31 Kaiser Kuo 

That is that where our best? 

00:09:34 Kaiser Kuo 

You know, physicists should end up so China doesn't think. 

00:09:37 Kaiser Kuo 

And it cracked down very, very hard on these quants, especially they think that they were. 

00:09:43 Kaiser Kuo 

You know, damaging, very damaging to the health of the Chinese market and so these having been sort of driven out, they found refuge, they they, they kind of had to pivot. 

00:09:54 Kaiser Kuo 

And yeah, it was a side project for them. 

00:09:57 Kaiser Kuo 

And I think that we, we can't take too literally this idea that the whole thing was built on $5.6 million. 

00:10:03 Kaiser Kuo 

Not the training was done for 5.6 million. 

00:10:06 Kaiser Kuo 

That's I think we can probably reliably believe that, but that doesn't mean that the entire neural network. 

00:10:13 Kaiser Kuo 

That they build. 

00:10:14 Kaiser Kuo 

Was built for. 

00:10:14 Kaiser Kuo 

We still don't have perfect clarity on what kind of chips went in on when those chips were actually purchased on, you know, what kind of a stockpile they had before the October 23rd announcement last year. 

00:10:27 Kaiser Kuo 

I'm sorry two years ago. 

00:10:29 Kaiser Kuo 

To really curtail exports of of GP US to China, so a lot of it is still unknown to us. 

00:10:36 Remko Tanis 

The spring of 2024, you published this three-part essay My China Priors, which is a very personal family. 

00:10:43 Remko Tanis 

And personal history about how you view China, how your family history influence the views you have of China, of the US, and what is your role being as a bridge builder? You called it between those two countries. I think somewhere near the end of the three parts you. 

00:10:57 Remko Tanis 

I feel compelled to admit an extinct urge to defend China when I hear criticism of it. 

00:11:01 Remko Tanis 

This even extends the ruling party and even. 

00:11:04 Remko Tanis 

Bing, they say, but adding to be fair, I have to say reaction when the US is, to my mind, criticized unfairly. 

00:11:10 Remko Tanis 

A time to be alive for you. 

00:11:12 Remko Tanis 

To feel defensive off both of those. 

00:11:14 Remko Tanis 

How do you do that? 

00:11:15 Kaiser Kuo 

Strong medication now I know medication so far. 

00:11:16 

Right. 

00:11:19 Kaiser Kuo 

Actually, I think I've sort of gotten. 

00:11:21 Kaiser Kuo 

I think that whole exercise writing those 3 essays was pretty cathartic for me. 

00:11:26 Kaiser Kuo 

It was therapeutic in a sense. 

00:11:28 Kaiser Kuo 

I I. 

00:11:29 Kaiser Kuo 

I came to one kind of strange realization, which was during that that I I feel like I probably I've invested so much emotionally in in in hoping that these two halves of myself could be reconciled. 

00:11:42 Kaiser Kuo 

That I maybe took undue credit for things when they were converging, and conversely I've taken taken on a little too much blame when things have diverged. 

00:11:52 Kaiser Kuo 

I don't need to feel so defensive about. 

00:11:54 Kaiser Kuo 

I think this has helped me a little bit and you know I think just sort of clearing clearing that getting that off my chest really helped in that regard. 

00:12:01 Kaiser Kuo 

I do feel, you know, an instinctive defense, but I'm much better at fighting it down now, and I know you know how what it looks like when other people act sort of defensively. 

00:12:13 Kaiser Kuo 

I don't like it when other people do that, and so I try not to do it myself, but I think it's it's important to admit the tendency there and it's no different. 

00:12:22 Kaiser Kuo 

Mean people may have really fraught and problematic relations with their parents, but I still don't want you saying mean things about my mother. 

00:12:29 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, I I it's just it's it's it's a very human thing. 

00:12:32 Kaiser Kuo 

Think there's no, there's no problem in admitting to that. 

00:12:35 Nico Luchsinger 

What I think was so valuable about this three-part essay that you wrote is that I think it's very uncommon for people who spend a lot of their time analysing a specific subject to. 

00:12:46 Nico Luchsinger 

Be that open and direct and explicit about their priors, and maybe the gaps they have, because the biases that they have, and I think that's. 

00:12:53 Nico Luchsinger 

It's incredibly helpful for somebody listening to your podcast kind of half that back story and sort of to know where you're coming from and why the things you're interested in are interesting to you and why other things maybe not. 

00:13:03 Nico Luchsinger 

And in a way, I think it's also very similar to this idea of strategic empathy or cognitive empathy that you've been talking about for a long time. 

00:13:10 Nico Luchsinger 

This is exactly what it is is to understand the other sides of Genesis and history and and priors and biases and cultural and historical kind of dimensions, without necessarily having to agree to all of them. 

00:13:23 Nico Luchsinger 

And so you went through basically through this personal exercise of allowing almost for other people to extend you kind of the cognitive and strategic empathy. You spend a lot of time arguing for that. And I couldn't agree more. But at the same time, it also, it seems to. 

00:13:38 Nico Luchsinger 

Very hard to actually achieve. 

00:13:40 Nico Luchsinger 

What are the most successful strategies if you want to? 

00:13:44 Nico Luchsinger 

Achieve strategic empathy, right? 

00:13:45 Nico Luchsinger 

We talked about before, you know the limitations on reporting coming out of China, which I think puts a huge kind of like just cap on how much we can do that so. 

00:13:53 Nico Luchsinger 

If one you know if you're in on the American or the European side and you want to develop more strategic empathy towards China, but also if you're on the Chinese side and you want to have more strategic empathy. 

00:14:02 Nico Luchsinger 

Western countries like how do you do that? 

00:14:04 Kaiser Kuo 

I've often thought about. 

00:14:05 Kaiser Kuo 

That's a. That's a really great question and I'm going to answer it in a strange way. 

00:14:10 Kaiser Kuo 

I'm going to say. 

00:14:11 Kaiser Kuo 

I'm going to say humanities, I'm going to say that that what really? 

00:14:17 Kaiser Kuo 

Look, you can read all you want. 

00:14:21 Kaiser Kuo 

From other people you know in in, say, the Chinese strategic class. 

00:14:24 Kaiser Kuo 

But if you want to understand the sort of root psychology, the emotional responses to things which are ultimately more important. 

00:14:32 Kaiser Kuo 

It's hard to get that. 

00:14:35 Kaiser Kuo 

You need to either immerse yourself in that culture. 

00:14:37 Kaiser Kuo 

Expensive you can. 

00:14:38 Kaiser Kuo 

Not everyone's going to be able to uproot and go live in a Chinese village for years. 

00:14:43 Kaiser Kuo 

That's just not going to happen for most people. 

00:14:45 Kaiser Kuo 

So what is the other way we have into the minds of, so I want to understand the mind of. 

00:14:51 Kaiser Kuo 

A Victorian in England. I'm going to read Jane Austen novels. 

00:14:55 Kaiser Kuo 

Going to read. 

00:14:56 Kaiser Kuo 

I'm going to read Middlemarch. Right. I think it's important to do that to to time travel that way through through letters. 

00:15:03 Kaiser Kuo 

Through through. 

00:15:04 Kaiser Kuo 

Literature. So I think that there's a lot of accessible Chinese literature and translation right now. 

00:15:10 Kaiser Kuo 

I'd say that's a very good start. Even silly things like watching Chinese, you know, soap operas and just I think that's underrated and it's it's under taught right now not everything has to be about national security and defense. 

00:15:23 Kaiser Kuo 

Everything has to be even about. 

00:15:26 Kaiser Kuo 

Not everything has to be about, you know, industrial policy. 

00:15:29 Kaiser Kuo 

It it's it's a human endeavor first and foremost. 

00:15:32 Kaiser Kuo 

Foremost figure out how they think I have the extravagant advantage of having grown up in a Chinese family and having lived in China for a very long time. 

00:15:42 Kaiser Kuo 

So yeah, I get asked that question in different forms a lot and I think this is the answer I'm going to go with ya. 

00:15:47 Remko Tanis 

When we spoke earlier today, you said I've seen kind of a shift in the attitude of the Chinese. 

00:15:52 Remko Tanis 

We see visa free travel being opened up to many more countries, which is of course very helpful with people to people contact, which could expand knowledge of each other beyond geopolitics. 

00:16:02 Remko Tanis 

Me a. 

00:16:02 Remko Tanis 

Bit about what? What kind of shift you see in that leadership and where you see that go. 

00:16:06 Kaiser Kuo 

Let me let me first say that it's entirely anecdotal and impressionistic. 

00:16:11 Kaiser Kuo 

Be hard for me to point any any. 

00:16:12 Kaiser Kuo 

Specific policy document or sets of policies, but in regular conversations that I have with people who are in China or near China, there is a sense that things are are loosening a little bit. 

00:16:23 Kaiser Kuo 

Think this is to be expected right now. 

00:16:26 Kaiser Kuo 

We see China actually feeling. 

00:16:28 Kaiser Kuo 

Despite all the doom speak from from outside, and despite, you know, all the. 

00:16:32 Kaiser Kuo 

We read about the many travails that China is undergoing around, and this is not untrue, right? 

00:16:38 Kaiser Kuo 

There is a problem with flagging consumer demand. 

00:16:41 Kaiser Kuo 

Is a problem with youth. 

00:16:44 Kaiser Kuo 

There is a problem with excess capacity. 

00:16:47 Kaiser Kuo 

Are a lot. 

00:16:48 Kaiser Kuo 

A lot of these problems. 

00:16:50 Kaiser Kuo 

These are not invented, but you know this is one side of the balance. 

00:16:52 Kaiser Kuo 

This is we don't we don't look at the assets side right as much as we look at the liabilities. 

00:16:58 Kaiser Kuo 

This is a problem and the assets have a crude. 

00:17:03 Kaiser Kuo 

Years this whole idea of shifting from, you know, old to new. 

00:17:09 Kaiser Kuo 

Means. 

00:17:09 Kaiser Kuo 

Sort of quality drivers of growth. 

00:17:12 Kaiser Kuo 

This is something that's that's happening that's very much underway and it's palpable. 

00:17:16 Kaiser Kuo 

So there is a growing confidence, I think among Chinese people in the Chinese leadership. There's such a focus on the Malays. 

00:17:25 Kaiser Kuo 

Lying flat, people you know who are studying ruins here and the the the fleeing of China. You know just. 

00:17:33 Kaiser Kuo 

Capital flight and talent flight and all this stuff. But it's part of the story. 

00:17:38 Kaiser Kuo 

It's not the entire. 

00:17:38 Kaiser Kuo 

So I think what I'm hearing from people who are in traditionally more sensitive areas, whether in culture or even in in sort of. 

00:17:48 Kaiser Kuo 

Critical politics is a little bit of a loosening up, and this is, as I say, what what we expect in periods where China feels growing. 

00:17:56 Kaiser Kuo 

I think that this also has to do. 

00:17:59 Kaiser Kuo 

With the Trump administration coming in and the sense that this guy is transactional, we kind of have his number. 

00:18:05 Kaiser Kuo 

Know how to deal with. 

00:18:06 Kaiser Kuo 

Yeah, there's a lot of uncertainty, but what's the worst he's going to? 

00:18:09 Kaiser Kuo 

Right now. 

00:18:10 Kaiser Kuo 

He is not going to be as threatening to us as the Biden administration was. 

00:18:16 Remko Tanis 

Couple weeks ago on the cynical podcast you had decided Lindsey Lee as a guest? Yeah. 

00:18:22 Kaiser Kuo 

And the brilliant Lizzie Lee? 

00:18:22 

Watch. 

00:18:23 Kaiser Kuo 

Mean. She's absolutely brilliant. 

00:18:25 Remko Tanis 

One of the parts of that conversation that I remember most now is I think she asked you about your recent visit to to China. I think was last fall. 

00:18:35 Remko Tanis 

So I did. 

00:18:36 Kaiser Kuo 

I was there in July at June and July last year and then again in October. 

00:18:39 Remko Tanis 

She asks you. Well, guys are telling me I'm hearing all these. 

00:18:43 Remko Tanis 

Hadn't been back there since the pandemic. 

00:18:45 Remko Tanis 

So I'm enrolled this economical *** and people are really depressed and blah blah blah. 

00:18:49 Remko Tanis 

And you said and she asked you, did you notice that? 

00:18:51 Remko Tanis 

You said. Not really. 

00:18:52 Remko Tanis 

And I found that divergent between two experts and and very knowledgeable people both on China in China. 

00:19:00 Remko Tanis 

I found them very interesting and not one is right, the other is wrong but but they elaborate a bit on that right. 

00:19:05 Kaiser Kuo 

Yeah. I mean, I think that part of it is the the group of people that she talked to versus the people I talked to. 

00:19:09 Kaiser Kuo 

Mean she she talks to people who are probably going to have a more informed opinion. 

00:19:14 Kaiser Kuo 

She talks to, you know, macroeconomic analysts. She talks to heads of enterprises, she talks to. 

00:19:21 Kaiser Kuo 

You know, academic economists and things like that. 

00:19:23 Kaiser Kuo 

Mean, who do I talk to? 

00:19:25 Kaiser Kuo 

I talked to a bunch of, you know, chain smokers and hard drinking rock musicians. 

00:19:29 Kaiser Kuo 

I I talked to, you know, people I I meet randomly in. 

00:19:34 Kaiser Kuo 

You know, a lot of people who are just sort of ordinary folks and. 

00:19:38 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, I think I said this on that show and I've said it. 

00:19:40 Kaiser Kuo 

In writing, I feel like. 

00:19:43 Kaiser Kuo 

Depending on how you ask the question or you know what your frame of mind is, the way that the whole sort of context of the approach to the question you can get a very different answer from the very same person in the course of one conversation, I mean. 

00:19:56 Kaiser Kuo 

On the one hand, you know if you if you start get getting them talking about the device they're carrying. 

00:20:01 Kaiser Kuo 

My God, you know, they'll, they'll, they'll, they'll talk about how. 

00:20:04 Kaiser Kuo 

Embarrassed, they are at American, you know, electronics and how great everything is here. And then they'll segue from that into cars and that whatever you want into architecture into, you know, all the fabulous affordable amenities that they have now available to them. 

00:20:20 Kaiser Kuo 

But then in the same breath, practically, they will also talk about, you know, depressed. 

00:20:27 Kaiser Kuo 

They'll talk about, you know how there are no really great job prospects, how the whole culture industry has sort of shut down in fear over, you know, crackdowns on taxation and things like. 

00:20:40 Kaiser Kuo 

It's a mixed bag. 

00:20:42 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, in the longer conversation goes on, the more confused you are. 

00:20:46 Nico Luchsinger 

But I think that's that seems to be an important kind of realization is that. 

00:20:53 Nico Luchsinger 

There, you know, based on based on the conversations that that you've had, maybe there is right now in China kind of this joint feeling of both let's like technological. 

00:21:02 Nico Luchsinger 

Advance, maybe even technological superiority like the the E VS are certainly better. 

00:21:07 Nico Luchsinger 

Phones are probably. 

00:21:08 Nico Luchsinger 

They're definitely cheaper for the same quality, but at the same time also sort of like broader, not economic stagnation, but sort of. 

00:21:15 Nico Luchsinger 

Slow down anything. 

00:21:16 Nico Luchsinger 

Again, it's probably it's just important to acknowledge that these two feelings can coexist. You know, in the same society and within the same person at different times. 

00:21:25 Nico Luchsinger 

I wanted to ask about a chart that I've been very obsessed. 

00:21:28 Nico Luchsinger 

It was first shown to me by Adam Tooes, who was on your show several times and he was here in November delivering our state of Asia address. 

00:21:37 Nico Luchsinger 

As we were used from Adam a very far ranging and broad ranging address, but the one thing the one true that he showed that I just can't stop thinking about is. 

00:21:47 Nico Luchsinger 

A chart showing Chinese consumer confidence over time and it's, you know, it's a lion's little bit up and down, but it's more or less sort of like flat. And then in April 2022, it takes a massive dive and you know drops like 30-40 points. 

00:22:00 Nico Luchsinger 

Then it continues kind of like flat, but on a much lower level and obviously the reason for the drop is obvious. 

00:22:06 Nico Luchsinger 

During COVID it was it was the Shanghai Lockdown. 

00:22:08 Nico Luchsinger 

And so that kind of makes sense. 

00:22:11 Nico Luchsinger 

What I've had a harder time to figuring out is like. 

00:22:15 Nico Luchsinger 

Why it never recovered? 

00:22:17 Nico Luchsinger 

So there was, in a way, kind of like something broke in April 2022. And you know how Chinese consumers feel, that seems to have not come back yet. 

00:22:27 Nico Luchsinger 

I'm curious if you have an. 

00:22:29 Nico Luchsinger 

Given everything we just talked about and given that there are definitely kind of. 

00:22:33 Nico Luchsinger 

Optimistic and positive feelings about how some things you know in in, in sort of public life go in China, why that has not come back. 

00:22:40 Kaiser Kuo 

I would attribute a huge percentage of it simply to the real estate market. 

00:22:45 Kaiser Kuo 

I think that that you know, as we all know. 

00:22:49 Kaiser Kuo 

The one enormous asset that what is it, 95% of Chinese who are homeowners you know are are tied up in is their residence and not necessarily just their primary residence but maybe also that that other investment vehicle that they've bought you know that that home. 

00:23:05 Kaiser Kuo 

So yeah, of course they're extremely sensitive to the property market. 

00:23:08 Kaiser Kuo 

So I think that's a huge piece. 

00:23:11 Kaiser Kuo 

But the other thing I would say, and this gets back to you know, my literature thing, and I mean if you know anything about the Chinese psychology, Chinese people, come on. 

00:23:19 Kaiser Kuo 

Love to complain? 

00:23:21 Kaiser Kuo 

We love to, you know, if if one it's, it's the most infectious possible thing in a hys group is one person grumbles. 

00:23:28 Kaiser Kuo 

You got to outdo the other person. 

00:23:31 Kaiser Kuo 

And until a tale of even greater and. 

00:23:35 Kaiser Kuo 

English I mean this is a there's there's a psychological dimension to this and it's very, very hard to recover from low consumer confidence. 

00:23:43 Kaiser Kuo 

Think it? It's the the Chinese government's approach to it, though I don't think is. I'm not ready to write it off. 

00:23:50 Kaiser Kuo 

I think that it is. 

00:23:51 Kaiser Kuo 

I'm starting to see evidence of it in the way that they talk about the goods available to them. 

00:23:56 Kaiser Kuo 

The whole thing, this supply side approach to it, right? 

00:24:00 Kaiser Kuo 

You know, I've I've heard it explained to. 

00:24:01 Kaiser Kuo 

You know dozens of of times by by advocates of this, but. 

00:24:07 Kaiser Kuo 

If the goods available to you are better, I mean, you're not going to sit at home with that crappy 1990s. 

00:24:15 Kaiser Kuo 

White good. You know in your in your house that that, that really awful old stove or that awful dishwasher or that old bicycle or, you know, all these things you're going to upgrade. And when you start upgrading these things in your life and you look around you and. 

00:24:29 Kaiser Kuo 

See that they are. There are fabulous available, you know, domestically manufactured goods that are of. 

00:24:36 Kaiser Kuo 

Higher quality you spend. 

00:24:38 Kaiser Kuo 

And I'm starting to see that. 

00:24:39 Kaiser Kuo 

I go around to my friends houses and they're just delighted to show me the things that they have. 

00:24:47 Kaiser Kuo 

Does your Roomba do? 

00:24:48 Kaiser Kuo 

And they'll show me this amazing programmable Chinese. 

00:24:53 Kaiser Kuo 

You know room cleaner that just does things that you can't even. 

00:24:56 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, yeah. 

00:24:57 Kaiser Kuo 

So all of this stuff is starting to happen and I'm. 

00:25:00 Kaiser Kuo 

I'm not ready to write it off. I think that that it's it's a slow thing. 

00:25:04 Kaiser Kuo 

It will take a little while. 

00:25:05 Kaiser Kuo 

While but I'm. 

00:25:07 Kaiser Kuo 

I don't think they're wrong. 

00:25:08 Nico Luchsinger 

Recording this as I think we've mentioned couple of times already previously you know about 7 days into the second Trump administration and you just returned from the World Economic Forum in Davos and that made me think about eight years ago when we were kind of in a very. 

00:25:24 Nico Luchsinger 

Position. 

00:25:25 Nico Luchsinger 

And Trump had been elected. And you know he. 

00:25:27 Nico Luchsinger 

He was just being inaugurated. I think the devolstrous kind of really freaking out was in early 2017. 

00:25:33 Nico Luchsinger 

And Xi Jinping actually came to double. 

00:25:36 Nico Luchsinger 

He was here in person and he gave this speech. 

00:25:39 Nico Luchsinger 

Wait, I still remember how translation of the speech was printed in full in Switzerland's leading newspaper, which I think today will be. 

00:25:46 Nico Luchsinger 

It would be crazy idea to 1st newspaper to print the sheet in pink speech, but that back then that was that was absolutely possible and you have to speech. 

00:25:55 Nico Luchsinger 

Where he basically made the argument that China is now the I don't think, he said. Like free world. But China is now like we're leading. 

00:26:01 Kaiser Kuo 

This now, like the flag bearer of globalization. 

00:26:03 Nico Luchsinger 

Black bear of globalization were still for free. Trade were still, you know, for common advancement. 

00:26:08 Nico Luchsinger 

And I think back on the speech and like, God, what a missed opportunity he could have actually done that. Or China could have actually done that. 

00:26:14 Nico Luchsinger 

I think they didn't. 

00:26:15 Kaiser Kuo 

Well, you tried. 

00:26:16 Kaiser Kuo 

Yeah, I think they. 

00:26:17 Kaiser Kuo 

They faced, you know, serious serious headwinds, right? 

00:26:21 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, when the rest of the world doesn't want to play along when everyone else is talking about decoupling, it's it's pretty hard to be the only one doing that. 

00:26:27 Kaiser Kuo 

But you know, talk to people in, in the global South. 

00:26:32 Kaiser Kuo 

Who is the the in the developed or developing world? 

00:26:35 Kaiser Kuo 

Is the flag bearer of of of free trade. 

00:26:37 Kaiser Kuo 

Yeah. That will certainly say that it's China. 

00:26:40 Kaiser Kuo 

I think that, yeah, we don't see it from the same perspective. 

00:26:43 Kaiser Kuo 

In the developed N but I think I don't think it was an entirely lost opportunity. 

00:26:48 Kaiser Kuo 

That there's some of the things that he. 

00:26:50 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, look around in in the years intervening, what country has held the the banner of of green energy? 

00:26:57 Kaiser Kuo 

Transition I mean and put their money where their mouth is, right? 

00:27:00 Kaiser Kuo 

Big theme during that speech. 

00:27:02 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, in terms of trade, look, look, have Chinas tariffs increased noticeably from 20? 

00:27:09 Kaiser Kuo 

Only only in direct response to tariff hikes by the United States have have we seen Chinese tariffs increase, right? 

00:27:18 Kaiser Kuo 

I think it's. It's not an unfair argument to say that China has. 

00:27:22 Kaiser Kuo 

Still continue to. 

00:27:23 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, just now in Dyn Chinese vice premier, he gave another speech at Davos in in, in. 

00:27:29 Kaiser Kuo 

Person and he started his speech off, basically reiterating I'm quite explicitly saying eight years ago here or how long ago it was when Si Xinping gave that speech. We still feel exactly the same. 

00:27:42 Kaiser Kuo 

Then he went on to reiterate all those points. 

00:27:45 Kaiser Kuo 

China still is sort of the the ironically, the last, you know, neoliberal champion out there standing. 

00:27:51 Kaiser Kuo 

They would much rather the the the world still be economically integrated. 

00:27:56 Kaiser Kuo 

They nobody gained more from. 

00:27:59 Kaiser Kuo 

From it, then China, the big hump of Bronco Milanovic S elephant curve. 

00:28:05 Kaiser Kuo 

That's China right there, right? 

00:28:07 Kaiser Kuo 

All the whole, all the ELE. 

00:28:08 Kaiser Kuo 

Back those are Chinese people who, in the course of these several decades of globalization, have left the countryside to the cities and gained appreciably materially. 

00:28:21 Kaiser Kuo 

So yeah, I mean, there's no question that China still is all in favor of that. 

00:28:25 Kaiser Kuo 

They would love to go back to a world. 

00:28:27 Kaiser Kuo 

Pre, you know, populist uprising. 

00:28:28 Remko Tanis 

Thought at the cynical podcast about 15 years ago, right with Jeremy Goldborn, it was more about the news today or the week and last year you said somewhere you wrote somewhere like I now want it to be more. 

00:28:31 

Yeah, yeah. 

00:28:39 Remko Tanis 

Go bit deeper and be more about how we talk about China. 

00:28:42 Remko Tanis 

I thought, how do they talk about us or about Europe? 

00:28:45 Remko Tanis 

The US and. 

00:28:46 Remko Tanis 

Not the Chinese Government, but Chinese people do they kind? 

00:28:49 Remko Tanis 

Look at us with Glee. Like, oh, you're still writing, folks, weapons that don't even have 6 screens in them. 

00:28:55 Kaiser Kuo 

Yeah, there's there's a. 

00:28:56 Kaiser Kuo 

A little bit of that, sort of, you know, shot employee and then some of it is tongue in cheek. 

00:29:01 Kaiser Kuo 

Of it is is honestly felt. 

00:29:03 Kaiser Kuo 

I think that that they're still very frustrated that old narratives persist. 

00:29:07 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, it's an enormous relief. That's why I think. 

00:29:11 Kaiser Kuo 

You see the the Chinese response on Xiao Hongshu these TikTok migrants, they've been very polite and they they understand this opportunity to finally correct the narrative and they're doing their best to to, you know, to be good hosts. 

00:29:24 Kaiser Kuo 

To not be too boastful, and when they show them themselves, things still not laugh too hard. But I mean, it's funny. I think that the feeling of having a little bit of pity almost for the people who have lorded it over them with their material, you know, super. 

00:29:39 Kaiser Kuo 

For so very long is a very new one. 

00:29:42 Kaiser Kuo 

And it's produced a little bit of giddiness, I think. 

00:29:45 Kaiser Kuo 

Not all of it warranted, certainly, but yeah, it's. 

00:29:49 Kaiser Kuo 

I think on balance it's a healthy. 

00:29:51 Kaiser Kuo 

I think that a more confident China is a better China. 

00:29:55 Kaiser Kuo 

Mean it? 

00:29:56 Kaiser Kuo 

I think having that chip on their shoulder for so very long has not been a good force for global stability, right? 

00:30:03 Kaiser Kuo 

Glad to see it sort of starting to now finally fall off. 

00:30:06 Nico Luchsinger 

I wanna put Adam Tooos again from his address here in Zurich because I think he just made so many points worth dwelling on. And he ended his speech by saying. 

00:30:15 Nico Luchsinger 

That Asia and I'm quoting is both the greatest generator of change and the greatest generator of solutions. 

00:30:21 Nico Luchsinger 

He didn't limit this to just. 

00:30:23 Nico Luchsinger 

He meant all of Asia or large parts of Asia, but obviously China is a very important part of this and when it does come to the green energy transition, and that was Adam's point. 

00:30:32 Nico Luchsinger 

Decisions that are being made today in Beijing and possibly in Delhi. 

00:30:36 Nico Luchsinger 

Matter much more than decisions that are being made in Washington, DC or Brussels or anywhere else. And I think that's a very reasonable point to make that I would agree with. 

00:30:46 Nico Luchsinger 

And I was wondering, given your your perspective from from both sides in both China and the US? 

00:30:53 Nico Luchsinger 

I've been thinking a lot about what that means for us from a European perspective. 

00:30:57 Nico Luchsinger 

Think it's? I think it's the same for American perspective. 

00:31:00 Nico Luchsinger 

We're not used to not being the ones with the influence. We're not used to basically being relegated to the. 

00:31:08 Nico Luchsinger 

I don't think that's necessarily something bad. I think you can do really well in the periphery, but if we accept that the Sol. 

00:31:13 Nico Luchsinger 

The biggest generator of solutions is not us anymore. 

00:31:17 Nico Luchsinger 

What does that do to? 

00:31:18 Nico Luchsinger 

Like how can we still be responsible citizens of this planet if we kind of already know that? Really, what's going to matter is what kind of a small group of Chinese leaders decide when they wake up in the morning and really anything we do doesn't matter at all. 

00:31:32 Kaiser Kuo 

Let me draw a line between Americans and Europeans first. 

00:31:35 Kaiser Kuo 

Not that I mean to say that Europeans should have been, and maybe perhaps already are used to, having been relegated to irrelevance. 

00:31:43 Kaiser Kuo 

But come on. 

00:31:44 

You. 

00:31:44 Kaiser Kuo 

You. 

00:31:45 Kaiser Kuo 

You don't suffer the same kind of exceptionalism in Europe that that Americans see. 

00:31:49 Kaiser Kuo 

Had a little while to acclimate to it, even the Brits. 

00:31:52 Kaiser Kuo 

But Americans have not Americans. For Americans, this is still a very novel experience, right? 

00:31:57 Kaiser Kuo 

I've written about this before. 

00:31:59 Kaiser Kuo 

Think that there are. 

00:32:00 Kaiser Kuo 

Two very distinct types of exceptionalism in play here. 

00:32:04 Kaiser Kuo 

The United States has its, you know, American. 

00:32:07 Kaiser Kuo 

It's so famous for and we know it from, you know, all these expressions. 

00:32:12 Kaiser Kuo 

You know the indispensable nation, the shining city on the hill. What have you all the way down to America first, right? 

00:32:17 Kaiser Kuo 

That this, this idea that they've been singled out for a special historical destiny, that they they. 

00:32:23 Kaiser Kuo 

Sort. 

00:32:24 Kaiser Kuo 

It's owed to America that they should be the the leader in all things we've gotten used to it in the course of a couple of generations, and it's it's a sickness. I think it's a it's a really bad one. 

00:32:35 Kaiser Kuo 

China is, as I've written before, it's sort of no less deficient in humility. I mean, in terms of its own idea of itself and its historical, you know, sort of uniqueness. 

00:32:49 Kaiser Kuo 

We know, you know, China does, does feel a special destiny too. 

00:32:54 Kaiser Kuo 

But there is a really, really big difference. 

00:32:57 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, as ugly as both of these ideas might be, one of them is proselytizing and the other is not. 

00:33:04 Kaiser Kuo 

The United States believes that its values and its institutions are and should be true for all people in all times, and and you know. 

00:33:13 Kaiser Kuo 

Will push these things quite actively. As we all know, and as we've all you know, felt and probably to our consternation, right. 

00:33:19 Kaiser Kuo 

And China is very. 

00:33:21 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, when you look at, you know, the Chinese ideology, do you think that if they wanted to package an ideology for the rest of the world, they'd call it? Xi Jinping thought on socialism with Chinese characteristics for a new era that doesn't exactly roll right off. 

00:33:35 Kaiser Kuo 

Old tongue does. 

00:33:36 Kaiser Kuo 

No, it's it's. It's insane to. I mean, China is not is not a. 

00:33:41 Kaiser Kuo 

Religion that doesn't exonerate it. 

00:33:43 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, it doesn't mean that it's it's good because if you are living in. 

00:33:49 Kaiser Kuo 

As a minority nationality in China, or if you're living in close proximity to China, the old idea of China is not necessarily one that you think is going to is going to be good for you necessarily either, right? 

00:34:02 Kaiser Kuo 

And you know, but I think that it does put a limit and an inherent limit on China's appetite for quote UN quote global domination. 

00:34:09 Kaiser Kuo 

Mean it wants. 

00:34:10 Kaiser Kuo 

Hegemony. Of course it does. 

00:34:11 Kaiser Kuo 

But that's this sort of historic. 

00:34:13 Kaiser Kuo 

It wants to revert to what it believes is an historic norm. 

00:34:17 Kaiser Kuo 

Again, not such a good thing if you are living next door. What I think has happened is that American exceptionalism has been badly battered by by these things in in in China, these things that happened are mostly attributable in some way to China or they're related to China. 

00:34:31 Kaiser Kuo 

So these pillars of American exceptionalism, one you're not supposed to be able to have. 

00:34:38 Kaiser Kuo 

Functioning market economy, except under auspices of political democracy. 

00:34:42 Kaiser Kuo 

But China has done that right. 

00:34:44 Kaiser Kuo 

Two, these are both related to the relationship between politics and technology. 

00:34:50 Kaiser Kuo 

So 2 and I remember hatching this idea really here in Zurich, in conversation with Evgeny Morzoff. 

00:34:57 Kaiser Kuo 

Were talking about these two narratives and I ended up developing this into. 

00:35:03 Kaiser Kuo 

A bigger idea, but there was this sort of liberation narrative. 

00:35:08 Kaiser Kuo 

This idea emancipatory narrative where technology, especially digital media, was supposed to free everyone from. 

00:35:14 Kaiser Kuo 

It was like the quintessential techno utopian dream, right? Social media was going to throw off the. 

00:35:20 Kaiser Kuo 

Battles of totalitarian authoritarian rule, and this was the animating idea of the later color revolutions. And of course, the Arab Spring and that flipped. 

00:35:30 Kaiser Kuo 

Narrative flipped around 20/15/2016. 

00:35:33 Kaiser Kuo 

Technology was not. 

00:35:35 Kaiser Kuo 

Emancipatory. It was actually a tool of repression, right? 

00:35:38 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, we all thought, of course, there was the Edward Snowden. 

00:35:42 Kaiser Kuo 

There was, you know, Russian meddling in the American election and in EU elections as well. There were was, you know, the whole. 

00:35:49 Kaiser Kuo 

Crisis that we were undergoing of surveillance. 

00:35:52 Kaiser Kuo 

We understood, finally, that it wasn't necessarily just this liberating force. 

00:35:57 Kaiser Kuo 

And for better force. 

00:35:59 Kaiser Kuo 

Maybe we? 

00:36:00 Kaiser Kuo 

But China was again the exhibit A in in, in. 

00:36:04 Kaiser Kuo 

Then there was that other one that Evgeny and I talked about, which was this innovation narrative, which we're we're seeing again here right now. The last vestiges of it being overthrown. 

00:36:14 Kaiser Kuo 

But it really did again begin to flip around 2050, 2016, when suddenly there was this. 

00:36:19 Kaiser Kuo 

God, Chinese out innovating us there. We need to stop them. 

00:36:22 Kaiser Kuo 

They're going to eat our lunch. 

00:36:23 Kaiser Kuo 

Going to roll over us. 

00:36:25 Kaiser Kuo 

They're going to be beating us in quantum and Oh my gosh, they have hypersonic. 

00:36:30 Kaiser Kuo 

Ballistic. 

00:36:31 Kaiser Kuo 

Now they've got all drone swarms, they've got all AI and rail guns and all this other, you know, technological stuff that it's it's, you know, relegating us to to, to obsolescence. 

00:36:44 Kaiser Kuo 

It's it's. It was a. 

00:36:45 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, I think it was in a wild overestimation then, but but it was another pillar of American exceptionalism. 

00:36:51 Kaiser Kuo 

Doubt industrial policy we used to speak of contemptuously in America. 

00:36:55 Kaiser Kuo 

This is something that, you know, other countries do out of desperation. 

00:36:59 Kaiser Kuo 

Know it doesn't work. 

00:37:00 Kaiser Kuo 

Governments can't choose champions. 

00:37:02 Kaiser Kuo 

Can't. 

00:37:03 Kaiser Kuo 

It's only the market that can do. 

00:37:04 Kaiser Kuo 

And so we have lived in denial of our own industrial policy for a long time. 

00:37:08 Kaiser Kuo 

Suddenly we weren't. 

00:37:09 Kaiser Kuo 

Suddenly we were practicing it without having had any kind of a national conversation about it. 

00:37:15 Kaiser Kuo 

Suddenly we're we've got the inflation reduction act. We've got new the chips and Science Act. We're doing industrial policy. 

00:37:21 Kaiser Kuo 

And free trade, the one we were talking about, we used to be the banner hold the great flag bearer for free trade in the world. 

00:37:28 Kaiser Kuo 

Now it's a bipartisan thing to oppose it. 

00:37:31 Kaiser Kuo 

You could not possibly pass a free trade agreement right now with any, you know, bilateral one or a multilateral one through the US Congress, right? It's not. 

00:37:40 Kaiser Kuo 

A non starter? What? 

00:37:42 Kaiser Kuo 

These things have really eroded American confidence and made us susceptible to this moral panic, which naturally is directed at China, which is the thing that knocked out all these pillars in the first place. 

00:37:55 Kaiser Kuo 

That's why we are where we are. 

00:37:57 Kaiser Kuo 

That's what sticks in the American craw about China's rise. And frankly, I think it's pathetic, right? 

00:38:03 Nico Luchsinger 

We're at the end of this conversation. 

00:38:04 Nico Luchsinger 

Thank you so much, Kaiser now. 

00:38:06 Nico Luchsinger 

On the Seneca podcast that you host and that I cannot recommend enough to people you do something that I really like and just going to blatantly steal. 

00:38:13 Nico Luchsinger 

Is. 

00:38:13 Nico Luchsinger 

Ask your guests for recommendations at the end of the show and you give some recommendations yourself. So we're just going to do this here now to what are your recommendations for us today? 

00:38:21 Kaiser Kuo 

I'm going to recommend just a bunch of sub stack newsletters. 

00:38:26 Kaiser Kuo 

I mean, some of them are obvious, like Adam choose chart book. If you're not reading Adam 2's chart book, you're really missing something. 

00:38:33 Kaiser Kuo 

A second one is Chen Wang's peaking knowledge, and the east is red. 

00:38:38 Kaiser Kuo 

Both of these peaking knowledge spelled strangely. 

00:38:44 Kaiser Kuo 

It's P/E, KING, N0L 0G, IGY peaking knowledge. 

00:38:47 Kaiser Kuo 

Was here in. 

00:38:48 Kaiser Kuo 

I understand speaking at the Asian society not long ago, he's absolutely brilliant. 

00:38:53 Kaiser Kuo 

I would also recommend interconnected from Kevin Hsu Xu. 

00:38:57 Kaiser Kuo 

That is a, especially if you're interested in technology and the way that technology and government interact. 

00:39:05 Kaiser Kuo 

That's a really great one. 

00:39:06 Kaiser Kuo 

And then Robert Wu has a couple of them that he. 

00:39:09 Kaiser Kuo 

One of them is called bygone BAIGUAN. 

00:39:12 Kaiser Kuo 

Are all in English. 

00:39:14 Kaiser Kuo 

That one is absolutely. 

00:39:16 Kaiser Kuo 

Yeah, start with that one as well and then just one for fun. 

00:39:20 Kaiser Kuo 

Chinese cooking. 

00:39:22 Kaiser Kuo 

It's just fantastic if you're interested in Chinese cuisine, the guy who runs it with his wife, Stephanie Chris is just such a Mensch. 

00:39:32 Kaiser Kuo 

Such a model. 

00:39:33 Kaiser Kuo 

I can, if you ask me. I mean, he is the brilliant kind of deep knowledge of it, but also this sensitivity and respect that is so admirable. 

00:39:41 Kaiser Kuo 

Adore. 

00:39:42 Kaiser Kuo 

I adore that. 

00:39:44 Nico Luchsinger 

So I have two. 

00:39:45 Nico Luchsinger 

One is a book called Playground by Richard Power. 

00:39:49 Kaiser Kuo 

Oh God, I have that on my I'm that's for the plane on the way home. 

00:39:52 Nico Luchsinger 

Excellent. I think you're gonna have a good time on your way home. So it's beautifully written novel that somehow manages to combine themes of the ocean and climate change with AI in an incredibly subtle and also somewhat surprising way. 

00:40:06 Nico Luchsinger 

Don't wanna give any spoilers, but there's. 

00:40:08 Nico Luchsinger 

The I theme is it's a very subtle and it only comes to the forefront towards the end, so I very much enjoyed reading that and I think you will too. 

00:40:16 Nico Luchsinger 

Other recommendation is also very directly food related to my recommendation is for a dish. 

00:40:20 Remko Tanis 

You're not going to say Swiss cuisine demystified, right? 

00:40:23 Nico Luchsinger 

No. My recommendation is for an Indian dish that I think everybody will know called Dal. 

00:40:23 

There. 

00:40:28 Nico Luchsinger 

Just the very sort of classic Indian lentil based Stew. There's not really one way to make it. 

00:40:35 Nico Luchsinger 

1000 ways to make it and and that's what I like about it. 

00:40:38 Nico Luchsinger 

Incredibly simple to make is you're going to be quick to make. 

00:40:41 Nico Luchsinger 

I always make like huge batches of it because my children love it as well. 

00:40:45 Nico Luchsinger 

It never quite tastes the same because I never kind of follow a specific recipe. 

00:40:48 Nico Luchsinger 

Don't need any like fancy. 

00:40:50 Nico Luchsinger 

You can mix and match. You can put in whatever you have and especially kind of in like cold winter times. I think it's just an incredibly great, comforting dish to eat and I cannot have enough of it in effect, now that I talk about it, I want some. 

00:41:01 Nico Luchsinger 

Doll. 

00:41:01 Kaiser Kuo 

We make it all the time at. 

00:41:02 Kaiser Kuo 

Yeah. And I I like to do the kind of gussied up tadka doll. You know, where you actually have the fried spices on top? 

00:41:09 Remko Tanis 

It's coming up lunchtime, but we still support you through here. 

00:41:12 Remko Tanis 

So for this. 

00:41:13 Remko Tanis 

Thanks very much guys for your time. 

00:41:14 Kaiser Kuo 

Thank. 

00:41:15 Kaiser Kuo 

Thank you, Nicole. 

00:41:16 Kaiser Kuo 

You, Nico. 

00:41:18 Remko Tanis 

Kaiser Wool talking with my colleague Nicole Singer and myself during his visit last week to the Asia Society Switzerland office here in Zurich. 

00:41:26 Remko Tanis 

Links to all the recommendations you heard at the end are in the show notes, and while you register for all the newsletters Kaiser recommended. 

00:41:34 Remko Tanis 

You should also sign up for our own newsletter, which is published every Tuesday and keeps you informed on all events and activities of Asia society here in Switzerland and at our fifteen other centres around the world. We'll be back with more soon, including with an episode on the. 

00:41:49 Remko Tanis 

Let's say dynamic fines in global. 

00:41:51 Remko Tanis 

Be sure to subscribe in your favorite podcast app to state of Asia. 

00:41:55 Remko Tanis 

Do not miss out for now. 

00:41:57 Remko Tanis 

Name is Liam. 

00:41:57 Remko Tanis 

Thanks very much for this. 

 

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