In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones and Neil Staines from Eurizon SLJ Capital discuss macroeconomic themes for the upcoming week, with a focus on the UK's economic data and monetary policy, global growth dynamics, and the US Federal Reserve's actions. The discussion also touches on upcoming key economic indicators from China, Europe, and Australia. 

UK: Fiscal Tightening Delayed, Monetary Cuts Deferred

• A full suite of UK data lands next week: jobs, CPI, retail sales, and the Bank of England meeting.
• The budget delay means fiscal tightening won’t appear in BoE projections until February.
• December rate cuts remain possible, but a faster cutting cycle is now more likely in early 2026.

Global: Complex Growth Dynamics Across Regions

• US CPI showed retailers’ weaker ability to pass on tariff costs, hinting at softer demand.
• China data (retail sales, industrial output, investment, jobs) will shape views on the recent equity rally.
• ECB signalled it is done cutting, while Japan, France, and the UK fiscal signals add to global uncertainty.

US: Weakening Labour Market, Disinflation, and Fed Cuts

• Jobs data undershot, with a sharp downward revision to payrolls and rising jobless claims.
• PPI data highlighted weakening demand, reinforcing the disinflationary backdrop.
• The Fed is expected to cut 25bps, but focus shifts to projections, the dot plot, and Powell’s guidance.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:28 UK Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy
02:16 Global Growth Dynamics
03:59 US Economic Data and Fed Policy
06:58 Conclusion and Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this week’s Long and Short of the Week Ahead, Matt Jones is joined by Senior Portfolio Manager Neil Staines to explore the macro themes shaping markets.

Key discussion points:

• Fiscal politics in focus: France heads toward a confidence vote after parliament rejects a prudent budget, while the UK faces rising fiscal uncertainty with tax hikes looking more likely than spending cuts. Both countries felt the pressure of bond vigilantes, with curve steepening rippling into global markets.
• ECB policy backdrop: European inflation is back at target, and growth has stabilised, but divergence between the periphery and the German core complicates the outlook. With policy at neutral, the ECB is likely to hold steady, though tariff risks and council divisions remain key watchpoints.
• US growth and jobs: A pivotal payrolls report and upcoming CPI print will set the tone for the Fed. Growth remains below equilibrium but resilient, with labor market moderation offset by AI-related CapEx. The debate over cuts toward the 3% neutral rate continues.

Plus: Neil shares his weekend picks — from cricket and football internationals to the US Open Tennis Finals and the Italian Grand Prix in Monza.

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this week’s episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead, Matt Jones is joined by Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager at Eurizon SLJ Capital, to explore the macroeconomic themes shaping global markets.

Topics covered include:

• United Kingdom: Fiscal deterioration comes into focus as speculation builds over how the Chancellor will address the public finances in the autumn budget. The prospect of sharp growth downgrades and pressure on the Bank of England to accelerate rate cuts.
• Europe & Japan: Political uncertainty in France and Japan, and its potential market implications. Eurozone inflation, retail sales, and the latest ECB commentary.
• United States: A pivotal week with ISM surveys and, most importantly, the labour market. JOLTS, ADP, and non-farm payrolls will dominate the macro narrative, with unemployment at critical levels for both markets and the Fed.
• Emerging Markets: Inflation updates across multiple EM economies and a potential policy cut from Poland.
• Weekend Outlook: A packed sporting calendar from Premier League football and the Women’s Rugby World Cup to Formula 1’s Dutch Grand Prix.

Why it matters:
This week’s data releases — particularly US payrolls — carry significant weight for monetary policy expectations and global market sentiment. With fiscal headwinds mounting in the UK and political risks rising in Europe and Japan, investors face a complex backdrop where growth, inflation, and policy paths remain tightly interlinked.

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this week’s episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead, Matt Jones is joined by Neil Staines to explore the shifting global policy landscape following another complex week for markets.

We look ahead to Jackson Hole, where central bankers gather against a backdrop of conflicting signals: slowing labour markets, tariff-driven inflation, and divergent regional challenges. While Powell’s Friday speech is the headline, Neil highlights why Bailey, Lagarde, and Ueda may ultimately carry the more interesting messages for markets this time.

On the data front, a relatively quiet week still brings important releases, from the RBA minutes to German labour market indicators, Japanese retail sales, and the US PCE. Emerging market watchers will also note Polish unemployment, Mexican trade, and Czech and Indian GDP.

Zooming out, the UK’s fiscal deterioration and budget outlook remain a central theme, while in the US, the unemployment rate, hovering near the 4.3–4.5% policy-sensitive threshold, anchors the debate. With signs of slowing wage growth and waning sectoral catch-up, labour market demand is increasingly under scrutiny.

Neil also shares his weekend sporting highlights and closes with what he’s going long and short this bank holiday weekend.

Key Topics This Week:

• Global central bank dynamics: Powell, Bailey, Lagarde, and Ueda
• Data highlights: RBA minutes, German labour market, US PCE, and EM releases
• Macro focal points: UK fiscal tightening and US unemployment as the key policy triggers
• Weekend sport and Neil’s long & short calls

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones from Eurizon SLJ Capital engages with Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, to discuss recent macroeconomic data and its implications for global markets. They explore disappointing economic metrics from China and Germany, rate cuts from the RBA and the Bank of Thailand, and a dovish stance from the Norges Bank. They also analyse forthcoming trade data from the Eurozone and Japan, the impact of US tariffs, and the potential repercussions for growth and inflation on a global scale. The conversation includes insights into the UK’s GDP and employment figures, along with the anticipation of fiscal tightening. Additionally, they touch upon US inflation data and its potential effect on the Federal Reserve's future actions. The episode concludes with a brief discussion on upcoming sports events, showcasing a well-rounded end to the week’s analysis.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:28 Global Economic Overview
02:09 UK Economic Insights
03:37 US Economic Data and Projections
05:19 Weekend Sports Highlights
06:15 Conclusion and Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of "The Long and Short of the Week Ahead," Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the latest macroeconomic themes impacting global markets. The conversation covers the implications of new US tariffs, the outlook for US and global growth, and key economic data releases to watch in the coming week. The hosts also analyse recent monetary policy decisions from the Bank of England and preview upcoming events in China and Australia. The episode wraps up with a lighthearted look at the weekend's sports highlights and the hosts' "long and short" picks.

Key Topics:

• US tariffs: Impact on fiscal trajectory, inflation, and global growth
• Upcoming US economic data: CPI, PPI, retail sales
• China: CPI/PPI data, stimulus measures, and economic indicators
• Australia: RBA rate decision, labour market, and forward guidance
• UK: Bank of England's historic rate cut vote, fiscal challenges, and inflation outlook
• Sports roundup: Football, cricket, rugby, golf, and Formula 1

Episode Highlights:

• The complex effects of US tariffs on both domestic and global economies
• Whythe  upcoming US inflation and retail data are under close scrutiny
• China's economic data as a barometer for global demand
• The Bank of England's unusual voting process and its implications for UK monetary policy
• Fiscal tightening in the UK and its impact on future rate decisions
• Weekend sports picks and a friendly exchange about barbecue invites

Notable Quotes:

• "The US high-frequency macroeconomic data is now under a more acute scrutiny."
• "We see the prospect of a 50 basis point cut in November as high and rising."
• "Optimistically, we're gonna be long goals in the championship this weekend. And sadly, I'm currently very short on barbecue invites."

Further Insights:
For more analysis and insights, visit eurizonsljcapital.com.

Disclaimer: The views expressed are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect those of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. This content is for professional investors only.

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this week's episode of 'Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' presented by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss key macroeconomic themes affecting the UK and global markets. They review recent UK headline inflation data, the rising unemployment rate, and consumer confidence indicators. Globally, they focus on Japan's political situation and its potential impact on interest rates, as well as upcoming minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia and the European Central Bank's monetary policies. The episode also touches upon the light data calendar in the US, the intensifying trade negotiations, and an active earnings season. 

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:28 UK Economic Outlook
02:03 Global Economic Insights
03:41 US Economic Focus
04:42 Upcoming Earnings and Trade Negotiations
05:03 Weekend Sports Highlights
06:24 Conclusion and Sign-off

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

This episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, hosted by Matt Jones and featuring Neil Staines, discusses the major macroeconomic themes and data releases anticipated for the coming week. The focus includes the implications of the recent US tariffs on Brazil and their potential impact on markets, inflation, and growth. The hosts also analyse global data from China, Germany, Australia, and Japan, and highlight important UK data releases and political developments. Additionally, the episode touches on the potential effects on financial markets and bank earnings. 

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:28 US Tariff and Trade Discussions
02:43 Global Economic Data Highlights
04:32 UK Economic Outlook
07:24 Conclusion and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones from Eurizon SLJ Capital is joined by Neil Staines to discuss the macroeconomic themes expected to shape the coming week. They address potential rate cuts by the Bank of England, expected policy decisions from the RBA and RBNZ, and key data points from China and the Eurozone. The discussion also covers the implications of US economic data, fiscal policies, and the looming tariff deadline on July 9th. Additionally, the episode touches on upcoming sporting events, including cricket, football, Wimbledon, and the British Grand Prix.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:29 Global Economic Outlook for the Week
02:33 Focus on US Economic Dynamics
04:15 Tariff Debates and Global Trade
05:31 Weekend Sports Highlights
06:52 Closing Remarks and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the dominant macroeconomic themes and key financial market data for the upcoming week. They highlight the crucial updates in the US, including the ISM surveys and key employment statistics, such as non-farm payrolls. The discussion covers the ECB forum in Sintra, Portugal, where the world's central bankers will meet to discuss monetary policies. Key figures like ECB's Lagarde, the Fed's Powell, and Bank of England's Bailey will be closely monitored for their insights. The episode also touches on the likely impact of geopolitical events, US fiscal policies, and global trade negotiations. As the weekend approaches, notable sporting events such as Wimbledon, the FIFA Club World Cup, and the British and Irish Lions rugby tour are mentioned. Neil wraps up with a lighthearted take on personal plans for the weekend.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:41 Key US Economic Data to Watch
02:47 Global Central Bankers' Meeting in Sintra
04:44 Geopolitical and Fiscal Developments
06:17 Weekend Sports and Events
07:43 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the upcoming week's macroeconomic themes with a focus on the UK and global financial markets. They highlight the economic challenges facing the UK, including job losses and weak GDP prints, and anticipate potential monetary policy actions from central banks like the Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, and the Fed. The episode also touches on significant global data releases from Japan, China, Germany, and Australia, and reflects on the pressures and expectations surrounding US monetary policy. Additionally, Matt and Neil share their sports highlights for the weekend.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:41 Focus on the UK Economy
02:58 Global Central Banks' Announcements
05:08 US Monetary Policy and the Fed
07:02 Weekend Sports Highlights
07:54 Conclusion and Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' from Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Senior Portfolio Manager Neil Staines discuss anticipated macroeconomic themes. Key topics include the upcoming US employment report, the volatile financial markets sparked by the Trump-Musk confrontation, and ongoing trade negotiations involving the US, Japan, and India. They also delve into significant decisions by the European Central Bank (ECB), expected data points from the UK, and the current political backdrop in Poland. Additionally, the show ends on a lighter note discussing weekend sports and personal long and short positions.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:29 US Economic Outlook and Key Events
03:10 European Central Bank Decisions and Implications
05:38 UK Economic Indicators and Projections
08:23 Closing Remarks and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones of Eurizon SLJ Capital and Neil Staines discuss the flat trends in the dollar, bonds, and equities markets. They highlight key upcoming macroeconomic data that may clarify global economic trajectories, including PMI data from China and Eurozone's CPI and retail sales figures. The discussion also covers the anticipated ECB policy decisions and the crucial US economic data releases.  The insights provided are directed at professional investors, highlighting the importance of the forthcoming data in influencing market sentiment and economic outlooks.

00:00 Market Overview and Introduction
00:43 Global Macro Data Insights
02:42 ECB Policy Expectations
04:24 US Economic Data Highlights
07:48 Conclusion and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones and Neil Staines from Eurizon SLJ Capital discuss the major macroeconomic themes for the upcoming week. Key highlights include insights into global fiscal and trade policies, a busy data schedule from Europe, Japan, and the US, and significant central bank meetings worldwide. They also cover upcoming financial reports and consumer confidence data. The discussion emphasises the importance of these factors for professional investors, focusing on market expectations and potential impacts.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:56 Eurozone Economic Indicators
02:04 Global Trade and Market Focus
02:30 Central Banks and Monetary Policy
03:48 US Economic Outlook
06:59 Closing Remarks and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones, Head of Distribution for Eurizon SLJ Capital, is joined by Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager. They delve into recent and upcoming macroeconomic data, including key trade deals and economic indicators from the UK, as well as global data from China, Australia, the Eurozone, and Japan. The episode is intended for professional investors and provides insightful analysis of the economic landscape for the week ahead.

Key points:

• UK resilience meets looming headwinds – Strong Q1 GDP and firm wage growth contrast with impending tax hikes and still-tight monetary policy.
• Global data deluge – From China’s April activity suite to Japan’s CPI, markets will parse each print for evidence of tariff fallout and policy divergence.
• U.S. fiscal questions – With little hard data due, Fed speakers and Capitol-Hill fiscal manoeuvring will steer sentiment.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:37 UK Economic Outlook
02:47 Global Economic Insights
04:17 US Economic and Political Focus
07:24 Conclusion and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of the Long and Short of the Week Ahead by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the anticipated macroeconomic events for the upcoming week, primarily focusing on the US. Topics include mixed economic signals from the UK, cooling tariff rhetoric globally, and significant upcoming US data and earnings reports. There is also a brief insight into upcoming global economic indicators, such as European inflation and German GDP.  This episode provides valuable insights for professional investors navigating the current economic landscape.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:37 UK Economic Outlook
02:57 Global Economic Insights
05:57 US Economic Focus
10:44 Conclusion and Sign-Off

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' hosted by Matt Jones and joined by Neil Staines from Eurizon SLJ Capital, key macroeconomic themes and forecasts for the upcoming week are discussed. Topics covered include the UK's economic outlook with upcoming employment and CPI reports, the global impact of US-China trade tensions, important global economic data releases like Germany's ZEW sentiment index, China's GDP data, and Japan's CPI. Additionally, insights into the Bank of Canada and ECB's upcoming actions and their implications on global financial markets are provided. 

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:41 Focus on the UK Economy
02:16 Global Economic Outlook
04:59 US Economic Focus
07:13 Conclusion and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones of Eurizon SLJ Capital and Senior Portfolio Manager Neil Staines discuss the macroeconomic themes and data releases anticipated for the upcoming week. The conversation covers the US NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, FOMC minutes, CPI, PPI, and Michigan sentiment data, alongside Q1 earnings from major banks. Globally, attention is on German trade balance, Eurozone Sentix expectations, Australian consumer confidence, New Zealand's monetary policy, and China's CPI and PPI. The duo also explore the impact of recent tariff announcements and heightened geopolitical tensions on market volatility and asset allocation. 

00:00 Introduction and Market Overview
00:38 US Data and Market Implications
02:27 Global Data and Market Dynamics
04:20 Geopolitical Influences and Trade Dynamics
06:32 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this week's episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones and Neil Staines from Eurizon SLJ Capital discuss major macroeconomic themes and market events. The UK headlines include European defense negotiations, auto tariff considerations, and the spring statement. Global fiscal and monetary policies are analyzed, with a focus on US fiscal consolidation, Europe’s fiscal expansion, and anticipated rate changes by central banks. Key data releases from Japan, China, Australia, and major US economic indicators are highlighted. 

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:35 UK Economic Highlights
01:14 Global Fiscal and Monetary Policies
02:50 Upcoming Global Economic Data
04:19 US Economic Focus
05:52 Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short Forward Curve' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones discusses the implications of the upcoming FOMC meeting on March 17, 2025. While immediate action from the Fed is not anticipated, the focus will be on the updated economic projections, which will reflect the Fed's stance on tariffs, geopolitical risks, and equity market fragility. The episode highlights the growing tension between market expectations of fiscal expansion and the Trump administration's commitment to fiscal consolidation. Technical insights, such as the fiscal r-star and the dot plot, provide crucial signals for professional investors about future interest rate adjustments and their impact on global markets.

00:00 Introduction to the Long and Short Forward Curve
00:31 This Week's FOMC Meeting: What to Expect
00:48 Key Insights from Neil Staines
01:16 The Macro Setup: Complex, Political, and Volatile
02:18 Fiscal vs Monetary Policy Divergence
03:24 Equities and the Fed's Response
04:05 Watch the Dot Plot, Not the Rate Decision
04:49 Disclaimer and Legal Information

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones, Head of Distribution, and Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, discuss major macroeconomic themes and key global data expected in the coming week. The focus is on Germany's fiscal stimulus plans and the U.S.'s fiscal consolidation, alongside crucial economic data from China, Germany, the Ricks Bank, the Swiss National Bank, and the Bank of Japan. The discussion also covers the UK macro outlook with an emphasis on the upcoming Bank of England meeting and the FOMC meeting in the U.S., which will be crucial amid ongoing tariff and trade uncertainties. 

00:00 Introduction and Overview
01:46 Global Data Highlights for the Week
03:18 Focus on the UK Economy
04:41 US Economic Outlook and the Fed
07:15 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' from Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss crucial macroeconomic themes and market developments. Key topics include Germany's surprising fiscal expansion and its implications for Europe, a review of China's recent economic stimulus measures, and the US's fiscal and monetary policy outlook. They also preview significant economic data releases and expected market moves for the coming week.

00:00 Introduction to Fiscal Conservatism and Monetary Activism
00:16 Welcome and Overview of the Week Ahead
00:41 Focus on Europe: Germany's Fiscal Expansion
03:04 China's Economic Stimulus and Global Impact
04:48 US Economic Outlook and Policy Implications
07:50 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss upcoming macroeconomic themes. They cover the impact of global trade tariffs, particularly the March 4th deadline for tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, on FX markets and volatility. They also talk about key economic indicators such as the February CAIXIN PMI from China, global manufacturing and services PMI, and the significant ECB meeting. Lastly, they focus on the US with ISM manufacturing and service sector activity, ADP, trade data, and the highly anticipated non-farm payrolls, providing insights on how these factors may shape market sentiment and positioning next week.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:42 Global Trade and Geopolitical Events
02:24 European Economic Outlook and ECB Meeting
04:14 US Economic Outlook and Key Data Releases
06:29 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones, Head of Distribution for Eurizon SLJ Capital, and Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, provide a detailed analysis of the upcoming macroeconomic themes and events. The focus begins with the German elections and their potential impact on coalition dynamics, crucial for significant fiscal policies. They also discuss the European economic outlook, specifically referencing the IFO index and comments from ECB's Isabel Schnabel. The conversation covers a range of central bank speakers from the DM economies, expected economic data releases, and their implications for monetary policy, particularly in the UK, Eurozone, and the US. They also examine US economic indicators and sentiment shifts that could affect equity markets. 

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:53 Focus on Germany and Europe
03:56 Central Bank Speakers and Economic Data
06:04 US Economic Outlook and Key Data Releases
07:34 Market Volatility and Key Events
09:24 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the key macroeconomic themes and data to watch in the upcoming week. As the US has a quiet week with President's Day and the end of the earnings season, the focus shifts internationally. Key data includes Japanese Q4 GDP, rate decisions from the RBA and RBNZ, and Japanese CPI. Global flash PMIs and the German election will also be closely monitored. The discussion touches on the implications of US policy on tariffs and the Russia-Ukraine situation, noting a shift towards a more negotiated and less confrontational path on tariffs. The UK economic outlook is also explored with significant upcoming data releases and their impact on the Bank of England's monetary policy. 

00:00 Introduction to Global Macro Factors
00:30 Welcome and Introductions
00:55 Upcoming Week's Global Economic Data
03:27 Focus on Tariffs and Geopolitical Themes
06:22 UK Economic Data and Bank of England Outlook
08:49 Conclusion and Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.