The "most important century" series (consolidated)

This is the full series of Cold Takes posts listed here: https://www.cold-takes.com/roadmap-for-the-most-important-century-series/

Chapters

• 0:00 All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild
• 14:56 The Duplicator
• 29:29 Digital People - Intro
• 40:53 Digital People - FAQ
• 1:05:55 Digital People - Conclusion
• 1:19:25 This Can't Go On
• 1:35:16 PASTA (Process for Automating Scientific and Technological Advancement)
• 1:53:22 What's the Burden of Proof?
• 2:21:58 Are we "trending toward" transformative AI? (How would we know?)
• 2:38:08 The "biological anchors" approach to forecasting transformative AI
• 3:07:20 AI timelines: where the arguments, and the "experts," stand
• 3:26:09 How to make the best of the most important century?
• 3:48:07 Call to Vigilance