Professor Jagjit Chadha evaluates the short- and long-term economic effects should the UK votes to leave the EU on 23 June, 2016: http://www.gresham.ac.uk/lectures-and-events/assessing-the-economic-risks-from-brexit
In this lecture, Professor Chadha, recently appointed as Director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, will consider how to interpret the published analysis on the consequences of a possible Brexit. While most studies (e.g. HMT and OECD) have highlighted the consequences for macroeconomic outcomes in terms of a set of point forecasts of real GDP per household, in this lecture Professor Chadha will consider how exit from the EU may affect the ability of the UK to share risk arising from macroeconomic shocks with the EU and the Rest of the World through trade in goods and assets.
The transcript and downloadable versions of the lecture are available from the Gresham College website: http://www.gresham.ac.uk/lectures-and-events/assessing-the-economic-risks-from-brexit
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