Betting Weekly: Liga MX

Liga Mx Predictions - Clausura Playoffs [5/5/2022] - Cruz Azul v Club Necaxa - Soccer Betting Picks

May 05, 2022 BetRivers Network
Betting Weekly: Liga MX
Liga Mx Predictions - Clausura Playoffs [5/5/2022] - Cruz Azul v Club Necaxa - Soccer Betting Picks
Show Notes Transcript

Get your soccer tips & predictions wiGet your Liga Mx Predictions today [5/5/2022] from Betting Weekly™! The opening round of the Liga Mx Clausura Playoffs is this week. Cooper Cox and Ryan "RJ" Guertin break down the betting odds and matchups. Featured matchups include Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa and Puebla vs. Mazatlan. 

Get all of your Liga Mx predictions and picks here each week from Betting Weekly™. Subscribe today so you don't miss a single episode.

00:00 Intros and top teams
01:30 Cruz Azul vs Club Necaxa
08:21 CF Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis
14:30 Puebla FC vs Mazatlan FC 
19:04 Chivas Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM
24:34 Cooper's Pick of the Week
24:55 RJ's Pick of the Week
25:45 Cooper's Dog of the Week
26:34 RJ's Dog of the Week
27:34 Parlay picks

Follow Cooper, RJ, and BetRivers Network on Twitter for more Liga Mx betting analysis and content:

🐣 Cooper Cox (@sportsprophet_) https://twitter.com/sportsprophet_
🐥 RJ (@rj2386) http://twitter.com/rj2386
🐣 BetRivers Network (@BRNPodcasts) https://twitter.com/BRNPodcasts

#LigaBancomerMX #CL2022  #ligamx #Clausura2022 #Repechajeth Betting Weekly™: Liga MX


0:02

brought to you in association with bet


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rivers your hometown sports book


0:07

today we're going to be covering liga mx


0:10

in the opening round of the classura


0:12

playoffs


0:14

i'm cooper your host


0:16

uh also known as the sports profit on


0:18

twitter uh and this is my co-host rj how


0:21

you doing buddy


0:23

well great cooper nice to be here with


0:25

you and looking forward to covering the


0:27

playoffs this weekend in liga


0:29

um you know i watch i watch leagues all


0:31

the way from epl to el salvador uh to to


0:34

be honest and this is one of my favorite


0:36

leagues to watch just


0:38

fast paced and uh the intensity is


0:40

always there you know


0:42

yeah yeah very very exciting league and


0:44

and i'm equally equally excited to


0:46

dig into this and hopefully


0:48

help our viewers make some money so


0:51

um


0:51

so one of the big story lines going into


0:53

this this weekend's games is that we've


0:55

got three of the traditional big four


0:57

mexican clubs that are going to be


0:58

involved in the opening round games


1:01

crusade chivas and pumas all three huge


1:04

mexican clubs


1:06

they're all three gonna be featured in


1:08

these opening round matches


1:10

so i'm sure viewership will not be an


1:12

issue these are going to be


1:14

very exciting games with you know big


1:16

vibrant fan bases so


1:17

uh you know that should that should


1:19

provide plenty of entertainment for us


1:21

um


1:23

but with that uh we can go ahead and hop


1:25

into the first game if you're ready


1:28

i'm ready let's do it


1:29

awesome so our first match of the


1:31

weekend is going to be saturday the 7th


1:34

uh it's cruz sewell at home


1:36

hosting nakaxa cruiser sewell uh


1:40

finished eighth in the table


1:42

and um the cats have finished ninth so


1:46

two kind of middle of the table squads


1:49

um i'll go ahead and give my take on


1:51

this one and then and then we'll get to


1:52

you if that's okay


1:54

yeah that's perfect awesome so


1:57

um this cruiserwell team obviously you


2:00

know like i mentioned this is a big club


2:02

big fan base out of mexico city um


2:05

they've won the cluster title um


2:08

in the past uh they've also won some


2:10

some some apatura titles um they most


2:14

recently won this title in 2021


2:17

so they're technically your


2:19

defending uh champions here


2:22

um and they also won what's known as the


2:26

the champion of champions cup which is


2:28

the class or versus the apachera


2:31

champion they they play each other um so


2:33

they've got two big time trophies under


2:36

their belt


2:37

uh just within the last year or two


2:40

um


2:41

but 2022 has been pretty inconsistent


2:44

for these guys i mean we're used to


2:46

seeing cruz a sewell


2:48

you know very sturdy at the back almost


2:50

that man city type of play where


2:53

you know you're probably not going to


2:55

break them down if you do it was


2:57

possibly a fluke and they're probably


2:59

going to scorch you on the counter


3:01

that's what we got used to seeing them


3:03

when they were successful


3:06

but this year like i said not as


3:07

consistent their


3:09

fifth and expected goals allowed and


3:11

they're actually fourth in goals allowed


3:13

this season


3:14

they had some pretty big losses from


3:16

those championship squads


3:18

notably jonathan rodriguez he went to he


3:21

was their their top scorer for a couple


3:23

years he went to saudi arabia to al


3:25

nasir


3:26

uh and you know one of their best


3:28

midfielders luis romo just just got


3:31

bought by monterey so


3:33

losing those two guys


3:35

um


3:36

you know you wouldn't think it would


3:37

shake it up as much as it did but it


3:40

really has affected


3:41

the way this team plays their style of


3:43

play they're conceding goals at a much


3:45

higher rate than they have in the past


3:47

and you have nakaxa coming in here


3:50

that is i call them the kings of the


3:53

expected goals not necessarily the kings


3:55

of goal scored they are top 10 so they


3:58

can put the ball in the back of the net


4:00

but they're not the most clinical side


4:03

they did end the season well


4:06

um


4:07

they won five of their last state and


4:09

their their their leading goal scorer


4:11

rodrigo aguer


4:14

has six goals in his last seven so he's


4:16

on a hell of a tear right now


4:19

um i probably won't have an official


4:20

play on this one but


4:22

given that information


4:25

contrary to what the odds are saying


4:27

here i could actually see both teams


4:28

getting on the scoresheet at a price of


4:30

plus 110 here


4:34

yeah that's that's a good take cooper um


4:36

you know my


4:37

my take on this match um you know i got


4:40

cruz of sewell at plus 115 at the time


4:42

of of looking at the odds uh


4:45

um the cox says about plus 275 in that


4:48

area um


4:50

and there's actually some interesting


4:52

information on this match right so to


4:53

begin with


4:54

uh there's


4:56

there's a risk that this match may not


4:58

be played um now we know how the mexican


5:00

league handles situations and i'm


5:03

confident that the game will probably


5:05

take place but on monday


5:07

mexico city which is where krusaswal is


5:10

located that's where they play from is


5:12

uh


5:13

they activated what's called the


5:14

environmental atmospheric contingency


5:16

protocol for ozone and essentially what


5:19

that means is outdoor activities are not


5:21

recommended now it doesn't mean they


5:22

can't happen but they're not recommended


5:24

so


5:25

we'll see what happens we'll see what


5:27

the ligamex president does um but at


5:29

this time we'll we'll act like the game


5:31

is is taking place which it likely will


5:33

um but in terms of the match itself um


5:36

crucifer is actually missing the central


5:39

defender pablo aguilar he will not be


5:41

available for this match he suffered a


5:43

muscle tier in the last match so he's


5:45

he's like their core in the backfield


5:47

right he's their top guy in the back


5:48

he's 35 years old he's a bit he's a bit


5:50

up there the paraguayan defender will


5:52

not be available for them


5:54

and and like you said they're they're a


5:56

bit unpredictable i think they scored


5:58

one one goal in their last five matches


6:00

there's been a lot of zero zero one zero


6:02

type matches


6:04

um nothing exciting to be honest with


6:06

you it's just it's just been kind of a


6:08

abort to be honest for them to to finish


6:10

off this season heading into the


6:12

playoffs they had a spot pretty much


6:13

locked up so um i think they just


6:15

cruised so to speak uh and it up


6:18

on the other hand you know they won four


6:20

of their last five they've been pretty


6:22

strong to finish to head into the


6:23

playoffs so


6:24

um you know


6:27

they could be they could be uh


6:29

it could be a shock here i mean i i the


6:31

way i see this match you know i'm


6:32

looking at the stats and


6:35

you know between the two teams average


6:37

around 2.3 goals per match in their


6:39

respective home and away spots and the


6:41

last five matches are looking at just


6:42

around two goals per match


6:44

um and i think the way that we that both


6:47

teams are playing right now i think you


6:49

could say this is a pretty evenly


6:50

matched uh


6:52

evenly matched game you know i i expect


6:54

a low scoring match potentially even a


6:56

draw


6:57

um


6:59

you know i don't officially have a play


7:00

on this the total is set at over two but


7:02

uh i could potentially see a draw here


7:05

but but no official play for me


7:07

yeah uh


7:09

great insight there it's


7:10

what you said about the i had no idea


7:12

about the the environmental issue


7:15

like you said though we'll see i mean


7:16

it's it's it's really


7:18

we've seen these guys play in much


7:20

crazier circumstances so you know like


7:23

you said right act like this like this


7:25

game is going to go on and be played it


7:27

probably will if i had to imagine


7:30

um


7:31

but yeah these odds are set


7:34

like this is crucial


7:36

normal cruiser soon i mean that that's


7:38

how to me when i saw these odds


7:40

the total being said it too obviously


7:42

the game is going to be played at the


7:43

azteca so


7:45

that's not an easy place to play one of


7:46

the you know it's elevated it's a really


7:48

difficult


7:50

um home field advantage there


7:52

but


7:53

these odds do seem to be set


7:56

for what we're used to seeing from cruz


7:59

of sewell and and they haven't been that


8:00

team this year so maybe the value


8:03

probably is on the cac so that's that's


8:04

kind of what why


8:06

i kind of thought about you know


8:07

possibly both teams of score


8:09

but


8:10

like you i'm not going to have an


8:11

official play on this one


8:13

but great input


8:15

and uh


8:17

two two good liens there and we'll we'll


8:19

go ahead and move on to the next one


8:20

here


8:22

so our game number two on saturday


8:25

is going to be


8:26

monterey


8:28

who comes into this one has a minus 160


8:30

home favorite hosting atletico san luis


8:33

who comes in at a plus 450 the draw is


8:36

at plus 270


8:38

and the total is set at two and a half


8:40

which actually is our highest total of


8:42

any of these four games which kind of


8:45

shows you


8:46

um how how the league mx playoffs go a


8:49

lot and we have a lot of one zeros


8:51

a lot of one ones


8:53

you know those type of games because


8:55

and that's how a lot of playoffs go


8:57

around the world i mean teams start to


8:58

get tied and the stakes are raised and


9:00

that's kind of a natural effect of that


9:02

but


9:03

um


9:05

yeah so monterey


9:07

this is a team that has kind of been a


9:08

tale


9:10

you know of of two different stories


9:12

here


9:13

they won the league mx title in 2019


9:16

um


9:17

made it to the concacaf champions league


9:19

in 2020


9:21

um won the conquer cap champions league


9:24

represented


9:25

our region in the club world cup got


9:27

knocked out


9:28

um i think by


9:31

i want to say a saudi arabian side


9:33

actually


9:35

so they they didn't get a chance to play


9:36

palmeiras or chelsea or anything like


9:38

that a little disappointing but they


9:40

were really busy with that


9:42

you know international schedule


9:44

and it affected them to start the year


9:47

um that took them to the point so much


9:50

uh


9:51

you know their form was very


9:52

inconsistent and also they lost uh


9:54

rogelio funus mori who


9:57

that's the guy i mean that's that's


10:00

when international


10:01

mexico goes out and plays


10:03

he's he's their nine so


10:05

um he's been with monterey i think


10:08

five plus years at this point he's


10:10

getting up there in age but he's still


10:12

the dude for them and he's out so


10:15

um but he's been out for


10:17

you know nine or ten matches now so


10:19

vincent janssen the dutchman has come in


10:23

and replaced they still have joel


10:24

campbell


10:26

and they're still very


10:28

very good at home so


10:30

uh this attacking unit at home knows how


10:33

to put the ball in the back of the net


10:34

they have the biggest home and away


10:36

disparity when it comes to analytics


10:38

their expected goal at home is 1.9


10:40

expected goals only 1.33 on the road so


10:44

when these guys are playing at home in


10:45

monterey


10:46

uh they know how to put the ball in the


10:48

back of the net so


10:50

uh they get an atletico san luis team


10:52

who actually comes in as the number two


10:54

worst defensive


10:56

unit in expected goals conceded so um


11:00

to me what jumped out


11:02

at me when i saw the odds moderate to


11:04

score a goal in the first half pre-match


11:07

is around that minus 130 mark


11:09

i think they come out and jump all over


11:11

these guys i am going to have a dog play


11:15

i'm not necessarily backing the dog here


11:17

but i'm going to have a dog play


11:19

uh that involves this match that we'll


11:22

get to at the end of our show


11:24

um


11:25

but yeah if i had a lean here


11:28

i would back monterey to find the back


11:30

of the net in the first half at minus


11:31

130.


11:33

yeah i don't disagree with that at all


11:35

cooper um


11:37

i think monterey is going to be licking


11:39

their chops to be to be quite honest at


11:41

this match simply for the revenge factor


11:43

uh because st louise uh took care of


11:46

business and and beat them uh in


11:47

february um you know towards the


11:49

beginning of the season as you said two


11:50

to nothing um


11:53

but it clearly i mean you know you don't


11:56

need to be a rocket scientist to take a


11:57

look but if you look at them at home


11:59

they're just they're stellar right over


12:00

the last six matches they're five all in


12:02

one


12:03

um


12:04

their matches you know


12:06

overall haven't haven't been overly


12:08

entertaining from from a goal


12:09

perspective like overall but they they


12:11

produce and they find the net uh very


12:14

consistently um they've scored 10 goals


12:16

and allowed two in their last six at


12:18

home


12:19

st louise on the other hand uh you know


12:21

have struggled a bit on the road


12:23

especially to close out the tournament


12:24

losing three out of their last five but


12:26

they have found the net in their last uh


12:29

seven away matches right so


12:32

you know something to be said there and


12:34

i think they're always a threat with the


12:36

league mx's top goal scorer jermaine


12:38

bertaremay


12:40

uh i'm pronouncing that correctly and


12:42

you know


12:43

at the end of the day


12:45

i i still think realtors which i


12:47

actually have that kid i i could have


12:48

put it on but maybe if they win i'll


12:50

wear it next year yeah yeah um


12:53

i think they lock things down and i


12:55

think it's going to be a narrow narrowly


12:56

um


12:57

a narrow win for them um and i and i


13:00

think you know the under 2.5 goals is


13:02

priced at um


13:05

minus 120


13:07

um which is which is interesting um and


13:10

i'm not a big underguy people that know


13:11

me especially on twitter i'm an over


13:13

totals guy mainly


13:15

and um


13:16

i think


13:18

i expect a low score match here to be


13:20

honest and and


13:21

because st louise is just too


13:23

unpredictable um i'm i don't have an


13:25

official play i'm staying away from this


13:27

one yeah i should


13:29

yeah i i think that's that's a good


13:31

approach um


13:33

you know


13:34

we our biggest advantage over the books


13:36

is we don't have to play every game


13:37

right so


13:38

um


13:40

sometimes the best bet is is no bet


13:42

right in some situations it's it's best


13:44

to not force and and i think you know


13:46

just a quick add here uh coop if if you


13:49

know you look at the asian lines i mean


13:50

minus one for for mono rays like minus


13:52

170. i would not advise that the juice


13:55

for me the limit is like minus 130


13:57

anything lower than that i don't even


13:59

bother


13:59

but


14:00

um you know


14:03

actually it's my is it say minus yeah


14:05

it's my oh minus one is minus 114 uh


14:08

money line is minus minus 200. so i mean


14:11

even that if you can try to get uh 0.75


14:14

like the asian handicapping lines that


14:16

might be


14:17

that might be okay but again st louise


14:19

they could just come out firing they


14:20

have the ability to to put the ball in


14:23

the net so um i


14:24

i still stay away from this


14:27

awesome


14:28

excellent information regardless


14:30

um so for our third game of the weekend


14:33

we're going to move on to sunday the 8th


14:36

we have puebla at home


14:39

coming in at a minus 115 favorite


14:41

hosting mazatlan who is a plus 320


14:45

dog on the road the draw is priced at a


14:47

plus 250 and the total is set at 2.25 on


14:52

the asian handicap


14:53

basically a pick them in either


14:54

direction for for the total um right now


15:00

on


15:01

our book


15:03

so


15:06

puebla


15:08

they've ended the season about as poorly


15:09

as you as you could i mean this is a


15:12

team that was the number one team in


15:14

liga mx i think for the first like nine


15:16

or ten weeks of the season they were


15:18

number one like they they were king of


15:20

the castle for for a while there um


15:23

they've lost six of their last eight um


15:28

here's what i've noticed about this team


15:31

i think they have figured out


15:33

fernando


15:35

arestagueta that is their venezuelan


15:37

striker he's very tall


15:39

he's about six foot three he's not fly


15:42

to foot at all he's he he's a


15:45

a sniper and and he's obviously very


15:48

good with his head


15:49

but like that's what the guy does and so


15:52

yes i think teams have adjusted to this


15:55

he scored one goal in his last nine


15:57

so


15:58

um


15:59

for that to be like the guy and


16:02

scored one in your last nine that's a


16:04

very big reason why they've lost six of


16:06

their last date here um


16:08

mazatlan on the other hand


16:11

honestly i think this is a great matchup


16:12

for him i really do because the way they


16:15

play


16:16

um they play defense first you know they


16:19

they build out of the back they counter


16:21

you their third in liga mx expected


16:24

goals conceded third and actual goals


16:26

conceded they've been very good


16:28

uh despite sneaking into the playoffs


16:31

um you know that they are the the 12th


16:34

team on the table here which is the last


16:35

team to make the playoffs so they snuck


16:37

in obviously that's an offensive issue


16:39

if your defense is doing that well it's


16:41

definitely an issue with your attack


16:44

but they did loot they did win their


16:46

last four straight including a 2-1 win


16:48

over this puebla team to end the season


16:52

so this game is going to be at puebla


16:54

mazatlan's at a plus 320.


16:57

um


16:58

i kind of like if i had to pick like


17:00

you know a nice little underdog spot


17:02

here maybe mazatlan to advance and their


17:05

double chance is priced at like minus


17:07

105 even money depending on where you're


17:09

looking so


17:10

that would be my lean here


17:14

yes that's a fair take i'm very much


17:16

looking forward to this match this is


17:18

the most intriguing match in my opinion


17:20

over the weekend you know i'm at


17:22

schedule clear on sunday so i can so i


17:24

can watch this so i'm looking forward to


17:26

it


17:27

um but yeah as you said uh you know with


17:29

their top striker you know not scoring


17:32

in the last i think he said


17:34

nine matches


17:35

he's scored one in the last nine yeah


17:37

yeah one on the last nine it's honestly


17:39

you gotta look at the coaching to write


17:41

the decisions here right switch up


17:43

formations rotate people around if you


17:45

don't adjust and you don't adapt in


17:47

leagues like this um


17:49

it's going to be tough to stay


17:50

consistent and i feel like there's not a


17:52

ton of rotation here in league mx i mean


17:53

the the


17:55

the top performers in the league usually


17:57

get field time and there's not a ton of


17:59

rotation off the bench so


18:01

um with that being said like you said we


18:03

have two sides finishing the season in


18:05

completely different forms play bus


18:07

struggled in that last three matches


18:09

losing all three and um they lost


18:11

actually to


18:13

uh mazelton um


18:17

two to one and it was a wild second half


18:19

i don't know if you caught this but it


18:20

was a wild second half with two


18:22

penalties


18:23

and uh mazelon received a penalty in the


18:26

94th minute all right the game to seal


18:29

up the playoff spot so it was a it was a


18:31

pretty wild wild match and guess what


18:34

they have each other again in the first


18:35

round of the playoffs so i would expect


18:37

to see some um


18:39

i expect to see some fireworks and and


18:41

certainly um an entertaining match at


18:44

the very least


18:45

and


18:46

you know


18:47

they've won their last four matches


18:49

they're firing on all cylinders right


18:51

now both teams have a clean bill of


18:53

health and and i have uh the top play


18:55

for me this weekend is in this match so


18:57

i'll talk about that at the end of the


18:59

show here fantastic look looking forward


19:01

to hearing that


19:02

um


19:03

awesome well we will go to our fourth


19:05

and final game of the weekend in league


19:08

mx


19:09

opening round of the playoffs uh this


19:12

one is one i'm particularly excited


19:13

about


19:14

you have uh the home team chivas


19:16

guadalajara


19:18

who come in as


19:20

the sixth seed sixth on on the table


19:23

your top four are the teams that got


19:24

buys


19:25

so these guys were very close to to


19:27

being a top four team


19:29

um and that was because of a good late


19:31

season push for them


19:32

uh they're a plus 110 home favorite


19:36

pumas


19:37

comes down the road is a plus 260


19:40

underdog and the draw is set at plus 220


19:42

the total is set at two and a half


19:45

um with the over being plus money


19:48

um in most


19:50

scenarios so


19:52

um


19:54

chivas we kind of touched on them at the


19:55

beginning of the show they are like a


19:57

big club i mean this is


20:00

you know an arsenal uh


20:02

a chelsea type club this this is a


20:03

massive fan base


20:05

guadalajara one of the biggest cities on


20:07

the continent


20:09

this place is going to be rocking


20:13

and


20:14

there's a lot to like about this matchup


20:16

if you're achieving us because


20:18

pumas well first of all they play


20:21

tonight so puma's place tonight in the


20:23

conquer cap champions league final it's


20:25

two to two on aggregate they've got to


20:26

go up to seattle um and try to get a


20:29

result there i personally in backing


20:31

seattle i i think it's i think pumas is


20:34

going to be walking into


20:36

into hell basically when they go when


20:38

they go to lumen field tonight with a 70


20:40

000 you know sellout up there i just


20:42

think it's a bad spot so


20:44

pumas is dealing with a congested


20:46

schedule they're going to have to play


20:47

their best 11 today because it's cap


20:49

champions league and that's you put that


20:50

above everything else so


20:52

best 11's gonna be out there they played


20:54

their best 11 three nights ago


20:56

just to make sure that they made it in


20:58

into the league mx playoffs so these


21:00

guys are getting stretched um


21:03

they're going to be tired i'd be shocked


21:05

if they weren't tired tonight to be


21:06

honest with you


21:08

and now chivas comes in at home


21:13

they've played very well lately they've


21:14

been awesome defensively all season


21:17

they've


21:18

they've won their last four to in the


21:20

season including a three to one drubbing


21:23

of pumas the second to last game of the


21:26

season so they get them again here


21:27

except probably more tired probably not


21:29

motivated


21:30

probably off a big hangover whether they


21:32

pull off the upset or not it's going to


21:33

be a hangover spot for pumas in my


21:35

opinion playing this game right after


21:37

the champions league final so


21:40

um


21:41

also on top of that


21:43

um pumas on the road is the worst in the


21:46

league defensively they're they're


21:47

allowing 1.76 expected goals


21:50

conceded


21:52

um


21:53

i just think this is a smash spot for


21:55

for chivas this is this is potentially a


21:57

two two unit play for me potentially


22:00

you know


22:00

maybe even a three unit play of the day


22:03

uh for me definitely my favorite spot of


22:05

the weekend and i'm gonna be hammering


22:07

this one


22:10

yeah this this is an interesting match


22:12

um as of as of when i last looked at the


22:15

odds chivas was plus 108 looking at bet


22:17

rivers right now they're minus 103. so


22:19

the line has moved a little bit um


22:22

i'm not overly obsessed with line


22:24

movement but it's something that you


22:26

know i do do slightly consider right and


22:29

you know a little bit about the match


22:30

right chiva's heading into the playoffs


22:32

is there they're in top form they won


22:33

four and their last five


22:35

uh pumas finished the season against but


22:38

chuchko


22:39

with a strong performance although uh


22:41

they had already locked up the top spot


22:43

in league mx so


22:45

they didn't really have any motivation


22:46

so to speak in that match it was just


22:48

more like a i guess a practice for them


22:50

even though you know you go out to win


22:52

every match it just i'll take that with


22:54

a grain of salt that they just kind of


22:56

took their foot off the pedal um


22:58

but pumas were able to scare a playoff


23:00

spot because of that so


23:02

they got in from that win and and this


23:05

is a match between two teams who who


23:07

from a statistical


23:09

perspective shoot the ball quite a bit i


23:11

mean i'd expect something in the range


23:13

of 26 to 30 shots in this match they


23:16

average around 25 per match between both


23:18

sides but


23:20

again these playoffs into the first


23:22

round of league mx are one game playoffs


23:24

it's not you know two legs so it's go


23:26

for glory uh


23:28

right from the get-go and you you bring


23:30

up a good point you know they


23:32

chiva's last match was the 29th of april


23:36

foremost played on the 1st of may and


23:39

they're playing again tonight so they


23:41

have a disadvantage there from a rest


23:42

perspective


23:44

and


23:44

i also have a play in this match that


23:47

i'll reveal at the end that's going to


23:48

be my dog of the week it's not a super


23:51

uh ridiculous price uh from a dog


23:54

perspective but it is a dog play and i


23:55

and i do expect it to uh to move um


23:59

by kickoff


24:00

all right fantastic


24:02

uh so that was that was the four games


24:04

of the weekend uh we're both looking


24:06

forward to those we'll definitely be uh


24:08

tuning in


24:09

myself


24:10

um so


24:12

at the end of the show what we're gonna


24:13

do is i'll give my strongest play rj


24:16

will give his we're both going to have a


24:18

dog spot


24:19

um and then a little fun parlay at the


24:21

end just something for you to sprinkle


24:23

nothing crazy um and you know we'll


24:26

we'll try to keep it moving and and be


24:27

as brief as possible since we've given


24:29

you


24:30

uh basically the rundown of each of


24:32

these games so um i'll start with my


24:35

strongest play i just touched on it


24:36

shiva's money line i've got it at plus


24:39

110


24:40

before we went on obviously the line has


24:42

moved a little bit love the spot you


24:44

know great form at home pumas is stretch


24:47

they're tired i think chiba's you know


24:50

comfortably


24:51

uh and decisively wins that game


24:54

um


24:55

rj what's your strongest play of the


24:56

weekend for us


24:58

yeah my top play this weekend is uh


25:01

puebla both teams to score uh at -105


25:05

yeah one unit all my players would be


25:07

consistent at one unit but um


25:09

looking at at bet rivers it's already


25:11

moved to to minus 112. um and that's


25:14

just one day and we still have uh


25:17

what four or five days till kickoff so


25:20

um but i think both teams to store and


25:21

play but uh at minus 105 when i locked


25:24

in it's a very


25:25

very fair price


25:27

yeah yeah i think it's i think it's more


25:28

than fair and and like you said it's


25:30

moving towards being the favorite


25:32

outcome so um you know as soon as you


25:34

guys watch the show we both recommend go


25:37

ahead if you're going to tail our best


25:38

bets go ahead and get them in because


25:40

those lines will typically move when


25:42

you're talking about our favorite place


25:44

um


25:45

so for my dog of the week uh


25:47

i'm actually not


25:49

monterey is not an underdog they're a


25:50

favorite but i'm backing a big plus


25:53

money play here


25:54

um i think monterey


25:58

might end this game before half time


25:59

against atletico san luis so i'm going


26:01

to take them first half minus one


26:04

at a plus 375 a whopping plus 375. um i


26:09

think like i said i definitely think


26:11

they they score if they're up say it's


26:13

one nothing at half time you get your


26:15

money back so for this price


26:18

i'm definitely cool with it if they


26:19

happen to be you know 2-0 up at halftime


26:21

which i think is a better possibility


26:23

than the odds listed here which is


26:25

textbook value


26:27

um


26:28

that's the way i'm gonna play it um


26:31

what do you think rj what's what's your


26:32

dog spot of the weekend


26:35

yeah so my dog play this weekend and


26:37

like i said it's not an extravagant


26:39

number like yours at plus 370 although i


26:41

do i do like that um is uh chivas over


26:45

2.5 goals um and that's at


26:49

plus 105. so again it's not a super


26:53

wild number from from a dog perspective


26:56

but it is a plus money play or it was i


26:59

should say again i'm looking at the odds


27:01

now and it's it's minus 103 on bet river


27:03

so again it's it's moved a little bit


27:05

but um i think this game has great


27:07

potential for goals and i think


27:10

it's an extremely


27:11

fair value and fair price and a nice


27:14

opportunity for everyone um at even


27:16

money or just above even money


27:19

so this is this is a good one in my


27:21

opinion yeah i i think that's a good


27:23

look just based on uh like you said both


27:25

teams have got to go for broke and and


27:27

you kind of know what kind of game


27:29

you're going to get as far as shots and


27:30

attempts and stuff like that so


27:32

definitely that's a good look um


27:34

so for my parlay here i i wouldn't


27:36

recommend putting more than a quarter of


27:38

a unit on this just because we've only


27:41

got a four game slate so there's not a


27:42

ton you know for me to pull from here


27:45

i'm gonna parlay the draw in perusa


27:47

sewell


27:48

necaxa


27:50

with the draw and pueblo mazzaplan


27:54

and that is going to be


27:56

uh rj and i actually talked about this


27:58

one before the show it's actually going


27:59

to be our combined parlay for for this


28:01

weekend um just because it was kind of a


28:03

light slate so we just kind of put our


28:05

heads together what can we throw a


28:06

quarter of a unit on


28:08

and run with it and you know if it hits


28:10

then


28:10

that's fantastic


28:12

no big deal but uh yeah so that's at a


28:15

plus three sorry a plus nine thirty five


28:17

there wouldn't do more than a quarter of


28:19

a unit but i could see both of those


28:20

games ending in a draw


28:22

um and then you get paid so


28:25

um


28:26

anyways uh


28:28

that's pretty much it for us today um


28:31

hope you guys enjoyed the show and all


28:33

the information from from rj and myself


28:35

i just want to remind everybody before


28:38

we log off here


28:40

um


28:41

to check out all the content from the


28:44

bet rivers youtube channel there's a ton


28:46

more you know prediction and preview


28:48

shows that they do all the european


28:50

leagues and and much much more


28:53

and we'll be doing this every wednesday


28:55

so rj and i look forward to seeing you


28:58

guys next week


29:00

yeah take care thank you everyone