Betting Weekly: Liga MX

Liga Mx Predictions! Clausura Playoffs [5/11/2022] Quarterfinals - Soccer Betting Picks

May 11, 2022 BetRivers Network
Betting Weekly: Liga MX
Liga Mx Predictions! Clausura Playoffs [5/11/2022] Quarterfinals - Soccer Betting Picks
Show Notes Transcript

Get your 8 free Liga Mx Predictions today [5/11/2022] from Betting Weekly™! The Clausura Playoffs enter the second round this week. Cooper Cox and Ryan "RJ" Guertin break down the betting odds and matchups. Crosstown rivals Chivas and Atlas battle this week and there's a a showdown between Cruz Azul and Tigres, too!

Get all of your Liga Mx predictions and picks here each week from Betting Weekly™. Subscribe today so you don't miss a single episode.

00:00 Intros
01:15 Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca
07:05 Puebla FC vs Club America
14:37 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL
20:12 Chivas Guadalajara vs Club Atlas
22:32 Cooper's Pick of the week
23:33 RJ's Pick of the week
24:13 Cooper's Dog of the week
25:04 RJ's Dog of the week
26:00 Parlay picks

Follow Cooper, RJ, and BetRivers Network on Twitter for more Liga Mx betting analysis and content:

🐣 Cooper Cox (@sportsprophet_) https://twitter.com/sportsprophet_
🐥 RJ (@rjg2386) http://twitter.com/rj2386
🐣 BetRivers Network (@BRNPodcasts) https://twitter.com/BRNPodcasts

#LigaBancomerMX #CL2022  #ligamx #Clausura2022 #Repechaje


0:02

brought to you in association with bet


0:04

rivers your hometown sports book


0:07

this week we'll be covering round one


0:10

of the liga mx playoffs i'm your host


0:13

cooper and my co-host is rj


0:16

how you doing buddy


0:18

doing great good to be back here after


0:20

uh we had a pretty stellar week week one


0:23

or the opening week of the playoffs here


0:24

and uh it was a fun watch and i'm


0:27

looking forward to go over the uh the


0:28

quarterfinals with you


0:30

yeah it was it was a really good week i


0:32

think we went four zero and one so


0:35

ended up having one push but four wins


0:38

i know we can't do that every week but


0:40

definitely not gonna complain about


0:42

results like that so hopefully we can


0:44

keep it rolling


0:46

and we've got four matches


0:48

um the way that this round of the


0:50

playoffs works this is the quarterfinals


0:52

so you'll have leg one which is going to


0:54

be played


0:55

wednesday and thursday and then the home


0:58

and away teams obviously flip for leg


1:00

two which will be played saturday and


1:02

sunday this weekend


1:04

so


1:05

uh we're looking forward to it and with


1:07

that we can go ahead and hop right into


1:09

game one if you're ready


1:11

i'm ready let's do it all right


1:14

so um on the 11th which is going to be a


1:17

wednesday um tomorrow our time


1:20

uh you've got atletico san luis


1:24

at home hosting the uh the number one


1:27

team in the table this year pachuca


1:30

so


1:31

um


1:32

you've got atletico san luis fresh off


1:35

that massive upset at monterey they go


1:38

to monterey


1:39

down one to zero at halftime monterey


1:41

seems to be in control


1:44

and then um atletico san luis just


1:46

completely explodes they've got a


1:48

47-minute goal from waller in a


1:50

53-minute goal from rio


1:53

and then they're off to one and they and


1:54

they held that lead all the way into the


1:56

96 minute monterey equalizes pushes it


1:59

to penalties


2:01

atletico san luis still finds a way to


2:03

pull off this massive upset


2:06

um


2:07

and honestly


2:08

it was deserved i mean i mean they


2:10

outplayed in the second half they looked


2:12

like they were the better team


2:13

um so this is gonna be a team with


2:16

confidence you know they they get to


2:17

come home


2:18

playing fun in front of the fans


2:21

big opportunity here to host the number


2:23

one team in the table pachuca obviously


2:25

a big challenge


2:27

um pachuca is going to come in


2:30

more rested obviously you know that they


2:33

come here by way of a buy because your


2:35

top four teams come in on a buy


2:39

and this pachuca team is really really


2:41

good at an attack man


2:44

these guys have 30 goals which is tied


2:46

for number one in the league they're


2:48

number one when you talk about analytics


2:50

and expected goals and chances created


2:52

all that stuff quality of shots


2:55

uh leading scorer nicole


2:57

nicholas of bagnes formerly uh from


3:00

atletico madrid


3:02

um they've got her tattoo and ivara out


3:04

wide with the speed


3:06

uh


3:07

and


3:07

a really solid midfield these guys know


3:09

how to move the ball around and create


3:10

chances very athletic very fun to watch


3:13

they've been a fun overs team this year


3:15

um


3:17

so for me


3:18

i'll be i'll be brief with my lean with


3:20

this one i like both teams of score here


3:23

um that that's my lean


3:26

we've already seen the over kind of


3:27

start to get steamed a little bit moving


3:29

up getting a little more expensive if


3:31

you if you like goals here uh both teams


3:33

of score on bet rivers is a round of


3:35

minus 130 at the time of this recording


3:38

um so that's my lean for this one's both


3:40

teams to score what do you think rj


3:43

that's a good take cooper um


3:45

my my feeling on this match is you know


3:47

first off it was it was a great win for


3:49

them last week against monterey that was


3:51

obviously the uh the surprise of the of


3:54

the first round


3:55

and i'll i'll be honest i think they


3:57

have a chance to to upset uh pachuca


4:00

here and and


4:01

in order to do that right they're gonna


4:03

have to shur up defensively which has


4:05

basically been an issue for them all


4:07

season


4:08

however they have kept a clean sheet


4:11

in three out of their last four home


4:12

matches so they have improved they are


4:15

strong at home especially as of late


4:18

and


4:19

you know there


4:20

there's something to be said with with


4:22

teams who have extra rest sometimes


4:24

sometimes they come out flat right they


4:26

are on the road even though on the road


4:28

they've been pretty stellar um they are


4:31

the number one seed but uh i think


4:33

there's a chance for an upset here and


4:36

in order to in order for them to do that


4:38

right the top scorer on their team uh


4:41

jermaine bernare is gonna have to get on


4:42

the score sheet he's got five goals


4:45

in his last five matches arguably like


4:47

the key player from an assist


4:49

perspective he's just the guy that that


4:51

runs


4:52

the offense and in order for them to be


4:54

successful he's going to have to have a


4:55

good game


4:57

on the flip side pachuca


4:59

have only lost three times this whole


5:01

tournament and their losses came against


5:03

teams who were in poor form


5:05

so they do need to be alert against a


5:07

strong saint louis side at home right as


5:10

i said


5:11

and


5:13

they've failed to pick up three points


5:15

and five


5:17

uh from five of six teams that finished


5:19

at the bottom of the table


5:21

so


5:22

that's an interesting fact so they're


5:24

not without their faults you know


5:26

they're a strong team they're obviously


5:27

number one but overall league mx is i'd


5:30

say


5:31

an average from a predictability


5:33

perspective because you can look at all


5:34

the stats you want but i feel as though


5:37

you know any given day especially in


5:39

this league teams could just show up and


5:41

and you know


5:42

uh upsets occur basically is what i'm


5:44

saying and we saw that um


5:46

at the end of the season we saw that


5:48

last week


5:50

especially with this side so you never


5:52

know and from a stat wise


5:54

this has a making of a of a low scoring


5:56

affair in my opinion


5:59

st louise averaged 1.6 goals uh four


6:02

over the last five and allowed just 0.8


6:05

goals so under one goal per match at


6:07

home like i mentioned they had three out


6:08

of the last four have have seen clean


6:10

sheets and pachuca have scored 1.4 goals


6:13

four over the last five and allowed 1.2


6:16

right


6:17

and and clean sheets have been a theme


6:20

for both sides in their home and away


6:22

spots and the total is priced at over


6:23

2.5 plus 108 and over 2.25 at minus 122


6:28

on bet rivers


6:30

so overall in my opinion this is a tough


6:33

read um


6:35

again because you never know what


6:37

version of saint luis you're going to


6:38

get right


6:40

so i don't have an official play but i


6:42

do also agree with you on the


6:44

on the lean of both teams to score at


6:47

30 but again it's not an official


6:49

official play yeah and that's totally


6:51

fine i mean we we've said it on the show


6:52

before one of our biggest advantages


6:54

that we have over the sports books is


6:56

they have to put lines out for every


6:58

single play we have the option whether


7:00

to play them or not and sometimes


7:01

they'll play as the best player right so


7:04

um


7:05

okay so moving right along to our second


7:08

match up this is going to be the late


7:10

game wednesday night


7:12

uh you've got the home team pueblo


7:15

they're going to be hosting the mexican


7:17

giants club america going to be coming


7:19

to town club america is actually a plus


7:21

130 favorite here so you got the home


7:23

team pueblo not in great form at a nice


7:27

plus 215 if you if you have any interest


7:30

in them and then the draw is priced at a


7:31

plus 210


7:33

total is set at that asian handicap at


7:36

2.25 over minus 120 under even money


7:40

um


7:42

so we talked about it a little bit last


7:44

week


7:44

uh this pueblo team ended the season


7:48

in a rut uh and that's saying it nicely


7:50

they lost five of their last state they


7:52

only won one out of those eight when you


7:54

look at these two teams


7:56

they're like their stories for the


7:58

season are like completely flipped


8:00

because um club america started the


8:03

season very banged up


8:05

i don't know if they won until maybe


8:06

like five games into the season


8:08

if i remember it correctly so they


8:11

started very poorly very banged up


8:13

um their head coach fernando ortiz


8:16

um actually


8:18

said look like we're gonna wait till


8:20

this rash of injuries gets through our


8:22

roster and we're gonna play defense for


8:24

for about half the season so these guys


8:26

really back the box and emphasize


8:28

defense first


8:30

for about the first half of the season


8:31

and a lot of people thought that their


8:33

season was basically just going to be a


8:35

wash


8:36

these guys catch fire


8:38

they win six out of their last seven six


8:40

straight before drawing to end the


8:42

season


8:43

they end up coming in as the fourth best


8:45

team in liga mx if you're looking at the


8:47

standings uh and they got a first round


8:50

buy which is just perfect for this team


8:51

it's exactly what they needed


8:54

um credit to their coach credit to their


8:56

players for for pushing through that and


8:58

finding a way to not just make the


9:00

playoffs but actually come in as a top


9:02

four team


9:03

um


9:05

for me this might have been the the


9:07

trickiest one as far as like a lean here


9:09

just because


9:11

um


9:13

you're a road favorite in the playoffs


9:17

i'm not always looking to back a road


9:19

favorite


9:20

pueblo yes they've been in terrible form


9:22

they're going to be at home


9:24

don't get me wrong they looked


9:25

absolutely dreadful last week i guess i


9:27

guess against mazatlan mazatlan actually


9:31

had 2.33 expected goals to pueblo's 0.83


9:35

so pueblo got out


9:38

very lucky they were very fortunate yes


9:40

very fortunate to get away with that one


9:42

that game ended two to two


9:44

pueblo gets out of there on penalties


9:46

and they live to see another day so my


9:49

lean for this one is actually going to


9:50

be draw at halftime at plus 110.


9:53

um i think pueblo knows


9:56

that they got out they were fortunate


9:59

shaky defensively


10:00

america has been very hot the last 10


10:04

games of the season very hot offensively


10:06

to actually work their way up into the


10:08

top five in the expected goals category


10:11

so um


10:12

pueblo is probably going to be a little


10:14

bit worried about that and rightfully so


10:16

so i expect a pretty good feeling out


10:18

period this is a two leg affair


10:21

um


10:22

these teams don't want to make a mistake


10:24

so i think for the first 25 30 minutes


10:26

is going to be


10:27

probably one of those you know classic


10:29

mexican league filling out periods


10:32

uh i think zero zero is very


10:35

possible at half time if you want to get


10:36

real frisky that's like plus 165 for


10:39

that exact score


10:42

yeah that's a fair take cooper i i have


10:44

similar thoughts related to this match


10:47

and i was able to watch this uh pueblo


10:49

match versus mazatlan uh last week and


10:52

the first half was was pretty wild and


10:55

and they just


10:56

don't really have much structure i'll be


10:58

honest with you and it was it was pretty


11:00

evident watching that match it was it


11:01

was that's why it was wide open yeah um


11:04

that was my favorite play last week you


11:06

had a great reading here in europe


11:08

and that worked out nice i it was nice


11:10

to see them take care of that early


11:12

early in the match um


11:14

but but this match also proves to be a


11:17

difficult read in my opinion club


11:19

america well-rested and went on a


11:21

seven-match unbeaten streak to close out


11:23

the tournament


11:24

playboy also have not beaten club


11:26

america in any of the last five matches


11:29

i don't put a ton of weight in that


11:31

because at any given any given day so to


11:33

speak but that was an interesting stat


11:36

that i that i came across and playable


11:38

have averaged one point goals 1.4 goals


11:41

four over the last five and 1.6 against


11:44

at home


11:45

and america have scored 1.4 goals four


11:48

and are averaging 0.6 goals against on


11:51

the road so they're playing very good


11:53

defense as you stated yeah and and


11:56

playboy have not kept a clean sheet in


11:58

their last five while ca uh club america


12:01

has kept a clean sheet and four out of


12:03

the last five so


12:04

you know we have a team who just simply


12:06

has a has trouble defensively and we


12:08

have a team who's really shored up in


12:10

the back so


12:12

you know


12:13

playable need will need to go back to


12:15

their form to this at the start of this


12:17

tournament if they have any chance to


12:19

take down america they started the


12:21

tournament on a nine nine match unbeaten


12:24

street


12:24

and america on the other hand started


12:26

the tournament awful they i think they


12:28

won one in their first 10 matches


12:31

santiago solari they brought in fernando


12:34

otis as you said and he turned their


12:36

season around they they basically


12:39

changed the the style of play right


12:41

coach comes in changes the whole


12:43

feel the style of the team and it it


12:45

panned out for them they they


12:47

they're a very


12:49

defensive oriented side the the those


12:52

games are usually low scoring they're


12:54

tight matches yeah


12:56

um but after watching


12:58

you know playable last weekend it's like


13:01

i don't they'll concede they'll concede


13:04

one i i think they'll concede two i was


13:07

close to making my my dog play of the


13:09

week america team total of a 1.5 wow


13:13

but


13:14

i i have reserves and you know if if


13:17

anything i would lean under 2.5 but it


13:19

was like minus 150 and that's that's way


13:21

too much juice like i said my cutoff is


13:24

usually minus 130 or or


13:26

or higher


13:27

um


13:29

but i don't have an official play and i


13:31

and i think you know


13:33

i i think team total over 1.5


13:37

is is an interesting number and you know


13:40

if you have a good day i'll say on on


13:42

wednesday or thursday and you want to


13:44

sprinkle a little bear money so to speak


13:46

on team total 1.5 i don't think that's a


13:47

bad play at all okay


13:49

yeah yeah i i actually like that take


13:52

when i looked at this one


13:53

uh


13:56

it kind of felt like 2-0 or 2-1 uh for


13:59

for the road team um you know again i i


14:03

i'm just not personally rushing to back


14:05

a road team well i am going to be


14:07

backing a road team but it's a specific


14:09

team that that i feel very strongly


14:11

about and that's actually our next game


14:13

um so we'll go ahead and get into our


14:15

third game


14:16

um and that's a good lean by the way i i


14:19

actually really like that at plus money


14:20

i think that


14:21

um


14:22

just real quick i i think that pueblo


14:25

are kind of a mess right now like you


14:26

said


14:27

and they were hanging on for dear life


14:29

against mazatlan who is the worst


14:31

offensive team in the league so


14:34

what are you gonna do when the big boys


14:35

come to town so


14:37

uh game three here we've got


14:40

a big time matchup everyone's gonna this


14:42

is probably going to be


14:44

uh the most viewed game of the weekend


14:47

when you look at the tv ratings you've


14:48

got cruz has sewell at home


14:51

and tigris coming to town from monterey


14:54

um


14:55

this is a pick em so they're both plus


14:57

170 on the money line


14:59

minus 110 on on the pick them or the


15:01

draw no bet depending on your


15:03

terminology


15:04

the draw is priced at plus 200


15:07

and the total


15:09

is on that asian handicap again at 2.25


15:13

minus 110 either direction


15:15

so


15:16

um


15:17

we've talked about cruiser sewell a


15:19

little bit their inconsistencies you


15:21

know some of their losses from from


15:23

years past with luis romo and and with


15:26

jonathan rodriguez no longer a part of


15:28

this squad they've gone and done other


15:29

things


15:30

um


15:31

they're defensive issues which


15:34

you never used to think about defensive


15:35

issues when you talked about carica


15:37

sewell that they were always so sturdy


15:38

at the back and and that was kind of


15:40

their their trademark this year has been


15:42

different their their bottom five and


15:44

expected goals allowed their their


15:45

bottom six and actually


15:47

uh goals allowed


15:49

um and that really doesn't seem to suit


15:51

them to be honest with you this this


15:53

team ended the season


15:55

uh eighth in the standings


15:57

um tigris comes in meanwhile


16:00

uh this has been my


16:03

bread and butter this year in this


16:05

league


16:06

um and not just be not just because they


16:09

they win a lot but because


16:12

they they get it done when when i need


16:14

them to um this team i've said it before


16:17

on other shows i'll say it right now


16:20

tigris attacking unit is the best


16:22

attacking unit on the north american


16:24

continent


16:25

these guys are absolutely loaded and


16:28

it's ridiculous i love watching these


16:29

guys


16:30

you got the frenchman pierre zhenyak up


16:32

top he's 36 years old but he's still


16:35

trucking he's still going strong he's


16:36

probably got another year or two


16:38

he leads the team with 11 goals


16:40

uh you got florian davine who came over


16:43

from league one in france for marseille


16:46

he usually plays the right wing


16:48

luis quinones who's been there forever


16:50

plays the left wing very fast he


16:52

actually leads the team and assists


16:54

and then juan vigone


16:56

um he plays like that 10 spot so he kind


16:59

of like pulls the strings and and he's


17:01

like the playmaker you know so these


17:03

guys are absolutely loaded in attack i


17:05

love these guys


17:07

um number one in goal scored well


17:09

they're tied with pachuca for for goal


17:10

scored


17:11

number two unexpected goals this season


17:14

um they started the season with 12 wins


17:17

only two losses and two draws so they


17:19

started the season just like on a tear


17:21

it was like just close your eyes and


17:22

blindly bet tigris


17:24

that's all you have to do


17:27

they ended the year


17:29

the last three two losses and one draw


17:31

but there was a lot of rotation


17:33

they had already had their their playoff


17:35

spot you know the buy was wrapped up


17:37

there's a lot of space between pachuca


17:39

and tigris in the standings and then


17:42

three and four and everyone else so they


17:44

already had their spot wrapped up


17:46

um


17:47

and they were resting players they were


17:48

rotating players


17:51

which i think in this case given the age


17:52

of their roster is actually going to be


17:54

an okay thing


17:55

um


17:56

so i do have a big play on this one i'll


18:00

just cover their last head-to-head which


18:02

was interesting because i was on that


18:03

one they played one time this year the


18:05

game was in monterey which which is


18:07

tigris's uh


18:08

you know home city


18:10

um


18:11

it was two to two


18:13

and there was a 92nd minute goal from


18:15

cruz of sewell i was on both teams to


18:17

score and tigris win


18:20

uh which was like plus 420 or something


18:22

awesome and then that that dagger just


18:25

absolutely killed me and it was even


18:26

worse because tigress had two 2.92


18:29

expected goals in that game and cruz


18:31

azul only had 0.98 so


18:35

uh definitely outplayed and there could


18:37

be a little bit of a revenge factor here


18:38

for tigris


18:40

although they will be on the road for


18:41

this first leg


18:42

i have a best bet


18:44

that involves this game that we'll get


18:46

to at the end of it but first i want to


18:48

hear your lean


18:50

that's a that's a great take this this


18:52

match is intriguing uh for for me and


18:56

and like you say you look at the odds


18:58

both teams plus 170 the odds makers have


19:02

this match very very even and you can't


19:05

get any any uh more lined up than that


19:08

and and crucial


19:09

snuck into the playoffs and are probably


19:12

one of the most inconsistent sides in


19:13

league amex in my opinion


19:16

their keeper uh sebastian eurado i


19:19

watched the match last weekend he was


19:20

unreal in that first round against coxa


19:23

he was he was making saves that um you


19:26

know sometimes you don't even see in top


19:28

leagues in europe he he really was


19:30

stellar and he's the reason why


19:33

they were able to move on i i watched


19:35

most of the match and i and i think


19:36

cruises crucial probably should have won


19:38

three to one they had a couple very like


19:40

sitters almost very nice chances in the


19:43

second half


19:44

and uh you know they they simply just


19:47

missed it but uh they were able to move


19:48

on tigris our welcoming back andre uh


19:52

ginnok as you said the top scorer uh he


19:55

had some some muscle tear or muscle


19:57

strain and he missed out last match but


19:59

he'll he'll be in this match and


20:01

i honestly think this match this is a


20:03

pretty straightforward match in my


20:04

opinion i think it has the potential to


20:05

be a bore fest in my opinion and i also


20:08

have a top play in this match as well


20:10

all right looking forward to it um


20:12

so we're going to move on to our fourth


20:14

and final match of this quarterfinal


20:16

round


20:17

in liga mx


20:18

we got chivas the home team


20:20

taking on crosstown rival atlas


20:25

atlas is a team


20:26

they won their first modern title in


20:29

2021


20:31

in the fall and which which is the


20:33

apertura title


20:34

um


20:36

these guys are defensive oriented not


20:39

anything really fantastic offensively


20:41

but it seems like they they seem to find


20:43

the net when they really need to chivas


20:45

meanwhile last week stopped pumas at


20:48

home 4-1 that was my best bet last week


20:51

was cheapest minus 0.25 on the asian


20:54

handicap a lot of people didn't have it


20:56

so they just took money line didn't


20:57

matter 4-1 fantastic


21:01

they won their last five to end the


21:02

season


21:03

um they had four different players score


21:06

in that game last week and they're just


21:07

hot right now and and this team is gonna


21:09

be at their home stadium um and estadio


21:13

akron i think is the name of their


21:14

stadium um and i have a dog play for


21:17

this one but uh what do you think about


21:20

this one


21:21

great call on that best bet last weekend


21:23

i also was on this match as you as you


21:26

recall over 2.5 goals and they're just


21:28

strong at home they look great on sunday


21:31

however they will be without the


21:32

services of jesus and gullo for the


21:34

remainder of the playoffs that winger


21:36

because he uh he experienced a fibula


21:38

fracture so he's out for at least 12


21:41

weeks and um


21:43

with that being said they've won six out


21:45

of the last seven matches they're in top


21:47

form from a stat perspective chivas are


21:50

averaging two goals four and one point


21:52

two against at home and over the last


21:54

five really keep a clean sheet one on


21:56

the last five they kept a clean sheet


21:57

okay atlas on the other hand are strong


22:00

on the road averaging 1.8 goals four and


22:02

a meager 0.8 just under one goal against


22:06

yeah


22:07

i expect a tight matchup


22:09

although i do like the look of a few


22:11

goals here maybe maybe a couple and and


22:13

i have uh a dog play here


22:16

okay that that i'll mention here when


22:17

we're wrapping up


22:19

right on okay well uh


22:21

that is the


22:22

preview for the four matches we're gonna


22:24

go ahead and hop to the end of the show


22:26

now where we both give you our best bet


22:28

a dog play and then we'll end the show


22:30

with a parlay


22:32

so for my best bet i'm going to go back


22:34

to the third match that we discussed


22:36

and i'm going to take tigra's draw no


22:38

bet or pick them on the road here priced


22:40

at a minus 110


22:43

i pretty much already gave the rundown


22:45

why i like this tigress team so much


22:47

they've rotated a lot to end the season


22:49

you're going to get their best 11 here


22:51

this is not the same cruise as well team


22:53

in years past


22:55

and this is kind of the last rodeo for


22:57

for this tigress team they're they're


22:58

all you know a lot of the main guys are


23:00

in their 30s


23:01

this is the year that these guys need to


23:03

go do it and win it


23:04

um


23:05

and what an opportunity for these guys


23:07

so i think worst case scenario may be a


23:10

draw here which is why i feel good about


23:11

it um i they're not losing to cruz azul


23:14

and in my opinion i don't see them


23:16

losing to cruz's soul


23:18

so worst case scenario you get your


23:20

money back best case scenario they come


23:22

out and and they look sharp and and they


23:24

dominate and they expose cruz as well as


23:26

defensive issues


23:27

um


23:29

so yeah i feel really good about that


23:30

what's what's your best bet this week rj


23:33

yeah so i went back and forth on on my


23:35

best bet i do like both teams to score


23:38

here i even like i like a draw for that


23:40

matter but i i don't see


23:42

goal much in the way of goals like i


23:44

mentioned i think this is going to be a


23:46

boar fest for the majority of this game


23:48

i'm hopeful that because my best bet


23:50

here is under 2.25 goals at minus 110


23:53

and most that know me know i very rarely


23:55

take unders but i see this as a good


23:58

spot here in this match especially for


24:00

the first leg


24:02

yeah when you mention that i was a


24:03

little surprised because uh


24:05

but if rj's on and under he's on it for


24:07

a good reason so


24:08

that's uh probably probably a solid so


24:12

so uh i'll get into my dog play of the


24:14

week um which is gonna be i'm going back


24:17

to my team here i'm going back to my


24:19

chivas guadalajara


24:21

i'm going to take their first half team


24:23

total over a half so that just means


24:25

they need to score a goal in the first


24:26

half


24:27

that's priced at plus 145.


24:30

this is more of a gut feel than anything


24:32

um


24:33

to me


24:34

they're hot and and


24:36

i think they come out hot again in the


24:38

first half and i think the crowd gets


24:39

behind them and it's going to be a rowdy


24:42

atmosphere and


24:44

it is a derby like i said crosstown


24:46

rivals here so i think they come out and


24:48

they find a way to put one in the back


24:50

of the net


24:51

um


24:52

if uh


24:53

if atlas decides to do so too i'm sure


24:55

rj wouldn't mind


24:57

um


24:58

but that is my dog play for uh the


25:01

quarterfinal round how about you buddy


25:04

yeah my dog play is also in this match


25:06

uh we've aligned in that regard i i do


25:09

like both teams to score here the total


25:11

over two is minus 125. that was close to


25:13

being


25:14

a best bet for me but i think the safer


25:18

play at the value price of plus 105 is a


25:21

better play in my opinion so i'm going


25:23

both teams to score


25:25

i have no doubt uh to be honest that


25:27

that chivas will get one uh the question


25:30

the the question is you know will atlas


25:32

let's come in in that one and um with


25:34

chivas defensive


25:36

you know weakness at times i think i


25:39

think we'll see both teams to score here


25:41

yeah this this is the chivas team that


25:43

they actually grayed out well


25:44

analytically but when you watch them


25:46

play it seems like they're they're a


25:48

little sloppy it's like it's i don't


25:50

know if they're trying to get the ball


25:51

out and you know some of these teams


25:53

play out of the back that have no


25:54

business playing out of the back and


25:55

that that very well may be the case for


25:57

this guadalajara side um


26:00

so with that we're going to end the show


26:01

with the parlay if you watch the show


26:03

last week we hit a plus 9 55 banger


26:07

uh which was a whole lot of fun um i was


26:10

texting rj like


26:12

an excited little girl when that when


26:14

that second game ended up


26:16

getting tied two to two with like


26:18

six minutes of stoppage time left i was


26:20

so excited i was like that's


26:21

unbelievable um


26:23

but uh this week our parlay


26:26

uh we're gonna stick with that chivas


26:28

atlas match we're gonna use the first


26:30

half alternate total over a half


26:33

um so that that's by itself is priced at


26:35

like -167


26:36

so just for there to be a goal in the


26:38

first half of the chivas atlas game uh


26:40

it doesn't matter who scores it and then


26:42

we're going to combine that with pachuca


26:45

uh to score goal which is priced at -340


26:48

you combine those odds you get a nice


26:50

plus 106 price


26:52

we were talking about it before we went


26:54

live here


26:55

and um we both really liked that place


26:57

so


26:58

i'm looking forward to that one


27:01

yeah green hopefully we can we can


27:03

continue our success it would be nice to


27:06

to profit but uh if we can repeat what


27:08

we did last week that'd be


27:10

that'd be amazing


27:11

absolutely yeah we've got a uh


27:14

quite a bit of a playoff um


27:17

league mx soccer ahead of us


27:19

i know i'm super excited about it as as


27:21

you are as well


27:22

um


27:23

but with that let me just remind you


27:26

guys to make sure that you're checking


27:28

out the bet rivers podcast network on


27:30

youtube give them a follow on twitter


27:33

bet rivers itself they've got a lot of


27:35

fantastic bonuses the podcast team has


27:38

tons of content all the european leagues


27:41

are covered


27:42

[Music]


27:43

tons of good stuff these guys are


27:45

winning all the time so make sure you go


27:47

and subscribe to the channel below as


27:50

well while you're at it and hope we can


27:52

help you guys make some more money this


27:53

week


27:56

anything rj


27:58

no i just wish everybody good luck and


28:01

enjoy enjoy the matches tomorrow and


28:03

thursday


28:04

absolutely we'll see you guys


28:06

probably friday for the the second legs


28:09

thank you