Betting Weekly: Liga MX

Liga MX Predictions! [5/18/2022] Clausura Playoffs Semifinals - Liga MX Betting

May 18, 2022 BetRivers Network
Betting Weekly: Liga MX
Liga MX Predictions! [5/18/2022] Clausura Playoffs Semifinals - Liga MX Betting
Show Notes Transcript

Get your Liga MX predictions today [5/18/2022] from Betting Weekly™!  It's the first leg of the Clausura Playoff semi-finals. Cooper Cox and Ryan "RJ" Guertin break down the betting odds and matchups. There are great matchups in Club Atlas vs. Tigres UANL and Club America vs. CF Pachuca.

Get all of your Liga MX predictions and picks here each week from Betting Weekly™. Subscribe today so you don't miss a single episode.

00:00 Intros
00:28 Club Atlas vs Tigres UANL
07:54 Club America vs CF Pachuca
17:00 Picks of the week
18:00 Parlays of the week

Follow Cooper, RJ, and BetRivers Network on Twitter for more Liga Mx betting analysis and content:

🐣 Cooper Cox (@sportsprophet_) https://twitter.com/sportsprophet_
🐥 RJ (@rjg2386) http://twitter.com/rjg2386
🐣 BetRivers Network (@BRNPodcasts) https://twitter.com/BRNPodcasts

#CL2022  #ligamx #Clausura2022


0:02

podcast and prediction show brought to


0:04

you in association with bet rivers your


0:07

hometown sportsbook i'm cooper and my


0:10

co-host next to me is rj how you doing


0:12

buddy


0:13

doing great coop uh looking forward to


0:16

uh spinning off the next two matches


0:18

here i think this is our third week


0:20

doing this so i've really enjoyed it so


0:22

far and uh


0:23

hopefully all the viewers have as well


0:26

yeah third week this will be our


0:29

fourth show i believe


0:31

um ten four and two so far this season


0:35

uh we started doing the show when the


0:37

playoffs started so pretty great results


0:39

so far hoping to keep that rolling


0:42

we have um two matches we're to the


0:45

semifinals now we've got atlas tigress


0:49

club america and pachuca those are our


0:51

four teams remaining in liga mx


0:54

very very excited to get into these two


0:57

matches the first one starts wednesday


1:00

uh may 18th which will be today if


1:03

you're listening more than likely


1:07

you got atlas at home as a plus 160


1:09

favorite slight favorite tigress coming


1:12

in on the road as plus 190 the drop


1:14

price at plus 200.


1:17

so


1:19

i'm just going to be honest up front


1:21

here these are tough matches both of


1:23

these matches are tough


1:25

we're gonna give you guys the best


1:28

the best uh


1:29

read that we can on these and try to


1:31

give you an idea of how we think these


1:33

are gonna go


1:34

but


1:36

we only have two matches to work with


1:37

we're gonna do the best we can


1:39

we both did a lot of studying and have


1:40

some good information for you but i


1:42

wouldn't put the farm on on either of


1:44

these games basically is what i'm


1:45

getting at i just wanted to preface the


1:47

show with that


1:49

just so you guys


1:51

hopefully take a responsible approach


1:53

to these matches that's that's what rj


1:54

and i talked about before the show so


1:59

so


2:00

uh hopping right into this first one


2:01

here


2:02

atlas and tigris


2:04

i'll kind of give my take on it to begin


2:05

with


2:07

atlas got here they defeated chibas


2:09

their crosstown rival three to two on


2:11

aggregate


2:12

uh jeremy angel marquez


2:15

scored two goals in that first game


2:18

he's going to be out this game


2:20

um they're two stars julio ferch and


2:22

julian quinones their two strikers up


2:24

top have been held scoreless but the the


2:27

team is still playing well obviously


2:29

just for them to be at this point


2:30

there's not a lot to complain about


2:33

um


2:34

tigris meanwhile they got here on a


2:37

one-to-one aggregate advancement over


2:40

cruz azul and that advancement was based


2:42

on table position so the way these


2:45

playoffs work if you're the higher


2:46

ranked team there's no need to go to


2:48

extra time there's no need to go to


2:49

penalties because the tie has already


2:51

been settled in the playoffs if you're


2:53

the higher ranked team going into the


2:55

match-up


2:56

so that's how tigris got here


2:58

um


3:00

this was a really tough one this was a


3:02

really tough one to handicap


3:04

looking at some of the trends here the


3:06

last five have all gone under two and a


3:08

half and five of the last six both teams


3:11

of score has actually


3:13

cached


3:14

so that's a lot of one-to-ones


3:17

if you can do the math there with those


3:18

two


3:19

and


3:20

i'm not a big head to heads guy i'm not


3:22

a big trends guy but i'm going to keep


3:24

this one going in that direction i


3:26

actually think this game is probably one


3:28

to one


3:29

i don't think it goes i don't think it's


3:31

not i don't see two to two i don't see a


3:33

a goal fest by any means


3:35

i really think this game ends one to one


3:37

i think atlas finds a way to score at


3:39

home because they've been hot and and


3:41

also


3:42

going back to that table position


3:44

they're the third ranked team in league


3:46

of mex when you look at the table


3:47

tigress is number two on the table which


3:49

means they're going to kind of know like


3:51

we got to get something in the back of


3:52

the net at home here so they're not


3:54

going to be able to completely park the


3:55

bus they're going to have to take a


3:57

couple of risks and i think tigris will


3:58

probably find a way to score


4:00

i think alice will find a way to score


4:02

i would not have been on this


4:04

if it weren't for the injury news for


4:06

tigers


4:08

they looked all out of sorts last week


4:10

against cruz azole in that second leg


4:12

because they were they were missing some


4:14

guys


4:15

um


4:18

they've got two guys coming back here


4:19

you got niko lopez coming back he was a


4:21

depth player in attack he was on a red


4:24

card missed the last game the the


4:26

biggest news for the tigris camp is


4:29

florian fabine coming back he was


4:31

available off the bench last week which


4:33

was our last match against prison zoo in


4:35

the second leg that was a surprise to


4:37

see him even available


4:39

news coming out in the last couple of


4:41

days that he is going to be ready to go


4:44

hopefully to start


4:45

um against atlas


4:48

and that's huge because


4:50

we're used to seeing davine


4:52

zhinyak and quinones those three up top


4:55

without tha being it it just didn't look


4:58

right they looked stretched


4:59

the ball movement was funky people were


5:02

out of position trying to do too much


5:05

but he's going to be back


5:07

also i want to i want to mention one


5:10

player before we get to your take here


5:13

my star of the match for this last game


5:15

even though they lost zero to one was


5:17

jefferson soteldo came in around the


5:19

65th minute


5:21

and looked great like like he was the


5:23

piece that they were missing so if


5:26

anything i don't i don't see him


5:27

starting but it's a good


5:30

player to have an attack off the bench


5:32

if they need him hopefully he can can


5:34

help tigra score a goal if if they need


5:36

a little boost off the bench so i'm


5:38

taking my dog of the week here


5:41

uh atlas and tigris both teams of score


5:43

at a plus 110


5:45

i don't love goals but like i said


5:48

small slate i think this game is one to


5:50

one


5:52

yeah that is a great take um i i i


5:56

really enjoyed listening to you uh


5:58

explain about this game too because i


5:59

feel the same way coupe um


6:02

you know


6:03

the mat i i i to be to be frank with you


6:05

i i had a pretty busy weekend i didn't


6:07

really get a chance to watch the match i


6:09

did catch highlights of it


6:11

um and what i saw it was just a hard


6:13

hard fought match and low scoring as


6:15

expected i think i was on the under in


6:16

both matches yeah and you know i think


6:19

both both matches obviously obviously


6:21

hit um


6:23

they


6:23

they atlas barely survived against


6:25

chivas after the red in the second half


6:27

right of the last matchup and a late


6:29

goal from chivas gave them some hope you


6:32

know but ultimately they they fell short


6:34

and


6:36

like i said overall i watched the the


6:38

highlights i i wasn't overly impressed


6:40

there was like maybe one big chance from


6:42

each side i think uh


6:44

i think tigers rang the post once um


6:49

and you know what it was just


6:51

you know a tight kg match you know


6:53

between two teams that play that that


6:55

style of play now you know when you come


6:58

here


6:58

you know tigra slash match i'm just


7:00

looking quick they had 21 shots right


7:03

like that any mass tiger system they


7:05

just attack the net and just rip shots


7:07

from wherever the case may be and


7:10

and i don't know i i have mixed feelings


7:12

about this match um i don't see a lot of


7:15

goals either i like your both teams to


7:17

score look um


7:20

i think under 2.25 goals and minus 130


7:24

ish is is a decent lean for me yeah um


7:27

but with that juice and the potential of


7:30

you know maybe half win i'm


7:32

i'm not going to take any chances on


7:34

this match um i think you're going to


7:35

see a tight affair especially in round


7:38

one


7:39

um i think there's opportunity for for


7:41

potential for for a bigger


7:43

goal potential in round two with tigris


7:45

back at home and atlas on the road


7:47

um but for now i'm just i'm just sitting


7:50

on the sidelines and uh you know i'm


7:51

gonna root


7:52

and play the both teams just fall with


7:54

you on this one


7:55

yeah yeah so this is


7:58

really a strange situation because this


8:00

is one of the only games i've ever


8:01

looked at that i would almost


8:03

confidently say there's going to be


8:04

under two and a half goals


8:06

and i think both teams of score is going


8:07

to happen so


8:09

if you want to sprinkle that exact score


8:11

one to one i don't hate it


8:13

we are going to go back to this game at


8:15

the end of the show


8:17

using some of that information that we


8:19

just talked about to build a parlay with


8:22

but with that we will go to our second


8:24

semi-final match up


8:26

which is going to be


8:27

on thursday the 19th


8:29

club america the home team


8:32

at a minus 105 price tag pachuca coming


8:36

in on the road at plus 190 and the draw


8:38

is priced at a plus 300.


8:41

so


8:43

last week


8:45

america kind of let us down


8:47

um


8:49

you had them as your dog play as america


8:52

minus one


8:53

he was 3-1 late they were well in


8:55

control


8:56

97th stoppage time penalty to pueblo


9:00

ruins our uh


9:02

our dog play there ends up pushing that


9:05

was a great read probably deserved a


9:06

cash but that's what happens when you


9:08

bet soccer so


9:10

um it's just with sports that's part of


9:12

the reason why it's so fun when you went


9:13

because it's very it's hard to get right


9:15

sometimes so


9:17

um


9:18

america got here


9:20

they defeated pueblo


9:21

on an aggregate of four to three pachuca


9:23

meanwhile got here defeating atletico


9:25

san luis


9:26

both of those games were gold festivals


9:28

they beat them five to four on aggregate


9:31

this over under is at two and a half


9:33

even money to the over and minus 120 to


9:36

the under


9:38

so


9:41

this game you got america


9:43

they're undefeated in their last 10 here


9:45

ever since the coaching switch when


9:47

fernando ortiz


9:49

took up took over the reigns he's


9:50

supposed to be the intern coach he's


9:52

almost he's more than likely coaching


9:55

his way into a full-time position i mean


9:57

he's i hope so


9:59

he's come in and absolutely turned


10:00

things around last game henry martin


10:03

alejandra's day house and diego valdez


10:05

all three got on the score sheet and


10:08

those are three guys that you want on


10:09

the scoresheet those those are guys that


10:11

you need to be able to rely on and it's


10:13

good if you're a club america fan to see


10:15

those guys getting on the scoresheet


10:17

altogether


10:20

last head-to-head was actually pachucha


10:23

sorry pachuca winning 3-1 that was


10:26

before the coaching change it was early


10:27

in the season so


10:30

this club america team is a completely


10:31

different team at this point


10:34

uh so pachuca is going to have to


10:36

adjust and


10:39

basically adjust for for a whole


10:40

different opponent because this is not


10:41

going to be the same america team that


10:43

they that they defeated 3-1 early in the


10:45

season


10:47

pachuca


10:48

they've allowed 11 big chances in the


10:50

last three games so that's like


10:53

3.75 a game allowed in the last three


10:56

games


10:57

and


10:58

honestly look


11:00

this pachuca team has been really good


11:02

to me all season i i've even called them


11:05

a wagon at times that they've been very


11:07

very good to me


11:08

uh the overs have been good the team


11:10

totals have been good


11:11

i mean this this is the number one team


11:13

in league of mexican standings for a


11:14

reason they've been really good but


11:18

i almost have a feeling


11:20

and and we'll see what happens i almost


11:22

have a feeling that they're running out


11:23

of gas


11:24

that's just


11:26

how they look on the field that they


11:27

were very scattered against atletico san


11:30

luis of both games now give credit to


11:32

atletico san luis that's a it's a very


11:34

good offense and and they they caught


11:37

fire


11:38

you know last third of the season


11:39

themselves so it's not an easy team to


11:41

defend but pachuca looked like they were


11:44

on their heels even games that they were


11:46

winning the last couple games of the


11:48

season they're they're just


11:50

i don't know i mean they almost just


11:52

look gas they look a little bit


11:53

scattered


11:55

so um


11:57

i've got to lean to club america winning


12:00

this game at home


12:01

i mean they're the hottest team in the


12:02

league


12:04

pachuca looks like they've kind of shot


12:06

their wad a little bit


12:07

so


12:08

i do have a best bet for this game


12:10

i'm gonna take the second half to be the


12:12

highest scoring half at plus 105. that's


12:15

going to be my best bet


12:17

for this week


12:18

out of these two matches


12:21

i could see a goal first half more more


12:23

than likely i think it's probably going


12:25

to be another zero zero half time


12:28

this is cash and three of the four


12:30

combined for these two teams in in this


12:33

postseason so i think it could probably


12:36

maybe open up in the second half


12:38

um that's the direction i'm going with


12:41

this one what about you rj


12:44

yeah that's fair cooper i


12:47

i am really looking forward to this uh


12:49

this matchup


12:50

i'm expecting a thriller to be honest in


12:52

both legs here like you say america's


12:55

hot they've scored at least two goals


12:57

and three out of their last four


12:59

pachook has allowed at least two goals


13:00

and three out of uh three out of their


13:02

last four


13:03

and i i somewhat agree with you i i


13:06

think you know for the soccer fans out


13:08

there like atletico st luis remind me of


13:11

pax and hungary


13:13

you know they just they they have the


13:15

fire power they score consistently but


13:17

they just they can't seem to get it


13:19

together and they're honestly fine with


13:20

playing open matches i i think the coach


13:22

the staff they just enjoy


13:24

um an entertaining game and you know it


13:27

makes for for nice games for fans like


13:29

us


13:30

um and i think pachooka in in in a way


13:33

are the same um


13:36

i think their goals four and goals again


13:39

xg like whatever you want to look at are


13:42

are pretty sound but i think they're a


13:43

little misleading towards the end of the


13:45

year i i don't think they've they've had


13:47

the firepower they they they've had


13:49

especially in the beginning or middle of


13:50

the season


13:51

and i think america is going to expose


13:53

them and i think it's going to create a


13:55

match up


13:56

for pachuca like like once america in my


13:58

opinion takes a lead


14:00

uh it's gonna open the match up right


14:02

pachuca's going back home but america on


14:04

the road have been very tough very sound


14:08

um and and here's what i think so so


14:10

america's got uh averaging around 2.2


14:12

goals four and just point four goals


14:15

against right so i think they've had


14:17

clean sheets in four out of their last


14:19

five four matches


14:21

i think pachuca will likely find the net


14:23

though and i think both teams to score


14:24

is actually not a bad look here


14:26

um


14:28

i'm not sure the exact price on that


14:31

to be honest with you but um


14:33

i think i think it was around uh a round


14:36

of minus 120 i want to say


14:39

yeah yep that's what it's at right now


14:41

minus 118. so i think that's not too bad


14:44

and


14:45

pachucar on the other hand they they


14:47

have 1.6 goals for 1.6 against over the


14:49

last five so just under two so open


14:52

matches you know goals are pretty pretty


14:53

prevalent lately


14:55

and you know i'm gonna keep it simple


14:56

here like i said i'm really looking


14:58

forward to this matchup my best bet this


15:00

week is club america team total over 1.5


15:04

at plus 110.


15:05

um i i think they get on the board twice


15:08

here and and to be honest with you i


15:11

also have a dog


15:12

in this match right so i'm sticking both


15:14

my plays in in one basket so to speak


15:16

and i'm gonna roll with the over 2.5


15:18

goals at plus 107. okay um and it's just


15:22

simple i'm not trying to overthink the


15:23

match i expect and then action


15:26

i think both sides will will be


15:28

aggressive here and um


15:30

like you said


15:31

club america giving up the 96 minute pk


15:34

was was pretty tough but uh short memory


15:37

right we move on yeah and um i expect a


15:40

similar match like that to be honest so


15:42

yeah


15:43

there was uh


15:45

there was a lot of craziness for for


15:47

lack of a better term this last week


15:49

with the questionable red card and


15:51

tigris and the cruz azul match


15:53

the crazy late goals and the pachuca


15:56

matches


15:57

um


15:58

it it was exciting i'll i'll give you


16:00

that a little bit frustrating for us


16:03

because of the way that


16:06

you know our selections were were laid


16:08

out we


16:09

you you kind of got


16:11

a bad beat on your on your dog with


16:13

america minus one i had pachuca


16:15

moneyline plus the under four and a half


16:18

they're up 2-1 second half


16:22

miss a penalty


16:25

give up a 93rd minute goal to make it


16:27

two to two and then


16:29

last second


16:30

like hail mary they scored a win three


16:32

to two so pachuca wins the under four


16:34

and a half you know out the window but


16:37

yeah again that is how betting footy


16:40

goes sometimes so


16:42

um


16:44

yeah um i really like your team total


16:47

play here um i like what you said about


16:50

once america finds the back of the net


16:52

pachook is going to have to open up a


16:54

little bit i could see 2-0 i i think


16:56

pachuca they're a great offense so


16:58

obviously they have they have a chance


16:59

to contribute i can even see 3-0 here so


17:03

um hopefully pachuca helps out with


17:06

my second half being the highest scoring


17:08

half


17:09

and uh with your total so


17:11

um


17:13

with that we're going to move along to


17:15

the end of the show


17:16

where


17:17

we will go to


17:19

we will review our dog plays and our


17:22

best bets and then we'll hit you guys up


17:24

with a parlay


17:25

um so for my


17:27

uh dog play this week i'm on both teams


17:29

to score for atlas and tigris for my


17:31

best bet


17:33

i am on


17:35

um club america and pachuca


17:38

highest scoring half in the second half


17:42

yeah my my best bet this week i mean


17:44

both these bets are dog plays club


17:46

america team total over 1.5 at plus 110


17:50

and my official dog play is club america


17:53

um just over 2.5 goals total between


17:56

both sides and my thought process behind


17:59

that was it's a tough week as you said i


18:01

think it's it's it's challenging to find


18:03

plays when when you have two matches and


18:06

i think


18:07

uh my


18:09

in the best interest of bettors i think


18:10

if we i think we have a very good chance


18:12

of hitting club america team total right


18:14

and even if the total were to fall short


18:16

you'd still profit a very small amount


18:18

but we'd still have profit so that was


18:20

kind of my my thought process behind my


18:22

bets this week i like that um


18:25

so


18:26

with that we'll move along to our parlay


18:29

remember we did hit a plus 950 parlay to


18:32

start the postseason show so we'll see


18:33

if we can


18:35

uh


18:36

maybe cook up some similar magic here


18:38

we're gonna go with tigress and and um


18:42

atlas


18:43

we're gonna take the draw and we're


18:45

gonna combine that with club america


18:47

moneyline for around plus 500 odds there


18:50

do not go crazy here a third of a unit


18:53

is more than enough uh let the odds do


18:55

the work for you


18:57

but


18:58

um that's pretty much this week's


19:01

semi-final ligamex show so let me just


19:04

remind you guys to make sure that you


19:05

subscribe


19:06

make sure that you guys are tuning in to


19:09

all the all the europe shows


19:11

uh we're reviewing multiple sports now


19:14

and everyone's really been


19:16

uh cranking out a lot of a lot of good


19:18

stuff a lot of winners so


19:20

um


19:21

that's going to do it for us and rj if


19:23

you have anything else go ahead


19:26

no i just uh i just will say appreciate


19:29

the support everyone who's reached out


19:30

to us on twitter and you know had had


19:32

good things to say um you know we do


19:35

this uh we spend extra time a out of our


19:37

day to come up with these picks and uh


19:39

we appreciate the support so so thank


19:41

you everyone who's shown support


19:43

absolutely


19:45

you guys


19:46

all right take care