Betting Weekly: Liga MX

Liga MX Clausura Final Leg 1 [5/26/2022] - Club Atlas vs CF Pachuca - Liga MX betting

May 26, 2022 BetRivers Network
Betting Weekly: Liga MX
Liga MX Clausura Final Leg 1 [5/26/2022] - Club Atlas vs CF Pachuca - Liga MX betting
Show Notes Transcript

The Liga MX Clausura Finals, leg 1 is this week! Join Cooper Cox and Ryan "RJ" Guertin as they break down the betting odds and matchups. Atlas looks to win its second title in as many years. Pachuca is looking to get its first title since 2016 and will hope their defense holds up. 

00:00 The road to the final: Atlas v Pachuca
03:54 Best bet for Leg 1
06:50 Dog play of the game

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#CL2022  #ligamx #Clausura2022

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Enjoy the new Liga MX soccer betting podcast from BetRivers Network! Your hosts  Cooper Cox and Ryan "RJ" Guertin break down Liga picks and predictions each week, analyzing all of the betting odds and matchups. Liga MX is regarded as the strongest in North America, and among the strongest soccer leagues in all of the Americas. In each episode, you'll hear soccer betting analysis about clubs like  América (which has won the title 13 times), along with perennial fan favorites like Guadalajara, Toluca, Cruz Azul, and León. There's plenty of soccer betting action for much of the year, thanks to the fact that Liga MX crowns two champions per season. The league opens with the apertura tournament, which runs from July to December, and then ends with the Clausura tournament, which lasts from January to May. Our experts weigh all of the factors that play into each fixture, helping you find soccer betting value no matter the season. You'll hear in-depth discussions on top Liga MX players and come away with a deeper understanding of each team's strengths and weaknesses. If you love Liga MX betting, you'll love the Betting Weekly: Liga MX podcast on The BetRivers Network! On the BetRivers Network, you'll find more sports betting podcasts from top names in sports, like Mike Francesa, Bobby Valentine, Nigel Seeley, and Jimmy Ott. Listen today for the best sports betting picks, predictions, and analysis anywhere!

hello and welcome to the ligamex


0:02

podcast and prediction show brought to


0:04

you in association with bet rivers your


0:07

hometown sportsbook


0:09

it is uh it's finals week here in league


0:12

mx we're going to be discussing leg 1 of


0:14

the classura final


0:16

between atlas and pachuca i'm your host


0:19

cooper and


0:20

next to me is my co-host rj how you


0:22

doing buddy


0:23

well great coupe ready for the finals


0:25

here ready to kick it off with the last


0:27

two matches and


0:29

i think we got a good match ahead of us


0:30

i think we should see an entertaining


0:32

game and uh


0:34

close out these playoffs


0:35

yeah man i'm i'm looking forward to this


0:37

one it's uh it's a little bit of a


0:39

tricky one


0:40

uh i'll talk about how we got here


0:42

briefly um


0:44

so


0:46

the home team for this for this first


0:47

leg is going to be atlas uh has a plus


0:49

180


0:51

uh not quite a favorite uh pachuca on


0:54

the road is a plus 185


0:57

kind of pick em kind of slight dog and


0:58

then the draw is at a plus one seventy


1:00

um


1:02

atlas got here


1:04

by way of defeating tigris five to four


1:06

in what was quite the barn burner


1:08

between those two legs


1:11

uh and pachuca got here


1:13

um defeating club america four to one


1:16

the second leg was pretty dominant um


1:19

pretty impressive showing from pachuca


1:21

to be honest


1:22

especially that second leg


1:25

but uh we we've got a good match here um


1:28

atlas is going for their second title in


1:30

two seasons


1:31

so that is a storyline to keep an eye on


1:33

this first flag of course is going to be


1:35

at


1:36

estadio jalisco in guadalajara


1:39

very tough place to play that you know


1:40

they've


1:42

totally dominate at home usually they


1:44

even beat their crosstown rivals in the


1:46

playoffs at that stadium so


1:48

definitely a strength for this atlas


1:50

club to be playing at home


1:52

um but we've got it's just one match so


1:55

between rj and i we have put our heads


1:57

together and we've decided that we're


1:58

gonna have one best bet and one dog play


2:01

here for this finals first leg


2:04

um i'm gonna send it over to rj he's


2:06

gonna get us started with what our best


2:08

bet is going to be for this first leg of


2:10

the final


2:12

yeah thanks coop


2:13

so just a as cooper said you know alice


2:15

is going for a back-to-back titles uh


2:18

after their 70-year drought right so


2:20

that would be pretty impressive if they


2:21

could do that


2:22

and you know in terms of a style of play


2:25

as we talked about atlas is pretty


2:26

comfortable with defending and


2:28

protecting their net uh obviously


2:30

doesn't make for the most entertaining


2:31

style


2:33

of play in their 532 system but i don't


2:36

know if anybody's noticed in the


2:37

playoffs they've switched up their


2:38

formation a bit and they've sent their


2:40

uh their fullback louis reyes into more


2:43

of a central type defender role so it's


2:45

kind of confused


2:46

confused teams and i think it's kind of


2:48

changed their uh their outcomes from


2:50

what we're used to seeing a bit as we


2:52

saw you know um


2:54

crazy second half uh uh on saturday


2:57

against tigris where it was uh four to


2:58

two


2:59

wild game um


3:01

anyways you know


3:03

they were shocked by that four goal


3:04

rally and i think it's a bit of a


3:06

wake-up call for them i'm not sure how


3:07

they're going to come out in formation


3:08

but as usual they're going to rely on


3:11

their two uh to attack minded forwards


3:13

right there the julian cannones and and


3:16

ferch


3:17

um up top and i i think


3:19

you know they'll be able to break


3:21

through and i think they'll probably


3:22

break through first to be truthful with


3:24

you i think we will see some goals here


3:26

uh in pachuca looking for their first


3:28

title since 2016


3:30

um you know they've uh they've had


3:35

future talent come out of there right


3:36

lozano came out of there back then and i


3:38

think they have a bunch of young academy


3:40

players that have stepped up with uh not


3:43

a ton of experience at the big leagues


3:44

but


3:45

very very promising stars uh they


3:47

handled pachuca


3:49

fairly easily for one aggregate the


3:51

semis


3:52

which they look basically mid-season


3:54

form they're very dominant


3:56

uh the formation they play is a 4231


3:58

which is a very attack minded creating


4:00

chances through the wings uh from the


4:02

outside you know they do a lot of


4:04

through balls


4:05

which uh you know ivanya's


4:07

netted a couple over the in the playoffs


4:09

their leading scorer necklace of banyas


4:10

so


4:11

i think defensively they're a bit shaky


4:14

um they always have been that they have


4:16

a difficult time defending through balls


4:18

and crosses like that so it's


4:19

interesting to see um how this match


4:22

will play out but to get to the


4:24

the best bet for us uh we both agree and


4:27

think that both teams to score


4:29

is is gonna be uh a good play here um i


4:33

know


4:34

and i we know like leg one of playoffs


4:37

can be kg cautious


4:40

but


4:41

the way we've seen teams play so far in


4:43

the playoffs they're both in red hot


4:46

form they both have shown


4:47

vulnerabilities although pachuca last


4:49

match


4:50

i mean america didn't really convert


4:51

many of their opportunities they didn't


4:53

really have many but atlas will at home


4:55

atlas are very strong and both keeps the


4:57

score we we really love here in the


4:58

first leg tonight


5:00

yeah yeah so uh you know we we both kind


5:03

of sat down and looked at this one


5:04

together and


5:06

uh like you said first leg of of you


5:09

know


5:10

of a final is


5:11

always has the potential to be kg uh the


5:14

total would even suggest that the the


5:16

total is set at two


5:17

you know plus money to the over minus


5:19

125-ish to the under so that's what the


5:22

total is also suggesting so we're kind


5:24

of going against


5:25

vegas here with with this one with with


5:28

our train of thought


5:29

um and i think it's justified because


5:32

um i look i understand how atlas is a


5:35

defensive club it's a final this game is


5:37

going to be in guadalajara atlas going


5:39

to be the home team so i understand


5:42

why the line is set where it is


5:44

but


5:45

i don't think there's any other way


5:47

that i see this one going the chances


5:50

happening


5:51

based off what we've seen the last few


5:52

weeks and and and


5:54

you know pachuca


5:57

my initial gut feeling when i looked at


5:59

this one


6:00

was that pachuca may struggle to break


6:03

down atlas because they like to they


6:06

like to be the ones countering they like


6:08

to be the ones that


6:09

hit you on the run but i went back and i


6:11

looked at the previous head-to-head


6:13

between these two


6:15

uh pachuca won the game


6:17

1-0 the game was in guadalajara uh they


6:20

created 26 shots seven on target and


6:23

they created five big chances they


6:25

missed four of them but they created


6:27

five big chances their expected goal


6:28

total was over two in in that match so


6:32

um you know


6:35

based on those stats that really


6:36

wouldn't be the case that they had any


6:38

trouble at all breaking down atlas so


6:41

you know take what you will that was a


6:42

regular season game could be a little


6:44

bit different here but i do think


6:46

pachuca has the firepower enough to uh


6:49

to find the back of the net obviously we


6:51

feel good about atlas with with their


6:53

young strikers you know quinones in


6:55

first like you mentioned probably


6:57

figuring out a way to find the back of


6:58

the net as well at home


7:01

um this is going to be a really cool


7:02

matchup just tactically to see you know


7:06

how they come out how they match up


7:09

what is the final


7:11

you know what is the final do to to the


7:13

tactics and to each team's approach but


7:16

um yeah it's going to be interesting and


7:18

then our dog play is going to be


7:21

uh kind of a similar feel to to to our


7:24

best bet you want to you want to take


7:27

the lead on on our dog play this week


7:30

yeah i can do that so we're rolling with


7:32

uh over two at plus 105 right we like


7:35

both teams to score


7:37

and i think it's just justified that we


7:39

we go with over two here at a dog price


7:41

at a plus 105


7:43

and you know again we we see at least


7:46

two goals here we anticipate both teams


7:48

to score


7:49

uh obviously that's our that's our


7:51

judgment that's our best opinion we've


7:52

have a we've had a strong playoff so far


7:54

in our predictions it's a difficult


7:56

thing to to do especially in the


7:58

playoffs


7:59

to be honest i haven't really looked at


8:00

stats uh much the last couple legs


8:02

because when we're in the playoffs you


8:04

know do or die


8:06

you kind of


8:08

don't really have to consider that as


8:09

strongly as you would in the regular


8:10

season in my opinion and somebody might


8:12

say to us well look at the last five


8:14

head to heads the away team has won


8:17

one nothing in the last four and then


8:18

the the one prior to that


8:23

or in 2022 where in june of 2020 or may


8:26

of 2022 we're not worried about the past


8:28

uh visits between these teams and we got


8:31

two strong


8:32

sides in red hot form clearly they're in


8:34

the finals for a reason they've been


8:36

able to put the ball on the back of the


8:37

net they've conceded for the most part


8:39

while doing so and it's it's pretty


8:41

straightforward just over two uh plus


8:44

105 and both teams of scores is our uh


8:46

in our opinion on the best plays tonight


8:49

yeah yeah i i have to agree with you


8:51

there with with most of your analysis


8:54

you don't necessarily want to handicap


8:57

today's game on on on historical


9:00

head-to-heads because teams change


9:02

personnel changes


9:03

you know style of play changes


9:06

and i think


9:07

you know regardless of where the total


9:09

is being set for this one i actually


9:10

think we have a pretty good chance


9:12

hopefully of some fireworks obviously


9:14

we're on goals both teams score we want


9:16

over two here so goals would be


9:19

a lot of fun


9:21

and you just look at


9:22

you look at the offensive output here


9:24

it's


9:26

you know atlas has scored


9:28

uh two three two and and one goal so so


9:31

they've gotten on the score sheet you


9:33

know even dating back to the regular


9:34

season you know they scored four four


9:36

goals against toluca in the season so


9:39

their offense has caught fire


9:41

uh pachuca is the number one expected


9:43

goal team in league mx


9:46

throughout the regular season and the


9:47

playoffs so their output has has not


9:49

slowed down at all


9:50

so


9:52

this is this is going to be a little bit


9:53

of a change of pace for this league to


9:55

have just two red hat offenses


9:58

matching up in in the final here to see


10:00

who the champions are but it should be a


10:02

fun one and um with that it's gonna it


10:06

was a short show this week it was a


10:07

little bit


10:09

uh delayed we had to record it a little


10:10

bit later because of some family


10:12

circumstances on my end


10:14

uh but we got the show done and got you


10:17

guys two


10:18

good looks that rj and i will both be on


10:21

ourselves


10:23

and uh with that that's that's gonna do


10:25

it anything for you rj


10:27

no i'm just uh really much looking


10:29

forward to the match tonight and like


10:31

you say hopefully we see some fireworks


10:32

and ideally a first half goal to uh to


10:35

get us off and running


10:36

that would be fantastic absolutely


10:38

so uh before before we let you guys go i


10:41

just want to remind you guys to


10:42

subscribe to the bet rivers podcast


10:44

channel subscribe to bet rivers on


10:46

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10:47

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10:48

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people are uh


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kind of kind of checking us out and and


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11:00

some money so that's that's what it's


11:02

all about guys uh best of luck to


11:04

to all your all your wagers and um


11:08

hope we can uh help you guys


11:10

have the uh pad the old bankroll


11:32

you