Betting Weekly: Liga MX

Liga MX Apertura Betting Picks for Matchday 3, including Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa and more!

July 14, 2022 BetRivers Network
Betting Weekly: Liga MX
Liga MX Apertura Betting Picks for Matchday 3, including Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa and more!
Show Notes Transcript

Check out Liga MX betting picks for the 2022 Apertura Tournament. Matchday 3 includes Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa, Atletico San Luis vs. Monterrey, and more. Join Cooper Cox and Ryan "RJ" Guertin as they break down the betting odds on Betting Weekly: Liga MX!

Get all of your Liga MX predictions and picks here each week from Betting Weekly™. Subscribe today so you don't miss a single episode.

you're watching betting weekly on the


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bet rivers network


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welcome in everybody to the liga mx


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podcast presented in association with


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bet rivers your hometown sportsbook i'm


0:12

cooper and this is my co-host r.j


0:14

and this is podcast number three


0:16

um for the league mx aputure season 2022


0:21

uh looking forward to uh discussing a


0:23

couple of games for you guys getting a


0:25

couple of winners hopefully and um


0:27

catching up on some news and i'm just


0:30

having a good good time talking about


0:32

some mexican soccer


0:35

yes sir yeah looking forward to it coop


0:37

um


0:38

you know first couple weeks have been


0:40

kind of spotty um you know kind of as


0:42

expected being of seasons no matter what


0:45

league what country


0:46

um can be a bit inconsistent um but


0:50

starting to see some things you know


0:51

it's only been two weeks we're starting


0:52

to see some things align


0:54

some teams to target some teams to avoid


0:56

um so hopefully with that being said we


0:59

can


0:59

deliver deliver some awareness and


1:01

profit this weekend and um


1:04

i think everybody will be happy with


1:05

that right so that's that's the name of


1:06

the game trying to find some profit here


1:08

and uh we've got a few plays we like so


1:10

looking forward to talking about them


1:12

absolutely and you know just just full


1:14

transparency that this is a long season


1:16

we we've booked two shows so far


1:19

um the first week


1:21

uh didn't go so well i think i think we


1:23

were one in three we were both


1:25

backing chivas to uh to score some goals


1:28

and they created a ton of big chances


1:30

didn't happen for us last week was was a


1:32

one and two we had three plays but our


1:35

one play that won


1:36

uh you know we designated that as kind


1:38

of the big show play for last week so


1:41

really should have been a break even


1:42

worst case scenario for last week's show


1:44

so we're really not too far behind


1:47

uh had had a lot of success last season


1:49

in the playoffs so we feel good there's


1:51

a lot of weeks ahead a lot of


1:52

opportunities as the season goes on and


1:55

rj is a is a statistics guy so the more


1:58

stats the better for rj


2:00

um so we you know we're optimistic about


2:03

about this season and um


2:05

we're ready to uh get into it today um


2:08

you got one player two


2:10

i have two


2:12

okay you


2:13

you want to start us off yeah i'll kick


2:15

us off and i just want to touch a quick


2:17

quick moment on what you just said about


2:19

you know being in a season um you know


2:22

twitter in general it doesn't matter


2:24

where you look like you know i always


2:26

see people like excited to see new


2:28

leagues which of course i i am too you


2:29

see germany bundesliga serbia slovakia


2:33

like all the leagues european leagues


2:34

are starting back up this weekend and


2:37

you know i just advise caution with


2:39

people like you no matter who you tail


2:41

or who you think may know but the


2:43

transfer window week one after a two


2:46

month layoff


2:47

it's a wild card right you may not know


2:49

just because hamburger and bundesliga 2


2:51

were like scored 70 goals last year


2:53

you're like oh i can't wait to take the


2:55

over again but i'm just saying advise


2:57

caution um


2:59

you never know what to expect the first


3:01

first few weeks so if you're the type of


3:04

person that loves action and you you're


3:06

not betting as an investment you're


3:07

betting for action that's a different


3:09

story but the way we try to approach the


3:11

betting uh world is with an investment


3:14

strategy right to


3:16

idea of trying to make money slow it's


3:18

not going to happen overnight um


3:20

so just i just wanted to throw that out


3:22

there um with a lot of new leagues


3:24

starting up i know people are itchy to


3:26

to bet the germany leagues and the


3:28

england lower leagues or england premier


3:29

but just


3:31

just take it easy um i i'd advise


3:34

yeah and that that's that's great


3:35

insight we're all eager you know to get


3:38

some of the big leagues started again


3:39

but just try to be selective and pick


3:41

your spots you know for for the first


3:43

week or so watch you know try to just


3:46

sit back what i do is i sit back and i


3:48

watch as many games as i possibly can


3:49

and get to get to know new rosters new


3:51

tactics and then you feel a little bit


3:53

more comfortable maybe betting betting a


3:55

handful of games two three weeks down


3:57

the road


3:59

but yes sir


4:01

but yeah you know that being said i'll


4:02

get into the first play uh but both my


4:04

plays are on sunday this weekend so


4:07

i'm going to pumas versus nakaxa


4:11

um i


4:13

you know the the first first couple


4:15

games of the of this tournament i mean


4:17

there's one thing's been clear pumas um


4:20

are are an open side they have two


4:24

strong forwards from argentina that seem


4:26

to be gelling well together in um


4:29

in danino and del priete uh right they


4:31

got salvia from


4:33

i believe uh


4:35

uh


4:36

estudiantes in argentina i could be


4:39

wrong there but they they grabbed our


4:41

bokeh yeah from boca from boca um and


4:44

you know they're


4:45

you know the three guys seem to be


4:47

lining up they're getting in the lineup


4:49

they played week one um


4:51

they played a bit last week so


4:54

i think you're to start seeing them gel


4:56

right i think they must have some


4:57

history together but i think whatever


4:58

they do that it looks good on the field


5:00

they're gelling well together they


5:02

haven't won um you know i think they won


5:05

once at home recently but but they've


5:08

been kind of inconsistent overall they


5:09

played a coxa who you know took on


5:12

kyotaro last week uh won two to one


5:15

not not a very special match but uh


5:17

they've they've shown some strong um


5:20

performances early so far this season


5:22

it's only been two matches like i said


5:24

but i like both teams to score here


5:26

right it's straight to the point really


5:27

not a statistical play it's just what


5:29

i've seen on film um more of what i


5:32

think


5:32

could be expected here again so i'm on


5:34

both teams to score at -120


5:37

matches on sunday at 1 pm eastern time


5:40

one day i'll add one of the reasons why


5:41

i do like it too pumas played a friendly


5:44

yesterday against celta vigo um


5:46

scheduling's interesting um


5:49

with you know four or five days off


5:52

i think they'll be rested but i think


5:54

we'll see both teams to score the cox


5:56

are coming off a win should be riding


5:58

high


5:59

pumas


6:00

yet to yet to record a victory yet so


6:03

far in this tournament um should be


6:04

eager so both teams scores likely in my


6:07

opinion minus 120 is the play officially


6:10

yeah you know what man i this is almost


6:13

an auto play for pumas at this point you


6:16

you get a decently affordable price


6:18

it's almost an auto play because this


6:20

puma's defense


6:22

might again i mean they were almost the


6:24

worst defense in the league last season


6:26

and they might be the worst defense


6:28

again


6:29

um of course and then like you mentioned


6:32

with the addition of del priete um


6:35

and the uh the the other uh argentina


6:38

player salvio


6:40

that's not a coincidence because those


6:42

three guys up top are all from argentina


6:44

so you obviously could see dino getting


6:46

the guys he wants and they look great


6:48

man they they look fantastic in attack


6:51

salvio comes in last week against leon


6:53

scores a goal right off the bat he's


6:55

providing service from the wing i mean


6:57

um those three guys


6:59

this team reminds me of of atlanta


7:03

united for major league soccer because


7:04

they're super talented in attack and


7:06

they just have no defense whatsoever


7:08

so


7:09

um


7:10

really hard to argue with this and then


7:12

for uh for nakaxa


7:14

you know this isn't a team that that i


7:16

love it's not a team that i've been on a


7:18

lot last year but they still have milton


7:19

a minute as they're numbered


7:22

and if you got milton jennings on the


7:23

field against puma's back line even on


7:26

the road he can probably make you pay


7:29

um until puma shows anything


7:32

different tactically


7:34

with with their approach to to a


7:36

football game


7:38

this is almost an auto play and


7:41

i'll just kind of carry this over into


7:43

my first play because it's going to be


7:44

on the same game


7:46

um


7:47

i do like that look rj


7:49

so for my first play


7:51

i'm going to take puma's team total over


7:54

one and a half at plus 136.


7:57

i just i couldn't resist this price tag


7:59

pre-match


8:01

um like we touched on a little bit dino


8:03

del priete and salvio those three guys


8:05

up top look great still have diogo off


8:07

the bench if you need them


8:09

um just


8:10

to me to me


8:12

i texted you the other day i've seen him


8:14

play two times i said


8:16

puma's offense is going to be a wagon


8:18

for us this year they're going to make


8:19

us money they're going to score goals


8:22

they look elite i mean they they look


8:24

like a easily a top five


8:27

attack in liga mx


8:29

potentially even better i mean i don't


8:31

know how long dino stays with pumas to


8:33

be honest


8:34

um i mean he already got a lot of a lot


8:37

of discussion during the transfer window


8:40

um


8:41

they're either going to have to cough up


8:42

a big check for him or he's going to go


8:45

play in europe somewhere or


8:47

um


8:48

you know maybe maybe a big club in south


8:50

america i don't know but he's really


8:52

good he's getting service now


8:55

from from all over the field


8:57

um


8:58

yeah so really like this spot here


9:01

um i do want to credit


9:03

nicaxa


9:05

um so they were tied for eight best and


9:08

expected goals allowed last season


9:10

defensively so this is a side that's


9:12

going to be compact


9:14

especially on the road they're going to


9:15

try to counter you


9:18

but


9:20

i i just think that this is a


9:22

disrespectful price to the puma's


9:24

offense and and i don't usually like


9:26

call out these odds makers for being way


9:29

off because they rarely are way off and


9:32

we have to pick our spots but i think


9:34

that they're off here i think early in


9:35

the season they haven't adjusted to to


9:37

how potent this this pumas team is


9:40

on the ball and i think that they have


9:42

more than enough quality if nicax is


9:45

going to just sit back and and make them


9:46

play small ball and work their way


9:48

through i think pumas potentially can


9:50

have a field day so


9:52

um


9:54

yeah really like the spot


9:55

um


9:58

yeah what what do you got about this one


10:00

yeah i i agree i agree especially at


10:03

that price um


10:04

i i i anticipate both teams to score and


10:07

and you know i wouldn't be surprised to


10:09

see


10:11

pumas get on track with their first win


10:13

of the of the tournament here like i


10:15

said they'll be eager they'll be hungry


10:18

they put up three against leon i mean


10:19

leon got a red card


10:21

um and they still put up three against


10:23

pumas right but it just goes to show you


10:25

the


10:26

the


10:28

you know you never know right i think


10:29

cards are pretty prevalent as we saw


10:31

last night in club america cards are


10:32

prevalent in this league um


10:35

wild card at times


10:37

but


10:38

the fact of the matter is


10:40

pumas is is very eager and at that price


10:42

i think this is certainly


10:44

worth attacking against the coxa side


10:46

who


10:47

aren't


10:48

you know great at defense either right


10:50

there they they certainly


10:52

conceded four goals in the two matches


10:55

um


10:56

and taluka put up you know put up put up


10:58

three against them week one um so yeah i


11:01

i like this play a lot


11:03

fantastic but what do you got for your


11:04

second play


11:06

so my second play is also sunday it's 6


11:08

p.m eastern time


11:10

and i'm taking


11:12

athletico st louise versus monterey


11:15

both teams will score as well here minus


11:17

112.


11:18

um


11:20

not much else uh to discuss here other


11:23

than the fact that monterey


11:25

you know and i'm not basing i'm not


11:27

basing this on okay monterey played


11:29

santos laguna four to three monterey at


11:31

home took on club america it was an


11:33

extremely difficult side to crack you


11:35

know nonetheless won three to two


11:37

against them fairly entertaining game


11:39

they always have kind of


11:40

the matches are either dull or they're


11:42

shootouts right between those two um


11:45

and


11:46

at st louise


11:47

again they're one of the more


11:49

inconsistent teams i said it earlier in


11:50

the i think the week one i'll say it


11:53

again now especially at home


11:55

their matches are pretty pretty open


11:57

pretty wild i'll say and


12:00

again back cheapest week one i expected


12:02

them to do well they got two goals


12:03

reversed what are you gonna do uh they


12:05

played


12:06

uh chivas atletico scene louise played


12:09

cheapest last week i liked chivas to uh


12:11

to take st louise stanley's you know won


12:14

the match right with 36


12:16

36 possession one shot on goal was a


12:19

goal


12:20

chivas had 19 shots four on goal then


12:23

it's they didn't have to what net wants


12:24

so they're they're not efficient at all


12:26

xg is pretty garbage at this point um


12:29

but st louise


12:30

what i'm saying is they're efficient


12:32

right and and they do find the back of


12:33

the net they're they have you know they


12:35

have the talent


12:36

um and and i think you know with with


12:40

monterey's firepower it's going to cause


12:42

an open match you know and i just it's


12:45

plain as that right there's no


12:46

statistics here it's more of what i


12:48

expect again early in the season i think


12:50

both teams to score at minus 112


12:53

because saint louis is at home


12:55

especially um for my second play this


12:58

weekend


12:59

yeah i think that's a good approach here


13:01

um i'm more comfortable with this play


13:03

given atletico san luis being the home


13:06

side


13:07

they just seem to find the back of the


13:08

net at home you know even


13:11

even with um


13:13

you know even with the departure of


13:15

their


13:16

you know their striker uh


13:18

berta rame yeah um even with him leaving


13:22

um this team still has not changed their


13:26

style of play


13:27

so they still play the same exact


13:30

type type of uh you know type of game


13:33

very open especially at home they're


13:34

going to let it rip


13:36

monterey


13:37

has been obviously a juggernaut


13:39

offensively so far this year which which


13:41

is always fun they've always had the


13:43

talent they've always spent a lot of


13:45

money on on big players uh that that


13:48

pairing specifically for monterey uh


13:50

rodrigo uh aguero


13:53

and uh and funis mori at the top looks


13:56

really great to start the year um


13:58

but so they've


14:00

scored six goals and they've allowed six


14:03

goals


14:04

um


14:05

i think there's no way we don't get at


14:07

least an open game with chances here in


14:10

in san luis


14:12

and


14:13

definitely comfortable with backing san


14:15

luis to to score on on their home pitch


14:18

yeah and i think early in the season you


14:20

know you'll i'll probably toss out more


14:22

both teams to score than i than i


14:24

normally would um i you know money lines


14:26

and sides i tend to tend to avoid but i


14:29

think once we start getting into the


14:30

season and the stats start growing this


14:32

is when as we discuss week one in our


14:35

preview where you'll start seeing some


14:36

low totals like 2.25 2.5 even at plus


14:40

money where from a statistical


14:42

standpoint and in recent form and and


14:44

all that it's like


14:45

really really nice plays uh start to


14:47

show up here towards uh


14:49

beginning to mid mid-season so let's


14:51

throw that out there absolutely um so


14:54

i'll move on to my final play here and


14:56

we'll wrap it up um


14:59

this might be the first time i've ever


15:01

backed this team


15:03

officially


15:04

um in in years in covering this league


15:07

i'm gonna take juarez


15:09

on the asian handicap minus .25 here


15:13

against uh kerataro


15:15

and um


15:17

it's at minus 102 which is a you know


15:19

good price getting close to even money


15:21

there


15:23

this to me is just an opportunity to


15:25

kind of try to jump jump on the books


15:28

here early in the year before things go


15:31

in their respective directions for these


15:33

clubs


15:35

juarez has gotten


15:38

substantially better um this is one one


15:41

of the better teams i've seen them have


15:43

um you know they added


15:46

darwin machis who i'm hearing had like a


15:49

small muscle tweak but should be back


15:51

for this match


15:52

uh you know he had that that was their


15:54

big addition he had four goals for


15:55

grenada in la liga in spain last season


15:58

uh they added uh jesus duenas from


16:01

tigris he's bolstering the midfield


16:03

um and then uh gabriel fernandez had two


16:07

goals last week they're they're striker


16:09

who they've been wanting to come around


16:11

for a long time this is a guy that spent


16:12

time at celta vigo in la liga


16:14

uh spent some time in la liga too came


16:17

over to come kind of took a year to


16:20

adjust and then kind of exploded last


16:22

week so the pieces are starting to come


16:24

together there's enough talent here for


16:25

this juarez team they're going to be at


16:27

home coming off a win on the road


16:29

against tijuana 2-0


16:32

they haven't allowed a goal this season


16:34

so good start defensively for these guys


16:37

they created four big chances against


16:39

tijuana


16:40

um


16:41

and they're hosting kerataro here


16:43

and um you know if you know anything


16:45

about this this keratoro club they've


16:47

got it they've got an ugly pass an ugly


16:49

recent past


16:50

um you know with with uh you know the


16:52

tragedy that happened


16:54

um at their home stadium i don't know if


16:57

they're even so allowed to have fans


16:58

this season it's hard finding an update


17:00

on this league to be honest with you


17:02

their owners have been forced out coach


17:04

has been forced out the front office has


17:05

been forced out so


17:07

this is a team that


17:10

you know it's just like


17:12

i think that they might be the punching


17:13

bag this season i mean i think


17:15

lions of the uh nfl yeah the detroit


17:18

lions if you know


17:20

some really bad stuff happened that


17:22

they're you know not just losing but


17:25

um


17:26

so anyways i think this is a great spot


17:28

i think kerotaro is going to be a


17:30

punching bag this season i think juarez


17:32

has improved


17:34

and i think that this is a good


17:36

opportunity


17:37

um with with the price here at minus .25


17:41

if it ends up


17:43

you know one to one somehow or zero to


17:45

zero you get you get half half your unit


17:48

back here uh which is always a position


17:50

that i like to take


17:52

um


17:54

yeah


17:55

i


17:56

i agree i mean


17:58

i mean i if you if you guys have watched


18:00

the the first show i i did throw it out


18:02

it wasn't like an official play but at


18:04

least was i mentioned that i thought


18:05

juarez could be a dark horse uh this


18:08

tournament


18:09

and it's still early and i'm certainly


18:11

not overly excited but but as you said


18:14

um they've played some poor teams but


18:17

they've


18:18

done what you would expect a team that's


18:19

that's decent to do and just take take


18:21

advantage of that right get a point at


18:23

least and um


18:25

yeah be interesting to see here i do


18:27

like display i think especially at home


18:29

um nice number nice play and i'd like to


18:32

see them keep keep doing well right it's


18:34

a team that i


18:36

uh i used to follow them in the uh


18:38

expansion league right like division one


18:40

mexico and um i think i think they got


18:43

some potential this year so um i'm


18:45

rooting for obviously be honest with you


18:47

but rooting for the and we'll be


18:48

watching this play for sure


18:50

yeah there there's a little bit of a


18:52

confidence about this team that you've


18:53

never seen before they've always been


18:56

like


18:57

you know


18:58

when when a big team schedules a little


19:00

team it's like it's like all right


19:01

that's going to be a you know a win for


19:03

us that's that's kind of how juarez has


19:05

been but they don't look like that this


19:06

year they're playing team team football


19:08

and


19:09

and uh you know they have that


19:12

kind of a newfound confidence about them


19:13

here at home against a team that


19:15

you know they should have an advantage


19:18

on


19:19

i think it's a good spot but


19:21

um


19:22

all right so uh those are our four plays


19:24

we can uh recap for you and wrap it up


19:28

yeah i'll i'll start uh with mine coupe


19:31

first play pumas both teams to score uh


19:33

pumas versus


19:35

um


19:38

the coxa right both teams to score minus


19:41

112


19:43

on sunday 1 p.m eastern time and the


19:45

second play is atletico st louise versus


19:48

monterey sunday at 6 p.m eastern time


19:50

both teams to score minus 120. fantastic


19:53

yeah i'm taking pumas team total over


19:56

one and a half at plus 136 i love the


19:58

price there love the attack that pumas


20:00

has i think we have a good chance to


20:02

cash a plus money play there


20:04

um and i'm taking juarez at home on the


20:07

asian spread minus


20:09

0.25 at -102 hosting kerataro


20:14

and those are our four plays hoping for


20:15

a good week appreciate everybody tuning


20:17

in as always


20:19

we enjoy doing this we spend a lot of


20:21

time you know hopefully hopefully it'll


20:23

be a good season as as we move down the


20:25

road


20:26

and um


20:28

you know make sure you guys are


20:29

subscribing hit the thumbs up that does


20:31

that does us a lot of favors


20:33

drop a comment you know if you have


20:34

anything good or bad to say we we don't


20:36

mind either of them we get plenty of


20:38

that all day on twitter so


20:40

um


20:41

just uh drop in and say hello


20:43

and we'll see you guys next week


20:45

thanks guys