Betting Weekly: Liga MX

Liga MX Matchday 5 Soccer Betting Picks & Predictions - Club Tijuana v Mazatlán and more

July 28, 2022 BetRivers Network
Betting Weekly: Liga MX
Liga MX Matchday 5 Soccer Betting Picks & Predictions - Club Tijuana v Mazatlán and more
Show Notes Transcript

Get your Liga MX betting picks for the 2022 Apertura Tournament. Matchday 5 betting includes Club Tijuana v Mazatlán, Pumas UNAM vs CF Monterrey,  and Deportivo Toluca FC vs Puebla FC. Join Cooper Cox and Ryan "RJ" Guertin as they break down the betting odds on Betting Weekly: Liga MX!

Get all of your Liga MX predictions and picks here each week from Betting Weekly™. Subscribe today so you don't miss a single episode.


you're watching betting weekly on the


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bet rivers network


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welcome in everybody to the league omx


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podcast presented in association with


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bet rivers your hometown sportsbook i'm


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cooper and my co-host next to me as


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always is rj


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and today we're going to be covering


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league mx the top flight in mexico


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hopefully help you guys find a few


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winners one pick for me two from rj and


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we're ready to get into it


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yeah we're ready it's uh probably been


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the one of the most bizarre starts to a


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season i've seen in quite some time but


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uh through thick and thin right we're


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gonna try to help you guys navigate and


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and find the best plays and what we


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believe is uh good opportunities here in


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this league so let's uh let's roll with


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it yeah absolutely i mean we're just


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gonna keep our head down and uh you know


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keep working hard for you guys and this


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is a long season ahead of us so


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i'm confident that it will turn around


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and um you know it's it hasn't been


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great so far but again


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you know we're not in this for for one


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day or for one week we're in this for


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the whole season and and in for the long


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term so


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you know stick with us and and


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you know things things will turn out


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well


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but um rj since you've got two plays if


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you want to get us started then have at


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it


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yeah i'd be glad to so first play i'm on


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is gonna be saturday at uh 10 05 eastern


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time the play is club tijuana versus


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mazatlan


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and you know from


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from a goals perspective you guys know i


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love targeting goals um i'm i'm not


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taking the under here so let me preface


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it by saying that but what i'm looking


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at and because of the


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inconsistency and the irregularity of


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this leak so far i'm i'm trying to


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target teams that i think are at the


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point where they're they're trying to


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break off or they're going to take off


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to to a percentage where they they have


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no choice right where they're just in in


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a bad place or teams that are coming off


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very strong performances or what i feel


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is very strong performances so


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club tijuana versus magic lawn the total


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is over 2.25


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the line is minus 120.


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and


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you know looking at this play from my


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normal approach you know it it's not


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overly


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exciting from a goal's perspective but i


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am gonna back this this weekend


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and i'll give you a little thought as to


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to why so


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tijuana uh coming off a two-nothing win


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uh on the 23rd against club america at


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home


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right they are also coming off a 2-1 win


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against atlas um which was


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yesterday right so


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normally speaking when you hear club


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club america


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uh you hear atlas right those are teams


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that have previously in the last couple


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tournaments have been at the top of the


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table now we're four or five match days


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and you can't panic you know you can't


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really make too many strong assumptions


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however it it is impressive to see them


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uh with those two wins right one on the


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road one at home and back-to-back


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matches now they're they're building


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momentum right they're sitting middle of


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the table


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and now they play


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mazatlan right who are


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arguably one of the worst teams in


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league amex and they start off the


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season and got throttled by puebla and


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then they've just had a couple of


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mediocre matches they lost one nothing


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they had to draw the other their last


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match against atletico st louise who


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again aren't really anything to write


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home about they're an inconsistent team


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so


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i'm just at the point where


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i'm looking at teams that like i said


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are going to take off teams that need to


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be you know sort of desperate before for


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points and i think this is a matchup


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that we're going to see two teams that


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are


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not great right not great offensively


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not great defensive uh not great


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defensively but you know one team that's


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that's strong coming off two losses um


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sorry one team that's coming off two


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wins and then another team coming off


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two draws where it's like if you're if


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you're going to just medal for points


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the whole season it's not going to get


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you to where you want to be so a sooner


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or later you're going to have to take


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the foot off the pedal


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and uh


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and just get going so i'm on over 2.25


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goals here


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at minus 120.


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yeah and uh another thing about this


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this mazatlan team is


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you you look at the first candidate they


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played this season


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uh against pueblo


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and we talked about that almost being


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like a personal grudge match between the


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two because of their history and last


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season's uh you know playoff tournament


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and that was a four to two game and


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mazatlan just kind of let it rip for


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that game


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the next game they go and play


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tigris and they sit back compact end up


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losing 1-0


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so the point being i don't think


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mazatlan is going to be scared of


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tijuana


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in the same way that they would be


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against


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excuse me


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against a big caliber uh club here and


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um


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i think that they will in a sense you


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know


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kind of let it rip again uh and then


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regarding tijuana


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this has always been a team


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that


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you know


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they fly high at home so this team knows


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like you said there's some there's some


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table position to be considered in this


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match and tijuana knows that they have


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to go for it here this is the team that


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they need to beat so tijuana going for


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it mazatlan on the counter


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to me this feels like probably worst


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case scenario a half push


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i do think this is a sneaky good look


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for the over absolutely


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[Music]


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but um


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yeah with that that's rj's first play i


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will hop into mine


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and i've got one for you guys this week


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i really like it i'm going back to just


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having one on the show because


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a couple weeks ago i had one show one


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play for you guys on the show and it won


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and i just went with my favorite play


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i'm gonna do the same thing again this


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week um


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i'm going to a team


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that really this is going to be my last


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chance for for these guys um i'm backing


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pumas


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and monterey both teams to score


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at -125 on bet rivers which i think is a


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really good price i would not be shocked


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to see


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this total


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on the over uh catch a little bit of


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steam and get a little bit more


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expensive just because of the fire the


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respective firepower on both of these


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teams is definitely substantial


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um


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but yeah so pumas you know the the big


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news is the addition of danny alves from


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barcelona


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you know big time player brazilian guy


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brazilian national team player


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definitely a superstar he's 39 years old


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i just caught the first half


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of the pumas and mazda lot game mazatlan


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game before i hopped on the show here


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and he looked good he actually was


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getting up in the attack took a really


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good free kick from like 35 yards away


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and put it on target um


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so he's still a good player he's still


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going to be good in this league


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and then they've still got wanda dino


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del prett and salvio the three


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argentineans argentines in the attack


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and


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they're really talented i mean this


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pumas team they've got to wake up at


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some point


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and


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they're at home


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this this is two of of of your your you


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know your big time


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uh


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brands in mexican football here so they


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should be up for it


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rest should not be an issue i'm


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expecting pumas to find the back of the


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net at home here and then


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uh they're welcoming


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um probably the strongest team in the


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league so far i mean they're well


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definitely the strongest team in the


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league so far monterey coming to town


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here


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um these guys are number one in goals


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number one unexpected goals they've


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scored 11 goals and only five games


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obviously led by


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rohilo rogelio funes mori who is the


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striker for


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the mexican national team


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um these guys poached two stars from


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other teams in the league rodrigo


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aguirre came from nicaxa and uh hermann


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berta rame


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came from atletico san luis so they're


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loaded in attack and and they've looked


8:18

like it this year so


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i do expect goals here i'm going the


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route of both teams to score as opposed


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to over two and a half because a


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potential 1-1 is not totally off the


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cards here uh and i'm fine with the


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price it's only a 20 cent difference


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from the over two and a half to both


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teams to score


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so this is my favorite play of the


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weekend hopefully we don't get any kind


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of reds or any vars i'm just going to


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knock on wood and hopefully that we can


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get past that


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part of uh the league you know


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yeah yeah i watched a couple of the


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matches last night the atlas game was an


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entertaining first half um


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a couple of the games were pretty good


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in the first half but they ended up


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being a stalemate in the second half


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right the i don't understand what's


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what's going on so far this year um to


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be truthful with you


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but i do like the look of this play i


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think you know like you said you have a


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monterey team that's extremely informed


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um four wins in a row and uh yeah i


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would expect both teams to score i'm


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hoping pumas wins tonight uh right


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there's 30 minutes left and i and i hope


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they uh beat mazatlan as they should


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um danny alves uh you know now now in


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the squad is cert is certainly a boost


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and


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and hopefully they get the win tonight


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they get some confidence and and uh head


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into this match against monterey


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and uh yeah but i think both teams to


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scores is a solid look here for sure


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yeah hopefully the juice is worth the


9:44

squeeze with this one you know like i


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said priced at minus 125. it should be


9:48

um hopefully no funny business if you've


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been watching the league so far you know


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what i'm talking about


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um what do you have though for us on


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your on your last one


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yeah so my my last play is going to be


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on tuesday which is august 2nd it's at


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10 p.m i'm sorry 8 p.m eastern time


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and i am going to be backing so i was a


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little surprised uh to see the line


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released at over 2.75 like it was uh


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this is a little high for me at this


10:18

point in the season and kind of what


10:19

i've seen so far


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but


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because of


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the recent performance especially in the


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respective home and away spots i'm gonna


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be on this it's uh taluka versus puebla


10:29

over 2.75 goals at minus 1


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10 i found on bet rivers so


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you know


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again you know i'm a statistical guy and


10:39

i'm basing this on again recent forum


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how teams were performed against like uh


10:44

like opponents and taluka are


10:47

a very uh


10:49

again they're another informed team


10:50

they're they've won four in the last


10:52

five the only loss they have is it's


10:53

club america on the road which we know


10:55

how club america is at home they're very


10:57

very difficult team although they're


10:58

sitting in 15th place uh at the moment


11:02

you know they lost a uh


11:05

they lost to monterey


11:07

uh and they drew with atlas at home


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which is again there's a side that


11:10

they've had strong history with and i'm


11:12

not overly surprised with that but


11:14

you know play by coming off poor


11:16

performances two draws and a loss


11:18

to luca


11:19

you know club leon one nothing santos


11:22

laguna two nothing uh two to one win


11:25

you know at the end of the day there's


11:26

strong performances from both players


11:28

both both teams i've seen so far


11:32

both teams are getting shots on that


11:33

they're attacking they're very


11:35

offensive-minded teams and you know


11:39

i think we'll see


11:41

you know i think we'll see a two to two


11:42

two to two match i think we'll see a


11:44

draw here to be truthful with you i


11:45

think pueblo is going to be hungry after


11:47

that one to nothing loss against a very


11:49

strong monterey team


11:51

arguably


11:53

a bit stronger than taluka right even


11:54

though you know to lucas won four out of


11:56

the last five i think we'll see goals


11:58

from both sides and


12:00

at 2.75 i think there's a strong


12:03

potential


12:04

for a half win


12:06

at the very least here


12:08

yeah i think uh the books may be giving


12:10

away their hand a little bit setting


12:12

this at 2.75 i think it's set there for


12:14

a reason if you look at the


12:16

um and i'm not a big historical


12:18

head-to-head guy


12:19

but you look at the historical


12:21

head-to-heads


12:22

where pueblo is on the road at taluka


12:25

the last the the last two are


12:28

four to four


12:30

and uh and two to one so um also


12:35

i don't ever like backing overs when


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pueblo is the home team but when they're


12:39

on the road they let it rip and and


12:41

taluka also


12:43

you know gets up and up and down the


12:45

pitch when they're the home team so you


12:47

know potentially a good


12:49

mesh of styles here hopefully an


12:51

exciting game


12:53

and hopefully we can uh score some


12:55

winners this weekend


12:56

yeah and and to be honest with you again


12:58

that we talked about the red cards right


13:01

this match up against club leona they


13:02

won one nothing on the road it was a red


13:05

card in the 53rd minute right so if if


13:07

you get a red card early


13:09

it changes the total


13:11

pace of the game it changes everything


13:13

about it right and


13:15

they were on the road right they're


13:16

they're toluca is a different team on


13:18

the road


13:20

even if we do see cards here uh you know


13:22

a red car potentially i think this still


13:24

has potential to take off because of how


13:27

these teams just play in their


13:28

respective home and away spots it


13:30

historically i didn't even look at head


13:32

to head to be to be truthful with you so


13:34

you know i was an interesting fact or


13:36

interesting stats that you threw out


13:38

there but again this has the making of


13:40

of of goals right just like cruisers


13:43

last weekend and um


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yeah i think this is these are the the


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top plays in my opinion over this uh the


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next uh next weekend so


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fantastic all right well we appreciate


13:56

everybody tuning in as always


13:58

uh hopefully you guys tuned into our


14:01

champions league qualification show we


14:03

swept


14:05

uh that show two-and-oh


14:07

and uh i think we went two-in-one on our


14:09

extra time show as well which is a minor


14:11

league show so starting to heat up a


14:13

little bit


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make sure you guys catch us


14:17

all the episodes will be up on the bet


14:18

rivers podcast network channel on


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youtube also on apple uh podcasts


14:24

and uh spot spotify so


14:28

um


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anyway we appreciate you guys and we


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will see you next week