Betting Weekly: Liga MX

Liga MX betting picks for Matchday 7, including América v FC Juarez & Atlas FC vs. Querétaro

August 04, 2022 BetRivers Network
Betting Weekly: Liga MX
Liga MX betting picks for Matchday 7, including América v FC Juarez & Atlas FC vs. Querétaro
Show Notes Transcript

Get your Liga MX betting picks for the 2022 Apertura Tournament. Matchday 7 betting includes  América v FC Juarez & Atlas FC vs. Querétaro. A talented Atlas club continues to befuddle fans and bettors alike, but their loaded roster means it's just a matter of time before they bounce back. Join Cooper Cox and Ryan "RJ" Guertin as they break down the betting odds on Betting Weekly: Liga MX!

Get all of your Liga MX predictions and picks here each week from Betting Weekly™. Subscribe today so you don't miss a single episode.


you're watching betting weekly on the


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bet rivers network


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hello and welcome in everybody to the


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league mx podcast brought to you in


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association with bet rivers your


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hometown sportsbook i'm cooper and my


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co-host next to me as always is rj


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and uh we're ready to tackle some league


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mx we're gonna do a little a little bit


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differently this week one play for me


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one play for rj


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trying to kind of boil down our


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knowledge and hopefully turn the tide


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and


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provide you guys with some winners but


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we are ready to get after it and uh


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rj if you want to start us off let it


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rip buddy


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yeah i'll kick us off coop appreciate


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that the uh the one and only play i'll


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be on is gonna be sunday


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it's at uh 905 eastern time it's club


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america versus juarez


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so you know six six games in or five


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games into this this early tournament


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here club america is sitting in 15th


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place just four points um the pre-season


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favorite pre-season favorite just


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you know down in the dirt right now


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right uh you know tough tough loss


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against club leon the other night um


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henry martin bagged a couple goals it


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was good to see him in in solid form


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getting into you know where we would


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expect him um but then they had a club


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leon got a red card and then a


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114th minute penalty to uh to club leon


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kind of sums up


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league mx these days is that you know


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this controversy as we talked about with


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some


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um


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unique things going on behind the scenes


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with this league but um


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to be truthful with you i i


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i it these are tough reads especially


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early season but i do expect club


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america


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to turn things around back at home


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against juarez juarez are playing


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currently right now they're down one


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nothing to uh atletico saint louis


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they were


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somewhat favorites tonight but uh juarez


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is is kind of what we would expect for


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ours to be there they've had a couple


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close matches a couple draws they won


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their first match of the season


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um


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club of america beat to luca at home one


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to nothing match day three


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and otherwise they drew with atlas at


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home and


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um


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like i said that at home they're they're


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still a strong team right two matches in


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it's still early to to call them um


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you know losers or basements walls at


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this point they're going to turn the


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season around i think it starts here


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like i said henry martin got two two


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goals the other night


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i don't think juarez can keep up with


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this team


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they're minus 180 on the money line


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right now and and to be honest with you


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i would say by kickoff this should be


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220 225. i expect this to get steamed uh


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they do play tonight


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um just like juarez plays they play in


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the league uh the league


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cup showcase it's called right and uh


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basically a friendly right yeah it's


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basically a friendly right and i would


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expect them to take it you know


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seriously but i would hope to see some


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rotation here


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and


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with the same amount of time off right


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today today's ones that we're shooting


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this so they'll have at least five days


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off well rested


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i'm taking club america minus one at


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plus 100.


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uh i thought about the asian handicap


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minus 0.75 it's minus 138 minus 140 it's


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a little too juicy for me and i'm trying


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to keep the juice as low as we can


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especially early in the season here


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um but again


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i do expect club america to get back to


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form here


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come back to reality and


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and and get this win and and just to


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touch quick cooper on on where we stand


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right sort of the state of the union in


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this league right tigress sitting up top


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right everybody can look at the


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standings and and figure this out but


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you know they're


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the most boring team in in the in the


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league at the moment but they're winning


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matches right nine goals four four


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against five straight wins


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monterey is a team that we liked in the


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in the preseason right we talked about


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the first episode they're sitting in


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third place um


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i was looking at 538 which is a data


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analytics website that analyzes a bunch


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of different factors they have them as


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favorites


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uh but there's also some surprises here


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you know tijuana with three straight


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wins


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um you know again we're six depending on


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who you're talking about five to six


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matches in


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but uh for the most part things are


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things are a bit odd right atlas club


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america sitting at the bottom and i


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think it's only a matter of time we


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start looking at this six seven weeks


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from now this table


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should look quite a bit different and um


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i think it starts for america on on


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sunday


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yeah it's it's been a little bit of a


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funky


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not just a start to the season but but


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uh just a kind of an odd league mx


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season uh in a lot of ways i mean i mean


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you you look at the transfer departures


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um yeah you're seeing like santiago


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jimenez from cruz of sewell goes to i


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think fine ord and the netherlands


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um


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yeah quinones has been linked to to


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leeds united he's not officially gone


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yet we'll we'll kind of touch on that a


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little bit more on the next play but


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you're seeing a lot of teams sell and


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i that sometimes that's the nature of


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this league where they kind of wait till


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the new year and then obviously this


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year is unique because the world cup but


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they wait till the new year to like


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really reload and like go out and like


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bring in


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talent


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but it's just been it's just been weird


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man it's it's it's been a


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been an odd um


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start to the league mx season but uh


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it's still early and there's a lot of


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time to get things going in the right


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direction and hopefully see some better


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some better results


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out of the show but um regarding your


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your play here club america minus one


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i think it's a good approach just


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because they're totally due for positive


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regression i mean they


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they had this world tour if you want to


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call it with all these friendlies i mean


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they they played you know kings of the


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world uh real madrid and actually drew


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two to two with them uh which was pretty


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interesting they played that game in san


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francisco and it was all club america


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fans it was like


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you would think


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with real madrid coming to town but it


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was it wasn't i mean it was like shows


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you how popular this league is in the


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united states this is the number one


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soccer league in the united states no


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offense to mls but uh the ratings kind


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of speak for themselves so this is still


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the most popular soccer league in the


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united states um and that was evident in


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that match but


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yeah this this this play here club


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america they should


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it's it's a good get right spot uh


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juarez on the road you know their their


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big star that they brought in was was


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darwin machis and we don't even know


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what's going on with him like he's not


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even traveling with the team he says


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he's hurt he says i've heard a lot of a


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lot of guys close to the team a little


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bit concerned about


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like he comes over here and gets this


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contract and and is not really


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you know showing that that he wants to


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be there even though the teams had a


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decent start to the year but


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they're going to be way out class both


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are going to be on equal rest


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i do think it's a really good spot this


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for me feels like a worst case probably


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a push so that was my that was my


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thinking heading into you know why i


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selected this i think there's a good


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chance for


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league mx typical one nothing hopefully


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the cards uh remain in the refs pocket


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he doesn't pull out reds like it's been


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prevalent early here but uh


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you know i kind of i i i envision a


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two-nothing win for for america i have a


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hard time seeing


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juarez get um getting a goal here unless


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a pk or just some fluke happens to be to


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be truthful club america's too strong i


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think for for this side


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yeah i think juarez will probably


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struggle to create as well but um yeah


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so good insight good information there


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on our first official show play


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um


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i will uh get into my official play here


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and it's it's another big club that


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we're familiar with and this is another


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like this is going to be the ultimate


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get right spot


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uh and of course i'm talking about atlas


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so i'm talking about atlas fc here


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going to take the money line -120


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at home


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in guadalajara


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hosting karataro here so


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um


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you know this line opened i think this


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line opened around -135 and actually


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kind of like karatara took a little bit


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of money and and and you you can


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understand why because


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it's hard to bet on this atlas team from


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what we've seen


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uh so far this season


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uh you look at these two teams


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respectively atlas is 16th out of 18th


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in the standings gareta is dead last 18


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out of 18. so these are


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basically as far as the standings are


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concerned


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two of the bottom bottom teams in the


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table


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um


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you look at goals allowed uh these these


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are the these are the two worst teams


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and gold goals allowed so atlas after


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having this you know championship season


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incredibly stingy defense just like


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super physical you don't want to go


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to guadalajara to play these guys


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because there's no room like that they


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have this championship caliber squad


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zero players have changed from their


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starting 11 from from from their title


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last season yet they here they are


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sitting 16th out of 18. it's it's


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you know really hard to fathom but


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um


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i kind of i kind of dug into the stats


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and broke down the situation


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so


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atlas has conceded 10 goals


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they've only allowed six big chances


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this season


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so that means a lot of fluky stuff has


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happened a lot of deflections a lot of


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crazy bangers that no keeper in the


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world is saving


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so they're due for some some positive


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regression defensively


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um this is a good spot again to get


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right get their confidence back up


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kerataro on the other hand they've


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allowed 12 goals on 19 big chances so


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they have a lot more big chances than


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anybody else on league of mex it's not


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even close they're not due for any


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positive regression if anything they're


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due for


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realization


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yeah if there's any team that deserves


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to be relegated it's this team and not


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completely because of their play but


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um


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anyway so


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uh you know you again you've got all 11


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guys back from from from the title uh


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team that started


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uh


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you know diego martin kocha the the the


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head coach the argentine he's still


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there he's still you know hammering


10:35

discipline into these guys he's still a


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very good coach


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um and we touched on a little bit uh


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julian quinones


10:44

their star colombian striker has been


10:46

linked to leeds united but he's not gone


10:48

yet so there's no done deal who plays


10:50

well guys on


10:52

guys that are like on contract years and


10:54

guys that are trying to show out right


10:55

so could be a little boost there could


10:57

be a farewell tour going on but to me


11:01

i understand the hesitancy for anybody


11:04

wanting to back this atlas team right


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now but there's such a massive gap in


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class between these two teams and you


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got to think this is the perfect get


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right spot for atlas to just get it done


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and hopefully they just destroy them


11:18

that that would just make my day


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yeah you bring up a good point with with


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players linked to other teams like


11:24

trying to showcase themselves


11:26

leads have had the chance to sign


11:27

quinones they just haven't done that yet


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and


11:30

you know uh with the season coming into


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form i think they're they're waiting to


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see how he how he performs how he


11:36

responds to the to the rumors in the


11:37

news and


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i watched the game the other night


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quinones i mean there was a couple


11:42

missed chances he had right in front of


11:44

the net and didn't didn't capitalize on


11:46

him so um hopefully he gets his his head


11:49

out and um


11:50

and and shows up but you know they have


11:52

the talent right they have ferch and to


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be honest every game that they've


11:57

played recently they've dominated


11:59

possession dominated shots it's just


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getting the the chances converted right


12:04

and i think in due time that will come


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and i look at this spot similar to how i


12:09

look at the club america spot you know


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team this team is much better than


12:13

kyotaro club america is much better


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um


12:18

you know than juarez and and and they


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should just both of these teams should


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get it done so um


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i like this spot


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now


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uh correct uh can you say the official


12:29

play again here


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yeah so this is just atlas moneyline


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it's minus 120. okay


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beautiful well let's go two and a half


12:37

because we certainly do and um i think


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these teams will do as well absolutely


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so two really great uh get right spots


12:45

here two two teams that have big uh


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talent advantages and will both be at


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home so


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um it's it's it's about time for for


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these two two squads to take care take


12:56

care of business and uh we appreciate


12:58

everybody tuning in just want to remind


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you guys to follow us on twitter uh at


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because we win that's kind of our behind


13:05

the scenes page there where we upload


13:07

videos and


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um you know look at


13:11

look at the week ahead and also we will


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be back for our champions league


13:15

qualification podcast we're on a six and


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one heater at the moment so that's been


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a lot of fun i appreciate anybody that's


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been tuning in to that as well


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and we'll see you guys next week


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yep thanks guys