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In this episode, Stuart delves into the concept of strategic asset allocation and its critical importance in maximising long-term investment returns. He presents evidence demonstrating the unpredictability of short-term returns across asset classes, highlighting the need for diversification. However, Stuart argues that long-term returns are more predictable due to the principle of mean reversion.

He advocates for an approach that involves actively allocating new capital towards undervalued asset classes or geographical markets, rather than blindly following a one-size-fits-all asset allocation model. Stuart believes that this strategy, though potentially leading to imbalanced portfolios in the short term, positions investors for superior long-term performance by capitalising on opportunities for above-average future returns.

Throughout the episode, Stuart emphasises the importance of maintaining a long-term perspective, employing evidence-based investment strategies, and resisting the temptation to chase short-term returns. He challenges the conventional wisdom of adhering to theoretical asset allocation models, arguing that maximising client returns should be the primary objective, even if it means adopting an unconventional approach.

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