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Superannuation's enforced long investment horizon is one of the most underused structural advantages available to Australian investors. This blog examines whether internally geared ETFs have a role to play within super, and backs the analysis with detailed financial modelling rather than theory alone.
The numbers are compelling. A 30-year-old with $200,000 in super, contributing $20,000 per year and investing in a geared diversified ETF via an SMSF, is projected to retire with a balance of approximately $4.3 million, more than 26% higher than an equivalent ungeared strategy in a low-cost industry fund. The benefit is most pronounced for younger investors with larger balances, longer timeframes, and higher contribution rates. As retirement approaches, the case for gearing weakens materially.
But the strategy carries real risks that deserve equal attention. Volatility is amplified; a 50% market fall in a 35% geared ETF produces a balance decline of around 77%. Sequence-of-returns risk can turn a strong strategy into a poor one, depending on when a major correction occurs. And the cost and compliance obligations of running an SMSF add a layer of responsibility that should not be taken lightly.
The blog also surveys the available geared ETF options in Australia, covering diversified and single-market products across a range of gearing levels. The conclusion is clear: gearing inside super can be genuinely attractive, but is best treated as a complement to ungeared strategies rather than an all-or-nothing decision.
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