Ep 416: Is established residential property still worth investing in?

Investopoly

Investopoly
Ep 416: Is established residential property still worth investing in?
Jul 08, 2026 Episode 416
Stuart Wemyss & Campbell Wallace

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With the government's changes to established residential property now looking likely to become law, the investment case has fundamentally shifted, and those who try to ignore it will be exposed. In this episode, we unpack why quarantining negative gearing losses hits investors so hard: the asset costs materially more to hold each year, yet capital growth potential hasn't budged. We walk through the numbers, showing how an investment-grade property's after-tax internal rate of return could fall from around 11% to just 8.4% a return you might match through superannuation, minus the debt, concentration risk and hassle.

We also explore "livevesting", channelling your capacity into a better-quality home that compounds tax-free, and explain why Melbourne may now offer compelling relative value. Along the way, we sound a warning on the "obvious alternatives": commercial property and new-build packages that are often overpriced, structurally inferior, or both.

Finally, drawing on the 1980s Hawke-Keating reversal and New Zealand's recent backflip, we ask whether these changes will even last—and why the smartest move now is preserving optionality rather than reacting. Tax matters, but a good investment must still stand on its own merits.

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