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For decades, negative gearing tipped the scales toward borrowing for an investment property over spending more on your home; investment interest was deductible, home loan interest wasn't. But with negative gearing quarantined and the effective capital gains tax rate climbing from around 20% to closer to 30–35% under the post-2027 indexation regime, that old comparison is dead. In this episode, Stuart rebuilds it from scratch.

The new contest: is a high-income household better off borrowing to upgrade the family home, or borrowing to invest in shares? He models two households starting identically, same income, same $1 million of extra debt, same 18-year repayment, and the result genuinely surprised him. Over 10 years, geared shares edge ahead; over 20, it's a dead heat; over 30, the bigger home wins. The reason is tax leakage: once the debt is repaid, the share portfolio's deductible interest shield vanishes while the home keeps compounding tax-free.

Stuart also walks through six things the model can't capture: liquidity, the willingness to downsize, home growth quality, lifestyle, and explains why, with these settings still politically contested, the smartest move may be to preserve optionality and reassess in 12 to 18 months.

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IMPORTANT: This podcast provides general information about finance, taxes, and credit. This means that the content does not consider your specific objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is crucial for you to assess whether the information is suitable for your circumstances before taking any actions based on it. If you find yourself uncertain about the relevance or your specific needs, it is advisable to seek advice from a licensed and trustworthy professional.