S4E32 - The Super Bowl of Podcasts - Super Bowl Betting Picks

Its the biggest game of the year... Super Bowl 60!!!

The Overrated Experience covers every betting angle your going to need to get you prepared for the Super Bowl.

• Picks against the Spread
• Over/Under
• Passing Props
• Rush Props
• Rec Props
• Game Special Props
• Novelty - Half Time Props
• MVP Props

00:00 Super Bowl Excitement and Predictions
02:55 MVP Contenders and Surprising Votes
06:08 Betting Strategies and Prop Bets
08:54 Analyzing the Spread and Over/Under
12:00 MVP Bets and Player Performances
15:05 Passing Game Insights and Predictions
18:06 Final Thoughts and Betting Commitments
31:57 The Impact of Innovation on Business
35:05 Rushing Performance Predictions
38:52 Navigating Betting Platforms
42:08 Novelty Bets and Super Bowl Excitement
46:52 Receiving Props and Player Predictions
55:45 Game Specials and Betting Strategies
01:01:47 Game Predictions and Special Bets
01:06:01 Betting Strategies and Same Game Parlays
01:10:29 Player Performance and Prop Bets
01:14:33 Two-Point Conversions and Game Dynamics
01:19:28 Final Thoughts and Reflections on the Season

Follow Overrated Experience Pod on Twitter @OverratedExper2

Join the Overrated Experience Sports Betting Facebook Page

Follow on  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/overratedexperience/

Transcript

Kyle Blondin (00:01)
Welcome to the overrated experience sports and sports betting podcast. I'm your host Kyle blonde in along with our co-host

Austin From... You Know Where (00:08)
Awesome for me, Jax, baby. We're back.

Kyle Blondin (00:10)
All right, so Austin, me and Jack just talking to the mic. You're a little low there. I need all guns a blazing on this one. This is the Superbowl edition of the overrated experience sports and sports betting podcast. Some might say the Superbowl podcasts. This is the episode. This is the one to tune into. We've done our homework. We're going to bring you focus on everything Superbowl. We're going to talk about the game. We're going to talk about the spread. We're going to talk about the over unders.

I gotta say the props are probably the big one here that we're gonna go in and really dive into and the Super Bowl brings a whole special ⁓ set of props to really focus on and we'll share them here today and we're gonna give us, you know, we're gonna talk about props. We're gonna give us our favorable props, let's say, ⁓ and really what props we're banking on to pay off. And we'll even throw the lady from upstairs has provided us from with some halftime and other novelty plays.

that she picked out and provided most will share those as well at a ten right now excitement level do you have heading into tomorrow twenty four hours away

Austin From... You Know Where (01:21)
I would say it's about an eight out of ten.

Kyle Blondin (01:23)
Okay. What is it up or down compared to when we talked last week? can't remember what you said. I think it was eight and half. You mentioned last week.

Austin From... You Know Where (01:30)
You

know, would say if it was eight and a half last week, I guess I'm down But I mean I feel pretty consistent till ⁓ last week, you know, I've done my research I've formulated more of a prediction on the game, you know my prediction I guess wouldn't make it extremely the most entertaining scenario. Maybe that's why it's not an eight ⁓ and It is a eight and not a ten, but I'm definitely excited to watch that game tomorrow Eat some chicken wings drink some beer. It's gonna be a great time

Kyle Blondin (01:56)
Yeah, it should be a great time, but I think your points bang on is, you know, you want the game to be a shootout, but probably the feeling is it might be a defensive turnover battle potentially. We'll get into it. haven't pre-discussed this, but it sounds like you're going down that road. We'll get into that. And do you think the game itself, everybody said they were tired of Patrick Mahomes being in the Superbowl, but do you think this game misses?

Patrick Mahomes type guy in the Super Bowl.

Austin From... You Know Where (02:28)
I don't think so because you know what on both sides of the both sides you have great stories and I think that's what it's all about you know you have Sam Darnold coming from the Vikings he led that team to 14 and 4 and now that team fell off a cliff he's on he's on the the Super Bowl Seattle Seahawks you know what I mean and then you have the Patriots Drake May runner-up for MVP carrying this team who is 50 to 1 to win this thing so

I think there's nothing wrong to take a little break from the superstar quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes and give some other guys a chance. Jalen Hurts as well.

Kyle Blondin (03:04)
Right.

then speaking of that, so we predicted long ago that Matthew Stafford would take home the MVP, which he did on Thursday night. And ⁓ we talked about Drake May being a distant second leading into the vote. Turns out he was pretty darn close. I think it was a vote away from capturing the MVP himself. Matthew Stafford did win it, but it was quite a close vote. And what are your thoughts on that? Were you surprised it was quite close?

Austin From... You Know Where (03:34)
Well, I thought it was crazy that it was that close. know, I do think Stafford deserved a little more respect. ⁓ I mean, I wouldn't, at the end of the day, I told you guys, I wouldn't have been surprised if Drake may have won it. But, you know, ⁓ something we have to talk about is, you know, some of the other guys who were voted for, Justin Herbert getting multiple votes. It's like, you know, that, that just boggles my mind. But, ⁓ you know, I thought Stafford was a clear MVP. I thought that all the way up into the end, you know, he was, ⁓

Kyle Blondin (03:35)
Cough

Mm-hmm.

Austin From... You Know Where (04:03)
You know, he had four straight games without a turnover and Drake may amazing season, but you know, Stafford's a hall of fame quarterback and he got the job done at 37 years old.

Kyle Blondin (04:14)
Wow, I mean, the voting community, the folks that have the power for these votes, whether it be MVP race or hall of fame, I don't know what's going on. I don't know what's going on. mean, I didn't pick up on it, but when you said Justin Herbert was thrown a vote for MVP, like what, what's the rationale? How does somebody who obviously has media credentials access has probably data that we don't have?

⁓ resources and two eyes and They're throwing votes to Justin Herbert. I Herbert Fantastic, you know what I mean? I definitely a top I don't always say top five or top ten quarterback or whatever it is No question, but to go into a vote like this and not maybe him ha Between Stafford and May but go to Herbert. That's insane. That's ridiculous and stupid and and then you got your Hall of Fame

situation we discussed last week that Bill Belichick not a first time Hall of Famer first year Hall of Famer and then Robert Kraft not even getting in it doesn't make any sense and it's shooting the credibility anything voting as far as the NFL goes

Austin From... You Know Where (05:26)
Did you hear what Rob Gronkowski had to say? He said, he said, could you imagine how many Super Bowls I would have if I had a Hall of Fame coach?

Kyle Blondin (05:30)
I I did, but remind me. yeah.

See, that's good.

Hey Rob, he was asked, just speaking to the Patriots of the old, Brady got into little hot water with his ex teammates by not taking a side. He was saying he was neutral on this one, right? Between the paths and the Seahawks, and then he kind of changed it up where he's leaning toward the Patriots. interesting stuff, man. is, again, my excitement level's probably at the eight like you are.

But I'll tell you it was like six and a half and seven leading up to this morning. Just nothing seems to be going on. Nothing significant. No stories that really jump out that developed over the two weeks. I thought we'd really see something, especially this week heading into media day and all the events that go on leading up to the Super Bowl. But really it's been pretty flat. Not a lot of talking points. But going through, you know, I've tracked the line of track props.

throughout the whole week and try to catch some of the changes that I really dove in this morning and it really got me going, really thinking, felt like we had to push the time of the podcast back multiple times because I just wasn't done, right? We talked about using multiple books. So when I reference ⁓ our plays here today or discussion on the picks, I've sifted through three different books. Honestly, I can't go through eight, nine books. It's like to keep up. It's impossible unless there's some like...

website out there that allows prop you know in one shot you can see him I just don't know what that is but ⁓ I used bet 365 fan duel prominent predominantly and DraftKings and what I did notice is that and I didn't think about it but this is an opportunity right now for those who are looking to bet because it's the Super Bowl maybe this is the only time you bet that to really look at the offers out there on each of these sites so

⁓ A lot of them are doing a match ⁓ draft Kings ⁓ and I got it mixed up here should have wrote down but I believe draft Kings has a ⁓ match. No do they have a bonus bet or whatever and then bet 365 has the matching so you deposit a match ⁓ and then I don't know if you got any as an existing customer I know FanDuel suckered me in this week by providing a 50 % deposit bonus so if you upload they give you up to

$750 worth of you know free plays and that really suckers you in because then you're gonna load up all your bankroll in the one book So they got me I'm guilty that didn't stop me from looking at the books But did you see any offers out there that intrigued you whether it be for a site that you don't use today? that may have intrigued you to get in there and sign up or Anything on the sites you do use that you've taken advantage of so far

Austin From... You Know Where (08:25)
Honestly, ⁓ not more than I mentioned other than last week with the splitting of the ⁓ the coin costs money on FanDuel that they have offered. FanDuel offered or threw me a free $20 bet. So definitely throwing that into a parlay or something along those lines. ⁓ But nothing too crazy that stood out to me other than these like, you know, 50 % three leg parlays. But that seems pretty standard on a week to week basis. But I think during the Super Bowl, you still take advantage of those.

Kyle Blondin (08:54)
And then, yeah, you take advantage of them, but really from the prop market, I can't stress enough, and think we did also stress this last week, is you really gotta do your shopping. There is differences in a few yards, maybe significant yardage, or a lot of the receiving rushing props that, ⁓ or juice, the juice might be better at some books than others, that you really wanna take advantage of, because it may come down, like it always does, it's to one or two yards, as a make or break in your bet. So we'll get into that, we're gonna get into that now.

Man, where do we start? You know, we're gonna we're gonna go through this this probably will be a lengthier Podcast compared to the other podcast since there is no football after tomorrow and we'll see what happens with the podcast itself But you can follow the overrated experience at overrated e X P or two. That's overrated e X P er two Unfortunately Austin from Ajax. I didn't get anybody reaching out demanding your presence on X. So I'm hoping another shout out

to reach out to the Overrated Experience Over X to demand the voice of Awesome Ajax present itself ⁓ out in social media. I know you're declined that offer, but the public will speak and you will be on X. I feel it. This is the podcast. We're gonna force those ⁓ customers, those audience members to demand, or they're gonna show up at your door with torches and pitchforks.

Austin From... You Know Where (10:16)
I told you five signatures and I'll sign up

Kyle Blondin (10:18)
five signatures okay so that that seems reasonable so the public let's get your act together and start hitting this off following us on X and mentioning that you demand awesome Ajax builds his profile and gets on social media that's that's we want to hear so let's kick it off with the simple everybody is going to talk about and that is the spread and that is the over under will kick that conversation off and

Austin From... You Know Where (10:20)
Yeah

Kyle Blondin (10:46)
Honestly, this this really hasn't been a blind that's moved. I am shocked I thought we would see it go up or down, but it's been pretty steady at four and a half Four and half on all sites. I'd like if so if I look at three six five fan duel Draft Kings all of them have the game of four and a half minus 110 fan duel has the juice on the under it minus sorry the Patriots covered up minus 108

minus 112 to cover the spread for the Seahawks not really a significant difference here the overrunners like I said are 45 and a half solid across the board alright let's let's kick it off here what's what are your initial thoughts are you surprised the line stayed pretty stagnant over the last two weeks or is it right where it needs to be

Austin From... You Know Where (11:32)
so me personally, my thoughts on this spread have changed. Last week I was saying four and a half is pretty locked in and obviously the lines or the people in the line makers seems to have gotten it right. Cause it's still four and a half, you know, I doubt we have any changes by now, but who knows, you know, money and briefcases can change things. ⁓ but honestly, you know, I've taken a step back and looked at this game and I now think honestly, ⁓ I guess, you know, giving this spread, got kind of got to tell how I think this game is going to go.

Kyle Blondin (11:49)
This can.

Austin From... You Know Where (12:00)
I think that the Seahawks are gonna win by double digits in this game. I think if I was the line maker, wouldn't be four and a half, it'd be six and a half, because I'm saying they're a touchdown better, but I think they're gonna win this football game by two touchdowns. So I think, you know, I think you'd take advantage of this four and a half line. think the Seahawks are at least a touchdown better, if not two. So I'm gonna say that the line's wrong.

Kyle Blondin (12:06)
oooo

Okay, I like it. You know, that's what we want to hear here. You see this lion as a big mistake. Have you jumped on it yet?

Austin From... You Know Where (12:38)
⁓ I mean I a little bit nothing nothing serious, but I I think I'm actually gonna focus more just just like a smaller bet on actually them winning by double digits like my let's say minus nine and a half So that that's kind of the the minus nine and a half is kind of what I'm focused on I know it's a little crazy a little ballsy But I just have a feeling that's the way this game is gonna go, you know I I also do you know this whole year been going on big darn old guy big supporter of Sam Darn

Kyle Blondin (12:44)
Okay.

Yeah, we

heard, we've heard.

Austin From... You Know Where (13:07)
And I think,

and I think I have genuine excitement. That's one of my favorite things about the Super Bowl. like if Sam Darnold and they're the favorites already, but if it's like they get it done, it's like, think it's obviously Sam Darnold gets a lot of respect. You know, he is a massive part of this team success. Of course.

Kyle Blondin (13:25)
So I gotta assume that your thought that the Seahawks are pretty much gonna run the table here. They're gonna win by double digits has shaped your plays that we're gonna hear as the podcast develops. Is that accurate?

Austin From... You Know Where (13:34)
⁓ yes, yes,

but I also made sure for people that want to go on the line, the side of the Patriots to have a couple of Patriots props that I think are going to come through as well. Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (13:44)
Patriots props got it and then

I guess the way I look at this is that I came in this morning in all week and if anybody asked me But who what side I like I said look I I just got this feeling that Seahawks are gonna smash the Patriots right now. They're a juggernaut But I always had the comment as well that I have I have the right to change my mind so I'm not walked in until a kickoff and then

When I was going through these plays and kind of finalizing this morning, I was looking at I crossed, you know, I put the big, you know, highlighter on Seahawks to cover that four and a half. And then I was going through the through the props. Patriot players started popping up. You know, I felt that they were undervalued. I'll get into what those are in a bit. And then I'm like, well, maybe they can hang in this game. Am I ready to say Patriots money line? Absolutely not. But will I be surprised that this is a three or four point game?

I tend to think so. So now I've switched to that the Patriots will cover. I feel that it does hinge on your boy shit in the bed, right? Like, know, Darnal, like, I mean, I feel like that is part of what I'm banking on that he's going to feel that pressure. He's going to turn the ball over early in the game and he's going to have like flashbacks of being in a jet uniform and a Carolina uniform and like, I'm like,

Austin From... You Know Where (15:05)
You're making me sick.

Kyle Blondin (15:09)
newspaper headline that this guy's a bust. It's going to come and hit him and he's going to be shell shocked the rest of the game is going to have like multiple turnovers. But ⁓ yeah, so we look at things a little differently here. I think the the Patriots keep this close and I believe that over under wise. I want to say over I want to say I'll say over but my that's with my heart that's with my you know I'm sitting there watching I don't want to have like it's field goal fest.

So I'm to say over, but I'm not going to promote it that I feel very good about it. What's your thoughts on the over under?

Austin From... You Know Where (15:45)
So I'm actually taking the over but I'll actually give you my exact score prediction for the game. So I think the Seahawks are going win this game 31-17. So that puts the game at... Yeah, so that puts the point total of the game at 48. So I'm going with the over 45 and a half. Like I said, you know, I think the Seahawks are going win by two touchdowns. I think, you know, I have a feeling the way the game is going to play out early in the game, you know, maybe tied at a touchdown and then I see the Seahawks...

Kyle Blondin (15:47)
BOW!

Okay.

31 is 17. Okay.

Austin From... You Know Where (16:13)
taking the lead in the second quarter running away with it

Kyle Blondin (16:15)
Okay, that's a good point. Let's try to predict the score here. So I see, I'm to say 24, 21 Seahawks. Just under. No, no, I can't do that because I said the over. So let's do this. Let's do 27, 24 Seahawks. Yeah. So that's kind of our initial thoughts here on the big normal plays. That is the spread and that is the over under.

Austin From... You Know Where (16:23)
2421.

2724 Seahawks, okay.

Kyle Blondin (16:43)
Let's talk about commitments here. You committed as a non-flay of fish guy to remind the audience what's on the line here.

Austin From... You Know Where (16:53)
So if Sam Darnold wins MVP and the Seahawks win the Super Bowl, I will eat a double Filet-O-Fish patty. Not patty, sorry, patty burger on the podcast. I've even, yeah, in full. And I've even upped the challenge to try to finish it in under a minute, but we'll see how goes.

Kyle Blondin (17:01)
Okay.

in full.

Okay. All right. So that's, ⁓ the challenge has been provided. The lines are drawn. So you're committed to it's on public record right now for the millions listening at home, our live streaming audience on YouTube and Facebook. So thank you for those out there. We appreciate you guys joining us. ⁓ also let's get into the MVP discussion right now. So obviously, ⁓ one of the big bets is the focus on who will take home.

Super Bowl MVP. I mean it could be anybody you never know what's gonna happen Who's gonna stand out? But I really have noted down four players here to discuss and you can obviously throw in any candidate for MVP and value you see for anybody I didn't mention but You have Sam Darnold And I only I couldn't for whatever reason for Beth 365. I couldn't find the MVP unless I'm using DK and fan duel here So Sam Darnold on DK's plus 120

and a fan duel is only plus 115 so obviously if you do like Sam Darnold and you're ready to wager DraftKings is the place to go if you have to use those two sites Drake May plus 240 on DraftKings plus 230 on FanDuel still again better value on DraftKings in Jigma Jackson Smith and Jigma plus 500 on DK but better value on FanDuel applies plus 550 and equal at plus 850 Kenneth Walker the third

Those are the four I've jotted down here. Any discussion on those four who you think is going to take it home or is there another candidate that you see potentially taking home the MVP?

Austin From... You Know Where (18:43)
So I feel like sometimes betting these MVPs for a single game can be a bit of a crapshoot. So I didn't ask myself, you know, who's most likely to win. I looked at these numbers and I said, what brings me the greatest value? You know, what number do I think is the greatest discount? And, you know, using the FanDuel spread, I think JSN at 550 is a great play. I think, you know, my prediction for him this game...

I think he has two touchdowns receiving with over 120 yards and I think he establishes himself as the Super Bowl MVP and then potentially is the number one wide receiver in football after this game. we will have to see. That is what I think is going to play out. But at 550, it's like even if those aren't the odds that maybe Sam Darnold, because he's still the guy that passes to him.

Kyle Blondin (19:12)
Ooh.

Austin From... You Know Where (19:39)
I understand that, but I think at 550 it's just too hard to pass up.

Kyle Blondin (19:43)
Yeah, it's a good point. mean, and Jigba is on the threshold of maybe being considered the top guy, the guy at the wide receiver. He wins, you know, the offensive player of the year, uh, in the NFL on Thursday. So he's already been recognized and, uh, you know, he's very well, he'd be plus 100 yards here in this game, multiple touchdowns. Like you talked about, he's definitely an impact player, but I do believe that the quarterbacks, you know, you would think that

you know the MVP voting would start from scratch. Let's watch the game. Let's see how it plays out. But I really believe that right now if it's a bland game and really there's nobody that sticks out, it's either if Seattle wins, Darnold's guy, New England wins, May's the guy. I mean it's for them to lose the MVP voting. So there's going to be a need for somebody to have a massive game. And the concern I have with Njigba is that if he has a massive game, there's a chance that Sam Darnold has a massive game.

And I think people will lean to the story that you even mentioned that he's, you know, an underdog. You know, when I mean underdog is that he was drafted third overall by the New York Jets that faltered. He bounced around the NFL comes back last year to Minnesota. Surprisingly gets a start after JG McCarthy gets injured, has a phenomenal season. However, there were question marks that could he do it again? And Mike McDonald taking a chance to get rid of Geno Smith, bringing it Sam Darnold saying, this is my guy.

play action system we're going to do and he fit perfectly and now we're at the biggest moment of his career. That's the whole story, right? That's the, that's the story that people want to see is a success story like Sam Darnold. So I believe it's going to be hard for him to lose. So I would tend to think that one of the quarterbacks is going to take the MVP. I like your argument. like your rationale, but if there's value, we're talking, I think the eight 50 with Kenneth Walker, the third to me provides that value.

And if he goes off tomorrow, ⁓ he could separate himself from the quarterback performance based on yards after the catch, rushing yards, touchdowns. He's been a real juggernaut for the Seattle Seahawks. He has been lights out. Kenneth Walker has not been in league that long. He's only been in league for a couple of years. He actually had a better season, his rookie season, than he did last year, or sorry, this year, which surprised me statistically. But the last few playoff games,

in the last few games in critical situations at the end of the year, he was dominant. He was running downhill, making guys miss, going through guys, catching the ball. He was everywhere, right? Just a difference maker. So I see the value there at the plus 850 for Kenneth Walker III. Not the second, not the first. Make sure we got a note down, Kenneth Walker III. All right? Take that, Flayofish.

Austin From... You Know Where (22:31)
I like Yeah, no, I really

like that one too You know I seen I actually I didn't write it down because I didn't take it But I seen there was a prop for him to get five rush yards every quarter and I seen that had some great odds So I don't I can't name the odds off the top my head But that might be worth the look for you It might have been like three or four to one just for him to get five rush yards every quarter You know, I thought it was very interesting But I'll die back and do it. I'll come back at a prop with you

You know, I'll start off with the guys we've already talked about with JSN and Sam Darnold. So, one thing that I really like this game because I think, you know, the Seahawks are going to really lay it on here. And I'm not saying Sam Darnold, I don't think he's going to shit the bed, but I can see him having a pick or two. I think that's why I lean more to JSN winning the MVP. But I think Sam Darnold, that three passing touchdowns at plus 350 is actually ⁓ a great pick. You know, I think this team's going to put up points and, you know, Sam Darnold's not one to run it.

Kyle Blondin (23:14)
Cool.

Okay.

Wow.

Austin From... You Know Where (23:29)
in for himself too often and I think these balls are scored through the air. I know it might go little against the Kenneth Walker argument. I still see the value there at what the odds are. ⁓ But I'll come out with one more and. ⁓ Yep, sure.

Kyle Blondin (23:43)
Hold on, give me a second here. let's, ⁓ let me

write that down. Three passing. So you like value on darn old three passing touchdowns. What was the, what site and what was the odds on that one?

Austin From... You Know Where (23:54)
⁓

So today I was more focused on ⁓ the bets that I liked. I should have shopped odds more, but I didn't. So all my bets today will be coming from FanDuel. And the odds on Sam Darnold with three passing touchdowns on FanDuel is plus 350.

Kyle Blondin (24:03)
Okay.

Okay, that's good value.

Austin From... You Know Where (24:10)
Yeah, I thought so too.

Kyle Blondin (24:11)
Okay, so we'll get into more of the, we're gonna talk passing right now so that if you have any more passing related items we'll get into it. And we also, I also have a section where we're gonna talk about special situations like bets that you wouldn't normally bet and it's not necessarily ⁓ along these lines of like.

running, rushing, and blah blah blah. Some are, but some are not. So going into passing right now. So let's go to the book. I got the big old book here of massive notes ⁓ to get us through this. So we have three sections here. Passing yardage right now. throughout the week, I mean, it's jumped up a couple yards here and there. ⁓ So the fan duel, passing over under for passing yards.

So FanDuel closed it or is currently 221.5 for Drake May, 229.5 for Sam Darnold, both up a yard from when it opened or the last time I checked actually. ⁓ Bet365 has had more of radical ⁓ shift so they opened up at 218.5 and now Drake May is up to 222.5 so money must have come in on the over on that passing total at Bet365 and then also a two yard increase Sam Darnold

at bet 365 is a 232.5 it was a 230.5. DK 223.5 for Drake May 231.5 for Sam Darnold so do you like if we focus on any of those do you like either quarterback to have a massive passing game sounds like you do with Darnold but what are your thoughts on the passing garbage

Austin From... You Know Where (25:47)
I actually think that ⁓ both teams are gonna have a lot of passing arts this game, so I'm actually going with over on both these totals.

Kyle Blondin (25:55)
So let's look at this. Like if you are shopping your lines, you wouldn't take that 365 because you have Sam Darnold 232 and a half while you can get it at 229 and a half on FanDuel. That's a three yard difference, which could be critical on that. And also 221 and a half, which is a yard better than 365 and two yards better than DraftKings. So 221 and a half on Drake May. I'll follow you there. I think I like the over.

Austin From... You Know Where (26:08)
Yes.

Kyle Blondin (26:21)
Somebody's gonna have a massive game and somebody's gonna be chasing and have to put the ball in the air. I think these totals are too low. Okay. Passing touchdowns. Does any quarterback, and I think you already answered this, have ⁓ over two or more passing touchdowns? You think Sam Darnold is? Are you ready to bet it?

Austin From... You Know Where (26:25)
Exactly.

⁓ I was like, ⁓ for,

Kyle Blondin (26:41)
If I said, you like three,

but if I said two or more, do you feel comfortable betting Sam Darnold at minus 108? Okay?

Austin From... You Know Where (26:47)
yes I would, Yes, I might,

you know, obviously I'm going to be looking at that three because I'm on play some smaller bets here. So, you know, I might be going for that, you know, high upside a little bit. You know, there's so many bets here in play. So I like to go for a bunch of those. So I'll be leaning more towards three. But yeah, of course I would bet two and I would feel extremely comfortable about two. Maybe so much so throw it in a parlay, you know. I think two is like almost definite. So definitely bet.

Kyle Blondin (26:56)
Mm-hmm.

Okay, so Drake May is plus 134 to get two passing touchdowns. I'm a little iffy on that one because not to say that they won't be successful, but I could see them, you know, getting stalled in the one yard line and quarterback sneak in or Drake May scrambling or, ⁓ you know, you know, I just don't see it as ⁓ a good pick to lean on ⁓ Drake May to have two passing touchdowns. It could happen, but I'm not confident about it.

Austin From... You Know Where (27:42)
Yeah, I You

know, I'm not confident and it's not a bet but it might be a lean just because in my prediction for this game I said the Patriots put up 17 points and I think two of those are passing touchdowns. So I actually do think he gets those two passing touchdowns But not confident enough to bet it, know, obviously if I'm thinking Donald's gonna throw three obviously I'm gonna take the two but the two for May here is kind of like a 50-50 for in my head

Kyle Blondin (27:57)
Okay.

Okay. And then longest completion right now, FanDuel has, if you like the overs has the best odds, 32 and a half for Drake May's longest completion, Sam Darnold 35 and a half. So if you like, you like the over in any of those long completions.

Austin From... You Know Where (28:24)
Honestly, I say I like it for Darnold. I don't like it for me. I don't like it for me

Kyle Blondin (28:28)
Okay.

So would you tend to take the under then for Drake May and then that way you would shift to DK or Pet 365 where you get it at 33 and a half which would be better if you like the under. Okay. So Sam Darnold, Drake May not so much. All right. Past completions we have Drake May 20 and a half.

Austin From... You Know Where (28:40)
Yes, I would. I would.

Kyle Blondin (28:51)
plus 106 19 and a half for Sam Darnold at minus 122 looking across the board yep well the the ⁓ fan dual is the plus for Drake May but you can get DraftKings at 19 and a half versus 20 and a half but the juice is minus 128 and Sam Darnold right now is 19 and a half on fan dual but 20 and half from both other sites so ⁓ depends on what you like here I mean do you feel that Drake May is gonna complete at least 20 passes

Austin From... You Know Where (29:21)
I do, yes.

Kyle Blondin (29:23)
Okay. What about 21 passes?

Austin From... You Know Where (29:25)
⁓ yeah, I would say he throws 23-24 passes.

Kyle Blondin (29:29)
Well, remember, completions. Completions. So you can throw them, but people's gotta catch them. Yeah, so, yeah.

Austin From... You Know Where (29:31)
Yeah, I Think it's gonna be a lot of short yardage yardage scenarios because they are gonna in my head in my head

You know Seattle is gonna win by multiple touchdowns. So the Patriots are gonna have to throw that ball ⁓ To try to stay in the game, right? I don't think it will always be successful drives, but I think there'll be a lot of throwing so I'm taking this

Kyle Blondin (29:47)
Yeah. Yeah.

Yeah, so this is where things can go awry for the New England Patriots, right? The Seattle defense is lights out, right? They get pressure. They harass, you know, their opposition. Now I'm hoping based on, you know, the Patriots covering the spread and these little totals, I think the betting public believes that Drake May is going to be under duress throughout the entire game. But you're going to see when we talk about other areas of props that

Austin From... You Know Where (30:03)
Yes.

Kyle Blondin (30:20)
I do believe they can be successful, but it might be dink and dunk kind of short yardage to guys that may be not a case on booty who's going be down the field, for example. So I agree with you. I think you'll have at least 20. And if you believe as you do that the Seahawks will be in double digits lead, guess who's got to throw the ball, right? He's got to throw the ball. So that should be a good bet. Okay. I like it. All right. We're to stop there. Go ahead. Yeah, go ahead.

Austin From... You Know Where (30:41)
Exactly, exactly.

⁓ just be, yeah. ⁓ if

I apologize, if we're on the topic of, you know, receptions, do you want my props that I'm taking that fall in line with it? Okay. Okay. No problem. But yeah, well, we're okay. Okay.

Kyle Blondin (30:53)
Not yet, because we're not on receptions yet. We're not on receptions yet. Calm down. I need you to calm down. I'm just kidding.

Okay, so because I'm to get to specifically the receiving yards. So I want to talk concrete. So let's get that super bowl concrete fact that everybody tunes in for. Let's do it.

Austin From... You Know Where (31:12)
Okay, so this is actually a good one. Bringing it back to World War II days, believe. ⁓ giant concrete ears, or acoustic mirrors, were built in Britain in World War II to detect enemy aircraft flying overhead. These sound mirrors amplified the noise of ⁓ aircraft engines up to 20 miles away, which allowed the British military to detect incoming planes 15 minutes before they arrived. So imagine, just spherical concrete structures, you know, not a...

Kyle Blondin (31:14)
Okay.

Okay.

Austin From... You Know Where (31:42)
I mean very, very innovative, but soon after they were built, radar detection technology made them obsolete. But many of these unused structures still stand ⁓ at the coast of southern England.

Kyle Blondin (31:44)
Great.

That's that's an interesting but imagine let you invest in this business like holy shit. We got something here. We have a miracle World War two invention to save us early detection and some asshole a month later creates radar Some asshole comes in guys cement great, but radar. Yeah Yeah, that's I mean that's up there with the phone book right like it's

Austin From... You Know Where (32:03)
Yeah

Yeah. Right? Like, I hope this guy got at least a year. I hope he got at least a good year out of it, you know?

Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (32:26)
I get it and it's crazy what people come up with but how fast was that company out of business? you know setting these things up like that fast. Holy shit. Alright so thanks for the concrete fact. We'll continue to keep it keep collecting that information sharing with us. That's what we want. That's what the viewers want to see. So we get on to now we're going to talk rushing. Alright we're to talk running backs or whoever's going to rush. Alright.

Austin From... You Know Where (32:32)
Right?

Kyle Blondin (32:55)
So we get into this and right now, yeah, this is a varied line, right? Kenneth Walker, his low total is on currently on Draft King. He dropped two yards and sitting at 70 and a half for his rushing total while FanDuel and Breath365 still have him at 72 and a half. Kenneth Walker is going to be the focal point here. the guy that's going to have the ball in his hands the most with the potential to be dominant. Can he rush?

for 73 yards over 70 yards in this game. Where do you see Kenneth Walker's performance?

Austin From... You Know Where (33:27)
Uh, you know, I'll be honest, the way that in my head this wave plays out is, uh, for you, it seems like you're more on the line of this is going to be a run dominated game, if I'm not mistaken, but I think there's going to be a lot of passing. So I definitely think there's a good chance, uh, Kenneth Walker hits this mark, but I'm more thinking he's around 80, not necessarily a hundred. So it's like, I think it could go either way. I think it'll get a touchdown for sure. Um, but I, because I think the game script is going to go f-

the way of both teams passing, I want to stay away from the high rush totals because I can't have like 500 total yards in this game. So I have to stick true. Stay true.

Kyle Blondin (34:06)
Okay, all right.

the ⁓ other notable running backs here that have Ramon Stevenson of the Patriots. He's sitting at 49 and a half on FanDuel, 50 and a half on the other sites. I'm not going to lean my hopes that he's going to have a game. Sometimes he's dominant, sometimes he doesn't show up. And who knows how dominant the Seattle defense will be. I do believe there's value though. And this is a guy who's fell off the radar. He had a spurt of great, you know, highlight reels runs.

and I think with two weeks to prepare and put him back into a opportunity to be successful, Trevion Henderson, I think there is value here for Trevion Henderson. He has struggled the last few games. Like he doesn't feel like he finds any holes at all, but he had that period of time while Stevenson was out. And he broke a lot of big runs for touchdowns in multiple games, right? And he's kind of gone silent and been put to the side. But I think with the two weeks,

They're gonna have to try using him more and put him in to be successful and I think these totals are way too low for him. So he's at 18 and a half yards. I like the over all three sites have it. So FanDuel has it minus 110. I'm gonna take Trivion Henderson over. I think he's gonna be, he's underutilized in the betting circle but reality is gonna be utilized more than he has been the last few ⁓ minutes, minutes, few games. ⁓ And then just other guys, you really think Drake May is gonna be taken off?

in this game he's got a 35 and a half rushing total here do you see him being on the run a lot in this game

Austin From... You Know Where (35:42)
⁓ don't. Like I said, I see this game heavy passing. There is one player who I'd like your thoughts. I have one player for the overrushing and it comes at a plus 430 for five yards. ⁓ This is not a bet I would make on a week to week basis. This is a bet that I think you try to utilize your best player and ⁓ I think JSN.

Kyle Blondin (35:51)
Okay.

Austin From... You Know Where (36:07)
for five rushing yards, for five rushing yards at plus 430 is a great bet. know, in the Super Bowl, you always have ⁓ these crazy kind of scheme plays, right? And I just think we see one or two of these chances. Maybe he gets seven or eight yards, you know? It's first down, they rush him on the outside, he scores eight yards. At four to one, at more than four to one, 4.3 to one, I think this is great value. So this is one of the fun Super Bowl kind of bets I like to make, and that is...

Kyle Blondin (36:07)
Hmm.

Wow.

Austin From... You Know Where (36:36)
the one rush total that I'm coming to you guys with today.

Kyle Blondin (36:39)
I didn't bother jotting him down here because he was way down the list. What was his total again?

Austin From... You Know Where (36:43)
So his total was five rushing yards for plus 430. I think I saw five, so I don't know if it's a push, but I wrote, I wrote it down. It's this is from FanDuel rush totals.

Kyle Blondin (36:46)
So four and a

I gotta believe that there's a four and half in there. I gotta believe. Do your research. Get in there. Okay, so that's a good sneaky find, because you're right, they have two weeks and you want to get the ball in your dominant player's hands. ⁓ I do believe that's value, right? And you know, a lot of these lines are built on what we've seen the last 18 weeks plus play-offs, but the two week downtime, I think you do have the opportunity to sneak in

Austin From... You Know Where (36:59)
Here, yeah, you talk, I'll look.

Kyle Blondin (37:23)
So good value with a place so in Jigba over four and half or five depending on what you find is Plus 430 we'll get back to it. That's okay as you look so longest rush Just trying to think of what stands out here ⁓ Again, like Trevion Henderson his longest rush dropped from seven and a half to six and a half on Beth 365 It's currently at eight and a half on DK and seven and a half on fan duel, but

I like this sneaky play here so uh, Trevion Henderson, undervalued, longest rushed over and I also believe that when I see Sam Darnold at a five and a half his longest rush there's going to be at least one opportunity where you know throughout 60 minutes he runs for a first down or scrambles uh for you know a big you know 20 yard run like that's inevitable I think. What do you think of that? Well what about the longest rushes? Do any of those plays appeal to you?

Austin From... You Know Where (38:17)
so, okay.

So I actually found something better. ⁓ so like I said, I feel like they probably will scheme, something like this maybe once or twice for him. It's, it's in the cards. You know, I think this is what happens. see crafty stuff like this every Superbowl. So I found over half a yard for Jackson Smith and Jigma is plus two 80. So I think over half a yard, ⁓ for Jackson Smith and Jigma at two 80 is better than the one that I found. But if you still think.

Kyle Blondin (38:21)
Okay.

Wow.

Austin From... You Know Where (38:47)
Uh, he rushes over five yards. I'm sure you can find that there's so many bets on here to comb through, but I had that written down at five, five rush yards plus four 30, but to make the safe play, maybe, you know, he does run the ball, but he gets stuffed for one or two yards. Take that over half a yard at plus two 80. think that's a great find.

Kyle Blondin (38:52)
Yeah, I know.

That's good. I'll make one comment. ⁓ Just you reminded me, because I know you're looking for what you think you saw earlier. And I've been going, sifting through the three sites, DraftKings, FanDuel, and Bat365. I felt that DraftKings was pretty easy to navigate when you're jumping back and forth to many of these props. FanDuel, man, it's a, I use FanDuel predominantly. However, man, you really gotta almost take a screenshot.

Where you find certain bets because it's hard to navigate back in a couple of the specials I'll go through later I found like on Tuesday But really struggled to find until this morning where I found it from so fan duel has Again, it's my predominant book I use but I believe there's opportunities to make the navigation a little simpler and I noticed DraftKings and bet 365 Do a better job, especially when you're looking at props of listing the last five games

Austin From... You Know Where (39:46)
it

Kyle Blondin (40:04)
So if you look at like rushing total as an example on Beth 365, you'll see Kenneth Walker and you'll see it listed under his name, the last, his five last five game performance rushing yards, which I think is very helpful because you're doing all that research on your own and it saves you a lot of time and fan dual doesn't do that. And then DraftKings had a nice feature where it actually had the injury report on there too. So I thought that was amazing, right? You're trying to make it so that you have one, a one-stop shop.

And FanDuel, man, you gotta get better, man. You gotta get better. I do like their bonuses. I do like their VIP program. It benefits me, but some of those little add-ons would be beneficial for FanDuel. So I just want to comment on that. I don't know if you find FanDuel challenging to navigate sometimes or is it just me?

Austin From... You Know Where (40:53)
mean, I do find it challenging to navigate, but I think the reason for that is because, like, at least for the Super Bowl, I feel like there's... maybe there's way more options. I can't say that for sure. I haven't done my research. But it just feels like there's so many potential bets to make, and I think that's why I'm having trouble navigating. Usually I don't. But I do also notice that, you know, you have that little search bar to search specific things. And with FanDuel, I feel like I struggle the most to use that.

Kyle Blondin (41:17)
Right.

Austin From... You Know Where (41:20)
search bar when I'm on bet365 it seems very easy

Kyle Blondin (41:23)
agreed alright Sam Darnold you don't see him going for five and a half is a long rush or do you see him ⁓ you would you stay away from that five and a half minus 112

Austin From... You Know Where (41:32)
uh... what's the uh... them i've been have what's

minus one twelve i actually do like that i could seem go for seven or eight yards this game

Kyle Blondin (41:40)
Okay. And then rush and receiving again. I'm searching at Trevion Henderson here. He has a 24 and a half minus one 15 or one 14, sorry, minus one 15 on bet three, six, five. I think he's going to have a game. All right. So I think anything Trevion Henderson, there's some value there. Is there anybody else that stands out to you? Does, does Kenneth Walker both receiving and rushing go past 98 and half yards, which is listed here?

Austin From... You Know Where (42:08)
you know, like I said, I'm not, I think it's going to be heavily passing games. So I'm going to stay away from those, ⁓ rushing totals. Yeah. I'm going to, go with thunder. I'm going to go with thunder actually. You know what? That is still a bet. Yep.

Kyle Blondin (42:14)
Okay, so you want to go with the under.

All right, so we're like halfway through this podcast. We got a ways to go. So speaking of halftime, we got some novelty plays that usually pop up Super Bowl time. Are you excited? We talked about Bad Bunny, he's your fan. What's your hype? Out of 10, how excited are you for the halftime show?

Austin From... You Know Where (42:37)
So I don't know if Green Day is gonna perform but Green Day that would probably be like a nine out of ten and then I would say Bad Bunny's probably like I would say an eight out of ten, know, Bad Bunny's pretty good Yeah, I mean at the end of the day I don't watch the Super Bowl for the halftime show but you know, I Guess let's say with Green Day there eight and a half out of ten total. Maybe nine. You know what nine. This is pretty good

Kyle Blondin (42:47)
Okay.

Okay. I'll say, you know, I really could care less. mean, I'm not against or whatever. Once it's on, I'll check it out, but I'm not really, I'll be focused more on, all right, what's the second half play here? And all that time dedicated to that and making money. But just to help us out, and she didn't want to appear on camera, but the lady from upstairs has secretly slipped under the door, her selections for the novelty picks. So here's some of them. And for the audience out there who do enjoy.

a little wagering on the non-football related items. So, national anthem, length of the last note held under, she says under four and a half seconds. So note that down. First song from Bad Bunny, and forget my Spanish, because I'm not Spanish, is the first song she believes is Titi Mi Pregunta, Pregunto, and then special guest, she has Carol G.

A lot of people are thinking JLo or Cardi B but she's got Carol G. First song headwear, baseball hat. Can't believe we're talking about this. how many times will Cardi B appear on the podcast? This is last one she's noted down. She believes it's gonna be over one and a half. Which makes sense.

Austin From... You Know Where (44:11)
Yeah

Appears

on the podcast?

Kyle Blondin (44:25)
No, not sorry. Did I say podcast? Sorry. I meant ⁓ during the Superbowl. Yes. Cardi B is going to be here. Special guest. Yeah.

Austin From... You Know Where (44:26)
Yeah, she's coming here. Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (44:34)
What do you think any novelty plays are you going to wager anything on any of these off the cuff kind of plays here?

Austin From... You Know Where (44:43)
Put it all in the white Gatorade, everything you have, your house, your car. No, I'm not staying. Okay, no, Anyone taking that seriously, don't do it. I'm staying away from these novelty pics. I was making a joke, all right? But hey, if it's white Gatorade, I still want the credit, but.

Kyle Blondin (44:47)
on the white Gatorade. Not the orange, not the blue, but the white Gatorade.

Okay, this the... somebody just put their mortgage right on.

Yeah, A2H is on. Like, the Super Bowl's like New Year's, It's people coming out that don't normally stay up to midnight that are out there having fun. ⁓ it encourages people to enjoy the game that much more by putting a wager on these novelty plays, I say have at it. ⁓ Other items to enjoy. So, ⁓ we got the squares going for you Super Bowl rookies out there. There is a fun event if you go to your Super Bowl party or your local pub.

Austin From... You Know Where (45:05)
Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (45:28)
is that there's a hundred squares. You write your name in, you pay for, you set it in a dollar amount. So let's say, for example, the squares we're going to put together are going to be $5 a square. You write your name in and you sell all the squares until you complete the five, all of hundred are filled out. You collect the $500. And what happens is once the squares are completed, you draw numbers zero to nine. You put it on the left side of the board. So they'd be in random order.

And you do that again on the top of the board, random order, so that, you know, and you'll list the team up top, you'll list the team on the side, so that at the end of each quarter, the score will dictate who wins. So example, let's say the Seahawks are at the end of the first quarter winning 17-3, you would look at the line for the Seahawks, find where the three is, and go down for the Patriots and find the three. And if that name is yours, you win a certain amount, most likely $100.

And you do that for each quarter. And then here's key, because this question comes up a lot. For the fourth quarter, make sure to stipulate that it's the final score. So if it does go to overtime, that final score dictates who wins, not just the end of the fourth quarter. And usually you put a little bit, you know, I said it was $500. You'd probably make the fourth quarter or end of game maybe 200 instead of 100 for each of the previous quarters. Austin, have you done it before? Have you done the squares?

Austin From... You Know Where (46:52)
yeah, I've done the squares. We did it when the Patriots made that comeback on the Atlanta Falcons. Yep, Buddy Chris came by. I remember I think he won it twice. I think I saw Grandpa Bob win it. I'm not sure.

Kyle Blondin (46:57)
That's right. You're to you're. Yes. Yep. You're

to have to and you're going to be paying for some squares. I just want to give you a heads up now. $3,000. Yeah. That's a live reaction here on live stream anyway. So that is I say anyway a lot don't I anyway. Let's move on. We're going into receiving now. This is the area that I think you're a little more interested in because you do believe there's going to be a lot of throwing.

Austin From... You Know Where (47:06)
Of course, of course.

Hahaha

Kyle Blondin (47:25)
Jigba is gonna have an MVP kind of day. So let's let's get into it and talk where the value is so Jackson Smith and Jigba currently right now is listed as 94 and a half on DraftKings 93 and a half on Beth 365 93 and a half for ⁓ FanDuel So I gotta believe you're thinking he's going over that Yeah

Austin From... You Know Where (47:49)
over yeah i i

i made my prediction with what i think he's going to do i think he's going win supermobile MVP so i think you he cracks a hundred twenty yards today with ⁓ the multiple touchdowns

Kyle Blondin (48:00)
I said this before, think the value here is if you feel he's going to hit that, you know, 93 and a half or more, which he absolutely can. There are times throughout the year where he won't even get a sniff, you know, early on in the game, and then he'll explode at some point and he'll sail past that a hundred yard mark. So if you're a real gambler, which I got to think you are, if you listen to the podcast, you may want to sit on that bet and look for a live play for his receiving yardage.

And if it's wait for the opportunity, don't wait too long, but wait for that opportunity for those yardage numbers to come down. Cause I got to believe at some point he'll get to that 90, a hundred yardage. And, ⁓ it's just kind of like buying a stock at the right time. So, you take that for what it is. You like it to go over. I like, I think there's value here on Stefan Diggs. I think Diggs is going to have a game. Right. And I got him over, ⁓ the 43 and 44 and a half is his current. went up a little bit of yard.

Austin From... You Know Where (48:51)
I do too.

Kyle Blondin (49:00)
I like digs. It sounds like you as well.

Austin From... You Know Where (49:03)
So yeah, I mentioned earlier that I have some stuff for the Patriots fans as well. And you know, I also did mention that I think the Patriots are going to have to throw the ball. So I actually have three passing related props on the side of the Patriots here. And honestly, two of them are on Stefan Diggs and one is on one other receiver. Like to hear it?

Kyle Blondin (49:26)
Who would you like

to Go into the other receiver, sure.

Austin From... You Know Where (49:29)
Okay, the other receiver who we've talked about on this podcast, I've said he's a guy that I like, is K. Sean Booty. And, you know, his over and under at minus 110 is 31 and a half. You know, I think he has 35, 40 yards this game easy. And I think honestly, Stefan Diggs, them being behind in this game, I think he gets some short yardage work. Earlier in the podcast, I said, I didn't think that, you know, the Patriots were going to get a throw reception over 32 and a half yards, I believe. But I have Stefan Diggs.

Kyle Blondin (49:36)
Okay.

Austin From... You Know Where (49:58)
Longest reception at 17.5. I think they try to feed him the ball and over over four and a half receptions at minus 118 I think even though they're behind in this game, you know digs digs is a superstar and he's gonna get some work this game He's gonna get a touchdown,

Kyle Blondin (50:13)
Wow okay wow that's that's quite the ⁓ quite the prediction so digs yeah go ahead.

Austin From... You Know Where (50:18)
I mean, yeah,

I would say dig 60, 70 yards and a touchdown. That being said, you know, I think he gets a lot of short yardage work, a lot of receptions, and I don't think it's necessarily giant plays. Even though I do think he'll get one over 17 and a half, I don't think, you know, a 20 yard reception has to be considered, ⁓ you know, game breaking play. But I think I think he hits that.

Kyle Blondin (50:39)
Okay, and then

I agree with you 100%. I believe he's gonna be a focal point. He's a gamer, right? And that's why they brought him in for these big moments. And when they needed him on that Sunday night against Baltimore, he was 100 plus yards. It just seems he shows up at the right time. And I think there's a lot of value here. Excuse me. Let me get the old water going. A little dry down here, okay? Go ahead, fill the air.

Austin From... You Know Where (51:07)
Yeah, I

think I also think Kaishan Booty I looked at his over totals I didn't look at his reception totals, but you know Kaishan Booty is a guy who's stepped up in a lot of big moments this year You know, he might not be their number one option, but I think he gets a lot of Got it gets a lot of low totals that I think aren't completely justified So I think you take a look at Kaishan Booty and I'm locking in the over 31 and a half yards for him

Kyle Blondin (51:33)
Okay, perfect. Another player I think has a lot of value and fits to what I think is going to be available for the Patriots because there's going to be a lot of pressure. Hunter Henry, tight end, New England Patriots. Right now I like him to go over 38 and a half yards. I think he's going to be a focal point, you know, a secondary, you know what I mean? He may not be the main guy in the play, but he's going to be the check down guy. Check down, check down, Hunter Henry, Hunter Henry, Hunter Henry. And he's going to be ⁓ outside of digs.

I think he'll be more of the focal point and Diggs will pick up on some of the bigger plays. So I like that. Hunter Henry's total. And I also like when it comes to receptions, I like Stefan Diggs to have over four and a half. I think he'll be more of a factor here. And I Hunter Henry at minus 114 at three and a half, he'll have at least four or more receptions. So those are the two guys. And part of the reason why I switched to the Patriots covering because I started to like these props on the New England side.

What kind of game do you see Hunter Henry having?

Austin From... You Know Where (52:33)
I think you're right, know, in a big pressure moment, if somebody was start or if Drake May was to start feeling the pressure, I think ⁓ Henry's that guy. And, you know, I think they're going to be behind in this game. So I think he will, ⁓ you know, I think he'll throw it in four or five times. I think, you know, I think the Patriots are going to pass a lot. And I think Hunter Henry could have easily 40 or 50 yards.

Kyle Blondin (52:56)
Okay, perfect. And then I don't think we can go away from the receiving without talking because he's probably the most interesting player to talk about. Cooper Cup. Cooper Cup, Right now his yardage is over, or at least at the moment, 34.5. 33.5 on DraftKings, 32.5 on FanDuel. So that would be your better play if you like the over. And Cooper Cup long, 16.5 if you like him to have more than that. And Cooper Cup to have, and this has been bouncing around.

Austin From... You Know Where (53:04)
yeah, that is.

Kyle Blondin (53:26)
Do you see him having over three and a half receptions and he's a plus money. What's kind of game, what game predict the game he's going to have.

Austin From... You Know Where (53:32)
That's a-

You know, I, the thing is, is that I want Cooper Cup to have a good game. You know, he was a, he was a top three wide receiver in football at one point. And you know, the dudes, the dudes brought so much entertainment to the league. ⁓ you know, I think, I think he'll contribute.

Three catches for 35 yards.

Kyle Blondin (53:55)
So you're doing this based on nostalgia. Don't let your heart, don't let your heart get into it.

Austin From... You Know Where (53:57)
But, yeah, but I will say, no, I think, I think, even though he doesn't

stuff the sad sheet, I think there's one or two first downs where he comes through. And I think that's, for me, I think that's the game he's gonna have. That being said, I want him to have a bigger game than that. I want him to have a bigger game than 30, 35 yards. ⁓ But I think he'll be right around there. If he had like 50, would I be surprised? No. Anything more than that, yeah, I'd probably be surprised.

Kyle Blondin (54:08)
Okay, so.

Can you check if you got FanDuel up there? Touchdown, anytime touchdown for Cooper Cup.

Austin From... You Know Where (54:30)
Yeah, sure. Just give me a second here.

Kyle Blondin (54:32)
Okay, we'll just pause the podcast here. I'm just, you know, the dead air. I'm just kidding. But Cooper cop is intriguing. He's played a big role, you know, in the last couple of games in the playoffs, got that big first down against the 49ers to kind of ice the game controversial because he lost control of the ball, but was considered down and passed the first down marker. Have you found it yet? Any luck? Okay.

Austin From... You Know Where (54:34)
Yeah.

Yes, I did find it for

Cooper Cup and honestly, I gotta say I am not I don't like the odds It's only it's at plus 260. What are your thoughts? For any time touchdown it's plus 260 personally, I would put it more at a plus 300 plus 350 myself

Kyle Blondin (55:05)
Anytime is for anytime touchdown

Okay, that's fair. Any other comments on any of receiving props? We're going to shift into some game specials next.

Austin From... You Know Where (55:23)
Receiving props. Oh, so let me take a look. No, you know what the only the only I think I've said I've said already the receiving props that I had with Yeah, I can list them again though So I have digs yeah digs digs over four and a half receptions and then I like the digs over 17 and a half For his longest reception yard total

Kyle Blondin (55:27)
Okay.

Okay.

If you want to list them, feel free. Recap. Go for it.

Yep.

Austin From... You Know Where (55:50)
And then I like Keisha Keisha on booty with over 31 and a half receiving yards as well So I have those three props there funny enough. They're all on the Patriot side You know I feel like I don't got to give you guys the over and unders for JSN just because I already told you guys the exact You know to the t numbers. I think he's gonna be the Super Bowl MVP 120 so it's like yeah, go put your money on them or sorry go put your money on JSN I think he dominates this game. I think you know he's already a superstar

Kyle Blondin (55:56)
Okay.

Austin From... You Know Where (56:20)
But like I said, think he establishes himself as the number one ride receiver in football and everyone's like, holy shit, you know what I mean? Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (56:28)
Yeah. Okay. Fair

enough. And just to recap, I'm not going to go through my numbers, but I'll tell you that I like, just like you did, Stefan Diggs, we believe that the yardages and performance you're seeing on these sites is lower than what we think he'll perform at big game in front of Cardi B. You know, he's going to want to put his a game in front of Cardi B, ⁓ a before B. ⁓ yeah, that's terrible. Anyway. ⁓ and I said, anyway, again, ⁓ that should be part of that. If you're listening to the pod and you hear me say, anyway, take a shot, take a shot. Okay.

Austin From... You Know Where (56:58)
I think they'll be dead. I think they'd be dead.

Kyle Blondin (56:58)
We have, what's that? Yeah, that's right, exactly. I've noticed that about myself

here. So I'm gonna, and also Hunter Henry, by the way, Hunter Henry, I believe is undervalued in the props we're seeing here. So you're gonna see some money from my side on Hunter Henry's numbers, longest and sorry, mostly receiving your adage and number of completions. But I'm gonna dive into, and I'll get your comments on there and you can throw in whatever you want is I'm go through backwards. I'm go through DK.

Beth 365 and then FanDuel some of the game specials that these sites are providing FanDuel had predominantly the ones the larger lists I'll get to that last but I thought it'd be good discussion point on some of the ones I think are worth looking at one of the ones I kind of like and the ones you're definitely gonna see some money down from this side on on some of these plays so I'm gonna start with DraftKings are you ready are you ready let's do this okay

Austin From... You Know Where (57:50)
I'm ready. I'm ready. So just give it yes or no if I

like it. Yes or no.

Kyle Blondin (57:55)
I can discuss it like it I'll tell you if I like it you can absolutely comment when whatever you like. So DraftKings has total number of turnovers in the game by both teams. Is over two and a half gets you even money. And think about we witnessed the game with Drake made they had what four turnovers three turnovers in one game against Houston Sam Darnold you know has you know it could turn the ball over.

I mean, both these quarterbacks can be in a situation where they're throwing up a Hail Mary at the end of the first half and get that easy pick. ⁓ So I like this. I'm taking this for sure that there's going to be at least three or more turnovers in this game.

Austin From... You Know Where (58:34)
I'll take a two, not a confident one, but if I had to guess the amount of turnovers in this game, the number would be three. So, give me a lean to that side.

Kyle Blondin (58:40)
Okay.

Okay, so you're warm to it, but you're not like on it.

Austin From... You Know Where (58:45)
I like it, I don't love

it. You know, it's like I wouldn't say lock it in, but if I had to choose, that's the side.

Kyle Blondin (58:55)
Okay. Now this one I'm not going to bet, but I thought it was interesting and we'll see if you ever see value on it. A red zone interception. So for those out there that are maybe love football, but maybe you don't know the vernacular, the red zone is this, when they're within the opposition's 20 yard line or less to the end zone. So hence the red zone channel that when a team's in 20 yards or less to potentially score ⁓ a touchdown or a field goal.

They trying to flip over that game because it's called red zone. So red zone interception over just one or more plus three 30.

Austin From... You Know Where (59:31)
I, you know what, it is great value. That I wasn't expecting it to be through 30. I wasn't expecting to be three 30 and now I kind of like it. So I will say, yeah, I will say yes. I will say yes for that value. Yes. If it drops under 300, I wouldn't take it, but I could see it happening.

Kyle Blondin (59:41)
Catches your attention, doesn't it?

Okay. And then ⁓ this one I do like, I don't know if I'll take it, is they have, DraftKings a lot of head to head bets, which are great. You know, there's a lot of opportunities. can either bet one player versus another on yardage, et cetera, or a head to head. What the hell was this? man. rushing yards. That's right. Head to head, but combined.

Drake may and Sam Darnold to have a combined rushing total of over 44 and a half at minus 110. Do you see value there at all? Again, this is not something I'm taking or I'm don't like it. Okay. You didn't like you didn't like, okay. But we'll move on from that. And then this one I do like, okay. Cause remember I said, I saw value in Trevion Henderson. So Trevion Henderson plus George, uh, I can't remember what is the guy's name? George Hall and all whatever's the other running back. Um,

Austin From... You Know Where (1:00:29)
I don't like that one. I don't like it at all.

Kyle Blondin (1:00:50)
or fullback or something over a combined 33 and a half yards minus 113. I like that one. Mark it down. I think there's value here. Okay. So let me bet 365. I didn't have many on Bet365 before I get the fan duel, but I did like the one play is they have milestones. If you've ever checked that out in Bet365, they have milestones or a section called milestones. So, and this is kind of like a two in one bet. It's not a combo bet.

I'm just covering all angles here, because I think one of them at least will pay off. So if you have Drake May to throw two or more interceptions, that's a plus 400. Sam Darnold is plus 350 to throw two or more interceptions. Well, one of these guys, in your belief, have two interceptions in this game, and if you do, you're going to make plus money that if you put $100 on both, you're coming out with $100 or more.

if one of them does one of them does not throw two picks your feelings

Austin From... You Know Where (1:01:52)
Yeah, well,

I 100 % like that one because my prediction for the game is three. So obviously that means either one of them is going to have three or one of them is going to have two. you know what I mean? So I also agree with you and I like that one. I'll take it as well.

Kyle Blondin (1:02:02)
Okay.

Okay, alright, before I get to FanDuel, is there any special game specials that you had you wanted to, I'll let you throw one out there.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:02:15)
I had just a this is just a teaser throw in if somebody's building a parlay. It was Stefan Diggs to record a 10 yard reception at minus 800. I know it's not great, but I just can't imagine a game. I don't know if you like that one, but I can't imagine a game where like the Super Bowl where Stefan Diggs doesn't have over 10 yard reception. But that was just like a parlay throw in. Oh, sorry, sorry, sorry, sorry. My bad, my bad. Stefan Diggs to have 10 total yards. That's my bad. That's my bad.

Kyle Blondin (1:02:38)
Okay, so let's let's talk about this. Okay.

Okay, so minus 800. Could you fit that into a same game parlay you think that would add value to that same game parlay? Well, I mean, remember it's minus 800. Normally if you're betting that straight up, unless you got wads of money, you would probably bet 800 to win 100. But how would you incorporate it into your betting that wager?

Austin From... You Know Where (1:02:45)
That's very different at minus 800.

like a specific one you mean

Yeah.

Yeah.

So the reason why I bring you guys this is because like I said, you know, we got a lot of these boosted parlays, but sometimes you have to hit three legs, you know? So if you're like me and you you think this is like a guaranteed teaser, and you also think the Seahawks are going to win, just throw in the Seahawks. Maybe you want to put in the total in there too that you chose. And then you have this ⁓ kind of easy hit that gets you over the...

the three leg requirement. So that's kind of the reason why I came with this. You know, it's not a sexy one or anything. It's just a little throw in.

Kyle Blondin (1:03:42)
Okay, so it's kind of like in your back pocket because some of the promotions out there require you to get the plus money on your same game parlay and if you're close to that even money maybe throw that in to push you over the edge. Okay, okay, fair enough. And again, same game parlays everybody. I know there might be a lot of rookies out there listening to the podcast, looking at betting on the Super Bowl for the first time. Same game parlays are exciting. We'll talk about them. We'll even take them, but let's be clear.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:03:54)
Yeah, exactly.

Kyle Blondin (1:04:11)
They're sucker bets. You're not going to win consistently at sports gambling by sport, same game parlays. I don't care what you hear on Instagram. There's a lot of shit on Instagram that people, I'm an expert. I got the 16 fucking parlay and I paid off. Don't get caught up into that. mean, it's a same game parlays are exactly what DraftKings and Fandil want you to do. All right. That's how they bank their profits.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:04:35)
They're getting,

at some point they're just getting you to buy a lottery ticket.

Kyle Blondin (1:04:40)
That's right. That's right. man, I had a point like I came across earlier in the week and I forgot about it. It's something about same game parlays maybe or restrictions or something where they just put the boots to you on, you know, dropping your ability to win. So just damn it. I forgot it.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:04:57)
I Yeah,

I also I want to come out you with one more that caught my eye I know we're kind of coming back here or maybe it should have been mentioned earlier But Austin Hooper at two receptions at plus 182

Kyle Blondin (1:05:01)
Yep, sure go ahead.

Is there a bias there? Because of his name? The hoops? Okay. Okay. Okay.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:05:13)
Yeah. No, I, yeah. ⁓ no, I just think if,

⁓ you know, we're talking about, ⁓ Hunter Henry here, right? So it's like, you know, maybe if Hunter Henry's not that guy, ⁓ you got this backup parlay giving you a lot of plus money here at 182. You know, it's not, it doesn't take a lot for guy to cash two balls.

Kyle Blondin (1:05:20)
value. Yeah.

Okay.

Fair enough, fair enough. That's a good play, good value. And again, Super Bowl creates these different game plans and maybe Austin Hooper's got a set of plays just for him. We'll see. I think that's a pick. So I'm going to start us off with the fan duel one and some plays are more for consideration and more chat, not a locked play by me by any means. But I thought there was value in Kenneth Walker and Stevenson, Demondre Stevenson.

to have each five or more yards in each quarter at plus 490.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:06:06)
⁓ Yeah, sorry. think that's the one I mentioned earlier in the

podcast that I found, but lost. So yeah, I actually, ⁓ I liked that one. You know, I, I don't necessarily think it's going to be a heavy run game, but I think those runs get incorporated, ⁓ and we can get those yards, those five yards each quarter. That's for each running back.

Kyle Blondin (1:06:12)
Okay, I found it.

Right.

Okay.

Yeah, they both have to each have five yards in each of the quarters.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:06:29)
yeah

so you think they'll get that as well

Kyle Blondin (1:06:32)
I think there's value to it, but I'm always skeptical that why is the value so good for something that looks so easy? What does, what does somebody know that I don't know? Right? Is there a fat guy with a cigar right now walking in a Circa in Vegas dropping down a, you know, duffel bag of like dirty money to throw on this play or, or, you know, something he knows about D'Andre Stevenson's got like a torn ACL and we just don't know about it or, know, somebody knows something that we don't. So that's, I like it, but what am I missing?

Austin From... You Know Where (1:06:58)
Yeah,

it's funny you say that whenever I see a super boost and it's like on a player like a Luka 20 points with five assists and it's like, what the hell that should be easy. I always think there's some shady stuff going on. I'm like, they know that for some reason he's not supposed to score these tonight or something like that. Somebody ran the simulation.

Kyle Blondin (1:07:05)
Right.

Yes.

Yeah, like I mean, somebody ran the simulations

ahead of us. That's right. So the, I'll tell you about a play I made earlier this week. I had a hockey bet. said, you know what? Let me do a game special. And I put in, there was 10 hockey games. I think it was Tuesday or Wednesday. can't remember exactly or Monday. can't, whatever, whatever day it was. And you can bet a plus money and good money that there would be at least four goals scored in each of the games that night. Right? So.

There were some iffy games I thought maybe a two nothing game, three nothing game here. The one game that I thought was a for sure probably over five and a half, much less score four goals was Colorado playing at home against Detroit. When you think of the NHL, the highest scoring team are the Colorado Avalanche. The best record in the NHL, Colorado Avalanche. Probably the worst place you don't want to go and play on the road is Colorado. Every nine games, four goals or more.

But the Colorado Avalanche lose 2-0 at home to the Detroit Red Wings. They lose 2-0 at home. They just blanked the Red Wings 5-0 a couple nights earlier. But at home, with Nathan McKinnon, Kale McCarr, Natchez, and all the weapons that they have, they can't score a fucking goal. And that's the game that doesn't get me the win. Unbelievable, outrageous, and the but, I'm the sucker, those are the kind of bets they're not going to consistently win.

and the books want you to take so sham on me but it's just a pain just anger that came over me by that's the game if it would have been Ottawa Pittsburgh fine but Colorado can't score home like this ridiculous okay we're back on track let's get back on track calm down let's calm down so game day specials which I think are a better value in the Super Bowl so what about Jackson Smith and Jigba and Stefan Diggs to have at least 25 yards they both have to do it

in each of the halves at plus $600, a plus 600.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:09:16)
For 600, I like it. I like it as a fun bet. I don't necessarily think it's going to happen, but at a six to one odds, I might still consider it. I do have one in front of me too. So I actually think that Stefan Diggs has a good first half and doesn't have a great second half. And because of that as well, I see this one bet at minus 111. Stefan Diggs for over six and a half in the first quarter receiving yards. And I really like that.

Kyle Blondin (1:09:33)
Mmm.

Yeah.

Okay, there you go. Okay, perfect. ⁓ Interesting, I didn't think I was gonna bring this up, but you believe Seattle's gonna dominate this game? You can get, with the largest lead of the game, be over 14 and a half of plus money. So if you believe that at any point Seattle will be 15 points or better than the Patriots at any point during this game tomorrow, a plus 106?

Austin From... You Know Where (1:09:43)
That will definitely be added to Parlay.

⁓ I think they could be, but my,

I think they could be, but my, my score prediction is only they win by 14. So I don't think, ⁓ I don't think they have that total because I think, the Patriots keep it close in the first quarter, you know, maybe Seattle gets a touchdown lead and then they win by another touchdown by the end of it.

Kyle Blondin (1:10:15)
Okay.

Got it. Okay. All right. So here we go. We're getting to more of the juicier ones here. The ones I like a lot. I like a lot this these next couple and these are going to get locked in maybe some point today and we're not going to let these ones pass. And I believe that these are undervalued total players to record a pass over two and a half. So a pass attempt, not even a reception like a pass completion.

total players to record a pass over two and a half of plus 132 this means obviously you got Sam Darnold Obviously you got Drake May Well, we'll make a pass attempt. So you got two already You have the opportunity potential that one of them gets injured and somebody else has to come in quarterback You have to believe over the two weeks. There's gonna be a trick play here or there where? especially the Patriots

where you're going to have somebody in the backfield try to throw a a pass attempt. You got to believe with the Seattle defense and you know you're preparing for this team, the pass rush, you got to put something in the bag that's in your back pocket to utilize to try to break open a big play. And I think this is a no-brainer. There will be at least three people with a pass attempt. What do you think of this? I love this play.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:11:47)
I like it. It's another one that you you take because it's a Superbowl. How many times have we seen ⁓ another player throw a pass? And like you said, you know, it's not, and it's, it's not like a quarterback has to be injured for a long time. You know, they, could just be checking something in the tent for two minutes and that will get you the bet. So I'll agree with you.

Kyle Blondin (1:11:56)
Yep, last year we did.

Okay, so I love it. I love it. There was a couple other plays I didn't put on here, but there was one I didn't, I can't recall. Again, this is FanDuel that screwed me because I read it and I can't find it again. Is, the Patriots or, I don't know if it's the Patriots specifically, but will there be a flea flicker attempt? You know what I mean? Like, you know how like the running back route, you know, his hand off, he throws it back to the quarterback. Just an attempt at plus money and I'm thinking, fuck, the Patriots do this. That would be good money, but.

The one I do like, I love this one, I think there's real value here. And I heard some professional sports bettors ⁓ talk that this was not a value play. But they also reference the last 50 Super Bowls, which you've got to be a fucking idiot if you are referencing 50 Super Bowls where the game has changed a lot. Especially ⁓ during the Super Bowl ⁓ era, ⁓ you know, we see a lot more creativity. And that is, will there be a two-point conversion attempt? Not a successful two-point conversion.

an attempt at plus 158 in 2026 with all the analytics and you know the potential this game gets out of hand according to you is there's got to be at least one of these teams going to go for two points an attempt maybe not successful but an attempt that's amazing value to me what do you think of that plus 158 just in a two point conversion attempt

Austin From... You Know Where (1:13:33)
That's a hard one. like it makes, to me, makes more sense or sorry for you, it makes more sense because you think this is going to be like a three point game. But for me, where I think, you know, the Seahawks are going to lead by touchdown and then, you know, end it with a two touchdown lead. think, you know, the Patriots might have to put down, you know, four, they'll have to put up 14 and it won't make sense to go for the two point conversion just in my scenario that I've drawn up. Right. So for that reason, I'm going to go against it.

Kyle Blondin (1:13:34)
Ugh.

Yep.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:14:02)
But I mean, I still see the great value. If I thought this game was going to be a close game, then I think so. just think if you're trailing by 14, you know, you're not going for a two point conversion. ⁓ we'll have to see.

Kyle Blondin (1:14:02)
So what if the Seahawks, yep. Yeah.

But what if you have somebody miss an extra point and you're only up by 13? What if you have, ⁓ you know, you're down by 15 or 16 or you're down by 24 and you got to get three touchdowns and you have to have two, you know, the math works to me. So I like it obviously more than you do. Yep. Go ahead.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:14:19)
That's true.

Yeah, sweet sir.

no, it's okay.

Kyle Blondin (1:14:35)
All right.

And then you have, you know, I like this one. I don't like it as much as the attempt, but at plus 290, you can bet, there be a successful two point conversion? So I kind of like that one. I like the attempt more. Obviously, I don't think you would take it, but ⁓ I do have this as a possible play for me. Anything to add to that? I know you shit on the other one, so it's a...

Austin From... You Know Where (1:14:57)
nope. just, yeah.

I'm just not going to go with it. It just doesn't fall in line with my, ⁓ view of the game, how it's going to play out.

Kyle Blondin (1:15:05)
It doesn't fall in line with your morals and standards of gambling. Okay, just kidding.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:15:07)
I mean, I mean, you could, somebody could miss

a field. bring up some good points that a hundred percent. could happen. ⁓ you said it was at plus one 30.

Kyle Blondin (1:15:15)
⁓ The attempt is plus 158 and the two-point conversion actually successful is plus 290.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:15:19)
158.

Yeah,

the attempt at 150 is not bad. I was making those comments thinking it was 130, but I'll still stay away. But I like what you're doing here though.

Kyle Blondin (1:15:33)
Okay,

awesome. All right, and here's an interesting one. I don't know if it's worth it. Again, this is more of a, maybe I'll throw $10 on this. At plus 430 in the first half, will the two minute warning, the clock stop exactly on two minutes or another, like, whether it be below the two minutes. So for example, if it's, they have to get a snap off, let's say a 202 and the play runs for four seconds.

the two minute warning may ⁓ start at 158 or the team will just let it run to the two minute warning. So the value is that you're hoping a play is going on as it approaches the two minutes. Do you see value in this plus 430 that the game and the first half will not land on exactly two minutes at the two minute warning?

Austin From... You Know Where (1:16:23)
I think it will land on two minutes.

Kyle Blondin (1:16:25)
Okay, so you wouldn't take that. Okay.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:16:26)
But I mean,

430, like I see the value here. I see the like Super Bowl excitement play. Like, you know, you got all these, yeah.

Kyle Blondin (1:16:34)
Okay. Yeah. Yeah.

Yeah. So this would be more of like, you know, it's like a new year's day that you're taking a phone. Got it. Okay. both. Okay. So I like this one. I like this one a lot and I think there's good value here too. Plus two 65. Will both teams have a one or more fourth down conversions?

Austin From... You Know Where (1:16:40)
It's a fun one.

Kyle Blondin (1:16:58)
What do you think? A plus two 65, both teams will at least have one fourth down successful conversion for a first down.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:17:06)
I don't think Seattle will. No.

Kyle Blondin (1:17:08)
You don't think so?

You don't think they'll be in a situation where they're at... Okay. Alright, sacks over 5.5 minus 120. I think they'll be... One team's gonna have four, one team's gonna have two. I like this. I like the sacks, quite a few sacks in this game. What do think?

Austin From... You Know Where (1:17:25)
I agree with you. think four and two. don't. Yeah. And honestly, even though like, even though I think Seattle will be dominant, I'm not going to be surprised if Darnold takes a couple sacks. I, I like that.

Kyle Blondin (1:17:27)
Okay.

Okay, and then last two I have. Alright, this is more of like, hey, I thought this was odd that, team to record first interception. Seattle plus 100. So honestly, I'm now thinking, is it to get the interception or throw the interception? Okay, I don't know. Maybe, okay, let's move past that one because I read it and now I'm questioning what that actually is.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:17:58)
Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (1:18:07)
Here's a value play here.

for plus 132 will it be a punt not a kickoff a punt that goes in the end zone for a touchback it did last year and it happened early so somebody punts it bounces and it goes in the end zone for a touchback you tell me that's not going to happen plus 132 that one punt yeah yes it happened last year early in the game

Austin From... You Know Where (1:18:17)
⁓ Yeah.

Plus 132. Really? Yeah, no, I think so.

Yeah, yeah, no, I think so. Why not? That's crazy. Yeah, that one, that's a find. It's like 132, should, like, I think it should be more than a 50-50, so that's crazy.

Kyle Blondin (1:18:33)
Yeah, OK.

Okay, so you support that one.

Okay, well I agree as well. well, you know, that's what we got. ⁓

Austin From... You Know Where (1:18:45)
I can just

picture you now. We're at the working dog and the punt goes in the end zone. Just see it's like, see, yeah, that's the one bet I had. See you later guys. See you in a minute.

Kyle Blondin (1:18:51)
Yeah.

Yep.

Some guys out right at the coin flip. Some guys out right at the anthem. They just hear the note going like a longer than four and half seconds at the end. And somebody sticks around to the first quarter punt that goes in the end zone, asks for the bill and goes, that's it. All right. So we've come to the end ⁓ of what I have in my holster of bets. You know, we, we, we, talked a lot about as many angles we could possibly take ⁓ during this podcast. Is there anything else you want to bring up about the super bowl?

⁓ Anything we missed, this is the Super Bowl Podcast. We can't leave any stone unturned. What else should we talk about? Anything?

Austin From... You Know Where (1:19:37)
you know, I think I came out you guys with like 11 of the picks that I really liked today. You know, I tried to make sure it was all covered. So I can't, I think we pretty much have it all covered. would say top tier concrete fact today. Can't think of much else. ⁓ you know what? There, there was one thing to mention. you know what? This is, you know, obviously end of the podcast, not necessarily Superbowl, but, ⁓ blue J's announcer, Buck Martinez retiring. If you're a blue J's fan, obviously more in the Jersey. So I got to mention it.

Kyle Blondin (1:19:50)
Okay.

Yeah.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:20:05)
Obviously that will suck for Jay's fans, ⁓ not much other to say other than that.

Kyle Blondin (1:20:12)
Yup. Buck Martinez pretty much, ⁓ generational, face for the Toronto blue Jays over many, many years. So he will be missed a big time loss for the Jays, but I believe, you know, he has had some health issues. got to believe that's contributed to him not, you know, wanting probably not being able to kind of dedicate the time it takes to not only get it to the booth at the Roger center, but travel around with the team. ⁓ so, you know, kudos to him.

It'll be missed and I'm trying to think of anything else. You know, it's it's time to get the wings going. It's time to get the you know, you gotta get there to the bar that you're wanting to go to set it up ahead of time and get get seated early. Don't arrive at the last minute and go for it. Awesome. What else you got?

Austin From... You Know Where (1:21:01)
Yeah, it's also come into my mind now that, you know, this is the end of the football season and, know, we've been on a pretty good ride. You know, we've stuck it out with the filet-o-fish Sam Darnold. He got all the way here. You know, we had to endure through the Panthers roller coaster season. You know, there was so much this year. I think we've been going consistent on the pod for, ⁓ since week six, seven. Six, seven. And, ⁓

Kyle Blondin (1:21:17)
⁓ yeah.

NANANANAN

Austin From... You Know Where (1:21:29)
You know, it's been a good time. hope, you know, obviously next week, I'm assuming whatever we have will be recapping the Superbowl pretty heavily. That will be a lot of fun, but it'll be, it'll be a sad time not to be able to make football picks for you guys for until next year or next season.

Kyle Blondin (1:21:45)
Any, because we'll talk more about this, but any quick lessons learned for sports wagering on the NFL that you're going to take into next season and hopefully be more successful.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:21:57)
I guess what I would say is like, you know, one thing that I learned was I had a lot of respect for these teams. Not respect, but it would be like, don't vote against Tom Brady. You know, back in the day, I'd be like, don't sorry, don't bet against Tom Brady. And then this year it was kind of like, hey, don't bet up against Baltimore. Don't bet against Kansas City. Don't bet against the Bills. You know what I mean? But, you know, just because these teams have these reputations, you know, maybe I need to incorporate more like.

thinking of today and not yesterday. You know what saying? ⁓ you know, I kept saying every time this was the most unpredictable season, but maybe that's because I was going to ⁓ the trends of past years and not what's new. Just it seemed like one of the hardest ⁓ football seasons to predict that I've ever had personally.

Kyle Blondin (1:22:46)
Yeah, I agree. mean, especially your survivor pools out there. A lot of people got hosed on games you thought were locks and I know I did and I can't remember who I lost to, but I know the host. So it's, it's an interesting journey, man. There's only 17 games, 18 weeks, but it feels like the season flips on its head. Like, I mean, if we were talking two months ago, we would be talking about the Indianapolis Colts, you know, what, what are their Superbowl chances? And they fell off the radar, right? They fell off the radar and that's a, and then.

The Jets started the season with potentially hope with Aaron Glenn and they were a laughing stock a joke can't even get a pick throughout a whole season and you had the Patriots came out of nowhere to you when I say out of nowhere I expected variable to take them to another level and Drake made to improve even more in his second year but to get to the Super Bowl and then the bills not to make that run without my homes and Jackson you know Kansas City just a mess right now with my homes getting injured and

trying to fight back to start the year, how long will it take for him to come back? But lessons learned from myself include ⁓ probably maybe betting the spreads more than anything else instead of a lot of these teasers and ⁓ alternate over unders and trying to put yourself in a good position. But really all you're doing is putting layers of bets that make it harder to win. I think when you said earlier in this broadcast how you envision the game and how you looked at the spread,

was I think I set the spread at this. Here's the spread. So I'm to take, you know, the Seahawks to cover the four and a half. That's probably the sound way of looking at it, getting ahead of the game, setting your line and seeing if it, you know, actually comes to fruition and sticking with that. And then adjusting and maybe doing power rankings. I mean, I've attempted a couple of times to try to record my wagers, but that gets, it's hard to keep up, you know, in your living life. But that's probably the sound ⁓ way of doing things. And

I think going into next year is probably a few gambling books out there to talk about better, you know, ways of approaching a game and looking at it from the long term, not the Sunday night or how do I win over an 18 week NFL season? And I think that's the look I desire to have, but I never do because I'm always thinking, Oh fuck, I lost at one o'clock. Now I got to get that four at four or five game in. Uh, and that's the stupidest way to do things. So I'll be smarter hopefully. And, uh, you know, upwards and onwards, we'll talk about the super bowl next week.

⁓ the fallout and some of the plays and some of the, maybe the bets that went our way, some of them it didn't or some of the things we should have done, which we didn't. And we'll also maybe talk about, you know, the next steps of the podcast of what we'll focus on going forward. We've got a baseball preview, we've got a set of time. So we'll get offline and do that. And then we got to dive into some other sports wagering. Football season's done, that doesn't mean the gambling world has stopped, the gambling world has stopped turning because it doesn't. There's a lot of golf on the horizon. The Masters comes up in April, March Madness.

You have the MLB season, like we talked about looking at the futures, but that's a grind, you know, trying to get through fantasy baseball and all those other sports, hockey playoffs, Olympics, Olympics are on right now. Yeah. The Olympic hockey, the Leafs, you know, local topic here. Yeah. So I don't know if you got any thoughts on where you see the podcast going beyond baseball. I know that's your first love that you want to bring up, but what else? What else is on your mind? Yeah.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:25:52)
Olympics.

Yeah. Baseball is definitely my first love, but you know, next week

definitely, you know, we'll have a lot to talk about with the Olympics. You know, I'm not, I'm not the biggest NHL guy, but when it comes to ⁓ Canada hockey and the Olympics, like that's, that's top tier sports entertainment to watch. So I'll definitely be following that as well. So that we'll have that to talk about. And before, even before the MLB season, you know, we'll have to talk about the upcoming, ⁓

you know MLB Classic, you know, that will be an event that, yeah, the World Baseball Classic, you know, that will be before the MLB season and that's not too far. If I'm not mistaken, it is March 5th. So, you we have less than a month for that. Obviously, maybe not necessarily talked about next week, but maybe a week or two after that, we could get our predictions on the World Baseball Classic if you're interested. But, you know, even though it's a sad time, you know, it's an exciting time because we're on to new things and...

Kyle Blondin (1:26:36)
Yeah. I mean the W the world baseball classic. Yep.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:27:03)
you know, the podcast will still be going. but, yeah.

Kyle Blondin (1:27:07)
Yep, it doesn't stop,

but it's also, you know, we'll keep an eye on preparation to the NFL draft futures, stories in the NFL. I mean, the betting circle does turn around ⁓ mostly with the NFL in mind. That's what people love, but we got other things to talk about. We're not one trick ponies. We're going to be a back. We're going to be talking, Hey, we might dive on sports and topics that we are not as familiar with just to see what it's like to get more knowledgeable and better at these wager on those sports. So.

That being said, we've gone long enough. think people have enjoyed the last 90 minutes that we've talked Super Bowl. We've everything Super Bowl from entertainment to, you know, rushing yards. it's, it's, all over the place here. I got to thank the audience a lot for sticking it with us. Those on the live stream, shout out to you guys. Those who will hear the audio, shout out to you later on the pod. And then also those who download on our YouTube channel at overrated experience and check out our faces and the video pod version of do both.

Why not? both the best of both worlds. So enjoy the Super Bowl. Have a time like, know, a lot of people are going to call in sick the next day because they can't handle like, you know, that partying that happens during a Super Bowl. So I took it off. So I'll be enjoying myself. Everybody have a great time. This is the Super Bowl podcast for the Super Bowl. Please listen, share it, follow us on X at overrated E-X-P-E-R-2. That's overrated.

EXPERT 2, the Overrated Experience is out.

Austin From... You Know Where (1:28:39)
Awesome from Apejax, out.

Kyle Blondin (1:28:41)
Alright, bye everybody.