Week 8 NFL Picks Against the Spread

@TheNFLSN https://twitter.com/TheNFLSN

Chapters

• 0:00 Standings Update And Hot Week Recap
• 2:10 Breaking News: FBI Gambling Probe Ripples Through Sports
• 2:40 World Series Note And Transition To NFL Picks
• 3:15 Thursday Night: Vikings At Chargers Debate
• 5:20 Niners At Texans: Coaching Familiarity Angles
• 7:00 Jets At Bengals: Can Anyone Pick New York
• 8:20 Browns At Patriots: Big Spread, Bigger Defense
• 10:00 Giants At Eagles: Trusting The Big Number
• 12:00 Bears At Ravens: Lamar’s Return And Shocked Lines
• 15:00 Dolphins At Falcons: Meltdown Mode And Coaching Quips
• 17:20 Bills At Panthers: Home Dog Logic
• 19:00 Bucs At Saints: Baker Belief In The Bayou
• 20:20 Cowboys At Broncos: Offense Versus Altitude
• 22:00 Titans At Colts: Can A 14-Point Dog Bark
• 23:40 Packers At Steelers: Sunday Night Swing Game

Transcript

SPEAKER_01: 0:42

Before we get started, let's update this to standing, Justin. We didn't do that last week, so we got two weeks to update it to standing for you. Two weeks to go. Two weeks to go. Mike, 11 and 5. Jimmy and myself 9 and 6. Justin 7 and 8. Last week. I went 13 and 2. Holy cow. Just totally overshadowing Mike's 11 and 5 in the week previous. But it was a good week for everyone. Except for Mike. And it was 10 and 5 for Jimmy, 9 and 6 for Justin, 7 and 8 for Mike last week. That brings the overall records to. I had now taken the lead 60 and 48. Mike is one game back at 59 and 49. Jimmy right on his tail, two games behind, 57 and 51. Justin slowly creeping back, 50 and 58.

SPEAKER_03: 1:59

I need to get in touch with uh Terry Rosier and Consy Bills. Oh my gosh. I'm pretty sure Austin is about to be indicted with the rest of that.

SPEAKER_01: 2:10

That just broke. Big FBI case. 30 dudes arrested. Conscibility, head coach of the damn Blazers, Terry Rosier of the Heat. I mean, wow. There's more to come on this.

SPEAKER_04: 2:25

That's got to involve somebody from Miami. Right. Like that's the Miami candle here.

SPEAKER_01: 2:31

Oh man. We'll have to follow that as it as it plays out and we get more details. But it is picks. NFL picks. We got one tonight, but before we get started, we got our World Series matchup. The Dodgers versus the Blue Jays. No uh yeah, no dump. No dumper.

SPEAKER_03: 2:54

No dump dog, bro.

SPEAKER_01: 2:55

Yeah. So let's get on to the games. It starts tonight. We got a pretty good game. It's the uh old milkstakes. Gonna play on Thursday night, and he's gonna play the Vikings. Alright. Let's get it started.

SPEAKER_04: 3:23

It's a good person. We'll all just follow him.

SPEAKER_01: 3:25

Yeah. It's uh it's in LA. The Vikings are getting three. I guess I'll go first. Um Carson Wentz is is the quarterback for the Vikings. Yeah. Uh has not looked good. Uh the Chargers haven't looked the same. The offensive line and struggling. But I'm gonna go three points here. I'll go Chargers. Uh let's go Mike. Who you got? Minus three, Chargers. Minus three. Vikings plus three.

SPEAKER_05: 4:05

I am going with the uh Vikings. I think the Chargers might win this one, but I think it's gonna come down to a field goal. I think uh Chargers will be.

SPEAKER_01: 4:13

You're taking the Vikings plus three? Yeah. Alright, alright, uh Justin.

SPEAKER_04: 4:19

I'm actually gonna go Vikings also. Um I think with the uh all the issues Chargers got on the offensive line, I think Flores and that defense will expose it. And I actually think the Vikings win outright.

SPEAKER_01: 4:33

Alright, uh Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04: 4:38

I'm gonna go Vikings as well.

SPEAKER_01: 4:40

Wow.

SPEAKER_04: 4:42

Right.

SPEAKER_01: 4:42

Wow.

SPEAKER_04: 4:45

Yeah, that offensive line is just trash.

SPEAKER_01: 4:48

Yeah. Yeah, and they don't have the running back out of North Carolina, and they're just missing explosive plays. But I'm gonna go milkstake here. Alright, so I'm alone on that one. Um let's go to um let's go to Sunday. Are we going overseas? Are we going to London, Germany or somewhere?

SPEAKER_04: 5:16

Something like that.

SPEAKER_01: 5:18

I don't know. I don't think we have one next week. So let's go to Houston and the Niners are going to Houston and they're getting one and a half. Jimmy. Who you got?

SPEAKER_05: 5:36

You know, I'm I'm gonna pick.

SPEAKER_01: 5:48

Yeah.

SPEAKER_04: 5:49

So I'm just gonna pick against them.

SPEAKER_01: 5:51

All right, uh Mike.

SPEAKER_05: 5:55

I will take the uh Niners. I think Texas is a pretty Houston's a mess, right? They're not gonna be.

SPEAKER_01: 6:06

They played, you know, at Seattle on Monday night. And they, you know, lost by one score. Um they're at home minus one and a half. So you're taking the Niners plus one and a half. Yeah. All right, uh Just Justin.

SPEAKER_04: 6:23

Yeah, I'm gonna take I'm gonna take the Niners too. It doesn't it it doesn't seem like any injury anywhere seems to affect this team. They just keep winning. Uh so I'm just gonna pick them, even though I think the injuries would catch up with them, but they're apparently not.

SPEAKER_01: 6:37

You got an interesting matchup here with the coaches, with the you know, familiarity. You got D'Amico Ryan's familiarity! You got D'Amico Ryan's former linebacker coach for Robert Sala. Is that gonna play a factor into this game? I like Houston at home. All right, let's go to Cincinnati. Joe Flacco coming off that win on Thursday night over the Steelers. They're hosting the god-awful Jets, the winless Jets. And the Bengals went from getting 14 and a half to minus six and a half, over 20 points difference in one week. Because they're playing the Jets. And the Jets are getting six and a half. Justin, who you got?

SPEAKER_04: 7:35

I can't take the Jets. They're they're awful. I mean, unless they play the Dolphins, I can't pick them.

SPEAKER_01: 7:40

Yeah, I'm not either. Give me the Bengals. Mike.

SPEAKER_05: 7:45

Yeah, I'm with you guys. Anybody but the Jets.

SPEAKER_01: 7:47

Even though the Jets covered against the Broncos a couple weeks ago. You know?

SPEAKER_05: 7:53

What is you know what?

SPEAKER_04: 7:58

Do it.

SPEAKER_01: 8:01

Give them to me. Give me the points, I'll take the Jets. Alright. Yeah, I'm gonna do it. Jimmy, who you got?

SPEAKER_04: 8:10

I take the Bengals, man.

SPEAKER_01: 8:12

Alright.

SPEAKER_04: 8:14

Even their owner knows they suck.

SPEAKER_01: 8:17

Yeah. Alright, let's go to New England as the Patriots are hosting the Browns. The first place Patriots, minus seven over Cleveland. Justin.

SPEAKER_04: 8:34

That's kind of a big spread, but Cleveland really does suck when they're not playing the Dolphins and Drake needs a badass. Give me the bat.

SPEAKER_01: 8:42

Alright. Mike.

SPEAKER_05: 8:45

I think uh I think it was gonna be a pretty low score. I think it was gonna be like 17 to 13 or something. So I think the Browns.

SPEAKER_01: 8:52

Browns to cover. Browns have that defense. You know, I'm gonna I'm gonna go there to cover as well. Give me Cleveland. Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04: 9:03

Yeah, I think they cover. That's a big spread. Um defense. Just run the ball with Judgins and that other guy. So give me the Browns.

SPEAKER_01: 9:13

Alright. Uh Philly. A rematch against the Giants who beat him a couple weeks ago on Thursday night. They're hosting the Giants this time. The Giants are getting seven and a half coming off that just I thought the Cardinals had the loss of the year, but the Giants might have were like, hold my beer. Giving up 33 points in a fourth quarter.

SPEAKER_04: 9:33

33.

SPEAKER_01: 9:34

33 points in the fourth quarter. I mean, they covered, I won, but man, they were looking good. And then just it fell apart. And then just the offense made it worse by turning it over. And and the extra points were missed. It was just everything that could go wrong went wrong. But they're uh in Philly, seven and a half. I'll go, I'm gonna take the Giants to that's seven and a half points. I'll take it. Um Mike.

SPEAKER_05: 10:06

Yeah, I'm gonna think that's a little too much. I think Eagles will win, but not cover four.

SPEAKER_01: 10:11

All right, uh Jimmy.

SPEAKER_05: 10:14

Yep. Take it three.

SPEAKER_01: 10:16

Yep. Well, we all did that and they it worked out. Uh Justin. Mark it four, dude. All right. Yep, I'm taking the Giants. Our Giants.

SPEAKER_05: 10:28

Our our New York football giants.

SPEAKER_01: 10:32

All right, the Bears. My Bears, too. My bears. All right. Uh they're, you know, they gotta they're playing well. They're winning football games. Uh I was I I like that they took care of business. That was a game in the pre previous seasons that they would slip up and lose, but they're look like they're turning a corner. They are getting six. It helps when you play shitty teams. Yeah, Lamar's back for the Ravens.

SPEAKER_06: 11:01

Really?

SPEAKER_01: 11:02

Yeah, Lamar's playing because the Bears are getting six in Baltimore. As bad as the Ravens have played, right? The defense stepped up last game against the Rams, and if it wasn't for their god-awful offense turning the ball over, they probably would have had a shot. But um they're playing for their lives. Six points. Oh, I don't know. Jimmy, who you got in this?

SPEAKER_04: 11:33

So he's definitely back. Yeah, he's gonna play.

SPEAKER_01: 11:36

That that that line will tell you right there. There's no way in hell they're gonna favor, they're gonna give the bears six points off what we've seen. Lamar's back.

SPEAKER_04: 11:45

Right. Um, you know what? I think the bears cover.

SPEAKER_01: 11:51

All right.

SPEAKER_04: 11:52

I'm gonna have to see him do it more than just one week to actually trust that defense.

SPEAKER_01: 11:57

Yeah. Uh Justin.

SPEAKER_04: 12:01

Yeah, I I I actually do think the Bears are gonna cover. Um, because this is a defense that Caleb Williams could actually move the ball against.

SPEAKER_01: 12:09

I'm shocked at this line, honestly.

SPEAKER_04: 12:11

Yeah, no, it's a it's a stupid line. I mean, the Ravens defense is.

SPEAKER_01: 12:15

I think it's just like the last, like everyone's like, whoa, whoa, Lamar's coming back. This is the they're they're throwing everything at this game. This is a must-win for them. Yeah, but I don't think they win in a blowout.

SPEAKER_04: 12:27

That defense, I think. I think a backdoor cover.

SPEAKER_05: 12:31

Yeah, I don't have any confidence in the Ravens. Right. I mean, not that I was shooting the Bears, but I'll take uh I'll take the Bears.

SPEAKER_01: 12:38

Oh man. You know, the Bears have been doing it for me. Oh boy. But I I got a feeling, man, that uh Baltimore is gonna win this big. So give me the Ravens. I don't know why. I just do. All right, uh, let's go to Atlanta as the crappy ass Dolphins are gonna be in Atlanta getting seven and a half. Is that enough to take them, Justin?

SPEAKER_04: 13:08

If you could set that line at 70 and a half, the the the Dolphins are a complete mess, dude. Dude, I mean I dude, McDaniel at a press conference he did the other day, they're like, oh, so you know, what's up with the you know, the strategy going into this game? He said, Well, I hope we don't throw 10 picks.

SPEAKER_01: 13:29

Yeah.

SPEAKER_04: 13:30

That's the head coach. That's not me mocking my team. That's what that head coach said.

SPEAKER_01: 13:34

Right.

SPEAKER_04: 13:34

Yeah.

SPEAKER_01: 13:34

He's mocking his quarterback.

SPEAKER_04: 13:37

Atlanta hangs 50. Dude, that game is gonna be embarrassing.

SPEAKER_01: 13:40

Yeah, I'm going Falcons. Mike.

SPEAKER_05: 13:45

Yeah, Falcons as a Dolphins fan.

SPEAKER_01: 13:47

All right, uh, Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04: 13:50

Yeah, I mean, I'm not, I can't pick the Dolphins fan.

SPEAKER_01: 13:53

Alright, seven and a half. Wow. All right, Carolina. They are hosting the Bills. Bills coming off a bye. Or minus seven in Carolina. I don't understand this line either. I'm taking the Panthers at home. Home dog. Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04: 14:14

Yeah, I'm taking the Panthers. Yeah. Seven points at home? That the Bills actually kind of suck.

SPEAKER_01: 14:21

Yeah. All right, uh.

SPEAKER_04: 14:23

So you walk your mouth.

SPEAKER_01: 14:25

Hey, are we getting the tables, Justin?

SPEAKER_04: 14:28

Getting the tables together? No, I actually think the Panthers will win, but I think the Panthers are gonna cover, man. The Panthers got a good little ground game, and the Bills haven't beaten a good team all year.

SPEAKER_01: 14:41

All right, yep.

SPEAKER_04: 14:41

Uh my boys, though.

SPEAKER_05: 14:45

Oh man, um, this is tough. Um I'm not out on the Bills just yet. I'm gonna think the Bills off a bye week.

SPEAKER_01: 14:52

Wow, big win. All right, okay.

SPEAKER_04: 14:54

Let's go to the Andy Dalton's at quarterback. Does that change your chances?

SPEAKER_01: 15:03

He might get the ghost of Joe Montana.

SPEAKER_04: 15:05

Right. Uh he'll get in a car accident again and spring on another winning streak at the end of the year like he did last year.

SPEAKER_06: 15:12

Right, right.

SPEAKER_01: 15:13

All right, uh, let's go to uh Tampa Bay in New Orleans to take on the Saints. Division opponent. Bucks minus three and a half in New Orleans. Mike, who you got?

SPEAKER_06: 15:28

Tampa Bay.

SPEAKER_01: 15:29

All right, Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04: 15:32

Yeah, I'm gonna take the Bucks, man. They're looking to bounce back after rough one at Detroit.

SPEAKER_01: 15:39

Yeah, but it's in New Orleans in the hook, Justin.

SPEAKER_04: 15:42

Yeah, it doesn't matter. Things are really bad, dude. And the and Baker Mayfield, it doesn't matter who he's throwing to, man. That guy can he can he can put points on the board.

SPEAKER_01: 15:53

All right, I'm going Bucks, too. All right, uh let's Yeah. All right, let's go to Denver. Um as the Broncos are hosting the Cowboys. Oh yeah, this will be a fun game. Uh good offense, good defense, what gives? Jimmy. And uh wait, the Cowboys are getting three. Plus three in Denver.

SPEAKER_04: 16:22

Give me the Broncos, man.

SPEAKER_01: 16:25

All right.

SPEAKER_04: 16:25

I think it's close. You know what? Another one-point game.

SPEAKER_01: 16:29

All right, Broncos. But you're going uh what one-point game was. Yeah, that's Dallas.

SPEAKER_04: 16:36

Yeah, it'd be a Dallas cover. Then that's like I said, give me the Cowboys.

SPEAKER_01: 16:41

All right, uh Jimmy. Uh he went with Cowboys. Uh Mike, who you got?

SPEAKER_05: 16:47

Yeah, I'm going uh Cowboys too. I think they're a little bit better than we thought they were.

SPEAKER_01: 16:52

Yeah, I agree. Um Denver, Bo Knicks. He doesn't look good. Defense is okay. Yeah, I think I think I'll take the points. Give me the Cowboys. Uh Justin.

SPEAKER_04: 17:08

Yeah, make it four.

SPEAKER_01: 17:09

Wow.

SPEAKER_04: 17:10

Uh I mean the Cowboys can score on any defensive scene. Yeah. And then CeeDee Lamb is back, and that offense is fun to watch.

SPEAKER_01: 17:18

Let's go to Indy as the Colts. First place Colts are hosting the last place Titans. 14 points is the spread. Yeah. That is. Justin?

SPEAKER_04: 17:40

If Cam Ward can't cover this spread, I'm not picking the Titans until next season. So give me Cam Ward and the Titans to cover.

SPEAKER_01: 17:48

I'll go with you on that. 14. I'm not, I'm going just that. Those, that's too many. I'll take the the Titans to cover. Division opponents. Hell yeah, well, definitely. There you there's your backdoor cover right there. All right. Uh um Mike, who you got?

SPEAKER_05: 18:09

You know what? As crazy as it is, I'm taking the Colts on this one. They got the boom to where once they get the lead, they just start pounding in and it just gets worse and worse. That's so true.

SPEAKER_01: 18:19

Yeah. Alright, uh, Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04: 18:24

If the Colts cover this, they're gonna be my Super Bowl pick. Taking the Titans.

SPEAKER_01: 18:31

Alright.

SPEAKER_04: 18:31

Too big a spread.

SPEAKER_01: 18:32

Yeah. Alright, let's go to the Sunday Nighter. The two storic franchises. Probably the two most national fan bases when it comes to like visiting teams. These two teams are. Green Bay, Pittsburgh. It's in Pittsburgh. I may I wonder how many the how many Packer fans will get in there. Uh but the uh the Steelers are getting three at home. Mike, what do you got?

SPEAKER_04: 19:09

Steelers are getting three?

SPEAKER_01: 19:10

Mm-hmm.

SPEAKER_04: 19:12

I'll take the Packers.

SPEAKER_01: 19:16

Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04: 19:19

I'm gonna take Fire Tuck and Aaron Rodgers against his old team. If he gets it done, there's something with the Packers, man.

SPEAKER_01: 19:28

Yeah. I'm with you. There's something with it. I think I think I know what it is. I think it's Jordan Love. I think he's good, but he's just not that guy yet. He's just you never know when he's gonna throw a pick. Like, you never know. Um, I'll go, I'm gonna go, I'll take the points at home. Home dog, give me the Steelers. Justin.

SPEAKER_04: 19:53

Yeah, y'all brought up a lot of the same things I'm thinking with this game. The Packers are way too up and down, and I think Aaron Rodgers is probably gonna pay the best game he's had in the last five years Sunday night, dude. I think the Steelers went outright.

SPEAKER_01: 20:08

All right. Alrighty. So let's go to Monday night. Another good game. Um, the red hot Kansas City Chiefs just coming off a dominant performance. 31st downs to two against the Raiders last year.

SPEAKER_04: 20:26

31st downs to 30 offensive plays. Yeah.

SPEAKER_01: 20:29

It was it was an I it was one of the like where you didn't even use their timeout. Speak Carol's like, just let's just get the hell out of here. That was just a dominant performance. Kansas City getting Rashid Rice back this week. Oh boy. They look in the defense and the defense is looking really good. Uh it's 12 and a half for Washington. That's a lot. Mike, who you got?

SPEAKER_04: 21:05

Wait, what did you say? 12 and a half.

SPEAKER_01: 21:07

That must be Mariota, might be playing. I know he ain't.

SPEAKER_04: 21:10

Yeah, Mariota's playing. Yeah.

SPEAKER_05: 21:13

Alright. I will take uh I'll take Washington. That's too big for that piece. I'll take Washington.

SPEAKER_01: 21:19

Alright. Um Justin.

SPEAKER_04: 21:23

I think it's not big enough.

SPEAKER_01: 21:25

Yeah, I agree. Yeah, I think they're gonna shut Marcus Mariota down. Um he's not gonna be able to figure it out. Uh I'll give me the Chiefs. Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04: 21:38

Yeah, I mean, even if they don't shut him down, there's no way Dan Quinn is stopping Andy Reid. Like, it's just Andy does not stop them.

SPEAKER_01: 21:48

Yeah. Um, so Chiefs might not lose the rest of the year. Alright. Um, so there it is.

SPEAKER_05: 21:58

That's it.

SPEAKER_04: 21:59

Oh, yeah, we got bye weeks. Yeah, I got a lot of bye weeks this week. Just check your fantasy line up and figure that one out.

SPEAKER_03: 22:04

All right, is here. We gotta uh shuttle.

SPEAKER_01: 22:09

Well, we gotta get on out of here. We got our our rides here, but before we go, they didn't fire Magnolia. God, as I was saying, you know, you know it's bad when you look at when you lose and you're like, oh yeah, we got shitted on that last call. I don't even care.

SPEAKER_04: 22:35

Who cares?

SPEAKER_01: 22:36

I'm starting to care a little more though.

SPEAKER_04: 22:39

I mean, some of them boosters, some of them FSE new boosters need to get on the phone with Terry Rogier and Chauncey Billet. Yeah.

SPEAKER_01: 22:47

Or get on. Yeah.

unknown: 22:49

Yeah.

SPEAKER_02: 22:50

What they should do is take the entire university endowment and bet against Florida State.

SPEAKER_04: 22:56

They would have been doing that since the big game. We'd be rolling it. Yeah.

SPEAKER_01: 23:01

Yep. I can't wait to hear more of these details about this FBI.

SPEAKER_04: 23:07

I can't wait, dude. Dude, it's so interesting. Apparently, there's two mafia families. There's Mafia, it's poker, man.

SPEAKER_01: 23:14

There's poker, there's gambling, there's oh my god, it's gonna be a movie one day, hopefully.

SPEAKER_04: 23:20

Oh, there's gonna be a great 30 for 30.

SPEAKER_01: 23:22

Yes, yes, yes, yes, definitely. Yep. It'll be good, man. And then uh, what else? We got Miami coming off the loss. They're now gonna get to play Stanford. That should be good for them.

SPEAKER_04: 23:35

That's a good get-right game for us. Yeah, wearing some top uniforms too. We're wearing camouflage uniforms, so you don't gotta check them out. They're actually really cool looking.

SPEAKER_01: 23:43

We'll see. It's a bye week. So Florida State won't lose. They won't lose today. They won't lose this week. Well, yep.

SPEAKER_02: 24:08

Yep.

SPEAKER_01: 24:09

Florida's looking for a new coach. Florida State will be playing Fam U in an exhibition. They'll be retiring Charlie Ward's number, so get out to the Tuck Saturday at four to see that.

SPEAKER_02: 24:21

Somebody make sure Sam Castell's not in the building.

SPEAKER_01: 24:25

Yeah.

SPEAKER_02: 24:27

Last time that happened, he tried to stab somebody with a pencil.

SPEAKER_01: 24:32

All right.

SPEAKER_04: 24:33

We're getting getting back with some obvious stuff.

SPEAKER_01: 24:37

We got a lot to watch and we got a lot to react to, and we'll do that. And we'll talk to you next time. Right here on the North Florida Sports Network.

SPEAKER_06: 24:55

You gotta give a good job.

SPEAKER_02: 24:56

You don't want to do that.