North Florida Sports Network Podcast

Week 8 NFL Picks Against the Spread

Austin Fletcher Season 4 Episode 394

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0:00 | 25:08

Standings Update And Hot Week Recap

SPEAKER_01

Before we get started, let's update this to standing, Justin. We didn't do that last week, so we got two weeks to update it to standing for you. Two weeks to go. Two weeks to go. Mike, 11 and 5. Jimmy and myself 9 and 6. Justin 7 and 8. Last week. I went 13 and 2. Holy cow. Just totally overshadowing Mike's 11 and 5 in the week previous. But it was a good week for everyone. Except for Mike. And it was 10 and 5 for Jimmy, 9 and 6 for Justin, 7 and 8 for Mike last week. That brings the overall records to. I had now taken the lead 60 and 48. Mike is one game back at 59 and 49. Jimmy right on his tail, two games behind, 57 and 51. Justin slowly creeping back, 50 and 58.

SPEAKER_03

I need to get in touch with uh Terry Rosier and Consy Bills. Oh my gosh. I'm pretty sure Austin is about to be indicted with the rest of that.

SPEAKER_01

That just broke. Big FBI case. 30 dudes arrested. Conscibility, head coach of the damn Blazers, Terry Rosier of the Heat. I mean, wow. There's more to come on this.

SPEAKER_04

That's got to involve somebody from Miami. Right. Like that's the Miami candle here.

World Series Note And Transition To NFL Picks

SPEAKER_01

Oh man. We'll have to follow that as it as it plays out and we get more details. But it is picks. NFL picks. We got one tonight, but before we get started, we got our World Series matchup. The Dodgers versus the Blue Jays. No uh yeah, no dump. No dumper.

SPEAKER_03

No dump dog, bro.

Thursday Night: Vikings At Chargers Debate

SPEAKER_01

Yeah. So let's get on to the games. It starts tonight. We got a pretty good game. It's the uh old milkstakes. Gonna play on Thursday night, and he's gonna play the Vikings. Alright. Let's get it started.

SPEAKER_04

It's a good person. We'll all just follow him.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah. It's uh it's in LA. The Vikings are getting three. I guess I'll go first. Um Carson Wentz is is the quarterback for the Vikings. Yeah. Uh has not looked good. Uh the Chargers haven't looked the same. The offensive line and struggling. But I'm gonna go three points here. I'll go Chargers. Uh let's go Mike. Who you got? Minus three, Chargers. Minus three. Vikings plus three.

SPEAKER_05

I am going with the uh Vikings. I think the Chargers might win this one, but I think it's gonna come down to a field goal. I think uh Chargers will be.

SPEAKER_01

You're taking the Vikings plus three? Yeah. Alright, alright, uh Justin.

SPEAKER_04

I'm actually gonna go Vikings also. Um I think with the uh all the issues Chargers got on the offensive line, I think Flores and that defense will expose it. And I actually think the Vikings win outright.

SPEAKER_01

Alright, uh Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04

I'm gonna go Vikings as well.

SPEAKER_01

Wow.

SPEAKER_04

Right.

SPEAKER_01

Wow.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, that offensive line is just trash.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah. Yeah, and they don't have the running back out of North Carolina, and they're just missing explosive plays. But I'm gonna go milkstake here. Alright, so I'm alone on that one. Um let's go to um let's go to Sunday. Are we going overseas? Are we going to London, Germany or somewhere?

SPEAKER_04

Something like that.

Niners At Texans: Coaching Familiarity Angles

SPEAKER_01

I don't know. I don't think we have one next week. So let's go to Houston and the Niners are going to Houston and they're getting one and a half. Jimmy. Who you got?

SPEAKER_05

You know, I'm I'm gonna pick.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah.

SPEAKER_04

So I'm just gonna pick against them.

SPEAKER_01

All right, uh Mike.

SPEAKER_05

I will take the uh Niners. I think Texas is a pretty Houston's a mess, right? They're not gonna be.

SPEAKER_01

They played, you know, at Seattle on Monday night. And they, you know, lost by one score. Um they're at home minus one and a half. So you're taking the Niners plus one and a half. Yeah. All right, uh Just Justin.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, I'm gonna take I'm gonna take the Niners too. It doesn't it it doesn't seem like any injury anywhere seems to affect this team. They just keep winning. Uh so I'm just gonna pick them, even though I think the injuries would catch up with them, but they're apparently not.

Jets At Bengals: Can Anyone Pick New York

SPEAKER_01

You got an interesting matchup here with the coaches, with the you know, familiarity. You got D'Amico Ryan's familiarity! You got D'Amico Ryan's former linebacker coach for Robert Sala. Is that gonna play a factor into this game? I like Houston at home. All right, let's go to Cincinnati. Joe Flacco coming off that win on Thursday night over the Steelers. They're hosting the god-awful Jets, the winless Jets. And the Bengals went from getting 14 and a half to minus six and a half, over 20 points difference in one week. Because they're playing the Jets. And the Jets are getting six and a half. Justin, who you got?

SPEAKER_04

I can't take the Jets. They're they're awful. I mean, unless they play the Dolphins, I can't pick them.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah, I'm not either. Give me the Bengals. Mike.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, I'm with you guys. Anybody but the Jets.

SPEAKER_01

Even though the Jets covered against the Broncos a couple weeks ago. You know?

SPEAKER_05

What is you know what?

SPEAKER_04

Do it.

SPEAKER_01

Give them to me. Give me the points, I'll take the Jets. Alright. Yeah, I'm gonna do it. Jimmy, who you got?

SPEAKER_04

I take the Bengals, man.

SPEAKER_01

Alright.

SPEAKER_04

Even their owner knows they suck.

Browns At Patriots: Big Spread, Bigger Defense

SPEAKER_01

Yeah. Alright, let's go to New England as the Patriots are hosting the Browns. The first place Patriots, minus seven over Cleveland. Justin.

SPEAKER_04

That's kind of a big spread, but Cleveland really does suck when they're not playing the Dolphins and Drake needs a badass. Give me the bat.

SPEAKER_01

Alright. Mike.

SPEAKER_05

I think uh I think it was gonna be a pretty low score. I think it was gonna be like 17 to 13 or something. So I think the Browns.

SPEAKER_01

Browns to cover. Browns have that defense. You know, I'm gonna I'm gonna go there to cover as well. Give me Cleveland. Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, I think they cover. That's a big spread. Um defense. Just run the ball with Judgins and that other guy. So give me the Browns.

SPEAKER_01

Alright. Uh Philly. A rematch against the Giants who beat him a couple weeks ago on Thursday night. They're hosting the Giants this time. The Giants are getting seven and a half coming off that just I thought the Cardinals had the loss of the year, but the Giants might have were like, hold my beer. Giving up 33 points in a fourth quarter.

SPEAKER_04

33.

Giants At Eagles: Trusting The Big Number

SPEAKER_01

33 points in the fourth quarter. I mean, they covered, I won, but man, they were looking good. And then just it fell apart. And then just the offense made it worse by turning it over. And and the extra points were missed. It was just everything that could go wrong went wrong. But they're uh in Philly, seven and a half. I'll go, I'm gonna take the Giants to that's seven and a half points. I'll take it. Um Mike.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, I'm gonna think that's a little too much. I think Eagles will win, but not cover four.

SPEAKER_01

All right, uh Jimmy.

SPEAKER_05

Yep. Take it three.

SPEAKER_01

Yep. Well, we all did that and they it worked out. Uh Justin. Mark it four, dude. All right. Yep, I'm taking the Giants. Our Giants.

SPEAKER_05

Our our New York football giants.

SPEAKER_01

All right, the Bears. My Bears, too. My bears. All right. Uh they're, you know, they gotta they're playing well. They're winning football games. Uh I was I I like that they took care of business. That was a game in the pre previous seasons that they would slip up and lose, but they're look like they're turning a corner. They are getting six. It helps when you play shitty teams. Yeah, Lamar's back for the Ravens.

SPEAKER_06

Really?

SPEAKER_01

Yeah, Lamar's playing because the Bears are getting six in Baltimore. As bad as the Ravens have played, right? The defense stepped up last game against the Rams, and if it wasn't for their god-awful offense turning the ball over, they probably would have had a shot. But um they're playing for their lives. Six points. Oh, I don't know. Jimmy, who you got in this?

SPEAKER_04

So he's definitely back. Yeah, he's gonna play.

SPEAKER_01

That that that line will tell you right there. There's no way in hell they're gonna favor, they're gonna give the bears six points off what we've seen. Lamar's back.

SPEAKER_04

Right. Um, you know what? I think the bears cover.

SPEAKER_01

All right.

SPEAKER_04

I'm gonna have to see him do it more than just one week to actually trust that defense.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah. Uh Justin.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, I I I actually do think the Bears are gonna cover. Um, because this is a defense that Caleb Williams could actually move the ball against.

SPEAKER_01

I'm shocked at this line, honestly.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, no, it's a it's a stupid line. I mean, the Ravens defense is.

SPEAKER_01

I think it's just like the last, like everyone's like, whoa, whoa, Lamar's coming back. This is the they're they're throwing everything at this game. This is a must-win for them. Yeah, but I don't think they win in a blowout.

SPEAKER_04

That defense, I think. I think a backdoor cover.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, I don't have any confidence in the Ravens. Right. I mean, not that I was shooting the Bears, but I'll take uh I'll take the Bears.

SPEAKER_01

Oh man. You know, the Bears have been doing it for me. Oh boy. But I I got a feeling, man, that uh Baltimore is gonna win this big. So give me the Ravens. I don't know why. I just do. All right, uh, let's go to Atlanta as the crappy ass Dolphins are gonna be in Atlanta getting seven and a half. Is that enough to take them, Justin?

SPEAKER_04

If you could set that line at 70 and a half, the the the Dolphins are a complete mess, dude. Dude, I mean I dude, McDaniel at a press conference he did the other day, they're like, oh, so you know, what's up with the you know, the strategy going into this game? He said, Well, I hope we don't throw 10 picks.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah.

SPEAKER_04

That's the head coach. That's not me mocking my team. That's what that head coach said.

SPEAKER_01

Right.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah.

SPEAKER_01

He's mocking his quarterback.

SPEAKER_04

Atlanta hangs 50. Dude, that game is gonna be embarrassing.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah, I'm going Falcons. Mike.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, Falcons as a Dolphins fan.

SPEAKER_01

All right, uh, Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, I mean, I'm not, I can't pick the Dolphins fan.

SPEAKER_01

Alright, seven and a half. Wow. All right, Carolina. They are hosting the Bills. Bills coming off a bye. Or minus seven in Carolina. I don't understand this line either. I'm taking the Panthers at home. Home dog. Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, I'm taking the Panthers. Yeah. Seven points at home? That the Bills actually kind of suck.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah. All right, uh.

SPEAKER_04

So you walk your mouth.

SPEAKER_01

Hey, are we getting the tables, Justin?

SPEAKER_04

Getting the tables together? No, I actually think the Panthers will win, but I think the Panthers are gonna cover, man. The Panthers got a good little ground game, and the Bills haven't beaten a good team all year.

SPEAKER_01

All right, yep.

SPEAKER_04

Uh my boys, though.

SPEAKER_05

Oh man, um, this is tough. Um I'm not out on the Bills just yet. I'm gonna think the Bills off a bye week.

SPEAKER_01

Wow, big win. All right, okay.

Dolphins At Falcons: Meltdown Mode And Coaching Quips

SPEAKER_04

Let's go to the Andy Dalton's at quarterback. Does that change your chances?

SPEAKER_01

He might get the ghost of Joe Montana.

SPEAKER_04

Right. Uh he'll get in a car accident again and spring on another winning streak at the end of the year like he did last year.

SPEAKER_06

Right, right.

SPEAKER_01

All right, uh, let's go to uh Tampa Bay in New Orleans to take on the Saints. Division opponent. Bucks minus three and a half in New Orleans. Mike, who you got?

SPEAKER_06

Tampa Bay.

SPEAKER_01

All right, Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, I'm gonna take the Bucks, man. They're looking to bounce back after rough one at Detroit.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah, but it's in New Orleans in the hook, Justin.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, it doesn't matter. Things are really bad, dude. And the and Baker Mayfield, it doesn't matter who he's throwing to, man. That guy can he can he can put points on the board.

SPEAKER_01

All right, I'm going Bucks, too. All right, uh let's Yeah. All right, let's go to Denver. Um as the Broncos are hosting the Cowboys. Oh yeah, this will be a fun game. Uh good offense, good defense, what gives? Jimmy. And uh wait, the Cowboys are getting three. Plus three in Denver.

SPEAKER_04

Give me the Broncos, man.

SPEAKER_01

All right.

SPEAKER_04

I think it's close. You know what? Another one-point game.

SPEAKER_01

All right, Broncos. But you're going uh what one-point game was. Yeah, that's Dallas.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, it'd be a Dallas cover. Then that's like I said, give me the Cowboys.

SPEAKER_01

All right, uh Jimmy. Uh he went with Cowboys. Uh Mike, who you got?

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, I'm going uh Cowboys too. I think they're a little bit better than we thought they were.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah, I agree. Um Denver, Bo Knicks. He doesn't look good. Defense is okay. Yeah, I think I think I'll take the points. Give me the Cowboys. Uh Justin.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, make it four.

SPEAKER_01

Wow.

SPEAKER_04

Uh I mean the Cowboys can score on any defensive scene. Yeah. And then CeeDee Lamb is back, and that offense is fun to watch.

Bills At Panthers: Home Dog Logic

SPEAKER_01

Let's go to Indy as the Colts. First place Colts are hosting the last place Titans. 14 points is the spread. Yeah. That is. Justin?

SPEAKER_04

If Cam Ward can't cover this spread, I'm not picking the Titans until next season. So give me Cam Ward and the Titans to cover.

SPEAKER_01

I'll go with you on that. 14. I'm not, I'm going just that. Those, that's too many. I'll take the the Titans to cover. Division opponents. Hell yeah, well, definitely. There you there's your backdoor cover right there. All right. Uh um Mike, who you got?

SPEAKER_05

You know what? As crazy as it is, I'm taking the Colts on this one. They got the boom to where once they get the lead, they just start pounding in and it just gets worse and worse. That's so true.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah. Alright, uh, Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04

If the Colts cover this, they're gonna be my Super Bowl pick. Taking the Titans.

SPEAKER_01

Alright.

SPEAKER_04

Too big a spread.

Bucs At Saints: Baker Belief In The Bayou

SPEAKER_01

Yeah. Alright, let's go to the Sunday Nighter. The two storic franchises. Probably the two most national fan bases when it comes to like visiting teams. These two teams are. Green Bay, Pittsburgh. It's in Pittsburgh. I may I wonder how many the how many Packer fans will get in there. Uh but the uh the Steelers are getting three at home. Mike, what do you got?

SPEAKER_04

Steelers are getting three?

SPEAKER_01

Mm-hmm.

SPEAKER_04

I'll take the Packers.

SPEAKER_01

Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04

I'm gonna take Fire Tuck and Aaron Rodgers against his old team. If he gets it done, there's something with the Packers, man.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah. I'm with you. There's something with it. I think I think I know what it is. I think it's Jordan Love. I think he's good, but he's just not that guy yet. He's just you never know when he's gonna throw a pick. Like, you never know. Um, I'll go, I'm gonna go, I'll take the points at home. Home dog, give me the Steelers. Justin.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, y'all brought up a lot of the same things I'm thinking with this game. The Packers are way too up and down, and I think Aaron Rodgers is probably gonna pay the best game he's had in the last five years Sunday night, dude. I think the Steelers went outright.

Cowboys At Broncos: Offense Versus Altitude

SPEAKER_01

All right. Alrighty. So let's go to Monday night. Another good game. Um, the red hot Kansas City Chiefs just coming off a dominant performance. 31st downs to two against the Raiders last year.

SPEAKER_04

31st downs to 30 offensive plays. Yeah.

SPEAKER_01

It was it was an I it was one of the like where you didn't even use their timeout. Speak Carol's like, just let's just get the hell out of here. That was just a dominant performance. Kansas City getting Rashid Rice back this week. Oh boy. They look in the defense and the defense is looking really good. Uh it's 12 and a half for Washington. That's a lot. Mike, who you got?

SPEAKER_04

Wait, what did you say? 12 and a half.

SPEAKER_01

That must be Mariota, might be playing. I know he ain't.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, Mariota's playing. Yeah.

SPEAKER_05

Alright. I will take uh I'll take Washington. That's too big for that piece. I'll take Washington.

SPEAKER_01

Alright. Um Justin.

SPEAKER_04

I think it's not big enough.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah, I agree. Yeah, I think they're gonna shut Marcus Mariota down. Um he's not gonna be able to figure it out. Uh I'll give me the Chiefs. Jimmy.

SPEAKER_04

Yeah, I mean, even if they don't shut him down, there's no way Dan Quinn is stopping Andy Reid. Like, it's just Andy does not stop them.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah. Um, so Chiefs might not lose the rest of the year. Alright. Um, so there it is.

SPEAKER_05

That's it.

Titans At Colts: Can A 14-Point Dog Bark

SPEAKER_04

Oh, yeah, we got bye weeks. Yeah, I got a lot of bye weeks this week. Just check your fantasy line up and figure that one out.

SPEAKER_03

All right, is here. We gotta uh shuttle.

SPEAKER_01

Well, we gotta get on out of here. We got our our rides here, but before we go, they didn't fire Magnolia. God, as I was saying, you know, you know it's bad when you look at when you lose and you're like, oh yeah, we got shitted on that last call. I don't even care.

SPEAKER_04

Who cares?

SPEAKER_01

I'm starting to care a little more though.

SPEAKER_04

I mean, some of them boosters, some of them FSE new boosters need to get on the phone with Terry Rogier and Chauncey Billet. Yeah.

SPEAKER_01

Or get on. Yeah.

unknown

Yeah.

SPEAKER_02

What they should do is take the entire university endowment and bet against Florida State.

SPEAKER_04

They would have been doing that since the big game. We'd be rolling it. Yeah.

SPEAKER_01

Yep. I can't wait to hear more of these details about this FBI.

SPEAKER_04

I can't wait, dude. Dude, it's so interesting. Apparently, there's two mafia families. There's Mafia, it's poker, man.

SPEAKER_01

There's poker, there's gambling, there's oh my god, it's gonna be a movie one day, hopefully.

SPEAKER_04

Oh, there's gonna be a great 30 for 30.

SPEAKER_01

Yes, yes, yes, yes, definitely. Yep. It'll be good, man. And then uh, what else? We got Miami coming off the loss. They're now gonna get to play Stanford. That should be good for them.

Packers At Steelers: Sunday Night Swing Game

SPEAKER_04

That's a good get-right game for us. Yeah, wearing some top uniforms too. We're wearing camouflage uniforms, so you don't gotta check them out. They're actually really cool looking.

SPEAKER_01

We'll see. It's a bye week. So Florida State won't lose. They won't lose today. They won't lose this week. Well, yep.

SPEAKER_02

Yep.

SPEAKER_01

Florida's looking for a new coach. Florida State will be playing Fam U in an exhibition. They'll be retiring Charlie Ward's number, so get out to the Tuck Saturday at four to see that.

SPEAKER_02

Somebody make sure Sam Castell's not in the building.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah.

SPEAKER_02

Last time that happened, he tried to stab somebody with a pencil.

SPEAKER_01

All right.

SPEAKER_04

We're getting getting back with some obvious stuff.

SPEAKER_01

We got a lot to watch and we got a lot to react to, and we'll do that. And we'll talk to you next time. Right here on the North Florida Sports Network.

SPEAKER_06

You gotta give a good job.

SPEAKER_02

You don't want to do that.