North Florida Sports Network Podcast

FSU Schedule Predictions And Swing Games

Austin Fletcher Season 4 Episode 446

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0:00 | 32:24

Hot Open And Quick Jabs

SPEAKER_03

Gentlemen ask you one question The North Florida sports North Florida sport North Florida the North Florida Sports You gotta give us a shot You know what who The North Florida sports Netflix sports Net Florida Sports What's up we're back It's hot as hell It's almost week zero Two weeks away Two weeks away Oh boy Whoopity D Oh boy this We'll be watching the CW CW man CW right after the latest episode of Reruns of One Tree Hill You're not gonna hear uh a new you're not gonna hear Woody Hayes doing the PA Who Woody Hayes We had to go You're fire you are Woodrow shit canned yeah given the boot good I didn't really like that guy Well you know I just heard he was trying to get t-shirts made to protest a PA announcer and that's just protest what that's bad taste man and any kind of job get himself a t-shirt made because I I don't know a single person that would have would buy or wear or even that's the sadder part but speaking of sad let's talk about those gnolls oh yeah and we're gonna go through wins and losses right yeah we're gonna predict each game each agonizing quarter six year uh I'm feeling better than I have sure well I mean I was feeling like two wins so I'm feeling better than that me what you know two two five six whatever who cares I do who cares well I think you don't want him to do good because you just want the coach to be fired he's not getting fired either way right so it might as well be good sure it'd be nice but I mean it would have been nice if we could be good last year yeah that would have been nice there's not a whole lot's changed no well it starts in two weeks yeah unfortunately it does I don't you know it's unavoidable the season will start game one should be okay man I think we can take game one New Mexico State Endo Campbell Stadium so that's one and oh should provide for at least 80% of the season highlights I know there's a lot of new faces on the team particularly the quarterback position and we like to take one moment to just dedicate a huge laugh in the face of anybody who had the opinion of just roll with Sperry after last season ended um because by all accounts he's worked himself down the depth chart that's because the JUCO kid you see as the backup yeah I mean he's okay he's not bad he's not terrible but Sperry can't quit turning the ball over yeah well I think there's a he's got a probably the best arm of the three yeah uh bar's not set very high there but yeah probably I mean you want Daniels the veteran he's you know he's got the size right the Marshall is like 170 pounds right but as for as far as having a change of pace and a backup I was hoping he would win that job honestly because I feel like he has a bigger upside yeah I mean you know I I just there are a lot of people that didn't

Portal Quarterbacks Change Everything

SPEAKER_03

like the fact that they went back to the portal to get another quarterback. Well that's I mean that's just the way it is right look at look at every good team that's what they do look at Miami I mean look at Texas Tech I mean look at Notre Dame. I mean this is what you have to do you have to build your roster and then but you can't build your roster and then like just hand it over to some young kid that might not be ready or it it just won't ever so they're gonna you're gonna go out and pay that one position if and it could and it could be a transfer so it's just a it's just a different game. Right and the people that don't like that are probably need to I mean that's just well they're used they need to hope this resolution comes goes through Congress and there's some sort of No it's not going.

SPEAKER_05

It's already dead yeah it's dead on arrival man yeah they're not passing shit it's not gonna you know well there's nothing there's people that are stuck in the way that they used to recruit quarterback at Florida State where a guy that they would pull out of high school would be counted on to develop and then be the future that's not what goes on anymore. No they sign a kid just saying hey we'll take a flyer on somebody and if they turn out good great if not we're probably just gonna go get a starter in the portal anyway.

SPEAKER_03

Right because you have to pay yeah so so if you're gonna pay you're gonna want to pay someone at least who's proven right and and love it or hate it you need you're gonna go after guys with experience. So every year recruiting a kid out of high school doesn't even mean anything. No if you can't honestly you're probably he's gonna end up transferring and going somewhere else.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah unless you can get a a blue chip kid a kid that you know is is considered an elite high school prospect you're gonna just see the same thing happen. Who's gonna start by year two Sperry Brock Glenn go down the list the kids they sign out of high school will be here a couple years never start and then end up transferring to finish their career.

SPEAKER_03

That's just how that's how it is at everywhere. Yeah look at every there's nobody's hanging out and developing no so the the whole days of no you got it or you don't let's turn it over the guy that we got like no that's not how it happens it's every yeah you have to judge it by every season and we're gonna judge this season retroactively and we're one and oh off the win in week zero against New

Week Zero Win And SMU Test

SPEAKER_03

Mexico State going into the ACC opener on Labor Day. This is a huge game I got us winning New Mexico State too so we both have us at undefeated one and oh probably for the second time in a row hey man this is the second time in a row that we are one and oh this is the huge game and this is a conference game this is a a strong opponent in the conference a team that's predicted to be at the top of the conference yeah one one at the very top but towards the top one of the only teams that scares Miami one of the top quarterbacks in conference yeah we're gonna see what this defense has in store I feel good that it's the first kind of game here I mean if you look at in terms of just this game they're able to prepare Mike Norvell's had a good history on preparing for the first game now the seasons haven't gone well but look back to the LSU games I mean he's beat he beat Alabama you know uh these are big games in the beginning of the year I'm hoping that Florida State can bring an environment that can you know confuse that quarterback and hopefully get some turnovers and get a lead and you know play off that and I'm I'm thinking the Knolls upset the Mustangs here and I got them going two and oh Jimmy I do not yeah well you know I that's that's that's understandable I mean there's obviously you know the SMU isn't dismal they'll be under they're not like some wildly more talented but it will be like under three I'm sure yeah so I I think out of the the conference games this one is one they could win I mean it's winnable it's just it's the environment you still have that early season optimism.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah and and SMU lost quite a bit I mean you know they lost some skill talent they still got the quarterback coming back Lashley's a pretty good coach.

SPEAKER_03

This game when it is is why I'm picking FSU if this was probably later in the season I wouldn't you know Lashley with the guys they have after film's been laid on you know yeah I might not pick it but this is the kind of game I'm I'm hoping that they can come out and team should hopefully still be relatively healthy.

SPEAKER_05

Lots going to depend on what what the offensive line looks like.

SPEAKER_03

This is one of those games the fork in the road type of games of your season. Yeah I mean it you because it's in the conference now the Alabama that was just well you're talking I mean dude we've won three conference games in two years. Yeah so if you win this to start you're man you're you're really when a bowl game is the goal yeah you're looking really good there. So last time they won a conference over was 23 right but I you don't you know you don't want to get boat raced you want to see you want to see the defense play with some enthusiasm make some stops and you don't want to have them looking confused.

SPEAKER_05

Right I hopefully you know if you're gonna get beat get beat I'm hoping the back end of that secondary is the strength so if SMU is going to do something they're gonna have to to run the football and and grind it.

SPEAKER_03

That's what I that's what you got to you don't want to see any big plays. Make them have to earn it. Yeah so that you know again did it's a winnable game. On the offensive side of the ball you have one of the best receivers in the country establish him. Yep you got you got a running game that should hopefully give you something and then you have a threat out there that where they if they bring enough guys in the box boom it's not that hard just run it deep. If he has one on one I'm throwing to him every time it's a winnable game.

SPEAKER_05

Whether or not they can they can stay out of their own way.

SPEAKER_03

It's gonna be a huge game I'm I'm surprisingly picking the Knowles here. I just got a feeling that this is you know it's got to turn around it would do a lot to start off one and oh in conference class and I and I don't think I think because because it's it's not the it's a new team as bad as it's been you got new new guys everywhere you got a new old line you got a new quarterback I mean you got guys that have been here but you have a bunch of new faces yeah you got some new coaches excited to see the the freshman the basketball player Lopez yeah making plays yeah they they uh they like that kid they like Dexter Carter Jr.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah I like the I like that or Devin Carter whatever his name is I can't remember yeah I think it's Devin Carter sure I yeah like I said it it's a winnable game man like that there's not this Hughes Mitch match of talent with SMU coming in there it so again the quarterback position is where they have your expected advantage yeah I mean if you can get a good game out of Daniels just don't he's got the ability just don't do anything stupid. Right just you know be Jake Coker back there. Just just manage the shit. Right but well I got him 2-0 you got him one and one and then that sets up a bye week I'll get I'll I'll change mine to a toss up not a guaranteed loss I can see it's you're not doing that all right well then

Alabama Reality Check Then Virginia

SPEAKER_05

just put me on the loss because until I see it I'm not gonna I'm not gonna believe I got I gotta believe it to see it.

SPEAKER_03

You're not putting you don't put it at toss up we don't have that no so we're one and one going into Alabama's two and oh going into Alabama I have us lose in that game it's on the road yeah I mean it's a road game it's you know um you know it's it's gonna be tough I mean you want to see it honestly what it you just don't get hurt don't don't do anything to get guys hurt because you I don't see this year as any kind of playoff any kind of chances I know that's hard you don't want to say that but I'm trying to go to a bowl game yeah I mean win the games that you have a chance to win and it doesn't seem like you have a chance to win this game this game doesn't mean if you win anything to either team it doesn't matter yeah it's more of like you don't want to lose if you're Alabama and even if you do it's not gonna it doesn't have to keep you out of the playoffs last year doesn't mean shit. Yeah um so I got two and one you got two and what do you got a loss here? Yeah it's a one and two playing Norvell's team central Arkansas right put them at two and two I got three and one and then we have another huge conference game at home so you got two of your biggest conference games of the year starting off the season at home. So you're gonna find out Taylor made to try to go two and oh and come if you can get these two and oh against Virginia is the next game against Virginia who's gonna be pretty good yeah I mean and the ACC coming off a solid year they they are and coming off a just a sting of a loss a loss that turned the whole season if you win that game you probably go to a bowl game but but I what I want to say about what I want to say about Virginia you're talking about Florida State's loss last season to Virginia yeah yeah and and Virginia's season last year are number one I don't think they're gonna have the same quarterback I think he's done um but you know they also really got helped out by being able to play NC State and have it not count as a conference game. Yeah so their appearance in the title game every you know all of that and I you they will be good they're still gonna be good but you got us winning I think I I think they'll win Epps trophy I think that's a game that they will win I think you got this is a personal game man you you're on that if you're any if you're rock if you're on that field if you're Deuce Robinson this is your game to step up in the locker room right and make sure we get I mean they had they had it last season you dropped and they just gave the game back well he had yeah he needs to come out and I would like to see a dominant win here. This is going to be I got us winning this game that's two and oh in the ACC four and one overall what do you got I got us winning that one all right I got us sitting at three and two three and two one in the ACC though that's that's still solid that's when it gets that's when it gets that's that's your you don't want to start less than that no three and two one and one in the ACC you have to get one of those games right you start off oh and two in the AC if you say SMU that's gonna put a lot of pressure on that Virginia game yeah yeah and vice versa you win SMU that's gonna hey what you can do if you're sitting at four and one and and the only loss is on the road in Tuscaloosa like that there's still gonna be God forbid there there's gonna there's gonna be some excitement well then you go on the road and you're going to Louisville and this is one of those tight this is one of those games kind of like the SMU game yeah it's on the it's it's on the road I got Florida State stubbing their toe here I you know losing their first conference game on the road to Louisville

Road Worries At Louisville And Miami

SPEAKER_03

like I'm gonna have to see this guy like string together wins on the road before I'm gonna trust that he can do it. Because we haven't won on the road in the ACC since 23 since the pit game where I was at that was a long time ago. Yeah so I would really I really want to see a win here.

SPEAKER_05

This is gonna be one of those Friday night games and you know Louisville's got arguably the best running back in conference coming back.

SPEAKER_03

That's what I'm worried about. Florida State is weak yeah there you know Louisville's big up front Florida State isn't big home game against Virginia yeah and then you got to go on the road to Louisville and it's before the Miami game so I got us losing this that's gonna be two and one in the ACC four and two overall what about you I got I got us dropping it it'll three and three one and two in the ACC this is where I this is where the spiral starts for me. Well then yeah well because Miami's next in in Coral Gables uh the road teams have had a history of playing better you know except for that one game where Florida State got shlacked but they usually yeah um two years ago and in 24 I mean they hung in there they did the best they could you know they sacked Cam Ward what like five times which is a game they had no shot. Yeah it was never really close.

SPEAKER_05

That's this kind of game I think it'll look the exact same as it did two years ago.

SPEAKER_03

I think Florida State will come out fired up hopefully they make it competitive but Miami's just too good.

SPEAKER_05

They got too many weapons they got too many guys all over the roster yeah it's in the trenches it's a mismatch right and they'll be able to wear Florida State down that's why you hopefully you can come out and get some big plays and get a lead and yeah I mean you know we watched what Jaden Ball from Florida did to Florida State last season. Yeah I see Mark Fletcher and their running backs doing the same thing.

SPEAKER_03

Yeah they just you know that's why you're gonna have to need some sort of special teams or some sort of big play and try to get a lead and you because you if Miami gets ahead on you could it's over all right um I got us losing that game to Miami so you're two and two in the ACC you're four and three overall this is this is check yourself type.

SPEAKER_05

I got us sitting at three and four in the bye week one and three in either way now this

Clemson Pressure And Coaching Stakes

SPEAKER_05

this is check yourself.

SPEAKER_03

Right this is this is job on the line because you're coming home Halloween against your rival Clemson. Yep and this is this isn't the dominant Clemson of all depending on what how the Miami game goes and how some of these games go like you said I don't I don't know if they even have the money to fire him. So if it goes like we said so far in the records are what they are they're not gonna fire him if he's one game under 500 or one game over 500.

SPEAKER_05

No my my dream of him being fired before Clemson it like you're gonna need to get embarrassed. Right you're gonna you're probably gonna have to lose to one of those two all the all the games that are hard you just lose. Right.

SPEAKER_03

And one of the ones that's not hard oh god yeah then you're fired yeah yeah that would but I I don't see that happening this is a game where you'll see if there's buy-in or not yeah this this is make a break like if if you come in and you you because this is Clemson they're probably gonna have the same type of season yeah I mean that they're not the dominant team that they were they they still got to have talent yeah who's gonna have the most buy in here um and I'm gonna go Halloween night I'm gonna take FSU here I think hopefully you know they're coming off two losses but two hard fought losses and they get home and get right against Clemson. But this is a tough stretch I got him winning this game that's five and three three and two in the ACC and if they do I mean if you're if you're right uh me loss yeah I don't trust I don't I don't trust the defense I don't trust Tony White I don't trust the D

SPEAKER_05

Like four? Yeah, one and four in the ACC. If if you're right and they sit there at five and three and beat Clemson, that you you can pretty much lock Mike Norvell in for the entirety of his contract. Just go ahead and get used to it.

SPEAKER_03

Right. I mean, you might as well. Yeah. Because that just shows that it's it's not the coach. I mean, it's about the recruiting, yes, but recruiting's done financially now. Right. And you can't tell me.

SPEAKER_05

Well, they're not going to pay two guys to have a shitty football team. Right. We'll pay one guy to have a shitty football team. We're not going to pay this guy to leave and then hire another coach. If you're able to win and still suck.

SPEAKER_03

And get to a bolt, fine. Let's then let's try to get better players then. Right. You know, maybe we'll get to the game. We had good players in 23, they had a good team. And they went out and got the big transfers. And that was that was, you know, and it's but you're going to have to do that again. We couldn't. We're getting off track here. Right. I got five and three here. This is a big win. You got one and four. I'm three and two in the ACC. You're one and four. And then

Must Win Stretch BC Pitt NC State

SPEAKER_03

you go up to Chestnut Hill to play Boston College.

SPEAKER_05

This this to me is This is one of the games where This is the must must win for the team. Yeah, if you could lose this. Right. You're looking at maybe a four-win season if you're lucky, if you lose this game.

SPEAKER_03

Well, uh, I got him winning this game. And six and three, four and two in the ACC. Bowl eligible. I got him, yeah. That'd be huge. I got them winning this season. November. November 7th. And then so that sets up another short week on the road. Mm-hmm. And that's the second time, you know, you come this time you're on the road in Boston College and you have flip it and go back to pit. Yeah, this is gonna be a tough one. And I don't have us winning this game. No. It took Jared Verse and Jordan Travis to go up there and win, and it wasn't easy. Last time in 23. No, it wasn't. Narduzie, they're not great, but they're tough.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, and the quarterback's a year older. Yeah, he was he tore us apart last year.

SPEAKER_03

This is a loss.

SPEAKER_06

Yeah.

SPEAKER_03

So it's uh six and four, four and three in the ACC. Four and six. Two and five. One and five. Two and five, yeah. Two and five for you. Alright. Uh then we go to the conference finale. It's at home. NC State.

SPEAKER_05

I'm gonna pick us to win this goddamn game. Yeah. Just because I hate Dave Dorn. I you know what? We haven't played them in a few years.

SPEAKER_02

Yeah.

SPEAKER_03

This Yeah, we played them last year.

SPEAKER_02

This is huge. Yeah.

SPEAKER_03

This is alright, so coming off a loss to pit. You're looking at what, four and three in the ACC. So you're gonna have a winning record, and to go five and three in this conference would be huge. And it's at home. You get an extra day. I'm gonna take the nulls here. So that's and you you had us winning that. So that's uh what do you got us at?

SPEAKER_05

Uh I said at five and six.

SPEAKER_03

Five and six.

SPEAKER_05

I got us at seven and seven and four.

SPEAKER_03

Yeah. And five and three in the ACC, bowl eligible.

Florida Rivalry And Final Records

SPEAKER_03

And with the Gators coming to town. With the Gators coming town. New coach.

SPEAKER_05

Shamaral. Oh yeah, big tough guy talked from this guy. I actually like I know you I liked him. I liked him. Yeah, no, you were you were a fan of him at Tulane. I like his experience with Mark Stoops, the fact that that he's you know learned under him defensively.

SPEAKER_03

I I think, and if you hear him talk, he says the right things. Right? He doesn't say the dumb stuff that Napier said. No, he doesn't. If you're an FSU fan, you see a lot more like the floor has just been raised at Florida. Yeah, I'm not saying they're gonna be like great, but I don't think they're gonna be as like they're not gonna they're gonna win six games.

SPEAKER_05

I look at it more like uh a Tamu. I get that running back too. Yeah. I I look at it like a knockoff of of Will Musk champ.

SPEAKER_03

Yeah.

SPEAKER_05

That's kind of what this guy is.

SPEAKER_03

This is a tough game. I don't I mean it I I don't see us winning it.

SPEAKER_05

No, we're still out mass in the trenches. That's exactly what they didn't beat us last season because of DJ Lagway or any any receiver. They just pushed us around.

SPEAKER_03

And a game they didn't need. And we and we didn't even matter. It was an interim interim coach for them. It's like this is gonna be a big game for both teams. I think Bo elgibiti could be on the line for both teams. Yeah, so this yeah, so this I I don't see it looking so seven and five, five and three in the ACC. All right, I'll take it. Yeah, I got it. You got what? Five and seven. Five and seven.

SPEAKER_05

Three and five in the ACC. Yeah, and I think that's it. I think that'll be what saves his job is that they won three ACC games. You know, as as many in this season as we have in the last two. So technically, you can sell progress.

SPEAKER_03

But when reality is I'm being honestly, I I went through this probably a couple weeks ago, and I had it where you are. I had it five and seven, and I couldn't get out of it. So I I talked myself, and it was it's pretty much the SMU game and the Virginia game.

SPEAKER_05

There's a there's a few swing games on that schedule.

SPEAKER_03

It starts off right there. If you lose those two games, give up. It's over. Yeah. If you lose, you gotta win. If you lose them both, it's it's done. Yeah, if you gotta win at least one of those.

SPEAKER_05

Right. If you go on the road after losing to SMU, lose to Alabama.

SPEAKER_03

Yeah, no, you got two ACC home games to start off the conference against two teams that you can win. You need to you need to step up and win. That's it. Yeah. And you need to win both, I think. But I I agree with you. I think if you want to go to a bowl game, you need to win both those games.

SPEAKER_05

I I don't think that it it has any bearing on Mike Norvell's job, but I think in order to keep your team locked in for the entire season.

SPEAKER_03

You want to go to a bowl game and have postseason at your and I and I really want that, man. I hate I hate not going to a bowl.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah, it'd be nice to win some games. So like you said, dude, he's he might as well win as many games as you can because he's not going anywhere.

SPEAKER_03

Right. Go to a bowl game, man. Get more practices.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah.

SPEAKER_03

Get something. I mean, you take for granted all those bowl victories for all those years. And even the the lost or the people used to call it the lost decade for Bobby, those teams were still would run a were nearly never as bad as that they are.

SPEAKER_05

No, they would run these teams off the field, man. Right.

SPEAKER_06

Well, we had to go. All right, is here. We gotta uh shuttle.

SPEAKER_03

Well, we gotta get

Miami’s Ceiling And ACC Outlook

SPEAKER_03

on out of here. Gotta shuttle, but it's getting time. Fantasy football drafts are right around the corner.

SPEAKER_06

Yep.

SPEAKER_03

So we're gonna look into that. We'll get Justin back on here. Go over Miami schedule. I don't they shouldn't lose all year. Oh, there you go. I have that right there, 12-0.

SPEAKER_05

They got a one-game schedule.

SPEAKER_03

Yeah, yeah, well, at Notre Dame. That's it. But they don't even need that.

SPEAKER_05

No, you don't. It's it's a much bigger game for Notre Dame than it is for Miami.

SPEAKER_03

This is one, this reminds this is one of those years for them, Miami, where it's you can't do anything except win the championship. Or it's a bust.

SPEAKER_05

Yeah.

SPEAKER_03

I mean, that's that's the money you're spending?

SPEAKER_05

Right. Money you're spending. The career.

SPEAKER_03

Last year you were close. You have the best roster by far in the ACC.

SPEAKER_05

Oh, yeah. It's any, like there's no excuse to not just run through the ACC. No, there's no excuse to not get to the championship game. Right, okay. Well, yeah, you get in the playoffs, then we'll see.

SPEAKER_03

But to their, I mean, I think the ACC's from top to bottom not nearly as bad as the reputation that they have. Like Pitt, Louisville, these games are not easy. No, they're not easy. But Miami shouldn't lose to any of those teams this year. They shouldn't have the stumble against what are they losing? Who did they lose? NC State? No, Louisville and SMU.

SPEAKER_06

Yeah.

SPEAKER_03

So will they do that again? They can afford one. Shit, they could probably afford two.

SPEAKER_05

You know, it's right. But again, like, there's no excuse to lose to anybody on their schedule.

SPEAKER_03

In the ACC. That's a better question. Like, who's the who's the best team in the company?

SPEAKER_05

A lot of people pick an SMU. Yeah.

SPEAKER_03

Um, I think you But there's there's a lot of questions there.

SPEAKER_05

Right. You could probably make it make a case for Clemson, Louisville, maybe even Pitt. Right. But it nobody really knows.

SPEAKER_03

All right. Well, that's positive. Whirlwind of suck after Miami. Well, not if we're seven and five and five and three in the ACC, like I predict. That'd be nice.

Wrap Up And What’s Next

SPEAKER_03

Well, we'll see what happens. Ready for the conclusion. Two weeks to go. We'll go over more of the schedules, break it all down, and we'll talk to you next time, right here on the North Florida Sports Center.

SPEAKER_00

You gotta give us a shot. You don't want to