Hey Lane Kiffin, Hot Yoga Won’t Cover The Spread!

Unexpected wins, FBI headlines, and one very loud half point. That’s how our week went, and we’re breaking down every pivot—from college stumbles to NFL saves—so you can spot value before the market wakes up. We start with a wild recap: an under that lived by inches, college favorites that fizzled, and a 33-point fourth quarter that rewrote the record books. Then we zoom out to the story shaking pro sports: federal raids, alleged injury leaks, and how inside info distorts player props and team lines long before the public notices.

We don’t stop at headlines. The coaching hot seat heats up with firings at Florida and Colorado State and a hard look at Brian Kelly’s future at LSU as a brutal run against Texas A&M, Alabama, and Oklahoma looms. On the board, we flag mispriced college lines—BYU as a live dog at Iowa State, skepticism on Ole Miss’s staying power, and a potential letdown for Arizona State after a statement win. In the NFL, we highlight real edges: Mike Tomlin’s elite record as a home underdog, Chicago’s underrated ground game against a leaky Baltimore defense, and why the Chargers may finally be off the no-bet list.

We also take aim at the streaming squeeze. When leagues tuck games behind fragmented paywalls, attendance drops, casual discovery fades, and betting liquidity suffers. MLS is the cautionary tale, and it matters to anyone who wants sharper prices and healthier markets. We wrap with our favorite angles and a confident lock on San Francisco as a short dog at Houston, leaning into defense, run-game certainty, and matchup leverage. Tail the picks, challenge the ones you hate, and tell us where you see the number drifting next.

If you’re enjoying the show, follow and subscribe, share it with a friend who bets, and drop a quick review. It helps more sharp listeners find us and keeps the locks coming.

Chapters

• 0:00 Opening And Weekly Betting Recap
• 1:05 Miracle Under And Lock Standings
• 2:00 FBI Raids And NBA Gambling Allegations
• 6:15 Poker Cheating Tech And Wider Implications
• 10:15 Social Media Frenzy And What Comes Next
• 11:45 Coaching Hot Seats: Firings And Surprises
• 14:30 Stay Frosty: Brian Kelly On The Block
• 19:00 College Recap: Upsets And Rat Lines
• 25:00 NFL Recap: Comebacks, Cowboys, And Chargers
• 31:20 Old Man Yells At Cloud: Streaming And Sports
• 38:00 College Preview: Lines, Picks, And Traps
• 45:20 NFL Preview: Byes, Trends, And Angles
• 50:00 Group Locks: Diverging Reads
• 55:00 Host Lock: 49ers Over Texans

Transcript

Andy: 0:05

Hey everybody, today is Friday, October 24th, and this is another edition of the Sportsbook Sharps. As always, I am your host, Andy. I tried to get my wife to do the pod with me this week, but she was having none of it. She did not want to participate. She said she was unprepared. We're coming a little later this week on a Friday. Usually we're on Thursdays, but maybe we'll try to get her in and get her halfway through the NFL season thoughts on next week's podcast. But for now, you get to listen just to me. We'll start this episode with a gambling update from the week. Last week we were awful. We started off 0-5 in all the college football games. We miss every single college football lock. Luckily, the NFL people carried the day, the weekend, uh 3-0 in the NFL for a 3-5 record. Just uh unbelievable. I had my lock hit by a miracle half point. Uh, if you remember last week I gave you the under in the Cleveland, Miami game. The under was 37.5. They had 30 points 10 seconds into the second half after Tua threw another pick six. I thought it was totally toast. You know, 30 minutes of football left. They only needed two scores. Luckily, they ended up benching Tua, and there was only one more Browns touchdown. 37 points. The under hits, and I improved to 6-1, 7-1 in the locks. I picked up a game on Uncle John, so I'm two games ahead with the lead at about the halfway point of the gambling season. Uh, speaking of the gambling season, and I don't have a lot of report on this. Uh, we'll probably get more into it next week. I think more information is going to come out, but there was a big FBI raid announcement yesterday. They arrested Chauncey Bills. Uh, they arrested a player, and then there's all sorts of implications for gambling issues uh with uh organized crime. They're naming La Cosa Nostra, the Italian crime family out of New York, New Jersey. Uh not a lot of information out on it right now. Uh, like I said, they just started holding the press conferences yesterday. I'm at a chance to watch all the press conferences and read all the information that came out, but check it out. Uh, it sounds like there was a NBA player, I think it was Terry Rogier, he said that sent a message out that you know he was going to pull himself out of the game. Seems like the NBA knew about this, but then you know they suspended him last year. Uh, they said there was an inordinate amount of bet on his unders in that game. Uh, and then they suspended him for the rest of the season last year. Uh the coach Chauncey Billups from Portland, I guess he was given information as well. They they linked him to that. There's two different investigations going on, from what I can tell. It looks like there's one with you know, people giving information about player injuries, things like that. They mentioned Damon Jones, uh, and he mentioned that LeBron, I guess, to a bunch of people was out before it was official in a game. So people were betting on Milwaukee, uh, the Bucks in that game, like heavily before the line moved and stuff. Um, so that's one investigation is like into players feeding information that's like in the locker room to gamblers, crime families, whatever it is. That's one part of the investigation. Somehow Chauncey Bills is linked in both sides of the investigation, so that's a common thread. Because the other one is with illicit poker games that happened at like a private event or a house or something. I'm not sure exactly where these events happened, but apparently they were using all sorts of like electronic surveillance equipment to rip these people off. And and Chauncey Phillips knew this and was a willing participant in this. Uh, he was kind of used as bait as a famous person. I think there were other players as well. Uh from what I've read, and again, I haven't read it all yet, so this is all just bits and pieces of what I've tried to gather over the last 24 hours. It sounds like there could be up to 30 more people named in this investigation. I don't know if that's current or former players. Somebody, and it's hard to read it all out when I'm scanning through it on social media and stuff. Somebody's saying there's a potential Hall of Famer that might be linked to some of this. I don't know if it's on the Chauncey Billup's gambling side. Uh, but anyway, on the Chauncey Bill Ups side, him and some other famous people would coax people into playing these uh illegal poker games. And then they had, I guess the one table was like an X-ray machine. So after they dealt the cards out, they could read the cards and somebody would relay that information to the gamblers at the table that were in on it. There was something with the automated shuffler. A lot if you've been to a casino now, you've seen them with blackjack and everything like that. There's these automatic shufflers that spit cards out. Apparently, they they could read that or something, and then they'd have another guy in the back reading all the card information where all the cards were and telling people you know what's coming up, who has what, all that kind of stuff. There was a rumor that there was um they had like x-ray glasses, like straight out of the Austin Power skit where the guy has the eye patch that can read the cards and they're playing blackjack at the table. I guess they were special like filtered glasses that could read. I guess some of the cards had markings on them with uh that could only be picked up like by these certain glasses that filtered it or something. I don't know. It's incredible. It reads like it's out of a movie or a book or something. Like it seems stranger than fiction that this can happen in this day and age. So since we're a gambling podcast, I thought I would bring that up. Uh, and and the social media has just been incredible. Every bad game that any player's ever had is getting brought back up, and people are like tagging the FBI in it, and all this stuff is a kind of a very funny time right now because every time there's a bad game now, people are gonna immediately run the social media and tag the FBI and do the memes with the FBI and stuff, turning them in, thinking that they're trying to go under on their points, under on their uh assists, you know, rebounds, all these different things when people have terrible games. So that's it's gonna be interesting to watch, uh, especially as the NBA season just started this week. So we will look into that more next week as more information comes out, and we'll see if any more big names are in it. But that's that's all I have on that for now. I'm gonna jump right into the stave frosty then. Uh we had two more this week, and Matt was on the podcast in early September, and he called this one Florida head coach Billy Napier. It's in his fifth year. He has a 22 and 23 record. Uh, I'm not surprised by that one at all. I I think I I mentioned last week or two weeks ago um that there were a long list of jobs that could potentially be open at the end of the season. It was when Mike was on the podcast last week. Uh that I listed like 12, 15 jobs, and Florida was definitely one of them that was up there on the hot seat, so I'm not surprised. And then uh Jay Norvell at Colorado State in his fifth year, they were 18 and 26. Um not sure I really get this one. Uh, Colorado State, not a big program or anything. Uh CSU has had one winning season uh last year at 8-5. That's their only winning season since 2017. So I I'm not really sure. It's not like people want to go to Colorado State for football. Uh I'm not really uh sure I understand this firing. Um they just lost to Hawaii. We rode the Rainbow Warriors on Saturday, and and I called the upset because Colorado State's not very good this season, but I'm just surprised they would fire him in the middle of the season. Uh he made a bowl game last year. Like, what do you expect? What are you gonna get at Colorado State? It's not a premier program, so I I don't know. I can't believe you didn't let the guy finish the year out after that. So, but yeah, so add those two to the running list. We have quite a list for college. Uh still only the Titans head coach Brian Callahan from the NFL, so we'll continue to keep this segment updated as the season goes on. There's gonna be more firings before the end of the year. But I have a Stay Frosty for you this week, and I'm surprised that I've never put him up here before. But I I searched through, I keep my notes digitally. Um very few times have I wrote them out on paper, so maybe he was on one of the paper ones, but I I don't keep the paper ones, uh recycle them. Uh so but I've been doing digital for this is probably the third year in a row I've done digital, so it'd only be from the first season if I did it. But I again, I don't think he was up there, but I am putting Brian Kelly of LSU up there after losing to Vandy last week. Now look, Vandy's having a great season. They're ranked in the top 20. Although with the enormous SEC bias in the rankings, who isn't ranked in the top 20? The list would be shorter for me to name the SEC schools that aren't in the top 20 because every school gets ranked. Uh, but LSU is a championship aspiration team. So yeah, you get your Tennessees, you get your Ole Misses, you get your uh, I'm trying to think of who else in the South Carolina, I don't know, some of these other fringe schools uh in the SEC that are consistently ranked in the top 25, but they they don't have championship. They're not championship schools. Uh Ole Miss is never gonna win a championship ever. Uh South Carolina also never going to win a championship. Uh Tennessee. Uh I think they won one in the 90s before Peyton Manning or at right after Peyton Manning, but the like, come on, Rocky Top, you're you're not. In this new college landscape, you're just not, you're not a premier school. You don't, you your fan base probably thinks you go into it, but like the rest of the world, when we see it, we think Ole Miss, Tennessee, these other schools, they're not top 12 playoff material. Like, we'll keep them in the top 25, but uh to put them in the top 12 is probably out of the question. Unless they get a couple upsets. Uh, but they're not your premier programs, they're not your LSUs, your Georgias, your Alabamas from the SEC. They're that next tier down. Uh, which sometimes those teams can cross over. But anyway, I digress. LSU. Every season they think they can win a championship, and they're right to think that. Uh they've already lost to ranked Old Miss. They've they play undefeated Texas AM this week, then number four Alabama at Bama next week. That's gonna be, if they lose both of those, that's four losses. And they have Oklahoma at the end of the year, that's their last game, is Oklahoma. They may lose that one too. That'd be five losses. If he gets to four losses, if he doesn't beat either Alabama or Texas AM, one of those two in the next two weeks, I think he's done. If he goes seven and five, he I think he's out the door as soon as that press conference is over for the Oklahoma game. I think they hand him his pink slip as soon as that happens, Brian Kelly. I his first year that he was in LSU, without his recruits, you know, these are the people he inherited, you know, some of the people he brought with him probably from Notre Dame, but he went to the SEC Championship game and the Citrus Bowl. The last two years that he's been there, he went to the Relia Quest Bowl and the Texas Bowl. And at the rate he's going, if they finish 7-5, he'll be playing in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl on December 18th. Uh, this Brian Kelly experience has not gone well in Baton Rouge. He was an oddball hire. I didn't understand why they hired him in the beginning. Uh, he does not fit with the Southern people. He had that weird press conference where all of a sudden he had a fake Southern accent. You remember early in his first year there? He has that weird recruiting video that surfaces every now and then on the internet where he's dancing. There's like a rotating platform, and he's with an LSU player standing there. He's doing like the weird 60s eye drag move, and he's just he's just an odd dude. Uh and let's not forget that he's a POS scumbag. Uh, he berates players all the time, constantly. He shifts blame to everyone but himself. He is a terrible, terrible human being. We must not forget that part of it. Sometimes I feel bad for these coaches on here when I put him up on Stave Frosty. I will lose no sleep over Brian Kelly losing his position. Uh, I will take glee in his firing. He is the worst of the worst with the way he treats his players and staff. He's an absolute scumbag, and the college world will be better off with him and in the unemployment line. Brian Kelly, Stave Frosty. We'll jump right into the recap then, starting right there. LSU 24, Vandy 31. I mean, I just talked about it. This is a game LSU cannot lose. They have to, I know it's at Vandy. You have to. If you're LSU, you're a top 10 school, you have to beat Vandy. That's it. Alabama went in there and laid the wood on Vandy. I think it well, it was at Alabama, but they beat him. That's what a good SEC school does. They think, oh, that's cute. Vandy's ranked 17th. We just beat him by 24. So, like, losing to Vandy, you know, I can't talk anymore about this. Biggest upset of the week, though, and Mike called it. He told us take the points and hit the money line. He didn't even say sprinkle, he said hit the money line. Louisville, Louisville, 24 against number two Miami, 21. They beat him by three. Friday night lights. It was said here on the podcast. I hope that you listen to my Uncle Mike. I hope you got in on Louisville Money Line, and I hope you definitely hopefully you got in. I think it was like six and a half points or something plus. I hope you at least got that. So this is listen, this is a free podcast. I'm giving you free information here. We're giving you locks. I'm telling you what I think about the group's locks. I got guests on that tell you things. Listen to our advice, all right? I'm not in the poorhouse. I'm a pretty decent gambler. All right. I know what I'm talking about. So when somebody says, I really like Louisville to upset Miami, maybe go out to your little lap and put a put a five spot, put a 10 spot on it. I don't know. You don't have to bet the house on what we tell you. Throw a couple bucks on it. What do you got to lose? A couple, you're gonna lose a couple bucks? You lose a couple of our bets. Oh, you can't go through McDonald's to run you $14 for a Happy Meal anymore these days. Skip the happy meal. Late 10 on Louisville, moneyline, and thank us later. Number 12, Georgia Tech 27, Duke 18. Look, another one. Mike and I both sat here and said, Uncle Mike and I take Georgia Tech moneyline. I called it my rat line of the week. Duke was favored. It made no sense. Georgia Tech is undefeated. I'm looking at the line. I almost made that my lock. It would have been a good lock. We could have finally won a college lock. We stink at college bets, but we're giving you ones for free that aren't locks. We said Louisville, moneyline. We said Georgia Tech money line. I called it my rat line of the week. Listen to us. Listen to us. Number five, Ole Miss 35. Number nine, Georgia 43. Ole Miss gonna do what Ole Miss is gonna do. I feel like Lane Kiffin always loses these games. I think he was too busy tweeting about how he did. It was all over social media Saturday morning. I knew Ole Miss was dead when I saw social media. I should have ran out and just took Georgia moneyline because he was busy tweeting about how he did hot yoga early in the day. Well, maybe spent a little less time in the hot yoga room and uh a little more time playing football, coaching up football. The spread was seven and a half. He didn't even cover the spread. So maybe a little less hot yoga, a little more studying of the playbook. He's a bum at a bum program. Number 21, Texas 16. UK 13 in overtime. Yeah, I'm gonna let that breathe for a second so you you can sense it. I said in overtime. This is a two-win UK team. This is not, you know, the 6-6, 7-5 UK teams that have in the past couple of years. This is a bad UK team. And Texas needed overtime to beat them? Arch sucks. Can we can we just say we're done with the Arch Manning thing? Like this man this man, I hope, I hope he graduates uh from Texas or somewhere, because if not, this man will be asking if you want fries with that in the future. So he is a bum. He will never play in the NFL. He's terrible. Terrible. Number seven, Texas Tech. Unranked Arizona State. Beat him by four. And I am so bad mad that I did not bet this money line. I text the gambling group Friday night. I was on social media Friday night looking around. Arizona State University dropped what uniform they were gonna wear. It was absolute fire. It had the blazing sun on the side of the helmet. I immediately sent the picture to the group. I said, they ain't losing in this fire get up. Three fire emojis, and they did not. And I don't know why I didn't bet it. I guess because Scott's lock was Texas Tech. I didn't want to bet against it, but I knew it. I saw the uniforms. Sometimes you just have a gut feeling about these things, and I knew it. And I was right. Again, another college game on right. So keep that in mind when I give you some advice here in a little bit. Keep that in mind. Number 23, Utah 21, BYU 24. BYU over under wins on the season was Steve's lock of the year. Steve, a member of the gambling group. Six and a half wins. They are seven and oh, and they look like the best team in the Big 12. Congrats, Steve, on hitting your lock of the year. Now we're gonna go into the NFL recap. Pittsburgh 31, Cincinnati 33, Thursday night football. Joe Flacco has arrived in Cincinnati. Joe Flacco is elite. I've said this for a decade. Plus, the elite Joe Flacco. People give me flack about it. Ha, flack about Flacco. He's elite. He's so much better. It's night and day how they played. I almost made the Bengals my lock of the week. They're playing the very stinky New York Jets. That is not my lock of the week, but boy, if you bet, I think it's Cincinnati. Let me pull it up. Let me look at what uh hold on a second. Cincinnati minus six. I I wouldn't you shouldn't be mad at taking that. The Jets stink. So just keep that in mind. Joe Flacco, elite. Doesn't even know the playbook. He said after the game, half the plays that the coach was calling in. I didn't even know what they were. And they won. They beat Pittsburgh. Dallas, 44, Washington, 22. How about them Cowboys? Second in the NFC East. Only one game behind Philly. Because of that tie, they're only a game behind the Eagles. One of the wildest games of the week. One of the wildest games I've ever seen in my life. I'm 40 years old. I've seen a lot of football. New York Giants 32. Denver 33. Broncos' first eight drives were punt, punt, punt, punt, turnover on downs, end of half, punt, punt. The last five drives, so they had no points. This was all in those were the in the first three quarters. Those were all the drives of first eight were those. Their last five, which were all in the fourth quarter, touchdown, touchdown, touchdown, touchdown, field goal. All 33 points in the fourth quarter. NFL teams had previously won 1602 games in a row when leading by 18 or more points in the final six minutes until the Giants lost this one. Yes, that's right. In the final six minutes, the Giants were up over 18 on this one. The Broncos 33 points in the fourth quarter were the most points by any team that had been held scoreless in the first three quarters. Just an un I mean, a historic comeback, scoring 33 points like that. Just incredible. And the end of the game was wild. They went touchdown, Broncos. Then it was a very quick touchdown Giants to take the lead back. The Broncos took the lead and then they gave the lead up almost immediately. And then they went down and kicked a field goal and won the game. It was just unbelievable. Colts 38, Chargers 24, Chargers dropped three of four. And the and their wins so far have been an end-of-the-game field goal against Denver, a win in Brazil against the Chiefs when they were looking bad to start the year. Remember, the Chiefs did not look good the first couple of games. And a win against the Raiders and the Dolphins, who both stink. Those are their four wins. My point is, and this is after Thursday night football. Obviously, you're listening to this now, you're like, wait, didn't they just beat Minnesota by a billion on Thursday night football? Yes, they did, but Carson Wentz is a terrible backup quarterback. Look, I know Uncle Mike listens to his podcast and he's a Vikings fan. I'm sorry, Uncle Mike, but I don't think your Vikings are making the playoffs this year. I looked ahead of their schedule. Their next like four, four or five games are very tough. It's tough to win in the NFL with no quarterback. JJ he didn't look good in the in the two games that he played. You were at the Atlanta game, you agree with me. You were there, you watched that Stinkfest. Uh even when JJ comes back, I don't know what I don't know. Maybe he gets better, maybe he's watched more tape and studied and is reading things better. There's always that hope. I'll tell you right now, if you don't go back to JJ, your season's totally toast. Carson Wentz stinks. He stinks. He stinks. He's awful. There's a reason he's on like his sixth or seventh team. Uh he's just bouncing around the NFL. Like nobody wants him. The Eagles didn't want him. Nobody wanted he went to the commanders. He went, he's all over the place. The Colts had him for a minute. Uh no. No. No, no, no, no, no. Anyway, back to the Chargers. Um my point is, uh, you know, when they were 3-0, was that all hype and no substance? You know, they just beat a bad Minnesota team. I still think, watch out uh for the Chargers. Now they were double banned and they did finally cover. So I am officially lifting now with the Thursday night football win. I am lifting the double ban. So next week, if you want to bet on the Chargers, they're not banned anymore. So I actually don't have any banned teams this week right now. Uh and the last NFL game I want to go over, Monday night football. Tampa Bay 9, Detroit 24. Detroit defense. I didn't know you had this in you. You destroyed Tampa Bay. They got uh Tampa Bay had nothing going all night. It felt more lopsided than the score indicated. At no point did I was when we were watching that game Monday night, uh, was I like, oh, this is when Tampa Bay makes a run. No. They they couldn't do anything. Baker was Baker was running around for his life. Like he couldn't, he had no time in the pocket. He had no time when he ran out of the pocket. It was we flipped the game. We flipped over game seven of the ALCS uh was on. Uh Boo, Toronto, by the way. I was rooting for the Mariners. The Mariners had never made a World Series. I would have liked to have seen them in it, but uh, whatever. I'm rooting on Toronto now for the World Series. It's uh uh nobody Dodgers can't win. Nobody wants the Dodgers to win. People in LA. That's it. Nobody outside of LA wants the Dodgers to win, they're gross. Uh and Mike Evans also went down in this Tampa Bay game out for the year. So now what does Tampa Bay do? Uh a lot of questions about that offense and the line uh after Monday night. Alright, I'm going to get into my old man Yells at Cloud segment now. I had a different one here that I worked on. I'm going to call an Audible. Audible Audible. Um, because I saw something earlier today on Twitter that I actually wanted to talk about for my old man yells at Cloud, and that's going back to the streaming stuff. So what I'm going to talk about with this is how sports needs to be careful moving to the streaming. Look, I don't know what the percentages are of people that have cable, but I think more people have cable than have every streaming thing in under the sun. I think if you look, there are like 12 streaming platforms now. Uh, you know, it used to be, it started with just Netflix. It was easy. You know, you had Netflix or you didn't have Netflix. Like, then they started folding in all these extra ones, and now we're up to like 10 or 12 different streaming things. Every time I turn around, there's either a streaming one collapsing into another one or another spin-off of a streaming one. I saw something the other day. I was watching looking through movies or whatever, and it said it was on AMC Plus or something, and I'm like, I didn't even know AMC Plus. Oh, it was a TV show. It was one of those, I don't know, something. And it was like, oh, you can find this on AMC Plus. And I'm like, I can't find it on AMC Plus. I'm not paying for that. And then I saw uh I was looking for an older movie or something, and it said it was on MGM Plus. And I'm like, what? MGM Plus? That's we'd have that now too? So like there's two that you know three weeks ago I didn't even know existed. So I'm sure we're well over 12 by now with Prime and you know all these different things. Uh I saw something the other day that you have to they think they're gonna spin off kind of the SEC, like they're gonna start moving some of these football and basketball games from the ACC Plus and the SEC Plus, which are are part of ESPN, onto like their own platform things. So you'd have to subscribe, even though they're owned by ESPN. You'd have to like log into SEC Plus, you'd have to log into the ACC plus, all this stuff. So anyway, where I'm going with this, old man yells at cloud. I promise you I have a point. This came out, I don't know if you even knew this. The MLS playoffs have started. Yes, we're we're in the playoffs. The playoffs in MLS started two weeks two days ago. I s I live in an MLS city, FC Cincinnati. We often go to a game or two a year. I didn't even know the playoffs started this week. They moved, I think it was two years ago, three years ago, they moved to streaming on Apple TV. We used to watch all the local FC games. They used to be on some channel here, local channel, whatever, because it was a local market, so we could watch the local game. MLS signed this huge deal with uh Apple TV, got them a lot of money. Good for them, you know, getting money. You gotta uh obviously it costs revenue to run sports organizations, but at what cost? This article came out this week. Average attendance across the MLS declined by 5% in 2025 from a record high a year ago. 21,988 fans per match is the MLS's. Lowest since 2022. Now I have a theory about this. Your television is a giant ad. The NFL is popular because it is consistently on Monday nights, Sunday nights. There's games Sunday at 1 on public channel. And Sunday at 4.15, 4.30, or whatever. You have at least three games at 1 and 4.15, 425, whatever it is, that you can watch for free. You can put your little, everybody sells them now. You got HD antennas, hook it up to your TV. You can get your local CVS, you can get your local Fox, whatever. But guaranteed, you can get if you're in a local market, you'll get they've changed the blackout rules and stuff. You can watch the local game, whatever. The NBA is starting to get into this streaming fringe area with their new contract they just signed. And I wonder if that's going to hurt their popularity. If they keep the games on ESPN and NBC, which I think they're planning to do a couple nights on those channels, that'll help with it. But MLS totally moving the screaming streaming. I in this is my theory. I think you know, when when you're flipping around the channels and you see there's a big MLS game on a channel, and you watch it as a you know sports person, that's a free advertisement. Like you just by you putting the game on ESPN or whatever channel, I I we watched, we've watched uh because we get ion, I think it's called Ion, we've watched the National Women's Soccer League because they're on Ion. Like Sunday afternoon, we have the five TVs running for football. There's often only two or three games at 4.30 because the NFL can't figure out scheduling to put five or four games at a time slot. They like to only do two or three. Like this week, we're doing seven or eight games at early, and we're doing three at uh 4.25. So we often are putting other sport things on. Almost every Sunday afternoon, Ion gets thrown on. We got the NWSL on TV. Um, so I've watched more women's National Women's Soccer League than I have MLS this season because I don't know, I don't think we have Apple TV on any of the TVs in the basement. I don't think we don't pay for the MLS subscription. I think you not only have to have it, I think Steve has it, or he used to have the subscription to it, but he's the only one I know. But yeah, I I I just I don't get it. Like these people move into the streaming thing and they and college sports are doing it. They love to push things to Peacock, they love to push things to the ESPN streaming thing, the SEC streaming stuff, all these different streaming things. They're gonna have to be very paramount. They're gonna have to be very careful because if you put them on too many different things, people aren't going to have 14 streaming subscriptions. They're gonna have maybe cable. If they're a big sports fan, they probably have cable because you got if you're a sports person, you almost have to have cable. And when I say cable, I'm including things like Hulu TV, YouTube TV, like things that you flip up and down. It has your TBSs, it has your TNTs, it has ESPN and a history channel and all that noise. So you can get most of your sports things, you know, just by having cable, and maybe you have a few streaming things to supplement it. But nobody, nobody is gonna have cable and 14 streaming things. They have to be very careful, these team, these programs and stuff and sports, especially a fringe sport like MLS. No offense to soccer fans in the world, but in the United States, soccer is not the number one sport like it is in a lot of countries and stuff. We got baseball, we got basketball, we got football, we got a lot of different sports to watch. Um, NHL for those fans, like there are a lot of different sports to watch here in America. MLS is not in the top, so when you're one of those sports, you have to be very careful uh about where you put your product. And I think it was a huge mistake for the MLS to sign this Apple deal, and it's probably like a five or eight-year deal. I wouldn't be surprised to see attendance drop over the next five years because of this. Now, I'm not saying it's gonna drop off a cliff, but it makes it hard. The bars, you go out to a bar, try to tell them to log into their Apple TV, the the bar person will just laugh at you. They'll say, We have direct TV. Where's it on direct TV? And you'll say, It's not on direct TV. You can't, it's not on. You tried it to go there, you try to get Peacock or something on, you go to a bar on a Saturday and watch a Big Ten game or something. You're not getting that on a uh bar TV. So these programs they gotta be very careful with their games, they gotta treat their product like it's a constant advertisement, and they gotta be careful and get it in front of the most eyes. And that is not Apple TV. All right, let's get into some of the college big games. Number eight, Ole Miss. And number 13, Oklahoma. Ole Miss didn't drop much. I don't understand that. That's just my first thought on that. Uh I I don't I don't get uh I mean I they lost to Georgia, but like they only dropped three. I don't know. I feel like there's been a lot of other teams that if they lost to a team like that in the top ten, they'd drop further than that, but whatever. Um look, I think, I think Ole Miss is a fraud. They're playing at Oklahoma, five and a half Oklahoma. I I like that a lot. I would definitely take Oklahoma here five and a half. Uh yeah. Number 11 BYU at Iowa State, minus two and a half. This one, uh you know how I did the rat line of the week. I did that last week. I I don't get this one. It's it's like I'm it's like deja vu all over again. I told you last week, Georgia Tech, Duke, rat line of the week. I got another rat line of the week for you here. Get the cheese out. BYU's undefeated. Iowa State should not be favored here. I don't understand this. Iowa State's lost two in a row. Their best win this season is against a very mid-Iowa team. ISU favored. I don't understand. This is almost my lock this week. I I looked at this. I don't usually do college locks, so I looked at this, I thought, and I thought, I'm gonna bet it. I didn't remember to bet the Georgia Tech one last week. I'm certainly taking BYU moneyline here. This is my rat game of the week. Get the cheese BYU moneyline. If you if you're comfortable, if you're not comfortable with moneyline, just take BYU plus two and a half and thank me later. Uh number 15, Mizzou at number 10, Vandy, Vandy two and a half point favorite. I I mean, just is every SEC school ranked? I don't I mean, uh just going. The next one I got on here is an SEC school too. I mean, just why don't we just rank the entire SEC? I mean, this is just disgusting. I Mizzou's not any good. Vandy's okay. It's at Vandy. They just won a big game last week. I mean, I think you take Van. I think Vandy's playing better than Mizzou. I I looked this up, I didn't put it in my notes. I don't think Mazoo's beat anybody. I think at one point I think at one point Mizoo hadn't left the state. This might be is this their first game on the road? Hold on a second. I gotta I'm pulling it up here. Oh, they went and beat Auburn last week. That was their first road game. That was their first and it took them overtime to beat Auburn. Yeah, no, no, no, no. Vandy minus two and a half, more than that. Mizzou stinks. Uh number three, Texas AM. Number three, Texas AM at number 20 LSU. LSU two and a half point home dogs. Look, I just I just ran in and raved about how LSU they're supposed to be championship contenders. I I think they lose this game. I think they lose their next game at Alabama. Like I I think Brian Kelly's job is is up. I think this might be the beginning of the end here. This this three-week run here. Uh I think I think they lose both. I I think AM covers this. AM's undefeated. Yeah, I'm surprised it's not more than two and a half. I I don't I don't know. I'll give you AM on this one. Uh, and then the last college game I want to talk about, Houston at number 24, Arizona State. Arizona State after that huge upset, minus seven. Houston's pretty good too this year. They've only lost, I think, two games. This is gonna be this is gonna be a good game. I I think Houston covers. I think it's a little bit of a letdown for Arizona State. Uh I I think Arizona State still wins, so I'm not telling you to take moneyline, Houston, but I think you should uh take Houston plus seven here. Let's get into the NFL. This is a big bye week this week. I think it's the first time we've had six on bye this year. Cardinals, Jags, Lions, Raiders, Rams, Seahawks. Pretty good teams there. The Jags, the Lions, the Rams and the Seahawks. Jags a little media a mediocre team, I guess. It shouldn't be ranked up with the Lions, Rams, and Seahawks, but uh but yeah, so just uh keep that in mind. Adjust your fantasy teams accordingly. Uh uh get your bets adjusted accordingly based on these bites. Uh the first game I want to talk about, I'm dubbing this the Who is for Real Bowl? This is Minnesota at oh wait, I already oh this is I I wrote this the other day before the Thursday night game. We already know who won the Thursday night game because it's Friday. Uh this was this was the Minnesota Chargers Thursday night football game. We know who's for real. Uh the Chargers are more for real than the Vikings. So we'll just skip right over that then. I totally forgot. Uh then we'll go to the next game. Um this is the Lamar is back game. Chicago at Baltimore, minus six and a half. Um this is a very I I know Lamar is coming back, but they played two games at the beginning of the season with Lamar, and I believe they lost them both, or or maybe won the second one. They didn't win the first one. I uh the Bears have been playing well. I I they they're not like lighting up the world, but Caleb Williams is actually performing okay. They've been running the heck out of the ball. Caleb Williams has not been turning it over, and they've been running the ball with Swift so well. I I actually like Chicago here. This was almost my lock of the week with uh Chicago uh plus six and a half. I think you you sprinkle a little Chicago money line here. I don't think Baltimore's making the playoffs this year. I don't think that they come back and make a big run with Lamar. You know, I it's his first game back in six weeks. I think there's a little rust there. Baltimore's defense is still horrible. You bring Lamar back, you still have a horrible defense. I think the Bears control the ball. I I the Bears cover the seven, six and a half. And I think you sprinkle a little Bears moneyline here. This was almost my lock of the week. Um I'm gonna skip this next one because that is what I ended up using for my lock of the week. Uh, we'll get into Sunday night football here. Green Bay at Pitt plus three. And the only reason I'm putting it on here is Mike Tomlin's record against the spread when he is an underdog. And especially good when he is a home underdog. Since Tomlin took over in 2007, I got a little stat for you here. The Stollers are 21, 7, and 3 against the spread as home underdogs. I mean, that's screaming. Take Pittsburgh plus three. They they when Tomlin is a dog at home, he almost always covers. Like that, I don't see this going any other way. It'll be, oh, after Pitt lost last week to Cincinnati, like, is this the end of Pitt? Blah blah blah. This is what Tomlin does all the time. He wins the games he's not supposed to win, and he loses the games, or he doesn't cover the games that he's supposed to win. So I think this is definitely an area where you take Pittsburgh plus three. Also, an odd note about the Packers in this game. Uh, they are sitting at 4-1-1. San Francisco, Philly, Tampa Bay, Detroit, Seattle, and the LA Rams, those are six teams. All six of those teams are five-two, five wins, but the four-win Packers are actually the number one seed right now because of that tie game with Dallas. They're sitting there four-one and one, even though they have one less win. They are the number one overall seeds. And those five six, those are the rest of your playoffs in the NFC. The NFC is so competitive this year at the top. It's unbelievable that anything less than five and two, and you're sitting looking outside the playoffs. So four and three, you know, you're not in right now. Uh, that's the NFC is gonna be tough. Uh, and then let's get into the gambling group. Uh, Greg agrees with me, Steelers plus three. That's his uh lock of the week. I totally love this one. I just talked about it. Tomlin as a home dog, love it. Good pick, Greg. Ethan is giving us Tampa Bay minus four at New Orleans. Um, I love that somebody picked Tampa Bay again because when I make the fun little AI graphics, I don't know what it is about the word buccaneers, but the AI, I the AI, the great AI that's replacing everybody's jobs, right? It can't spell Buccaneers. And all it has to do is copy paste. It doesn't know how to copy paste. I I literally type into the prompt, put Ethan Buccaneers minus four against New Orleans, and it'll say it'll call it Buck of Beers, Buck of Leers, Buck of Cheers. I I've had it spell it 10 different ways. I eventually just keep it because I can't get the AI prompt to do it correctly. Um it's amazing to me that the that this great AI can't spell the word Buccaneers, but I'm glad he picked them because I like I like seeing how the AI is gonna spit it out. We did it two or three different weeks with Tampa Bay, and then we took a little time off from them. Uh New Orleans is stinky bad. I I get that this is at New Orleans. Tampa Bay covers eight, ten maybe at New Orleans. I know it's a division game. New Orleans stinks. New Orleans is terrible. Terrible. They have one win this year. That's terrible. I this is only four because of the way Tampa Bay looked last week and Mike Evans getting hurt, but that doesn't matter. They're bouncing back. They win this by way more than four. Good luck, Ethan. Uh Uncle Mike has given us 49ers, Texans over 41.5. Look, he loves the overs, Uncle Mike, this year. I don't know what's I don't know what got into him. Uh, this is I think his fourth over. He is three and one on the overs right now. No, sorry. This is his fourth fourth one or fifth one? He's two and one. This is his fourth one. He's picked three already, he's two and one on the overs. Uh oh boy, I don't know. If you stayed up late Monday night, the Texans look so bad. I almost made uh yeah, I I I just I I don't I don't get this at all. Like the the if this is gonna go, then it's gonna have to be uh 49ers 30, Texans 14. I I mean I I don't think the 49ers I don't know. I the I this is a tough one. I will bet it because we've been very good with our NFL picks this year, but I'm not a huge fan of this one just because the Texans have looked so bad. It's at Houston. Maybe they'll play a little better at home, but they just they look so bad. They look so bad. They wouldn't have scored uh last week late in the game. You were probably all asleep by then. I think it was about 12.30, 1 o'clock in the morning when this happened. They strip sacked Seattle in the end zone to get a touchdown. That was like the only score they had in the entire second half was a strip sack. They had a million plays from the one-yard line. I don't even know how many times. If you go go look at the if you didn't watch that game, go go look at the the game report thing and just see how many times it said end of downs, ended on downs. Like, oh, it was so bad. It was so bad. At one point I was telling Darby, I said, you know, if he just kicked a field goal each time here, it'd be a one-score game. Like they they could be in this game, but he keeps going for it. Uh just ridiculous. I uh CJ Stroud looks like he's lost out there. I I worry about them being able to score. Well, we'll see. We'll see. 49ers aren't the best defense in the world. Uh, so we'll see. Although I did start them in fantasy this week. I went and picked them up. I have Seattle, number one defense, Seattle uh in fantasy. And they're on a bye this week, as I mentioned earlier, so I went and picked up Stan Franz just because the Texans look so bad. Um, Uncle John has given us UC minus three and a half. They're hosting Baylor. UC's been very good this year. I like this a lot. It's a home game. I like it. Uh, I'm not super impressed with what I've seen out of Baylor this year. I I like that one too. I'm liking a lot of these locks. But then we run into one that I don't really like. Like, and I and I almost made that and then Scott said this as well. We both thought about this as our uh anti what Steve was thinking here. So Steve gave us Nebraska minus seven and a half. Now, Nebraska just lost last week. Uh, and Steve thinks this is a bounce back game. Uh, Nebraska got ranked last week, then they immediately lost and uh and became unranked again, and now they're playing Northwestern. Northwestern's not terrible this year. They're okay. I honestly almost if no if Nebraska ends up losing this one outright, I think I'm putting Matt Rule up on the frosty throne. I think he's a little uh looking ahead, Matt Rule in Nebraska. They they've mentioned him for the Penn State job opening. I don't know if his focus is there. I I don't know, but I don't ever trust Nebraska. They've been a huge disappointment ever since they joined the Big Ten. I don't really like them at seven and a half here, so I'm going to avoid betting this lock. Uh, but I hope it hits for Steve. I'm not gonna bet it myself. I'm also not gonna bet Northwestern. I don't ever bet against Star Locks. I even if I don't believe in them enough to bet them, I still root them on. So I'll Steve, I'm in your corner. I'm rooting for Nebraska, but just know they've not been great since they joined the Big Ten, and I don't really trust them, and that's more than one touchdown, so I'm gonna stay away. Um, Matt has given us Illinois plus three and a half at Washington. Yeah, I don't I don't get this one at all. I I I think Illinois is a fraud. I I don't think they're a top 25 team. I think they're 24th or 23rd in rank now. They bounce they're bouncing back and forth, unranked, ranked, unranked, ranked, back and forth. I look, I think Washington's a better team here. I think Washington wins by more than four. I don't I don't get this one. I I don't think Illinois is very good. Uh so yeah. I I think this is Matt saying, like, oh, Indiana beat Illinois by a billion, so I gotta get behind Illinois so that the IU win by 53 or whatever it was looks good. Uh anytime you win by 53, it looks good. You don't have to have Illinois be ranked. Uh and I don't think Illinois deserves to be ranked. They're not very good. They haven't beat anybody this year. Uh no. I don't like that one. Um and then you Scott gave us UCLA, IU over 53.5. I don't know. UCLA's been playing better. Yeah, I don't know. That's a lot of points, 53 and a half. I know IU likes to run the score up. Um yeah. I think they just they just beat uh what was I wonder what that Michigan State game was last week. Let me let me see what the total was on that. I think that was in the rain, though. So Indiana, I mean, they beat Illinois or Michigan State by 25, and it I think it was a bad weather game. They scored, I mean, the total in that was 51, so yeah. If it's good if it's decent weather, it's gonna be cold a little bit. Um is this at is this at UCLA? No, it's at Indiana, so it might be a little cold. It's we finally got a little weather here in the Midwest. It finally is not 80. Um, so maybe the scoring slows down, or maybe they speed it up. I don't know. But yeah, I'll dig that. I'll bet that. Sure. Over 53 and a half. I like it. That's all seven of our locks, and then you just have mine left. And I am giving you tremendous value with this lock. I'm going NFL again, as I often do. I am giving you San Francisco plus two and a half at Houston. Now, I looked at this. This one is a head scratcher of a line. I don't get it. Houston looked terrible in Seattle. I mentioned this already. Seattle had four turnovers in that game, by the way. So we Houston looked terrible. They scored once by getting a fumble in the end zone that they recovered, a fumble six. But Seattle had three more turnovers on top of that, and they still thumped Houston. So I don't understand why this line's at two and a half. You should take San Francisco plus two and a half, and you should maybe don't even, if you if you only bet a little bit of money, don't even put it on the plus two and a half. Just put it money line. San Francisco money San Francisco does not lose this game. I don't understand. I get that they're on the road. They're not losing this game to Houston. Houston stinks. They are a terrible, terrible team. They only have two wins on the season. That's how many losses San Francisco. San Francis five and two. And you're telling me that they're a two and a half point dog at Houston? At Houston? It's not a it's not like they're going somewhere where there's a raucous crowd or loud crowd noise and stuff. It's Houston. They don't have a big fan base down there. I mean, they're a 2000s expansion team. What? Nobody says, oh man, I survived playing in Houston. Nobody says that. No, no, no. No, this line makes no sense. San Francisco plus two and a half. That's my lock of the week. San Francisco plus two and a half, and just take the money line. San Francisco wins this game outright. I don't this sh I think this should be San Fran minus one and a half. I don't. I'm so confused. They said they didn't know if Purdy's gonna play. They didn't know if it's gonna be Mac Jones. I don't care if it's Purdy for a quarter and he gets hurt again and it's Mac Jones for three quarters. They don't lose this game. They still have a guy called Christian McCaffrey. Uh it's also National Tight End Day on Sunday. So uh Kittle is the one that helped invent that thing. So I'm sure they'll be throwing to him, get him a touchdown or two. By the way, last year on National Tight End Day, there were a billion tight end touchdowns, so make sure to go into your little apps and do some uh anytime touchdowns on tight ends all across the board, parlay them together, whatever you want to do. That's my other advice to you uh outside of my lock because they I don't know why people make a big deal out of national tight end day, but they try to, I swear they try to throw more to the tight ends like that. So Sam Fran, plus two and a half. That is my lock of the week. I want to thank you all for listening to the podcast this week. I really appreciate it. We got the dog picks coming up on TikTok for Sunday night football. Only one Monday night football now. Uh, I think we're done. That was the last double one. So, lady, you're done. Uh Stanley Poochie once again hit his lock last week. Let me get the score here. Poochie through seven weeks is five and two. So make sure to follow us on TikTok at TSS Gambling. Follow me at TSS Gambling on X, formerly Twitter. That's gonna do it for this week's show. Good luck gambling, everybody.