LessWrong MoreAudible Podcast

"Rejected Early Drafts of Newcomb's Problem" by zahmahkibo

September 30, 2022 Robert
"Rejected Early Drafts of Newcomb's Problem" by zahmahkibo
LessWrong MoreAudible Podcast
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LessWrong MoreAudible Podcast
"Rejected Early Drafts of Newcomb's Problem" by zahmahkibo
Sep 30, 2022
Robert

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rxnpuzEw4boJrs3CY/rejected-early-drafts-of-newcomb-s-problem

Discovered inside an opaque box at the University of California and shared by an anonymous source, please enjoy these unpublished variations of physicist William Newcomb's famous thought experiment.

Newcomb's Advanced Problem

If Omega predicted that, when presented with this exact scenario in a hypothetical context, you would lie about your intentions because you think that somehow matters to an omniscient godlike entity, Box B contains lethal poison gas.

Newcomb's Market

Before your arrival, Omega created questions for your decision on each of the ten leading prediction markets. If Omega predicted you will one-box, Box B contains one million dollars multiplied by the maximum arbitrage between those markets due to insufficient liquidity.

Show Notes

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rxnpuzEw4boJrs3CY/rejected-early-drafts-of-newcomb-s-problem

Discovered inside an opaque box at the University of California and shared by an anonymous source, please enjoy these unpublished variations of physicist William Newcomb's famous thought experiment.

Newcomb's Advanced Problem

If Omega predicted that, when presented with this exact scenario in a hypothetical context, you would lie about your intentions because you think that somehow matters to an omniscient godlike entity, Box B contains lethal poison gas.

Newcomb's Market

Before your arrival, Omega created questions for your decision on each of the ten leading prediction markets. If Omega predicted you will one-box, Box B contains one million dollars multiplied by the maximum arbitrage between those markets due to insufficient liquidity.