Macro Mondays
Each and every Sunday, former Global Chief Strategist of Nordea Bank, Andreas Steno, invites colleagues and friends of Steno Research to share their views on the world of macro and geopolitics with loads of actionable content.
We will maintain FULL independence without capital interests in having specific views and provide 100% transparency around how we trade and view the world
The podcast will be the most entertaining and yet serious podcast in the Macro Space and as you will notice our trade ideas will be โSOMETIMES MAYBE GOOD, SOMETIMES MAYBE SHITโ (Listen to understand the context)
Find out more about Steno Research with the 30% discount code โmacro30โ at www.stenoresearch.com/subscribe
Macro Mondays
Is Iran War Deal Imminent? | Macro Mondays: May 25, 2025
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Real Visionโs Mikkel Rosenvold and Andreas Steno Larsen break down the latest market reaction to reports of a possible Strait of Hormuz deal, what it could mean for oil and inflation, and why the next phase of the market may depend on whether Middle East tensions truly de-escalate. They also explore a surprising inflation driver in hardware and semiconductors, explain why consumer spending is holding up better than many expect, and share the sectors theyโre watching next.
๐ฅ Get ๐๐ฅ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฆ๐ฆ to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe
Timestamps:
00:00 - Monarch Sponsor
01:00 - Macro Mondays: Iran, Hormuz, and Global Markets
01:31 - Strait of Hormuz Deal Rumors and Market Reaction
02:50 - Europeโs Heat Wave and the Energy Debate
04:21 - Trump, Iran, and the Weekend Negotiation Push
06:01 - Can Trump Sell an Iran Deal to Republicans?
07:12 - Abraham Accords, Iran, and Middle East Strategy
07:59 - Oil Drops, Bond Yields Fall, and Markets Rally
09:11 - Are Iranian Ships Actually Moving Through Hormuz?
10:58 - Why Markets Care More About Hormuz Than Politics
13:03 - Inflation Outlook: Energy vs Consumer Prices
14:20 - Kevin Warsh, AI, and the Disinflation Argument
17:45 - Which Sectors Benefit Most From Inflation?
18:45 - Why AI Hardware Is Suddenly Inflationary
21:08 - The AI Memory Boom and Rising Electronics Prices
23:39 - Why Hardware Stocks Have Outperformed in 2026
24:02 - What Happens if Inflation Peaks in June?
25:20 - Consumer Spending Is Holding Up Surprisingly Well
27:01 - Amazon, Tesla, and Luxury Stocks as the Next Trade
28:11 - PCE Inflation Data: What Markets Need This Week
29:28 - Final Thoughts: Waiting on the Iran Deal
๐ฅ Get ๐๐ฅ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฆ๐ฆ to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe
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