Shelton Capital Management | Real Investment Insights

Rotation, Not Recession: A Broadening Market Emerges

Shelton Capital Management

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» Market Rotation: Volatility seems the most concentrated in software businesses, while market leadership is broadening toward other sectors.

» Economic Resilience: Ending 2025 with 4% growth, the economy remains strong and supported by U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts, unlike the 2000’s Tech Bubble.

» Private Sector Strength: Core economic health remains steady and quietly strong when excluding volatile trade data.

» CapEx Growth: Rising corporate investment in property and equipment points toward sustained productivity and industrial gains in the coming years.

» Labor Stability: After hitting a floor in late 2025, we expect jobs growth to stabilize around 100,000 per month, which approximates the labor force growth.