Join Drew, Derek, and Ryan in this action-packed episode as they delve into the heart of sports betting and college games. Dive into Drew's thrilling near-miss with two parlays that could've netted him $11k! Get expert insights and detailed analysis on NFL matchups: Eagles @ Buccaneers, Chargers @ Vikings, Rams @ Bengals, Steelers @ Raiders, Giants @ 49ers, and Falcons @ Lions. Whether you're a betting enthusiast or just love deep discussions on football games, this episode has something for everyone. Don't miss out on the inside scoop, predictions, and behind-the-scenes banter. Subscribe now!
0:00 Sports Betting Reflections and Game Highlights
15:44 Daniel Jones and Giants Performance Discussion
24:57 Falcons vs Lions Game Discussion
36:32 Chargers vs. Vikings Predictions and Analysis
42:31 SNF: Steelers vs Raiders
49:48 MNF: Eagles vs Buccaneers Game Analysis
1:00:33 MNF: Bengals, Rams Discussion
1:05:12 Pick 5
Follow us on TikTok or Instagram @sucksatgambling
Join Drew, Derek, and Ryan in this action-packed episode as they delve into the heart of sports betting and college games. Dive into Drew's thrilling near-miss with two parlays that could've netted him $11k! Get expert insights and detailed analysis on NFL matchups: Eagles @ Buccaneers, Chargers @ Vikings, Rams @ Bengals, Steelers @ Raiders, Giants @ 49ers, and Falcons @ Lions. Whether you're a betting enthusiast or just love deep discussions on football games, this episode has something for everyone. Don't miss out on the inside scoop, predictions, and behind-the-scenes banter. Subscribe now!
0:00 Sports Betting Reflections and Game Highlights
15:44 Daniel Jones and Giants Performance Discussion
24:57 Falcons vs Lions Game Discussion
36:32 Chargers vs. Vikings Predictions and Analysis
42:31 SNF: Steelers vs Raiders
49:48 MNF: Eagles vs Buccaneers Game Analysis
1:00:33 MNF: Bengals, Rams Discussion
1:05:12 Pick 5
Follow us on TikTok or Instagram @sucksatgambling
Welcome back to Drew and Derek Suck At GAMBLING. I'm Drew. I'm Derek and I'm Ryan and, honestly, I should have wore a bag over my head. I went oh four and one on the pick. Five Did go in five, though right had a push and a penny saved is a penny earned. I was very excited to not lose. I was watching that game with Derek and I just once. I think it was when they were down 11 I think, I think the.
Drew:Panthers were down 11, bryce young had the ball and I was like here it comes, this is a I'm not gonna win one. I'm not winning one this week. I don't. I mean I the Lions game was kind of rough. Some of the other games were rough. How did you guys, did you guys win at least one?
Ryan:one and four, three and three and seven over the last two weeks, oh you didn't push them. I'm almost. Yeah, I didn't push, though. That's what matters.
Drew:What which one won for you.
Ryan:The only one that mattered. Dude Called double.
Derek:You know you had two double units. If I recall Josh downs right, I was a little too in the zero career touchdowns. Yeah, that was a deal. I don't even know why.
Drew:I asked like I faded you with my double unit law. Yeah, that that was. That was a rough game. At least Depends on your perspective.
Ryan:Yeah, but yeah.
Drew:What about you, Derek? Did you win one?
Derek:I'm just a mr Three and two, right, oh, I'm sorry, three, one and one with a push, because my double unit was also the Saints game and we had a very different reaction to that game. Whereas you immediately went, I'm gonna lose this one, I was sitting back for relax and I was like mathematically it's not possible. I was like 22 to 9. They were this is easy. And I was like hold on 9 plus 8, 17, they're up 20. Oh my god. And it was the complete opposite of I'm sure we'll touch on it, but the Broncos just Magnificently just blowing that lead as I knew they were going to. When the Hail Mary happened, I was like, oh fuck, I was more confident in them not completing that two-point conversion, hail Mary by. But on the flip side, I knew right when the Panthers were that touchdown was like we're just fucked, it means nothing and they're gonna cover the spread and at least it's a push.
Drew:Yeah speaking of comebacks, that was. That game was rough, I so I went. I was around Giants fans because how could you not? There was like it was.
Ryan:It was in New.
Drew:York, right? Basically? Yeah, it was. You know, I was just making jokes. I was like dude, we're not even supposed to be here, like we're up 20, nothing at half time and yeah no, it got worse each time.
Drew:They turned around to look at me, like I, my last like defense was like it was tied game 2828. They get a first down to get over the 50 and I go, what's the score like? Because they were celebrating like they won and they did basically at that point. But, yeah, I was, I was trying to hold on. I was like, well, at least we're not paying Daniel Jones, we're paying a guy who's not even playing right now. So jokes on you guys. But um, yeah, that that was rough. Also had a couple parlays that, oh, that I was a Mike Williams touchdown, away from winning, I think, $5,000.
Drew:Oh, on a $10 bet and how many legs it was like five I had. I had one that had Dobbs, I had Dobbs and then a teller, tyler, tyler Higby touchdown away from winning like 6,000 because I had Dobbs Higby Seyquan and Dobbs Higby Seyquan iron and no Jake Ferguson Ferguson in the Dallas game and then and All three of those hit except for Tyler Higby, because Kyren screwed me over.
Drew:But I mean I had another one where it was like Kyren, mike Evans and like I'll have to pull it up. But yeah, I rewatched that Chargers game today and that was a little painful, but there was no actual shot for him to score. They just didn't target him in the end zone.
Derek:Man was too too touched, as away from 11,000.
Drew:Yeah, that was a oh, and then, like I had another one where I think, oh, it was Khalif Raymond.
Ryan:Yeah, it was.
Drew:Mike Evans, khalif Raymond, kyren Williams, jake Ferguson, my and Mike Evans and I say right, yeah, so five leg. That was that would have won 6k had it cashed but it didn't. But at least I bet Jake Ferguson and Josh Dobbs Straight up. Josh Dobbs was plus 800 to get a touch. Oh, that was I, I was I. Yeah, I had a walk about a mile to the stadium and that was. I don't know if that was heatstroke that helped me come up with that, but that was that your epiphany.
Drew:Like walking the stadium had a hallucination parking lot and I was. I was like Dobbs is running it in worked out, but Nice. Yeah, I Was also watching that Colorado Game. I actually I did win big on that one.
Ryan:Oh nice.
Drew:I. I had a parlay that had Fresno State Covering, and boy did they ever.
Ryan:Boston you.
Drew:No, I had Fresno State, nebraska against the spread and Colorado State Covering oh yeah, three and a half. Yeah, then I got like Colorado to win by one to ten points, like it was just I had it. I thought it was gonna be a close game not based off like anything. I'm not like a genius, but I just hot fives.
Ryan:Yeah.
Drew:But I ended up at a bar, like who went, by the time the game was over. It was so late, 1130.
Ryan:Yeah, finish. And those poor east coasters.
Drew:Yeah, now they all get experience. Pack 12 after dark. Yeah, because don't no one really cared to watch any back home games this late. Yeah, that was I mean Travis Hunters out for like three weeks last rated kidney or liver. I Didn't know what exactly.
Ryan:I think I saw that. Damn, what a scrappy game. Though that was fun, I was so bummed I didn't catch the second half of it.
Derek:Just so mad, I didn't bet overtime, it was so obvious. Oh yes, I did it the week before with Nebraska, Colorado.
Drew:I was like this week's going over time, oh yeah, no. I was a week off. It was uh, yeah, that that game was. They're about to go up against a train.
Ryan:Yeah.
Drew:I mean Oregon's Oregon's gonna be a tough game for them, but At least you know ESPN and Fox got all their shows out of the way. They were like hey we're gonna go go to Boulder now.
Ryan:No, yeah, it was a fun college week and this week we have Clemson, florida State two teams. I almost Snagged fat bags from in previous weeks because I I lied bet Duke like early on when they were like still Like an absurd amount of plus money. Yeah then I lied bet Boston College, when they were like plus 2,200. I was like it's gonna happen, it's gonna happen, but so we'll see. I'll go Florida State, we're talking about it.
Drew:but oh yeah, no, I kind of dude. I Think Mike Norvell is Colorado States coach, his brother it's J Norvell coach in Florida State, back in the back and band of brothers.
Ryan:Yeah.
Drew:You know, he won't have his sons, his sunglasses or hat on.
Ryan:If he's talking to adults.
Drew:That was the funniest thing about that. Yeah, the whole buildup was just like he disrespected my mom Indirectly, but he disrespected my mom.
Ryan:Smart business move though. Oh yeah, hey, they made like a million dollars.
Drew:It's insane 1.6 or something like that.
Ryan:It's crazy Good for them.
Derek:Was that all from Dion buying the glasses?
Drew:I actually I have some fun sunglasses that I bought like a few years back. I'm like it's a Nebraska one, Good sunglasses they should sponsor. If you're listening yeah, and then on, we got Ohio State, notre Dame.
Ryan:Mm-hmm.
Drew:That should be a good game you got like yeah, that'll be fun. How old is Sam Hartman? Like 35? Yeah, yeah, you guys. I don't know if you guys saw there was like a kicker.
Ryan:Yeah, he was like three kids and wife. Yeah, yeah, yeah, it's Colorado State, or?
Derek:I think it was. Yes, yeah, I think it was.
Drew:I think, yeah, yeah something like that, like I don't know, but it's like he tackled like a 19 year old kid, like in any other context you're really close to a legal action. And then, yeah, of course, colorado go against Oregon. Yes, you can face off against USC slaughter Right now are going to that game.
Ryan:I can't wait.
Drew:No, that that should be a. I Almost think that Fresno State shutting out ASU was like what had to happen.
Ryan:Yeah.
Drew:College football. God's yeah embarrass yourself to a mid-major. Now we'll let you cover. I, just I'm a half point dog.
Ryan:I can't wait. I'm not on tiktok anymore, but he's coming the Caleb Williams. I'm expecting a tiktok from him after the devil game Saturday. Yeah, no, I, I, what's? What's Colorado? Real quick like 17 and a half spread 21, 21 and a half. I'm rooting for fun football like gladly getting a slip with Colorado spread.
Drew:Yeah, I, I could see them maybe covering yeah.
Ryan:Yeah, yeah. There's no chance in hell they win, I think, but Going out on.
Drew:Oregon's like the one school they slip at because, like then they have USC next week, so it's like one one or the other.
Ryan:Yeah.
Drew:I think everyone's just like, oh, it's gonna be one of them that they lose too.
Ryan:Yeah if not both and Arizona has like a weird like, cluster of like, because in high school Oregon was the team Right, they got that sick Nike deal, cool uniforms. Tavon Austin, right, no, he was what's.
Drew:Oh wait, oh wait, tavon, some, some dude, I'm they had a guy, they had a guy, they had a bunch of guys.
Ryan:And so a bunch of like. My friends are like annoying Oregon fans, so Colorado money line.
Derek:I'll be damned if I don't take overtime for this game. Parley overtime, call run money line let's go, let's go.
Drew:There was a couple other things going on. You got chalice Jones eating cereal pool side, oh man.
Derek:Yeah, the mid-off of running back signings got cam acres straight into the Vikings cream hunt back to the Browns. Rest in peace, nick job, that was awful.
Ryan:Oh yeah, that was made me so sad, god. And you know what I hate. I hate logging on Twitter. So I'm like oh, I wonder if anybody's like commented on you know the exact injury. And then just the meme ability of like the fantasy realm of Twitter Just takes over and they're like just out range. Two seconds after, they're just like how dare he and his stupid knee explode. I'm like man, shut up.
Drew:Or like it kind of gets annoying where, like you know, people like start tweeting sports books. Are you gonna give me my money back? Like I said, I had Jamal Williams and Nick Chubb in a parlay. Can I get my money back? Yeah dude, come on like, you're probably like have you determined glide risk?
Ryan:You're 50 cent 12 leg. Sorry, you're betting on blood sport, I mean just so you know this.
Drew:I mean, if you took the odds on drone forward to get a touchdown or show the Jones, it's Insane. You're basically betting on injury.
Ryan:So, it's.
Drew:It works both ways. But that was the funniest thing was just like please, I need to be bailed out right now. And then draft Kings does and Fandall like they'll just send you a replay of the injury and say, haha.
Ryan:It's like for you.
Drew:Yeah, they will not. They will not give you a refund on on anything. Draft Kings that they're doing anything. They can't stay alive yeah gotta help the stock.
Derek:You got a Justin Fields as a robot.
Drew:Oh yeah yeah, bears. Nothing but good vibes with the bears, oh yeah, you know bears are about to get hit with a Rico case. You're about the feds reading.
Derek:Apparently that was a fake. 10 seconds, that was my favorite thing, but, it's real enough what we're talking about, it up.
Drew:Yeah, you got either.
Derek:flus, the kingpin they say you replace in tears.
Drew:Packed in.
Derek:Package owns just the FBI agent. Oh yeah, no, just got arrested you know, it's funny is I didn't pack, check anything, I just looked at it.
Drew:It's not true, but it's like I would like to imagine. It's just this, like fast and furious style, like huge production of just you know rock is the new head coach of Just like you know deco I Family that's what's gonna get us in the end?
Derek:Happy report peanut delman is a prominent FBI agent. Oh yeah, no, he is.
Drew:Sorry, yeah, pac-man Jones got arrested last week by peanut delman.
Derek:Yeah, probably.
Drew:But yeah, this is, we got a good slate. Should we get right into Thursday night football? Let's get into it, let's do it All right.
Drew:The Giants are going to the 49ers In San Francisco. They are 10 and a half point dogs against the 49ers. 44 is the total. You know I'm going to say Seeing it firsthand. I think the Giants in the second half are Super Bowl winners. That was the best damn team I've ever seen. I found out that Brian Dabble probably took over play calling in the second half. Kafka fumbled it. I wish they stuck with him because you know they should have done that to teach him a lesson, like you know. Make him see it through.
Drew:Not just because the Cardinals were up 20-20 to nothing. But yeah, daniel Jones in the second half against the Cardinals, which in the first half also looked like Super Bowl champs. Let's just acknowledge that they took a playoff team. We're shutting them out just, I mean on pace to do what the Cowboys did the week before. So that was how good they looked. Yeah, Daniel Jones had 259 passing yards, two touchdowns, 58 rushing yards and another rushing touchdown, All in the second half.
Ryan:Electric so.
Drew:On pace for 600 passing 100 rushing.
Derek:Just don't watch your first half.
Drew:I'm interested to hear what your guys' take. This has to be a big conflict of interest for you actually. I mean, like you love Daniel Jones and you love Brock Purdy, which one's hanging the edge here?
Ryan:You're right, I do love Daniel Jones, but I think we saw enough in last Sunday's first half against the Cardinals Just all around bad team Scoreless in their first six quarters. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Embarrassing. In what could have almost been just an insufferable loss to the Cardinals, they magically come back. But you know, I'm rocking with my dog Brock. Though First home game crowd's gonna be rowdy, my brother's gonna be there shout out Enjoy the game. Christian McCaffrey, like 200. I got to hear 268 rushing yards cross the first two games. Two tutties, dude, it's gonna be a stomping. I'm easily taking 10 and a half Minus 10 and a half. I know it's hard to lay 10 and a half. I get it. But let's see a little. I feel like the 49ers kind of weirdly struggled more than I thought they would. But maybe we've just undervalued the Rams. I think we did and they had a backdoor cover.
Drew:Yeah, backdoor field call dude, what a dick. Go for the touchdown, throw it to Tyler Higby at least, at least, dude.
Ryan:Got thousands of dollars riding on this. I would have retired, you guys wouldn't have seen me, I would have been done, I would have broke. Even I've definitely lost that much, dude.
Drew:In my career.
Ryan:Yeah.
Derek:What about you, derek? Um, I've seen a lot of bad football in my life. I've seen a lot of Raiders football Bad football. I've seen a lot of Cardinals football I'm sorry, bad football. I've seen a lot of Broncos football.
Ryan:Bad football.
Derek:When the Broncos were up 21-3. When the Cardinals were up 20-0. Let me poke around. Let's look at a money line parlay With Manders and the Giants. No, you're not 125-1.
Ryan:But two books on the sucker and I'm retired.
Derek:I don't know. I showed up here because I love you guys, Thank you. So shout out to the Giants, but I do agree, they look like the worst team in NFL history for the first six quarters of football.
Ryan:Yeah.
Derek:I can't believe they pulled that off. 10 and a half's a lot of points. No say Juan, no, andrew Thomas, possibly. I think he is out.
Drew:Oh, is that confirmed.
Derek:I think so. I know Brandon and I you've spanned up. He got a stinger last game and his shoulders kind of messed up right now. So I don't know. 10 and a half's a lot, though the Niners are great. But you're right, what were they favored against the Rams last week? 7 and a half.
Ryan:Is that what it was?
Derek:I don't know. I think the Niners are unquestionably one of the top three teams in the NFC. Not even it's them equals Cowboys. Then don't even know who the fourth is, but Giants were a playoff team last year. Maybe they got the mojo back. I know losing Seikwans obviously massive, but on the short week I'm going to take the points. If it was under 10, I would go Niners, but since for over 10, 10 and a half, I could see a back to where a cover happening, I could see it being a little close.
Drew:Obviously, I think Niners win but give me Giants to cover here, so I have a value play I like. Eric Gray plus 850 to get into the end zone. Not Noah Gray, who is he, he was running back out of Oklahoma, drafted in the fifth round by the Giants. So in week 18 last year, when Seikwan was benched, breda did not get bulk of the game, breda did not get bulk of the carries, he got bulk of the receiving work. They gave what's his name Brightwell, I think.
Derek:Gary Brightwell.
Drew:Yeah, gary Brightwell, they gave him bulk of the carries. I know that a lot of Giants fans were talking about Eric Gray's past protection, but I think Dabble said this week if he's out there, we believe in him. So I think, there's a shot that he gets into the game and could be like a dark horse to get some end zone work. He's a good runner. So I think Breda's going to be in the receiving back role and I think Eric Gray could get some.
Drew:You know they're going to rely on the run to some point because you still have Daniel Jones as your quarterback. I also like Paris Campbell, over 27 and a half receiving yards I like that I'll follow If Wondell Robinson plays.
Drew:He was targeted the most in the games he played in last year when Daniel Jones was pressured, and of course he's going to be pressured. The second in targets was Sake 1. So if Wondell Robinson gets any, you know if you see a line that as of now there's nothing yet, because I think that they're still waiting to see if he plays.
Drew:I'm inclined to take it. I think that there's a lot of value on Wondell Robinson in this game. He was kind of a a safety valve for Daniel Jones. All that being said, yeah, the Niners look legit. I mean I think I think I'm going to have to say they cover all the points, but they cover. Okay, let's go. I want to jump on the prop train here.
Derek:I love everything you're saying. I was looking at Paris Campbell too. Niners, obviously, a great defense. They are tied for the first time in the game. They are tied for the defense. They are tied for the first least Rushing yards allowed to running back. So far, only 44. They also allowed the six least yards of the tight end only 17 per game, and obviously.
Ryan:Darren.
Derek:Waller is the target hog in that offense. So in this spot I like Darius Layton. I also like Paris Campbell. Darius Layton's line is 34.5. He is tied for second on the team in targets with Sake 1. Sake 1's out. I think Darren Waller is going to be bottled up. Obviously, this game looks like the Niners are going to be the last one from behind. So Layton can do this in garbage time. He can do it whenever. So this is hopefully pass the ball.
Derek:Actually that would be nice. I know in the first game it was like the third quarter they didn't complete the pass till. So that was sick. Wait, actually, I think it was about maybe to a receiver.
Drew:Yeah, I couldn't make that up, but I feel like on the broadcast.
Derek:Oh, my goodness.
Drew:No, waller definitely had some.
Derek:Okay, so are we all in agreement that Niners cover. No, no, no, we can't all agree, not just yet.
Drew:This next one, we are Falcons Lions. All right. So we got the Atlanta Falcons going against the Detroit Lions. The Lions are minus three at home, 46.5 is the total. They had that heartbreaker of an OT loss and the Falcons they are. They squeaked one out against the Packers, God damn it.
Drew:The Packers in some way partly Dude. Yeah, I thought when I saw that line there was so much movement. I think the Falcons ended up being favored by like two, three. Didn't the Packers open up his favorites? Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, it was like a one point favorite, I believe.
Ryan:Crazy.
Drew:And then it flipped to where it was like two and a half I think, when it closed on some books. But when I was in the middle of the game I was just on some books, but when I looked right before kickoff that was what I saw. It was it was. I just rewatched that game today. The Falcons know, like Desmond Ritter, I don't think he's good. I was joking. On Monday night football I was like I think Arthur Smith should be fired Because just everything he's done to Kyle Pitts. But they moved the ball. They are like top five in the league in running. They're like top five in league in red zone trips. They've mostly ended in field goals, but they're top five in trips to the red zone. You know, yeah, desmond Ritter, that dude, if you pressure him he's going to throw a pick, and I'm going to say the same thing, like I did with the Seahawks game.
Drew:I think the Lions are going to get pressure, you know, but what are you guys seeing on this?
Ryan:Yeah, no, this is. I'm like super excited for this game Because me and everybody else kind of happen on the Lions bandwagon. Definitely after the Chiefs game they go and lose a heartbreaking OT loss to the Seahawks Dude, but the Falcons 2-0, their offense is so fun to watch. I understand Desmond Ritter isn't the guy going forward. You know that they want to work on and establish, but, dude, kind of bald 230-70 yards, passing touchdown. One interception Bijan, my boy, my dynasty baby, looked good. 124 yards. And finally, drake London did some stuff after the disappointing week. One Falcons, I think have only turned over the wall once and that was the interception last game. That being said, loved me some. Jared Goff, dude, fucking bald. Last week. Qbr 121, over 300 yards, three touchdowns. Loved it, although they are allowing 25.5 points per game, which is 28th in the league, and they've averaged 86 rushing yards per game. So, big Bijan, I need to go. P-kid is over, but I think he's the key to success here. Give me a Falcons cover, oh yeah.
Derek:Wow, Wow. When you said we're all going to agree, I thought you were for sure going live.
Ryan:No, I threw you for a little.
Derek:Kerbal there. Have you guys seen the injury report?
Drew:for this game, uh-oh I looked, but I didn't.
Derek:Falcons have one guy listed and it's Jeff Acuta. Who's the most questionable Lions? Josh Randolph, questionable with a groin, David Montgomery, questionable with thigh, James Houston and I are Taylor Decker, questionable with an ankle, Vi-Tye starting guard, questionable with a knee, Emmanuel Mosley, questionable with a knee, Kirby Joseph, questionable with a hip. So give me, Lions, my news for you. I don't know, this is a tough one. I'm not going to get into the Falcons doubter this year.
Derek:Just, you know conflicts with my Saints rooting interest here, but they do have one of the easier schedules this year and they have looked pretty good In spite of Desmond Ritter. Completely agree, I don't think he's the guy or anything, but I love Bijan too. Lions, surprisingly, have been decent against running backs. I know we have a small sample size this year so far, allowing the seventh least rushing guards to running back. So maybe it's Bijan still going to get involved through the air, obviously. But if there's no Almond Raw, if Josh Reynolds is banged up, o-lines banged up, I don't know. I'm not confident in this one Immediately. First glance I was like I'm taking Lions minus three much as damn, but I think it's this way because of the injuries right now. If I had to guess, I would say Almond Raw plays, I would say Josh Reynolds plays Mount Gummary. I'm not sure. So maybe it's a big Jameer Gibbs day. Maybe this is the breakout we've all been waiting for.
Ryan:Yeah.
Derek:A couple other stats Falcons are allowing the second least yards of a wide receiver. So even with the Lions being banged up, or if an Almond Raw does play, they've been playing well lately. Here's my angle. Who's been debatably the most disappointing player in his career so far, just what he's hyped up to be? You just talked about him earlier. Pits Kyle. Pits Lions this year, allowing the most yards to tie it in 87.5. Last time they played, in 2021. He had one of the best games in his career. He had six catches for 100 yards, 102 yards. His line set at 34.5, 32.5. Wow, damn, give me that over.
Derek:My work is way in the pick five here and I'm looking at some old stuff. If he goes off, who's just saying he doesn't get 75 yards in the touchdown? Who's to say that's not 12-1? Well, draftkings says that's 12-1. I'm going to bet that, put a couple pennies on that and then I'm going to bitch it, draftkings, when he doesn't hit and be like hey, that's not fair, they didn't throw to him, and then they'll refund me Win-win.
Derek:I also just realized I didn't pick a side here. I just my heart wants to go. Lions minus three, but it's plus three and a half.
Drew:It'll take all line here You're saying it's a push.
Derek:I kind of think it's a field goal game.
Drew:Do you think, lions?
Derek:win. I do Thanks for watching.
Drew:I also think the Lions are gonna win. Uh, no, they're. I mean they're also. They also um lost. Cj Gardner Johnson.
Ryan:He's out for the season.
Drew:Dude was the guy that bring the blue ski masks into the mix.
Derek:Now they're in the Seahawks locker room.
Drew:Yeah, that was Um. They the Lions. They clawed back like golf through a key pick six that should have put away the game and the Lions came back and forced OT and then they never got the ball back. They just let Tyler Lockett score. You know which is um? I think the Falcons aren't gonna force that kind of mistake on golf. Um, something that's actually interesting about Desmond Ritter. So when he takes a five or seven step drop, drop back. His quarterback rating is top 10 in the, so so far in the season, 116.7. It drops by 20 points any any less steps than that Cause I think that he gets pressured near immediately.
Ryan:Yeah.
Drew:And fuck and the he's usually throwing like his average depth of target is like five yards, you know so he's only. It's like really just uh dinking, doing stuff Like that's, that's really this Falcons offense.
Drew:I think that it's going to be. I think I kind of like the over in this game. I feel like the offenses could be going uh, get flowing and um you know, but I do think the lines are going to force like a turnover out of that. Uh, cause um. Rewatching that game, desmond Ritter had like a drop pick like um, and then of course the other interception not saying he's good, but they definitely need to give him more time. It doesn't seem like there's he's, he's panicking.
Drew:He's panicking right now. No, but I still like the lines. I'll take the minus three, but I definitely think that offenses should should get the ball moving, shit, and I'll take 46 and a half over 46 and a half.
Ryan:Oh yeah.
Derek:This is Ram, but you know the uh on the season. There's only two receivers on the Falcons that have a target.
Ryan:Hmm.
Derek:Jake London and Matt Collins. Yeah, that's insane.
Drew:Oh, actually, you know a prop, I like, I like it again, even at less value. I mean, if, if Josh Reynolds isn't playing, I mean Cleef Raymond or Marvel Jones Jr. Those two guys. They could get into the end zone. Um, yeah, that I like those guys. This week, my gosh.
Ryan:Guys, all right.
Drew:Is that thing?
Derek:that does it.
Drew:All right, so, uh, next game is um Char Chargers, yep Chargers, vikings. We got the um oh and two chargers going against the oh and two Vikings Vikings. As of now, it's a pick, but they're plus one at home. On the spread, 54 is the total highest by far on the slate. Um, will this be the shootout that we think we deserve? I don't know. Vikings just got cam makers, you know they couldn't stop the run, so they figured why not stop their own? Um, no, I guess there's familiarity with Kevin O'Connell, um, but yeah, just kind of a random. I, him and Alexander Madison are just going to.
Ryan:Meh, meh off Dude. So pathetic Last game I have it, I think, just so sad. Eight rushing attempts on 28 yards. Oh my God, what is that?
Drew:Disgusting. Did you guys ever think, going into this year, that we would leave a prime time game like a Thursday night game going get Kirk Cousins some help? No, it was like man, he's looking, he's doing all he can it was like the pork, or cousins like uh hour, like after that came. We're just like can we get him to the jets?
Ryan:What can we do? I was, I was part of it.
Drew:I was like, come on, man, if he was on the jets. But also TJ Hawkinson, man, I mean the Eagles have been bad against the tight ends, we'll get into that later, but you know you get. He was getting his targets. He was getting, he was eating. Justin Jefferson had a shit ton of yards played against him and fantasy that hurt 150, yeah 159. Yeah, just, he was basically half their offense.
Ryan:Yeah.
Drew:Yeah, that that I mean. And the chargers, their secondary has looked horrible. This, this this whole. I mean this the past two weeks actually the worst in the league.
Ryan:Yeah.
Drew:They allowed 358 passing yards a game so far.
Ryan:Wait, wait, wait, I have a fun stat oh yeah. A spooky stat. Yeah, over the last two weeks, guess the guess, the spooky number of passing yards they've conceded.
Drew:Six, six Six.
Ryan:Get those pentagrams. They're going to be hanging them out, you're a grab ski mask.
Drew:It was daily doing aerobics on the sidelines. I feel like I feel like the chargers are. I feel like this game is like a moment. It's like a must win for for Staley's job not not quite O'Connell's, yeah but I think that total is deceiving. I think it's going to end up being just under, like I feel like it should be a shootout, like on paper it should be a shootout, but these, these teams are both so incompetent. Watch them fuck it up. One thing I do like is Jordan Addison's line is set at 49 and a half Hit that in his first two games it's almost suspiciously low, but I, I mean, might find his way into the pick five, but I wouldn't touch Justin Jefferson's line or or Hawkinson's line when are we going to start setting JJ's line to like 149 and a half?
Derek:Seriously, you can't set a line too high for that guy. I agree I would not touch his line.
Drew:I would never touch his line, it's just always so high He'll end up with like 98.
Derek:Yeah Right, it's still a good game.
Drew:What? What are you guys feeling on this game?
Ryan:Yeah, no, I think you hit all the correct points, but I do disagree on the over. I think I think both offenses kind of have you know, edges over both defenses and, like I said, dude Chargers defense just looks very bad. Throw in 666. You look at 999 after week three but regardless, herbert's going to go out there and ball you know thrown for 300 plus yards every game so far and you know, regardless of that, he's going to do his thing. Vikings, yeah, heartbreaking for Kirk. Cousins, get him to the jets. Dude, get him out of there. That would be so funny. And we'll see, maybe cam makers can like run the ball more than 28 yards. And so, yeah, I think their offense is kind of matchup favorably, I'm, I'm gladly going to go. I think this is a game. Staley Wait, what's his first name?
Drew:Brandon.
Ryan:Brandon Brandon Staley loses his job.
Drew:Well, that's a mindset at.
Ryan:Yeah, actually negative.
Drew:No, if I could plus, or.
Ryan:But I like that over to.
Drew:I think cam makers gets 28 yards if he gets like 25 carries and that's basically what it's doing for the run.
Derek:We should set Madison's number at his jersey number two. What are you feeling on this game, derek? I'm hoping this game is fun. I love it's a well deserved highest total on the week. I could also be being extremely disappointing, but I mean this is definitely. I agree, brandon Staley is probably fired if they lose this game. Before the year we were all kind of on the charges train. I mean we regrettably I can't believe I spewed those words, but they are super talented. Unfortunately, the team that they're playing, you know, does not match up well with what they're allowing, which is most receiving yards, most passing yards. They have a guy named Justin Jefferson. Jordan Addison obviously is a stud. You took everything from my notes. I love Jordan Addison this week, even KJ Osborne, if the Cowards release his lines pretty soon here, I'd like that too, but I don't know. I just like the charges loses game, like me.
Derek:Okay what happens? Chargers lose the game. Brandon Staley gets fired. Vikings lose the game. Kirk is on the jets. What do we think is more realistic?
Ryan:My heart would love Kirk to the jet.
Derek:So that's the time I'm going to go with. I mean, I fuck the charges.
Ryan:I hope they go with 17.
Derek:I hope I'm wrong there, but let's get Kirk some help. He's just because he's the biggest winner of the offseason with the quarterback show. I mean, he's the only likeable guy on that show, fuck mom, but I like.
Ryan:I'm a.
Derek:Kirk guy. Now. I like him, I'm rooting for him. I'm just looking at props in this game I mean, even even going into last year the Vikings did they allowed the second most passing yards and the first most receiving yards. So just take everyone's, everyone's over here Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Jordan Addison, Justin Jefferson, not TJ Hawkins yeah, the actually no, I got that backwards. Vikings are getting inside Everyone.
Ryan:Gelled Everett unders.
Derek:Oh just so you know. Also Austin Eckler questionable, I should say.
Drew:Don't know if he's playing.
Derek:Same thing with the Vikings. Garrett Bradbury's questionable. Marcus Davenport questionable Couple key injuries.
Drew:I'm going to just give a prediction. I say chargers, take it 2724.
Derek:But that exact score right now you won't.
Drew:I will give you a second.
Ryan:Show the camera.
Drew:You said $1,000. Do they even offer the line for that?
Derek:There's usually an exact score. There is usually I don't know this early if they do. Not yet you know what they are offering already Overtime 10 to 1.
Ryan:Let's go.
Drew:This is overtime alert.
Derek:We should have an official overtime alert. This is definitely on the list.
Ryan:This is for sure on the list.
Derek:Parlay this with Colorado, oregon overtime.
Drew:We'll get overtime, overtime alert every game, every single game.
Ryan:It's like that Buffalo Wild Wings commercial from like two years ago. Where everybody's in the bar, have this sprinkler system block a field goal.
Derek:We're going to get this fixed. I didn't pick a side. I guess I'll go chargers.
Drew:Yeah, I think. Yeah, that's what you said. Sure, yeah, all right, yeah, so two of us are on chargers, One of us is wrong. All right, moving on to the next game, that's got to be Sunday night. Got Derek's steal. You are my man, derek's Raiders.
Derek:I thought you did it on purpose.
Drew:I should, I should just lead with it.
Ryan:I got.
Drew:Pittsburgh Steelers going against the Las Vegas Raiders. In Las Vegas Raiders are minus two and a half at home. 43 is the total. These teams suck against the run. Both are horrible. Josh Jacobs got negative two rushing yards last week. Derek, what's going to happen?
Derek:Well, I think the real line we need to set is like over under four and a half people you know in your life that are going to be at this game, because you everyone has Steelers fans in their life, and everyone I've talked to is like yeah, I'm going with my uncle, my three cousins.
Ryan:Everyone has told me that I got a cousin we're going to see a lot of Steelers fans.
Derek:So basically, steelers home game here. I think it's just going to be gross. It's going to be nasty. You're not going to like it, you're not going to want to watch it. I'm going to watch it because I have to. If you guys get the quad box, just make sure you don't have this one on there. I agree, I love the rushing popovers. However, when does Jaylen Warren just get the keys? I'm Najee. He's not looking great. I saw a tweet that said Najee runs like he's trying not to lose one yard. Yeah, that's perfectly encapsulates Najee Harris' game. So like I want to take his over, but I don't know if, in good conscience, I could do it. 52 and a half Is that what it's at currently?
Drew:Yeah, 51 and a half, I think.
Derek:Oh, it's going down the Sharps.
Drew:It was 50 and a half when we started.
Derek:Oh, okay, then it went back up.
Derek:So I think I'd wait a little bit to see. I mean, I know Jaylen Warren is more so used in the receiving game, but I mean Josh Jacobs, 71 and a half. I know he's had a bad first few games. But a couple of factors here, I think one working off the rust, no training camp, no practice, obviously, and then first two games just looking at accounts that are smarter than I am reviewing the tape. They're just loading the box and there's no protection. Last year Josh Jacobs led the NFL in yards after contact, so I think that's part of shaking the rust. But also the line has to do him some favors here. So I'm hoping we see Jimmy Jesus got to get it done a little bit. We got to get Josh Jacobs and help, so we got to set up some passing work just so Josh Jacobs could get going. But I do think this is the Josh Jacobs bounce back game. I think he gets in the end zone. I don't know, do we have lines for touchdowns yet? We do not. But I would be looking for that and I would assume it's probably going to be around even maybe a little plus odds here. So that's what I would be looking at. Also would be looking for Jacobi Myers props when they release. So he is going to be back.
Derek:This game Just got out of concussion protocol. I know Devonte Adams he at the end of the game. He was in concussion protocol, but he's going to be fine, he's going to be playing this game. Just gross, just I don't. What's the current line right now? We got Raiders minus two and a half. I think that's right. Call it bias. I think the Raiders do get this done, but I think just under a few goals.
Derek:They nailed this line. This is perfect for this game.
Drew:Yeah, I think, I think I'm going to take Stueller straight up and I don't blame you.
Drew:I mean I I can't believe they set Naji Harris's line so high. I mean that's kind of similar to Jordan Addison's. It almost feels like a trap. He hasn't hit it in either of the first two games and it looks like Jaylen Warren was getting most of the reps by the second half of that game against the Browns. I will absolutely bet on Devonte Adams touchdown because Patrick Peterson is going to say something stupid this week. He's going to say something stupid and then Devonte Adams is going to catch two, like in the end zone, like you know. But, um, yeah, remember Sunday night. They had this game on Sunday night last year.
Derek:Yep Derek Cross last game.
Drew:And uh, you know it was someone had to die. Basically it was like the honor, honor hall of fame, like they had someone pass away and they were like all right time to put Steelers on Sunday night football we have to and that game was horrible. It was really bad, so sorry.
Drew:It was breaking news to me. But yeah, it was. They had it like on it. It was like they had a whole theme and it was like here's why we have it in week 16. This is why we have this game. Not we could have flexed it, but we were never going to because we had this theme for it. Um, yeah, it's going to be a little stinker, but I'll take the over 43 pretty low in a dome Sunday night. Maybe Calvin Austin finally does something. I was expecting that last week Didn't, didn't happen. Break the tie.
Ryan:Well, yeah, I think this game for me is just going to come down to like what offensive unit do I trust more? And you know, kenny, pick it after two games just has not impressed me in the slightest. I mean, last week, you know, 15 for 30. That's ugly. One touchdown, one interception, um. But also over half of his passing yards come from pickings, you know, and he only had four receptions for 127. So he was doing a lot of work, you know, gaining yak Um and also met Canada, still on the Steelers. Uh, do we have a petition update? Where can I sign? How?
Derek:do we get a? I think Drew started that one, so what?
Drew:are we at now for?
Derek:signatures True I said promote I say, lean into it. That's fun. Let's demo tomlin yeah.
Drew:Maybe that works. Maybe that's the way to get it done.
Ryan:Yeah, true, but um, also Steelers have covered the spread. Last road, last four road games. Um, who knows? I can see an area.
Derek:This is the home game for them.
Ryan:Oh baby.
Derek:Not really, but it's in Vegas, true, I was like wait, yeah, yeah, sorry.
Ryan:Um, we'll see. Maybe it's a, maybe it's a Steelers like crawl back to 500. Like they magically do game, I'll go uh plus two and a half. Sorry, derek, I'm sorry Derek.
Derek:Look, the Raiders deserve no sympathy or love here, so it's totally fine. Um, I would say it's not out yet. Uh, TJ Watts, absolutely getting a sack in this game. I just it's going to happen, and so was Max Crosby. Parley that Boom.
Drew:Tell me right now. Nice, I really hope the Raiders are up big at a half time Just find another team to parlay them with and don't tell me about it. You're lucky it's on Sunday night, so I have to be like badminton or something, but yeah, um, this is, uh, that's what I'm hoping for.
Derek:This is a huge uh live bet against a Raiders spot. I could see the Raiders going up in this one. I would not be mad at anyone for live betting.
Drew:The Vonte Adams gets two touchdowns and started to feel good, and then I make my money back and I get my revenge. Yeah, um, all right, now we're moving on to. We got another double header on Monday night. The first game is Eagles books.
Drew:Yes, the Philadelphia Eagles are going against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Bucks are plus four and a half at home. 45 and a half is the total. Guys, I was. I think I was wrong about the bucks. I know they went against like potentially two of the worst defenses in the league, who knows, but Baker Mayfield man, he's like kind of good. Am I the only one feeling this?
Ryan:Not at all.
Drew:Are we all? Are we all in on the box?
Derek:We're all in on the box, not this game, but in general.
Drew:Yes, Good point. So Hawkinson had a big game against the Eagles. I think you guys might know where I'm going with this Cade. I expect him to get into the end zone on Monday night. He's going to have a big game and that Eagles secondary it's been banged up. It was banged up going into Thursday night last. Last week they just lost their slot corner, maddox. He's now out for the year. Blankenship and Bradbury were both on the injury report on Monday. I don't know what was last update on them?
Derek:Are they limited?
Drew:There's a good question for right now. Okay, and so Mike Evans has been used a lot in the slot. That's actually where he got a good chunk of his yardage recently. They've been moving them around and stuff he's not lined up wide. I expect them to take advantage. You know, see Mike Evans in the slot a little bit Baker dude. It's like how can you not respect him, Like in practice, like all the game audio and stuff like that, Like he's like flexing on Byron Murphy. You're too small, You're too small.
Ryan:Get your weight up.
Drew:But it is supposed to rain in Tampa Bay on Monday and you have two really good running defenses actually, so it's going to be, I think, a little bit of a stinker. 45 and a half is the total and I feel like that's like a little high. What are you guys thinking?
Ryan:Yeah, man, to add to your analysis, freaking DeAndre Swift. I know the Bucks have a good, good rush defense, but man, did he pop off last week? I love to see it. He was sitting on my bench last Sunday, unfortunately. But yeah, I mean Eagles, they look good regardless who's in the backfield, I guess whether it be Gaineswell or Swift, it's confirmed. Swift right, gaineswell's questionable.
Drew:Still questionable. Okay yeah, there's still four backs listed as first on the Eagles depth chart. That's what it is.
Derek:Swap to Taylor Hurts is a hard P1.
Drew:I feel like Swift should have the keys a little bit.
Derek:Yeah, to some extent I've said this about Swift. I think he's so talented and I just I don't get why the lines just gave up on him.
Ryan:Yeah it doesn't make sense. When you went, to the Eagles.
Derek:it's like you're the most talented guy, but then in the offseason all I heard was like third and Kenny Gaineswell. It looked like that was the case for at least game one, and then Swift look great in game two and it's like so you, just the Eagles, are just going to do whatever you think they like, what you think they should do. They're going to do the opposite of that.
Drew:Right Watch this be like a Rashad Penny game. Boston Scott Is he injured? He's questionable. Yeah, he's questionable. Yeah, I think it's going to be like they're just going to run it a bunch. It's going to be like horrible, gritty football. The way God intended.
Ryan:Yeah.
Drew:This is going to be a game like straight out of, like the 70s. I mean just nothing but running the ball. Rain it's going to be money.
Ryan:Can't tell who's what color jerseys or whether like. Why is this like black and white? Yeah, she's running the ball. He's down the right sideline.
Drew:What do you? What do you? What is your pick in this game?
Ryan:Oh man, um, you know, like you said, baker Mayfield, mayflower dude carrying the team across the Atlantic to victory the last two weeks, right now I find it hard to not root for him. Uh. But you know, eagles coming off a nice long week and maybe, you know, we start to see mistakes and, um, the truth kind of catch up with Baker. I hope I don't see it. But um, eagles, better team for that. Give me a. Eagles four and a half.
Derek:Wow, it's what you like. Went down the list, like we had the same notes exactly. So I don't want to, I don't want to like yeah, yeah, basically no no, it's great, I mean, we're on the same page here I'm able to see that I wanted to just a new K dot and Kate, he was calling to me so I'm like Drew needs to talk about K dot.
Derek:and first, yeah, eagles have been docked against tight ends, last and fantasy points and allowing the second most yards, most touchdowns. Um, it's so weird. Cause the Eagles? I mean it's two games, it's small sample size, it's not overreact. But last year the Eagles second best against the quarterback, third best against receiver. Now it's completely flipped. Eagles are allowing the most fantasy points to the quarterback. They're allowing the six most yards of receiver, most touchdowns of receiver, most points to tight end. It's just like and maybe it's just like you know losing Jonathan Gannon.
Drew:Dude, he had the fire in the fire, hell it. Um, yeah, second most yards.
Ryan:Did you guys anybody take the bus here the studio.
Derek:Did have the fire in my belly today. Um, and, like you said, both good running defenses. I just think, like the bucks are two and O, it's been fun Love Baker, you know, mike Evans, godwin, they're fun, and it's like we should have kind of seen this one coming. I know it's easy to say in hindsight, but like it's, the only thing they lost to the Super Bowl was Tom Brady, but they, they did lose. Like they have a lot of the same guys that were on that Super Bowl roster, so they're still talented enough.
Derek:I kind of think this is like, uh, let's, let's come back to earth moment. I think the Eagles do have a pretty, pretty big win in this one. Um, it's going to be in prime time, so it's it's. That's thunderstorms too, like that's where. That's the one thing where I'm at, cause I was still looking forward to this game. I thought it was going to be AJ Brown, mike Evans, devonte, everyone's going to have a huge day, and then you see thunderstorms, so hoping the weather clears up. I think what I'm going to do is I'm just going to monitor the weather on this one and if it does clear it up, I'm going to be looking at. You know they keep setting Mike Evans props way too low. It's at like 54 and a half every week. I don't know what it currently is. I don't think we currently have any lines right now.
Drew:There's no props out, right now.
Derek:So I was, I was looking for K dot and I was looking for Mike Evans. I was looking for Devonte Smith. Um, keep it on the weather, but in the meantime, give me Eagles, minus four and a half.
Drew:Not only are the bucks going to cover, they're going to win. Oh, I feel it.
Drew:I genuinely feel it's not that they're a better team than the Eagles, but the Eagles have looked so bad in their their first two games. It was two very ugly wins. They, they, they got by on the Patriots and the Vikings. They let them creep back into that game. It wasn't like complete domination, you know it was. They didn't shut the door on them. I could just see a scenario where the bucks kind of stunned them. There's always like that flukey undefeated team. Maybe the bucks are like Ready for that run where it's just like they're not good, like they're not, they're not gonna be.
Drew:The bucks aren't making a deep playoff run, but I could. I could just see them. I Could see them stealing this one at home. You know, kate Otten, three touchdowns oh.
Ryan:It would be so fun to watch. That would be. That would be fun football to watch.
Drew:I'm gonna say 1310 bucks.
Derek:Oh damn, ugly, ugly one. Yeah, I think it's ugly one. So really, your, your lock is the under.
Drew:Oh, absolutely, I definitely, I definitely like the under, especially with both teams gonna, if it's raining and they're gonna have to throw, I Give edge to the box because, like they still have weapons, man, like you know, like those those weapons are gonna move the ball.
Ryan:Have we mentioned Kate Otten?
Drew:Kate Otten, it's centerpiece of that offense. Trey Palmer I hope they give him some looks in the slot because I mean I Don't really know who they're gonna plug in at slot corner. But Mike Evans, chris Godwell, all those guys are coming up the slot. That's all I'm saying. It's gonna get slutty. It's gonna get slutty. A messy.
Derek:We're saying all this just for co-kifed to hold for a touchdown.
Drew:But yeah, I'm, I'm confident in that one. I it's not in the pick five, but it honestly should be. You have time Already already. You have mine locked in, so that does. Yeah, does that do it for a first of the Monday night games?
Drew:we got the Rams Going against the Bengals Super Bowl rematch a couple years ago. I'm not painting my face for this one yet, but Rams are going to get the Bengals Bengals minus three at home, looking to get their first win on the season. I think we all kind of saw the Bengals having a slow start Going into that Ravens game. You know it was like decently close. I didn't. I didn't have a chance to really full, full on break it down. But this is a spot where Bengals are horrible against the run. Kyron Williams keys to the backfield Could be his moment, but I think the Bengals have to win here and bounce back. So I think I'm gonna bet that. What about? What about you guys?
Ryan:Yeah, I like where your heart's at. And, like I said earlier, you know, I think the Rams Maybe at least I'll speak for myself I kind of undervalued them. They've looked really impressive. Dude, puka, pikachu, puka. Dude, who could you Nuka, or what's his last name? I'm just gonna call him, I'm just gonna call him a Puka to fun, fun fact he's actually a.
Drew:I think I Don't. I should just say this Dana White's nephew, whoa yeah wow. Yeah, I wasn't like I don't have ancestry. Yeah, he calls him uncle Dana, so yeah.
Ryan:That's, they chase Diana. Old reference, you see, reference. But yeah, no, I wasn't one of the. I wasn't one of the fantasy guys either that were like chomping at the bits to go grab Maffa waiver. Yeah, I saw a bunch of tweets. They're just like, oh yeah, everyone's gonna go get him. And I was like, yeah, watch him. You know have three receptions for like 12 yards or something.
Ryan:But no dude, he proved just wrong and he looks fucking damn good. So to the Rams, surprised by that also, you know, kind of surprised by the I Mean we did talk about it week before week one, you know, with the the burrow injury, he just it's worse than I expected and maybe it's just because I'm finding myself rooting for them a lot and I would say, let's not panic if we're bangles fans. They were two and oh last, or oh and two last year at this point, but that was with, you know, a Healthy Joe burrow, and so I'm with you, I think. I think they have to go in, they have to win, and so I'll gladly lean bangles. But I think if I were to promote any bet it would be under 44. That is, hit eight out of last nine times the bangles, nice, what are you doing?
Derek:For me, this is a complete stay away until Monday night, when I'm chasing all my losses from Sunday. So then I'll for sure have a play on this one, but it's Joe Burrow playing first of all exactly.
Derek:They say hard to say. Zach Taylor, quote said hard to say. So Do that what you will also so far. I mean I'm guilty as well. I said the Rams could be the worst human NFL They've. They've looked really great and impressed me a lot. They're currently allowing the fourth least passing yards. They are letting the six Lee starts the receivers, which is obviously the bangles game. Bangles allowing the fifth. Most rushing guys are running backs like you touched on drew. They're also fourth worse against fantasy tight ends, so Maybe.
Ryan:Higby is a nice game if you want to throw him another parlay and he might be banned for you.
Derek:I don't know, I do. I normally I would agree. I do think this is like the Get back to normal bangles, that they can't go in three like if, like I think, did we all have them in the Super Bowl.
Ryan:I For sure did.
Drew:I for sure did I definitely do so.
Derek:I mean, if you, how many teams have been over three made the Super Bowl. So for us to be right, let's go bangles win, or minus three, or whenever we want to say, but I'm not confident that whatsoever, especially for us not playing. Yeah, yeah, I don't know. This is a gross when I feel like I can't get a handle on the Rams. I have no idea. And I totally agree with Puka. I was the same way. I thought it was gonna be short term theme when it's you know Cooper cups gonna come back eventually. He's gonna eat into that. And I don't know, man, he does look, he looks really good. Most receptions in the first two games for any player ever. Right, I think that's what we're at.
Ryan:Oh yeah, yeah, yeah. 10 Over 10 and over a hundred yards. I think was like something nobody's done before for their first two games Probably was he's. Over 10 receptions, over a hundred, yeah they just drift into Jerry Rice, whoops.
Drew:With a way more fun they're assuming it would be the quarterback if Joe Burrow can't go and yikes. Oh, I don't know if you guys remember I Remember I trust that man, I Trust that man, I still trust that man. I guess I'll wait for the burrow news to come out. Wait to lie, so yeah that's what I guess.
Derek:Official things, bangles minus three. But I would say away right now, I would wait for a Joe Burrow update.
Drew:Yeah, all three on bangles minus three officially under. But yeah, ready to do our pick. Five.
Ryan:Yes.
Drew:Who wants to go first?
Ryan:I can start it off you know what, and I think I just might make this my my brand for the podcast. If you guys want to make money, fucking, just fade my pick five. Just fade it one and four last week, and you know what I'm just gonna. I'm sticking to my guns and I'm gonna be bold. All right with a couple of these to start it off. Giants 49ers Give me under 44 and a half. They for some reason don't like to score in the first quarter or the first half, so I'm taking that at minus 108. Give me Drew's not gonna like it, or maybe he will, I don't know. Cowboys minus 12. Yeah, I think I think the yeah, I don't know. The Cowboys are really good, you know, and I would listen. I'm gonna try and be accurate with my like updating my priors. You know I was very harsh on them just out of pure blind bias, and I would listen to an argument saying that they're the best NFC team right now in front of the 49ers. So I'll gladly take minus 12.
Ryan:This is where it gets fun. Karim hunt anytime touchdown back back in his home team. Dude plus 230. I know it's a suckers bet, I know it's ridiculous, but we're here to have fun and, like I said, fucking fade me. All right, if you're listening and you want to make money, fade me, I love it. Don't fade this one. Cj Stroud over one and a half touchdowns Plus 160. I think he's looked really really good. I've been dude. I love. I don't know if you guys watch them, but the QB school videos you watch his YouTube dude. They are so much fun and and you know getting that like in-depth analysis from who, I don't know his name, but uh, he just looks really good and yeah, fuck the Jags and the double luck. You guys can see it coming from a mile away. Plus seven and a half Revenge game against the bangles cults. I don't care if it's Richardson or Gardner, they are staying in the game. They might not win. I.
Drew:Refense giving us who the Ravens oh, from last year's. Oh, yeah, fucking, they was the trying to mess up your foot.
Ryan:They stole that beautiful Carson Wentz game right out from under under me, uh, last year and that hurt. I do have an honorable mention for funsies. We'll see if it hits. I guess, cuz I'm saying it I'll, I'll throw a tiny sprinkle. Alec Pierce first touchdown score. Also, shout out to the QB school dude, the Colts have a great I dude, I love stikin their, their. Their offense is just so much fun to watch and I don't know, we'll see, we'll see them kind of scheme. Some, some more opportunities for for Alec. So plus 22 on it.
Derek:Love that.
Drew:Yeah, yeah sure.
Derek:All right, I'm just gonna knock this one out because I think me and you both have it. Jordan Addison over 49 and a half receiving yards. Week one he was on the field for 50 56% of snaps, upgraded to 69%. Nice, this last game got over in the first two games 61 yards in the touchdown. First game, 72 yards in the touchdown. This last game. Chargers allowing the most yards to receiver 282 per game. This line is criminally low. So give me that one Next up.
Derek:Give me Darius Slayton over 34 and a half. We touched on this. The 49ers are allowing the fifth most wide receiver yards at 214. Slayton has a second on the team in targets at 11. Number one in target, say quant, is out of this game and Darren Waller, who is also tied with Slayton. For I'm sorry, darren Waller is leading, but the leading target is A tight end and guess what? The Niners are good against tight ends. So give me Slayton over 34 and a half. I think you're gonna be playing from behind.
Derek:Next, give me Zay flowers over 48 and a half. Continuing the Ricky Red receiver trend, he's leading the Ravens in targets at 15. Been on the field for 84 percent of snaps and 77% 77% of snaps. The Colts are the second worst Against riders. He was a fantasy and allowing the fourth most yards receiver, and he has gone over in the first two games as well. Next up, give me Kyle Pitts over 32 and a half the bass pack game. Like I mentioned last time, that 2021. I know this does not bring logic into it at all, but six catches and 102 yards. Also, lines are allowing the most yards to the tight end at 87 yards per game. So love Cal pits in this spot, all right. And then for the double unit mega whale lock slash, 401k parley. It's back, motherfucker.
Ryan:We got.
Derek:The Buffalo Bills. I guess the commander's money line and the Miami. Dolphins money line against the Broncos. You probably was probably those together it's probably just 118 that feels like I'm stealing money. Give me that when we touch. Later I'm also gonna give you another money. Land parley, but we'll. We'll address that later.
Drew:All right, I'm gonna start us off with. I'm gonna. I'm trying to get right with them. Lions money line against the Falcons. Don't know if I like the spread, but I definitely think they should should win that game. I, you know, I listen to you every week, ryan, and I'm trying to fade you, but it hasn't worked so far. Cardinals plus 12 that is already found its way into my pick five. I Just think that you know we've played Above where everyone's kind of projected us to play. I feel like we're underestimated. Again we lose, but we don't lose by 13 or more, in my opinion. We'll see.
Drew:Next I'm gonna go with under 51 and a half rushing yards for Najee Harris. Looks like he lost the keys to that backfield. I'm hoping he lost the keys to that backfield. He looked horrible when he was playing Jaylin Warren. All the kids are raving about him and I I Enjoy watching him play football more than I enjoy watching Najee Harris, you know, jump like he's Josh Allen head first. In the end it actually did find its way into the pick five. Give me bucking ears plus four and a half. I took them spread in the pick five. You know already talked about how much I love them. Next my double whale unit. Double unit whale lock. Go into your parents, your mom's purse, your dad's wallet, take everything, put it on this. You already said it.
Ryan:Jordan.
Drew:Addison over 49 and a half receiving yards kind of a trapezoid actually so don't. And I got another double whale unit.
Derek:Oh, we do bucking ears.
Drew:Moneyline had to throw it in. I had to throw it in. I you know I'm calling my shot. I'm calling my shot, you know.
Derek:Fuck the Eagles, fuck the birds yeah, bucks plus four and a half and moneyline.
Drew:Yeah, I do Already. I mean, I said it when we covered the game. I think, though, not only cover the win.
Ryan:I.
Drew:Will be screwed if they only cover. You said you had a parlay for us.
Derek:Yeah, um, this is gross. It's only six legs, guys. That's it. It's not that many Bills over commanders, dolphins over Broncos got that. I'm so sorry, sorry. It was over colds you can still cover.
Ryan:Oh yeah, that's solid yeah.
Derek:Jack's over Texans. Sorry, you can still cover. Cow was our Cardinals, I'm sorry Bears fans. Chiefs over Bears, let's do 92. You're taking all pretty heavy favorites. I know it's usually a suckers bet. This feels like a get right week for survivor. I feel like there's a lot of good options here, so assuredly the one I pick is going to lose. So that's gonna be the like the loose one of the six you. I want to throw you know what? Fuck it. I'm throwing the Eagles into fuck you drew.
Drew:Wait, what was it before? Oh, oh, maybe it your survivor pick, all right, well, that pretty much does it for for the whole slate. Eric Gray score a touchdown. Kate Otten, those, those two Go to and then Bucks money. Like I love you guys.
Ryan:Oh, stop it, I love you guys.