
Ryan & Ana On MIA
Ryan and Ana cover all things Miami development and real estate, the good, the bad the drama.
Ryan & Ana On MIA
Urban Evolution and Political Intrigue in Miami
What if our world is now more like a high-stakes simulation rather than reality? We tackle this and more as we dissect the rapid acceleration of political events shaping our society. From the unprecedented conviction of a former president, charges against the sitting president's child, to an assassination attempt on a presidential candidate, the landscape is filled with drama that rivals any TV series. Listen as we explore the extreme polarization in today's politics, the influence of tech moguls like Zuckerberg, and the potential comedic goldmine that Maya Rudolph's Kamala Harris portrayal could become amidst all this chaos.
Miami's real estate market is hotter than ever, but not for the reasons you might think. Forget what you've heard about a surplus of properties; the real story lies in the shortage of single-family homes within the urban core. With personal anecdotes and deep insights, we bring you the vibrant growth of downtown Miami and how construction projects are reshaping the city. We also shine a spotlight on developers like Mellow, whose projects are transforming underdeveloped neighborhoods into bustling communities. And don't miss our take on Brightline's success and its expanding high-speed rail service, proving skeptics wrong and highlighting Florida's impressive economic growth.
From urban challenges to the complex issues of homelessness and mental illness, we draw compelling comparisons between Miami and San Francisco. Elon Musk's relocation from California to Texas serves as a jumping-off point for discussing the cultural differences between states and the impact on business operations. Personal anecdotes about politically charged encounters add a relatable touch, while reflections on the unpredictable nature of U.S. elections bring the drama full circle, likening our current events to the plot twists of shows like "Scandal" and "House of Cards." Tune in for an episode packed with eye-opening insights and unexpected humor as we navigate the whirlwind of our rapidly changing world.
I forgot that we're doing these live now. Sorry, everyone.
Speaker 2:The uncensored Anna, not that she censored herself anyways.
Speaker 1:I'm going to be in my slightly better behavior right now Okay off we go. Episode number 23. What has been happening? All of the things, all of the things have been happening. So many of them, it's just been rapid acceleration of stuff.
Speaker 2:Before we get into real estate stuff. It's just crazy. I feel like since the first debate almost a month ago now, I feel like whoever's running the simulation just turned up the crazy levels.
Speaker 1:Oh, a thousand percent, it really has. It ties into one of. I've used this Venn diagram at every conference I've spoken to since COVID and it has three circles and I've put forth this thesis that just one of these forces is required to accelerate change. We have periods of distinct change, one I called empire cycles, one I called tech adoption and one I called war slash pandemic. So the empire cycle one is just a natural thing. All empires go in cycles. Nothing is forever, us empire included, whatever it is right. So we're in the phase of the empire that's characterized by increased polarization of belief systems, wealth gaps, all that stuff.
Speaker 1:Extreme polarization Extreme and I've said it's going to keep accelerating because these things tend to, and then, especially now, we get information in real time. People are geographically realigning. All these things are happening and I said we're on the Brazil path, we're on this path where it's just going to be increased hostilities and craziness. And what happened in rapid sequence hostilities and craziness. And what happened in rapid sequence, we had May 30th I believe it was for the first time in human history, a former president is convicted of felonies. Then we had June 10th or 11th less than two weeks thereafter, for the first time in US history, a sitting president's child is convicted of a crime. And then, of course, we have an assassination attempt a few days ago of a former president, current presidential candidate. That's not the first time in history.
Speaker 2:Teddy Roosevelt was shot while he was campaigning, but this is a very rare event, the first time since Nixon, correct or Reagan.
Speaker 1:Reagan was shot after he was president, okay, but same thing. Former president, correct, but not campaigning. But whatever, it is this guy's campaigning and former president, and all of these things happen in rapid order.
Speaker 2:Yeah.
Speaker 1:And, from now on, empire that we're in and indicative of the forces that will continue to feed these momentum cycles and the forces that are pushing this wealth and talent migration across America.
Speaker 2:Yeah, and we also. This weekend will probably be a huge thing for politics as well. We're probably going to see a president for the first time step down from the re-election bid. Correct Betting odds are saying he will. Yeah, and betting odds are saying going to see a president for the first time.
Speaker 1:Step down from the reelection bid when correct for betting odds are saying he will, yeah, and betting odds are saying it's going to be kamala, it's gonna be wild.
Speaker 2:Wow, I just, and we still have four months left to november, correct?
Speaker 1:did you hear? Zuckerberg gave some interview where he was saying that when trump said fight, it was totally badass. Whatever he said it was, didn't he used to censor the other way?
Speaker 2:Yeah, I know it is interesting. What I've seen over the past week or two is that people have started I don't want to say outing themselves, that's the wrong word but they've started revealing themselves their political leanings, which is fine. Everyone is totally entitled to do that. But people who I never had known of their political leanings for years, all the time that I followed them online or Twitter or whatever and now they're revealing that, oh correct, it's coming out.
Speaker 2:They're coming out and they're like empowered to, and they're totally allowed to do that Correct. It's almost shocking to me. Oh, wow, okay.
Speaker 1:It's interesting right.
Speaker 2:It's like I did not. I would not have put that person there. You're right, I've seen things like that. And now all the VCs are loving it because Trump's pick is a VC guy, correct. So they're all like correct Hubbub about it. And he's young, very young.
Speaker 1:That's the message also.
Speaker 2:And his Netflix movie is blowing up. Oh, is it, yeah, he wrote a book that turned into a Netflix movie and I turned on Netflix yesterday and like it was like featured, like on the homepage.
Speaker 1:How interesting. It's all a simulation. It's all a simulation. It's all a simulation. No, I'm a registered independent. Again, as I keep repeating, like for the record, my truth is not beholden to any party and I'm very pragmatic when it comes to my politics because I don't believe any of them.
Speaker 2:Yeah, I think we have two bad options that I don't know if you can weigh, I don't know. That's just my feeling. They're just two bad options that we're going to have to deal with in November. All I know is that Saturday Night Live is going to have a field day.
Speaker 1:Information forever.
Speaker 2:It's going to have a field day.
Speaker 1:Material rather forever. Yes, yeah.
Speaker 2:I saw a funny thing. You know the actress Maya Rudolph. No, okay.
Speaker 1:I don't watch anything.
Speaker 2:She's a very funny comedian. She's, she is, she's mixed race. I think she's half black, half Jewish, and she has a passing resemblance to Kamala.
Speaker 1:Ah, okay, okay.
Speaker 2:So they were saying that if all things pan out, maya Rudolph's going to be very rich. Okay, she'll have it's going to be alive Forever, forever. She'll be that person.
Speaker 1:Yeah, anyways, it's very interesting and the whole Secret Service thing was really fascinating because there were not many rooftops in the area. It was not a dense area by any stretch of the imagination.
Speaker 2:That's just a hot mess, isn't it?
Speaker 1:And they have the chubby girl who can't holster her gun.
Speaker 2:Yeah, I don't know, lady, I don't pretend to be any sort of expert at all.
Speaker 1:But even I would have been like. That's the one of rooftops that is within the vicinity.
Speaker 2:I'll tell you this as a person who, when I go to events and when I go to crowds, I just I tend to look at because of all the things that have happened in my lifetime. I look at rooftops, I look at places where people could do things badly or bad things, and just looking at the spaces around it, I was like just from a total layman.
Speaker 1:You're not considered one of the leading world experts in this.
Speaker 2:I'm definitely not, but I was just like what?
Speaker 1:Yeah, it's wild.
Speaker 2:Anyways, it's really crazy yeah.
Speaker 1:And I read the math on it and the timing of the shot from that distance that the shot was perfect before he turned his head. So he turned his head after it was taken. Obviously yeah, because the guy just had a whole sniper stand, and so that's one of those things that was like a real fork in the road, of course of events.
Speaker 2:I know you don't watch things, but I'd recommend anyone watch this. There is a movie it's old, I think, 2009 or so it's called Vantage Point and it is about the same thing A president's campaigning and there's an assassination attempt, and what it does is it plays the same period of time six times from different points of view oh wow. And every time the vantage point changes you get more of the story and the story at the end of the movie is completely different, and it only ever shows the same 15 minutes. How interesting the same time period.
Speaker 1:The same span of time, but replayed from different angles oh that's super cool.
Speaker 2:After the fourth time of time rewinding you're like ugh, but then time rewinding you're like oh, but then at the end you're like whoa, because it literally just I don't.
Speaker 1:it's called vantage point. It's very interesting, yeah, no, it's interesting times and uh, whenever there's assassination attempts and presidents, I always think back to jfk, of course, and yeah, he wasn't the only one that says but yeah, and. And then eisenhower, before I'm giving the military industrial complex speech on his way out, and I always wonder how much of a facade the two-party thing is, because the real power isn't that. So one thing that I think Biden made it very clear by his existence is that if that man occupies the seat of the president, the seat has no power by definition. So obviously it's factions, and factions and he's just the figurehead with this point, can't even function as a figurehead. So it makes you wonder what the real power base is and what's going on. We were replaying Eisenhower's speech and you're like man, because they waged these huge proxy wars that last forever. It's like Vietnam, it's like the Ukraine and it's an endless slush fund of money going, tens of billions of dollars that are going to the war. But where is this money going and what's it for?
Speaker 2:I don't think you need to be a conspiracy theorist to realize that the two-party situation in our country is a facade. I agree, the money comes from the same places. The same people pull the strings behind the scenes, but there are factions of it.
Speaker 1:Hello, military industrial complex. It's what Ike was saying. And they spend so much money there. And then Biden, a week or so ago, was saying oh, we have to accept that the Ukraine is NATO, we're all in, ok, but that's right next door to Russia, and why are you? Whatever they want, then too, and it becomes existential, but whatever it is. But then, meanwhile, the guy that they just appointed as the VP for Trump was saying I don't care about the Ukraine. It's a very interesting thing. I often wonder, because of course, kennedy was about bringing the boys home, and then they killed him. It was November 22, 1963. Kennedy was assassinated, lyndon Johnson becomes president and Lyndon Johnson accelerates the Vietnam War.
Speaker 2:Yeah, yeah, you know what I always think of things like what could have been, what could have happened. I was reading a story, not a story. I was reading a history about World War I and World War II and how World War I basically started because some guys Schaffer took like the wrong road.
Speaker 1:Gavrilo.
Speaker 2:Princip shooting Franz, one of my people yeah, he was a Serbian Shooting.
Speaker 1:Gavrilo Princip in Sarajevo. Yeah, people like to use that as the reason for why World War I happened, because it's an easy story.
Speaker 2:And everything after that.
Speaker 1:But it isn't really actually, because it wasn't even front page news when it happened. Yeah, so Franz Ferdinand, the man that they shot. He was a Duke, a member of the Austro-Hungarian royal family. He was in what's called an organic marriage with his wife, sophie, because she was not royal enough to actually bear royal children, whatever that means, and so they accepted that he was married to her, whatever. The kids they had were out of the line of secession. So he had already placed himself off of the main path of power within that dynasty, and when he was shot in Sarajevo, it was called the Black Hand.
Speaker 1:It was like a movement within the Serbian factions at the time. It was not a good thing, but that was not front page news and the war didn't start for a few months thereafter. And so there are actually well over thousands of books written trying to ascertain the cause of World War I, and nobody really knows. World War I is one of those things that the more you read about it, the more you're like wow, this makes absolutely no sense, it really does not. World War I in many ways was Europe committing suicide. We're all actually living in that post because Europe had this ascent right before that and really you had aging monarchs, for example, that were weak aging monarchs in place and I'm like Austria-Hungary, for example, the leaders there, and they were all related.
Speaker 1:They were all related and everyone was playing war games. And why? That war happened it's really crazy, because Europe went from the best of times to destroying itself.
Speaker 1:And what they did in World War I with trench warfare, for example. They would slaughter hundreds of thousands of men on one weekend to gain like six meters, to gain nothing. And then the argument that, oh, if you send the kids of nobility it'll end war is not true. The officers there died in higher proportions than the regular soldiers. It was insane. And one thing that I'd like to point out is okay, how many years between World War II and World War I? Not many, 21. It's the same war. All the men were dead. World War II quite literally started as soon as there were enough men to fight and that was the end of Europe. And now we're in that weird aftermath that America won. And what I mean is that the reality we lived in thus far, until COVID, was very much a post-World War II reality, where New York was the capital of the world, we had Bretton Woods, the dollar became the standard. That all happened post those wars.
Speaker 2:Yeah, I just I always find it interesting like the sort of like chain of events. Yeah, I love this could sound weird, but I like chain of events. I think it's very interesting to look at it. For instance, this is off topic, but I like researching disasters man-made ones like planes or stuff and it's always it comes down to two things Either let's say it's an airplane it's either mechanical failure or human greed. Those are, you can break it down, or weather randomly sometimes, but almost every single time it comes down to basically human greed.
Speaker 1:Corruption and competence yes, human greed, corruption whatever.
Speaker 2:And it greed Corruption, incompetence, yes, human greed, corruption, whatever.
Speaker 1:And it's just like this chain of events Okay, we cheaped out on this bolt Whatever On this airplane, and then so that's like when the BBC asked me if the Champlain Tower in Miami fell because of global warming, I said it was a trifecta of incompetence, corruption and stupidity. No, that stupidity comes in. What did I say? I said there's a trifecta of incompetence, corruption. I had another point, but yes.
Speaker 2:Yeah, that would be it All right. And negligence, that's what I said, and negligence.
Speaker 1:Incompetence, corruption and negligence those are the forces.
Speaker 2:All right, so do you want to bring it back?
Speaker 1:to Miami. All right, right, listen, it all lives within that world. That was the cold open. That was the cold open. One thing that I've been commenting on lately is that there's been a lot of press talking about the state of Florida having increases in inventory and all these things which on a state level, it very well might, but on a Miami-Dade or South Florida tri-county level, it is not true, especially in our single family home markets, because Ryan and I talk about how great our pipeline is here and it's awesome. I was at an event yesterday for a new building and there's all this stuff coming. But when it comes, especially to single-family within the urban core, within proximity to it, we cannot add more inventory vertically and our inventory levels are far below pre-COVID. For houses below $500,000, we're 87% below pre-COVID they're basically disappearing. It went from over 3,500 to around 500. So it's going and the mainstream news is not reflecting this and in many ways they're mad at the Miami story and they're trying to put us in this catch-all of bubble inventories up and it's just not true.
Speaker 2:How have they been for the last four years?
Speaker 1:It's getting worse. Five years I guess now. Yeah, it's getting worse. I've been making points to post Q2 data that counters that.
Speaker 2:And you just put out your latest report.
Speaker 1:That's right. I put out a big Q2 report. Check it out. You can download it at analyticsmiami. It outlines broader market patterns and then for the single-family condo markets, the Miami-Dade, it batches it by price segments to show how they're behaving. They are behaving quite differently because the wealth and talent migration is buying a certain segment Interesting.
Speaker 2:Speaking of wealth, I was scootering around yesterday, as I do every couple of weeks. I do like tours of neighborhoods every couple of weeks on my scooter, just to like, and it's interesting because, especially when you the way Miami is, you can find a lot more out when you're like scootering around, whether you're walking or in a car, because I can get into areas that you might not have seen. And I was doing what I was doing yesterday. I was doing sort of downtown Park West and the area by Brightline and I was looking around and I was standing on Fifth and Sixth Street and I post photos from it. Standing on Fifth and Sixth Street right now is insane. There are so many projects going off right now that it just it almost boggles your brain. There's obviously Gale slash, nativo, that they're just finishing up.
Speaker 2:Beautiful project Like the streetscape. On that I'm like ugh, Came out, nice. It's like orgasmic. This is like how all streetscapes in Miami should be. They have a little fountain and they have the little coral rock. It's going to be so beautiful.
Speaker 1:And all this stuff hasn't filled in yet. They're getting a bodega down there. There's a little cafecito thing to get off the street.
Speaker 2:It's so well done and also I'm very happy that they linked it up to Miami World Center. As far as the streets, it's beautiful, anyways. And then across the street you have two more short-term, friendly condos that are both being built, firm-friendly condos that are both being built. The Crosby is almost done and 600 Mile World Center is about to come out of the ground. And then across the street you have downtown 6th, which is a mellow rental project, and then to the west of that, you have Ocan Tower, which is actually back in construction. I bring up this sort of area a lot because in that one block or two blocks you have every sort of project type that exists. This is true, except for actually affordable housing, because you have Mellow, the Mellow downtown district, which is attainable rentals. You have Nativo, which has normal condos, a hotel and short-term condos. You have two condos, you have two condos, and then you have Ocon, which is ultra-luxury, with a hotel. So in that tiny area you have all the product types in one small area.
Speaker 2:And they're all coming, and they're all like they're all I used to live at downtown 5th. They're in for a world of pain because that's going to be under construction for three years.
Speaker 1:Yep.
Speaker 2:And then it's going to be like and there's no, it's all, it's on one street and it's a one-way street that you have to use because 5th and 6th are one-way streets, so you can't just avoid 6th Street. Right, you have to go around, it's going to be hot mess, but when it's done, transformation it's going to be transformation. Speaking of transformation Overtown is really popping off.
Speaker 1:Yes, they keep announcing things over there, yeah.
Speaker 2:The guy, michael Simpkins is his name. They just announced West 12th or something West 12th, I think, and it's a luxury product over the tracks, wow.
Speaker 1:Literally over the tracks. Literally over the proverbial literal train. Yeah, literally over the tracks, literal train tracks.
Speaker 2:I don't think Overtown has ever seen a luxury condo before. No Like ever, no. And the fact that it's PMG and Michael whatever his last name is, that's a big deal. That is a big deal, and I think they just started selling it.
Speaker 1:Those are going to be small units. Yeah, those are micro.
Speaker 2:That's right, yeah, but it's over there, it's over the tracks, which is something it's pretty awesome. Something else over the tracks is you have Block 55. That is the Target and Aldi and the senior housing that is getting very close to finalized construction. And then, the other side of that, you have Block 45, which is on the other side where the Publix is there. That's another 45-story mixed-income building. What else is happening over there? There's, oh, the Hub Residences. They're demolishing the shell of the building that was there since 2008. It's going to be another short-term friendly condo and, like I said, these are all over the tracks on the other side. That's pretty cool, yeah.
Speaker 1:The tracks have proven to be a metaphorical wall for the last 20 years as far as development goes, as train tracks often are, yeah, so the expression yeah so the wrong side of the tracks is getting so the fact that there's actually things happening over there is quite impressive, yep.
Speaker 2:And then also in overtown, on the western side of it, where david beckham wanted to build his stadium. They're bringing 1,200 units there and a whole project. The Moss brothers are involved in that Awesome. But there's a lot happening and it's good to see that the core is still building up. There's so much happening in the core I could spend another 20 minutes going over it, but the fact that it's starting to expand out, yeah, west West is good because there's so much. I said I scoot around these neighborhoods and I'm still amazed that there are single-story family homes within walking distance of a metro, rail, metro station. That is insane.
Speaker 1:That is insane, with chickens in the streets sometimes With chickens in the streets. That was your thing. Especially when there was blood in the street, you could say buy while the chickens are still in the street. While the chickens are still in the street while the chickens are still on the street? Yeah, before it gets too clean up when the chickens are gone now, there's still time.
Speaker 2:Yeah, it's true it's still early days, the chickens are still there.
Speaker 1:Speaking of new projects, talk about rock oh yeah, so I was at the launch announcement party for rock 14. This is a crescent heights project that I believe they'll start construction next year and get done in 2027 so they actually had. They had that little preview over at 601 miami at the event space there.
Speaker 1:That was the first event held at 601 miami nice and it's going to be 31 floors, 230, 40, 50 units, something like this, starting at 400, some square feet, studios to twos, starting at 495 000. Uh, short-term rental friendly. Uh, high ceilings, I know, throughout that was one of the points they made and no parking. Correct Yep, and a lot of storage on site. That's a plan to build over 20,000 square feet of storage. Okay, but not for the building necessarily, but storage.
Speaker 2:It's funny. I sent you a photo and I felt really dumb. I was trying to figure out why it was called Rock. Melanie WARRICK they had this whole rock thing. Mark MANDELBAUM and then I opened up the picture and the parking not the parking, but the podium is literally a boulder. Now I'm just like ugh.
Speaker 1:I feel so dumb.
Speaker 2:MELANIE WARRICK yeah, that's an exciting project. Mark MANDELBAUM yeah, it should be cool and it's nice. It's in my neighborhood. It nearby is all multifamily. This is the first condo. The building I live in Canvas is a condo, but it's a little further north, but everything that's right there is multifamily. So this is the. That tells me something.
Speaker 1:Correct, yep, exactly right yeah.
Speaker 2:You know what I've always said. This is something I've always said If I was a developer, I would follow Mellow around, ah. I would follow Mellow around. Ah yeah, Because Mellow's M-O-A. Oh, nothing Is that right, m-o-a, mo, m-o. Sorry, I just need some more caffeine. You're good, yeah. And they go into neighborhoods and no one else will touch at that point.
Speaker 1:Always. They're the vanguard, they're going there.
Speaker 2:Yeah, the neighborhoods could be dirt and chickens and they will build it and they did that. My neighborhood, the Omni Arts and Entertainment, whatever it is in 2016, it was dirt, there was nothing there, right. And now Mellow has four or five towers in that neighborhood and Canvas is there now Carson Heights is going to build that project and there's a couple other projects that are in that neighborhood, but Mellow basically always goes first.
Speaker 1:They have some algo that tells them in that neighborhood but Mellow basically always goes first they have some algo that tells them yes, the Rock will be fun and we'll visit that construction site, that'll be fun, we'll see it come up.
Speaker 2:I'll be able to watch it be built. It'll be great. You'll like this one. Cnbc rated the hottest economy the best, the best. The best actually, yes, in.
Speaker 1:America, yeah, fucking everyone.
Speaker 2:I'm just saying, with all of these lists and stuff, there's always an angle. Someone always has an agenda. No I know, but the fact that it's even there is impressive Correct, because we've had this conversation for years. I feel like that Florida definitely does have its backward ways and we have our drama and dysfunctional, but there are some.
Speaker 1:There are bright spots. The Journal had an article earlier this year that four of the 10 hottest job markets were in the state of Florida.
Speaker 2:Yeah.
Speaker 1:It was like Tampa, orlando, miami, whatever it was for, jacksonville was for.
Speaker 2:Yeah, but yeah what they say here? They said new business applications.
Speaker 1:The city of Miami has the highest per capita for a city of over 500,000 people for new business filings.
Speaker 2:Yeah, up 9%, gdp increased 5% and the state added 240,000 jobs, yep, which is really impressive.
Speaker 1:Yep, those are all positive things.
Speaker 2:Speaking of impressive, I was posting about this last night I was once again scooting around and I was by Brightline and I was looking at Brightline. Brightline's great oh, you took it to Orlando. Yeah, brightline's great. Brightline is oh, you took it to Orlando. Yeah, we'll talk about that in a minute. But when I moved here in 2017, brightline was very much. The narrative around it was that it was a boondoggle. That was just the universally accepted thing. They're building a train to nowhere. People in Florida don't use trains and in here, somewhere I hear, don't use trains. And in here somewhere, here it is. This is the story that I want to talk about. Brightline is going to increase their seat capacity 75%. Wow, it looks like this year.
Speaker 1:Almost double.
Speaker 2:The next year and the fact that they have to do that's awesome. And they also had to because they recently did the Orlando Connection and they had to. That is so popular. They had to focus on that versus West Palm Beach and Fort Lauderdale. But they actually the president of Brightline actually went to TriRail and said, hey, we aren't going to be able to serve these short-term people, so you guys need to do an express service. So TriRail on July 1st started an express service that goes from Miami to West Palm Beach for $5. And it's yeah, it's, I think, west Palm Beach, boca and Miami. That's awesome and it still takes longer than Brightline. It's not quite as nice, but it's Five bucks. Yeah, five bucks or so, that's awesome. That's a really big deal that they actually I don't know just the interlinking there was very yeah.
Speaker 2:Yeah, progress, yeah. And what did it say? Oh, in May the long haul ridership was 135,000, 136,000. The highest ever since Service to Orlando launched. How was your trip to Orlando on it?
Speaker 1:Super awesome. It was comfortable, it was great. So I went to the nicer car because it was different price and different hours. Actually it wasn't bad. So it was really nice. They bring you food and coffee like in Europe. But I couldn't eat because I had to make weight the next day and the lady kept trying to feed me.
Speaker 2:Like a grandma.
Speaker 1:I had this. Yeah, she was so cute with the car. She's oh, here, try this. And I'm like, no, I can't. And she was a little chubby, god bless her. I'm like I can't eat anything. I have to get weighed tomorrow. And she's looking at me like I'm a lunatic. I'm trying to explain this to her and I'm like, stop bringing me the food. And the boy sitting next to me is this young and I'm like, oh God, everyone, take the food away from me, I can't eat.
Speaker 2:But it was awesome. Nice, brightline is fantastic. I love Brightline. When I get on Brightline, I feel in my head I think this is what the golden age of. That's what I was thinking. Correct, it must have felt like they brought the little food.
Speaker 1:They had the coffee. I had a coffee, so yeah, I had coffee.
Speaker 2:It's just like when you walk in and the station is scented.
Speaker 1:Yes, People smile. They're helpful. Who are these people? Where do they find them? It's great they have nice music playing.
Speaker 2:Yeah, I know, I know it's such a proof point. I think yes.
Speaker 1:Agree.
Speaker 2:Because I don't want to bang on California too much, because I do it all the time. Every other message from Ryan is look, somebody else was killed in San Francisco. The behind the scenes messages.
Speaker 1:This other building defaulted in San Francisco.
Speaker 2:Total sidetrack. I'll get back to Bartlett in a second, but the story of the Australian guy who got accosted on the street in San Francisco and got sent to a hospital.
Speaker 1:And they found him four days later.
Speaker 2:And no one knew where he was Right. Like what? That was crazy.
Speaker 1:Like, how do you? Four days later they found him in the hospital.
Speaker 2:Yeah, I do have relative personal experience to this, because I lived in San Francisco for a while and I stayed in a hotel that was like on the outskirts of the Tenderloin, which is the worst part of San Francisco Basically. They just abandoned it more or less the city has anyways, and it was a nice like one of those boutique hotels, but it was right on the edge of the Tenderloin and they had signs that say this is back 2015. They're like we do not recommend going outside after dark. Do not Just stay in here. Stay in here after dark. We can't guarantee your safety if you go outside after dark. That's great, yeah, and it's a little sad to me because it's like I know Miami has its rough spots, but if you're just a normal person, you're not going to end up in those places by mistake. No, you're not. You'd have to drive there and go there. You'd have to go there.
Speaker 1:You'd have to go there and drive there and go there.
Speaker 2:You have to go there. You have to go there In the greater downtown area. You're good. Yeah, I've walked around. I walk everywhere. Overtown, my neighborhood, wynwood, the sketchy part I've walked around there like 3 am, me too. It's fine. Like it's fine. You might get some homeless people who are yelling at you. Yeah, no. I don't know.
Speaker 1:Yeah, I know.
Speaker 2:But the fact that a city would same thing with Skid Row in LA, that they would just let part of their city just abandoned.
Speaker 1:They let it embed itself that way, it becomes that and they accept it and they make signs around it. They just accept it. It gets entrenched, it gets entrenched.
Speaker 2:You saw, I think I sent you the story about the homeless, the Supreme Court homeless thing with Oregon.
Speaker 1:I don't recall.
Speaker 2:So there was a case with homelessness and camping outside.
Speaker 2:Oh, yes, that went all the way to the Supreme Court. Yep, and the Supreme Court said I don't know. They agreed with the city, basically, and said that you can't just have camps, you're allowed to get rid of them, you have to offer the people. They said that the thing was if the city did not have enough beds or support things for every single homeless person in the city, they could not forcibly remove one homeless person off the street. If they didn't have enough beds for the entire city, they couldn't do anything about one person. That's what the court case was about. And the Supreme Court said that doesn't make any sense. You may not be able to help all the people, but you can help this one person.
Speaker 2:Sure and you should, then yes, that Supreme Court went up there, and so now cities are allowed to basically force people into help into hospitals off the street. It's actually a good thing, because it does allow states to do their actual job.
Speaker 1:Makes sense.
Speaker 2:Yeah, and also with on that same note, when they passed a law in Florida. I think that went into effect July 1st, Correct?
Speaker 1:Yeah, it says you can't camp. Public something. There was some way that they defined it. It was to that point, yeah, yeah.
Speaker 2:And it's without being too controversial.
Speaker 1:Us. No, look how we started this talk. Yeah, I know.
Speaker 2:It's you have to. I don't know what the overall answer for it is. I don't think anyone does no.
Speaker 1:I don't think there is one, I don't think there is one catch all solution.
Speaker 2:Unless you make structural changes to humanity.
Speaker 1:That's exactly right.
Speaker 2:Yeah, there isn't a magic.
Speaker 1:No, there will always be people who have some type of trouble, who have some type of mental illness, something that you can help them with. Mental illness is a real thing. Yeah, you can't legislate that away. It's a real thing.
Speaker 2:Yeah, and then once again it goes back to Miami versus San Francisco, california. When you look at the people who are homeless here, people who are homeless here tend to have mental issues Right, they're yelling or whatever. They have some sort of mental issues. In California, the overall homelessness is drugs Right, major hard drug problems Right. Ours tend to have mental issues. California tends to have drug issues.
Speaker 1:Right, and the drug issue is the one that you can entrench and it feeds itself. Yes, it spreads. Yeah, the drug issue is the one that you can entrench and it feeds itself. It spreads. Yeah, it's contagious. Yeah, we put it that way. Mental illness is not, the drugs are contagious.
Speaker 2:Yeah, and you also tend to get worse concentrations of it. Yep, because drug addicts tend to want to be together. So they can get their drugs and whatever.
Speaker 1:Whereas you're mentally ill, you're by yourself. You're wandering the beach, walk, talking to yourself. It's different, yeah.
Speaker 2:I don't know, there is no magic bullet to it, but I think I would—.
Speaker 1:You shouldn't let giant collections of people congregate in hostile manners in your city.
Speaker 2:No, it doesn't help anyone.
Speaker 1:It doesn't help them, it doesn't help—.
Speaker 2:It's not good for anyone, no, no one. It's not good for the unhoused or homeless person, it's not good for the city, it's not good for the residents, it's not good for anyone.
Speaker 1:Nope, agree.
Speaker 2:Yeah, I don't know. I think as time goes on, I think it will get better. I think I think we'll figure out ways to support and help those people, but I think I was happy to see that particular law come down.
Speaker 1:Agree, agree. Elon Musk is leaving California. Yeah To Texas.
Speaker 2:And I was thinking about that, and he's such a drama queen. It's fine, you're allowed to be a drama queen. If my Twitter account vanished after this, you'll know why.
Speaker 1:No, Twitter's supposed to be the free space for controversy. Now Come on.
Speaker 2:But his final straw was the whole notification.
Speaker 1:The Newsom Law for the Kids.
Speaker 2:And I get it. I don't think it's a great law. I think it's a very flawed law, but using that as the final straw is what it looks like.
Speaker 1:That was his political statement. He knows who's playing this.
Speaker 2:Yeah, Like going back. Twitter's ex-whatevers current headquarters is on the edge of the Tenderloin. So you have Market Street and then to I don't know what it is the South. You have the Tenderloin. It's like right there and that area. I used to work for a corporate housing company a million years ago. We managed Crescent Heights building right there, NEMA. Oh yeah, we managed NEMA, we managed their corporate housing and NEMA was like the last stop on the bad area. Twitter was across the street, Twitter was across the street or whatever it was across the street from that, and that area was bad when I lived in San Francisco in 2015 and 2016. So now, who knows, Now, who knows, I would more go with his whole safety thing versus this whole California notification.
Speaker 1:He's just making political statements, I guess, but he's getting closer to Florida. We need a headquarters here. I keep saying.
Speaker 2:I think he likes Texas, yeah. I keep saying I think he likes Texas, yeah, because I think Texas, no matter how crazy Florida and Texas are, I think Texas is still crazier.
Speaker 1:It's different. I think they have a religious slant that we don't.
Speaker 2:Yeah, yeah, but with the religious you can get the zealots, sure, yeah.
Speaker 1:We have a more libertarian stance than they do.
Speaker 2:Yeah, and I think Elon can be a zealot, sometimes Probably. I think Elon can be a zealot sometimes Probably.
Speaker 1:I'm sure he's an extremist.
Speaker 2:He wouldn't be who he is if he wasn't, so I think he likes being with the other zealots and I'd say all of Texas is like that, but there definitely is more there than here, Perhaps Interesting theory. Yeah, and you are allowed to do whatever you want. I agree, they'll think some part of Elon's universe will end up in Florida. I do too. I don't know what. I don't know what exact part?
Speaker 1:Yeah, it's like something, some part of it, some part of it is going to end up. How could it not? Everyone's coming, who wants to be a part of it?
Speaker 2:And we like our branded projects here.
Speaker 1:Yes, we do. So, let's see.
Speaker 2:Wouldn't what tower Right we could Maybe yeah.
Speaker 1:That'd be cool.
Speaker 2:Oh, we'll get flying cars. I said it to you. I went, I was scooting around Edgewater and they have the wrap up for the L residences.
Speaker 1:That's so weird.
Speaker 2:Like Elle magazine, guys, elle magazine.
Speaker 1:Who are they marketing to? Only fans girls.
Speaker 2:I don't understand. It was just funny like seeing the wrap-up and I was like Like I get the car branding but Elle.
Speaker 1:How do you market this to?
Speaker 2:men, you're not going to, but who?
Speaker 1:has money Not to be sexist Let me stop.
Speaker 2:You're really going to get canceled. But yeah, I just don't know.
Speaker 1:That seems like a. The joke I made is I can't wait for the In Fisherman Tower. Oh, I went to Bentley the other week to check that out. Oh, how was it? The Bentley Residences. That was pretty cool. So I had to talk with Gil about how that elevator is different than the Deservator at Porsche Tower.
Speaker 2:Okay.
Speaker 1:So this one apparently accommodates more cars. I think I'm going to get this wrong, but but Porsche is two or three cars I always forget, and this one's four or five. And then he was commenting on how they've improved it, how it can be enclosed in fire if the car exposes within two hours, like all these safety things that were put in. It's like the advanced version of the Deservator that was in the Porsche Tower. So it was pretty cool. It was a cool event, pretty cool building.
Speaker 2:How is it like? Where are they in the progress of the Bentley Tower?
Speaker 1:It's broken ground, okay, yep, and he says they're 40% sold. The floor plans are not that huge inside, it was like 2,500, 3,000 square feet and they have huge outdoor and they have this metal mesh Not mesh, but some type of lattice thing that goes on the outside.
Speaker 2:Okay.
Speaker 1:It cuts the wind and he has huge outdoor space that's made usable.
Speaker 2:Oh, like the balconies.
Speaker 1:Yeah, it's really cool. Actually, it's well done. That's cool. It's a cool project Because it's like waterfronts You're going to get tons of water and so he has huge square footage outside that's protected by this metal mesh whatever he called it. It's pretty cool. I saw your picture with the oh the McLaren. That was his car. That was his car. Yes, I and I'm not even a car person, but that was a hot car, yeah, and he presses the button and then it comes up. It was neat. I got a kick out of that.
Speaker 2:Oh boy, speaking of developers with some insane stuff, there was the case the guy that killed.
Speaker 1:Oh, the one who commits suicide after trying to stage a hit on his wife.
Speaker 2:Yeah, talk about a Miami Tella novella. I couldn't believe it.
Speaker 1:Apparently and allegedly he tried to.
Speaker 2:apparently and allegedly he tried to have a hitman get her. Yeah, he tried to poison her. Try to run over the car Divorce is not enough, she'll get his money, then I think she said she wanted half oh.
Speaker 1:So he had to kill her. Yes, the old, awful Chris Rock jokes about this.
Speaker 2:No.
Speaker 1:Oh boy, this is on Twitter. It's fine, but Chris Rock said it, not me, okay, so this is back in the day from the OJ trial, and then Chris Rock had all these skits about it, and then he had this one stand-up. Is this on Big Red Black? I forgot it was one of his things back then. You can Google it, it's all there that guy who was also killed I'm forgetting his name right now, but it doesn't matter. Anyway, so they were saying that he was seen driving the Ferrari that OJ gave her.
Speaker 2:Okay.
Speaker 1:And then Chris Brown had all these awful jokes after that, right, he had this whole thing where he's like I don't have a Ferrari, but some man is driving my Pinto, and he had some awful jokes. But then he was talking about divorce in this context, right, and he was like listen, man, you're already rich, You're going to be rich, let her have half and leave. And then you got 40,000 and she wants half. Then you got to live with your mama and then you have to kill her. But it sounds like this guy could be rich even if he divorced his wife.
Speaker 2:The crazy thing is that Florida isn't even a community property state. Yes, I know so. It it's like when you go through the courts in Florida it pretty much ends up being the right person, ends up with the money.
Speaker 1:It's not one of those, yeah.
Speaker 2:Right, but the fact that he it was like I read the real deal thing on it and it was like a literal tell Navella script, yeah.
Speaker 1:And I was just like what. And you know there's like poison hit men.
Speaker 2:Yeah, he killed himself, he did it. He did it for sure. Yes, like still allegedly.
Speaker 1:But for sure he did it, that was incredible.
Speaker 2:Yeah, and he was like I don't know. They said he was like the Hispanic Lenore.
Speaker 1:That's how they referred to him. He was building that scale.
Speaker 2:Yeah, he was doing a ton of stuff, so that was just wild. I cannot wait to see. That's crazy what people do. I don't know. I don't really do relationships, but I just I don't know. I can't fathom being in that situation. No, me neither, because, first of all, if someone was trying to hitman me or kill me, I don't know. I'd be like okay, what, what, the money isn't worth it.
Speaker 1:Okay, fine, bye. What it's not? The money isn't worth it. Okay, fine, bye. I don't get it. It's very strange. Yeah, it was one of those cases where he was like if she doesn't want me.
Speaker 2:Nobody can have her. No, it didn't sound. It sounded like he was just money grubbing. That's even worse. He just he didn't want her to have any of the money. That's what I got from the story yes, and then he killed himself yeah, during an fbi.
Speaker 1:It was an fbi raid maybe he was in debt and was hiding it. So those people, commit suicide when they're going broke.
Speaker 2:I think he was very successful.
Speaker 1:Yeah, that's what it seemed like. Who knows, that's even yeah.
Speaker 2:But Billy Corbin, and because Miami will have a documentary on it in a couple months.
Speaker 1:But anyways yeah, anyway, people not worth it, walk away.
Speaker 2:Yeah, it's. You know what I just feel like right now the world is, the temperature is really high, and not just because it's summertime.
Speaker 1:Exactly.
Speaker 2:But everything right now just seems to be elevated, correct.
Speaker 1:All the things. It's the phase of the empire, right, it's all the and the election amplifies it.
Speaker 2:And I'm just trying to sit back here.
Speaker 1:Everyone's crazy comes out. Yes, I had this guy that I went to high school with, who I haven't seen for a very long time. I'm old everyone. I very long time. I'm old everyone. I don't even follow this guy on Instagram. He starts making comments on my post saying that I am a snowflake who never posts facts. You never post facts, yeah. He says there's no fact checking on my Instagram and I'm such a snowflake I can't do this, I can't do that.
Speaker 2:Was he left-leaning?
Speaker 1:Oh very, he lives in Brooklynoklyn and new york, I think. Whatever the hell anyway. Okay, but I'm not political like I don't care. I tend to be very like here's what's happening?
Speaker 2:facts like I don't.
Speaker 1:I'm not affiliated with any party yeah and I think for people who are such zealots, if you're not affiliated with their party explicitly, then you are also evil. I think that's actually what it is, and so he's one of those people that's so interesting to me, because they're so resentful of what's happening in South Florida and the people leaving that they're just saying, oh, it can't be like. We wish you died during COVID. That's basically what it is, and they do. It's that vibe.
Speaker 1:And then this guy he just keeps going and I'm like, wow, this is so fascinating. He's calling me a snowflake and this and that, and, first of all, I don't even follow him and I don't care. So why would someone feel compelled to go on someone else's board and do that? And then I was like, wow, what a little bitch. What kind of a man does that? Goes on some woman's Instagram that he's been talked to just to insult her? Wow, man, I don't care, but I'm sorry. Twitter Live, you're small dicks forever. That's what that is. I'm so sorry that he's in as good shape as me because he plays basketball sometimes. Okay, wow, that was the best. And I'm like thank you for the entertainment today. Your depths of delusion have just been revealed, my man, it triggers them. That was the point and they go crazy.
Speaker 2:Something interesting for politics for me is I grew up in Pennsylvania, in rural Pennsylvania, the most reddest of reddest places you can imagine. Most of my family and all tend to be red-leaning. And then I moved from there to the West Coast for a decade and I met a ton of friends and made a ton of connections and most of those people leaned hard left and for me, I'm somewhere in the pendant in the middle. Back in 2016, when everyone, when Trump was running the first time and when he announced he was running, I was like, oh, he's going to win. And all of my liberal friends, everyone, even some of my Republican friends were like what? There's no way.
Speaker 2:And the reason I bring this up is because I have both of those experiences. I was able to know he was going to win Exactly right, because my acquaintances in my upbringing area they weren't people who talked to the press and talked to the pollsters like that. They were the shadow voters and those shadow voters are what tipped the 2016 election in the way that it went and I also knew, talking to my liberal friends back then, that election. No one liked Hillary, no one.
Speaker 2:No one, me being in the middle there and just both of these things. I'm like, oh, he's definitely going to win. However, now it is very I don't know. I am totally at a loss of what's going to happen this November.
Speaker 1:Okay, so betting odds are saying heavy Trump and I'm going to go with it.
Speaker 2:I think it comes down to what happens this weekend.
Speaker 1:I saying heavy Trump and I'm going to go with it. I think it comes down to what happens this weekend.
Speaker 2:I think Kamala's going to come in and I think they're going to lose hard.
Speaker 1:That's what I think's going to happen. I think the level of. I think that the fact that Biden was allowed to remain as the figurehead for whatever faction he represents shows the level of dysfunction. It's like having those chubby little women who can't holster guns guarding Trump. It shows the level of their own sort of decay that you would allow that reality to exist, to support your religion, basically. And so that's how they let Hillary run too, and so I think that they're going to have Kamala run, and I think she's going to lose miserably.
Speaker 2:Yeah, I was not laughing at this, but entertained. So I do like media. I know you don't watch TV, but I like watching shows and I'm telling you, the last three weeks have felt like the worst crossover between Scandal, house of Cards and the Boys. The Boys so the Scandal, if you guys don't know, it was Kerry Washington. She was a fixer in Washington, based on a real person, actually Obviously heavily dramatized, but she was the person behind the scenes fixing everything and fixing the scandals. The Scandals House of Cards cards you know about and the boys is the current show on amazon, which is marvel, but evil, yeah, and what would happen if marvel was actually in real life? This particular season has been all about a very thinly veiled take on the current country. Oh, fun, very thinly veiled. But what I'm saying is all those, all the plots of those shows like combined in the past. Yeah, so much so that the last episode of the Boys which aired last night, amazon had to put a warning on because it featured literally an assassination attempt.
Speaker 2:And this was filmed like a year ago, wow, but it literally aired a week afterwards, wow.
Speaker 1:But it literally aired a week afterwards. Wow.
Speaker 2:But anyway, the last week has felt like that to me and I just, I don't like politics, but I've been glued to Twitter.
Speaker 1:Me too. I look at it on Twitter.
Speaker 2:Which Elon is probably loving. I'm sure the analytics are like woo, yeah, exactly. But yeah, it's just. It's been a lot and I'll wrap it up with this the thing that I'm the most excited about with this entire election is where I live. Agree, and I'm segueing back to this because what happens to the rest of the country does not affect Miami to the extent that it affects the rest of the country, and that makes me so happy.
Speaker 1:We're like this little enclave. A little enclave, it's great.
Speaker 2:It'll still affect us, as everything does, but the effects are muted. Agree, and that is my take on the 2024 election.
Speaker 1:I agree 1,000%.
Speaker 2:I'm happy to be in Miami and anything else you want to share.
Speaker 1:That's it Next week. I'm speaking at Rock the Market, at the.
Speaker 2:Hard Rock Hotel. How many?
Speaker 1:people. I don't know my topic yet they don't tell me these things until like a little bit.
Speaker 2:They don't tell you the topic.
Speaker 1:I have to ask. It's like they forget to tell me and they're going to say something like predicting the future, like no pressure and I got to make something up, but no, it's going to be great.
Speaker 2:I'm excited.
Speaker 1:Just ask ChatGPT Predict the future of Miami, you should do that?
Speaker 2:You yes, but then you say the actual part.
Speaker 1:Oh, I like that idea. That's fun. We'll see what my topic is. Maybe I will Cool Coolness.
Speaker 2:Thank you guys for watching.
Speaker 1:Thank you guys.
Speaker 2:And stay safe out there with all of this. Thanks.