Ten Minutes On... Promises, Projections and Precarious Growth

In this episode of Ten Minutes On, podcast creator and host Guy Burton examines the International Monetary Fund’s latest global growth forecast and asks how much confidence we should place in it. While the headline figures suggest steady expansion, the episode looks beneath the surface at where growth is actually coming from, the risks posed by trade tensions, and the growing reliance on productivity gains from artificial intelligence. It also explores deeper structural shifts in global trade, the geopolitical struggle over supply chains, and longstanding concerns about optimism in IMF forecasting. Taken together, the episode questions whether reassuring projections may be underestimating the economic and political uncertainties shaping the global economy.