The Brotherly Bet

Beauty And The Bets: Quarterbacks Edition

• John Townley • Season 2 • Episode 13

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A baby on the bed, a Bernese patrolling the floor, and a mic balanced on a pillow—somehow we turned the chaos into one of our sharpest, funniest weeks of picks yet. We opened with a lean recap of week nine and a moment of respect for the passing of Marshawn Kneeland, then flipped the usual analysis on its head: make selections by the “hotter quarterback” and use that as a proxy for swagger, composure, and leadership under pressure.

Amy returns with her unfiltered eye for QB confidence—Baker’s steady vibe, Lamar’s superstar calm, Josh Allen’s command—and we stress-test the premise across the slate. Raiders-Broncos, Falcons-Colts, Browns-Jets, Saints-Panthers, Patriots-Bucs, Ravens-Vikings, Bills-Dolphins, Giants-Bears, Jags-Texans, Cardinals-Seahawks, Lions-Commanders, Rams-49ers, Eagles-Packers, and Steelers-Chargers all get the treatment. We talk injuries and depth charts, why some photos scream poise while others hint at chaos, and how those vibes sometimes mirror real edges like protection schemes, OC trust, and two-minute execution. It’s playful, but it’s also a reminder that confidence—real or perceived—shapes outcomes on fourth-and-short more than spreadsheets admit.

We wrap with a clean, listener-friendly parlay: Bears, Seahawks, and Lions on the moneyline for a tidy plus-money return, plus a quick rundown of the odds and why each leg earns its spot. Between picks, you’ll hear family Halloween stories, candy negotiations, and a few audible laughs that keep the energy warm and real. If you want NFL picks with both personality and purpose—and a framework that forces you to explain your edge—you’re in the right place.

Enjoy the show? Follow, rate, and share it with a friend who argues about quarterbacks for a living. Drop your boldest upset call and tell us which QB’s swagger you’re betting on this week.

SPEAKER_00:

Hot takes, bold bets.

SPEAKER_01:

Zero regrets. You're locked in with the brotherly bet. And welcome back. Season two, episode 13 here on the brotherly bet. We got a special guest here. You want to introduce yourself?

SPEAKER_02:

I'm back.

SPEAKER_01:

Let me set the scene for you here. It's 9.25, Thursday, November 6th. We have a Bernice Mountain Dog, so if you hear nails on the floor, that's going on. We have a baby in the bed. And we're calling this the episode Beneath the Sheets.

SPEAKER_02:

Please don't call that.

SPEAKER_01:

Yeah, we're going to keep this short. We're going to keep it sweet. We're going to give you a couple um week nine highlights since we're on week 10. Uh Bills beat the Chiefs. Jags pull out an overtime thriller against the Raiders. Seahawks dominate the commanders. Um Jaden Daniels with a nasty elbow dislocation, so he will miss some time. That's about it. We have uh Marshawn Nealan passed away today. Uh defensive end for the Dallas Cowboys. So prayers are out to his family, friends. Um it's a sad time here in the NFL. Uh that's about all I'm gonna give you. Is that good?

SPEAKER_02:

Sounds good.

SPEAKER_01:

All right. We have a fun little Did you even introduce me? Yeah. Well, I think everyone should know I'm back. They should know who you are. My wife, Amy. She's been on the pod multiple times. All right, now Brolin's coming onto the bed. Um do you want me to give you everything? You want me to give you the whole bio?

SPEAKER_02:

No, that's fine. Thanks. Right. People don't even know how to do it.

SPEAKER_01:

She was born Amy Lynn Kovalsic, February 2nd, back in 1992. John and Laurianne Louise. That's not even her name. Do you want me to keep going? No. She graduated from Maine South High School in Park Ridge. She was a four-star letter woman for the Maine South Hawk Cheerleading Squad. You're not the Hawkeye, right? Hawkettes were the dance team. Um, she never lost a football game in high school.

SPEAKER_02:

I don't think that's true. Is that true?

SPEAKER_01:

Well, you never played, so she never watched her team lose.

unknown:

Oh.

SPEAKER_01:

And we also have our baby here. This is gonna be a great episode. We have no stands. My back's gonna hurt. This posture is killing me. Um we have a fun game for you today that you came up with. You ready to go? I'm ready. Normally we have Grant on the podcast. Um, congratulations to Grant for not being here today. Congratulations to Tom for not being here today and just leaving me stranded. I appreciate it because uh we're beneath the sheets.

SPEAKER_02:

Stop saying that. It sounds sexual, and this is not at all.

SPEAKER_01:

All right. Um, normally Grant's here, he gives us all our data. Um, unfortunately, we weren't able to record last week. Uh we had some sickness, we had late late work. Um Halloween. We had a Halloween on Friday. Um, but yeah, we ran into some issues, so we'd go through our picks. We didn't get a week nine pick. I can tell you, um I think we would have done okay minus the Packers losing, minus the Cowboys losing.

SPEAKER_02:

Oh gosh.

SPEAKER_01:

Um, we probably would have taken the Bills. I don't know. I think I think it would have been we I think we would have done okay. I'm just gonna say we're we would have done okay, and I'm gonna move on. All right.

SPEAKER_02:

All right moving on.

SPEAKER_01:

We're gonna call this what should the segment be called?

SPEAKER_02:

Um Rory has a lot to say.

SPEAKER_01:

Um we're gonna call this segment Who Would You Rather? How about that?

SPEAKER_02:

Amy edition.

SPEAKER_01:

Yeah. So I'm gonna give Amy the picks. She has her fantasy football um app open on her phone. And I was like, you know what? We normally do like a great eight with you. We do something weird, and then I came home from work and she's like, I got it. So we're gonna we're gonna base our picks this week off of who has the hotter quarterback.

SPEAKER_02:

I'm ready.

SPEAKER_01:

I think I might have a say or two in this because I'm a little limp wristed as well.

SPEAKER_02:

Fine.

SPEAKER_01:

Okay, awesome. All right.

SPEAKER_02:

But this like really tr it truly has nothing to do with it.

SPEAKER_01:

Sure, it does. I mean, you you need full-blown confidence in your quarterback. If your quarterback is not attractive, he doesn't have confidence. Maybe next week we can do quarterbacks, wives, or girlfriends, because if you got an ugly girlfriend, you got no confidence. Oh, it's nice.

SPEAKER_02:

It's all about personality.

SPEAKER_01:

Oh, yes, it is. All right. We have. Do you have your phone ready? All right. We have the Raiders who are currently playing right now. It is a disgusting looking game. It's 7-7 in the third quarter. Um, but we're gonna give you the pick anyways. We have the Raiders versus the Broncos. So the Raiders quarterback, you got Geno Smith and Broncos, you have Bo Nicks. I can already tell you you're probably gonna pick Bo Nicks and his eyebrows.

SPEAKER_02:

Yep.

SPEAKER_01:

Okay, so we're going with the Broncos. We have Falcons against the Colts. They're playing in Germany on Sunday, 8 30. It's a way to start your weekend. We got Michael Penix Jr. and your boy Danny dimes. Daniel Jones. Daniel Jones, his picture. He probably looks very puzzled, like he's looking at an algebra question.

SPEAKER_02:

Like, why aren't they in order on this app? Like, how am I supposed to find them?

SPEAKER_01:

I think I can tell you your pick. It's probably gonna be Daniel Jones.

SPEAKER_02:

Hold on. Okay. Daniel Jones. Okay, who's next?

SPEAKER_01:

Michael Penix Jr. He has more of a tan than Daniel Jones.

SPEAKER_02:

Michael Penny, why is he showing up?

SPEAKER_01:

Because he's higher than you think.

SPEAKER_02:

They're both in shape.

SPEAKER_01:

Oh, that's a very political answer. They're both in shape.

SPEAKER_02:

The other one.

SPEAKER_01:

Alright, we're taking the Colts. We're going with Daniel Jones. Alright, we got the Browns playing in New York against the Jets. The Browns quarterback, wouldn't you know it? He's a little lefty. His name's Dylan Gabriel. Can you find Dylan Gabriel?

SPEAKER_02:

Okay.

SPEAKER_01:

He's a little Hawaiian.

SPEAKER_02:

Yeah.

SPEAKER_01:

Aloha. He's a little Hawaiian. He's a little he's a little Hawaiian. And then you have someone who you're pretty familiar with. I think he's getting the starting role. You got Justin Fields for your New York Jets.

SPEAKER_02:

I'm going to go Justin Fields because he is a Chicago. Right?

SPEAKER_01:

I I don't think he grew up. I mean, he grew up here, right? I don't think he grew up here.

SPEAKER_02:

I thought he did.

SPEAKER_01:

I know. Do you know where he went to college? No. Oh, the Robertos are going to love this. He went to the Ohio State University. Um, he grew up in Georgia. So close to Illinois. It's pretty close.

SPEAKER_02:

Uh fine. I'm going with the Hawaiian.

SPEAKER_01:

Oh, okay. We're going Dylan Gabriel, so we're taking the Cleveland Browns. Which you know what?

SPEAKER_02:

Rory's not liking my picks.

SPEAKER_01:

Yeah, he just wants his toy. Oh my god, I'm losing. I'm losing this. Alright, who do we have coming up? Who do we have coming up next? We got the Saints are going up against the Panthers. Now your Saints and Panthers.

SPEAKER_02:

Okay. He looks young. Bryce Young looks young.

SPEAKER_01:

That's good. I like that. And then you have this other clown. Let me find him. Tyler show.

SPEAKER_02:

He has nice hair in his picture.

SPEAKER_01:

He has great hair.

SPEAKER_02:

I'm gonna go with Tyler.

SPEAKER_01:

Okay, so we're taking the Saints. The Saints are gonna marching in to Carolina. If you're listening to this, I don't like that pick. Because the Panthers are hot at home. But we're going on confidence in the quarterback and how attractive he is. So that's fine. We push through. That's totally fine. We have the New England Patriots. And we have the Buccaneers. So you have Drake May. Drake May and his neck. Boy's got a neck on him.

SPEAKER_02:

Okay.

SPEAKER_01:

He's having a pretty good year. Okay. And then you have one of my favorite guys. Great commercials. Great name. Baker Mayfield. Great beard. He's a girl dad. Buccaneers are playing at home.

SPEAKER_02:

Alright, I'm gonna go Baker Mayfield.

SPEAKER_01:

Okay. Love that. So we're taking the Bucks over the Pats. Pats are Pats are looking good. Buccaneers are coming off of a bye. Do I have to show you Lamar Jackson? You've been a Steelers fan for 10 years, so you you'd know about we've been staring at Lamar for it feels like forever. So you got Lamar Jackson going up. I have a feeling you might take, you might take the Vikings here. You got JJ McCarthy or Lamar Jackson.

SPEAKER_02:

I'm gonna pick Lamar Jackson because he's on my fantasy team.

SPEAKER_01:

Okay. So we're going with Lamar Jackson. I think she's a little gold digger there. He's got a little bit of a bigger payout, I think. I think I also know who you're gonna take here. We got Josh Allen, which I don't have to show you.

SPEAKER_00:

Yep.

SPEAKER_01:

We got the Buffalo Bills going up against the Miami Dolphins. And you got two uh tug on Arloa.

SPEAKER_02:

I have to go with Josh Allen.

SPEAKER_01:

Yeah, I mean every woman on the planet would go for Josh Allen. Not only for his looks, I think he might be able to pay for dinner.

SPEAKER_02:

And he's really nice apparently.

SPEAKER_01:

And he yes, he does a lot for the fans, which is awesome. Um you got Jackson Dart and the New York Giants football team coming to Chicago to play your Bears, and Caleb paint your nails, Williams. So Caleb Williams looking all pissed off in his picture. Okay. Sound effects grimmed. He did not like that. And we got Jackson Dart. Now let me tell you about Jackson Dart, my friend. Dude's a unit.

SPEAKER_02:

Alright, I want to go with Jackson Dart.

SPEAKER_01:

Yeah, dude's a unit. It's hard to it's hard to look at that picture and not go insert brotherly bet whistle here. You got Jacksonville Jaguars. Do you know who that quarterback is? No, who is it? Do you really not know?

SPEAKER_02:

No.

SPEAKER_01:

So you got Trevor Lawrence, who's got longer hair than you.

SPEAKER_02:

I remember when he played in college.

SPEAKER_01:

Who did he play for? Uh I would be very impressed if you knew that.

SPEAKER_02:

Someone in some team in Orange. Clemson.

SPEAKER_01:

Yay! He played for Clemson. Um I know CJ Stroud is out. He has a concussion. So Jacksonville's traveling to Houston to play the Texans. We're also still in the noon games. Davis Mills is going to be your quarterback for your Houston Texans. And Davis Mills. I'm going to go Davis Mills. Yeah, he's kind of a looker as well.

SPEAKER_02:

He's all pretty attractive so far.

SPEAKER_01:

That's how we draft in the NFL. Based on looks, not on your 40. We got the Cardinals traveling to Seattle to play the Seahawks. Now we're in the three o'clock games. Now, unfortunately, for Seattle, or I'm sorry, unfortunately for me, it's going to be harder for me to find this because he's on the IR. So give me a second. Oh, I know who's Jacoby Brissett.

SPEAKER_02:

He also has nice hair.

SPEAKER_01:

Great hair, good beard. He also looking just pissed.

SPEAKER_02:

Yeah, can you not smile in these picks?

SPEAKER_01:

I I don't think you're allowed to.

SPEAKER_02:

I think he kind of take a passport photo. Get up against the wall. Do not smile.

SPEAKER_01:

Look, look like you're taking a shit. And we got Sam Darnold. So Sam Darnold's smiling.

SPEAKER_02:

Oh, he's smiling. I'll give it to him because he's smiling.

SPEAKER_01:

Okay, Sam Darnold. So Cardinals are gonna go into Seattle. That's a great pick. I like that. Um they're playing great football. And they're playing in Seattle. So I love that. You have the Lions. Do you know who that quarterback is?

SPEAKER_02:

Not off the top of my head, no.

SPEAKER_01:

Starts with the J. Jared Goff is traveling to Washington to play Marcus Mariota, since Jaden Daniels doesn't have a left arm anymore against the commanders.

SPEAKER_02:

Um him.

SPEAKER_01:

You're picking Marcus Mariota.

unknown:

Yeah.

SPEAKER_01:

Which is going to go against what we're doing later in this podcast. But you know what? This is your section. Yeah, you do you. You do you. Also smiling, both quarterbacks smiling, so you have the Rams, and we're not talking about the coach, so slow your roll. She'll be like, oh. I pick him. I pick the coach. He's so pretty. You got Matthew Chicklit Stafford. I know who Matthew Stafford is. Yeah, he's got those veneers. Coming into San Francisco to play the 49ers. Now, Brock Purdy is questionable. So I'll give you I'll show you Brock I'll show you Brock Purdy, but they're kind of on the fence if he's gonna be playing. So I'll show you the backup as well.

SPEAKER_02:

I'll take either or.

SPEAKER_01:

Oh mama thirsty. Mama thirsty for those Niners. So she's taking the Niners. Um I like it. Uh I I like that one, even though I don't bet against Matthew Stafford, because he holds a special place in my heart regardless. Um I'm gonna skip Sunday night football. We'll do that last. And we have because I we're gonna get into a highly debate about that one. We have Jalen Hurts. You know what he looks like, right? That's a good looking man, too. That's the Denzels of quarterbacks right there. And you have the Green Bay Packers, which you should also know what he looks like, because we just played him.

SPEAKER_02:

Jalen Hurts.

SPEAKER_01:

Alright, so she's taking the Eagles to go into Lambeau Field and take down the Packers. And last but not least, I don't have to show you these pictures, but I will anyways. You got the Steelers traveling all the way to the West Coast. You got your boy, the 40-something year old Aaron Rodgers. It's more attractive because he has a Super Bowl ring, so and he does ayahuasca, so you can trip out on your date together. And do I even need to show you Herbert? Because you're gonna start drooling. And Justin the hair Herbert.

SPEAKER_02:

Um, I'm going Justin Herbert.

SPEAKER_01:

Okay, so sorry, Tom. Based on looks, since that's our segment this week, we're sticking with Justin Herbert. So should we go back through all of them? Or is that gonna be too much for you?

SPEAKER_02:

No, that's too much for everybody. Everyone understands. Rory's like, get this episode wrapped up.

SPEAKER_01:

Alright. Do you remember our brotherly brotherly bet picks?

SPEAKER_02:

I do.

SPEAKER_01:

Do you? Alright, lay them on me.

SPEAKER_02:

Oh no, I don't remember all of them. Go ahead.

SPEAKER_01:

Okay. Um we are taking from the 12 o'clock games, we are taking the Bears to beat your boy Jackson Dart at home against the Giants. Giants, uh, I mean, without Scataboo, I feel like they lost a little bit of their mojo, which that's a big thing. Rory's really loving that chord. Um we're taking Sam Darnold over Jacoby Brissett at home. So we're taking the Seahawks. And then we're going against what you originally said with taking Marcus Mariota, but we're taking Detroit Lions to go into Washington. Uh they lost last week. I think it's a bounce back week. I think without Jaden Daniels, they're going to be a little flat. Um we're taking all those on the money line for plus one thirty-one payout. A little bit of a safer, safer picks. Um Bears are sitting at minus two eighteen. That's our mo that's our riskiest bet. Uh Seahawks are at minus three twenty-five, and the Detroit Lions are minus four seventy all on the money line. Put them together, it's plus one thirty-one. That's it. Is there anything you want to say to the say to the crowd?

SPEAKER_02:

Next time I'm back, I'll bring in grade eight. I know everyone's probably missing it right now. I just have a seven-month-old laying in my lap. It's just not.

SPEAKER_01:

Don't worry, it'll be hot coaches. Should be like Sean McVay versus Sean McVeigh in a tight t-shirt. Oh, tight t-shirt wins. Next. Sean McVeigh with a beard, Sean McVeigh with a mustache. Doesn't matter, Sean McVeigh.

SPEAKER_02:

He's a cute man.

SPEAKER_01:

Yeah, we'll figure it out. Um, Aim, thanks for coming on. Uh, I've I've had a couple messages from some friends going, where are these episodes? So they're coming. This will get dropped Friday.

SPEAKER_02:

Sorry for all the um background noise from our son.

SPEAKER_01:

I'm not. Rourke, is there anything you want to say?

SPEAKER_02:

Now he's quiet.

SPEAKER_01:

Nothing. Um that's all we got. We're gonna upload the slip. Um if you missed or missed earlier, she picked the Broncos to win tonight. So based on looks. They're up 10-7 going into the fourth.

SPEAKER_02:

Ugly game, but before we close out, what was your favorite part about Halloween?

SPEAKER_01:

I think my favorite part of Halloween was our kids' reactions to getting the candy now. So, like, before it was cute, it'd go up, they'd be excited, but now you get the you get like the verbal reaction.

SPEAKER_02:

Oh man, I got another peanut MM.

SPEAKER_01:

What's this? What's my favorite was, what's this? I'm like, oh that's a peanut MM bag again. She'd be like, oh, I don't like this. Then they go to the next house. What's this? It's it's a freaking peanut MM. I don't like this. And I've never seen our daughter put anything in her mouth that she doesn't like. So it was comical. She'd be like, The Reese's, I don't like this. I'm like, you ask for one like daily, like a vitamin.

SPEAKER_02:

Yeah. It was cute. Such a fun Halloween.

SPEAKER_01:

Yeah, I like that everyone kind of comes by and we get to kind of do it all together. Love that. But just like when she left the one house and was screaming, Jackpot, and she had like two pieces of candy. I'm like, okay. So it was fun. It was fun. What about yours?

SPEAKER_02:

I mean, the next day they were like, Are we gonna go trick-or-treating?

SPEAKER_01:

Yeah, they've been trick-or-treating. We got them that or Papa and Gigi got her that house outside for Christ or for a birthday, and like two days later they were playing trick-or-treat with blueberries. Can we get candy to play? I'm like, no, we know we don't we're not gonna do that. Here's some fruit.

SPEAKER_02:

I mean, it's just it's so sweet to see the innocence of it all.

SPEAKER_01:

Yeah, and then 5 p.m. hits and they all turn into crack babies. Devils, so but that's it. Um, alright, episode 13, we're breaking out of here. Anything else? Nope. Thanks for having me. Yeah, appreciate you, Aim. Uh I'm your host, Jack, and my lovely wife. Amy. That's right. Take it easy.