In this episode, we discuss with Danny Kirsch the parallels between current market complacency and pre-Liberation Day conditions. Danny explores the implications of extreme call buying, SPACs resurgence, and market liquidity. The episode covers the market dynamics, examining the Fed's pressure to cut rates and its impact on long-term yields, the role of volatility control strategies, and the influence of upcoming events like the August 1st market event. We delve into detailed analyses of credit spreads, equity exposure, inflation expectations, and potential catalysts like the AI summit and policy changes. The conversation also highlights strategies for hedging market risks and the impact of speculative trades in cryptos and tech stocks.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures.

In this episode, Emily Needell, Deputy Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, joins us to explore the concept of "quality" in stocks. We discuss how quality is defined, the key metrics used to identify high-quality companies, and common misconceptions surrounding the term. Indicators such as high profitability, strong interest coverage ratios, and robust free cash flow are highlighted as hallmarks of quality. We also challenge traditional assumptions, including the notion that low leverage and high dividend yields necessarily signal quality. Finally, the episode examines why quality stocks have consistently outperformed in recent years, particularly in a range-bound economic environment with elevated interest rates.

In this episode, we have in an in-depth discussion with economist Jake Oubina about the current economic landscape. We discuss the Federal Reserve's potential actions, inflation trends, and the housing market outlook. Jake shares his insights on how uncertainty over the past six months has affected consumer behavior, housing, and labor markets. He emphasizes the importance of lower interest rates, deregulation, and capital investment to stimulate economic growth. The discussion also touches upon the quality of economic data, including CPI and employment figures, and how alternative data sources can provide a more accurate picture. Jake concludes by addressing the complexities of inflation post-COVID and the impact of tariff policies on economic growth. This episode offers a comprehensive look at the factors shaping the current economy and provides actionable insights for market participants.

In this episode, we speak with Alex Potter senior research analyst at Piper Sandler and take a deep dive into Tesla and its disruptive influence. The conversation touches on various broad topics including automakers, EVs, politics, infrastructure, energy usage, and technology. The discussion highlights Tesla's transformation of the auto industry and its broadened scope influencing tech, industrials, consumer and energy sectors. Alex discusses Tesla's comparison to Amazon and Apple, suggesting Tesla is more than an automaker, much like Amazon is more than a bookseller. Other points include the role of policy and global EV adoption trends, especially contrasting the aggressive EV policies in China with the more tempered approach in the U.S. The conversation also covers Tesla's unique approach to manufacturing, supply chains, and advanced technologies, including real-world artificial general intelligence. Overall, a detailed exploration of Tesla's current influence and future potential in the global market.

In this episode we discuss the market trends and events from the first half of 2025. Joined by Emily Needell, Deputy Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, the conversation covers the market's responses to policy changes, such as tariffs and deregulation, and the broad economic data trends this year. They highlight the v-shaped recovery and the bifurcation seen across different sectors and factors, indicating a mixed recovery. Emily also provides insight into future market expectations, emphasizing the importance of quality and balanced investment strategies amid continuing uncertainties. The discussion ends with a focus on the risks posed by rising oil prices and ongoing high tariff levels.

In today’s episode, we discuss the ongoing uncertainty in global markets and reflect on the events from the past five years, including COVID-19, inflation, interest rates, geopolitical and their compounded effects on market volatility. In the episode, we provide insights into how investors can position amidst these uncertainties by focusing on companies with robust fundamentals and macro resilience. Despite the volatility and unpredictability, they emphasize the importance of not reacting impulsively to macro fears and maintaining a well-balanced portfolio.

In this episode, Don Schneider Deputy Head of U.S. Policy at Piper Sandler helps us unravel the ongoing political volatility impacting the markets. We discuss the significant topic of the budget reconciliation bill, detailing its current status, timeline for passage, and the key components it entails including tax cuts, spending cuts, and the consequential impacts on the fiscal outlook and growth trajectory. In the episode we address clients' concerns about the new fiscal trajectory, and the interaction between the budget bill and Trump's ongoing tariff policies, assessing their combined effects on growth and treasury issuance. The podcast also covers potential Senate amendments and the risk of the bill not passing, alongside the potential policy focus for investors post-passage. Additionally, we delve into the retaliatory Section 899 tax on foreign multinationals, elaborating on its implications and underlying motivations.

In this episode, Darius Dale, founder of 42 Macro, joins hosts Michael and Steven to discuss the transformative journey and mission behind 42 Macro. Darius shares his background in Wall Street investment research and highlights the company's unique approach to providing equal access to high-quality investment insights for both institutional and retail investors. He delves into the challenges of navigating various investor profiles, the importance of continuous education, and the evolution of his systematic investment process. The discussion also touches on the importance of considering fiscal policy, cryptocurrencies, and the macroeconomic landscape's impact on investment strategies. The episode offers a deep dive into how 42 Macro aims to democratize access to top-tier investment research, and sheds light on Darius's personal journey and professional pivots.

In this episode, we discuss the recent movements in the market amid ever-changing political narratives. We delve into the factors influencing valuations, including interest rates, inflation, and macroeconomic data. The conversation also covers the impact of recent policy changes—such as Trump’s fluctuating tariffs on the EU—and how they contribute to market volatility.

We examine the current state of the S&P 500, highlighting elevated multiples supported by favorable conditions like low energy prices and high profit margins. With a focus on earnings, we explore growth projections for both large-cap and small-cap companies, along with the varying economic conditions affecting different sectors.

The episode also addresses ongoing interest rate narratives and potential market outcomes based on earnings and valuation multiples. Lastly, we outline key upcoming data points and events to watch, including consumer confidence, durable goods orders, and GDP data, as well as potential policy impacts from the White House.

In this episode, we delve into recent market movements following tariff announcements and pauses. The discussion covers the sharp decline and subsequent recovery of the S&P 500, highlighting sector-specific performance and the varying recovery trajectories of different market segments. The episode also covers broader economic concerns, including credit card delinquency rates, inflation, and consumer demand, emphasizing the importance of high-quality and balanced portfolios amidst ongoing market volatility and economic uncertainties. Please see our episode notes on our website whatsnextformarkets.com for charts discussed in today’s show.

In this episode, we talk with Craig Fuller, CEO of FreightWaves, about the significant shifts and challenges in global supply chains, with a particular focus on the impact of tariffs and geopolitical events. Craig outlines the evolution of supply chains, the effects of the U.S.-China trade war, and the broader ramifications of tariffs on global trade and logistics. He discusses potential shortages in certain goods and the adaptability of supply chains in response to these disruptions. The conversation also explores the possibility of a surge in freight demand if a resolution to the trade conflict is reached.

In this episode, we discuss the eventful month of April in the markets, highlighting the resurgence of the S&P 500 and the significant influence of policy shifts on market dynamics. The episode delves into the impact of tariff-related rhetoric, the effect of proposed tax cuts, and the ongoing balance between sentiment and fundamental data. We cover the importance of maintaining a balanced investment approach and what data to watch. Make sure to tune in next week for insights from Craig Fuller, CEO of FreightWaves, on the tariff impact on the supply chain.

In this episode of What's Next for Markets, Michael Kantrowitz, Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, and Josh Rogin, Lead Global Security Analyst at Washington Post Intelligence, delve into the ongoing market volatility driven by shifting policies and geopolitical dynamics. They discuss the breakdown of traditional silos between Wall Street, Washington, and Silicon Valley, the impact of U.S.-China relations on global markets, and the internal dynamics of the Trump administration. The conversation highlights the intersection of politics and financial markets, shedding light on the intricate power struggles and economic strategies that could shape future market trends.

Josh Rogin is Lead Global Security Analyst at Washington Post Intelligence. Since 2016, Josh has served as a columnist for the Global Opinions section of the Washington Post. He is also the author of Chaos Under Heaven: Trump, Xi, and the Battle for the 21st Century (Mariner Books).

Previously, Josh has covered foreign policy and national security for Bloomberg View, Newsweek, The Daily Beast, Foreign Policy magazine, Congressional Quarterly, Federal Computer Week magazine, and Japan’s Asahi Shimbun.  Josh has been recognized with the Interaction Award for Excellence in International Reporting and as a Finalist for the Livingston Award for Young Journalists. He has also received journalism fellowships from the Knight Foundation, the East-West Center, and the National Press Foundation. 

Josh holds a BA in international affairs from the George Washington University and studied at Sophia University in Tokyo, Japan. He lives in Washington, DC 

Find more information about WP Intelligence here:

https://demo.wpintelligence.com/

Find more about Josh here:

https://www.linkedin.com/in/joshrogin/

https://x.com/joshrogin

https://www.instagram.com/joshrogin/

In this episode, Stephen and Emily discuss the current state of small cap equity investing. Small cap equities have underperformed their larger cap equity counterparts for nearly five years. We explore the factors contributing to this trend, including higher interest rates, slowing economic growth, and recent tariff news. Despite current challenges, the conversation highlights potential positive catalysts that could improve the outlook for small caps, emphasizing their role in a diversified portfolio and the importance of focusing on quality and stability within the small cap space.

In this episode, we’re joined by Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments, for a wide-ranging conversation on market cycles, long-term investing, and the shifting dynamics in the macro landscape.

Jurrien shares how his background in technical analysis has evolved into a storytelling approach to macro strategy. We dive into:

• The interplay between technicals and macro data
• Why market signals matter more than hard predictions
• How Jurrien defines and interprets cycles — and what might be different this time
• How he integrates behavioral finance into his framework
• The risks and opportunities he’s watching in 2025

Whether you're an investor navigating uncertainty or a macro enthusiast trying to connect the dots, this episode delivers timeless perspective and practical insights from one of Fidelity's most respected voices.

Connect with Jurrien Timmer:

• X (Twitter): @TimmerFidelity

••LinkedIn: Jurrien Timmer

In this episode of 'What's Next for Markets', we discuss the recent tumultuous week for markets in the wake tariff announcements. We will cover our initial reaction to the moves in the market along with the emerging macro and earnings risks. The episode touches on market sentiment, valuation metrics, and historical parallels. Importantly, in today’s episode we look beyond the obvious bearish narrative to what could go right from here.

How resilient is the U.S. consumer? In today’s episode of What’s Next For Markets we speak with a 20-year veteran on Wall Street, senior research analyst, Peter Keith who covers consumer stocks in the hardline and breadlines industries at Piper Sandler. In this insightful conversation we explore consumer behavior through the lens of Peter’s proprietary mattress sales index and its implications for the broader economic landscape. The discussion highlights key retailers such as Home Depot, Lowe’s, and Wayfair as bellwethers of market trends in housing and sheds light on the challenges and opportunities in the market. The discussion further explores the impact of tariffs on the consumer and which retailers are most at risk.

In this episode, we discuss the significant bifurcation seen in economic and company earnings data over the past few years. Why have some companies excel in this environment, while others struggle? Join us, as we delve into the factors driving this divergence, from the zero interest rate policy post-GFC to the present-day tariff uncertainty. The episode covers the impact of housing on the economy, the role of interest rates, and the ongoing struggles within small caps and key investment strategies we think are best positioned for the road ahead.

To see charts from today's episode visit whatsnextformarkets.com.

In this episode of 'What's Next for Markets,' we are joined by Danny Kirsch, Head of Piper Sandler's Options Strategy & Trading for a discussion on the recent correction in the stock market and policy uncertainty. The team delves into specific market dynamics including high retail sentiment, momentum stocks, and the role of options trades in current market conditions. They also explore potential opportunities in U.S. equities and options amidst the ongoing market fluctuations and upcoming policy changes. The conversation offers valuable insights into market risk, volatility, and investment strategies.

Join us as we delve into the recent surge in market uncertainty. In today's episode, we share our insights on a crucial question: When will the market hit bottom? Please see our episode notes on our website whatsnextformarkets.com for charts discussed in today’s show.

Join us as we discuss A.I. & NVDA with Piper Sandler’s Semis Analyst Harsh Kumar. Harsh has covered the semiconductor industry since the mid-1990s. Please see our episode notes on our website whatsnextformarkets.com for charts discussed in today’s show.

Join us as we discuss why markets fall. In today's show, we look at all the 10% or more S&P 500 market corrections over the last 60 years. Please see our episode notes on our website whatsnextformarkets.com for charts discussed in today’s show.

Join us as we discus our H.O.P.E. framework. This episode is  an excerpt from an interview with Adam Taggart from Thoughtful Money. The full interview is available on the Thoughtful Money Youtube channel.

Join us as we discuss the importance of monitoring Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data in 2025.

Join us as we discuss how President Trump’s policy agenda with shape the economy and financial markets. In this weeks episode, we will be talking with special guest Don Schneider Deputy Head of U.S. Policy Research at Piper Sandler. Don brings a wealth of policy expertise to the conversation. He previously served as Chief Economist for the House Ways and Means Committee under Chairmen Kevin Brady and Paul Ryan, playing a key role in shaping the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). Before that, he was an Economist and Budget Analyst for Chairman Ryan on the House Budget Committee.