What’s Iran’s End Game?

In this Old Fly Guy – Virtual Flightline episode, combat aviators Rusty O’Brien and Mace Carpenter break down one of the most complex and dangerous realities in today’s Iran conflict—a war you can’t easily see… and can’t easily win.

Drawing on their experience flying during Operation Desert Storm, they explore how Iran has evolved into a highly capable asymmetric threat. From massive underground tunnel networks—designed to hide and launch missiles from deep within mountains—to the growing use of drones and mobile strike systems, this is a very different fight than the one they experienced decades ago.

At the center of the conversation is the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway responsible for a significant portion of the world’s oil supply. The question isn’t just whether it can be defended—it’s whether disruption there could dictate the outcome of the entire conflict.

Rusty and Mace also dive into the reality of modern warfare:

Why bunker-busting weapons may not be enough
How low-cost drones are changing the economics of war
The growing influence of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
And why even partial missile capability still poses a serious threat

This isn’t theory—it’s perspective from those who’ve flown combat missions in the same region. If you want to understand what makes this conflict different—and why it’s so difficult—this conversation delivers insights you won’t hear anywhere else.