The Shipbrokers Podcast

Straight Outta Hormuz with Vortexa's David Wech

Season 2 Episode 9

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0:00 | 36:01

Six months into the Middle East war, oil has barely moved. Richard Matthews asks Vortexa Chief Economist David Wech the obvious question: why so calm and how long can it last?

Wech's answer is that everyone has been watching the wrong chokepoint. Hormuz was never the real story, and the numbers underneath the headline price look very different from the numbers on the screen.

Diesel, inventories, and a European winter he's genuinely worried about. Listen for the full picture, including why he thinks cheap oil could still be closer than anyone expects.


0:23  Welcome & Guest Introduction

1:59  Hormuz Flows & the VLCC Shuttle Strategy

5:10  US Export Decline

10:49  China's Refining Comeback & Crude Demand

14:18  Global Inventory Levels

17:06  Diesel Shortage & Product Market Stress

19:07  Refining Capacity Shifts

22:47  Winter Energy Supply Outlook

24:40  Structural Shift & China's Resilience Model

28:35  Macro Impact & Producer Perspective

30:58  Tanker Resilience & Shipping Market Adaptability

33:15  Long-Term Oil Demand & Price Outlook