המשמעות המטרידה של הפסקת האש באיראן

כשכולנו עסוקים בניסיון להבין מי באמת ניצח את המערכה הזאת והאם המלחמה באיראן תתחדש, יש פן אחד של התמונה האסטרטגית שמעטים מדברים עליו.

בסרטון הזה נדון בהשלכות האסטרטגיות הלא מדוברות של המערכה "שאגת הארי" ועל ההשפעה שלהן על מעמדה של ישראל בעולם.

האם הפעם נצליח ללמוד מההיסטוריה?

מוזמנים לעקוב בערוץ הטלגם של יוסף לברן: 

https://t.me/+RJdATcxm36IYeHAv

Transcript

SPEAKER_00 0:00

Lifnakol Tsarichlo Maritaymet, Asulzalzelba Esegim Achashuvim Sh Israel Es Siga Marachazot Muliran, M Kayamim, Mbrurim, Ve Kulanurainota, Askenlois Sagno eta Matota ultimativio che ulai Hashavnu Sheken Natzilahla Sigota, Aval Iran, Achen Savga Makot Kashot, ve Khashuvla Kirbekah, Avalashelah Hashvash Nirozele alot le Dion Kan ilo ala makot Vala mhir s Iran Shilma ba marachazot, ela ala mikhir sha nachnu Israel Shilamnu. Ainzanachon lirot ba mifta azeshagatari at slacha israelit mitokevkar Israel kimat velo shilmah mkhir, animaskirhem sha rahot a zvirot, lenochhartakhishel, atkafa Iranit kulelet, dibual, asrotalferugim, medina mushbet l khalutin, as the nachon shainun pochodeshvahetsi sh Loma mash neenu, komosha nachnu gilim lenot, awal bevadai shanachnu mistaklim alapgia henba rechush when banefesh anhnu rechokim me od mimashekhashavnushe omedli cot. We zakamwan blezalzelbe cole ibed krovim, ebedbait, dwarim shem noraim beramatabrat val ba istakluta marahtit, adain me od rehokim mimash ayatzafu li codkan. Belamodzot be nail mota mikhrima, be met minimalim berechushu benefesh Israel shilma, ishod mhir ka ved meodel shilma, the mishuma afralom deberalov, vezewa mehira todati le gabem kuma shel israel bazira ha geopolitit. Anachnor gliml kach Amerikaim me'od me wravim ba marahochalanu, henat zvayot ve enhidinyot Zaloma shukadash. Bas picklistakelbashna time plus beaza kede lizahamon min akhlatot umina midinuche israelimtsa, eu, rabot melechim amerikaim, bathala Biden, velachamiken, Trump, Vetluta maarachht azot Bagure m Amerikay, iloh khadasha i ofia ba milhama be azah, Aval ibat Kama Sorim Tovim, Velo Ena Rih E Bekarkan. Aval Mashayak kan Bamiftaze Shagatari Ayama shoh khadash la Khalutin Loi Tarvut Amerikanit be marachashikulim Ahmedinim shel Israel, la Benay, Aitakan, ista abdut totalit shella interesa Israeli, el Interess Amerikani. L'homedubarkan al Israel Shemalet Marchha Michela, Milchhamma Michela, Veni Dreshhet Lit Moded Mullechhatzim, Vele Tamren Mulam, Almenat, Litvok ba Yadim Shelah, Elamidubar be Itgaisut Shell Israel El Toh Maracha Amerikanit Muliran, Kashar Israel Mekabelet Miroj, Shaniul e Strategic La Marcha Yeh Bide Americaim. Milichathila Uzkam sheklalea misrak e strategim you Amerikaim velo Israelim. Mirojiskima Thila ta maracha Vessofa Tlujim Bashikul Amerikay, Vetulo. Klomabregashit Trump Yachit Lachdol ta' Maracha, Israel gam ta' Dol et Maracha, Zetaitah Naha Milchhathilah. Beutamida, egam gvulot hagizrahit kifim, uskemu, ben Amerikaim, the bargah Israel e tetahrotzah, l'hog memizgiret azot, vitrilitkof ta shtiot sh Amerikaim lokak Ratsu, Shamipagu, az Mkiblu, nununuwe khat gadol mitrap, them khadlu miyad. Shavdawarze ukzate mesha sha ki Arbana shimasimlifajereta a segim shelamarachazot bekarche, etsemovdash Israel nil khema katef el katef, m'amerikaim, ze mashuni fla, mashush afhalo echholayal chloma law, achlifnika mashanim, e animaskim, the mod ma'iv, the mod yafe aval Havanizgo, sh Basov Israelit Gaissa, Lemilhama Amerikanit, S Tomret Baruch Tilachem Katef el Katefim Amerikaim ki Zotamilhama Shelaem, Imanimatiatashirutim Sheli, Lemishush Nilhamba Milhamashelo, Igonichani Lachem Gam Leyadu. As Khashov Gam lit Thashhev by Ksher Rhav, Vecana Niro Telechaded. Anil Baladun Kan Bashela Ekronit Atkama Israel Bufin Klali et Sicha Leanot Veleikana Ladrisho Amerikaim. Tomret Burush Kasher Israel Menalet Marachamishela, Vishla y Adimishela, Vim Amerikaim ve Dorshim Dwarim Shemit Nakshimi Mayadim Shel Israel, Yeshkanchela, Atkamalit Khashevbayem Atkama e Litrodeta e Lchatimele, Avazo Chela Shnifred. Kan ba naizu o la machel khalutin, and kanchela shel at kamali takesh ba interess shelanu, velitroteta l'Khatim Amerikaim, kipo Milchhathilah, a interesse aliumi shelano, un'hum, ulo facto, ulo kelec mamishvah, aknu mroch mikablimeta interess Amerikai, ka interessa ilon, janachnu mit Gaisim lemaano, butn, uhvimalav, bikitzur, ba marachazot, shagatari, Israel, lowra miroh, l'yat sechu interess lewumi, Michelah, show med bifne atzmo. Badawarze kulkar Mufrah, meprina realit, Biglal Shaloh Sibut. Aleph, A iyum Airani, akyumi, Mufneh Barosh Barisha pe Israel, Airani, maimim beferush, lehmit Israel, clumar alo, mkolakavola interesse mshalhem Amerikain ba mi fratza parsi, basof, a badgayazh, unil khambanu, na knohu yvim shelo, amutzarim, said, but beforal, Mish safageta maka, yeah cashaba orf, leloyu a Izrahim shelsota brit. La Ezra Israel M Elh Nidreshul Shelemhira Izrahiya Kaved, Shel Lamut, Bemar Hashkazot, Bemeshekimat Hodej Vahzi. The gimel, Abitsuim Bashetah, Shel Helavira Israeli, Ki Holanira you are beutertowim, Mesegim shel khela Vir Amerikaish, itgalake, Helavir show beseder val loyotermize. Stomat alpikola parametrim arealim, amilhamazot, i ulay low amilhama biladchelanu, bevadai low rakamil chamash el amerikai m shanakomidgaisim bederechagaf kedela zolaem le mamesh ta interessim shelahem. Milchamazot is shelanu l'opachot masher shelahem. Mashabatuh. Vedain Israel, iskimaal kabel, et a kfifut azot, la interessa Amerikay, Milchhathila, obfendretzoni. Areesh Arubehi Gayon, ba malachze, shel Kabela ta interessa Amerika, interessa ilon shuse Yadwe, Vena Litamaracha. Boni kanesh nyala rohitanyao. Bimkom listove bkola olam Shaknea, et kulam, sh ayum, ayranic lape Israel mamashi, vum medlit mamesh, velachen, israel khayvet litkof, kedelit gunen, ve azlachtof, esh diplomatit mikola olam she minastam itnagedla Milhamad so deketazot, keshem shwit nagela Milhamad so deket be azut nenatzel et amitria a diplomatit, shel tramp, tramp, ve atta brit, shem el shamdu bereu ota miprina strategit, m el shtefu et kola esh a diplomatit, mea ulam. Manachno bentayim batzad bisheket, nekadem ve ne mamesh eta interessa Israeli, befraum degalu. Ultimati strategia tani umim shalhila eisham k shunaam and mula olam, ba congress, ba um tanyaw omed mulam, vehneotam shalem tmoh. Ba milhamash Israel, um shachneotam sh Iran, barosh barishona, ium al a olam coulo, shalla ulam le gebot Israel, barosh u barishona interest shelahim. A sah called Gyunit. Loh Gyonit, Aval Yeshbaya Achat, Lemet Ma Shlachot, a geopolitiot ar saniot avur, Ma'amada, Shel Israel Baola. Virat and kuda, a lot of zolit summed drachim and storit, bavar lorakhok shelano, shlokolkach, mukeret, vemubere, me odme odhashuva, Vzotita shalashamda bifne a Yudim, Shenilchemu, Babritim, Erev Prot, Milchemetolamashnia, Aim, Lem Shekhlilachem, Ola Shbit eta Ma'vak Babritim. Begadol ba etzel shenilcham az babritim, ayushte askolot, akivuna rishon, shel Davidraziel, ayash barega, she amilhama puet, alinu le shbit miyadit eta ma'vak babritim, uleit gayeslit sidam, ba milchamashelaem neged Germania Nazit. U Mitacheni, Avraam Yajir Steren, e talmidav, tanu sheyesh llam shikh etama'avak le lopsharot. Veala machloketazot yair parashma etzel, vehkim etamahrterit lehi. L'yamim a lehi yuhasham bekah she botamayamim u hedif eta interesa leumani, klomar ta ma'vak le shihu aretz, le khirut israel, alpene at salah shel hajudim, be arzota golah, e shayume yamimali de Germania nazit. Avalzi pashut sheker ki a tohnit azot shel y'ir laqsikhilakemba britim mistaber shaitawlaya pitahon, a'reali bioter, lehatil, et koluta ma yudim. Kenken. T'amat egayon shel y'ir, ayakh, she alminat, shaolam, ytrah, kede l'til ta' yudim, misakanata shmada, a atzalazot, tsihala foh le shikul mkriya, ba ma'arach be ma'racha shi kulima geopolitim, shobed bifne a'matzamot. Ut'an she af matzamah loh titrah le tilta' yudim mi retsonahatov, t'h lizgor sh botamayamim omnam nchonch Germania izoch befaw activit ra tztal shmitta yudim, gama Britim m el sh befual khasmu, et chare alia, weman umma yudim liwahmi Europa. So mut yesh milhama, shelma tzamod, Britannia l Germania, khom lo ala interesa ma'atzamatim, ela ala interesa yudishilit yud Europa as Germania Britania la mamash shonot zomizo. Vutan, vizota nekuda critit, sh barga sh Yishuv Yhlit, la mod lit sida shel Britannia, veid gayes, la marachashela neged Germania, botoa rega ayyudim yabdu eta relevanti uchelaem be marach shikulim a geopoliti emya fule pshuchkufim, le gorem shekvalot shivbu, kimimela, emitstrfim automatit, le tzadhad ba maracha, velom yatzgim tzad atzmay mishelahem im Ratson shot vinteresim Michelo. Lumazot, imayudim beret israel, yamshikhu tama vak shalemba britim, veloyyfsikutam automatit, lilo atzavat naim, lomasau matan, ki az emitairu beneawlam ke koach politike yeshut ben lumit im razzonat tsmay, im shifotatzmaiot, the ki potential, tzwai, shefali natzel, sha tzarit mudedito, ve shachol bemet leashpia al tzaut amarcha. Beforal aishuva yuddi shayarachok meodma todazoch yehir bi keshle ityatzev, liloshum atsaavat michhir, at savat naim, or filu masaw matan kol che u, le tzida shel Britania, ba mi chamashelaem, ubota rega, a shikul, ayudhi, a interesa yuddi, ne elam la khutin mia mapa a geopolitit, wafra be metit khashev bo bitzwarit zinit, waf fechad lotarach liftowah realia, le tovat yudim, shnitunim, tahat sa kanata ashmada. Filu bay m shekhuniresh amerikaim, lotarhhu la mrochem tasu meal aushwitz, lotarhu leftit pasara kevet, shel akronot shevyuta yudim elmotaam. At kedekah interess ayudi ayashakuf, miprina geopolitit, atke dekah afralura auto bainai. Bemawa lekha histori shella parashazot, aleka historiusher nachnu ombdim let sida, shel Matsamazarav, nachomidge sim le tohmarachamishela, Achnu laimet sapim, shem Yasula nutovav shia kiru, miritzonamatov bay msheh, ebainteres shelanu, befora zeloved, befora la mahtsamot lo osot tova, leafihad, we bayksher shel ashua, shemichhmeto la meshnya, atzaita, etzarenu, khurban. Khosrim leyamenu, nidmeli sh the bidjukma shankumfasfesim kan ima e brita strategi tazot imanasi tramp. Umnam meodne na mikol kwahadam, mema khela vira, me ule shelanushanachnu me viim itanu el tha maracha, vunea, mea mudina, ashir, na tum sapkimlo. Aval, meprina geopolitit, m'prina hishuva strategy, I interesa yudia israeli, ne elam mea mixbah. Blike share of da ay ma interessa u kiumi oru kiumi. Are tramp, siet, colho, kolasman, kolasmanim kuatav, kol davar shavsha, davarhadulo isgir Beshum shalav la nitoya val loritavakase, gireta, midash la hevrai Israelite ba aftatsot, a mihira israhishkulano shalem kolat kufazot, girze, with my taesh letovata marchashelano, you dim factor, gorem, a meat, andut, we're not a tramp, yavo, yazo, letramp, leash shelh, and the, zero tole, umeric, la interesse, Israeli, Bidjuke, it gay suit, automatic, Britannia, Negat Germania, Logaram la em, bitom legalot inyan, weudim, Livroak, Ma Dab Europa, El Israel. Otto mangenon biduk, neut, Vizardi, Mipnat Vari Maele, Gvarbayomashini Shelmarcha. Shham, Butam, Yamim Shekadmule Purim, Dibarty al Khakh, Khachamim, Umrim, Sh Lomrim Halel, Bepurim, Megal Share, Besofoshel Davar, Anachno, Besoff Megillah Adin, Avadim, Shel Achashvaros. Be Azaia Khadash and Trump, We Khashav Sheshkan, Gurem, Geopoliti, Israel, Shef Charla Sotito, Asakim, Midinim, Politim, Fsharitolinael, Tohnit Grandiosichel, Hagirat, Hazatim, Achutza, Elashemer Meodurash, Lotama Yudim, Lotama Israelim, En Kolka Musagma La Sotkan, Ellaim Shefot Atzmaiot, Veretzunyot, Legebe, Erzwat Aza, Enlaim Chzon, Legebe Atidaretsa, Velchenkashemod La Voditan, We Mashekara, Shemaer Meod Tohnit Agira, Nigbera, Neelma, Vu Izmin, Litohare Sua, Linula Retwa, Malegor Mim Kololam, Koloram Vishto, Shemken E Yeshuyot Politiot Midinotim Retzunot, Veshot Michelem, Kesh Em Inalu, et Injane Aritua. Avalo Israel se Kamo Khazaliot Shkufa. Lobauma Icrem of Sakataesh Mkolasihotele, Lobawima, Malachzei Kros, Achena Mil Hamatit Khadesh, Avalari Khabaru, Shabgiato da Atita strategy ta' zotemadax el Israel Beneolam, Gvarkarta. Mipina geopolitit, gvarlo nimset, almapat interesse m'ben neumim, xel amatzamot ashonot. Pitaron ukamuvan, la tzmirkan, hnaga, shemivina vemafnimata nikudazot. Hanaga shelum med historia, shemivina shemashia anachon ba avar, shelanu, unakon bawe vinachon yegam batid. Vershala varishon khach, u kodem kol ashinui at todati bano, melchani masetona Zayam speak hashuv, Avukem, Nimefakesh mikem lehadedoto, ulechatefoto, bekirev, kol mi sha sui vehul lehavin ulefnim, tani kuda akretazot. Kizebbaroshu barishona talui banu. Todaraba.