Dynasty Compass
Dynasty Compass is your guide to building a fantasy football team that lasts. Hosted by Jeff Blaylock—fantasy analyst, Footballguys contributor, and dynasty strategist—this show helps you find direction in a noisy fantasy football world.
Each episode delivers short, actionable advice for dynasty managers: trade strategy, rookie draft tactics, roster-building frameworks, and more. Whether you’re contending now or rebuilding for the future, Dynasty Compass helps you orient your team toward long-term success.
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Dynasty Compass
Free Agency Fallout: Buy/Sell/Hold with Alan Seslowsky
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Jeff Blaylock and RotoWire's Alan Seslowsky return for Part II of their conversation, working through every significant free agency mover and what it means for your dynasty roster before the NFL Draft arrives. Knowing which players to buy now, which to hold, and which to trade away before the market catches up is the difference between a dynasty offseason well-spent and one you'll regret. They close with a look at which veteran players are about to get kneecapped by the incoming rookie class — and how both hosts are planning to use their picks in the degenerate four-quarterback league they share.
Topics Include
- Travis Etienne's move to New Orleans and what it means for Bhayshul Tuten in Jacksonville
- Rico Dowdle in Pittsburgh: real dynasty asset or glorified trade chip?
- The Panthers backfield: Chuba Hubbard, Jonathan Brooks, and Trevor Etienne
- A.J. Brown as the run-into-the-burning-building buy of the offseason
- Mike Evans to San Francisco: the easiest veteran buy of the window
- D.J. Moore to Buffalo, Wan'Dale Robinson to Tennessee, and what they leave behind
- Isaiah Likely, Chig Okonkwo, and the tight end middle class
- Tyreek Hill, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and Jauan Jennings — buy while unsigned
- Which veterans are primed to get kneecapped by Jeremiah Love's landing spot
- How Jeff and Alan are approaching their rookie draft picks in their shared league
Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 — Intro
00:50 — Travis Etienne & Jaguars Impacts
04:23 — Rico Dowdle in Pittsburgh
08:19 — The Panthers Backfield: Hubbard, Brooks & Trevor Etienne
12:35 — Courtland Sutton & De'Von Achane: Hold or Move?
14:51 — The Seattle Backfield Without Kenneth Walker
18:08 — Time to Buy A.J. Brown or Jaylen Waddle?
22:13 — Mike Evans to San Francisco: Easy Buy
25:35 — DJ Moore to Buffalo & Wan'Dale Robinson to Tennessee
32:08 — Isaiah Likely, Mark Andrews & David Njoku
35:30 — Chig Okonkwo: Sneaky Winner of Free Agency
38:29 — Aiyuk, Hill, Deebo & Jauan Jennings: Buy the Unsigned
41:58 — Who Gets Kneecapped by the Rookie Draft?
45:31 — What We're Doing with Our Picks
Links Mentioned on the Show
Episode 29 (Part 1 of this conversation with Alan)
Follow Alan Seslowsky on X:
RotoWire
SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio
Catch The Dynasty Hour, hosted by Alan Seslowsky, on SiriusXM Channel 87, Tues/Wed/Fri 1:00 PM ET
Jeff's Dynasty Rankings
Follow Jeff on Twitter/X
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Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.
Jeff: Free agency is winding down. The NFL Draft is almost here, and if you're a dynasty manager, these next few weeks might be the most important trade window of the year. If you're willing to take some chances and run into the burning building. On this episode, I'm continuing my conversation with Alan Seslowsky of RotoWire and SiriusXM. We're taking a deep dive on the biggest free agency movers, the impacts those moves are gonna have on their old and their new teams, and what the rookie draft is about to do to your roster. That's next on Dynasty Compass.
[Theme music]
Jeff: So let's, uh, let's, uh, sort of scoot back over to some, some players here, um, then buy, hold, sell kind of model, and then what we think about where, where they either came from, where they're going. Travis Etienne is kind of the next guy we have, and then, and then what are you doing with the Jaguars that he left behind?
Alan: I mean, Etienne is in the D'Andre Swift spot from last year, right? Like, he's the guy with the clear opportunity. Alvin Kamara will certainly, you know, uh, and, and in New Orleans have his share of whatever touches or remain. I mean, he's, he's not dead, right? He wants to retire in New Orleans. So I don't think they're gonna trade or cut him unless he starts to become, you know, uh, uncomfortable with being the backup. But as long as he understands, uh, what his, his, uh, adjusted role is in here. I mean, Travis Etienne is a fine pick, right? Like, these guys are year to year. So what, uh, I, I mean. Again, these 25 to 27-year-old running backs in that range, 24 to 27, this is the peak for them, right? You, if somebody is down on Travis Etienne and I, I think the landing spot's good, right?
Like New Orleans plays regular football, how we just described playing dynasty football, always going for it. These guys will, you know, they're, they're never gonna like tank for, you know, Arch Manning. They're always like trading first round, extra first round picks when they're a bottom third team to go get Chris Olave in those drafts.
So I, I'm very bullish on Etienne. If you treat him for what he is, he's like, you know, a a starting running back that you never have to, you could just put him in your lineup every week. And what that leaves behind is, I mean, there's a lot of reasons to be optimistic about Bhayshul Tuten. Right. I mean, I understand that Chris Rodriguez was signed there for significant money and that, you know, but you need a second guy, right?
Like, isn't that exactly the guy who you want to be the second guy if you're bullish on someone like Bhayshul Tuten in, in Jacksonville. Now I was talking to someone that is pretty close with the team, and of course you never know what information is correct. But the way I took it was they drafted Bhayshul Tuten last year, the Jaguars regime to be the guy they were not expecting Travis Etienne to step up and have a big season.
So that is still the case. And if you look at like some of the under the hood metrics, stats with Tuten that the yards per carry stuff like, it's, it's a little, you know, uninspiring. It's because though, I mean he got a lot of enclosed stuff, a lot of, uh, goal line stuff right there. So, yeah, I mean Tuten, I, I saw Tuten traded for Pierce to bring it back to some of the players we were talking about earlier, Jeff.
So. Uh, I don't know what side of that is the right side. I mean, Tuten, I, I'm bullish on him as well. I think he's probably a really good fifth round pick in redraft in Dynasty. Probably hard to get him right now, right? I mean, you got him at the 2.03, 2.05, 2.07 last year. Um, so, uh, I like this. It's also like a stock split.
Uh, Travis Etienne goes to a spot where he's the new 1A in a shared backfield. And Tuten has every opportunity right now to become the 1A in his backfield. So if you had both of those guys, I, I, I think you're in a good spot.
Jeff: Yeah, I, I agree. And, and Etienne was certainly one of those guys that last year I was higher on than most because I still saw that the talent was there. And, and Tuten was, uh, kind of, I thought the 1B sort of situation. And even though a lot of folks, and, and, and even the guy you would talked to you about who had the insider knowledge said he was drafted to be the 1A or the, or the one period. It just didn't quite seem to work out last year. But now that opportunity's there and Etienne's still a really solid back and, and you said he's in an offense where I think he's gonna do quite well, but now let's move to an offense where somebody's not gonna necessarily do quite well.
There's Rico Dowdle who is now a Steeler, and how do we feel about that and the rest of the Steelers and then the Panthers, he left behind?
Alan: So you don't like Dowdle, huh?
Jeff: Not really.
Alan: Well, let's go into that because I have a little bit more optimism about Dowdle. I want to hear, uh, your reason first. 'cause again, I love the way you talk about dynasty football. When you and I had a drink together in Canton, Ohio, I mean, yeah, we, we exchanged pleasantries where you're from there, but immediately like, I don't know.
That's why I like your show, Jeff, is 'cause the way you think about these players is a little different than I do and uh, I'm always open to the other side. By the way, did I get much more handsome? I put my HD camera on.
Jeff: Oh, yeah. Yeah. I mean, it's, it is, it is stunning. You know, I hope,
I hope everyone is watching this on YouTube. If you are listening on Apple Podcast, uh, go to YouTube, and, and you will see exactly how luminously handsome my guest is. He is–
Alan: My, my Sony camera overheated. There's a setting that you could change to make this doesn't happen. I probably have to readjust that. But anyway, you know, let me hear your Dowdle stuff. Why, uh, why you don't think it's gonna go well?
Jeff: I just, I'm not a fan of that offense at all. Now I realize that, you know, uh, Arthur Smith is not there anymore, so we may be done seeing the fifth tight end catching touchdown passes. Uh, but this, this offense for Pittsburgh just doesn't seem to have the pieces in place to really go much of anywhere.
They don't really have a quarterback at the moment, and I'm not sure if there's a Plan B really, if it is not Aaron Rodgers, at least a plan B, that dynasty managers can feel comfortable about with that offense. Now, I was a little down on Dowdle in some of his other, uh, roles and situations. I thought that that, and I still think that that couple of weeks stretch he had where he was absolutely bonkers, had a lot more to do with the defenses that he was playing in the game that unfolded than it did his, necessarily his talent or what we could expect otherwise.
And I'm not saying he's on it. I not, I'm not saying he's an untalented player. He is very talented. Don't get me wrong there. But I, I think that we tend to look at him. As the highlight reels more than we do the rest of it. And then looking at this offense, unless there is something revolutionary that's gonna happen, I just see them continuing to kind of grind out 16 to 19 points. And if Dowdle's the one who lands in the end zone, great. But Darnell Washington may be the guy that lands in the end zone, in which case, you know, Dowdle just gives you that two yard carry at first in goal from the three, and then doesn't see the ball again.
Alan: Yeah, I, I think that we're in a similar spot for our outlook, but our expectations are probably a little bit different. Like I was expecting Dowdle, if he's on my roster, like he was basically dead for Dynasty after, you know, the Panthers let him go. He wasn't tradable, you couldn't even use him as a throw in.
You get no credit for him in trades and now he's actually an asset that if you make a trade, I'm not saying like you're gonna trade for or trade Dowdle away, but you'll get credit for him in the trade. So just the fact that he's the starting running back on an NFL team, and I think we could safely project 12 touches a week for him and then that would be like.
Okay. It's probably more, right? So I think that those are a currency, right? Just like draft capital is, is currency. So, uh, I, I'm optimistic on, on Dowdle in a sense where he has running back touches in his pocket. And as we know that in these leagues that running backs, you know, you're never gonna be able to buy, uh, De’Von Achane in season unless you're giving up a major asset.
But someone like Dowdle who does, he's basically a year to year proposition. I don't care what the contract says, uh, on a team that look, I mean, at any given week, he can have 60 yards in a touchdown. I think that's worth something. So I was more saying that I'm optimistic that from where he was before, free agency to now, but I think that your actual player take on this is probably sobering and realistic.
Jeff: Yeah, but there's also nothing wrong with a, with a running back that gets you 10 to 12 fantasy points a game. As long as he is not your top running back. If he's your RB2 or your RB3, or your flex guy, Dowdle's a solid one for that if he's who you're relying on to carry your running back room. Okay. Be prepared for a rocky season.
Alan: Yeah. Yeah. And then you know, I know that you know in your, so if do Dowdle gone. Then we're over to the Panthers. Right? You, that's the natural thing. Like these things like with one goes up, one must go down, and the other way that opens things up over there. So now Chuba Hubbard is back from the dead, right?
Because he was, he went from being like a coveted fantasy asset and redraft last year to now the 1B. And then he had some other pop-up games. Looks like he's back in the, in the driver's seat to lead a committee. Who knows what Jonathan Brooks, the, the, the, the good looking player from a couple years ago who's just had injury after injury.
And then, you know, they also have, you know, Trevor Etienne who they drafted late there, who's on the roster. Again, I, I have to make some decisions on some of these shorter bench leagues if I'm gonna keep him. So what are you doing with the Panthers backfield, Jeff? Because that's an actual problem. I, you know, my Dowdle teams are fine.
I know I'm gonna be able to start Rico Dowdle. The upside is limited, but it's the Panthers stuff that has my dynasty rosters in chaos right now.
Jeff: Uh, mine, not so much. 'cause I've, I've been avoiding that, that offense for the last couple of years. By and large, it just has not been terribly productive. But in these sort of deeper leagues, I think you, you do need to pay attention to them. And you think you're spot on with folks like Hubbard and Trevor Etienne.
These are some cheap pickups right now because I don't think anyone's expectations for this is very high, but somebody has to put up numbers there. And again, if you're looking for an RB2, RB3 kind of, kind of position on your lineup. There's always something to be said about bad offenses. They still put up some numbers.
They're not gonna win you leagues necessarily, but they're also gonna be much more solid flex plays than some random fourth receiver somewhere else. And so, you know, to me that's an offense to invest in. It is, I think, potentially ascending. We will see Cam Ward starting to, not Cam Ward, um, Bryce Young starting to play, uh, a little more like we were hoping he would when he came outta school.
Cam Ward is as well, but that's in a different crummy offense. We can talk about them here in a little bit. Um, so yeah, I mean, Carolina, I think's a team to target. I just don't know that I would send a whole lot for it, but I also don't know that Dynasty managers would be looking for a lot to get out of a Chuba Hubbard or a Trevor Etienne.
Alan: Yeah, it feels like an on the clock pick, right? Like if you're on the clock and somebody for some reason likes the 2.04 whatever player's there and you're like, you know what? Let me trade it away. The guy's got Chuba Hubbard on his roster. He is a starting running back this year. So those are the type of OTC trades that you see all the time.
Jeff: Yeah. Would you, uh, would you make that trade if you know the, one of these running backs in the current class, like Omarion Hampton was on the, on the board at that point, would you take the younger player or would you go for Hubbard with that? Pick that
Alan: I mean, I expect someone like Hampton to go in the first round of a lot of rookie drafts. But let's just say hypothetically, that's the situation we're at. And Hampton right now is like say on, you know, just on the Jets, right? Let's say the Jets take 'em because they're anticipating they won't be able to hold Breece Hall next year and they still have Braelon Allen. And Chuba Hubbard, like, you know, in my mindset I'm taking Chuba Hubbard, right?
Because Chuba Hubbard is gonna produce right now for my fantasy team. Now again, I know you say rebuild versus that, but things change quickly, right? So I, I probably would take Hubbard in that specific situation, but again, Hampton probably ends up going a little bit earlier. But yeah, no, that's a great hypothetical.
'cause I could say that now. But let's see what happens when I'm on the clock, if I actually make that trade.
Jeff: And, and even if you're a rebuild, I mean, this is a piece you could trade later if you needed to. Uh, just looking downstream a little bit, if you are rebuilding, you have this sort of random pick that you, you don't feel great about who's on the board, but perhaps somebody else does. You trade for someone like a Chuba Hubbard, if it's not working Chuba Hubbard is doing fine, but the rest of your team's not working out very well, then you can always move him later, uh, for something down the road.
But if you're, if you're drafting and you pick a guy who's gonna be two or three years removed from a starter's job, which means he's probably never going to get it, someone else will come along who, who's a shinier object than that one. Uh, then, you know, I'd go for some production now. 'cause at the very least you could trade production.
Now, trading production later is a lot harder to do unless you're a contender.
Alan: Well said.
Jeff: I said, um, so we talked about Waddle, uh, Jaylen Waddle going to Denver. One player we did not talk about, although you mentioned his name earlier, is Courtland Sutton. What, what are we doing with Sutton? With Waddle now, uh, showing up in Denver.
Alan: Yeah, there's nothing you could do. Nobody wants him right now. This is the worst time to trade. Courtland Sutton, right? He's in the news where the oth where the, they just got a better, uh, you know, where they got a, a perceived upgraded player. So there's nothing you could do. Courtland Sutton, he is what he is.
He's on your roster. If somebody, you know, I mean, I can't imagine anyone with wanting to give, like, if someone's like, oh, I'll give you a third round rookie pick for him. Like, just keep him, right? Like he's, if he's a player that you could put in, in your lineup, in your second flex spot, if, uh, if, if he's a player that like when you have injuries that you could start him, um, the buy price and the sell price don't match up.
You know? So, I mean, what else is there really to do? Right? No one, one, a player like Sutton, he fits into that vast middle. And you know, I mean, there's no, you need to find a buyer that's gonna have the buy pledge. I mean, are you getting rid of Courtland Sutton for the 3.01? No. Right. I mean, yeah, exactly.
These are guys that still have a chance for top 24 production in 2026.
Jeff: Yep. Yeah, I mean, he's still a solid receiver. He is still, if, if Nix again is, uh, is near the top of the league in pass attempts, they're not all going to Waddle and they're not all going to, uh, to Franklin either. And they're not all going to the tied ends. They're going, there's gonna be stuff available for someone like Courtland Sutton, and he's gonna be able to deliver when he, when he gets that opportunity.
We also, uh, we also mentioned Achane briefly. He is not someone you're gonna be able to, to, to trade for probably, but what, what would you be willing to part with him for watching that offense in Miami? That whole team just seemed to kind of disintegrate in front of our eyes.
Alan: Oh, I made the worst Achane trade ever last off season. Now think about where we were when I tell you this. Achane trade, okay? I traded away pre-trade for George Pickens, right? So he was still on the Steelers, so I traded away Pickens and Achane for Justin Jefferson, right? Turned out to be a disaster, but think about where we were.
Pickens ended up being a top 12 receiver. Nobody wanted him When he was on the Steelers and Achane, they were talking about how he had a calf injury again. I was like, oh. And I get, I get WR1 or WR2 in Dynasty for that. Oh man. Did that really, I mean, no one in that league lets me forget about that trade.
So. Yeah, I mean, De’Von Achane, his value's gone down since the team has sort of gutted itself. It would be interesting if like a team like Seattle, Jeff right, does see, can Seattle, um, you know, trade, would they trade, you know, I had this discussion with some of our guys at RotoWire. Why would Seattle trade Pick 32 for De’Von Achane, right?
Like, you need 'em now, right? Yeah. Is that an overpay? Do you want to pay, you gonna have to pay him next year? Uh, but just do it like you're in this like short window where you can actually win Super Bowls and where would we put De’Von Achane if he was on Seattle? The starting running back on Seattle? I mean, he is so, um, right now, I mean, you can get in on him because he's had a perceived downgrade.
He's no longer like RB4 or RB5. Yeah. I've seen him fall down to below Kenneth Walker. Right. Like, you know, just because of that perceived. But he is a good player. Uh, a little bit undersized, but he is a gamebreaker. So yeah, I think the window's open, but when it's not buy low, it's buy at a fair price.
Jeff: Yeah. I actually still have him at RB4. I, I still see the talent there, even in that, even in that offense. And we said we don't know what's gonna happen in Miami. He's certainly the sort of guy I think that can land somewhere else if Miami sees that as an opportunity to really stockpile some, some draft capital or some other assets.
And, and speaking of Seattle, when we talked about Walker, we didn't go back around to Seattle. We got Emanuel Wilson going there. We've got an injured Zach Charbonnet and we've got the generational talent, George Holani. What are, what are we doing with that backfield other than waiting for Achane to show up?
Alan: That Seattle backfield right now is, uh, it's, it's ugly as far as like name brand players, but, you know, we've seen guys like George Holani pop a little bit and, you know, could be interesting in the next year. And, you know, Emanuel Wilson who had some really good games in Green Bay, I mean, he's gonna be a September hero in redraft, right?
Like, he'll be available in the seventh through 12th round depending on, you know, how the off season goes in redraft. And if you have him on your roster, I mean, that's a, a running back you could play right away until you figure out the other positions right there. So, anything short of a trade, which again, I really hope Seattle trades for Achane.
I thought, I think that would be a cool thing to do. You know, again, you, you don't have to win every trade as far as value as you're give. You know, when I was talking to, again, some of our guys, they think that was like an insane proposition that I before, no one's gonna pay a first round pick for Achane.
I mean, why not? So yeah, those other guys, I mean, they're probably start in, in the deepest of, uh, degenerate dynasty leagues. But I mean, you know, it, it's almost like a lock if they don't trade for someone that they'll probably grab, you know, one of those running backs at pick 64. Is that a fair assessment?
Jeff: Yeah, I think that that'd be about right. Yeah. I would be, I would, I have a feeling there'll be a fair number of them available at that point in the NFL Draft, I, I get a sense that the, the NFL is, is, is not gonna move on most of these backs until round three. So if you're the end of round two, you're practically round three. You could be the first, you have your choice of everybody not named Jeremiyah. Love is, is, my guess is what will happen at at pick 62.
Alan: Or Seattle, you know, a lot of teams want to get back into that first round, to take like a quarterback, a pick 32, they could trade back 10, 15, 20 spots and take a, you know, have, get some extra picks with that. And then take, you know, whoever their RB2 is somewhere in the middle of the second round.
Jeff: Yeah, it's, uh, also something important to remember is that just, just because the players on the board are where they are now and doing the roles they are now, doesn't mean that they still will be doing that on May 1st.
Uh, when we, when we get through the draft, uh, let's, let's talk about a, a guy who's, who is, is in limbo, but still with a team.
That's A.J. Brown, he's in Philadelphia. The insistent rumors that he's being traded doesn't seem to be traded. We'll probably get to the point where we decide he is not being traded and then wake up one morning and he is been traded. Um, is now a time to act on him. Do you, do you wanna buy him? Do you wanna sell him?
Do you, or, or do you wanna wait and see?
Alan: This is the run into the burning building player of our, of this year, right? Like nobody wants A.J. Brown, he can't even get traded. He's perceived as like a, as a problem player. But we also know that he's a, you know, probably a top 20 fantasy wide receiver in 2026. Certainly has a couple, you know, a few good years left.
Uh, there's been some rumors about degenerative knee issues. Um, but yeah, no, this is exactly the player that I think that if you're sitting at the end of your rookie draft and you don't wanna make one of those picks at 1.08 through 1.12, like I would offer that pick for A.J. Brown. I was at an overpay.
Sure. But man, if, if you, there's teams, Jeff, where I've just been struggling to find anyone that I could start confidently every week in that WR3 spot. This is the perfect player to buy for those picks that, you know, if you don't really wanna make it OTC.
Jeff: Yeah, I, it's a great point there, Alan, that you know, we often look at someone like A.J. Brown as, as being the guy you'd have as your WR1 or maybe your WR2. And he's, he, he's, he's a, he's a gamble at those. But man, as a WR3 on your team, who could be the one or two several weeks, uh, I, I think that that would be, you know, an outstanding kind of pickup.
He's got the talent wherever he lands. Unless he lands, even if he lands on the crummiest offense imaginable, he's still going to be able to put up some numbers. And if you value him in your mind appropriately and expect what you want, expect a more realistic kind of middle of the bell curve kind of season from him, and he gives you something better than that outstanding.
If you expect something better than that and it gives you something in the middle, you're gonna be very disappointed in, in any move you, you make for him, or whether you've kept him or not. So I think expectations need to shift a little bit with some of these kind of veteran players. But I'm with you. I mean, this is a, if you've got a skittish manager with A.J. Brown is looking to offload him, try to get him, I think he's, he's definitely worth that pickup.
Alan: A quick answer. Jaylen Waddle or A.J. Brown in Dynasty.
Jeff: I would go with Waddle. I think
Alan: Is that an age take or is that a, I mean, what is that?
Jeff: uh, no. Well, sort of, I mean, that, that certainly played into it. I mean, watch my little wheels turning. There might have been
Alan: Yeah, I saw smoke coming outta
Jeff: I was thinking about that. There. There's that. Uh, I think that, you know, we've got the, uh, an ascendant offense in Denver. We know where Waddle is. We know the role he is been brought in to do, um, Brown. There's a little bit more uncertainty there and, and there's a little, a little bit of head case stuff with A.J. Brown that's concerning. Uh, you know, he is not certainly on a, on a knucklehead level, uh, like a Rashee Rice kind of person.
Hope he never gets anywhere near that. But there, there's still that little, that, that little concern I have that if things aren't going right, Brown may not be giving you the a hundred percent that you're looking for, uh, in, in that situation. And I worry about that.
Alan: In the Stefon Diggs than he is A.J. than he is, uh, Antonio Brown is what you're saying.
Jeff: exactly.Yeah. Capable of super stardom and a huge week anytime. And also capable of just walking off the field one
Alan: or Diva Scale. Or Diva
Jeff: Diva Scale. Exactly. That's a great way of looking at it. Not a knucklehead, [but] Diva Scale. There's definitely a, uh, there's a little bit there and so that, that, that is a slight tip toward Waddle.
I'm happy with either of them. Waddle though, to me is more of who I would want if I were looking for that WR2 kind of role. I'd prefer Waddle to Brown. If it's WR3, I'd probably rather pay for, pay what I need to pay for Brown than pay what I would need to pay for. Waddle to get that.
Depends on what I need him for.
Alan: I’ll co-sign on all those.
Jeff: Okay. Very good. How about, uh, we talked a little bit about Mike Evans earlier, another kind of one of these, uh, aging veteran pieces, but who, uh, was rolling along on 1,000-yard seasons on a pretty good offense till the last season the injury came along. He is back on a pretty good offense, quite possibly gonna be a lead receiver and a, in a team that's been been struggling for that.
How are we feeling about buying him in Dynasty? And then how about the other Niners and Buccaneers that are affected by this move?
Alan: Yeah, this one's pretty easy. I, I think that I'm treating Mike Evans very similarly to how I treated Davante Adams last year. Right? I'm buying him as a one year mercenary producer, and if I get an extra year out of him, great. If things don't go my way, and he's producing how he always has. Mike Evans hasn't looked like he's slowed down to me.
Sure. The injury, you know, dings have happened here and there. You already know, but you know what you're buying. Um. You can get out. So it's like one of those guys where I'm very comfortable paying, you know, 1.08, 1.09, 1.10, 1.11, 1.12, for. And I'm totally okay taking a late second for him if my team doesn't go out.
I think that's like the easiest thing to do. I mean, it's, he's an easy buy 'cause he produces and he's old and he is perceived as a one year bet, even though it'll probably be two years. Um, as far as the residual Niner stuff, I mean with, with, uh, with, with, what's it called, um, Ricky Pearsall. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, this probably helps him, right?
He's not, doesn't have to be forced into that alpha role, uh, where he could still get some downfield stuff. Maybe he could be like their Alec Pierce from the last couple years ago. So we probably overvalued Pearsall a little bit last year in Redraft, right? We saw what he was, we saw the upside in the early games and then obviously injuries took most of a season away.
So I, I like this, like this is the debate we always have in fantasy football. Is adding the other wide receiver good for the other guy? 'cause it loosens him up? Or is it bad? 'cause it takes away targets. Right? And with Kittle out for, I'm gonna say at least till Thanksgiving, right? So you have the first two months, three months of the season.
Um, I, I think that this is good for all Niners. This is great for Brock Purdy. Right. I mean, this is one of Mike Evans game Perfectly lines up with what Purdy does best. Scrambles a little bit could throw down field. Uh, that's, I mean, that's, that's a win-win everywhere. Um, as far as, uh, like what it does with the Buccaneers, this cleans everything up over there as well.
Bucky Irving started out the year, as you know, probably, I think I saw him go as dynasty WR5 in a lot of rankings as he was crushing based on touchdowns in those first, uh, few weeks. And then we saw him slide right there. I think he was probably hurt a little bit, but man Bucky is probably ba you know, it, it helps his value, his trade value, his, his dynasty startup value.
And then, you know, it cleans the way for Godwin to be one of these older producers, and certainly Jalen McMillan, who we've seen pop in the NFL already. Uh, and then, you know, like I said, it's with Baker Mayfield. If he's healthier this year too, um, it probably, uh, I'm a little more worried about him with these other guys than, you know, Mike Evans was like a sure thing.
But overall, I just think it, like, it's one of those stock splits I used that term earlier where Evans goes here, it helps them, it cleans up the rest of the, uh, the passing tree for the Buccaneers win-win all around for this one.
Jeff: Yep. We talked a little bit about the Bears earlier in our conversation about Luther Burden, but we, one of most that, one of the things that is opening things up for Burden is D.J. Moore going over to Buffalo, changing up the environment over there, giving Josh Allen a, a reliable receiver who's not named Khalil Shakir. I once described last season, their wide receiving room, a as a, a grandfather clock, a toast, or two amusement park turnstiles and Khalil Shakir. So that is an improvement over there. But how are we feeling about Moore in Buffalo? And how, and we've talked about the Chicago Bears to go back over them, but what are we doing with Shakir? And I don't know that we would be doing anything with the other receivers in Buffalo, but if you are, uh, what would that be?
Alan: I mean, this is the best you could have hoped for if you had DJ Moore on your dynasty roster, right? I mean it, you're not like pumped that D.J. Moore is pro. I mean, there was a time where he was a perennial top 12 option going in the third and sometimes second round of redraft. But look, the one thing that the Buffalo Bills were often critiqued for, rightfully so, was they didn't bring in a alpha wide receiver that Josh Allen could rely on.
Since Stefon Diggs has been gone, and it's not like they haven't tried, they brought in Dalton Kincaid, who was the best pass catcher on the board when they drafted, right? There was no wide receivers. They thought were better and they brought in Amari Cooper who was having a couple good games, uh, before he was brought in.
So they thought they could, you know, Moneyball it last year didn't work out so. You know, like j like I just said in Dynasty, like, Hey, if you're buying Mike Evans in Dynasty, if you're buying these older, wide receivers in Dynasty, that's kind of what the Buffalo Bills did. Okay. DJ Moore's in his super late peak, he's available.
We're gonna have to overpay a little bit, but we finally give Josh Allen another weapon. So, yeah, I mean, you know, DJ Moore has gotta be what, a top 35 wide receiver in the dynasty rankings. And I'm assuming that, and, you know, he'll probably be, end up being a good bargain if, uh, he does have some built in chemistry with Josh Allen.
So, uh, bullish, but I don't know of anyone that, it's funny, like a lot of times I would Waddle, I'm seeing him traded now. I haven't seen anyone really trade for DJ Moore, right? It's like, eh, people, they, they, they still have that stink on him and they're not certain that he's good anymore.
Jeff: Yeah, I mean he was not the best fit for the, uh, offense there in Chicago. And, and you know, I dunno if it's still the sort that diva factor kind of situation going, but there's some body language that he had last season that was a bit concerning. Um, but you know. He wasn't with Josh Allen either last season.
So to me he's, he's worth that gamble. Um, another guy who really, uh, well not necessarily another guy, but a guy who really said that kind of came outta nowhere last season was Wan'Dale Robinson as part of that offense, uh, in New York. Now he is at Tennessee, which I don't think we would say is anywhere near as good or interesting an offense as New York. Um, but what do we think about Robinson and what do we think about the Giants and the other Titans?
Alan: Yeah, I mean, Wan'Dale was like, what, like a top 12, 15-ish wide receiver last year. He's back with, um, Brian Daboll. Um, you talked about, you know, offensive, you know, let's, let's look at the offensive coordinators. Let's look at the systems. Let's look at the coaches. This is the one that pairs up the most. Cam Ward was coming on last year.
Uh, this certainly is a slight downgrade in, in value for, uh, Wan'Dale Robinson. But man with Calvin Ridley kind of looking washed up here, man, I, I'm in on Wan'Dale Robinson. I think he's gonna be a good pick. 'cause he's not gonna cost, um, I mean, I, I'm assuming in redraft he's somewhere between a seventh and 10th round pick.
And in Dynasty, I mean, he's a player that is acquirable, right? Like I have him in that league that we're talking. I'm thrilled to have him, is like, throw him in there. I'll take with the good, with the bad. He's a good player. He was a second round draft capital player. You know, Wan'Dale Robinson, there's a reason to be bullish, but he's, again, he doesn't have that name appeal and the Tennessee Titans aren't viewed as a situation that's like a, a clear upgrade.
I think it's a neutral move for Wan'Dale, but isn't that good? Like Wan'Dale, like I said, would just, was a highly ranked PPR receiver last year.
Jeff: Yeah. I'm with you. I don't see it as a clear upgrade, but it's not a, not the vast downgrade either, and you make the the great point. Uh, that you've got the same, basically the, the coaching staff who had him before and made him the star now has him again, uh, with a quarterback that has got some similar tendencies and is similarly ascending. And there's really not a lot of competition for those targets. I mean, Dike and Ayomanor are fine, but they're never meant to be the WR1s of, of any NFL team, I don't believe. And now they're kind of in more appropriate roles, I think for them. With Robinson being, you know, more of the alpha. And I agree with you that Ridley is, is, is washed.
Alan: Yeah. And maybe they'll take a wide receiver at pick, what do they have? Four or five? Something like that. Yeah, four, right? Yeah. So maybe they'll take a receiver and you'll have a, a high, you know, a high upside rookie there. But I don't think that really affects what Wan'Dale does unless they took Makai Lemon at four, which it doesn't seem like that's what any of the professional mockers have.
Um, you know, you're gonna have someone that compliments him rather than takes away from him.
Jeff: Yep. Yeah, I almost think if Tennessee's gonna go receiver in first round, that they could probably trade down a bit, still get the same guy and pick up some extra draft capital. Somebody who might be in love with somebody else, uh, including, you know, Jeremiyah Love, who could go conceivably that …
Alan: You buying into that, the, the Tennessee and the Giants both want Love?
Jeff: Uh, I'm buying certainly that, uh, I'm buying the Giants want him. Uh, I don't know that they would, they're gonna spend what they need to spend to get that because of the other needs that they have. Uh, and for Tennessee, it's kinda like, well, how, how electric do you think he's gonna be? Certainly, you know, the, the backs they've got there aren't terribly exciting. It's hard to know exactly what Tennessee's overall plan is, and it may be just kind of what happens. What they see when they get on the clock. I think it's gonna have to have to play into that for Tennessee, uh, as to whether they wanna take a shot at Love or, or address some other other concerns. Uh, that's what the draft makes it so much fun though, right?
All these mock drafts are wrong because there's going to be trades we don't see and there's going to be zigs when we expect zags and there's going to be teams that are really, really good at hiding what they're really trying to accomplish. Uh, that surprises us on draft night's, what we love about it. I think it's one that's one me one of the most exciting nights of the year.
It's not, not even so much where everyone goes, it's just how they get to where they go. It's always fun to me.
Alan: Yep. It seems like the Jets are gonna be in a poll position to trade if both there's a, if Tennessee and the Giants both want Jeremiyah Love, who's, who wants 'em. Right? Who wants 'em come?
Jeff: Yep. Uh, shift over to tight ends real quickly. Uh, Isaiah Likely, uh, has now moved on, uh, to New York, and that leaves Mark Andrews, uh, in the wake there in Baltimore, and then this sort of unknown in David Njoku, who's also been tied in the rumor mill to Baltimore. What are we doing on tight end with any of these guys?
Alan: Yeah, Likely is a little bit, seems he's aggressively ranked in the dynasty rankings anywhere from TE9 to TE11. But what do we know? You're never gonna be able to get that actual price in a dynasty trade because outside of the top three, four, maybe five or six tight ends, if you're lucky, uh, all these guys are basically, you know, whoever scores the, the 10 touchdown year is gonna be TE6, right?
Like whoever's ranked is, if Hunter Henry has the, the 11 touchdown season, he's gonna be TE7 this year. So, uh, even though I don't, I wouldn't pay attention too much to the rankings if you're, if you're a follow the money player, I generally am, but Isaiah Likely, I mean, it, there's, there's gonna be mass competition.
They resigned. A lot of those players that just kind of get in the way for fantasy. The Darius, Darius Slaytons, Isaiah Hodgins types, so. I mean, on the Isaiah, Likely is a screaming sell. But I mean, I don't know anyone that's gonna give you anything close to what the value are in the rankings. I mean, and it's, and he is not worth selling, in my opinion, for like these, you know, the 2.09.
Because what if he does pop? He is athletic. They did pay him, they did bring him in proactively. So he's a hold until he does something. And I mean, last year I saw Oronde Gadsden on the Chargers get traded for first round picks. After a couple big games. There was some optimism. Not saying that's gonna happen unless anything outside of a, like a super premium league where you start two tight ends.
But Isaiah Likely is a hold until something happens because you're never gonna realize the value of where he is ranked.
Jeff: Yeah, I think you make a big point about two tight end leagues, because to me, you know, when I look past, I'm looking down my, my dynasty rankings when I get past, you know, I've got Gadsden at TE8, Kincaid at TE9, I've got Kyle Pitts at TE10, and then I could arguably put any of the next 15 in any order and, and be able to defend that because they're all kinda lumped into this touchdown dependent, role dependent.
What are we gonna see? Kind of a situation. What concerns me about, Likely, and I do have him fairly high, I have him at TE12, is that Baltimore could have kept him. And could have made the, the, the put the deal in place to keep him and instead did not do that. And that suggests something to me that there, there's a, there may be a ceiling that we haven't seen that perhaps they have or maybe they just thought Likely it was gonna fetch too much money and wanna spend it on him when they get Andrews for a little cheaper than that.
But Likely to me had that multi-year arc that Andrews probably doesn't have in Baltimore passed on it anyway. Uh, does that, does that bother you at all? Or is it just me thinking, thinking, too much about the situation?
Alan: It sounds like Harbaugh knew he was gonna be out. Right? And he said, look, if they're not gonna give you the deal, just I'll give it to you wherever I go. You know, I'll bring you with me. Hang, hang loose there. So yeah, he probably didn't wanna sign there, you know, I mean, it, it hasn't happened for him yet, so I, I'm not overly worried about that.
Uh, but it just, outside of a few games, Isaiah Likely hasn't been a, you know, a, a a, a great player or someone that we could start confidently. So I understand his ranking. It's just that you're never gonna realize that price in a, in a trade unless something happens in season.
Jeff: How about someone like a, a Chig Okonkwo who had probably the most badass picture I've seen of anybody this off season there in Japan in his full, you know, Japan, Japanese warlord, uh, kimono and sword in front of the temple. I'm like, man, I should show up to my next draft. Looking like that, that would be really awesome.
Um, how are we, other than that swag, uh, how are we feeling about, uh, Okonkwo now in Washington? What does that do to folks like Ben Sinnott and uh, and Gunnar Helm?
Alan: Rest in peace to those two other guys. Actually, Gunnar Helm's an interesting guy, but you're never in out, you said you play in some best ball leagues. Yeah, that's like a great Gunnar Helm spot, but Chig Okonkwo TE21 in the Consensus Dynasty rankings. I mean, think about some of the players that are above him.
I mean, we've seen, uh, players come to this spot and really flourish the Zach Ertz types would be the latest one. Chig is always a good player that we always liked and the ranking is appropriate. But you know, you're seeing players like Terrence Ferguson, T.J. Hockenson, even AJ Barner ranked above him, Mason Taylor who didn't do anything on the Jets team.
We still don't even know, you know, I mean, I guess Geno Smith is, is the quarterback for this year. We don't know what the long-term future is. So Chig Okonkwo is, uh, is one of those players where like if you have him, like he's startable, right? Like he's inside that, that cut line of start tight ends and he's, I mean, look, he, there's that vast, we talk about it all the time from TE8.
To like TE30. It, it's, you just ha it's whoever scores the touchdown that week and Okonkwo is in a great spot. He's one of the sneaky winners of, of free agency. He's on a good team. Good offense. He's still athletic. And, um, the competition for tight end routes and targets is, you know, I mean, Ben Sinnott, it doesn't look like it's gonna work out.
It could, right? We always see tight ends breakout a little bit later sometimes. So I, I like that. Uh, Okonkwo and I love that you highlighted him here again, if, if he's one of these players that you can include in deal. If you're, if you've been rolling out like Tonges and, or you know, if you have, um, you know Jake Tonges just this year and you're not, or, and George Kittle and you're not tech confident in starting tight ends, Okonkwo is a very good target that you can get in maybe a larger deal.
Jeff: Yeah, I think so. I mean, he, he's, he to me is not someone I would necessarily target as my tight end one if I, but if I'm looking for a tight end two or someone who could fill in. I mean, he's, it, I don't know that I wanna pay a lot for that, but he's also one of those sort of sneaky guys that could very easily be, you know, a tight end six, tight end five fantasy, tight end five kind of guy.
If, if he's scoring those touchdowns, if he's getting those kind of Zach Ertz looks in the end zone, uh, and then doing some of the other stuff that he's capable of. Um, but, you know, uh, as it is with tight end, once you get past the truly elite guys, it's, it's very much crapshoot. And, and so don't overpay for these kinds of players. But I love the, the idea of, of, as part of a larger trade for bigger pieces, seeing if you can get Chig thrown in there because that is a, that's a huge, huge, huge value add.
Alan: Yep. Good call.
Jeff: Uh, last little group of guys, uh, to talk about. These are the folks who haven't landed yet, at least as of this morning. We're recording this on Sunday morning. Um, this is Brandon Aiyuk, Tyreek Hill, Deebo Samuel and Jauan Jennings that are all sort of in limbo. Are these, uh, sneaky, smart ads or are you running away from these guys?
Alan: All good ads. These are exactly again, we've talked about it a couple times. Run into the burning building. Aiyuk. Yes. Tyreek Hill. Yes. Deebo Samuel. Again, you know, it's, uh, depending on your needs and Jauan Jennings, it's uh, he could end up being a good player, but Aiyuk and Hill, I still feel, feel like have top 12 weekly upside, meaning like if they get the chant and the right offense, so easy to see it.
So, um, there's gonna be dynasty managers that just want those guys off their roster. Would you trade Kenny Gainwell for Tyreek Hill? Would you do that?
Jeff: Yes.
Alan: Right? So, and I think that's the type of trade that you can look to make, right? So
Jeff: yeah. Especially Gainwell coming off that big season and then, you know, even if, even if it seems unlikely that Tyreek Hill could land in Kansas City, Tyreek Hill could still land in Kansas City. I mean, there's a history there. There's a relationship with Patrick Mahomes, and there's a team that's desperate to get another Super Bowl in while the window's open and Tyreek Hill is a difference, making kind of a player at least on a several week a year basis.
And that's sometimes all you need.
Alan: I, uh, I still believe in the, the upside of Brandon Aiyuk. It could not work out, but like, look, there's been some positive news over the last couple months with David Montgomery. He's gonna be the starting running back on, on, uh, on Houston. Would you trade him away for Brandon Aiyuk or is that just, you know, you don't have the confidence in that particular player?
Jeff: I would probably make that trade. 'cause I don't, I don't know that I see a lot. I don't know that I see Montgomery as a long-term solution in Houston. Aiyuk is a long-term solution somewhere at
Alan: Mm-hmm. New England.
Jeff: Would I go with Aiyuk over Montgomery if I were trying to win now? Probably not. I, I, if I'm a win now team, I'm gonna stick with Montgomery 'cause I know what he's, I know what that offense does in Houston and if he's healthy, I know what he can do and that seems like a reasonably good fit to me. Uh, if I'm a Woody Marks truther, I'm really upset about that and I might be that. And so I might be upset about that, but it's not gonna be, and I won't pick up Montgomery because that, that offense is, is going to get better.
Alan: Yeah, I think those are good takes on those players. Like you and I seem to be optimistic on and run into the burning building, whereas others just, you know, they're gonna need to see Tyreek Hill land first. Like if Tyreek Hill lands in Cleveland, you know, like I'll still be interested, but, you know, there's gonna be teams that are just like, I'm completely out
Jeff: yeah, yeah. And it, yeah, if you, if you wait, you know, you, you get certainty, but you either pay for that certainty or you don't get paid for that certainty. Um, you have to be willing to be wrong sometimes, uh, sometimes spectacularly. So, you know, Justin Jefferson for, uh, those guys, you traded him
Alan: Pickens and Achane
Jeff: Pickens and Achane. I mean, it seemed right at the time, but you know, it didn't work out that year. Hasn't worked out yet. Hasn't worked out yet. It might.
Alan: I put that poll on Twitter when I did it. Uh, I got, I think about like 700 or 800 respondents. I have to look for it. It was on my old account that got hacked and it was 94 to like six in my favor, right. If you did it now, it would be the other way. 94-6.
Jeff: Yeah. It's, uh, I had some of the best advice I ever got from somebody was that you never wanna lose alone, but it's okay to win alone,
Alan: Yeah. Yeah.
Jeff: be that 6%. Well, you got it that time, but man, 6 percent's not the place to be, uh, be otherwise.
Alan: You got it, right?
Jeff: So we've, we've talked of course about a whole bunch of players. We've got this rookie draft coming up in the NFL or the NFL draft. They don't call it a rookie draft. We call ours rookie drafts. Do we have some guys right now who are looking pretty good that you're thinking these are prime candidates to get knee-capped by some incoming rookie?
Alan: Yeah. Uh, are you talking okay. Veteran players that can
Jeff: Veteran players we're looking like they're in a good situation now that are just primed to get their knees cut out from under them.
Alan: I mean, Cam Skattebo, right? Like, isn't it the obvious one? If the Giants make a move for Jeremiyah Love? Cam Skattebo was a player everybody liked. He was going in the third round of some of the early Underdog drafts. Like that is the one, right? I mean, that is the one where wherever, uh, Jeremiyah Love goes, rest in peace to the, to whoever running backs are there.
I mean, if, if, um, Tennessee makes the move, I mean, Pollard, and not that we were over optimistic on Pollard and Tyjae Spears, but that's the problem. Now, if you go, if, if somehow, you know, there was, um, I mean look, I I'm, it's unlikely at this point they already, Kansas City already paid Ken Walker, but imagine that's the best player on the board when they draft.
I mean, I don't know.
Jeff: Yeah. Yeah. Exactly.
Alan: yeah, so I think he's the only one that could really take out a bunch of players, right? Uh, the other receivers, they're, they're complimentary pieces. Like, let me give you an example. If, uh, the Dallas Cowboys are on the clock at 12 and they draft, uh, Makai Lemon, right.
You got George Pickens, that was franchise tag. CeeDee Lamb is still there. Um, so is, is Lemon gonna hurt those guys or does that mean the, the dynasty drafters are gonna be out on Lemon because you have those other two guys there. If you remember, CeeDee Lamb was, was pushed to WR3 in his rookie class because Amari Cooper's was perceived to blocking him.
JSN, who's now WR1, 2, 3, or four on your board. He was perceived as dead, a terrible landing spot because Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf. Things change. So it's more about like, what do we think about that rookie? Um, I mean, Lemon to the Cowboys I think would be the most interesting debate in Dynasty.
'cause you're gonna have people that are on the side that you just asked about. Does that mean the death of CD Lamb or George Pickens, or does that mean Makai Lemon becomes, you know, almost undraftable in the top four or five picks in your dynasty rookie draft. So I think those guys in those early picks are the most, uh, interesting storylines to develop.
Also, Ty Simpson, where where he goes as a quarterback will be interesting because if he's a first round pick, is he an instant starter? Does he, is he gonna push a bridge starter out of the way? So I think guys like that. Other than that, I just, I don't think in this particular draft class, um, outside of Love Lemon or the Cowboys receiver, whoever that ends up being and, uh, first round quarterback, we're gonna see much carnage, uh, to the veterans.
Jeff: Yeah. This doesn't seem like that class is full of generational talents that's gonna push people around and I, I know if Lemon ends up in Dallas. And not just 'cause I'm a Cowboys fan, but I would be all over that because you just franchised one of your receivers that suggests that, as I recall, the uh, NFL pay schedule for when you franchise the guy the second time is pretty punitive. So I could see that as being the, the, you know, if you're gonna replace one of them, you probably replace the one you just franchised, not the other one. And so that to me would be a sign that Lemon would be the number two, and Pickens would be moving on after the season. So to me, he would be worth it if someone is not in on Lemon, because he's gonna be the third wide receiver somewhere. Uh, I'll take him,
I'll take that chance. I got the patience.
Alan: I'm with you.
Jeff: So. All right. You and I, we've talked about a couple times we're in a league together. You, you talked about trading away your first round pick. So you have the 2.07 is your first shot today at, at a draft. Pick absent a, a trade. I've got 1.04 and 2.04. Uh, are you looking to move up? Are you looking to move out? I'm not trying to do a trade right now. I'm just curious as to kind of looking at this class and, and knowing where you are in that league, what, what's the thought process as a, as a contender who's first draft choice? Uh, is, is deep into that, that second round, this is the 10 team league, so this is really the equivalent of the 2.05 that we're talking about 2.07.
Alan: Right. So I'm, we're in like the pick, uh, let's see, 2.05. 2.07 is, let's see, so 10, so it's seven. So it's about pick 17.
Jeff: Yep.
Alan: Yeah. I mean, if you're looking at, I man, it, it, I probably will not make that pick, right? If I'm forced to, um, you know, I'll take a quarterback, right? Like if they're even there, like a quarterback that goes in like the fourth round, you know, the, in this particular format, right?
Like a Nussmeier or someone like that. But I would assume that he would get picked even ahead of that. But, uh, I'll play the format here. We start two tight ends, we start five receivers. Um, so I won't pick a running back. 'cause normally and that's the range where you're taking running backs, right? Like, you just want, like, I don't care the guy's on a depth chart.
I'm at the 2.07, I'm take, uh, you know, or in my case it's, yeah, it's, uh, you just take 'em. So, yeah, I mean I, I'll probably try to look to use that. Either gimme a 27 third for it if I don't wanna make the pick at all. So, or I'll, I'll target one of those like day three quarterbacks that, you know, maybe he will get a couple starts and then, you know, I'll have some upside to flip 'em.
How about you? What are you doing with your picks?
Jeff: Uh, I would do whatever I can. Uh, you know, there isn't the, there isn't the quarterback really, I don't think I will, I don't think Mendoza falls to 1.04 and I'm not gonna try to move up for him. So, uh, this is not the year I'm gonna be able to do
Alan: he, he might go 1.01 in our
Jeff: He may go 1.01. I expect that he actually would, unless the person holding that pick, uh, has their self set at quarterback. And my guess is if they were set at quarterback, they would not have the number one overall pick in that draft. I don't think they got it by trade.
Alan: Yeah. And there's no, there's no place cheaper to get quarterbacks than in rookie drafts, than in startup drafts in trades. They're just too damn expensive.
Jeff: Especially in a league where you start, four of them, uh, that, that makes them extraordinarily expensive. Uh, I'm hopeful, you know, if I had to take them as they were, I would get one of those receivers at at 1.04. I might look to, to move down, but I don't know that. The other issue with this league, of course, Alan, as you know, is it's all industry insiders.
So there's not a lot of a lot of moving that we're really able to do, uh, in a league like that. I've had people ask me, they said, man, you must be in these cool leagues with all these guys. Must be some really cool stuff that you guys do. Great trades. Like it's boring as hell. Nobody does anything. We just set our lineups and go.
It's like we put our armies on the field, let 'em hit each other and that's that we really do.
Alan: that's a great way,
Jeff: It's really
Alan: very accurate
Jeff: there. So, uh, if I were in a rec in a normal league with normal kinds of people, uh, I would be looking probably to move out of 1.04, unless I was really in love with one of those receivers. And, and I'm really not at, at this moment, but we would see, uh, 2.04. You know, I, I think I'm kind of with you in that. I don't think I would, I don't think I'd go running back there. I think I would actually, and as expecting Superflex, I would pick one of those. You know, Ty Simpson, Garrett Nussmeier, uh, kind of guys, uh, just as, just as it on spec. They're if, 'cause if they hit, they're gonna hit,
Alan: Simpson's gonna go 1.06, 1.08 in our draft. So
Jeff: yeah.
Alan: yeah.
Jeff: Yeah. So if I don't take him at 1.04, I'm not gonna get him. So, uh, it'd be whoever's left over at 2.04. Very good chance. None of these quarterbacks I want there. But then that means I get, you know, KC Concepcion or Hampton or somebody, uh, who can make a difference there. The problem for me is that that was exactly the kind of attitude that made me get no quarterbacks in the startup draft. It's like, well, there's a much better value right here in another position.
You do that five times and suddenly you have no quarterbacks.
Alan: For a reason, man, you gotta, you gotta play the format. You gotta let everyone else, well, they're scooping up those sexy players and, you know, it never feels good. Like in that startup draft where I was taking C.J. Stroud in like the second round and you know, it's like, it never feels good. But that's how, that's how I play
Jeff: Yeah, that's great advice. I know exactly what your format is, where the scores are, what, what you need for the lineup and, and, and draft accordingly. Don't just assume, uh, that it's gonna app right, like any other league does.
Well, man, this has been out outstanding. Thanks so much for hanging with me, uh, all morning here, uh, Alan remind everybody where they can find you and, uh, and, and what the exciting thing you got coming up this week.
Alan: Yeah, so the Channel 87 on SiriusXM or on the app. We're gonna be doing The Dynasty Hour right from 1:00 PM Eastern Time on Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday for the next three months. That's gonna be a nice little three month show on, um, and then if you follow on, on X, I'm at Alan_Seslowsky, I'm an underscore now, Seslowsky, I had Alan Seslowsky, but it was hacked.
I was part of the big conspiracy to kill fantasy football, and they got me, but now I'm an underscore. So, you know, I'll post everything there. And then obviously the RotoWire YouTube page, I, I help manage all the video content there. So I'll, I'm, I'm always around and, uh, yeah man, uh, come say hello. Always, always welcome to talk to people that love dynasty fantasy football.
Jeff: Uh, I'd love to do it. I think it's exciting that, that you've got this show coming up and, uh, anytime, uh, anytime I'm, I can make it happen.
Alan: You're the man, and you're, you do, you do a great show. You're a great host. You make it enjoyable. Experience a long damn experience. Who knew about the two hour podcast? Yeah. I thought I was in for a one hour show here. Oh my God, Jeff. I mean, but it's all right. You're, you're a good hang, so I don't mind.
Jeff: All right. Well, thanks Alan, and thanks everybody for watching or listening on your favorite podcast platform. Please, like, please subscribe, do all that stuff. The best thing you can do to help our show grow right now is go over to Apple Podcast, drop a five star rating and a nice review about us, and we will see you next week with another episode of Dynasty Compass.
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