Best Bets for Thursday | ATP Miami Open Picks & Predictions + CBB Parlay (3.19)

Q's on a heater and tests his luck with a +500 on today's card. 

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@BetsByQ 

Transcript

SPEAKER_00 0:07

What's up everybody? Good morning. Welcome to another episode of the Plus Money Sports Betting Podcast. It's almost a weekend. My name is Q. You can follow me on all socials at BetByQ. And of course, this show is brought to you by Black Sheep Betting, where it is a dog's world. And the ball just keeps on rolling. Or the puck, I might add. What an absolute thriller yesterday. Dallas, Colorado, Western Conference Finals preview. And what do you know? This game ends up going to a shootout. I hate when games go to a shootout. I went out, had some drinks last night, came back. I mean, we were ecstatic last night because VIP was on uh Miami, Ohio on the money line at plus 260. So that was a great win for us in the VIP. But you know, the Dallas game had started. It was 1-0. I was like, okay, what's gonna happen? Um, and then I fell asleep during overtime. Probably like a minute into overtime, I fell asleep, woke up, my phone was dead, and it took what felt like an eternity to turn on. And I mean, look, nothing is like that can beat that feeling when you wake up and you don't know what happened to your bet, and you're like rushing, you're trying to figure out what's going on. Um, I played it chill. I didn't cheat, I didn't use a computer. I said, I'm just gonna wait for my phone to turn on, I'm gonna check the play, see what happened. And uh lo and behold, the Dallas Stars win and they cash on the money line plus 130 in the shootout. Um just a great game. We were on the right side. Dallas probably should not have been dogs here. They had the goaltending advantage um as well as um just kind of overall team chemistry and in you know deeper in their line. So that was a great cash on them. Um yesterday was a really weird day for tennis. I know a lot of you are in the discord, and um obviously we're in Miami right now. It rained all day yesterday. We didn't get a single match. So you remember on the podcast I said yesterday, hey, I dropped a plus 2500 uh parlay. It was 25 to 1. It's still in the Discord. Check out that link, it's in the description. All right, access to the Discord is absolutely free. It's hosted by Will from the Double Fall Tennis Podcast. We combined our chats. We have about a thousand members in there now. We talk sports 24-7, 365 every hour of every single day. But yeah, it's sunny, clear skies in Miami today. So we're gonna be rocking and rolling um at the Miami Open, men's and women's alike. Um, I do have some plays there that I dropped in the Discord. Um, VIP is on some plays as well. Um, and of course, like look, if you want to get into some of the VIB packages, and look, I'm not gonna sit here and lecture you on why you shouldn't come join my package because I'm better than you know, another handicapper. Like, all I'm gonna say is I bet value. If you listen to the podcast and you've made some money on the podcast, just imagine what it would be like in the VIP, right? All I bet is dogs, all I bet is plus money. I bet about two parlays per week. Um, we've crushed them this week. That's not always something that you can rely on. You don't want to rely on parlays, all right? We rely on value. The VIP is a place where value trumps volume. So not a lot of plays, but valuable plays. You might have to wait all day for the play, right? It might only be one play, it's gonna be plus 300. You might have to wait till 8 p.m. Um, but yeah, VIP, it's all about value, it's all about plus money, it's all about bank row management and discipline and finding the absolute best value on the board, regardless of the sport, uh, with the exception of NBA, because you guys know I do not bet the NBA. Now, let's talk about Miami because I've got a play for you here in I think is one of the most interesting first-round matchups here between Ethan Quinn and Hubert Herkax. All right, Hubie, former top 10 player, highest number six in the world. But this is one of those spots where everything is pointing to a shift. And the market, I feel hasn't fully caught up yet. We're gonna have a lot of people betting Hubert on just straight name recognition. So on one side, you've got Ethan Quinn, um, and this guy, yeah, kid really absolutely surging right now. Just came off a title run in Phoenix in the challenger, riding a five-match win streak. But more importantly, the confidence is through the roof right now. He feels like he can be anybody. We already saw the ceiling earlier this year when he um dismantled um Hubie at the Australian Open in straight sets. So that's not a fluke. I think that's a signal. Um then you look at Herkax, and you know, this is as bad of a stretch as we've seen from him in a very long time. Six straight losses coming into Miami, and it's not just the losses, it's how they're happening that's concerning. Um, this is a guy, and if you're a tennis junkie, you know, but he's built his career on winning tight moments, mainly tie breaks, and now he's losing them pretty consistently. I think that's a red flag. Gives me all the reason to jump on Ethan Quinn here. Um, Hubie's gonna have the bigger surf. He's gonna rack up aces, okay? He's gonna probably hold at a high rate. But here's the difference. Ethan Quinn has been more clutch in the moments that matter. Breakpoint conversion significantly higher this season. That tells you a lot. Um, when the opportunities show up for Ethan Quinn, he's taking them. Herkax isn't, um, and it doesn't seem like he can right now. So uh from a matchup standpoint, I love Ethan Quinn. Forehand has turned into a real weapon for him. Um, I think that he can get Herkax in longer rallies targeting that forehand side. Uh, we already saw it happen in Australia. Uh he won the majority of the extended rallies in that one. So um for me, this one is simple. You've got a young player who is ascending, uh, who's full of confidence, and is I guess has already proven that he can be his opponent. So give me Ethan Quinn plus 120 to beat Hubert Herkax. Okay. Now, just when you thought it was over, it's Thursday. We're close to the weekend. We've got tournament play starting today. I'm gonna give you a three-layer. So all money lines is gonna play out plus 500, okay? We are going to take St. Mary's on the money line against Texas AM University. Alright? We're going to pair that with St. Louis to defeat the University of Georgia. And then our last leg is going to be North Carolina on the money line against VCU. Just get the job done. The only dog on this ticket, actually, is St. Louis. They're plus 130. I want you to take this ticket. We're going to put a half unit on it. We're going to put a unit on Ethan Quinn, and we're going to put a half unit on this parlay. St. Mary's on the money line, St. Louis on the money line, North Carolina on the money line in the NCAA men's tournament today. Okay. Two plays on the board, one and a half units in play. We are on Ethan Quinn plus 120 to defeat Hubert Hercox. And we're also on the three-legger Moneyline Parlay, St. Mary's, St. Louis, North Carolina. That pays out plus 500. Look around for some boost. Okay. I boosted this on DraftKings with their 64% boost. It got it to plus 840. Alright? I put a half unit on that. But for all intents and purposes, we're gonna call it plus 500. Half unit on the Moneyline Parlay, one unit on Ethan Quinn. And I'll be back here tomorrow with more plus money plays from around the sports world. If you want more action, check out the Discord, check out the VIP. But until then, I hope each and every one of you get each and every one of your best.

unknown 9:57

Peace.