Best Bets for Friday | MLB Picks & Predictions (5.27)

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Transcript

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What's up everybody? Welcome back to another episode of the Plus Money Sports Betting Podcast. My name is Q. You can follow me on all socials at BetsByQ. And of course, this podcast is brought to you by Black Sheep Betting. An absolute fire opening day. We swept into VIP. I know that I didn't get the podcast out yesterday. And trust me, like I'm kicking myself for it. I had some car issues, man. I had to take care of it. I just the time wasn't there for me to to genuinely give out um the podcast yesterday. So my apologies on that. Nobody's perfect. Um, but if you were in the Discord, you were able to get some of these plays um that I dropped. Um the link in the description is for the Discord, it's absolutely free. Um, it's just a place to hang out, share your bets, celebrate wins, cope with the losses. Um in the back end of Miami in a tennis world, we got some challenger events as well as some qualifiers going on today. So I will be making an appearance in the tennis chat um probably a little bit before noon um with the play in the discord. So we'd love to have you in there again. It's absolutely free. Of course, I got the VIP going on. M O B, we started the year really kind of crazy. All right, so we pushed the first game of the year, right? So 0-0 and 1. Now we've proceeded to go four and one. Alright, so I swept the board yesterday in VIP, including the Chase DeLoder home run in his season debut. He hits his two first home runs um for the Guardians. I was on the Guardians last night. I think it was a very sharp play, but um, anyways, VIP is rocking and rolling. Um, I think the MOB is probably the best value that package that I have right there. Um just for the amount of volume that you're gonna get um based on the season being as big as it is, right? I mean, the VIP is a place where value trumps volume, but when you have a season with 162 games or you know, whatever that is, 5,000 games, you know, between the 32 teams, then of course you're gonna get a little bit more uptick in volume. So expect that during the MLB season, we will divvy up the um units appropriately because of course we're always shooting for the plus money. Um, speaking of, I've got one for you today. I'm looking at this Astros game tonight between the Angels. I was all over the under eight yesterday. Um, leaning towards the under here again. All right, Kakuchi uh versus Burroughs. Uh I think this is more of a game script to read um than just numbers, though. Uh I think you know this sets up as a pitching-driven matchup. So you've got arms on both sides that can limit hard contact. Um, and more importantly, both teams project um to work deeper into the game. All right. I watched this entire game yesterday um with the exception of the um Jordan Alvarez home run that wasn't. Um this game was just soaring under. Right. I don't think a run was scored until the sixth or seventh inning. Um, these are two teams that I mean, hey, Mike Trout looked good. That was a that was great. He stole a base and he jacked a home run. I thought that was awesome. Um, to see Mike Trout kind of you know the glimpses of the old Mike Trout, what we know um in our generation, but um these two teams are we know the Astros have been a dominant team in AL West for the last 10, you know, 12 years. They're on the decline, all right? Um even though that lineup is you know dangerous in ways, um, they tend to be more methodical than explosive to start the season. I mean, this is a very slow starting team. They're not a team that constantly um is swinging for the crooked numbers every inning. Um they'll spring some hits together for sure. That usually plays into unders if the sequencing um doesn't break perfectly. So, I mean, this is a team that historically is an under team in the Astros, all right? And then obviously you have an Angels team that offensively is just not that good, all right. When you look at the bullpen angle, I think the under gets a lot of value when you factor that in. If both starters can give you some quality innings here, I think that they do. Um, you're handing it over to a relatively fresh, structured bullpen for both sides, they usually can keep games from blowing up late. So um I also just think that like the totals involving Houston often get shaded up just because of the name value and the public perception of their offense. But I mean, look, if you're a baseball junkie or you follow sports, or you're just big into the number, you know that Houston is an under team, okay? Uh so the public perception kind of creates value on the under here. Um, because this matchup does not support a high-scoring game. So I'm gonna go with the Astros on the under, eight and a half in their matchup between the Angels. It is plus a hundred. I don't expect this number to have the hook much longer. So I do think it's playable to eight. The ideal number is eight and a half at plus a hundred, but once this drops to eight, you're probably gonna get it at minus one fifteen, minus one twenty. I think it's playable to one fifteen. 120 is just a bit much of an ass for me, but um as it stands right now at 5 a.m. Um today, I do like the eight and a half at plus one hundred. You can find that. All right. So one unit on the board today, one play. We are on the Astros and Angels under 8.5 plus 100. All right. One unit, I'll be back here tomorrow with more plus money plays from around the sports world. Good luck. And as always, my name is Q from Black Sheet Betting, and I hope each and every one of you hit each and every one of your bets. Peace.