Best Bets for Tuesday | MLB Picks & Predictions (4.21)

Back to the diamond !

@BetsByQ 

Transcript

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What's up, everybody? Welcome back to another episode of the Plus Money Sports Betting Podcast. My name is Q. You can follow me on all socials at BetsByQ. And of course, this podcast is brought to you by Black Sheep Betting, where it is a dog's world. The Kansas City Royals basically made the ban list last night. I don't know what happened. I mean, I do know. I watched the fucking game. But 15, 16 players left on base is unacceptable. The game should have never gone to extras. I mean, the bases loaded in the seventh with one out and couldn't muster a run. An absolutely bad beat. I mean, we get to the bottom of the tenth, and we have a base running mishap that makes it two outs and no runners in scoring position. And then, of course, in the top of the 11th, the uh the Orioles had a grand slam after uh the Royals put two on via Walk. Obviously the Royals weren't able to answer, but look, the Baltimore Orioles did that. I don't know what else to say. I mean, it's a very unfortunate loss because, you know, I had some other stuff, you know, in play with with hockey and just an all-around bad night for your boy Q. So, look, that's the way the cookie crumbles sometimes. How you approach the next day is what truly matters in this sport of sports betting. Because you gotta be a closer. You gotta put on that 42 jersey, walk out there to Sandman, and lock the fuck in. Doesn't matter that you gave up the game winning home run the night before. You got a job to do. And I've got a job to do as well, so we're gonna lock in and we're gonna get it. Obviously, we are in the clay swing in tennis. Would love to have you in the Discord. Alright? It's absolutely free. No catch. You don't have to pay anything to get into the Discord. It's free. We talk sports 24-7, 365, every hour of every single day. You'll usually find me in the tennis channel. But there are a lot of cappers in there that are very sharp. So it's not a place where you want to technically have like you probably, if you're at work and you work an office job, um, you probably want to have your phone on silent. But what I would recommend is, you know, hang out in the chat for a little while with the notifications on silent, and then as you see who is who, turn notifications on for those individuals. It will make your life a lot easier. Um, sometimes I'll spam in there, but most of the times I'm in there, I'm dropping a pick, I'll chat for five minutes, and I'll be out and you know, catch up in a few hours. All right. So um checking the Discord, it's absolutely free. I also have the VIP, that stuff is in the description, all right. Um, my VIP is a lot different, it's not a place for volume. We don't do parlays or 10K challenges. We bet value. Alright. I'm a plus money better through and through. Um, and so that's what you're going to get in the VIP. There's some packages for everybody, right? I got some$15 packages, I got some MLB specific, some sport specific packages, some playoff specific packages. So um just check that out. Again, I'd love to have you in the VIP. Um, but for what it's worth, like the Discord is great as well. All right. I've got one play for you today. I'm gonna lay a little bit of juice. All right. We're gonna lay this minus 108. I'm looking at the over in the Guardians in the Astro game tonight. 6'10 Eastern Standard Time is when this one starts, and it really sets up as a scoring environment here. I mean, for Houston, it's basically going to be a bullpen heavy game. Uh Ryan Weiss is making his second career start. Early numbers are off on the kid, but hey, like, it's the show. All right, we're talking a 6.75 ERA, very, very serious command issues, tendency to give up the long ball just through one game. Okay, so that's not the profile you want going up against a very disciplined uh Cleveland lineup. Um, and I guess on the other side, right, you get Parker Mesick, who has been lights out since getting called up. Sub 2.10 ERA across his first stretch in the league. Obviously, this is a different kind of test. The Astros are a top five offense right now. Um, five runs per game. I'm laughing because, like, you know, I follow the AO West. And I don't know, dude. I don't know how to judge this Astros team right now. I'm still getting a pulse on them. Um, but they can pressure even really good arms with the bats that they have currently. And I think the key separator here, though, and why I like the over here is Houston's bullpen has been a major liability. I mean, this is talking about a bullpen that used to be one of the best in the league for you know 10 years, sitting near the bottom of the league with an ERA pushing six. So the bullpen could get a six runs alone. That's their earned runs average. So even if Mesick is sharp early and limits runs, Cleveland could have plenty of scoring opportunities once they get into the pen. Um, so look, you've got a shaky starter, a tax bullpen, two lineups that can produce. Just feels like a game that gets into the middle innings and it opens up, all right? I think we get 10 runs here. Give me the over eight minus 108 in the guardians and Astros game. Sorry, I had a brain fart there, but yeah, one unit in play. We're on the over in the Astros and Guardians game. Over eight at minus 108. Lock it in. I will see you at the counter when it cashes. Ride the highs, vibe out with the lows. I'll be back here tomorrow with more plus money plays from around the sports world. As always, my name is Q from Black Sheep Betting, and I hope each and every one of you hit each and every one of your bets. Peace.