Pantry Preparedness with Leisa Sutton

Most People Don't Know These 7 Foods Are About to Get Much More Expensive

Leisa Sutton

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Not all food is getting more expensive at the same rate. Some categories are rising at two, three, even six times their historical average — and most people don't know which ones or why. Today I walk through 7 specific grocery items that are under the most price pressure right now, with the exact reason each one is going up. This is not general inflation talk. This is specific, verifiable, actionable — and it tells you exactly what to stock up on right now before prices go higher.  

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SPEAKER_00

Let me tell you what most financial news is getting wrong about food prices. The coverage tends to say things like the inflation is 2.4% this year. And then they move on to the next big catastrophe because goodness knows we have enough to choose from. But that number makes us think that it's manageable, it's not that bad out, you know, we're gonna be, it's all good. But within that average, there are seven specific categories uh where the rates are rising at two, three, you know, six times what they have been previously. And they're rising for specific and documented reasons. That's why it's mind-boggling that nobody is actually bringing this to the forefront. Reasons that are not going away anytime soon. Literally, they are staying put, and it's something that's gonna be a reality whether you put your head in the sand or not. Today we are going to walk through all seven categories, and uh, we're not gonna be talking about the averages, we're going to be talking about specifics because knowing what is going on, knowing what we can expect as we move forward is what makes us better prepared because it gives us an opportunity to work through this window of time that is based, it's unprecedented, really. We have been given this window of time. If you're paying attention and you know to go through it, you know, if you know that you only have four to five months to get the most out of your money, to stock food that you and your family actually eat today, before the prices start getting absolutely crazy, before the availability is extremely limited, and before everybody and their uncle is complaining because they can't afford what used to be basic ingredients. We are ahead of this game because we are paying attention, and I want you to be ahead of this game. It has become significantly important to me to make sure that you can be as prepared as possible. It does not matter if you're celiac, vegan, vegetarian, keto, carnivore, it doesn't matter. We are all going to be impacted by this. So when you run across those self-righteous comments in the comment section going, well, you know, I'm glad I'm keto, or oh, you know, I'm glad I have celiac, and oh, I'm glad I've, you know, I'm vegetarian, I have never seen so many self-righteous comments in my life. Every single person watching this is going to be impacted. To what degree is dependent on the actions that you take between now and the next five months. That's the window. So it really doesn't matter. And the self-righteous comments are useless, fodder, seriously. Not worth my time, except for right now, to clear it up to say that you can be as all self-righteous as you want to be, but you're still going to suffer if you don't get off your butt and prepare. Hello, everybody, and welcome to Sutton's Days. If you're new here, my name is Lisa. We are all about pantry preparedness. And because everybody's pantry is different, because everybody's needs are different, their desires are different, it's going to hit absolutely everybody because this is a storm like none of us have ever seen. Do I think it's going to go back to normal? No, I don't. Not in my lifetime. And it's something that we're going to have to learn to adapt to make sure that we can survive as comfortably as possible. Now I'm not saying that there's going to be famine. You won't hear me using that word, okay? The shelves are not going to be completely emptied and you're going to starve to death. That's not it. But it's going to cost a lot more and the availability is going to be limited. So it is time to pay attention. Let's get started. Now we're going to hit the seven foods. This should be pretty fast and furious compared to the last few videos. But number one, beef. Now, if you've been paying attention at all, you know that you know beef has it's having its issues right now. Um, our herd has never been as small as it is uh for uh you know since 1951 or something, and we are not importing, which is our uh major importer from Mexico due to the screw worm disease that's going on. So our beef supply is extremely limited. Supply and demand, that price is going to elevate, it is going to keep elevating. A lot of people in the comments are saying that beef has been off their menu for quite some time now because they they've been priced out of it. And ground beef used to be one of the cheaper cuts that you could get. And so, if beef is important to you, okay, because for some people it's it's a normalcy thing, and I get it, you know. So definitely if beef is important to you, start watching now and stock up what you can. I'm not talking filet mignon, I'm really not, okay. I'm talking ground beef. You know, what gets me is I remember growing up and round steak was cheap because it was the less desirable cut, and now I'm paying as much for round steak as I am for a roast. It's amazing. Uh, however, you can find what you use, or you can alter your recipes to use ground beef instead, or you can substitute it out for other meats. But the fact of the matter is that beef prices are going to continue to escalate and availability is going to continue to be an issue. So if in this five-month period you can find some extra beef in your budget, it's a really good thing. Just for the statistical purpose, the USDA projects that beef and veal prices will increase another six to nine percent in 2026. Some forecasts say up to 18%, depending on who you're listening to, on top of where we already are. And I don't care, you know, about I don't it it doesn't matter. At this point, it does not matter who's at fault, okay? It matters that this is happening and we need to figure out how to navigate through it. Six to nine percent, up to eighteen percent increase is going to be painful for a lot of budgets. So it's something that you can prepare for now instead of maybe you know spending that money on stuff that you are only going to use for a short time during the summer to entertain yourself. It's time to get serious, is what I'm saying. So, number two is coffee. Okay, great, you don't drink coffee. That's all you had to say, that we're done. But for anybody that does drink coffee, you know how much our prices have already gone up. We have doubled at least over the case of the last year in coffee prices, and it's gonna keep going up. And it doesn't matter that we make some here, you can't grow enough. We don't have the climate. Stop it. Okay, so coffee is up 19% from a year ago, they say, I'm saying 50. Um, and the part that makes it uh more than you know, a temporary blip, it's not temporary by any stretch, the global coffee market is facing its fourth consecutive season of deficit. Some analysts think it may be heading toward a fifth. So between disease, between weather, between, you know, all of that fun stuff that we have no control over, coffee prices are going up. Demand and supply. It's it's as simple as that. Coffee trees take three to four years to reach full production after planting. You can't rush Mother Nature, she doesn't care about your timeline. And so it's gonna be a while before maybe there's a little relief in the coffee market. Now, number three, we've discussed before, is olive oil. And that's that's really very simple. Um, the US produces approximately 2% of the olive oil that it consumes. That's all we produce. The rest comes from Europe, primarily Spain, Italy, and Greece. And those imports now face a 15% base tariff on EU food imports. If you are a true olive oil user, then you have seen that selection at the grocery store diminish over the last year. It has gotten worse and worse and worse. And they have been dealing with disease and they have been dealing with weather on top of everything else. And so it's just a hot mess on the olive oil market. Are there other things that you can use? Absolutely there are. And so it's time to investigate what works best for you and your family. We choose olive oil for the health purpose, not much of anything else, okay? It is healthier for you than vegetable oil, it is healthier for you than, you know, say, you know, sunflower oil or anything like that. But um if if the other ones don't bother you, then that's fine. You know, go ahead and do that. There are other healthy alternatives that you can look into, and I highly recommend taking some time to research that. Um, it's not something I will be doing a big video on. Now, number four is the Italian pasta. A lot of people in the comment section have mentioned how they chose Italian pasta because it's healthier, because it doesn't impact them as negatively as just regular, you know, commercial pasta that's out there. And that has been just slammed with tariffs and what is it they called? A dumping penalty. Um, you know, it's it's a mess. It's a mess. That price is going up huge, and so it's something you want to pay attention to. Number five is sugar and cookies. This might be the one that surprises you the most because it did me. Sugar and sweets, the single fastest rising grocery category in 2026, according to the USDA. Projected increase of 6.7%, which is more than double the historical average and the highest rate of any food category this year of all the things sugar and cookies, and that sugar's in everything, okay. So that's gonna impact your cereals, that's gonna impact your baked goods, that's gonna impact your cookies, that's gonna impact literally. Think about how many things. Read the labels, okay? And it'll tell you exactly how much that's gonna impact everything. Now, chocolate separate, okay, and the reason I'm sorry, I'm gonna back up the the sugar for the you know, the reason why is the changing weather patterns are affecting sugar production in the US and in key import countries. So the fact that our weather is changing, and you you know this, okay. Um, the U.S. also imports sugar from India, where tariffs and transportation costs are rising significantly. Every sweet item in your cart, everything. Look at your ingredient lists. How many things have sugar in them? A lot. A lot that you don't even think have sugar in them. Something to pay attention to. Chocolate separately, West Africa, which provides a vast majority of the world's cocoa beans, has had years of drought and disease decimating harvests. And so that's impacting chocolate. Conditions are improving, okay, but cocoa prices are still more than double what they were just a few years ago. And you know, I have been talking about chocolate prices being an issue for uh a number of years now. I don't even know how many. I'll have to go back and look. But if it is a regular purchase in your household, then uh you want to buy ahead, you know, and find the the decent prices so that you are comfortable with your use and your storage. It's not going to go bad. Airtight, cool, dry. You get the drift, okay? Number six is canned foods. And very simply put, short, succinct answer, metal. Metal is the reason, okay? So they make cans, steel and aluminum, uh, the materials they make them out of face a 50% tariff on Canadian and Chinese metal. And that is going to significantly impact our food, our pets' food, uh, any number of things. And it's something that you want to pay attention to because when you look at it, every canned soup, every canned vegetable, every canned tuna, okay, it's just an addition, it's not the product inside necessarily, even though those are being impacted too. It is the container that's being delivered to you. You know, it's something to pay attention to. Now, uh, stock up on your canned goods, particularly the categories under the most supply pressure. And so this is where you look at the other categories and go, okay, what falls into both that category and is canned? And so you're gonna look at, oh gosh, you're gonna look at tuna, you're gonna look at canned tomatoes, which I highly encourage you to go buy now, right now, okay. Make that your $5, $10, $20 extra, you know, budget item this week. Stock yourself up because even even me who is going to have a tomato forest out there this year, you know, if everybody's willing, um, I went and bought, I think I've got now five cases of tomato-based products that otherwise I typically stop buying because I can grow my own. And if I don't have a successful garden, I will go buy. And this year I'm hedging my bets. I went and bought them, they're sitting in my pantry. And if my garden turns out as good as I hope it is, then I will just have more and I'll have some to share, you know. But in the meantime, I needed to secure this before harvest time because by the time harvest time hits, the prices are already going to be rising. And that's what you need to look at and pay attention to is how soon in the window can you dedicate certain amounts of funds to increase what you are buying? And tomato products are one that I say go get seriously, go get them now because it's going to be very, very important. Now, um, the trajectory for all of those is going up, and when you add the can, the extra can cost, it's going to you know put it up there now. So stock up on those things that are under the most pressure. Now, number seven, last but not least, fresh produce. And I hear this in the comment section all the time. Well, we only eat fresh. Okay, may the forces be with you. You know, it's no skin off my nose. May the forces be with you. Fresh produce is one of the clearest calendar dates attached to it. Okay. We know that by fall your price is going to be so much worse than it is today. So much worse because that's the end of our growing season, which means now we're having to import it from other countries, which means additional costs. And so that price is going to go up, and the quality, if you haven't noticed, is gonna start going down. And I don't care if it's Trader Joe's or Walmart, my friends. Okay, it is all being impacted. Fresh produce is going to hit a wall in the autumn. It's going to, because we're gonna have to import it if we want it. And if we want it, we're going to pay more for it because that's the way that it works. Now, for generations and generations, you didn't eat everything all the time. And I heard a uh I heard a cute little, you know, saying that the the the ones that are going to have the hardest time are the avocado toast crew, okay? Because avocado toast, I'm going to die without my avocado toast, you know? And it's just a, it's a, it's not putting down anybody that eats avocado toast. So just get your panties undone. It is just a representation of the mentality that is out there anymore, that it doesn't matter what time of year it is or where it has to come in from, as long as they have the avocado for their toast, you know? And that's something that we are going to have to rein in. We are going to have to seriously look at eating more seasonally. We're going to have to look at maybe not eating fresh, but getting as close to it as we can. Frozen. Frozen are great. They're picked at their peak freshness and frozen. You just have to figure out how to keep the power on if it goes out. Canned is great, not a problem there. Freeze-dried, great. Okay. But as far as fresh goes, you're going to pay. So I have an action plan for you, and I hope you will consider it. And I will list it in the pinned comment section down below so you can copy and paste to your heart's content. Okay. So your action plan, should you choose to accept it, is seven categories, each with a specific reason. And here's your prioritized list of what to stock now. Definitely within the earlier part of this window of four to five months. Okay. Buy beef when it's on sale, and if you can, buy it in volume. Pressure can or vacuum seal, lock in today's prices. Your future you and your future family will thank you. Coffee, if you're a coffee drinker, buy the whole beans when you find a deal. Three months is a reasonable buffer for some people. Store coffee, whether it is ground or whole in your freezer. If you are looking at using it beyond six months to a year. So take a look at the best buy dates on the container because they'll vary. Okay. And then that's your best buy date. I can go past that easy six months in my climate. But anything beyond that that I want to keep, I am putting into the freezer. Make room for it. It's just the best way to store it and to stop the clock. Doesn't matter what kind, doesn't matter what kind. Okay. Olive oil. Buy two to four extra bottles now because the price is only going up for here. So if you do not consume a whole bunch of it and you just want an extra bottle or two, that's great. You can put it in your freezer. You can absolutely freeze it. So keep that in mind. Now, Italian pasta, for those of you, you know the deal, okay? Your favorite get your favorite brands now while you still can, because some places in the comment section, I'm seeing that in some places you can't get it now. So they're ordering online. So if that is a thing for you, definitely get it taken care of. Sugar. Now, sugar will not go bad. Put it into an airtight container, no oxygen absorbers, okay? Because it will turn into a brick. Sugar will store for a year. If you want to make sure that it's super secure, put it into a five-gallon mylar bag. Put the put the mylar bag in the bucket first. Put the sugar in the mylar bag. Use a hair straightener to seal it. That's all you do. No oxygen absorbers. Put the lid on it. You don't need a gamma lid. Slap that sucker down. Write sugar on the outside of the bucket and put it someplace, okay? Same rule as anything else, cool, dark, and dry. But sugar's not going to go bad if you store it properly. And I just explained to you how to store it properly. Now, canned goods, uh, you want to stock up on tuna, and basically any seafood, fish, tuna, uh, sardines, you know, mackerel, salmon, any of that. Um, canned tomato products specifically, um, because I'm saying those are like if you have a lot of tomato-based products in your menu rotation, that's something you want to make sure to get now, okay? In bulk. And can your own when possible. Canning it is not hard, you guys. I have an entire playlist that'll teach you how to can all kinds of things. Now, uh, also, if you are looking to stock up because of the metal shortage on your canning lids, definitely not it's not a shortage. Let me let me walk that back because of the increased price and availability issues of metal, and you want to stock up on your canning lids, now is the time to do so. If you use the link down below and put in the code Suttons10 uh for four jars, four jars.shop. That's where you want to go. Suttons 10, you save 10% off your order. Free shipping over $99, I believe. And they it's the the only canning lid that I will even consider anymore because they are excellent. And the price point is right. I'm not overpaying for the lids, they are just the right price point, they are fantastic. Um, next is fresh produce. So uh preserve now while domestic seasonal prices are you know there. Hold that price. That way, if you preserve it however you do it, then you're holding that price. This is your last window before the fall cliff, okay, and not talking about falling off the cliff. When autumn hits, there's gonna be a noticeable cliff where things get more expensive, and you want to get all of this taken, you know, care of beforehand because we've got this window, an unprecedented peek into what is coming down the pike. None of this is hoarder behavior, you know. Don't get me started. Anyway, it's not hoarder behavior, it is exactly the behavior that our ancestors used for hundreds of years. If you want to eat tomorrow, you need to put it up today. There is no such thing as convenience anymore. And if you're one of those people that I'm going to live off DoorDash and fresh produce, I say, may the force be with you. Okay, because and I'm not a fan of whatever show that comes from, but it's it's foolishness. We need to do everything that we can to make sure that we are saving money in the long run. And that's that's what we're doing here, okay? So this is just a you know, buying strategically, that's all I'm laying out for you here. Ahead of the price trend that is documented and sourced and moving in one direction, and I'm not making it up. I am not, but I'm also not telling you there's gonna be famine and empty shelves and nothing there, okay? No, what I'm telling you is that if you want to save the most money and be the most prepared for the sticker shock that you're gonna have after fall, now is the time to take advantage of this. And this should be of utmost importance to you and everyone in your household. Because if you've ever been hungry, you know it's something that you don't ever want to see again, and you don't want your children hungry, and you don't want your parents hungry. So why not do what they have literally done for generations until the last 60-ish you know years when they invented grocery stores? It's not a matter of convenience, it's a matter of intelligence, and intelligent people are preparing for some hard times. The goal of this video is not to make you anxious, that is never my intent. I don't do fair porn, um, but I do do reality, and I am some of you have uh kind of tagged me with the label of no nonsense, because I am no nonsense. I am busy and I don't have time to play word salad games with y'all, okay? These are facts, this is a proven fact. This is coming down the pike, and there is literally no way to turn it around. So there's no U-turn on this. And some people are going to suffer. And I'm hoping that you're listening to me and that you won't be some of those people because there is always a way to make it happen. You can act on specific information, and one of you know, you cannot act on inflation is gonna be 2.4% higher. That number is real, but it is absolutely useless and misleading. Especially if you're trying to make decisions about how to best protect the people in your home. Now you have the specifics. I am begging you to use them. Until next time, everyone. Be safe. Keep stacking it to the rafters, my friends.