THE FERTILIZER CRISIS NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT And What It Means for Your Grocery Bill This Fall

The story you're not seeing in the mainstream coverage of the Strait of Hormuz crisis: one-third of the world's fertilizer supply was disrupted at the exact moment of spring planting. The FAO has warned this will reduce crop yields and tighten food supplies in the second half of 2026 and into 2027. That window starts now.

 I spent time going through the institutional reports — the FAO, the World Economic Forum, agricultural economists at the University of Illinois, and industry data from Yara International — and I want to walk you through what they're actually saying and what it means for your grocery bill this fall.

 This is not fear-based content. These are real sources, real numbers, and a real action plan for what to do right now, while the summer window is still open.

 SOURCES:

FAO Director-General Qu Dongyu, Ministerial Meeting MED9++, May 2026

World Economic Forum, "The Next Food Crisis Is Already in Motion," May 2026

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, "A Closed Strait of Hormuz Risks a Global Food Security Crisis," April 2026

farmdoc daily, University of Illinois, "Strait of Hormuz Closure and Fertilizer Supply Risks for U.S. Agriculture," March 2026

Yara International Q1 2026 Investor Report

Food Ingredients First, "Strait of Hormuz Fertilizer Crisis — Food Prices," May 2026

The Packer, "Are We on the Verge of a Global Food Crisis?" March 2026

USDA Economic Research Service Food Price Outlook, May/June 2026

Transcript

SPEAKER_00 0:00

I want to tell you about something that started in February, but is going to show up this fall. Most of the coverage was about oil prices, about energy markets, about geopolitics, and I'm not going to, you know, lie, those things matter. Absolutely, they matter. But there is a second story inside that story, one that almost nobody in mainstream media connected to your grocery bills. And that is the story that I want to walk you through today. Because here's what I know after spending time reading the reports, the UN warnings, the agricultural economists, and well, the industry data. The fertilizer crisis that began when the Strait of Hormuz was disrupted in late February of this year is going to reduce crop yields. And those lower yields are going to tighten food supplies. And tighter food supplies mean higher prices. The Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations, the FAO, said this explicitly. The World Economic Forum said it. Agricultural economists at the University of Illinois said it. This is not fringe analysis. That's not this. This is the institutional consensus and the timing that they all point to. I mean all of them, the second half of 2026, which starts now. Hello everyone, and welcome to Sutton's Days. If you're new here, my name is Lisa. We are all about pantry preparedness. Let me start with some context because I know not everybody has been following this story, and the connection between a body of water in the Middle East and your grocery bill is not obvious to most anybody. Before the conflict began in February, roughly 35% of global crude oil exports passed through this strait. About 20% of global liquefied natural gas, and this is the number that I want you to hold on to, okay? Up to 30% of global fertilizer exports. That's what passes through or pass through the Strait of Hormuz. When the strait was effectively closed to commercial shipping, all three of those were disrupted simultaneously. Now, most of the media coverage was you know focused on oil and energy. And I get it, because we felt that immediately. That makes sense. Oil prices affect everything immediately and visibly. We felt it. Gas prices at the pump, energy bills, you know, that's the story that leads the news because we felt it. But fertilizer, that's slower. That's definitely slower. The consequences of fertilizer disruption don't show up at your grocery receipt in March when the straits close. It doesn't work that way. They show up in the harvest that was planted in March. And in the next harvest after that. Now, the lag between fertilizer disruption and food price impact is measured in months, not days, like fuel. And we are now those months later. Now I want to take a moment here to explain why this matters as much as it does, and why I've been talking about it since May. Um, because fertilizer sounds like technical farming input. You know, it can be really easy to gloss over, super easy. Modern food production, uh, the system that puts food in our grocery stores, is structurally dependent on nitrogen fertilizer, specifically a product called urea. There seems to be a whole bunch of confusion about urea, but urea is essentially natural gas that has been converted into a solid, easy-to-transport form that you know provides crops with the nitrogen that they need to grow. Without sufficient nitrogen fertilizer, crop yields fall. It's just a fact. Not by a small amount either. The research suggests that roughly half the world's food production depends on synthetic nitrogen fertilizers. If a farmer plants the same number of acres but applies 25% less fertilizer, the harvest is not 25% smaller. That seems to be like a huge misconception. The yield reduction can be significantly larger because nitrogen is a multiplier on a crop potential. So here is what the FAO Director General said speaking to ministers from over 40 different countries in May. This they he said this back in May, okay, and I will quote Agriculture operates within a crop calendar that cannot be postponed. Fertilizers must be applied at specific moments in the crop cycle. If they do not arrive on time, yields are reduced regardless of what happens later. That's a direct quote. Even if the straits reopen tomorrow, yeah. The crops that were planted this spring with reduced fertilizer availability cannot be retroactively fertilizer. And if you are a gardener, you know that retroactively fertilizing doesn't do anything. You know, the growing season does not pause for geopolitics ever. Yara International, one of the world's largest fertilizer producers, published data showing that calcium ammonium nitrate, um, it's a key fertilizer, rose 18% in price compared to the same period last year. Compound fertilizers rose 10%, and in the weeks, weeks, not a year, in the weeks following the straight disruption, urea prices rose more than 28% within three weeks. That price signal does exactly one thing for farmers. It tells them to use less. And using less means lower yields. Over one million metric tons of fertilizer cargo was physically stranded in the Gulf. That is not a rounding error. That is a meaningful fraction of the global supply chain. Now, who is saying this and how credible is it? I want to spend a few minutes on this because in the preparedness space, there is a lot of fear-based content that quotes unnamed sources, you know, or makes claims without attribution. I don't do that. I don't ever, ever intentionally do that. Um, and I try to give you my sources when I think it's really important. So let me tell you exactly who is saying what. Now, the FAO Director General, I cannot pronounce his name, okay, uh, spoke at the ministerial meeting with representatives from more than 40 countries specifically about this crisis. He did not use vague language. He said, and I'm quoting directly, that the disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz will lead to lower yields and tightening food supplies in the latter half of 2026 and into 2027. That is the head of the UN's food agency speaking to 40 national governments using specific language, the latter half of 2026. That's right now. We are in the latter half of 2026. That's the window that we're in. The World Economic Forum. I don't care if you like them or not. I really don't. Okay. The WEF published an analysis in May making the same case. May, same time I started reporting on this, okay? They described what they called as a systematic shock to global agri-food systems. Their framing was that this is not an isolated event, but a demonstration of how tightly interconnected energy, fertilizer, and food markets have become. When one disrupts, all three move. The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Carnegie published a piece in April, that was before May, okay, uh, a nonpartisan commentary about an institutional analysis, making a specific point that I want you to hear. They said, even if the Strait of Hormuz does open soon, restarting production and transport for fertilizers and their components could take weeks, weeks that the northern hemisphere farmers do not have. Weeks that farmers don't have, because the planting calendar doesn't wait for anybody ever. Now, agricultural economists from the University of Illinois, the University of Illinois Farm Doc Team, one of the most respected agricultural economics research groups in the country, published a detailed analysis of the commodity market. They showed that corn, wheat, soybeans, and soybean oil all rose between 2 and 7.5% in the immediate wake of the disruption, and that the urea prices rose more than 28% in three weeks. These are not political commentators, okay? These are academic agricultural economics, economists, thank you, doing the work of tracking what commodity disruptions mean for real food prices. Helios AI. Now, before you come at me about AI, whatever, whatever, okay, but Helios has a specific job. This is the one that I want to flag specifically because it is the most dramatic number that I've seen. And I want to be transparent about what it is and what it isn't. Helios is an AI-based platform that aggregates data across 90 countries and 77 commodities to provide real-time views of climate and economic risks affecting agriculture. Their CEO, Francisco Martinreo, was quoted in The Packer. It's a respected agricultural trade publication, and projecting that global food prices could raise 12 to 18 percent by the end of 2026. Imagine your grocery bill, 12 to 18 percent higher. Citing the fertilizer disruption combined with the spring planting preceding without full input access. Is that the base case? No. Is that possible? Yes. The range of outcomes here, it's it's wide. It's it's really wide. And I'm not telling you that 18% is locked in, not on a bet, okay? What I am telling you is that even the lower end of serious credible forecasts points to a meaningful price increase in the second half of this year. Now, I've given you the names, I've given you the institutions, and I've given you the direct quotes. Okay, now let me tell you what it means for your grocery shelf, because at the end of the day, that's what matters. Not all crops are equally dependent on imported fertilizer, and that's a really important thing to note, okay? I want to talk through the specific categories so that you know where to focus your attention because there's no sense in us focusing our attention on something that isn't going to impact us. Now, corn, wheat, and rice are the three most nitrogen-hungry major staple crops. Corn, wheat, and rice. They suck that stuff up because it's important for them. They require substantial fertilizer application to achieve the yields that modern food systems are built around. I don't care what your utopian view is. This is what is happening today. This is what we are dealing with. Modern food systems. Here is why this matters specifically. The United States produces about three-quarters of the fertilizer that it consumes domestically, right in country, okay? Which gives us partial insulation, partial, yeah, from the Hormuz disruption. But we're not insulated from global price effects. And that matters. When fertilizer prices rise 20 to 30 percent globally, US fertilizer prices move also. Not by the same amount, but they still move in the same direction. And grain prices, well, they've already moved. Corn futures rose three to eight percent in the immediate aftermath of the straight closure. Wheat rose similarly. These are commodity prices that eventually show up in bread, pasta, flour, cornmeal, cereals, you know, the foundational carbohydrate layer of most family pantries. What am I doing? This one's pretty simple. So buying flour, oats, rice pasta, and cornmeal now, okay, at current prices, and properly sealing them. Now, don't go buying them just to buy them. What I'm doing is I inventoried, I found out exactly how much I have, I did the math and determined how long that will last me, okay? And then I made my decisions based on that. So you don't want to just go willy-nilly buy. That doesn't benefit anybody, especially your pocketbook, especially with prices what they are. So you want to look at sealing them properly. And if you're looking at long-term storage, I mean more than a couple of years, okay? Definitely more than a year. You really want mylar bags and oxygen absorbers for everything except the flour. The flour, you just need airtight containers. Mylar doesn't do anything other than protect it, but you still have to rotate through it within a year to two, depending on where you live. But the rest of it, oats, flour, pasta, cornmeal, those last for a very long time, like decades. Okay. So if you buy those now, store them in Mylar with oxygen absorbers, they're good for like 20, 25 years. You can't go bad. That's an investment that you cannot go bad on. So, inventory first, then create your shopping list to get you through at least six months, okay? Hopefully a little bit more. Protein. And we're gonna look at protein crops specifically, your beans and your lentils. So we have a little bit of good news here. Soybeans, which are the foundation of a huge amount of animal feed and directly consumed as lentils, tofu, etamame, actually rose and then fell back to nearly pre-crisis levels. I told you a little bit of good news, okay? That's according to the University of Illinois analysis. So soybeans, bonus news, fix nitrogen from the air, which makes them less dependent on synthetic fertilizer than grain crops. This means legumes, beans, lentils, split peas, chickpeas are actually among the less impacted categories. Now, a little bit of good news because we need it every now and then. This means that legumes, beans, lentils, split peas, chickpeas, are actually among the less impacted categories from a fertilizer disruption standpoint. Very nice. They are also, as I've covered previously, okay, a critical source of plant protein that pairs with grains beautifully to create a complete protein meal. Beans and rice, rice and beans. My recommendation stock beans and lentils heavy right now. Now I'm not talking about obscene, okay, but I'm talking heavy. Not because they will be dramatically more expensive, they may not be, quite honestly, but because they represent your most stable, and I think that's important. Your most stable, affordable protein source in a period when you know meat prices are headed up for completely separate structural reasons. Now the compounded problem. Beef prices are high, as you all know, because the U.S. cattle herd has decreased and it's at its lowest level in 75 years. I talked about this in May. I think I talked about it last month. Okay. Um, this is a separate structural problem from fertilizer, completely different. They they had no impact on each other at that stage, okay? The USDA reports that beef and veal prices were 12.9% higher in May of 2026 than they were in May of 2025. And the wholesale beef prices that are feeding those retail prices are at an all-time high for this year. What you get when you combine a fertilizer-driven grain price increase with a structurally high beef price is a grocery bill that is getting squeezed hard from multiple directions simultaneously. These are not the same crisis. I want to be very clear about that. These are two separate crises, crises, crises, crisis, whatever, that arrived at the same time. Fresh produce, it's an import vulnerability. At the end of the day, period. Fresh produce from Mexico, which supplies 69% of fresh vegetables to the U.S. and 51% of fresh fruit imports, is under a completely separate tariff pressure. That is not the fertilizer story right there. But when you layer fertilizer-driven costs increases on farming operations that are already operating under tariff pressure, the margins get very thin very fast. The practical, practical implication about this summer produce preservation right now is as financially smart as it has ever been. What you can from your garden or from the farmer's market in July and August is bought at seasonal prices and preserved at today's costs. The alternative is imported produce in October and November of elevated prices with absolutely no negotiating power. We can't grow this stuff in the winter. And so we have to import it because everybody wants their fresh everything. Okay. That's just they have been giving us what we want. That's what we want. Now the timing and why the second half of 2026, you know, specifically, I want to address something very directly here because I think it matters for how you process this information. Agricultural supply shocks don't hit grocery stores immediately. That's not the way that it works. It's not like fuel. When the issue with the fuel, when the straight closed hit, we immediately felt it at the pump. Immediately, okay. But when you're talking about agriculture, it takes more time. There's a lag there, sometimes a long one, uh, between the input disruption and the consumer price impact. This lag has actually been working in our favor for the last few months, believe it or not. Retailers had existing inventory, they had contracts that were already in place. The full effect of the spring planting fertilizer shortage, okay. Won't be felt until those crops are harvested. When do they harvest them? This fall. The crops that were planted this spring with reduced fertilizer availability in the US, in Europe, in major agricultural regions around the world, literally, okay, come off the fields in August, September, and October. That's when the lower yield is going to be visible. That's when it shows up as a tighter supply, less availability. That is when tighter supplies, less availability, show up as higher prices. The FAO was explicit about this. They said the impact would be felt in the latter half of 2026 and into 2027. We are at the beginning window, you know, that I've been saying it for a few months now, the unprecedented window of opportunity to see what is in the future so that we can prepare for it, so that we can be ready. And that window is now in July, in August. The back half of the year has started. Here's what I want you to understand about the summer window that you are in right now, that we are in right now. This is the last stretch of time before the impact materializes, before that window closes, that window that we have an unprecedented vantage point of. Okay. What you build in the next eight to 10 weeks in July and August is your buffer against what arrives in October and November. This is not panic buying. Absolutely not. Okay. This is timing your grocery spending to match when prices are favorable rather than when they're at their worst. You are shopping ahead. And that's just smart household management. So I'm going to walk you through exactly what I'm doing right now in July, based on everything that I just told you. With the understanding that I did say that I am pretty much done long-term storing food because I think I got all my bases covered. But, you know, there's always that thing. I'm not perfect. This is not a generic stock up on things. No, that makes no sense. Uh these are specific priorities in specific orders for the next eight to 10 weeks. Something that, you know, we we need to seriously plan out, map out, and do. Priority one, seal your grains and your legumes. It's inexpensive. It doesn't cost very much. Okay. Do this first. Easiest thing possible. Rice, oats, wheat, pasta, cornmeal, uh, dried beans, lentils, and split peas. And if you use commercially ground flour and you know you're going to use 25 to 50 pounds in the next year, then go ahead and get it. Okay. These are the categories where a fertilizer-driven yield reduction will eventually show up as retail price increases. They are also categories where acting now, buying at current prices and sealing for long-term storage, is both practical and financially meaningful. Super important here. Super important, okay? And this one's not going to break the bank. Now, for the last two months, I've been telling you protein first, okay? You should have been stocking up on your protein over the last two months, May and June, because protein prices are up and they're already up due to summer, grilling season, all that other fun stuff. So that's not number one right here, because we also have to look beyond being able to afford protein or maybe adding to our protein in the form of beans and legumes, that kind of thing. But also the rice and the oats and the wheat, okay? Because they are so nitrogen thirsty. The specific products uh that I use the the mylar bags, the oxygen absorbers, you know, I will have a link for those. Uh use the size that works for you. I don't put everything in a five-gallon bucket. It makes no sense to me, actually, um, unless I know it's for super long-term storage. Otherwise, I put it in quart or gallon bags, and I put those bags sealed with a hair straightener, okay? Simple hair straightener, uh, into buckets. And then I put those up. Always mark them, always label them super important. Now, somebody's gonna ask, but how much do I get? I have also for the last couple months been saying, so I'll repeat it this time for anybody new because it's not too late, okay? Figure out what you eat every single day for two weeks, and then write it down. And then from those quote recipes, okay, create an ingredient list and how much of what you need for those two weeks. Now multiply. That's gonna tell you how much you need for two weeks, for four weeks, for two months, for three months, for six months. All it takes is a little bit of math. And we're pretty regular on what we eat, you know, as a whole, as a species. So it's not like you're trying something new every single day. No, you're eating the same food that your family enjoys on a regular basis. You know what it is. So figure that out. Create the ingredient list, do the math. That's your shopping list right there. But as just a target, if you eat them today, okay, we're looking at a family of four for a six-month buffer. So figure for six months, family of four, 50 pounds of rice, 25 pounds of oats, 20 to 25 pounds of dried beans combined, not just one kind, just all the dried beans, you know. Um, flour, especially with the holidays coming up, 25 to 50 pounds. Pasta, 20 pounds, lentils, 10 pounds. Now, if you are like me, and for our personal use, we have converted over to me milling my own wheat, then you have to do the math on that one also. Okay. Uh I think it's about for one cup of wheat, you get a cup to a cup and a half of flour once you sift it out and do all that stuff. So that's something to factor in in the flour equation. If you do most of your own baking using wheat, okay. You do not need to buy all of this at once, even though that right there, unless you know things are super tight and you're on a really strict budget, that right there will not break the bank. Uh, but if you're on a really strict, really tight budget, it will definitely hit it. So you want to stretch that out. You don't buy all of it at one time. You buy, you know, one or two categories every week as you go through. If you buy once a month, then you need to divide that and figure it out from there. Now, priority number two is summer produce preservation. You guys know my heart lies in home canning, safe home canning, because canning cheesecake is stupid, okay? So you want to, if you are a home canner or a home dehydrator or a home freeze dryer, okay, you definitely want to pay attention to doing it in season. This is time sensitive in a way that nothing else on this list is absolutely time sensitive. Summer produce season has a hard end date. And you know, we're already seeing some of it. Once it ends, that opportunity is gone for a year because then it becomes imported, which means it costs a little bit more. Now, tomatoes, peppers, green beans, corn, zucchini, peaches, whatever is in season and abundant in your area right now is at the cheapest price of the year. Absolutely, and the freshest. A 25-pound uh case of Roma tomatoes, okay, from your local farm stand or you know, a grocery store sale, if you're lucky enough to find it, which you know, um bought at 79 cents to a dollar, which is optimistic, okay, uh in July. In July produces 15 to 18 pints of crushed tomatoes that will be on your shelf in November, when comparable prices of canned tomatoes at the store are $1.89 to $2.49 each. It's always cheaper to do your own. Always. And personally, I think the quality is better. Now, that math is always good in a normal year. In a year with, you know, fertilizer-driven produce cost pressure. Yeah, that's a whole thing. That math is better than it has been in a long time, a super long time. The the arguments that, well, you know, I'm just gonna save myself time and get the store-bought stuff, rock on. Do it either way, okay? Whether you're preserving it yourself or buying the store-bought, get it now. I highly recommend preserving though, if you do it. Number three, priority number three is going to be your protein strategy moving forward. This is literally the compound problem, okay? Beef prices, you know, because they're high for completely separate structural reasons. Your protein strategy this fall needs to be multi-layered. It does. I have spent two months telling you to stock up on proteins in any way that you can to get you through so that you have a buffer as prices become more and more elevated. Ground beef, you want to buy that on sale. Pay attention to the prices in your area. I won't even toss a number out there because I have heard everything, okay? So, whatever the least expensive price is that you can find in your area, grab it, okay? Find it, grab it if you can, pressure can it. Otherwise, vacuum seal it, stick it in your freezer, and you're good. What you put up in July is priced in July. What you put up in November is priced in November. Those two numbers are very far apart, very far apart. So if I bring ground beef in, most of it goes into jars. I put it into jars, I put it on the shelf because we have a power grid that is questionable on its best day anymore. And we lose power all the time. So I'm not risking it in a freezer. I'm putting it on my shelves. And canned ground beef, I love it. Some people are super sensitive to it, okay? Um, I'm not, it's canned ground beef, exactly what it's advertised to be. It is great to get rid of the liquid, cook it down, and make it a little crispier for tacos. It's fantastic in pasta sauce, which I have bad news for all the super sensitive people. It's exactly what happens to the ground beef when you cook it in pasta sauce, anyway, and soups and stews, you know, that kind of thing. So it's perfect for those applications. Are you gonna make a meatloaf with it? Probably not, okay, but uh you won't need to. So it's good for those applications. Tacos, burritos, soups, stews, all that kind of fun stuff. Next is canned tuna and canned salmon. Any of your canned fish that you particularly like, okay, buy a case now. Just one, buy a case now. This is a protein that requires absolutely no refrigeration, lasts three to five years on the shelf, and is still reasonably priced. If you wait until fall, then you're buying into, you know, whatever the fall price environment looks like. And it's not so much the contents in the can, it's the can that the price is volatile right now. So that's your best bet there. Now, dried beans, as I mentioned, okay, they are relatively well insulated uh from the fertilizer shock because legumes fix their own nitrogen, which is why I love them so much. They are your stable, affordable protein foundation. There's a whole bunch of different ways to use them, okay? Stock them heavily if you eat them. If you don't eat them, I highly recommend trying out a few recipes. Priority number four. So this is gonna be something to work on. And remember, you're not gonna do this all at once. You're gonna do, you know, a couple from the categories, you know, as you weekly shop. Now, priority number four is your baking and your cooking staples because the holidays are tomorrow. I mean, I know people who have their Christmas shopping done already. So sugar, baking powder, baking soda, salt, cooking oils, vanilla, you know, these are the inputs that make your preserved food into actual meals. And that's important. Meals are important. The USDA is specifically forecasting sugar and sweets to rise 1.3% in a single month. That doesn't sound a lot. I mean, you know, it doesn't sound like a lot. It is. It's still a lot, it's still an increase on top of all the other increases. So baking staples bought now are baking staples priced now. And that's why you want to get them now and then store them properly. Okay. So uh practical six month supply for a typical household of four, uh, 25 pounds of sugar. The baking powder, it is not super long-lasting, it's about a year or so. Okay, so two of the large canisters, if you use it for a lot of different recipes, baking soda, three pounds, never goes bad. Salt, literally a forever food, okay. Get 10 pounds of that. Do not vacuum seal it or put an oxygen absorber in it. You will have a brick. Just put it in an airtight container. Cooking oil, get a gallon. Just get a gallon. Whatever cooking oil it is that you use. Unless you deep fry a lot, you guys, that's a whole nother issue. Okay. Now, now honestly, is a really great time to mention something uh that I believe in, and that's four jars, because what I just described is an action plan. The summer canning work, which is coming up on us, you know, requires supplies. And I am constantly asked what I use and why I use them, and that is four jars. Four jars canning lids are the best lids that I have ever used. They saved our bacon, quite literally. Well, our beef, anyway, um, in 2026, when the companies that we were used to said we don't care. And these companies stepped up, they weren't those cheap, nasty, you know, ones that ended up wasting our money and our food. Four Jars has a wonderful product. It is a wonderful company. I 100% support it. I love them. Four jars lids are what I use in my canner, and I even have a four jars pressure canner, which I do highly recommend. And bonus, there's a bonus here. I've used them through hundreds of canning sessions. They are my go-to lids, period. I have a very high seal rate, very high. Typically, if a jar doesn't seal, it's because I miss something. So I can't blame that on the lid. That's on me. For the produce work that I have been describing, you know, the tomatoes, the green beans, the ground beef, I'm using their lids. I'm using their jars, I'm using their canner. Now, they're not the only jars I use, but I don't think of a four-jars purchase as a supply cost. No, I think of it as buying insurance on the food that I'm already growing or buying on sale. It helps me build that insurance policy, that emergency fund my pantry. And it helps me do it safely and securely at the best price point out there. And that I think is a key factor. I not only went with four jars because of the quality, I went with four jars because of the price point. Their price point is dead on. It's an excellent price for an excellent product. If you're interested in any of their stuff, the link is down below. And if you use my discount code, Suttons10, then you get 10% off your entire purchase. That's a pretty good deal. Now I'm going to tell you something that I hope I'm repeating often enough for you know you to totally grasp. If I'm wrong about the severity of the prices coming in, and I have never wanted to be so wrong in my entire life, I will gladly sit here and go, I was wrong. Thank goodness. Okay. Worst case scenario, uh, you bought your fall groceries at summer prices and you saved money. And it's one less thing you got to deal with this fall/slash winter. If the institutions are right, not me, the institutions are right. You have built a buffer, a significant good buffer before the pressures arrive. That's important. It doesn't matter if it's a three-week buffer, a three-month buffer, a six-month buffer. A buffer is a buffer. Okay, now obviously the bigger the better, but any buffer is helpful. And so if you can do that before the pressure arrives, it's a great thing. There is literally no scenario in which a sensible summer pantry build turns out to be a bad decision. None. The only question is how much it helps. So to close this out, your action this summer is to build a buffer while the summer window is open. The unprecedented window showing us what's coming down the pike. Okay. Greens and legumes in Mylar, summer produce preservation, protein strategy now, while it's available at current prices. I didn't say they were good. Baking supplies before the fall demand surges. Because it's gonna, not all at once, definitely, not in a panic. That's not what we do here. Week by week, intentionally, for the next eight to 10 weeks through July and August. That's what you want to do. So if this was helpful and you think it will help somebody that you know, I hope that you will share this video. There are people in your life who I'm sure are worried about the cost of food and don't understand why. And hopefully this will answer their questions. If you like this video, not the message, but the video. Okay, I hope that you'll hit that thumbs up button. Throw me down a comment. Let me know what you're dealing with right now. And I'll see you on Wednesday when I have the rest of the story. Until next time, everybody, be safe. Keep stacking it to the rafters, my friends.