Hire To Scale

How To Take The Guesswork Out of Recruiting: Assumptions vs Deductions

JP Forno Season 1 Episode 4

INTRO

Hiring is one of the most important decisions a founder makes because the wrong person slows the business down and the right person unlocks the next level of growth. The problem is that most hiring processes are built on assumptions, first impressions, and gut feelings, which makes the entire thing feel like a coin toss instead of a system.

In this episode I break down why hiring feels unpredictable and what actually makes it predictable. I explain the difference between assumption based hiring and deduction based hiring, how to define exactly what you are looking for before you ever open a job post, and how to test for the behaviors that matter most. I also walk you through the two pillars that make up a reliable recruiting system so you can stop gambling on talent and start hiring with intention.

If you want a clear and practical way to think about recruiting, this episode gives you the foundation to build a process you can trust.


WHAT YOU WILL LEARN

  • Why most founders make hiring decisions with almost no real evidence.
  • The difference between assumption based hiring and deduction based hiring and why it matters.
  • How to define what “winning” looks like for a role before you begin recruiting.
  • How to identify the biggest constraint in your business and use it to shape the role.
  • How to design assessments that reveal real behavior instead of surface level signals.
  • How to evaluate technical competence, culture fit, and job fit with clarity.
  • A simple three step framework you can use to improve your next hire immediately.


RESOURCES MENTIONED

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