UFC Emmett vs Vallejos

Summary

The conversation covers a detailed breakdown of the upcoming UFC Fight Night, highlighting the performance of various fighters and discussing the trends in UFC fight outcomes, particularly the success of underdogs and the inconsistency of fighters. The conversation covers a range of topics including UFC fighter backgrounds, betting strategies, and March Madness predictions. The hosts discuss the importance of Muay Thai and wrestling backgrounds for UFC fighters, analyze UFC matchups and betting odds, express confidence in MMA matchup predictions, provide analysis and betting strategies for the main event, and share their predictions and betting strategies for March Madness.

Takeaways

• Underdogs winning trend
• Inconsistency of fighters UFC fighter backgrounds
• Betting strategies
• March Madness predictions

Transcript

SPEAKER_00 0:00

Let's go. Uh welcome to Mike Tep and Misinformed with your host Lunch Money and Mad Dog. This week we're going to break down tomorrow, Saturdays UFC Fight Night, Emmett vs. Vallejos. And then we're going to give out each of our top three to five picks in March Madness of who's going to win the tournament this year. So let's get straight into it, man.

SPEAKER_01 0:22

Let's go, baby. This this is a decent card, actually. I know the last podcast I said there wasn't any good cards coming up, but this one's pretty good. I will say, dude, for the BMF title, they need to get two scrappers in there, bro. We can't have someone laying and praying for a BMF title. That's all I'm going to say.

SPEAKER_00 0:39

Yeah. And you know what? I feel like we did really good last week, asides from the main event. Like I gave out like a plus six, six hundred and eighty parlay. And if you would have hedged on the max fight, you know, Charles was plus money too. So regardless, you could have hedged for a win-win, and then I my sure thing parlay was um somebody with Max. I can't think of the first leg, but he won relatively easy, too.

SPEAKER_01 1:04

Max Max kind of messed up our profits last week. We should have hedged it. I should have gone and hedged it, but I I really thought Max was gonna win, dude.

SPEAKER_00 1:12

Hey, that's what happens sometimes, man.

SPEAKER_01 1:15

I mean, he just stuck to the game plan, kept it close, kept going for the single leg takedown, wouldn't let Max get up. And then Max's regards, I mean, he never got submitted. He got close. I think he might have like subbly tapped on that one, too.

SPEAKER_00 1:29

I thought he did too, bro.

SPEAKER_01 1:31

I thought he did, bro. I thought he did.

SPEAKER_00 1:33

We were super right about Raul Rosas Jr. We said he was the lock and he won sure thing. We're both on uh Kyle Baralho, he had won too. I got I I called the Dober by knockout. Um he he knocked out Michael Johnson. And then um there's one more wild one here.

SPEAKER_01 1:51

Um I know there are people were saying that there was a hiccup with that fight, and the same thing, uh his previous fight they pulled for suspicious betting, so who knows what to believe there, but Dober got the job done. I mean that left hook just caught him and he was out cold. He even tried to get up on his knees and was like still falling back, so I don't think it was fake by no means.

SPEAKER_00 2:13

Yeah, yeah, I I thought it was a clean knockout too. It's hard to I don't know. I try not to get into the the rumors and speculation. You know, I'm sure you know the sports betting does um trigger some fights for people uh throwing fights and whatnot. But I think you know, if you're betting sports, you try your best to just not think about that because at the end of the day, there's gonna be one winner and one loser, regardless of what side you're on. You might even bet the guy that you know did what they're supposed to do for you. So you just it's hard. I just tried my best to not think about that because I think all sports there's illegal things going on, but you know, I think we're I think we're gonna all gamble regardless.

SPEAKER_01 2:54

Obviously.

SPEAKER_00 2:56

The only other underdog we also called was uh Cardi Cody Garbrett, and that long had so many um fouls, and I'm glad they called the fouls too. I think the UFC it's not it's not good yet. They still have a lot more work to do, but they're getting better about taking points from fighters who are doing whether legal eye pokes or nut shots. You know, it's regardless, it's just not acceptable, bro. And it changes the fight.

SPEAKER_01 3:20

It does change the fight. And after like three low bulls, you better do something about that, dude. I mean, he was just like bam, bam, bam. Cody's just like, are you kidding me? And he he kind of threw up in the towel right after the first one, too.

SPEAKER_00 3:33

Yeah, it's ridiculous, man. They need to do a better job of that. Oh, dude, here's something that I'm picking up on, bro. So this year, so far, um, especially lately, especially lately, the underdogs have been winning on the main card. On the main event, main event. Main event.

SPEAKER_03 3:52

Because let's look at the last let's look at the last three.

SPEAKER_00 3:57

Strickland, underdog versus fluffy, Kavanaugh, underdog versus Moreno, underdog vs. Holloway. The last three cards, the main event, the underdog has won. And then um before that was Volk beat Lopez, and they were about that was a pretty that's like a coin flip odds. Volk was a small favorite, and then before that, Gagey had um upset Pimblet at like a plus two hundred. And that was the first fight of the year. So the main the main events are four and one with the underdogs winning. I think that's something that's interesting.

SPEAKER_01 4:37

Yeah, no, I would I would say out of out of the last like the co-main and the main, guaranteed at least one underdog's won every like probably the last two months, dude. Honestly.

SPEAKER_00 4:47

Yeah, it it's it's interesting, bro. Something to kind of pick up on. And also, you know, if you do get to the last leg, I do typically like taking the favorite because it's a lot easy hedging the underdog, but I mean, regardless, if you get to the last leg and it's more than plus 200, it's definitely hedgeable.

SPEAKER_01 5:06

Yeah, we should have hedged it. I just I really thought Max was gonna win. I was like, you even texted me and told me, and I was like, no, Max has got this.

SPEAKER_00 5:14

Hey, I I agreed with you. I was like, let's ride. So I mean, you know what? That's what you get though. Like, if we would have hedged, we would have, you know, still got some money, but we wouldn't have won as much. And you know, that's what happens when you put yourself in that uh high risk, high reward situation. So I don't regret it, and I'm sure the next time we get in that situation, we'll probably end up winning. All right, so first fight of the night, we have Piero Rodriguez versus Sam Hughes. Um Pierra is 11 and 2, and Sam is 11 and 6. I know Sam is the vet here. She's had a lot more UFC fights. Um, she's been in the UFC longer and had has a better resume. Um, I'm not sure what the odds are reflecting here, though. It seems like Rodriguez is more of an up-and-comer.

SPEAKER_01 6:02

Uh Rodriguez is the then they fought once before, too. They fought once before. Rodriguez is the favorite at minus 150 and Sam Hughes at plus 130. I just feel like Sam Hughes hasn't really like changed or has grown in the UFC. I feel like she just kind of has, she just fights the same no matter what. Like, I don't know who her coaches are or how she's training, but I feel like she doesn't adapt or try to better herself. So I kind of see this one go into the same as last time. I think Rodriguez wins by decision, the same as they fought before.

SPEAKER_00 6:34

I think um I'm sure the odds are like, I'm just guessing at the top of my head, the over-under, the over is probably a minus 250, but I would just bet that this fight goes to a decision. If Sam wins, typically it she's wrestling to a decision, and I don't see Pierre being like a big finisher either, especially against Hughes, who um is is pretty defensively sound, and it she just wants to wrestle you the whole time. So whether she gets the takedown or not, it's gonna be a lot of grappling and clinch work, and I just I don't see this fight finishing at all.

SPEAKER_01 7:08

Now the over is over two and a half at minus five fifty.

SPEAKER_00 7:12

So I mean everyone's yeah, that's way yeah. That's that I'm just gonna pass in, but the over would be the best. That's actually insane. Yeah, minus five. Jeez. Alright, next fight we have um Juan Lacerda versus Hetcher Sosa. I don't know either one of these fighters, bro. I'm I'm not very familiar. I'm maybe they fought on the contender series. I I honestly do not know, so I don't really have a play here at all for you.

SPEAKER_01 7:44

So I I think you just skipped two fights, bro. You skipped Elijah Smith and uh Beatrice. Let me see.

SPEAKER_00 7:52

They are on the it shows me it shows me those they're on the main card. Or no, they're they're on the prelims. I'm on the early prelims. Like right now, it I see Sosa Lacerda and then Mosquita and Rendon.

SPEAKER_01 8:08

Alright, cool. Yeah, that's weird. On the book it says that Elijah Smith is at 245, but we'll run with it. So let me see. I'm pulling my um yeah. I mean, both of these guys are kinda uh newer, right? I do kind of like um Lacerta overall. I think he has had better competition and he he fights to win. He's he's gonna look for the sub. He's gonna try to grapple and take you down, and he he's looking to kill. This isn't gonna be you know a lay and prey scenario. He's gonna he's gonna take you down and be looking to submit you one way or another. And I don't know that much about Souza.

SPEAKER_00 8:41

Alright. Yeah, yeah, I wish I knew more about these fighters, but I guess I'll evaluate them this weekend and have more an opinion going forward. Um sorry about that too, bro. I'm looking at the I'm just going off ESPN. So if I do skip a fight, we can I can always scroll up and you're good. So next up on my uh on the card I'm looking at, we have uh Bia Mosquita versus Montserrat Rendon or Rendon. I don't know much about either of these fighters either, but I promise you going forward I will definitely have picks.

SPEAKER_01 9:16

Yeah, no, you're good, dude. I I think this is kind of the similar to literally like what I just said. I think Beatrice is gonna fight more aggressively. She's looking for the subs, she's looking to grapple and take you down, and the odds, I mean, they reflect it too. Uh at minus 750 for Beatrix and Rendon's at plus 500. So I mean they're they're looking for her to get it done. Now the over-under, it's over two and a half, is even. So I mean, I think this one, I think the I think I don't think it'll go to the distance, but it could go over the two and a half and get that late finish sub. So I like Beatrice here.

SPEAKER_00 9:53

Be a Mesquita? Yeah. Okay. Alright, well, I will be on the lookout. She's undefeated, so she must be pretty good. Yeah, sure.

SPEAKER_01 10:03

She fights aggressively. I like this.

SPEAKER_00 10:06

Alright, next up we have Brad Tavares, uh, actually two OGs in the UFC versus Eric Anders. Um, I believe I read something that said this uh this makes Brad Tavares the um this will be like his 27th UFC fight. I'm not sure which number exactly is his UFC fight, but he now has the most fights held in the middleweight division after tonight's uh Saturday's fight. I think that's interesting. So and which also means it's a special night for him, you know, that to have the the most fights in the middleweight division. And I actually like this matchup a lot for him. They're always putting Brad Tavares against, you know, he's like the gatekeeper for contenders. You know, if you got to beat Brad Tavares to be one of the guys getting ready to fight for a title shot, and Eric Anders is is quite a step down from where Tavares was fighting. So I feel like this is a great matchup for him. As long as you can get him under like a minus 250, I think Tavares is definitely a first leger of my parlay here.

SPEAKER_01 11:12

So this is what's crazy is I I like Tavares a lot too. I think he has got more experience. I think this is a good matchup for him. The odds were like minus 140, but they've shifted. People are putting money on Anders. I'm not sure why. So now it's basically a pick'em. It's a minus 110 for both. But Tavaris was the the favorite at like minus 140 yesterday. So I don't know if somebody saw something or if the weight cuts did look well. I didn't go look at the weight cuts today. Um, so I I don't know what's what difference there is there, but I I definitely like Travares, especially at a freaking pick'em, dude. I'm gonna take that all day.

SPEAKER_00 11:48

Yeah, me, I that does worry me a little bit. I didn't know that information. I'm glad you said that. But you're 100% right, bro. Um, you know, it um injuries in the camp could make a big difference, especially if they leak late right before the fight, or if they had a bad weight cut. So there's definitely a lot of factors, especially in the um, you know, up to the week before the fight, you know, a lot could change definitely, and the odds could reflect that. So I'll definitely pay attention. But as of right now, I'm still rolling with Brad Tavares.

SPEAKER_01 12:18

Yeah, I'm I'm still rolling with Tavares, dude. Unless I go see something later tonight or tomorrow, that changes my opinion. So, like you said, I don't know, maybe he was late to the scale or maybe he missed weight. I'm not sure, but I just thought it was crazy that the odds shifted so much already before the fights even started.

SPEAKER_00 12:33

Yeah, let's keep watching that because I'm sure you know a lot of money comes in the day of the fight. So tomorrow, if the odds shift even more, that will definitely be a red flag for Tavares.

SPEAKER_01 12:44

Yep.

SPEAKER_00 12:45

Next up, this is gonna be a hard first name to say here, but uh, we have uh Balachi Aki versus Manuel Sosa. Um Aki's pretty good here, bro. I think I'm taking Aki, but I don't I I haven't seen Sosa fight much, but I I do like Aki in this matchup.

SPEAKER_01 13:08

Yeah, I I don't know. It's a weird one because Aki just got KO'd, so I you know I always feel like it's a little weird coming back after getting knocked out. I don't know much about Sosa, so personally I'm gonna stay away from this one. But Aki's at plus two twenty and Sosa's at minus two seventy. Wow. And I think it was Sosa's first fight in the UFC. I think it's his first fight.

SPEAKER_00 13:30

Yeah, he's coming off the contender series where he had a knockout in round three. Um you know he you know his record is 13 and 1, so he must be serious. You're right, he got knocked out by Mason Jones. Mason Jones isn't a bad fighter, he's been in and out of the UFC. Um, and before that, he had a win by decision, and then he lost by sub to Chris Duncan. So oh, that does worry me here. I think I'm gonna you know what? I'm gonna change my mind and I'm gonna pass on this fight.

SPEAKER_01 14:07

Yeah, I mean, I like you said, I think Oki does have a good experience. I just don't know much about the other guy, and I just there's not a lot of value for me here.

SPEAKER_00 14:15

Yeah, maybe I'll sprinkle Oki the night of the fight. Um that's one of those matchups I'm gonna see where the public money lies.

SPEAKER_01 14:22

Yeah, I mean, if you like him already and at plus 220, it's worth a sprinkle for sure.

SPEAKER_00 14:27

Yeah, I think that's the underdog I do like, though. Next up we have Elijah Smith versus Su Young Yu. Elijah Smith is a new and upcomer. He's at 9-1, and Yu is 16-3. Who do you like in this matchup?

SPEAKER_01 14:43

So I but I think both of these guys have like three fights in the UFC total, right? Um, but I I think Elijah Smith, dude, I think he fights to kill. I mean, I think he comes out here and is looking for the finish. He's not, I wouldn't say he's fighting like smart or intelligently. He just goes out there and is just looking to either knock you out or take you down and submit you. I feel like he's got the better rounded game overall. So I'm definitely liking Elijah a lot on this one.

SPEAKER_00 15:10

I feel like it's looking like it could be a close fight. Uh, you know, both guys have won their last three fights in the UFC. The biggest difference that I'm looking at right here is two things. The age, Smith's 23, you is 30, so it's a seven-year age difference, and then also the reach. Smith has a six-inch reach advantage, and I think that could play that might be the the X factor in this matchup, is that reach advantage that Smith has. So I'm gonna roll with you here and take um Elijah Smith.

SPEAKER_01 15:42

Yeah, I like Smith. Mine is 270. So young you was at plus two twenty.

SPEAKER_00 15:48

It's a little bit heavy of a price. Price tag, I'd probably put Elijah Smith at like minus one eighty. So that is pretty heavy of a uh price tag there, but I guess if you want to put him in a parlay, um, that might work out for you. You could get him in a two or three team or and get it closer to even money or so. Alright, man. Next up we have uh Victor Petrino versus Steven Asplun. Asplun's an up-and-comer in the UFC. Victor Petrino is relatively new as well. You know, he's been in the UFC for the last couple years. He's pretty green and young, and Asplun just fought on the contender series like not too long ago. I know he's had one official fight in the UFC since the contender series, and he got a contender series and in his last fight, which was December 13th, both were knockout wins. So Asplun definitely has some hands. Petrino, he can get it done all three ways. He can knock you out, he can submit you or win by decision. The only weakness that I see for Petrino, and the only way that he gets uh gets uh takes a loss in this matchup is if he gases out and Asplun knocks him out late in the second or third. I feel like Petrino's gas tank isn't the best. He's so muscular, you know, he's ribbed, dude. I just he's shredded. I feel like that kind of build in the UFC, you just gas fast, man. But he's coming off. He got uh he has two he has two wins by finishes, one by sub, one by KO. His last loss um was to just Dustin Jacoby by a KO. So Jacoby knocked him out. That is a little alarming for Petrino going into this matchup. Yeah.

SPEAKER_01 17:35

That's the only thing. I think I I don't again, I'm I'm leaning towards Asplun. I'll take the odds at plus 195. I think he's got the KO power, but anything could happen in this match, honestly. I mean, any either one of these guys could get caught. I like you said, Asplun can get pulled down to the floor and he could get submitted by Petrino easily. I don't think he's got the greatest, you know, ground game. I think he really wants to stay up and stay standing. So I think whoever can control the ring for their you know overall best abilities, that's who's gonna win here. So if it's a standing match, I lean towards Asplan, but if Petrino's really able to wrestle and take him down, he'll probably get the submission.

SPEAKER_00 18:15

Yeah, I agree. Petrino's path to victory, he has to keep shooting those takedowns, whether he holds them down or not, he's gotta keep shooting. Yeah. If it stays on the feet, um asplin becomes a favorite quick.

SPEAKER_01 18:27

Yep.

SPEAKER_00 18:28

So I I like Petrino a lot here, though, and I I will tell you right now, I'm putting him in one of my plays 100%.

SPEAKER_02 18:34

I love it.

SPEAKER_00 18:36

Next up, we got Chris Curtis versus Mike, Oral Buy. What are the odds on this one, bro?

SPEAKER_02 18:50

Um, I feel like they're not too bad.

SPEAKER_01 18:56

Alright, so actually it's stacked. Oral by is at minus 350 and Curtis is at plus 275. And I mean, I I wouldn't say this is a layup, but I really think Oral Bye gets the job done. I think Chris Curtis has kind of pass his prime a little bit. And again, he definitely has the ability to catch a KO or do something crazy at any moment, but I think Oralbai's got the better hands and better conditioning in general. Whether he takes him the decision or gets a KO, I think he gets the job done.

SPEAKER_00 19:25

Yeah, I mean, he's 10 years younger. You know, Curt Chris Curtis is 38 years old, Orlbai is 28. Um, he's got all the momentum in the world right now, and he just um he just beat Jack Hermanson by knockout in his last fight. Um, and with Chris Curtis, let's see when he fought last. I feel like he hasn't fought in a while. He fought in uh last July and he beat Max Griffin in a split decision, and then he lost to Roman Kopilov and Brandon Allen to the two fights before that. I just feel like the odds are a little bit high in this matchup. It's Oral Bayer pass for me, though.

SPEAKER_01 20:03

Yep. Yeah, that's that's a parlay piece.

SPEAKER_00 20:07

Alright, next up we have uh flyweight matchup, Bruno Silva versus Charles Johnson. Who you got?

SPEAKER_01 20:15

Well, I'm kind of torn on this one a little bit, dude, to be honest with you. But uh I would say the biggest difference to me is Charles Johnson's kind of been on a little bit of a winning streak, dude. And he's he beat Kavanaugh, he beat Joshua Van. So I feel like this is like his last time to really push and try to go somewhere with his career. So I'm leaning towards Charles Charles Johnson overall. I I don't know, this is kind of a tough one, man. And the odds are Charles Johnson minus 170, Silva plus 145. But I mean, by all means, dude, Silva could get the job done.

SPEAKER_00 20:50

Yeah, I feel like it should be a pick a matchup here. Silva really struggles with good strikers. Out of his last five fights, his two losses were to Joshua Van and Manel Cop. So, you know, and those are the cream of the crop of the division. So uh respect there. Um, he beat Park by sub in his re most recent fight. So I feel like Bruno's path to victory is to submit you or get you on the ground. Um both guys are age 35. Um, Silva has a little bit more miles on the tank. Charles Johnson's a little newer to MMA, even though he's older. Um Johnson is such like he's so unpredictable in his fights. You know, he like you said, he beat Joshua Van, which is the current champion, um, which who Bruno actually lost to. But two of his last three fights, he's lost. I mean, the the only thing I would I would say Johnson is uh lock here, but but the fact that he lost to Alex Perez in his last last fight, who's more of a wrestling type of fighter, you know, Alex Perez KO'd him. And I feel like Charles Johnson just he's not very consistent, man, because if he puts it together, Bruno Silva struggles against strikers, and Charles Johnson's a really good striker. But um I just don't know what I'm gonna get out of Johnson consistently. But if I had to pick up pick a fighter here, I'm gonna take Charles Johnson. I'm gonna look for him to get his get a rebound from that Alex Perez loss.

SPEAKER_01 22:14

Yeah, I think this is his kind of last real hurrah here, 40 ages out.

SPEAKER_00 22:19

Yeah, both these guys are like kind of stuck in the middle of the rankings in the division. Like I feel like they're like both between like 10 top 10 to 20 ranking.

SPEAKER_01 22:30

Yeah, I'd say 15. I'd give them both like right in that 15 area, like you said.

SPEAKER_00 22:35

Yeah, they're respectable, but probably not eat. I wouldn't say either one of them is a contender or will ever be in the top five, respectfully. Alright, next up we have um uh light heavyweight bout, Ian Kutilaba, the Hulk versus Omar C or Omar Sai. Sai is 12-1, and Kutalaba's been in the UFC for a really long time, man. He's 19-11. He's only 32 years old, though. That's pretty crazy. He must have got to the UFC super young.

SPEAKER_01 23:10

He looks much yeah, he looks much older too. I just feel like the same thing. I feel like Ian doesn't fight consistent all the time. You just don't know which version of you're gonna get out of him. Sometimes he shows up and he completely controls the ring and does his job and does very well. Other times I don't know if he gets in his own head or just maybe training or other things behind the scenes, but I feel like he gets in there and he's just he's not like actively aggressive or he's not punching enough to get the you know the win on the scorecard. So it's really hard for me to want to bet on Ian overall. So I'm taking Cy here for sure, man. I think he he either wins by knockout or just go straight up goes to the decision.

SPEAKER_00 23:49

Yeah, I like Csai a lot. If you're on the Kutilaba side, I would say um first round or bust, but I like Csai to win anything beyond the first round pretty confidently, especially if it was to make it to a decision. So um, and I like Kutilaba a lot, but and he's dangerous. You know, he is he's not alone he's 19 and 11 for a reason, bro. It's like every time in his career where he started to get momentum, he usually kind of stops himself and gets back in that uh he just stays kind of in the middle of the pack.

SPEAKER_01 24:25

Yeah, so I don't know if there's like a mental block or something when he gets to a like a bigger, you know, show, it's like all of a sudden he loses. I don't know, it's just weird. I don't even know what they say.

SPEAKER_00 24:35

It's kind of like how I was talking about Michael Johnson last week, where he gets on these win streaks and then he kind of beats himself in a sense. Like he just has this mental block he can't get over. And in Kutzalaba, I'm not comparing them because Kutzalaba's always been a little bit lower in the rankings. Michael Johnson's been he's been up there in the top of the top.

SPEAKER_02 24:54

Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 24:54

Um Kutzalaba is the same way. I just feel like he has this mental block of why he's not progressing in the sport. Yep. Alright, next up we have Harry Hardwick versus Marwan Rahiki. Uh Rahiki is 7-0. Uh Harry is 13-4. It's a featherweight bout. Who do you like in this one?

SPEAKER_01 25:15

Um, I don't really know much about either of these guys, dude. Honestly, overall, I I do like uh Rahiki's got 100% finish rate. I mean, every fight he's fought, he's finished. And the odds are 270 for Rahiki and Hardwick at plus 220. So I mean, I would lean towards the favorite here for sure, just because of the record. And again, if you're finishing everybody every time you get in the ring, that you're you're hungry. You're ready to get the job done.

SPEAKER_00 25:42

So it's showing that um Hardwick his he came from Cage Warriors and he's had one fight in the UFC and he got knocked out in the first round. So, in my opinion, since he got knocked out in the first round in that last fight, and it was his only fight in the UFC, I'm gonna assume that he took the fight on short notice and the UFC gave him like a two or three fight contract. Kind of like what they did with Chris Martino version O'Malley. They're like, hey, thanks for taking the short notice. We'll give you a couple fights in the UFC, you know, as a token of gratitude. And with this one, this is Hardwick's just another fight to have in the books. He's got nothing to lose, but Rahiki's gonna dominate him here, man.

SPEAKER_01 26:26

Yeah, I mean that that's what the stats tell me. The Rahiki's just gonna go get in and get the job done.

SPEAKER_00 26:33

Yeah, I think Rahiki. What what's odds on that one again?

SPEAKER_01 26:36

Minus 270. The under two and a half is at minus 155.

SPEAKER_00 26:42

Okay. Interesting. Yeah, I'll I'll take I'll I'll still take Rahiki. I do want to know, I know it doesn't hold a lot of weight. However, Patty Pemblet was a Cage Warriors champion before coming over. But um, before Hardwick had came over to the UFC, it looks like he was the champion and defended his belt three times uh before coming over. And again, I know it's Cage Warriors, but you know, he he does have you know a resume of being a champion in another organization, so that's something to note and respect a little bit.

SPEAKER_02 27:16

For sure.

SPEAKER_00 27:18

But man, it's kind of hard with some champions. Like you get freaking um uh what's his name? Uh oh what that who's that wrestler uh Patchy Mix. You get Patchy Mix, who is a champion at Bellator and PFL, and loses every fight in the UFC, and then now he was in a this whole other organization, he got knocked out. Did you see that?

SPEAKER_01 27:41

No, I didn't.

SPEAKER_00 27:43

He was in a super low-level organization and got knocked out a couple weeks ago.

SPEAKER_01 27:47

Like interesting.

SPEAKER_00 27:49

But yeah, if you're not UFC champ, it's hard to for it to be well respected in in MMA for the fans.

SPEAKER_02 27:58

Yeah, for sure.

SPEAKER_01 27:59

Yeah, it's just the league. You're good. It's just the leagues are so different, right?

SPEAKER_00 28:06

Yeah, bro. The talent is is just completely different. I mean, you'll get like this is a once-in-a-lifetime kind of guy, but like Alex Pereira coming over, you know, as a world kickboxing champion. That's very rare where somebody like that comes over and dominates the sport of UFC. And, you know, respect to him. And also, I feel like coming from where he did, um, you got like Adasanya, uh, Dustin Jacoby. I I think Muay Thai translates a lot better than other sports coming into the UFC.

SPEAKER_01 28:38

Yeah, for sure. Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 28:40

The base to be a good UFC fighter, you either have to have a really good Muay Thai background or a really good wrestling background. Because even if you're good at jujitsu, I mean that's kind of like, you know, you don't really you don't even see like our uh what's it called? Uh you don't see like you you don't see very many submissions anymore, period. But you don't see as many triangles, you never uh arm bar. You never see arm bar submissions anymore.

SPEAKER_01 29:05

When's the last time you saw like a Kimura, dude?

SPEAKER_00 29:08

That's uh everyone knows how to uh wiggle out a bit or which direction the only guy that's doing any submissions with people's legs is Volter Walker, Johnny Walker's brother. But yeah, you you know I think jujitsu is important, but you're just it's not being utilized in a sport as much because people are learning how to defend it, which is a bigger advantage than being able to even look at Rhonda Rousey coming from the judo or judo.

SPEAKER_01 29:34

Like at first she was kicking ass, but once people kind of figured it out, then it was like she wasn't a big deal anymore, you know.

SPEAKER_00 29:40

Yeah, and another judo person, Kayla Harrison, who came over and has been extremely effective and dominant with her. In my humble opinion, I think one, she works harder than most female athletes. Kayla Harrison is just a freak in the gym, but also she's a huge weight bully, bro. She on Come Fight Night, she's probably 20, 30 times pounds bigger than her opponent every fight. And I'm not saying that's an excuse to why she wins, but when you're that heavy and your judo and wrestling's that good, it tri it it's a little bit easier for you.

SPEAKER_01 30:15

For sure. No, that helps tremendously.

SPEAKER_00 30:18

All right, next up we got Andre Feely versus Jose Miguel Delgado. Delgado is 10 and 2. Andre Feely's been in the UFC since dinosaur ages, it feels like. And he's not like really you would think he'd be like almost 40 now. He's 35 years old, which is older, especially for the featherweight division. But man, feely has just always kind of held his ground as being like a gatekeeper, in my opinion, for good fighters.

SPEAKER_01 30:46

Yeah, for sure. Yeah, I think he's you know, he's like in the top 12 to 8 basically at any given time, right? I do like Feely's experience here over Delgado overall. The odds are crazy, though. Delgado's at minus 450 and Feely at plus 335. So I'm gonna lean towards the underdog here, man. I think the experience might outtake it, and he might get the the W.

SPEAKER_00 31:07

You know what's crazy too, bro, is for the odds to be that heavily favored towards Delgado. Delgado's last fight was a loss, a decision loss to Nathaniel Wood. And isn't that crazy? Nathaniel Wood is a decent fighter, but you would think it for what you see for the odds for this Saturday, you would have thought Delgado's been would have knocked out Nathaniel Wood in the first round. So I think the value definitely 100% lies on Andre Feely. I think it's take Feely or Bust here, and especially that big of an underdog. That's kind of crazy to me, bro.

SPEAKER_01 31:44

Isn't that crazy? Yeah, so I'm definitely taking Feely because I think the underdog value is there 100%.

SPEAKER_00 31:50

Alright, let's do it, bro. Let's take Feely, let's sprinkle Feely. And then next matchup, I bro, I feel so confident about this one. Like, so so so confident. We got Amanda Lemosh versus Jillian Robertson. You want to start it off?

SPEAKER_01 32:06

I mean, Robertson's just riding the momentum, man. I mean, she's a freaking beast in the ring, dude, like in every aspect, too. When's the last time Lemos fought?

SPEAKER_00 32:16

Lemos, I'll pull her up right now. So Lemos uh lost to uh Tiana Suarez. Um, she lost in a decision in September of 2025. So last year during September, and then before that, she beat Lucindo, and then she lost to Verna Jandaroba. She did beat McKenzie Byrne, though, before that.

SPEAKER_01 32:41

Yeah, active. Which I was gonna say, uh, Lemo's had a good couple of years there, and she looked like she was climbing the ranks, but I think I think she's kind of like that, like a gatekeeper again. I think she's kind of you know in the top ten area, but I don't know if she'll ever quite make it to the contender spot. But I think Gillian dude has just got nothing, nothing but sky above her, man. I think she can really keep growing and keep going the right direction, and she has all the momentum going into this fight. I mean, if she if she wins this, everyone's gonna know her name.

SPEAKER_00 33:11

Yeah, I feel like she has um in I think I want to say she has the most finishes in um in the straw weight division's history, too. She's definitely like in the top five with finishes. Um, she's super grappling, wrestling heavy. She wants to take you to the ground and maul you throw elbows, choke you out, find a submission. Her her game is definitely to get you on the ground, though, 100%. If it's standing, that's Lemosh's world. But uh Amanda gets taken down super easy and often. And um Lamosh has only been on the decline, too, in my opinion. She's 38 years old. Robinson is coming in, Robertson's coming into her prime at only 30 with tons of UFC experience as well for being a 30-year-old. Um I feel like the odds Roberts should be a minus 500 right here, in my opinion. I think she is an absolute lock, bro.

SPEAKER_01 34:05

Yeah, they have her minus 220, and Lamos is at plus 180. So I mean the.

SPEAKER_00 34:10

If you're taking Lamush, you have to take her by knockout. Maybe Jillian shoots and Lamush throws up a knee, or maybe hits her with an elbow in, but that's her only path to victory. She gets taken down too easy and too often, and that's just Robertson's world. I think that this is a horrible stylistic matchup for Lamosh.

SPEAKER_01 34:29

Yeah, I think Robertson's definitely gets the job done here. I think I think like you said, I think this is the lock of the night, dude, for sure.

SPEAKER_00 34:37

Yeah, and the odds, I love the odds. I think those are great odds.

SPEAKER_01 34:40

Yeah, minus 220. That's good.

SPEAKER_00 34:43

Alright, bro. We finally made it to our main event of the evening. We got old man Josh Emmett, UFC veteran, versus Kevin Vallejos, who's an absolute dude, both of them are in great shape. I'll say both of them are in great shape, but Vallejos is a unit, bro, and he's only 24 years old. Emmett, for being in the featherweight division, is 41 years old.

SPEAKER_01 35:07

Well, I mean, like you said, it's crazy. I mean, he's been around forever. He spotted everybody. The only thing I would say is I think Josh Emmett has a chance in, let's say, the first one and a half rounds. And then that age factor, I think he starts to get gassed out a little bit. His power starts to suffer a little bit. And Vallejos is, I mean, he's just again riding the momentum. He could KO anybody anytime. I think this is gonna be a great stand-up match, dude. Um, Emmett definitely could try to go in and start wrestling a little bit if he feels like he doesn't have the ability to stay standing, but I think Vallejos can get the job done on either side of it, dude, whether it's standing or down on the ground. And the odds are. I'm taking Vallejos, yeah. Minus 550. And Emmett at plus 410.

SPEAKER_00 35:55

You know who I'm going with?

SPEAKER_01 35:57

You're Emmett. I could tell already by the way you're looking at me.

SPEAKER_00 36:00

Josh Emmett by knockout. I feel like um his his experience is going to come in handy here. Um Vallejos has the most um paths to victory. I think he could get a sub. He could um he could he could definitely win the decision. He mixes it up a little bit better, but Josh Emmett has that nasty, lethal right hand. And I think that he's gonna land that this fight. Vallejos is super young, he's only 24 years old. This is definitely a fight he could lose and look back on and gain a lot of experience and grow from this fight. And again, I just feel like I I like taking the younger fighters, but at only 24 years old. I just don't feel like I feel like this is a big step for him. And I think Emmett's gonna Emmett is one in one and four, one and five in his last five fights. Yeah, um, I want to say one in four for sure. But this is this is a very winnable fight for him. I think Vallejos um will get overconfident and Emmett's gonna knock him out. And it's five rounds to do so too, bro.

SPEAKER_01 37:05

And that's what that's why I said I think in the first, uh yeah, it is five rounds. In the first one and a half rounds, I mean, Emmett by all means has the ability to uh get a KO. And like you said, I mean he's he's like a little bulldog, dude, is the best way to describe him. I mean, he's got the power, he'll shoot in on you, and he'll dirty box you, he'll hit you from the outside. Yeah, so I think if it goes longer than two or you know, into the third round, I think Vallejo's has definitely got the but in minus 550, there's just not a lot of value. Or put it at the end of your parlay and you know, hedge it easily at plus what 550.

SPEAKER_00 37:40

And I'm thinking too, like this might, I might, you know, I could totally be wrong here, but I'm thinking Emmett's live for all five rounds here because even though he is older, um it when it gets into the later rounds, Vallejos hasn't had that kind of experience where he's fought deep in a five-round before either. Emmett has a lot more experience with possibly cardio here in this matchup, too. Um, because training versus being in that, I wouldn't know. But training versus being in that those five-round wars, I feel like that's just a totally different breed. And let's look at Emmett's last four losses. You know, it's ugly to be one and four in your last fights, but Yusuf Zalal, uh contender, not at the top of the list, but contender. Lero Leron Murphy is might is fighting for the title after uh Evalov. No, isn't he fighting Evelob for a title shot?

SPEAKER_01 38:34

That's yeah, I think so.

SPEAKER_00 38:35

I think that's the that's the top contender fight. And then he lost to Ilya Taporia, who nobody can mess with. And then he lost to Yair Rodriguez, who is top five in that division. So his losses, he's only losing to the best fighters in that division. And Vallejos, like I said, 24 years young. And I I would probably take Vallejos, like if you told me it was a coin flip, but with the odds like that, I think Emmett, I feel like the Vallejo should have been like minus 165. So for the odds to be that, it makes me want to slam Emmett, bro.

SPEAKER_01 39:11

I love it, yeah. I love it, dude. I'm still keeping Vallejo overall, but I I mean I think Josh definitely has the chance and the ability to get a KO, especially early.

SPEAKER_00 39:21

And if he's plus like you know, three something, if you're 410. So if you take him by KO, you're probably getting him up to play probably plus five, six hundred.

SPEAKER_02 39:33

Oh, yeah, probably. Let's see if we'll have it up here quick. Yeah, Em it by KO plus eight hundred.

SPEAKER_01 39:43

That's a lot of that's crazy. I kind of like that actually, dude. I would do that. I kind of think he does have the ability to do it in the first two rounds. I think after that he starts to I think the age just factors into the conditioning aspect. But I I think he definitely has the ability to get a KO by all means, dude.

SPEAKER_00 40:03

Because if your parlay or whatever you take does get to that last fight, it's an easy hedge for you. So totally understandable. And also, like we talked about earlier, bro. The last three main events, the underdogs have won. This year so far is the year of the underdog main events.

SPEAKER_01 40:21

Yeah, it's crazy. I agree, Junior.

SPEAKER_02 40:23

I don't know if the books are doing it on purpose or they're just messing with people psychologically. Alright, man. I got a banger parlay for you.

SPEAKER_01 40:33

Alright, so I just did one parlay, one unit, and it's uh Orl by to win against Curtis, Elijah Smith against Yu Young, and I took Vallejo at the last one because I knew I could hedge it.

SPEAKER_02 40:46

I like it, bro. Plus one on physics, so it's basically just even money. Okay. Um, so this is what I'm doing.

SPEAKER_00 41:04

I'm doing a max bet, straight bet on Jillian Robertson. I know I know it's a super ugly minus 220, but I'm saying I'm putting like if I bet let's just say if I'm betting usually like one unit, I would put like four or five units on this one. Like I I would go pretty heavy on straight up Jillian Robertson here. Um so if I've if I'm a one unit better, I would bet four or five on Robertson straight up. I just feel so confident about that.

SPEAKER_02 41:34

And then I would put um I would put one unit on Emmett and a quarter unit on Emmett by knockout. That's that's what I'm saying. One unit on Emmett, one unit on Emmett and then a quarter unit on him by knockout.

SPEAKER_00 41:59

So that way if if the Robertson bet bet, which it won't, loses, then Emmett could save the day or just leave me in shambles. But Emmett could bring all that back.

SPEAKER_01 42:12

And then a quarter unit you said, right, on knockout? Yeah. Alright, done, dude. So I did four units on Robertsons, and then one and then a quarter.

SPEAKER_00 42:22

Okay. Yeah, I like that. And I mean, I do like other plays, like we could give like a joint long one here, but th those are like if I'm serious better, that's what I'm thinking, bro.

SPEAKER_01 42:33

No, I like that, dude. And then let me pull this back up. Um, yeah, I mean we if you want to just do like uh kind of a little bit of a crazy one and just do it for a quarter unit, I'm giving it that.

SPEAKER_00 42:46

Let's do it. So let's do Elijah Smith. I'll try to pick ones we both like. Do you like Charles Johnson too over Bruno Silva?

SPEAKER_02 42:55

Yes, yep.

SPEAKER_00 42:56

Alright, let's take that.

SPEAKER_02 42:58

Let's take Cy over Kutalaba for sure. Let's take this one.

SPEAKER_01 43:09

I'm putting Robertson on one too. I'm putting Robertson's on that one too.

SPEAKER_00 43:13

Yeah, I'm putting yeah, I feel crazy, so. Um and then let's put uh I mean that's at plus 330 already. Yeah, let's do that. Let's do I feel conf because I was gonna add uh Rahiki, but I'm a little bit nervous. I feel like Harry Harry might have had a fluke loss, so let's just leave that one off and do the other ones like alright.

SPEAKER_02 43:35

I like that, dude. So I'll do that one for a half unit, and that pays you know a unit and a half, so three plus three thirty-eight. So I like that. Okay, let's do it.

SPEAKER_01 43:49

Bam, so we're riding kind of heavy this week, especially on Robertson's.

SPEAKER_00 43:54

Yeah, dude, she's gonna make her break it, but I just dude, thirty-eight to age thirty, Robert. Robertson's got all the momentum. You know, she she puts in the work. Lemosh has already been there, done that. She's had title shots, and she's only been declining. You know, it's gonna have to be a really lucky knockout. And I just feel like Robertson should be a minus 400 in this matchup. Like, genuinely, I just feel that way. And the dogs are giving her giving her some free money.

SPEAKER_01 44:23

I love it, dude. Alright, well, we'll just make a comeback this week, dude, and get the job done.

SPEAKER_00 44:28

Yeah, hey, you know what? We're coming out for blood since we freaking didn't hedge. Dude, it's so frustrating, like not hedging, because we would have like if we would have hedged, we would have like been up like two or three units because we had a lot, a lot of money on the line. But again, that's what you get for riding, and we we'll live with that. But just know this week we're gonna bet smart, and uh, you know, it's not gonna be the prettiest plays that we do, but if Robertson does win, now we're rolling into next week and can't we can get a little greedier again.

SPEAKER_01 44:58

Yep, exactly. That's it. We just gotta get the bank roll back up and then we can start going for it.

SPEAKER_00 45:03

If Robertson wins and Emma gets the KO, bro, we're eating some steak dinners, bro.

SPEAKER_01 45:09

Yeah, we're in good shape, dude.

SPEAKER_00 45:10

We're eating good. So all right, so let's go ahead and uh oh wait, do you want to give a Martingale? I know you usually give those out for the cards. What do you got? What are you thinking for that, bro?

SPEAKER_01 45:22

Because you usually snipe on those. I at least do all you have to do is just hit one of the three fighters, essentially. I just need one of the three. So I took Rodriguez, which I think is the first fight of the night, and then uh Smith, and then Tavares. Those are my three. The only thing I don't like is Tavares is the line is slipping like crazy. So I might I might have to modify it or change it depending on what else I see, but I think I'm still gonna ride with Tavares because I don't think it's gonna get that far. I think Elijah gets the job done, if not the first one, dude.

SPEAKER_00 45:51

So yeah, I was gonna say, hopefully the first two legs. I would say maybe put Robertson as your last leg, but I know she is minus 220, so you'd have to put quite a bit of units on that, but I'm cool with what you got.

SPEAKER_01 46:03

Yeah, that's the only bad part. I try not to I try to keep them like it right at minus 200 or less, because then it just kills it. So it's I started with 100 and it's up to I want to say 184 or something, just by doing even just to win like five bucks, eight bucks, ten bucks every card. So this time I'm trying to win like between ten and fifteen dollars.

SPEAKER_00 46:23

Where are we at from uh the beginning of the podcast? I know we lost some units last week. How many are we down now?

SPEAKER_01 46:30

Yeah, well, we're still up at half unit technically. So I mean we're we still haven't lost, but that that's just because we got smacked so hard last week, dude. So if we if we can kill it this week, we're we're way up again. So then we can start going a little heavy. And again, I think that's where the bankroll management comes in play, not going crazy all the time, trying to get you know a couple good wins in and then try to smack something. And I mean, we just if we would have hedged, we still would have been up, probably, like you said, three or four units easy.

SPEAKER_00 46:58

Hey, bro, and I'm just saying, like, you know, it's unfortunate. Like, I I know as we do the podcast, more and more people will, you know, we'll get more viewers and followers over time, but bro, we're giving out bangers, like gems on the podcast. Like, dude, our plays were given out. If you just listen to our podcast, there's so many plays that we're giving out that we don't put on our official best slips that are cash in, like that Dober by knockout. That um a couple weeks ago, I took somebody by decision, it was like a plus eight hundred. Um, I mean, we're we're giving out like gassers, dude. So yeah, first trigger. If you're following along, you're definitely making some money.

SPEAKER_01 47:37

Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 47:38

Even then last Cody Garbra in his underdog, what was he like plus like almost 200 or something?

SPEAKER_01 47:44

Yeah, it was high too, because I thought it was crazy because I thought it was gonna be more of a pick em and I saw that and I was like, I'm taking Cody for sure. Yeah, dude.

SPEAKER_00 47:53

Um, yeah, you know, and if we go on a cold streak, fit, you know, do whatever you want, but we're giving out bangers. And you know, we've been doing this for a while now, months, and you know, we're we're just up in our units, you know. It's it's hard to stay up. Usually, if you're five, you know, if you're winning 50% clip, you're considered a great sports better and gambler in general. So the fact that we're probably sending like 55% after we just had a horrendous not hedging card, um, that's pretty impressive.

SPEAKER_01 48:23

Really, if we would have hedged it, we would have been fine. So it that's my fault. And I think honestly, too.

SPEAKER_00 48:29

No, because you you you consented, like we talked about it, so it's no big deal. We both wanted to ride that out. So yeah. All right, so going into uh March Madness, bro. I know we talked a little bit about it last week with a couple teams to who might win it all. Um, up to date, you know, it is Friday right now as we're recording this. Starting next week, around Thursday, Friday, the tournament will be rolling the first and and uh for the first round and second round will be later on next week. Who's your top? Um, I don't know how many you want to give, three to six teams that you think could win all of March Madness, the last standing team in America for men's college basketball.

SPEAKER_01 49:10

I don't know, dude. It's kind of tough, man, because you're starting to see people fade out a little bit, but I really would say I still like Michigan. I like Arizona, of course. Uh I think it's this I think this is our year, honestly. Um I think depending on what happens against your boys, Kansas, and Houston tonight, that could kind of trigger me to go back on the Kansas side. I feel like they the last like three games, they kind of had a little bit of a slump, but it seems like they've been kind of going back in the right direction. Um I mean, I think Iowa State still has a chance, dude. Honestly, I know everyone's on Duke, but I don't really see Duke winning it this year. But I'll I'll probably end up eating my words at the end of the year.

SPEAKER_00 49:50

Alright, dude. So I got a whole bunch of teams I'm gonna call out and say they're fraudulent, too. Um, no, okay. My first thing I'm gonna say, bro, I'm so confident. I don't want to jinx I'm knocking on wood right now, but Arizona is a lock to win March Madness. Like, put your car, your house, everything you own, put your 401k, your 401B, put it all on Arizona because, dude, they are the best team in college basketball by a landslide. Like, I don't think there's a close team to them. I think Michigan is good, but they're not near, they're not on Arizona's level. Duke, same thing. Um, Houston's super fraudulent. I I like Iowa State a lot. I think they could be a really they could definitely make the final four at least. Um Alabama's can be scary, Arkansas. Um Florida's I don't think Florida's gonna go real far. Maybe Elite Eight higher ceiling. Khan's super fraudulent. Don't put a dime on on Connecticut. I think they're not gonna do anything in the tournament. Um I just I think this is Arizona's year. They haven't won a championship, I believe, since what, 97?

SPEAKER_03 51:06

Yeah, it's 98.

SPEAKER_00 51:09

It was 97, 98 was the last time they won a championship, and they've they've gotten out in early rounds in recent years, and you know, I feel like after transitioning from um Sean Miller to Tommy Lloyd, they've just turned a leaf and they're a completely different team. Tommy Lloyd has has some stability, he's really um taken over the program and molded it into the way that he wants it ran. Their their resume and their record has really reflected that. And their only losses was to Texas Tech, who's gonna be a tournament team, and to Kansas, who, you know, they also beat undefeated Iowa State at the time when they were like 16 or 17 and oh. So um Arizona's only losing to cream of the crop teams. And even tonight, you know, we just watched them play Iowa State, and Iowa State was up at halftime, and even in close games, Arizona finds ways to win.

SPEAKER_01 52:06

Yeah, I mean, Iowa State was leading the whole time, and they started out like 12 points ahead in the first few minutes. And yeah, I think Arizona's a better second half team. So again, I don't know if it's conditioning or coaching or strategy. They always just find a way to get the job done. Um, and I feel like the Kansas game, we were winning the whole time, and you guys just rallied at the end and ended up beating us at the very end right there.

SPEAKER_00 52:29

Yeah, yeah, I feel Kansas is is it's tough being a fan because we could beat any team any given night, but we could also lose to any team on any given night. I mean, Kansas could be a first-round bust in the tournament or make it to the Final Four. So it's hard to if if I wasn't a Kansas fan, it would be hard to want to bet on them because they're just such a box of chocolate team. You just really know never know what you're going to get. There's two other teams that I think are really good dark horses. St. John's, they've they're they've been a little streaky lately, but St. John's is still a really good dark horse, and Wisconsin is on fire right now. Look for Wisconsin to maybe make a deep run in the tournament. They just beat Illinois in their Big Ten tournament today in the quarterfinal. Definitely a team to watch out for, and you can get really good payout on Wisconsin still, too.

SPEAKER_01 53:20

Plus 9,000. Wisconsin's at plus nine thousand. That's crazy.

SPEAKER_00 53:24

Bro, that's that's a beautiful, beautiful bet to sprinkle on. I mean, even if you're like, heck no, they couldn't win the tournament, put five bucks on them, bro.

SPEAKER_01 53:35

Sprinkle it right now. I'm just gonna listen to you, man.

SPEAKER_00 53:38

Put a put a fiver on Wisconsin. They're a team that they won't make you feel crappy about betting on them. I mean, when you get anything above plus five thousand, if they make it to the sweet sixteen, dude, that that entertainment alone paid for my bet. I'm happy if they just make a whole run.

SPEAKER_01 53:55

I love it, dude. That's crazy.

SPEAKER_00 53:57

Yeah, watch out for them. So, anyways, th those are some of our picks to win it all. I, you know, we both agree it's Arizona's tournament to lose. And also, um, even though they're top 3-4 team to bet to win the tournament, Arizona is going to be favored in every single game they play. There's not one team that I believe other than possibly Michigan, who if Arizona is matched up against, they won't be the favorite. So if you do take a team, you know, one of those top three, four teams that you really believe in the way we do, um, it's it's not a bad hedge because they're gonna be so highly favored. I mean, Arizona in the first two rounds are gonna be favored by double digit points.

SPEAKER_01 54:38

I'm sure, dude, exactly. Yep. Yeah, so then there's just so another good thing is like even if you take one or two fighters now and then just put whoever you like for the conference winner, and just do it for a smaller portion or uh, you know, a tenth of a unit that you normally would do, and just start building those up a little bit too. Because then you can just start really getting stacked up even more.

SPEAKER_00 54:59

Yeah, that's something that's pretty fun to do too, is like I I'm I personally do mostly future bets for my betting style. And um, all of the time, if there's like a UFC fight where I'm like, oh, like Jillian Robertson is a lock for me. I'm gonna put Robertson on like three or four parlays with teams who might win the NCAA Championship or the NBA finals or the uh major league baseball, the World Series. You know, you can even do hockey, but it's fun to do future bets with whoever you think might win on a Saturday while you're sitting back watching and enjoying the fights. Oh, yeah, absolutely. I mean, you take uh Jane Robertson uh in Arizona, Arizona's like plus four fifty to win it all. And now if you put Robertson on that at the minus like two twenty, that's gonna boost Arizona to possibly plus six fifty, seven hundred.

SPEAKER_01 55:58

Yeah, exactly. Yep, 100%, dude. So I think sometimes that's a good way to do it. I know you do it a lot, you get crazy. Uh shit, what was your World Series last year? Was it the Dodgers?

SPEAKER_00 56:11

Yeah, that was the biggest bet that I ever won in my life. It the I had I had like 12 tickets that they all cash, but the one that was a lot was it was a $25 bet for $10,000, five ten thousand five hundred dollars. So that was the best hit that I've ever had in sports betting. It totaled out with the 12 tickets, it totaled out to about 19,000, but that was my biggest win in sports betting ever. So hopefully I can do it again someday.

SPEAKER_01 56:45

Off a $25 bet to win $10,000. I mean, that's that's insane, bro. That's like that's literally like a lottery ticket. That's like a progressive exactly.

SPEAKER_00 56:54

It had um Yukon, Yukon men's basketball. It had uh I want to say the Kansas City Chiefs whenever they won the Super Bowl, and then later that year the Dodgers won the World Series. I I think that was the ticket.

SPEAKER_01 57:15

You were so stacked up, dude. You had so many tickets going, it was crazy.

SPEAKER_00 57:19

Yeah, that was that was a good vibe right there. But you know what? I'm looking to do it again. Um, yeah, I'm yeah, but if you're a serious better, take uh Arizona to win it all, man. I feel crazy about him, and I hate Arizona like personally. No offense to you. You know, I almost want to like him because of you, but one of my really good friends, his name's D Lo. He's one of those, he's like a Cowboys fan, bro. Like every year that I've known him, he says Arizona's gonna win it all. You know, something always happens, so it's almost annoying. But this year I'm like, oh yeah, this is their year finally.

SPEAKER_01 57:55

This is our chance. I think, like you said, I think the coaching, the program, the kids, I think just everything is clicking right now. They're just a well-winning.

SPEAKER_00 58:03

And you guys are like nine guys deep. I mean, you got guys coming off the bench that would start on 99% of teams.

SPEAKER_01 58:10

Yep, yeah, and I think that makes the biggest difference. We can sub out, and it doesn't look like anybody changed. You know, they got enough, enough guys for each position. It's it's just it's flawless, it's smooth. Yeah, facts, bro.

SPEAKER_00 58:23

But all right, guys, so that's our podcast. I know we got out a little late this week. Uh, that's my fault. I was I wasn't feeling that well yesterday, and I know Mad Dog was um had some obligations as well. So we'll try our best to get this done on Wednesdays and push it out in the future. But um, yeah, have fun betting this weekend. Good luck to everybody, and hopefully we all win some money. It's always us versus the sports books.

SPEAKER_01 58:47

That's it, baby. Let's win. All right, guys, be safe. Boom.