UFC MOICANO VS DUNCAN

Summary

The conversation covers the UFC Fight Night card quality, impact of UFC's financial structure, lack of active champions, decline in exciting fights and knockouts, comparison with other combat sports, historical perspective on UFC fights, and detailed fight analyses for multiple matchups. The conversation delves into fight predictions and analysis, highlighting the opportunity for new fighters to make a name for themselves. It also explores the concept of a fighter's prime and evaluates the matchup between UFC veterans Moikano and Duncan, focusing on their stylistic differences and potential outcomes. The conversation covers sports betting strategy, UFC fight predictions, NCAA Final Four and Championship analysis, NBA and NHL predictions, future betting and sports updates, and closing remarks. The hosts discuss their betting strategies, parlay picks, and predictions for various sports events, providing insights into their methods and analysis of upcoming games.

Takeaways

• UFC's financial structure impacts the quality of fight cards
• Lack of active champions affects the excitement and matchups in UFC fights Fight predictions and analysis provide insights into the upcoming UFC matchups.
• New fighters have the opportunity to make a name for themselves and gain recognition in the UFC.
• The concept of a fighter's prime and its impact on performance is discussed in relation to upcoming matchups. Effective sports betting strategies
• Insightful UFC fight predictions
• Comprehensive NCAA Final Four and Championship analysis
• Informative NBA and NHL predictions
• Engaging listener engagement and closing remarks

Transcript

SPEAKER_00 0:01

Let's get it. Welcome back to Miked Up and Misinformed with your host Lunch Money and Mad Dog. This week we're going to be breaking down UFC Fight Night, Moikano versus Duncan. And then we're going to give out uh uh some updates on March Madness. I'm gonna be honest with you guys, this is by far the worst card of the year so far. There's been a lot of dud cards, to be honest with you, bro. Ever since they signed that Paramount deal, the you know, the there's there's been a few good cards. You know, that Patty Gagey one was good. There's one a couple weekends ago that's pretty good, but I would say more have been bad than than good, in my opinion. What about you?

SPEAKER_01 0:38

I agree, dude. And that Patty Gagey one was the first fight going into the Paramount deal.

SPEAKER_00 0:43

That was the like get all the casuals and like newbies sucked in. Like, let's get them on that Paramount subscription, and then all of a sudden they're giving us some booty cards, bro.

SPEAKER_01 0:53

Then it just went dry, bro. Um yeah, so I agree. I think part of it is like you said, the Paramount deal. That they already know how much money they're gonna make. They're gonna try to get away with the cheapest cards possible so they can have, you know, bank their cash. And everyone's waiting for the White House event, right? So it's like we're gonna save the biggest, best entertainers for that. So I think most people are just they're just on the waiting list, you know.

SPEAKER_00 1:18

Yeah, it's frustrating, bro, because like you said, with the Paramount deal, the money's already set in stone. They know exactly what they're getting. It's it's not the um the the pay-per-view structure anymore where where the amount of money's like limitless. There's no s there there used to be no ceiling on how much money they could bring in. Now I do understand that the numbers pay-per-view-wise had declined in recent years with cards, but at the same time, it had the UFC motivated every time there was a pay-per-view event to give a great card because that, you know, that depend on how much money the UFC in total was going to bring in. So for me now, I feel like, you know, is it you know, but you and I are both big UFC fans, it's been like underwhelming, and it hasn't, you know, it's been it's been a bad experience so far for us viewers and UFC fans having these bad cards, and I feel like the UFC just doesn't have that same pressure on them to put together great cards because the money's set in stone. They already got the seven billion dollar deal or whatever, and um I'm just I'm not a fan of it, bro. I what was it like it's a seven-year deal or something? I don't know if it's seven billion or seven-year deal, but it was set in stone, and it's not pay-per-view anymore. So they you they know exactly what the money's looking like.

SPEAKER_01 2:35

Yeah, I think that's the biggest problem, dude, honestly. So there's just no incentive, like you said. I wish maybe they would have lowered the value or the the cost of the pay-per-view, because it was just starting to get outrageous, right? So it was just almost became priced out, and I think that's why they started to lose viewership. Or I think if they made it, you know, better priced and still did one per month. We had better action that way, at least.

SPEAKER_00 2:58

Yeah, I totally agree, man. Two two things. I I really like what you said. You you could have kept the pay-per-view so the motivation would have stayed there and lowered the cost, and you would have had a lot more people not bootlegging the fights and actually paying for it. And then on the flip end of that, maybe you could have had less pay-per-view events in the year. Like, let's say if they had 12 or whatever they had, maybe they could have scaled back and maybe did like six to eight of them and made them like super banger fights, you know, like almost like as if they're talking about the White House card. Like, whenever they did have a pay-per-view card, make sure it was super significant to where it was must see television, whether it was, you know, primarily title fights or you know, guys with big name recognition. But the I feel like they should have kept the pay-per-view model because the it again it kept the motivation high. Because right now there's no motivation to put together great fights unless you know UFC fans like us continue to say, hey, like this ain't it, this ain't working, you know, this is trash compared to what we've gotten in the past.

SPEAKER_01 4:04

Yeah, I agree, dude. That's how it seems. Like we we have to we're forced to settle and we have no option. But we watch good.

SPEAKER_00 4:11

Yeah, and we're gonna watch regardless. And you know, we're the type of people that we're gonna watch fights even if 99% of people watching aren't familiar with the names and whatnot. Yeah. But it, you know, it's I just feel like in the long run it's it's gonna decline because you know, people, you know, back in the day, you you we we gravitate to these big names. And nowadays it's like the bigger names aren't as active, there's not as many big personalities. The UFC doesn't have as much motivation on putting together these super fights because when they do, they have to pay these fighters even more money. And so it's more money out of their pocket at this point because they have so much coming in. So I don't know. Hopefully they figure it out, but something's gotta give. And I I to give the UFC credit, they have gotten better and better as years gone on. It you know, they've they've raised the bar and made it, you know, it used to be not very popular sport at all, and it's grown so much. So I do trust the UFC, but I do believe they're gonna have to make some adjustments um probably in the second half of this year. That's my prediction.

SPEAKER_01 5:16

Yeah, I agree. And I like how you touched that, you said that like there it doesn't seem like the name recognition is the same anymore. And I never really thought about that, but I kind of agree, dude. Like, if I wanted to ask my wife, like Connor McGregor, you know, Silva, she she's in the no, right? But it's like now she would know some of these people, especially on a card like this. She's not gonna know anybody. And I feel like there hasn't been anybody in the last probably five years that's like like a Connor McGregor or anything like that right now. I mean, there's a Yeah, in my opinion, bro, the last Mali Pimla is a big promoter. Sean O'Malley, but they don't seem to have the same name, though.

SPEAKER_00 5:54

Yeah, I feel like, in my opinion, after McGregor, you know, kind of kind of fell off and declined with, you know, and hasn't and became inactive, Israel Adasanya held had the UFC on his back for years, especially during the COVID era. And then I would say the next big name that really put the UFC on his back was probably Alex Pereira. But now you got a weird situation, you know, they got Pereira saved for the White House, but now you got a situation where these champions just aren't as active, bro, to be straight up. Like Tom Aspinall has all these issues with the eye since the IPO, so the heavyweight division's all messed up. Um you know, all these champions, you know, Ilya Tapuria had the divorce. He Iliad Tapooria should be the face of the UFC, in my opinion, right now, for sure. But he's been inactive dealing with his divorce. But all these big names that are right now in the UFC that should be carrying the UFC on the back, they're just not active for whatever reason it is. And it's just not working out. Comzat should be the face of the UFC as well. Komzat Chemaev is a monster, bro. People love watching his fights, but the guy doesn't fight often at all. Yeah, it's so everything's messed up right now. And then and even, you know, just off the top, bro, in the in the um flyweight division, Pantoja had that freak arm injury during the fight, and now Josh Van, you know, that that's a weird situation in itself. Um guys just aren't fighting, bro. It I I'm I don't know what it is. And then um Marab was super active. You know, he he's a pretty big name, but I wouldn't say anywhere near the face of the OC, but he was a big name. But when he lost, now the Bantamweight division's kind of you know, it's kind of in a stagnant phase. So hopefully they can they can figure it out and make it exciting again. And then even with the light heavyweight division, Pereira's like basically vacating title to go to heavyweight, and now you got like Giri and Carlos, Carlos Olberg fighting, and you got Jiri, which he has some name recognition, but um I will you know he's nowhere near like Pereira and some of these other big names in the case. So all I'm basically saying is like you don't have a champion that's like active and going at it and able to put the UFC on their back right now. Like after Alex Pereira, it's you know, and he still is one of the faces, and they're saving him for white card, but aside from him, I'm like, man, who's gonna step up and be that person?

SPEAKER_01 8:22

So same, is this part of the like new UFC strategy? Or is it like bad bad marketing, bad publicity? It just happens to be ironic things with all these fighters having issues at once.

SPEAKER_00 8:34

Yeah, I don't know, I don't know, bro. I I really don't know. I I just I miss active champions, man. It really makes me, you know, I keep saying Adasanya, but it makes me appreciate people like Adasanya who were active. And I mean even Usman, Usman did a great job of staying pretty active as well. And now these champions just aren't active, bro, and something's gotta give. You know, it's like it's like once people get the bag, they they really want to like nitpick their fights and have like the perfect fight, quote unquote. Because the UFC on paper is supposed to provide you three fights a year. You know, every UFC fighter sp from the company is is on paper is supposed to be given three fights a year. So, I mean, that just tells you people are declining fights, whether it's injury, money issues, whatever it is, that's why they're not being active.

SPEAKER_01 9:24

Man, I'd be fighting trying to get my name out there.

SPEAKER_00 9:28

Yeah, I I don't get it, bro. I really don't. Right. That's that's my thing, too. And also, it's not as exciting fights either, bro. Like, I feel like we're not seeing as many knockouts or finishes. You know, like I would say something that was super disappointing at the top of my head was that BMF fight. You know, Max Holloway, big name, Charles Oliveira, you know, two massive names, and it was such a dud, man. That was a dud fight. And that's a BMF fight. And you get, you know, wrestling laying prayed the entire fight. And I respect both fighters, but I mean, that's just not gonna bring attention and and and more eyes into the UFC like everybody wants to see.

SPEAKER_01 10:14

100%, dude. We want to see those bloody matchups, you know. We want to sing bangers, bro.

SPEAKER_00 10:20

And then I feel like that that real real American freestyle wrestling is getting more popular. I'm like, dang, man, since when is this becoming comparable to the UFC for entertainment-wise? Like, UFC should be top of the chain, like nothing else should be compared to it. Yeah, I mean, I think it's especially I'm about to start watching PFL, bro. I'm playing.

SPEAKER_01 10:41

I'm playing sometimes it is those better cards, dude, because the matchups are so ridiculous sometimes, and then all of a sudden you start getting some good knockouts and some crazy stuff, you know. Or I think at the UFC level, everyone's so good. Like we mentioned last time. You don't see nearly as many arm bars, you don't see, you know, as many heel locks or kamoras. When most of these things, everyone has got to roll out of it or get out of it or defend it now. So I think that that's part of it too. So then then we they just grapple, like you said, just like the Oliveira fight. They just hold on and keep trying to submit, and the other dude keeps defending and keeps moving. Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 11:18

Man, I I know I I I think it'd be so cool if they did it in this day and age. There's no way they would ever do it again. But I thought it was so cool when the UFC first started when they there's essentially no weight class, and you get this like massive big guy that's like six foot something, 300 pounds, and you get a little guy like 5'7, a buck 60 or something. I think that'd be so entertaining in today's world, man.

SPEAKER_01 11:45

I mean, it would be, but I mean, can you even imagine like Mighty Mouse versus Tom Aspinall? I mean, it that would be rough, bro. That the athletes that we have now are just the weight classes make more sense. Maybe some of them should be more opened up, but that'd create even more CTE, bro. 100%, dude. 100%. Oh my god.

SPEAKER_00 12:07

Alright, man. So let's get into this uh Doug card. We we do have some good plays here. Um there's some a lot of fighters who I'm not real familiar with, and some that just are lower level. So excuse me, so we'll we'll try to get through this, but it's it's just not a good card. First up, we have Dakota Hope versus Kai Kamaka. I don't know much about Dakota Hope, but Kai Kamaka was in the UFC a while back. Um he had lost some fights, he went off in other organizations, and now he's back. Um What's the odds on this one? Do you have them by chance?

SPEAKER_01 12:42

I do. So the Kamaka is at minus 160, and Dakota Hope is at plus 135. And Hope took this fight kind of last notice, too. But I I feel like Kai is just he's been here, he's done that kind of. It's like he's he he didn't have a good time when he's here last time, so I feel he's probably put a lot of pressure on himself. Um Hope is a good boxer overall, so I I think he comes in and gets the job done. So I'm gonna take in the underdog here at plus 135.

SPEAKER_00 13:11

I'm with you, bro. I'm looking here at Hope's resume, and he's won five fights in a row. He's he's fought in a lot of very uh much, much, much lower level um fighting organizations, but at the end of the day, I truly believe in um in confidence and momentum. And when you're coming off five wins in a row, you know, you you're you're thinking that I'm not losing to nobody. And Kai Kamaka has already been in the UFC. There's a reason he left and and didn't make his name in the UFC. I think they're bringing him back. And again, this is a low-level card, so it makes sense to bring him back for this one. No offense to him, but if Dakota hopes a dog, let's let's take that underdog, bro.

SPEAKER_01 13:53

Yeah, I love the dog here.

SPEAKER_00 13:55

Yeah, let's let's go. First five of the night, we're going with the underdog, baby. Next up, we have Dion Barbosa versus uh Melissa Gato. Gato is nine, two, and two, and Barbosa is eight and four. Um I'm seeing here Barbosa's 33, Gato's 29. Um see the reach. The uh Gato's got a three-inch reach advantage. What's the odds on this one?

SPEAKER_01 14:24

So Barbosa is at minus one thirty and gato is at plus one ten. But uh you put the hammer on it, dude. Gotto's got the reach advantage. I think she's a little bit better on the ground overall with the submission attempts. So look for her for taking her down and getting submission. I would say Babarso is a little bit of a better striker, but I I I just don't I don't see a lot of growth in her, or I think got Gotto's got room for improvement still.

SPEAKER_00 14:49

This is giving to me decision written all over it. I'm I'm thinking it probably is not great value, but I'm thinking over two and a half to taking a decision here. I'm sure it's probably what minus 300.

SPEAKER_01 15:02

So over two and a half, minus three ten.

SPEAKER_00 15:06

Yeah. That's that to me, that's take take the over or pass on that one, in my opinion. I wouldn't even take a fight.

SPEAKER_03 15:16

That's probably the smart move.

SPEAKER_00 15:18

Yeah. Alright, man. Next up we have inside story. I just told Mad Dog about Trayson Gore. I'm not gonna share with you guys, but we have Trayshon Gore versus Asimot Beckov. This is a pretty good fight, bro. I'm not gonna lie. Both guys got a lot of power. Um both guys are tr still trying to like, you know, grow and make a big name for themselves in the UFC. They haven't really, you know, Gore 6-4. He was pretty good on the was it the I'm pretty sure it was the contender series where he was.

SPEAKER_01 15:50

He started off really good. He looked like he had a lot of potential. Uh he just he fights like in the box. I feel like he fights really stiff and he just doesn't really let himself go. And then he kind of burns himself out with all that muscle being so rigid.

SPEAKER_00 16:04

Yeah, I just feel like he has got, you know, he's jacked, bro, but he has a weird bill, you know, he's he's he's in a weird. I feel like he's like an in-betweener weight class-wise.

SPEAKER_02 16:13

Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 16:14

And and he does gas out during the fights, bro. And then even earlier in the fight, I feel like with Gore, he just what you said, bro. Like, he starts out and he just waits too long, bro. It's almost like that the Cheeto Vera Vera vibes where he waits so long to where he gets to the point where it's like, man, like now you have to find a finisher, you're gonna lose the fight. Yep. And he and that his his record reflects that. I mean, he has um lost his last two fights, so yeah.

SPEAKER_01 16:43

Asma for sure. And gore gore has a tendency to lose this submission, so look look for Asma to get the submission here. Minus six seventy-five, gore's at plus four sixty. Wow, bro.

SPEAKER_00 16:57

I did not expect the odds to be that big wide.

SPEAKER_01 17:00

I I expect it to be a little closer, but that's nuts. I mean, they're they're I mean they're essentially expecting gore to lose here.

SPEAKER_00 17:08

Beckov's minus what? 675. Wowza, bro. And Beckov is coming off a knockout. It is from October, so you know he's recovered from that. So he's taken the proper amount of time off. Um but before that, he had four wins in a row, and he is a two-time at least champion with LFA. You know, I don't know how much that matters, but Beckov is the proper favorite here, but I do feel like he is overpriced. So for me, this is dogger pass. Um, I I would say take Gore by knockout, or just don't bet on that fight specifically at all. Just stay away. Yeah, stay the heck away from us. I'm not doing you. I promise you that I'm trying that that guy has me trauma. Never again. A real life trauma, bro. I'm not touching you. Even at that juicy odds and value. But I I'm gonna say I think I think I think um him by knockouts is not a bad play, but I I again I'm not touching it. If y'all do, good luck. Next up we have Haley Cohen versus Elise Pereira. Um she is some people I'm gonna see, yeah, that's not her. Yeah, some people get her confused with being Alex Pereira's sister, but um his sister fights in karate combat, so this is you know not Alex Pereira's sister. Um I don't have an opinion on this fight, man. What what are you thinking?

SPEAKER_01 18:47

I don't I don't know anything about Hallie Cohen. Alice Pereira is she she's a killer, dude. She has five finishes out of her six wins. I mean, she goes in there to to get the job done, and it's practically a pick'em. Alice is at minus 128. Uh Crowen at plus 107. So I'm gonna take Pierre here just because she she's a killer, dude. She wants to go in there and she wants to finish it up. She's not trying to, you know, stand around and just lay and pray.

SPEAKER_00 19:14

So she's definitely a finisher. She in her last five fights, she does have three knockouts, which you know it it's uncommon for in women's in a maid to you know see finishes, especially like knockouts. Yeah. Um but I will say in her only UFC fight, she lost a split decision to, you know, essentially a no-name fighter. So she is only 20 years old. So I'm think my assumption, I haven't really seen her fight much, but my I'm assuming you know, she's a great finisher, but maybe her fight, you know, she's growing. Maybe her fight IQ has been low in certain fights. Uh with Cohen, she's 34. She's a vet, she really, you know, hasn't shown much in the UFC. Let's see what her last last fights have looked like. She got subbed in her her let's see. She's back-to-back losses. So she won in the contender series by a split decision, and then Cohen's lost her two fights. Her last one she lost by submission. So, dude, I'm I'm taking Pereira here.

SPEAKER_01 20:16

Yeah, especially basically a pick'em. I like the girl that's more active and looking to get the job done.

SPEAKER_00 20:22

She's hungry, bro. 20 years old, yeah. You can make significant growth and changes to your game, especially at a young age like that. I mean, anywhere in your 20s, Cohen's 34. You know, she I feel like she's already hit her ceiling and her peak of of where she's at in the UFC. So this is one of those fights where it's gonna be a stepping stone where Pereira uh gets some name recognition. Hopefully she pulls off a big knockout here. I do believe that if you took Pereira by a finish, that you know, any in women's MMA period, if you take a them by finish, it's gonna pay out pretty big too. Yeah, for sure. What's Pereira by f by knockout? I'm I'm gonna guess probably plus five, six hundred.

SPEAKER_01 21:04

Yeah, I don't this this app doesn't load up the props right away. Let me pull up my little real quick.

SPEAKER_00 21:09

It's all good if it doesn't too, because oftentimes, you know, we're recording Wednesday, so oftentimes, especially with fights that aren't on the co-main or main event, the those specific methods of victory won't come out till Thursday or Friday around when when or after weigh-ins occur. Bro. So we are both on board with Pereira there. Next up we have Lando Venata, a UFC vet versus um Darius Flowers. Flowers excuse me. Flowers is 12 and 8. Venata's uh 12-7 and 2. You know, pretty similar records here. I do believe uh Lando's got a lot better resume. He's fought higher quality opponents.

SPEAKER_01 22:25

But um Flowers has lost six times to sub, so he's not great on the ground game. So look look for Venata to come in and get this sub here, dude. I mean if you know how the guy loses, just go in there and get the job done.

SPEAKER_00 22:39

Yeah, Flowers has lost his last three fights in a row. Um, two of them have by been by submission, so that's concerning if you're on the flower side. Umata has had two losses in a row. Um he lost to Zill Huber and Charles Jordan. I don't mind the Jordan loss, but Zill Huber, he just got knocked out by Bobby Green, so that kind of concerns me on the Venata side. So for me, I'm passing on this fight. What are the odds, may I ask?

SPEAKER_01 23:09

Uh Venata minus 225, Flowers at plus 185.

SPEAKER_00 23:15

Yeah. Oh man. Venada is more of a striker, so I I don't see this fight going to the ground. I I see it standing personally. So for me, it's dogger pass, but I'm definitely passing. I don't want nothing to do with this fight.

SPEAKER_01 23:30

Yeah, flowers is scary, dude.

SPEAKER_00 23:34

So uh, but if I'm Venata, I'm looking to take that guy down. 100%. Yeah. Do you got an opinion on that one? Do you like Venata?

SPEAKER_01 23:44

Yeah, I like Vanata by some. I think that's his best path to victory.

SPEAKER_00 23:49

Okay. Yeah, I'm gonna just yeah, I'm I'm looking at the next five and I'm passing on that one. You're good, dude. You're good. Next up in the flightweight division, we have um Alessandro Costa, who's 14 and 5, versus Stuart uh Nicole, who's 8-2. Dude, I don't I'm gonna be honest, I don't know much about either fighter, man. Do you what are you thinking here?

SPEAKER_01 24:10

Dude, so it's weird. Both of them are kind of like hit and miss. So it's like Costa win loss, win loss, win-loss. Stuart Nicole's coming off two losses, but they have Costa minus 420, and Nicole at plus 333. So it's like either they know some of the we don't, but I I like you said I don't really know that much about either of these guys. This is a pass for me. There's just no value in it, but I just thought the value or the you know the spread is kind of crazy.

SPEAKER_00 24:40

So with with um Nicole, his his only fights in the UFC were two fights, and he lost both of them to essentially no names. And with Costa, you know, he's fought some pretty good names, in my opinion. He fought um he but he fought Steve Urseg, who once fought for the uh the title against Pantoja. And then what yeah, I think it was a yeah, I'm pretty sure it's against Pantoja. And then um he beat Kevin Borjas, and then he just lost his last fight to Korea. So I ca I do see why he's the favorite, but not that big of a favorite.

SPEAKER_01 25:19

Yeah, I mean they're just giving him the what'd you say before that?

SPEAKER_00 25:22

I'm sorry.

SPEAKER_01 25:23

No, I just said he's that better competition, so they're just giving him the experience points.

SPEAKER_00 25:29

Yeah, I'd say the experience for sure. So I just I don't like those odds though, man. Again, these are crappy fights, but it sucks when it's crappy odds too, man. Like I would put cost at probably minus two hundred, but minus four some is kind of crazy in my opinion.

SPEAKER_01 25:42

Yeah, it's crazy.

SPEAKER_00 25:45

It's a flightweight fight too. I'm gonna say decision on that one. I'd take over two and a half before I play to a side.

SPEAKER_01 25:54

So yeah, over two and a half, minus one ten. So that's the value.

SPEAKER_00 25:59

So the book the book says it's a good possibility there's a knockout. I'll go decision on that one. Usually flightweight fighters got you know high gas tanks and um not a lot of power in their punches. Alright, dude, this next this next name's gonna be hard for me to pronounce, man. We have Gerim. What is it? Gerim. Gerim. Alright, let's say that. Geerim Pat, 6-0, versus Thomas Peterson, um, who's 10-4. Um, Peterson does have some power in his punches. Let's see Peterson's last fights. Let's see. He lost to Victor Betrino. Victor's pretty good, bro. And then before that, he beat Dante Mays and lost to Gazeev. Gazeev's pretty good, too, bro. Gazeev is good, too. Um, so Peterson definitely, I'm gonna say off the rip, Peterson's definitely already had the better competition um with Pat. Um, he's won his last five in a row, and then on the um his only UFC fight, UFC fight night, he won a unanimous decision. So I'm looking here. A lot of his fights are uh either knockout or decision wins when he does win. So in this fight, bro, I'm gonna say gear me Pat pulls off a KO on Thomas Peterson. What do you think?

SPEAKER_01 27:16

Oh, baby. That's exactly what I was gonna say because Peterson gets knocked out, and Guillermo be knocking people out, and uh, it's a pick'em, dude. So I even love this even better. They they have it minus 108 and minus 112. So I mean, at a pick'em, dude, I'm taking the guy that's knocking people out.

SPEAKER_00 27:31

Yeah, especially with those odds, bro. And Pat is new in the UFC. You know, he's a better guy to push to push up through um the division than Peterson. Peterson is one of those fighters that also has kind of hit his ceiling. So um I like Pat a lot, especially those odds, bro. That's juicy, bro. I love that. It's so good. Giving me a coin flip on that. 6-0, never lost, never experienced defeat, dude. That confidence is unreal. Right? He's going in the raid to dog walk Peterson.

SPEAKER_01 28:06

He honestly he probably will, dude. He probably will take Peterson down under two rounds.

SPEAKER_00 28:11

Dude, he's gonna be looking at Peterson like my dog looks at my stake when I'm eating it. Alright, next up we have some other newbies, man. Next up, we have Jose Delano, 16-3, versus Robert Rushala, who is 11-2. Um, this is a featherweight fight. Um, let's see. Rushella, his only fight in the UFC, he lost the unanimous decision decision to William Gomez. Gomez is a pretty good fighter, though, so I'm not I'm not gonna like hate on him for that. And then with uh Jose Delano, um he got a unanimous decision win in the Dana Whites Content contender series, and before that he had three wins in a row in the LFA. The last time he lost was 2023 um for uh in a title fight in the LFA. It seems like Delano has the mo has the momentum on his side. I'm gonna take Delano in this fight. What are you thinking?

SPEAKER_01 29:12

Yeah, so I think Delano is the right pick, too, but they have him in minus 340. That's the problem. So I'm never mind. I'm looking at Delano to get sub. So I think you take him by sub. That's that's your best bet. Yeah, 340. I mean, that's just that's a parlay piece, but not much else you could do.

SPEAKER_00 29:29

Yeah, yeah, straight betwise, it's kind of a stay away, but I wouldn't mind throwing him in a parlay. Alright. Hey, you know what? The the positive about this card though is some of these guys that have no name recognition, this is a time for them to put themselves on the map. Because sometimes when you get like, let's say, for example, um, if Alex Pereira is on the card, nobody's thinking about these other guys fighting, but on a fight night like this, you really could like take the steal the show. I mean, you get it. You you get a big knockout and you give a really great mic speech and you get that bonus. Next thing you know, you know, you got all these sponsorships coming in. So this fight card is for these guys to put their names on the map.

SPEAKER_01 30:13

That's true, dude. I like that.

SPEAKER_00 30:15

Next up, we got Tommy McMillan versus Monolo Zecchini. Is never lost, he's nine and oh. What are you thinking here, bro?

SPEAKER_01 30:28

Dude, McMillan's at minus fourteen hundred, and he he's not even the biggest favorite. No, he must be.

SPEAKER_00 30:37

Let's see what Monolo's looking like here. So he his only his only UFC fight, he got knocked out by uh Scherer. Yep. Uh Sherry Scherer. I always have a hard time pronouncing his name, but he's a good fighter, bro.

SPEAKER_01 30:50

He's a good fighter. So I mean it in this guy, his first fight again. Sometimes they come up and get stage fight fright and tighten up a little bit.

SPEAKER_00 30:58

Let's see, has uh let's see if McMillan's even fought in the UFC or if it's his first fight. So he came off the decision, a majority decision win on the contender series. Dude, that minus 1400 is kind of crazy, bro, to be honest.

SPEAKER_01 31:13

You just gotta stay away. Both these guys are newer, like you said. I mean, look for McMillan to come in and sub and grapple. Um yeah, I mean, it this is just this is a stay away. There's no no reason. Uh if you're crazy, I guess you could ride the underdog just for the freaking energy.

SPEAKER_00 31:30

Yeah, dogger pass on that one for sure. Hey, dude, this next fight, I already looked. I feel like these odds are gonna change over time. Um they're they're close odds right now. This is my lock of the card, bro. I love this fight. Uh, this guy put on a show in his last outing, and he was a big underdog and came through. Dude, I'm I'm taking Ethan Hewing to the bank, dude.

SPEAKER_01 31:55

Love it, dude. I think he's the better, the better striker, too. And Rafael likes to fight to decisions, so he he kind of you know fights on the outside and just tries to stay present and not not get pieced apart. But I think the pressure from E Wing could make a make a big difference here, dude.

SPEAKER_00 32:12

It looks like and uh for the odds to be pretty close to a coin flip, what justifies that is um Raphael has never lost, you know, so I I do respect that he's never lost. Um he came from the LFA and then he got a big knockout on the contender series, but since then he's gotten all unanimous decision wins. So I can't hate on it. At the end of the day, if you're winning fights, that you know, that speaks volumes for itself. You know, it's hard to win in the UFC. So I do respect that, and I'm sure he's as confident as can be. You're 14-0. So I do respect that. But Hewing fought Malcolm Wellmaker, who was supposed to be one of the next big prospects, and he beat him in a unanimous decision. He came out of nowhere, bro. Yeah, and before that, you know, he's won he he won four fights in a row before that. Three of those were knockouts. So this guy's a freak, and I saw him get rocked by Wellmaker a few times in that fight, and he's got a great chin too. Dude, Ewing can can box, wrestle, he's got a little jujitsu. Dude, he's he's very, very versatile um in the cage. In the octagon, sorry, in the octagon. Dude, I I'm pretty surprised that the odds are the way they are. Don't be surprised. I don't know when y'all listen on this podcast, but don't be surprised. Ewing is probably minus 120, 140 last time I checked. Don't be surprised if he moves to minus 180, 190, um, come fight night.

SPEAKER_01 33:41

I love it, dude. Yeah, I'm glad we're on the same side there.

SPEAKER_00 33:45

I'd even take him by knockout, bro.

SPEAKER_01 33:47

Honestly, yeah, I think he's the better striker, honestly. Again, like you said, I think he's the better striker, and Raphael wants to stay, or yeah, Raphael wants to stay standing as well, but he he just fights more on the outside, and I think the pressure is gonna make the difference. So I I think look for him to get pieced apart this this game, you know, this match.

SPEAKER_00 34:06

Yeah, I I feel like Raphael, you know, he might keep it interesting on the feet, but I just feel like Ewing's fight IQ is pretty high. I know we haven't seen a lot of ewing, but his fight IQ is high. He's got a great chin, and he just mixes it up well. So even if it's close on the feet, I feel I trust Ewing to make those adjustments and initiate takedowns when necessary. And um, you know, just really just really keep Raphael guessing throughout the fight, whether he wants to keep it standing or take him down and um you know give him problems on the mat.

SPEAKER_01 34:36

Yeah, because sometimes I feel like guys, even if they're not doing as much damage, they just look like they're dominating their presence in the ring and like you said, shooting, getting some takedowns, getting some control time, and they win because it looks like they were dominating the match, even though maybe they weren't putting out as much damage overall.

SPEAKER_00 34:54

I think Ewin he's in the Bantamweight division. I'm gonna say it right now. I think Ewin is gonna work his way into the top 10 in the next two years. I just like the guy. He's a freaking dog. Now I'm not saying he'll be a champion, but a lot of the guys at the top of that division are starting to age. UFC. How old is he? UFC tell you right now. Um Ewin is 28 years old, so this is perfect timing for him, too. So within two years, he'll be about 30 years old. So he's really essentially right now coming into his prime. And I would say, from in my opinion, it depends on the wear and tear and injuries and stuff, but I feel like your prime in the UFC is age 28 to 33. That's in my opinion, that's that's UFC prime age. Raphael is 29, so you know, he he might give him some problems, but again, I just I think I think Ewan really is a contender, bro.

SPEAKER_01 35:53

No, I think he's a contender. Raphael looks so much older, too. That's crazy. Uh but I agree with what you said. I think a lot of times, especially for men, they get into like that man strength, like you said, your late 20s, early 30s, it's like you kind of just harden and get a little bit different muscle fibers going. Because you even see like with football, when the guys are going from college to the NFL, and the NFL guys are just so much faster, so much stronger, so much thicker. And it's like these guys technically are younger, but it doesn't necessarily mean they have that same you know style of muscle buildup.

SPEAKER_00 36:25

Thanks. And a good example that I think of with the UFC is uh Charles Oliveira, you know, and he was in the featherweight division. You know, there was a point of time where people were saying that he he gives up and gives up and fights and kind of checks out, and you know, he he's not a dog. And um, you know, here he is in his uh early 30s and on, you know, became a UFC champion, beat Gecy, beat Fourier, beat Chandler, um, you know, defend his belt multiple times. He's gonna go down in the history books, you know, as a UFC Hall of Famer. Yeah. And he just fought for the BMF belt, you know, which isn't a significant belt at all. But you know, at the end of the day, he's a Hall of Famer who had a Rocky start um in some adversity through his um twenties, especially his early 20s in the UFC.

SPEAKER_01 37:13

Yeah, I think it can be humbling for these younger guys. So again, it's good, just gotta keep with it, right? Keep going in the right direction.

SPEAKER_00 37:19

That man's strength's serious, bro.

SPEAKER_01 37:21

That man's strength is serious. Think about it, dude, like Daniel Kamara grabbing your wrist, bro. You're not getting out of that.

SPEAKER_00 37:31

Dude, you know what's funny is like I know like we've just recently been doing this podcast, but I always like think to myself, like, man, like let's say in the future, if this ever blew up like years down the road, and you know, because there are a lot of UFC fighters that do listen to different podcasters and YouTubers breaking down fights. Dude, how miserable would that be if you were out in public right after you did a podcast saying, Oh, this guy sucks, and one of these UFC fighters see you in public, like, dude, I have zero fight in me, bro. I'm getting smoked right away. Like, I I I would hate to see a UFC fighter in person that heard the podcast and heard us like slamming him saying, Oh, yeah, he sucks.

SPEAKER_01 38:11

That's what you just have to go on live immediately, dude. Just be like, I'm sorry, I'm so sorry. Look, I'm apologizing. I'll never bet against you again.

SPEAKER_00 38:22

Yeah. But you know what? I think at the same time, that's the cool thing, cool thing about being in our position or in our shoes right now, and I would still be this way even if we had like a million subscribers. You know, at the end of the day, I want to be as honest as possible when I'm giving out a prediction or what I really think. Like, I don't want to tell you guys, like, let's say uh I was friends with the UFC fighter. If I knew someone personally, be like, oh yeah, I'm backing them or I'm taking them, or I didn't say what I really thought because I did, you know, because I knew them and wanted to save face. Like at the end of the day, if I have an opinion, I always want to give it and not worry about how it affects other people because I'm not talking about we're not talking about their personal life. We're not taking personal shots, you know, we're just strictly talking about what our predictions are for the fight. And if we get say that they stink or boring, do something to make us think otherwise, or don't give a crap about our opinion.

SPEAKER_01 39:15

Exactly. Prove me wrong. Prove me that you can get a knockout. I'll take that.

SPEAKER_00 39:20

Go give us a finish, bro.

SPEAKER_01 39:22

Right, exactly. That's the best gift you can give me.

SPEAKER_00 39:27

Next up, we have Brenson Riberio, who's 17 and 9, versus Abdul Rachman Yakaev.

unknown 39:36

All right.

SPEAKER_00 39:36

Yakaev is 25 and Riberio is 29, so both pretty young guys. Uh Yakaev has never lost, though, bro. I'm I'm assuming he's a pretty big favorite.

SPEAKER_01 39:48

Minus 1900. So he's the biggest favorite, dude. Minus 1900. Holy cow, dude. So they they have the over-under at a half around at 0.5 is the over-under.

SPEAKER_00 40:02

Dude, this guy's this guy's a finishing machine, though, bro. Like um, the Yakimov or whatever, he cons contender series in his first UFC fight, he got a knockout in the first round. And in um his and then the next UFC fight, he got a sub in the first round. Both were under 35 seconds into the fight.

SPEAKER_01 40:27

Dude, I saw that and I was like, that can't be right. Over under the Hey, this is a dog right here.

SPEAKER_00 40:32

Hey, this Yakyev might make some you know, in the the light heavyweight division's weak, bro. So this will be a great week. This is a serious contender right here, bro. Like, I'm gonna say right now, he becomes he becomes top 10 within two years. If he if he gets the right fights. This is especially finishing.

SPEAKER_01 40:51

Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 40:52

They're gonna love pushing this guy if he's getting finishes.

SPEAKER_01 40:55

I think this is a layup fight, dude. They're giving him an opportunity to get a good a good highlight reel going, basically. Like you said, this is who they're gonna start promoting.

SPEAKER_00 41:04

And it's crazy because half a round is two and a half minutes. So with him getting two finishes under 35 seconds, two and a half minutes seems like a really long time.

SPEAKER_01 41:14

That's crazy. That's crazy. Yeah, it's not gonna take him five times as long to finish the fight, right?

SPEAKER_00 41:20

Hey, you know what though? I'm not touching this fight. I'm gonna just enjoy it and see how good he really is. But um, I'm gonna say it goes over a half a round, bro. I'm gonna say Riberio, you know, because sometimes if they get caught in a clinch position or, you know, they're they're they're stuck on the mats in a in a while they're wrestling in certain positions.

SPEAKER_01 41:40

Well, how many times you you watch a fight and they don't even touch each other the first minute? It's like they're just both, you know? So I mean it uh it seems crazy, but yeah, I mean the the over is probably the responsible thing, but I would say I'm gonna stay away. Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 41:56

I remember uh a fight that comes to mind is when Usman was fighting Jorge Masvidal for the title, and Usman for like a round or two, bro. He had he had Masvidal uh he he had him up against the fence, and Masvedal couldn't get out of it, and Usman was just stomping on his toes over and over and over, just foot stomps on his toes, and everybody was booing like crazy, and I was like, oh my god, dude, I'm about to turn this crap off. Yeah, just to make the example of like, you know, time some of these fights that could finish fast, you never know. Like they could stall out a little bit longer than anticipated. But if Yakayev doesn't get a finish here, I'll be shocked, bro.

SPEAKER_01 42:35

I'd be shocked. Hell would freeze over. No, they're they're giving them a highlight reel going.

SPEAKER_00 42:41

Yeah, dude, this hilarious is like we said, bro, this is that fight for Yakayev to be that guy that everybody talks about this week. There's no other massive names on this card. This is that type of fight where Yakaev, everybody's gonna, when they think of this whole card in the future in the next couple weeks, they're gonna remember Yaqaiev's name, and they're gonna want, they're gonna push him to you know get get a um some bigger name value for his next opponent.

SPEAKER_01 43:08

So I I always go work out Sunday, and there's a group of us, like two, normally it's two or three other guys, and the one dude always watches the UFC too. So, of course, on Sunday, immediately it's like, dude, did you see that fight? This this is gonna be that fight. It's like, did you watch that? Did you feel what happened?

SPEAKER_00 43:23

Hey, we're gonna laugh because next week we're gonna talk about this. We're gonna see if those guys that you're working out with mention this guy's name. Right. So good, man. Hopefully he uh puts on a show. Alright, man. These next two fights we know a lot about, man. Now we're getting into some UFC vets. So thank you for staying with us if you made it this far.

SPEAKER_01 43:44

Yeah, fair.

SPEAKER_00 43:45

Next up, we have um one of the most beautiful women in the UFC, Verna Jandaroba versus Tabitha Ricci. Dude, I'm I'm sorry, Verna. Like, dude, I know I always like made Some like uh disrespectful comment, you know. Dude, I I I think she's a fantastic fighter.

SPEAKER_01 44:06

She's a pretty fantastic fighter.

SPEAKER_00 44:08

Yeah, I don't have anything against her. Like I was I I regret saying that already, but um, dude, I can't help, dude. I just got dark.

SPEAKER_01 44:16

I wasn't expecting that, bro. That's hilarious.

SPEAKER_00 44:18

And and dude, people think Ricci's pretty hot, so I figured people would think I was about to say Tabitha Ricci, but Virna is like, oh yeah, yo.

SPEAKER_01 44:28

I love it. I love it. I was not expecting that at all, dude.

SPEAKER_00 44:32

But we got Vernas Andaroba versus Tabitha Ricci. Both of these ladies are contenders. Um, Virna just fought for the title against McKinsey Dernan, had lost. Um, and Tabitha's right up there. You know, she's she's working her way up to a title shot. I feel like this is gonna be a pretty close fight, bro, to be honest with you.

SPEAKER_01 44:52

I agree. I think this is gonna be a close fight. I think Verna's got a better ground game, and that's where we're gonna see some of the difference at in the grappling and the submission attempts. I think for for Riki for Baby Shark, this is gonna be one of those humbling experiences that kind of, you know, kind of show you where your career is, show you where your skill and your talent ability is. I mean, if she if she gets past Verna, she she better be ready, man, because everyone loves her. Public's on her side, she's got a great marketing campaign. I mean, who doesn't love Baby Shark, dude?

SPEAKER_00 45:24

Yeah, I you know what? I like Reaching this matchup. She just came off a big knockout win versus Amanda Rebus, and her loss before that was uh Jan Shao Nan, who I really respect. I think she's a fantastic fighter. Um, Vierna has kind of been there, done that. You know, I know she hasn't won a title, but she fought for the title. And so, you know, looking at it, I feel like the UFC needs Ricci to win this fight to make that uh the women's straw weight division more interesting and entertaining. And, you know, someone new for McKinsey during the fight. Because if Janaroba wins this fight, I don't I personally don't think people would want to see that rematch, bro. I think Ricci would be uh getting more viewership than Jannaroba fighting during.

SPEAKER_01 46:08

100%, 100%, dude.

SPEAKER_00 46:11

So and with Ricci, I think she's a little bit she she's a she's better on the feet for sure. Virna is better on the ground, better as Jiu Jitsu. I do like Reese Ricci's um her like judo trip. She's really good at utilizing her judo uh her trips, but I don't I don't know if she should use that in this fight because you don't really want to go to the ground on Janderobo. Because Jander Robo, when she's on the feet, dude, she throws the same combos every time, bro. Virna just repeats those combos until she gets you against the fence and then wants to take you down. So I think Ricci shouldn't even mess around with the grappling in this. Keep it, it's good, it's in reality. I think this is gonna be a decision win for Ricci. It's gonna be boring, there's gonna be some booze. Um, probably a lot of like, you know, um feints in the cage, and and they're gonna stay the distance. I'm gonna say there's not a lot of significant strikes thrown at all.

SPEAKER_01 47:08

Yeah, I mean that I think there's gonna be a lot of grappling and submission attempts between these two ladies. I don't see it. I don't think they want to stay standing necessarily. And again, the over two and a half is minus 485, so everyone thinks it's going to decision. And then the odds are fairly close with Verna at minus 128 and Ricci at plus 107.

SPEAKER_00 47:30

Yeah, we're taking I'm taking the dog, bro. Who do you who are you taking?

SPEAKER_01 47:33

I'm taking Verna, bro. I'm taking Verna. I think her ground game is gonna make the difference here.

SPEAKER_00 47:40

I'm not mad at it, but uh yeah, I like Ricci. I I wanna I'm not gonna say lock, but it's gonna be a good fight. But uh the UFC needs Ricci, and so I'm gonna go for what the UFC needs. Yeah, I agree. I think they're just gonna be. My opinion is this, like sometimes, not always, but sometimes if if it is a close fight in the UFC and it goes to a decision, this is just like I'm just making this up. But in my opinion, I kind of feel like they they're gonna pick the winner of who's gonna promote the UFC better. You know, who do they ever they need to win? That's who I feel like they're gonna pick when it comes to a decision.

SPEAKER_01 48:17

So this is one of those where What was the card that got messed up last week? What fight was it? Were they freaking? I was just like, there's no way.

SPEAKER_00 48:24

Oh yeah, dude.

SPEAKER_01 48:26

Oh sorry, sorry, go ahead and come back, guys.

SPEAKER_00 48:29

Bro, that was the first fight. I think that I might like I've heard Bruce Buffer say the wrong name before, but that was the first time that I've heard him announce the wrong winner.

SPEAKER_01 48:39

Isn't that crazy?

SPEAKER_00 48:40

And Buffer like never messes up, bro. Like, he's so solid.

SPEAKER_01 48:44

Yeah, so I don't know, I don't know if it was him or if it was the person who handled him the cards and stuff got switched around, or but that that was an awkward moment, dude, for sure. And I was just like, I literally texted him was like, there's no way that just happened.

SPEAKER_00 48:58

Yeah, that was that was insane. Oh, it was the Tyrell fortune versus Marcin Tybura.

SPEAKER_01 49:04

That's right, that's right.

SPEAKER_00 49:05

Yeah, and I felt that was one of those situations where I personally think the UFC should have paid Tybura his win money just because of that situation. You know, you had him looking essentially stupid in the cage, bro. Tybor sitting there, he knew he lost the fight, and he's sitting there, the announced winner. You got him alone in the cage, but no one's stepping out to give him an interview, and then fortune's walking off. And I'm just thinking, man, like you ascent, you know, it already sucks losing the fight. But I feel like they it was humiliating for Marcin Tybora. You know, that's at least how I would have felt. So the UFC, in my opinion, give give him his win, his pay him as if he won the fight.

SPEAKER_01 49:44

I like that, dude. I think that's fair. It's probably only like eight or twelve grand.

SPEAKER_03 49:50

Yeah. Alright, give him his win money for that mess up. I like it.

SPEAKER_00 49:59

You owe him one, Bruce. Alright, next up, we got one of the best guys on the microphone when he does win fights. Money Reynato Moikano versus Chris Duncan. This is a pretty good matchup stylistically, bro, because Moikano um he loves utilizing his wrestling. You know, he wants to stand and strike just long enough to get you to the ground and ground and pound you or utilize his jujitsu. Chris Duncan, in my opinion, he's the opposite. He wants to stand and trade and bang, bro. He wants to he wants to knock you out and keep it on the feet. Something that's really interesting that I found out is these guys have trained together for a long time.

SPEAKER_01 50:40

They're good team.

SPEAKER_00 50:43

And they're training in the same gym leading up to this fight. And they're good friends. I want to say they're good friends, but they both have a lot of respect for each other. You know, they're very they talk extremely highly of each other. So this is gonna be, you know, they're going to the end of this matchup with no bad blood whatsoever. Um, Duncan is 32. In my opinion, he's just getting into his prime right now. Like he's just hitting his stride. And Moicano, he already peaked, bro. Like, I like Moikano a lot. He's a dog, he's not an easy matchup for a lot of people, but he is 36 years old. He has fought for the title before, he's made his money. So, in my opinion, um, if Duncan can keep this standing, no way he loses. But can he stay standing the whole fight?

SPEAKER_01 51:30

That's gonna be the hard part, dude. Because like you just said, Renato's fought better people, he's had better competition overall, and I think his ground game is a lot better. Duncan, I would say is a little bit stronger, so I think as long as he can sprawl, he'll do okay there and be able to keep him off. But to be able to hold him off for you know two, three rounds, that's gonna be the difference makers. So I agree with you. I think it's just kind of style tystical medical matchup. So can they stay standing and then is it gonna go to the ground? Obviously, each person has their advantage, and it's crazy that these guys basically, like you said, train together, train at the same gym in the same place. So they obviously know each other's weaknesses and strengths. And uh I'm I'm leaning towards Renato, dude, to go for really to go for a submission overall, but he's the underdog at plus one forty-five, so I'm taking the dog. Chris Duncan at minus one seventy. They're looking for him to get the knockout.

SPEAKER_00 52:25

This is bro, I'm really torn out because I I'm I've I've watched both guys fight a lot. Um, I'm fans of both of them. I want Moikano to win because I love when he gets on the microphone. Um Moikano, Moicano has more pass to victory. He could pull off the submission or he could win a decision by um utilizing the wrestling and winning in control time if he doesn't fit get the finish. So I I think it's hard to not take Moycano, especially as an underdog, because he has more pass to victory. But Duncan, he's in my opinion, he's hungrier.

SPEAKER_03 53:00

But his only path is the knockout. I'm taking Chris Duncan by knockout.

SPEAKER_00 53:08

I'm gonna say Moicano. I'm gonna say Duncan tags Moicano up in the first round a little bit, and then Moicano at the end of the first round gets starts getting his takedowns. Second, third round, Moicano keeps taking Duncan down, but they're both getting tired, and then I'm gonna say end of third round, going into fourth, Duncan's gonna find a late finish.

SPEAKER_01 53:32

Yeah, I mean, and dude, honestly, like you said, I think either thing could happen. It just depends on who's using their, you know, their matchup in their favor. So I think the best.

SPEAKER_00 53:42

Bro, I'm gonna be crazy and say this Chris Duncan by knockout in rounds three and four.

SPEAKER_01 53:48

Yeah, that's all that's you're crazy.

SPEAKER_00 53:51

That's probably I know that's probably a crazy payout too, but it's probably not likely.

SPEAKER_01 53:55

Regular KOs at plus one fifteen and Moikano to get submission plus three hundred. So you could bet both sides and go for you know who's got the best there.

SPEAKER_00 54:06

Yeah, I in my opinion, I would take I think Moikano's more likely to get a decision if he does win. And then Chris Duncan, I believe it's knockout or take Moicano.

SPEAKER_01 54:17

Well, if you take Chris Duncan in in round three plus 800, round four plus twelve hundred, round five, plus eighteen hundred.

SPEAKER_00 54:25

Sweet. That's pretty good, pretty good odds. I know that's specific and not likely. Heck man, if you're betting, that's what comes to sports. Reward more risk, more reward.

SPEAKER_01 54:35

So that's just him to win, not even him to win by knockout.

SPEAKER_00 54:39

Yeah, let's say unless he like got a got a guillotine or something. Cause I I don't know, bro. I don't see him seven with God. Yeah, I don't see him seven.

SPEAKER_01 54:51

Well, that's always the interesting part, especially when these guys, you know, grapple and roll around so much. They know like where they're able to take advantage of the other person just as much as the other person knows, you know, both sides of it as well.

SPEAKER_00 55:04

Yeah, it it's it's just as scary fighting someone that you've trained with and are very familiar with. It's just as scary as fighting someone that you don't know at all because um I would think that you just the head game. Yeah. It's like you think you know everything, but you get in there and it's live action, you just you never know how it's gonna play out, man.

SPEAKER_01 55:25

Yeah, we just never know, dude.

SPEAKER_03 55:27

Alright, we're gonna give out some parlays. Yeah, let's do it. Yeah, this is This was kind of a weird card, dude. So this this was my the parlay I put in here.

SPEAKER_00 55:51

Hey, while you're pulling that up, bro, I'm putting 765 units straight bet on Ethan Hewing.

SPEAKER_01 56:00

No, no, this guy. He's like just max bet.

SPEAKER_00 56:04

Max bet maxing it out to the bang.

SPEAKER_01 56:07

Alright, now it's having an issue. It's all good, man. It's always something, bro.

SPEAKER_00 56:12

It's all good. We got time. I I got nothing going on this evening, man. I just uh taught um coached some soccer and I'm chilling tonight, man. How's soccer going? It's going good, man. I I have two teams, uh essentially like a varsity and a JV. Varsity, they won their soccer game last Saturday at nine to zero. I think we won 12 zip, but they stopped keeping score. And then uh my JV team lost in a two to two to one. It was a close nail biter game, so I'm really proud of both teams. That's pretty good. Hey, while you're pulling that up, I'm gonna walk.

SPEAKER_01 56:49

I think my Amazon stuff got you. You're good, dude. All right, so it's Alice Pierria versus Lando Venata as of the parlay. And it pays plus one for the one second, Add dog.

SPEAKER_00 57:02

Sorry about that. You're good, you're good. It's got some Amazon Amazon stuff, man. Okay. Uh so you got you got Elise Pereira.

SPEAKER_03 57:12

Yep. Okay. Who else he's cooking up? Uh Lando Banata.

SPEAKER_01 57:22

Okay. That's a plus 147 parlay. Those those are probably my two favorite people that have reasonable odds.

SPEAKER_00 57:29

Lando and Pereira.

SPEAKER_01 57:30

Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 57:30

Okay.

SPEAKER_03 57:31

Plus 147. What about Martingale? What are you thinking for that? Should have done it earlier, but I don't know.

SPEAKER_01 57:42

I was originally thinking I was gonna skip it, but let's let's do that.

SPEAKER_00 57:47

Dude, and you know what? I I'm gonna I'm about to stop calling this the Martingale method because I feel like you went at a higher clip than whoever the heck Martingale was, dude. I'm calling this the mad dog method. I'm never saying Martingale in my life again. I love it, dude. The mad dog method.

SPEAKER_01 58:02

Yeah, this is mad. I just I just need one person to hit out of the three, right? And then it it bumps up the bankroll every time. So then the next time you have more to bet, so then you just keep going up. So ideally, you're almost like parlaying week after week after week, you know, winning one of three fighters. So it should it should start stacking up, dude, even just starting with the hundred bucks.

SPEAKER_00 58:27

We'll say, like, just from a hater's standpoint, if you were, which dude, I don't remember if you ever or the last time you you had lost a Martin Gill met or sorry, mad dog method play, but um if if the three fighters you did pick for whatever reason lost, you would be down quite a few units, which sucks. But at the end of the day, like you're taking three people that you really believe in. So, and I again I just want to like make that comment because that is the reality of it. But yeah, at the end of the day, like, bro, I don't care. You if anybody that listens to us, every time I say, Hey Mad Dog, what's your uh Martingale method? I promise you, this guy hits one of the three. You can listen to the majority of our podcasts, and this guy hits one of those three and ends up profiting. So take that for what you want.

SPEAKER_01 59:15

So let's do this.

SPEAKER_03 59:16

I'm gonna take Alice Piore as one, and then Ethan Ewing for two. And I'm I'm taking Verna for three, dude.

SPEAKER_01 59:28

I'm going against you on that one.

SPEAKER_00 59:31

Mad at you because you won't even have to get to that point. Ethan ain't left.

SPEAKER_01 59:35

That's what I'm saying.

SPEAKER_00 59:36

My boy, my boy Ewing to the freaking bank, bro.

SPEAKER_03 59:42

Alright, yeah, I dude. You know what?

SPEAKER_00 59:46

I'll give out a c I always give out one crazy parlay each week. So Alright, so my only play is Ewing, whatever units, you know. And I'm just gonna say too, I don't I'm knocking on wood because I r I hate jinxing myself, but every time on this podcast, I I think I need to go back, but I think every time I've given the word lock, my fire is one.

SPEAKER_01 1:00:11

I I would say yes. I feel like we maybe we might have missed one. We might have missed one like three or four cards ago.

SPEAKER_00 1:00:19

Like whenever I talk crazy about someone, usually they they come through. I'm probably at like eighty percent. I I've gotta be, bro. Like, I don't remember the last time I I messed up with saying the L word, but I'm putting whatever units on Ewing, but here's my crazy parlay. Uh leg one, uh Elise Pereira.

SPEAKER_03 1:00:38

Yep. Leg two uh Girmay Pat. Yeah, Geermay. Lake two Yeah, leg three, Ewing, Lake four, Reachy.

SPEAKER_00 1:01:01

I like it, don't love it, but it's very hedgeable. It's hedgeable.

SPEAKER_01 1:01:04

Yeah, that's hedgeable still.

SPEAKER_00 1:01:06

So if I get to that point, dude, and I'm I'm gonna say I have no odds in front of me, bro. I just talk off the top of my head, but I'm gonna say that's gotta pay right there plus six hundred.

SPEAKER_01 1:01:15

Dude, double it, baby, plus eleven thirty-five.

SPEAKER_00 1:01:22

That's a fire parlay.

SPEAKER_01 1:01:25

That's crazy, bro. That's crazy.

SPEAKER_00 1:01:27

Fire four Lager, and I like those fighters.

SPEAKER_01 1:01:30

I know, that's not bad at all, dude, honestly. Super easy.

SPEAKER_00 1:01:34

Bro, and honestly, you could even ride with me and just switch out Vir Vierna, and then you could hedge and bet Ricci. If you really feel that way about Vierna. Because we both like Ewing, we both like Gear May, and we both like Pereira.

SPEAKER_01 1:01:51

Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 1:01:52

And with Richie and uh Janderoba being damn near Pick'em, you could just take the other side for your last leg, and then we could both hedge accordingly if the first three hit. That's right. And we're both taking our women out for steak dinners.

SPEAKER_01 1:02:07

Hell yeah. Alright, I'm gonna I'm gonna post yours, so I'll do yours for half a unit, dude. To basically win ten units back.

SPEAKER_00 1:02:16

That's fire, dude. That's flames.

SPEAKER_03 1:02:19

Really 11.

SPEAKER_01 1:02:20

And then what do you want to do? You want to do two units on E-Wing?

SPEAKER_03 1:02:25

Yeah, that's fine.

SPEAKER_01 1:02:28

He's like, no, I want more.

SPEAKER_00 1:02:31

Yeah, I do kind of. Who's the last I'm trying to think of the last girl that I that I was like go talking crazy about, dude? Trying to see.

SPEAKER_03 1:02:41

Like through some of these fights while while uh you're putting that in. Let me see. Dude, time flies, man. I'm looking back at some of these cards and like, man, time flies, bro. Right?

SPEAKER_02 1:02:59

Let's see.

SPEAKER_03 1:03:01

Yeah, we had some good ones for a while.

SPEAKER_01 1:03:04

Well, I think we both were on Max Holloway pretty hard. That was uh upset.

SPEAKER_00 1:03:10

Oh yeah, dude. That yeah, uh wrong about that. I was wrong about that.

SPEAKER_01 1:03:14

That's probably the only one I would say that we were both were like, you know, feeling great about it and got rocked.

SPEAKER_03 1:03:23

Yeah, I'm looking, I'm gonna look at some of the things.

SPEAKER_00 1:03:30

Hey, bro, I like I knew he was a contender and I liked him a lot, but I just thought I thought, you know, I wasn't real confident saying Izzy, but I thought that um Izzy was gonna give him a lot more in and Izzy, in my opinion, he started him really well till he got caught. I just think he had he had Piper wobbled, and when he went in for the kill, he just left himself too too exposed. Yeah.

SPEAKER_01 1:03:55

Yeah, because he started off well. Then like you said, once he got touched, he just kind of shriveled up quick.

SPEAKER_03 1:04:02

Yeah, that was That was a tough one, bro.

SPEAKER_00 1:04:06

But um I I don't think I bet crazy. I didn't put a big unit on that one.

SPEAKER_03 1:04:11

Yeah, I didn't go too crazy last week.

SPEAKER_00 1:04:16

Hey, next week's card is a banger, dude. We got Jiri vs. Olberg. That's it's gonna be yeah, April 11th, so that's that'll be the following week.

SPEAKER_03 1:04:27

That's a banger.

SPEAKER_00 1:04:32

Let's see, I'm looking at some of these old fight older fights just to see who I was talking crazy about. But that's one thing I hate about myself is when I when I have something on my mind, I'm like, I get so hyper focused on it. Right? Well, I was wrong about Brandon Moreno. I don't think I said lock that fight, but I liked Brandon Moreno and he had lost.

SPEAKER_01 1:04:57

Wait, how far is this guy going back right now?

SPEAKER_00 1:05:00

I'm just look I'm looking, I'm just trying to go through these fights. Um, I'm just trying to think, because I there was like a girl who I said like four freaking units on. Oh, Gillian Robertson versus Lemos. That was that was uh one of the ones I was talking crazy about, and she had won.

SPEAKER_01 1:05:22

It happens.

SPEAKER_00 1:05:26

She won. That was that was when I I hit that one.

SPEAKER_02 1:05:29

Oh, okay.

SPEAKER_00 1:05:32

And then yeah, anyways. Um, so go now going on to the NCA tournament, bro. We have March Madness Final Four. We have um Illinois versus Yukon. Um and and then on the other side we have Arizona versus Michigan. Yeah now, dude. We've been on this, bro. We've been the last two podcasts, we've talked about the final four at the end of our segments from Arizona, Arizona to the bank in Brooklyn. We're sitting pretty right now. Like, if you took Arizona before the tournament to win the championship, you were in a position now where I wouldn't go crazy about hedging, but you could put a little hedge into where you could almost get whatever money you started with from the tournament. Because Arizona starting the tournament out, you would have got them anywhere between probably plus four and plus five hundred. So you're a point hour. It's gonna be a good a good matchup. I personally think that um this is the national championship game uh just between Arizona and Michigan. I mean, I think they're both the best teams, and whoever wins is gonna smash the winner of Illinois and Connecticut. Um I just feel like Arizona, it's just their destiny, bro. They they Tommy Lloyd has the most wins since becoming the head coach of Arizona. Um he has like one of the fastest starts in NCAA history. We already talked about the rosters deep. They got uh two or three guys that are gonna be going to the NBA draft if they decide to do that after this tournament. Um I don't know, bro. I just I think Arizona has the better coach, they have the better players, they're deeper. Um Michigan's great, but Arizona's greater. And on the odds, Michigan is minus one and a half, which is I don't know, bro. I if I was making the odds, I think I'd have Arizona minus two and a half. So I don't even want to hedge this game, bro. I'm I'm I'm not I'm not hedging.

SPEAKER_01 1:07:37

Yeah, I mean it's gonna be close for sure. Like you said, I think if you do hedge, you hedge just to get your money back or maybe a tiny profit. But essentially you really should wait, and then like you said, after this, they're they're gonna beat up whoever's left. So I mean, you think UConn's got what it takes to beat up Michigan? I mean, it just there's just nothing there. So, yeah, I mean, Arizona's got the depth. Everything should be good. If we play like we did against Purdue, we definitely are gonna win and do very well. But if we play like we played Utah, that's a whole different animal, dude. Michigan, I think Michigan puts up more points than us statistically. Um, I think we're better on the inside of the paint. Well, Michigan's got like three guys that are over seven feet, it seems like. So it's I think we're it's gonna be this gonna be a tough matchup, dude. It's gonna be a serious game. I mean, I it's just gonna be like back and forth for the lead. I don't see either, you know, one putting up like 10, 12 points on the other. So it's it's gonna be interesting, dude. I'm excited to see how this game goes, but I hope Arizona wins.

SPEAKER_00 1:08:38

Well, those Michigan big guys better get some extra long couches to watch that national championship game at home because they're not winning.

SPEAKER_01 1:08:45

I love it, this guy. I love it.

SPEAKER_00 1:08:47

Dude, Arizona, dude, we were on them, bro. Arizona to the bank. And you're actually a real hard, die hard Arizona fan as well. So I think that's super special. And uh that's so cool for you. Um on the other side, Illinois, um, they have one of the best offenses in the country. Um, they're one of those teams that um if you can't keep up with them offensively, then they're gonna blow you out of the building. Um, with UConn, I believe they're they're a better coach, they're more well-rounded, um, and they have momentum with them right now. I mean, that last second buzzer beat, you know, shot with 0.3 left on the clock um was one of the best plays in March Madness history. That'll go in the history book. So UConn's coming off, you know, their their um confidence right now in their swagger, their aura is just unmatched. So I before that last Connecticut game, I would have said Illinois is gonna win, but now I'm thinking Yukon might take that game and go on to the championship. But like I said, regardless, whoever wins that Michigan-Arizona game is gonna win the championship, man.

SPEAKER_01 1:09:57

Yeah, I agree, dude. I those are the definitely the best two teams left out of the four, so it should just be a win-win. Um, I don't know, dude. I don't feel either way about Illinois or or Wukon. I don't know who Wukon is.

SPEAKER_00 1:10:12

Yeah. Dude, Yukon's coach drives me nuts too. Like, I respect him. He's won back-to-back championships, you know, he's got two two ships, and he's gonna go down as a Hall of Fame coach, but I just I don't like how he how he acts during the games, to be honest. I think that he's like he's he's terrible to the refs, man. He's he's in their face screaming all game. You know, I just feel like he there's times where he's more worried about himself, and he think like I just feel like he thinks he's the star of the team. All the pressure on himself to win again. Yeah, I don't know. I just I think he thinks he the he's the star. You know, at the end of the day, these players play. The coaches make a significant impact, but it's like sometimes I think in his mind he's thinking, I'm the reason we won. Like it was all me. I'm the superstar of the team. And I don't know, I just like Tommy Lloyd's not like that, bro. He's a player's coach, yeah. He's chill as a pill. You know, he lets his players, you know, be stars and he doesn't take their spotlight. I just think Tommy Lloyd is uh just a better professional.

SPEAKER_01 1:11:15

Yeah, just shit. He barely says anything. He just stands there with his arms crossed. He barely speaks two words, bro. It's crazy.

SPEAKER_00 1:11:22

You know what's cool is um that Purdue, so to that Purdue game with Arizona, um, at halftime, Tommy Lloyd, you know, their halftime, let's say it's 20 minutes. Tommy Lloyd goes in the locker room for he said he said he went in there for three minutes, less than that. He said, hey, you guys better figure this, figure this crap out. Like, uh, you know, we we we better go back, you know, essentially you better kick their butts in the second half. Like, I'm gonna let you guys talk amongst yourselves for the rest of this half. So we left him players only in the locker room for the remaining like 17 minutes before the second half started. It worked and dude, hey, I'll tell you right now, Jaden Bradley probably got everybody's crazy motive. He got them ready to run through a freaking wall.

SPEAKER_01 1:12:05

Yeah, because they came out hot that second half, dude. That's crazy. I didn't even hear that story. That's crazy.

SPEAKER_00 1:12:11

Yeah, dude. He Tommy Tommy went in there and said, Hey, I don't know what's going on right now, but y'all better figure this crap out. I'm gonna step out and let y'all take care of business. But this second half, we better turn it up. And they came out and bald out, bro. Like, I just feel like he's a good players coach and he he has a good feel for his players and what they need.

SPEAKER_01 1:12:30

Yeah, and he accommodates them. No, I agree. Yeah, he lets them kind of showboat a little bit and you know play and have fun. It's not quite a hundred percent serious, but you can tell when he gives them that look. Like I said, he don't even say two words, he just looks at him and they they straighten up real quick, you know.

SPEAKER_00 1:12:47

Yeah, it's gonna be fun, man. So hopefully we win that Arizona championship bet. Um, we've been on, like I said, we've been on them all season. We talked pretty good about Illinois too. So it's pretty cool that we, you know, we've been pretty on point with the few minutes that we have talked about the tournament on this podcast.

SPEAKER_01 1:13:05

So I mean, I would say we were I don't know what 70% of the Sweet 16. It's like we've been doing really well. So this week is at 75% at the four.

SPEAKER_00 1:13:16

I'm gonna say this, bro. I've this this parlay's gotta play pay plus 300 probably. Um both these teams are underdogs. If you haven't bet on any futures and you just want some action this weekend, I'd parlay Arizona and Yukon. They're both slight underdogs. Take both Moneyline Parlay to Teamer to the bank.

SPEAKER_03 1:13:39

I bet it's plus three hundred. Let's see.

SPEAKER_00 1:13:47

Because uh Arizona is plus one and a half, and Yukon is plus two two and a half, but I know that's I'm sure that line's gonna move. A lot of people are gonna take it. Yeah, Connecticut.

SPEAKER_01 1:14:05

Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 1:14:06

And if you're a degenerate, I would maybe do two units, uh two units on each straight bet, and then maybe a half unit on uh a half may maybe like a quarter unit on the on the parlay or something. Because one of those two teams is for sure. I I would be absolutely shocked if Illinois Michigan was the championship game.

SPEAKER_01 1:14:28

I'd be shocked. Well, you could even take those and still get plus two nineteen. So you could either do both favorites or both underdogs and get plus money.

SPEAKER_00 1:14:38

Yeah. I'm taking the dogs, bro. Yeah, I mean I you know, hey, I the two two teams I feel pretty confident in Arizona and Ethan Hewing. And they and they and they and they're both on Saturday, too.

SPEAKER_01 1:14:54

Let's go. Let's go. Yeah, we're on it. For us, it's like 5 50. It's almost it'll be like 6 o'clock by the time the game starts. UFC's on it like 2 o'clock, I think.

SPEAKER_00 1:15:05

Yeah, I'm I'm super excited for it. But that's that's all we got for today, guys. Um after this tournament, we're gonna do the UFC fights like we've been doing. Yeah, aside from that, maybe we'll give some updates on baseball here and there, but we're not gonna give any day-to-day picks. I mean, baseball they play 160 some games. Yeah. I do watch baseball and I love baseball, but uh if if we talk that at all, I'm just gonna give out like updated what where my future picks lie and who I'm feeling as the season progresses. But I'm not gonna give out like, oh, Tuesday I'm taking the Phillies or whatever, dude.

SPEAKER_01 1:15:49

Plus things change, the bullpen changes, they change pitchers and stuff. I mean, it's some of that times that's stuff's last minute, so it's it's more difficult. I guess he's talking about maybe a series and trying to get you know get the win out of the series, but so I like you said I think that's the best thing. Maybe do some occasional stuff or talk about future bets and you know, wait till later down the road and see what happens. Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 1:16:13

So yeah, other than that, man, we're just gonna rock out the UFC. We got we do have some better UFC cards coming up as well. Like I said, we have that Olberg and Jiri fight coming up, and then um that white card that White House card will be here before we know it. Yeah, for sure, dude.

SPEAKER_01 1:16:29

And really, when's the Stanley Cup, dude? The NHL championship's gotta be starting soon.

SPEAKER_00 1:16:35

Oh, yeah, dude, and yeah, we got that. I dude, I have not watched any hockey this year, man. Like I I couldn't tell you nothing about hockey, but I have been watching the NBA. I may we could we actually we got the NBA playoffs coming up too, so I'm not sure how much you watch that, but I got us on that.

SPEAKER_01 1:16:51

I'll I'll watch the hockey. You watch the NBA.

SPEAKER_00 1:16:55

We got I'll tell you right now, if they're healthy, I really like the Spurs, bro, to make some noise in the playoffs. They got the alien on their team, they got the absolute freak of nature, Victor Wembenyama, and then uh they have some really good young pieces, and they're like the crypt tonight to the Oklahoma City Thunder, who just won the championship. The Thunder are really high up on the odds list to win it all, and as they should, they're a great team. But every great team has some team that gives them problems, and it is the San Antonio Spurs. So watch out for them. I'll just say that now. As long as Victor is healthy, they are uh, in my opinion, the team to beat out of the West.

SPEAKER_01 1:17:36

Alright, I like it.

SPEAKER_00 1:17:37

And you can get them at pretty good odds right now. I think they're they gotta be at least plus 650 or higher to win the championship.

SPEAKER_01 1:17:43

So the Spurs play the Warriors tonight.

SPEAKER_00 1:17:46

Yeah, they're like 17-point favorites, so it's crazy. Oh, yeah, the Spurs are up already by 18 points, it's nuts.

SPEAKER_03 1:17:55

Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 1:17:57

But alright, guys. Um I think that's it for tonight. That mic'ed up and misinformed. If you guys um want to tell us, awesome. If you want to fade us, I hope you lose your bets.

SPEAKER_01 1:18:10

I love it, this guy. That's hilarious, dude. Um, hey, let's say that for now on, dude.

SPEAKER_00 1:18:16

If you instead of saying like, oh writer, tell, I don't care, nah. Nah. If you ain't riding with us, man, I hope you lose all your bets, man. I hope you lose the bets that you put. Yeah, even bets that you did that we didn't even talk about, I hope you lose all them bets too. Goodbye to you, I hope you lose at roulette and crabs and blackjack at the tables too.

SPEAKER_01 1:18:35

You just just listen. That's all he's saying. Just listen. It's the best thing you can do. Comment below. Comment what you think, comment what we said wrong, blast us.

SPEAKER_00 1:18:45

Yep, and take Ethan Hue into the bank, man. That's gonna make you millions of dollars this weekend. And if not, don't come for me because I don't got nothing to give you. Alright, sounds good. All right.