UFC Jack vs Prates

The hosts provide a detailed preview of the UFC Fight Night, discussing early prelims, fighter predictions, and matchups. They analyze each fight, share insights on the fighters' strengths and weaknesses, and discuss betting odds and potential outcomes. Two UFC enthusiasts discuss fighter matchups, youth and momentum, prime vs. decline in career, rising star in UFC, elite strikers matchup, strategic fight analysis, parlay and betting strategies, and share final thoughts and a call to action.

Takeaways

• Detailed fighter analysis and predictions
• Insights on betting odds and value in underdog picks Youth and momentum play a significant role in fighter predictions.
• Strategic analysis and betting strategies are crucial for UFC enthusiasts.

Transcript

SPEAKER_04 0:01

Welcome back to Miked Up and Misinformed with your hosts Lunch Money and Mad Dog. Today we're gonna be breaking down and giving out our predictions for UFC Fight Night, Della Madalena versus Pratez. Let's get right into it, bro.

SPEAKER_00 0:14

Let's go. Oh yeah, the this card's pretty good. The whole the whole main card is pretty stacked, actually. There's a couple of older guys, but it's still a good card.

SPEAKER_04 0:28

And I want to note, like for these early fights that we're gonna give our predictions on, um, you guys may not know the names of these fighters, but some of these guys are up and coming and looking to make a statement. So I mean, um, I feel like you should definitely be tuning in for these early prelims because especially I always talk about you know, some of these newer fighters, you know, are fighting to you know get more money in the UFC and they're gonna be really chasing that finish bonus. So um it or possibly try to get a fight of the night. So um these early prelims are gonna be electric, in my opinion.

SPEAKER_00 1:01

Yeah. And sometimes these matchups are really skewered, right? So it's like you'll they'll start giving some you know better quality competitors to or they should I should say they're giving worse quality competitors to better guys to try to get them, you know, moving up the ranks. So I feel like there's some value in the undercard sometimes.

SPEAKER_04 1:19

And just how like the other weekend when the fights are in Canada, they always try to have primarily Canadian fighters, you know, when it's in Canada. And this weekend it's going to be in Australia. So um I think in every single matchup there's an Aussie fighter. So that's uh, you know, the home crowd will definitely have a big favorite in each fight here. So let's get right into it, bro. First fight we have Marwan Rahiki versus Ollie Schmid. Who do you got in this one?

SPEAKER_00 1:49

Oh man, you just threw me for a loop, dude. Who's the first fight? I think that fight got canceled, bro.

SPEAKER_04 1:55

Rahiki and Schmid? Yeah. Okay, we'll we can go ahead and skip that though. I would have picked Rahiki for sure, though. Um, alright, so next up, are you seeing Cody Steele versus Dom Marfan?

SPEAKER_00 2:09

Yeah, that's the first fight.

SPEAKER_04 2:11

Okay, let's let's start with that one then. So we have Dom Marfon versus Cody Steele. Who do you got?

SPEAKER_00 2:19

So uh I'm I'm going with Dom uh Marfan. Uh I feel like he's fought a little bit better competitors. I don't really know much about Cody Steele. It looked like when I checked him out, he's got a couple of KOs. But um Dar Marfon, he went to the distance with Park, and he's I think he's better with the subbing and grappling.

SPEAKER_04 2:38

So it looks like um it's Dom Marfon is 26 years old, Steele's 31, and Dar Marfon has a four-inch reach advantage on Steele, so that may play a factor. Um Steele, since being in the UFC, he's one and one. He won on the contender series by knockout, and then he lost the unanimous decision in his last fight February 8th. So he's looking to avenge that loss here. Um, what's the odds, may I ask?

SPEAKER_00 3:08

We got uh Dom Marfan at plus 175 and Cody Steele at minus 210.

SPEAKER_04 3:15

Man, I feel like those odds should be a lot closer personally, because I do edge Cody Steele to win um by a decision here, but I definitely think that with hearing the odds, um, Dom Marfan definitely has a lot of value on his side as an underdog.

SPEAKER_03 3:30

I like the value there.

SPEAKER_04 3:32

So I'd probably go dogger pass after hearing those odds.

SPEAKER_00 3:35

Yeah, and I think the grappling will get the control time.

SPEAKER_04 3:38

Yeah. Alright, man. Next up we have Jonathan McAuliffe versus Themba Garimbo. Um, man, I feel like, you know, no disrespect to Themba, but I feel like he's already peaked in the UFC and he's been a little bit underwhelming, if anything. You know, I know he was really popular when he first got here because he was on a little hot streak, and I know like I think The Rock gave him a house or, you know, bought him a house or something to help like boost his career, and he got a lot of attention for that. And um, you know, I know he's a hard worker and everything, but at 35 years old and the way he's performed of recent, I feel like he's kind of like um hit his peak already, and he's more so on the decline than on the incline. And then on the other side, um McAuliffe has only lost one fight, and he's 27 years old. The reach and the reach is the exact same, and uh they're about the same height as well. In this matchup, I gotta go with the youth and take McAuliffe. I would say I would probably take him on a parlay anywhere under minus 325. What's his what's the odds here?

SPEAKER_00 4:47

Yeah, they got John Jonathan at minus 240. So I think like you said, I think you nailed it. I think Thimba peaked out. I think he kind of hit the ceiling already. You don't see a lot of growth from him. I think Jonathan's gonna come in and get the job done. I could see him same thing, taking it down to the ground, grappling, and getting a submission here.

SPEAKER_04 5:05

Yeah, I'd I think it'd be safer uh for me. I'm gonna probably throw him in a parlay, but um, I bet that submission prop pays pretty good, and you could uh get that at plus money too, if that was something that you were targeting.

SPEAKER_00 5:18

Yeah, so Jonathan, it's a lot of things.

SPEAKER_04 5:20

His last four fights, three of them have been won by a submission, and he just submitted Oban Elliott, who's a great UFC fighter. So um I definitely think that sub prop's live, bro.

SPEAKER_00 5:32

I think it's live, and it plus 200. I love it.

SPEAKER_04 5:35

Yeah, that's that's worth a stab at for sure. A little a little sprinkle. But yeah, I think McAuliffe is is uh definitely I don't want to say lock, but he's I feel pretty sure about that pick.

SPEAKER_00 5:47

He's up there. I feel yeah, I feel good about him too.

SPEAKER_04 5:50

Next up we have Ben Johnson versus Wes Schultz. Um in this matchup, both guys are pretty good on the ground. I just think Ben Johnson's a little bit better. I think that he's gonna edge out a decision win here. Um small chance at submission, but um, I'm just overall, I'm gonna take Ben Johnson here. And he's the home hometown favorite.

SPEAKER_00 6:12

Yeah, I I don't know. I feel iffy about this fight, so I'm gonna stay away, dude. Ben Johnson at Ben Johnston at minus 150 and Wes Schultz at plus 130. See, I feel like Schultz is he either has a really good day or he's just kind of flat. And it's like it's hard to uh bet on someone when you just don't know how they're gonna show up. So it's like I I feel like if you see him and he looks good at weigh-ins and he comes out looking good, West probably got a little bit of advantage. I think Johnston will probably get the win overall. It just I don't know. I feel iffy about this fight.

SPEAKER_04 6:45

Yeah, and you know, I might just be crazy thinking this, but I feel like when you're the you know, when it's in another country and you know they're from that area, like the uh Johnston being the Aussie here, I just feel like that could play a factor because the crowd, every time he lands a strike, the crowd's gonna be extra loud and intense, and that could influence the decision if it was, you know, if it came down to a split for any reason.

SPEAKER_00 7:12

For sure. Plug plus the traveling, right? It's like Wes has got to travel further, he's out of his element, he's not, you know, doing his normal routine, he's not doing his normal training or you know, weight cuts. So I don't know how some of these guys probably go weeks and you know advance, but it's like I don't know how long Wes has been there. Has he been there three days or two months? Like, how much has he adapted to the time zone difference?

SPEAKER_04 7:35

Yeah, I definitely think for the value there it's on Johnson. But yeah, we'll see what we get from Wes because you're right, he's it's hard to predict how he's gonna come in. You know, some guys are gonna fight hard no matter what, but there and then there's some fighters where it's like, man, is their head really in there right now? You know, is their mind right right now? Like you kind of question their like their mentality coming into the fight.

SPEAKER_00 7:56

Yep, yep, 100%.

SPEAKER_04 7:59

Next up we have Colby Thickenese versus Vince Morales. Thickenice is eight and one, Morales is sixteen and ten. I feel like the UFC uses Morales as like this backup guy that when they need him to fill a fight card or fill a fight, he's the guy, he's one of the guys that they call and knows that they'll he'll come fight on short notice. So I feel like Vince is more of like a plug-in fighter, and then Colby Thickenese, I feel like he you know has a lot more growth to still come in the fight game. He's on the he's more so on the incline right now in his career. He's like 26 years old, he's only lost once, where Morales has been there, you know, he's a vet in the game, he's 35 years old. You know, he's he's you know always been more of a 500, you know, fighter in the UFC. Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 8:55

Yeah, he's that middle line, you know, gatekeeper, basically. So I think this will still be a good fight, but I'm definitely taking Colby on this one at minus 128. The line's a little too close for me. That's crazy.

SPEAKER_04 9:07

Yeah, I think the value's definitely on Colby. I would have taken him minus up to a minus 180, 200. You know, I do respect the um experience that Morales has, and that'll definitely be an advantage on his side. But when it comes down to age and momentum right now, I think Colby's definitely the play here, especially with the odds being fairly close. 100%. Next up, we have, you know, and these odds are outrageous. I remember looking the other day, um one of the sports book kiosk, and you know, this is one of those fights you have to take dog or pass, but we have Jacob Malcoon versus drilled Mir Sharp. Meersharp, if you're taking Mirchart and you want to take the dog, I would I would say even, you know, he his specialty is his is his jujitsu. Mir shard if he wins, he's gonna pull a submission. And you know what? I could see that happening here, bro. Like Malcoon is a great fighter and he's a good wrestler, but Mirchart wants to be on the ground. You know, he doesn't mind being on his back the whole fight as long as he he only needs one second to pull off that submission. So for me, I think it's definitely worth a sprinkle. Number one, to just take Mirchart as a dog. You know, he's a seasoned vet, but his specialty is jujitsu. I mean, he's one of the better, you know, Jits practitioners, practitioners in the U in the entire UFC.

SPEAKER_00 10:29

He's I think he's got 29 wins just submission alone.

SPEAKER_04 10:32

He's got to be top five in submissions in UFC history. Got to, bro.

SPEAKER_00 10:37

Yeah, I yeah, I would surprise if he's not top two or three. I mean, 29 wins. I'm taking that, bro. Yeah, so I I love Gerald here, dude. I think the value is on him. I think he lost like five fights in a row, which kind of sucks, but I think this is his last kind of hoo-ra. So I wouldn't be surprised to see him maybe even retire after this, or maybe he's got one or two more fights, but I I think him by submission at plus 1500 is the the dog.

SPEAKER_04 11:05

Yeah, that's worth like a tenth or quarter unit. You know, it's worth a sprinkle. And Malcoon, dude, he does have a lot of power. He could definitely knock out Mirchart, but um man, I just feel like Meershart he has the experience on his side. I do think his fight IQ is a little bit higher, but we both cannot deny that Meershart has way too many miles and too much damage accumulated in his career, so that'll be a disadvantage for him.

SPEAKER_00 11:29

Yeah, but I could I could see Jacob even like catching him and uh Mirchot going down to the ground and then just catching him in a submission like during the roll or during the ground impound. So, like you said, I it probably won't necessarily be super clean, but I I I kind of see him getting the job done here, dude, and maybe ending on a high note.

SPEAKER_04 11:46

This is what's gonna happen, bro. Mal Koon's gonna wobble Mirchard. Mir shard's gonna be wobbling, right? Malcoon's gonna go in for a takedown. Meershard's gonna snatch that neck, put him in a G team, and me and Mad Dog are gonna be jumping up and down partying like crazy. That's what's gonna happen.

SPEAKER_00 12:02

I love it.

SPEAKER_04 12:04

Alright, dude. I'm glad we're on the same page. That's funny, bro, because he's a huge. I know.

SPEAKER_00 12:08

That's so crazy we're on the same page with that one. I was not expecting that.

SPEAKER_04 12:12

Yeah. Alright, next up we got Junior Taffa versus Kevin Christian. I don't know too much about Kevin Christian, but I know you know both the Toffa bros have really um are really weak when it comes to getting taken down, um, take down defense, and then being able to get back up on their feet. Um, let's look at um Kevin Christian's profile here and see what he's got.

SPEAKER_00 12:36

He's got nine finishes. I feel like it was kind of 50-50.

SPEAKER_04 12:40

Yeah, I think Toffa's the favorite here, too. Am I right?

SPEAKER_00 12:44

Yeah, Toffa is, which I don't know why. I'm taking Kevin at plus 175.

SPEAKER_04 12:49

Yeah, Kevin got a submission on the contender series, and then he lost by sub to Elakana, but that Elakana is a good fighter, so I don't see that loss. I'm taking Christian here, especially being a dog. I'm gonna I'm gonna go out of my way and say Kevin Christian's the best underdog play of the card so far.

SPEAKER_00 13:07

Well, I'll let you know.

SPEAKER_04 13:08

I can't take the Toffa bros, especially being a favorite.

SPEAKER_00 13:11

I can't take yeah, I can't take Toffa, dude. It's it's tough, especially at a favorite. The value is not there.

SPEAKER_04 13:17

Yeah, and he's a 50-50 fighter. He's six and five. I see Toffa going six and six. I'm taking Christian in this matchup for sure. I will say Toffa is the will be um favored by the crowd, you know, since he is from Australia. Yeah. You know favorite. Yeah, so if it goes to decision, watch out. But I think Christian could win on control time or submission. You know, the I see toothpack, two paths to victory, either pulling the sub or control time to a decision win. Yeah. So next up, I'm staying away from this next one, bro. I got we got Cam Roaston versus Robert uh Brazek. Who do you got? Excuse me, who do you got?

SPEAKER_00 13:59

We're literally on the same path, dude.

SPEAKER_04 14:02

So it's gonna be a close fight, bro. Roaston's like he's too favored.

SPEAKER_00 14:07

I think it's whoever gets the KO, bro. Cam's got 13 finishes, Robert's got 12 finishes. It's like these guys, this is gonna be a banger of a fight, but I this is one of those fights where it's like they're just gonna be slugging each other and one dude's just gonna drop. It's like one dude's just gonna get caught with the left hook or an uppercut, and that's how it's gonna end. But anything, take take the fight to not go the distance. They have it under one and a half at plus money. So, I mean, that there's some value there. I think under two rounds is probably really your best pick here, but I I see.

SPEAKER_04 14:37

The fact that they have it at one over one and a half rounds shows how much you know, power and um how likely a knockout is to happen here in this matchup. So whoever you guys lean, you might as well take him by knockout if they're gonna be throwing the way everybody's predicting. Exactly, exactly, gene. That's gonna be a barn burner. I definitely am more interested after hearing that. So all right, man. Next up, dude, I know everybody and their dog out in Australia is begging for this guy to finally get a win. He's been on a long losing streak, man. He's turning is Loki turning into Tony Ferguson, bro. Yeah, exactly. I know he was never as good as Tony Ferguson, so I wonder that. But we got Ty Tu Avasa, the guy we're talking about. We're just begging for this guy to do a shoey again, man. He's a legend.

SPEAKER_00 15:31

That's what everyone wants, dude. Everyone just wants his antics. They love him on the mic, they want to see the shoey.

SPEAKER_04 15:37

Yeah, and he's fighting Louis Sutherland, who this is a great good matchup, man. Both guys like chasing the knockout. Yeah, bro. I hate to be a party spoiler, but there's gonna be no shoeys this weekend, bro.

SPEAKER_00 15:52

Dude, no way, bro. We're on the same wavelength tonight. That's crazy.

SPEAKER_04 15:58

If this was a couple years back, I probably would have taken a chance on him, but I feel like in his last fight, he got got gassed out so quick and he looked like crap. Like it looks like during that whole year or two layoff, however long he took, it looks like he was just drinking beers, going to the bar, and just kind of partying. Like, he didn't look in fight shape at all, and I just don't see it magically happening now. This is a perfect spot to take Sutherland to because every you know, the odds I think I want to say they're pretty gonna be they're pretty close right now, and everybody's gonna take to a boss because they're big fans of him.

SPEAKER_00 16:32

Yes. So Sutherland at plus 173, the value's on the underdog again, dude.

SPEAKER_04 16:37

Wow. Bro, I I feel like the it should be a coin flip odd fight.

SPEAKER_00 16:42

Yes, I was shocked it wasn't closer because again, I always go and take my picks before I go look at the odds, and I'm like, oh, this this will be a good fight. You know, either one could get a KO or something could happen. And then I saw that.

SPEAKER_02 16:54

I think a lot of people are putting money on Ty 2, bro.

SPEAKER_00 16:56

They're probably taking him in parlays, taking him by knockout. Yeah, he's the fan favorite. Everyone knows him for the shoeys. It's like he's got a recognized recognizable name. There'll be a bunch of money gets pumped on him, and I think this is where Vegas robs people.

SPEAKER_04 17:12

Yeah, and I want to I don't want to rob people, but I want to be on the Vegas side here. Uh yeah, bro. You know what? I'm gonna I'm not gonna lie to you, I'm gonna put Sutherland in a play or two. Uh if I'm if Ty wins, I won't be mad that I lost some money, because I I want Ty to win. You know, like I said, it's electric, and it's fun when he's doing the shoey and you know turns up the crowd. He's pretty funny on the microphone, but in reality, Louie, I think I'd probably put him at a minus 115, 120, honestly.

SPEAKER_00 17:44

Yeah, I would have I would have taken Louie exactly, even at the favorite, as long as it wasn't like over 200, I would have taken him.

SPEAKER_04 17:51

So some people might be like, oh, Tytu Vasa has a better uh resume. He's fought better fighters. We you especially with the heavyweight division, you can't judge how he looked six years ago. The fact of the matter is he's he's down bad right now. As much as we don't want him to, he should have been retired. He's just trying to collect another check or two right now.

SPEAKER_00 18:12

Well, and same thing. Them being in Australia, they probably offered him a good you know payout to be on this car to come back.

SPEAKER_04 18:20

Yeah, and uh and they tried giving him a better matchup than what he's had, but ain't happening, man. Next up we have Shamil Gazeev versus Brando uh Piricich. Hopefully I said that right. Dude, I don't know much about uh Brando Pirichich, but Shamil Gazeev is pretty solid for a heavyweight. Yeah, Shamil is a tough one.

SPEAKER_00 18:43

And he actually he just KO'd Louis, I think, in their last fight. I think it was those two, was Louis's last fight, and he got the KO. So this is a tough one, dude. It is a pick'em for a reason. Shamil at plus 112. I feel like his grappling is a little bit better. They both have the ability to KO. I don't know, man. This is a weird one. Same thing. I I kind of feel like I'm gonna stay away from this one personally. I kind of lean towards Brando having a little bit more knockout power. And I know Shamil was KO'd maybe two fights ago or three fights ago.

SPEAKER_04 19:17

I think it was by was it by Waldo Acosta.

SPEAKER_00 19:20

Yeah, so maybe it was his last fight. But so I I think just again, him coming off the KO, and it's just this is kind of a weird one for me. I think again, either one of these guys at heavyweights can get the job done. Um I think I'm taking Brando here, bro.

SPEAKER_04 19:35

He's won, he's won four in a row all by knockout. So his momentum's crazy. He looks like a monster, and he's he's five years younger than Gazeev. So um, I'm gonna take Brando here. I know I'm gonna be first and foremost. I have not seen him fight yet, or not that I can recollect, but based off looking at his resume and his momentum, I'm taking Brando, the youth, and he's got crazy momentum, four knockouts in a row. Give me five knockouts after Saturday.

SPEAKER_00 20:02

Yep, so yeah, I like I like Brando at minus 133. All right, let's roll, let's take that, bro.

SPEAKER_04 20:09

Um, next up, this is a pretty good matchup right here. We have Steve Urseg versus Tim Elliott. It would be a hell of a lot closer if Elliott was more so in his prime. You know, he's pretty old now. I want to say he's in his late 30s. Um, and Steve Urseg is is in his prime right now.

SPEAKER_00 20:25

You know, this is his contender. He's still at a contender level. So Steve Ursig minus 230 is an easy one, hands down. I mean, Elliot still could get it done somehow, but I love Ursig here.

SPEAKER_04 20:40

Elliot's a really good wrestler, and he's a really unorthodox fighter. I feel like the odds I think Ursic should have been minus 290 to 325 range. I think Ursac, dude, I feel like he's a lock right here. Like Elliot is a dog, and like I said, he's a good wrestler, but he's 39 years old. Urseg's 30. They're in a totally different place in their lives. I'm taking Ursay all day.

SPEAKER_00 21:06

Yep, yeah, minus 230. That's that's a great play.

SPEAKER_04 21:10

Yeah, I'm I'm taking that on Parlay 100%, bro. Next up, we got Benil Darush versus Killian Salakid. Um, this is another one of those matchups where if Benil was more in his prime, you know, he's he's more so on the decline now in his career. He's accumulated a lot of damage, and Killian Salakid is an absolute savage, you know, maybe not even started his prime yet. He's only 26 years old. This guy's an absolute killer, bro.

SPEAKER_00 21:40

It's crazy because he is kind of new to the scene and he's coming on so strong. So hopefully he can keep this momentum, keep himself clean and you know, in in the gym, training hard regularly. As long as he can stay hungry. I mean, this kid's got some mysterious growth, dude.

SPEAKER_04 21:54

Hey, I'm gonna say this right now he's gonna be the next biggest Australian star. From the UFC after Volkonovsky. He's going to take the throne from Volkanovsky and be the next guy that represents Australia for the UFC.

SPEAKER_00 22:09

I believe that, dude. I could totally see that.

SPEAKER_04 22:12

He is in a hard division, a lightweight division, but man, if he beats Star Yush, he's going to jump a whole lot of spots. And I don't think a lot of people would want to fight him in that in the top top 10.

SPEAKER_00 22:24

He's a nightmare matchup for a lot of guys. Exactly. And that we don't really talk about that, but there is some of these guys that nobody wants to fight, right? It's like they have a hard time putting cards together because they nobody wants to fight them. Or it's some young up-and-comer that is willing to take anything.

SPEAKER_04 22:39

And it's like especially like the Sol Keith, he's coming from outside the rankings. So, you know, once he gets up there, you know, and a lot of guys don't want to fight down in the rankings, but if they do, they want it to be a matchup they really believe they can win. And like we said, Sol Keat is a nightmare matchup for a lot of guys. So um, I what's the odds on this one? I would imagine Sol Keat is probably minus 500.

SPEAKER_00 23:01

Yeah, minus 450, exactly.

SPEAKER_04 23:04

I'm still gonna put it on play, bro.

SPEAKER_00 23:07

Yeah, no, I I like that for sure.

SPEAKER_04 23:10

Gotta, I gotta take that, bro. Um, that's gonna be in a parlay. I like Benil, and he's a seasoned veteran, but again, um, he's just not his prime anymore. He's more so one foot in, one foot out the door when it comes to retirement. And uh Killian is, you know, it's in Australia. He's from there, he's looking to be the next star in the UFC and to represent Australia, and uh, this is his time, bro. Like, this is that time for him to show everybody, hey, watch out. This guy's coming to take the throne in the lightweight division.

SPEAKER_03 23:41

Then the crowd's gonna erupt, dude.

SPEAKER_02 23:44

Yeah, I'm gonna I would say he even gets a knockout here.

SPEAKER_04 23:49

Alright, bro. Next up, we have arguably one of the best fight matchups of the entire year. Two two elite strike strikers, one more so uh heavy boxing, the other one a pure kickboxer. We got Jack Della Maddalena, the former champ, versus Carlos Prates. You want to start?

SPEAKER_00 24:09

Dude, I mean uh this is a crazy matchup, man. This this is definitely gonna be a banger. I just yeah, I mean, this is gonna be nuts, dude. Honestly, it's gonna be interesting to see how like how fast they really start to get after each other. This is one of those times where like I think the first round they both might kind of be a little hesitant and try to counterfight the other and see you know where the weakness is in the other component. And then once they start, you know, that second round comes out, they start you know feeling each other. I think it's gonna get crazy. I really like Protest here overall. I think he's got a little bit more power in his hands, I think he's got a little bit more ability. But if Jack can keep the distance and keep just striking and not get caught up like in the dirty boxing, I mean, either one of these guys is live. But I I lean towards protest here. Oh man.

SPEAKER_01 25:02

There it is. There's the split. There's always one, there's always one.

SPEAKER_02 25:10

I got protest too, bro.

SPEAKER_00 25:12

Oh my god, let's go. I got protests. So this is how I see the fight game now.

SPEAKER_04 25:18

I I I feel pretty similar. I feel like first round, they're really gonna be just out throwing a lot of fans, getting a read on each other. It's a five-round fight. Both guys are gonna be patient, both guys are able to go all five rounds. Um, the only thing I'm worried about since I am on the Pratez side, the only thing I'm worried about is Della Medalena throwing more volume because a lot of times Pratez has been a little bit too patient in his fights, and then he gets away with getting a knockout because it doesn't go to the judge's scorecard. So he's really hunting that knockdown where sometimes it leads to a little bit too much inactivity. But um, I will say it an advantage for him is that Jack Del Maddalena might be a little bit of a better boxer, but Protez has a lot more power, and the big difference here is gonna be the kicks. He's a pure kickboxer, and Jack doesn't throw near as many kicks as Pratez does. So Protez will probably try to keep the distance as much as he can, where, like you said, um Del Maddalena is gonna want to be in his face, in the pocket, trading punches, but Protez is gonna try to keep a kicking wrench so he can throw the kicks, take his calves out, and then when Maddalena lunges forward with a big punch, Protez is gonna want to counter him and knock him out.

SPEAKER_00 26:33

Yeah, yeah.

SPEAKER_04 26:35

It's gonna be like watching a chess match, honestly. I mean, these are two absolutely strikers.

SPEAKER_00 26:41

Yeah. This is gonna be more strategic. They're not just gonna be out there like a bar fight or a brawl. These guys are gonna be way more strategic, and neither one wants to get caught by the other guy, right? So, like you said, they're gonna be in there just kind of feeling each other out, trying to find where the gaps are. Yeah, that that's the only thing that scares me a little bit is that slow start.

SPEAKER_04 27:01

Again, I don't expect a whole lot in that first round, but yeah, it and honestly, like there is a world where it could be a really boring fight because they're both too patient because they respect each other too much. You know, like I said, with Pratez leg kicks, if he lands a couple hard ones, then Del Maddalena's not gonna be able to have as much power, get off his punches, so he's gonna try to the faster Pratez gets on those kicks, the faster Del Maddalena's gonna want to close the distance, and then it's gonna be fireworks from that point on. I'd I highly doubt any takedowns are shot in this fight. It's gonna be strictly standing up, you know, calf kicks and and uh and a lot of boxing.

SPEAKER_00 27:42

And this could go the decision 100%.

SPEAKER_04 27:45

Yeah. But either way, depending on who you like in this matchup, if you're especially if you're a parlay person, you can't go wrong with either their side because it's almost a coin flip odds. So you can hedge yourself as long as you get your other legs to hit, you're in the clear for a hedge. So um whatever side you're on, easy hedge. I think Protez is a lot more likely to knock out Jack than Jack is to knock out Protez, though. Protez is win by decision or knockout.

SPEAKER_00 28:15

That's how I feel. I feel like it's pretty even and Protez has got a little bit more power. I think that's gonna make the difference, plus the late kicks. Bro, I'm not gonna lie, I'm gonna do like a couple, like personally, I'm gonna do some crazy like plus 2000 parlays, but for my um for my um lock parlay, I'm taking let me do mine first real quick because I have it up, bro. I'm sorry, I don't want to.

SPEAKER_04 28:41

Oh, yeah, yeah, go ahead. My bad. I'm sorry.

SPEAKER_00 28:43

I'm gonna do Jonathan Mikalef and I'm gonna take uh Solakid. And at basically it's at minus 139 parlaying those two.

SPEAKER_04 28:53

Hey, that's fire. I like that a lot.

SPEAKER_00 28:55

That's it. I'm just gonna take the and we're still up three units overall, so we're still in good shape. I'm just gonna try to take the easy win here.

SPEAKER_02 29:03

Beautiful. I like it a lot, bro.

SPEAKER_00 29:06

All right, tell me what you want to do.

SPEAKER_02 29:07

What about Martin what about your Martingale?

SPEAKER_00 29:10

Oh yeah. Uh all right, so the Martingale, I went with Colby, Thickenies, Steve Urseg, and then Protest at the end.

SPEAKER_04 29:21

Okay. Thickenies should get the job done right away, so uh I think so.

SPEAKER_00 29:25

I think it should be done right then.

SPEAKER_04 29:27

Whenever we're we're on the same page all the way, we usually smash, bro. So this might be a heavy bird.

SPEAKER_00 29:33

Yeah, this is crazy. And then we picked a bunch of underdogs too, so I'm feeling extra excited now. Yeah, we're about to turn it up.

SPEAKER_01 29:41

Alright, bro, so um I'm taking this is gonna be for half a unit. Sutherland. Um Brando Brando Ursa Urseg. Salaked Bam.

SPEAKER_04 30:12

And uh Protez and and Thickenese, sorry.

SPEAKER_00 30:17

Oh yeah, this guy's stacked it up right now.

SPEAKER_04 30:20

I got I hope I hope I got that to like plus uh 700.

SPEAKER_00 30:25

Are you kidding me? Plus 2671.

SPEAKER_02 30:29

Bro, that's a banger!

SPEAKER_00 30:32

Because almost all these are under 200 except for Solikyed and then Louis at plus 173. So you wanna do this for half a unit or a quarter unit?

SPEAKER_04 30:42

Uh since it pays so good, let's do a quarter unit, but I was gonna do a half.

SPEAKER_00 30:47

Let's yeah, let's do a quarter.

SPEAKER_02 30:50

Yeah, it's safer.

SPEAKER_01 30:51

And then my like my ba my um parlay is gonna be um um, let's see. I'm gonna take Sala Keed and Protez, bro. I love it.

SPEAKER_04 31:15

I'm gonna I'll say like a unit and a half.

SPEAKER_00 31:18

Alright, let's do that. I'm down. And that's uh at plus one twenty-seven. I like it.

SPEAKER_04 31:26

Because you gotta assume Salakid is gonna win easily, and then now you got a little bit of a plus money on the main event.

SPEAKER_00 31:33

Yep, no, I like it, dude. I think it's genius. So even that we're still a quarter of a unit, even with those bets in. So we we've been doing well this year.

SPEAKER_01 31:43

Hey, um let's see. Dude, you wanna do one for a tenth of a unit, but it's gonna be like insane?

SPEAKER_03 31:55

Yeah, let's do it.

SPEAKER_04 31:56

Alright, bro, this is gonna be like plus like seven thousand. Alright, I'll do ones we agree on too, okay?

SPEAKER_02 32:04

Alright.

SPEAKER_01 32:14

Um protest.

SPEAKER_03 32:41

Let's go.

SPEAKER_02 32:45

Bro, I bet that's pays crazy.

SPEAKER_03 32:48

Plus thirty-four thousand, thirty-four fifty.

SPEAKER_02 32:54

Oh my god.

SPEAKER_04 32:55

That would bro, we're gonna be partying like crazy if that hits.

SPEAKER_00 33:00

Hell yeah, let's go. That's crazy, bro.

SPEAKER_04 33:03

That's not a bad one either. Like, it's really nothing that I don't think is a possibility.

SPEAKER_00 33:09

Yeah, I mean, uh obviously Mir Shard's probably the more risky one, but again, I think this is still live, dude, honestly. Yeah, that's a banger. If that hits. I mean, even if you even if you just bet a dollar, you would win 340 bucks. I'll take those odds for a dollar.

SPEAKER_04 33:28

Yeah, that's a good lottery ticket right there. Right, dude. I probably put like three bucks on it for a thousand.

SPEAKER_00 33:35

Three for a thousand, yeah. I love it, dude.

SPEAKER_04 33:38

Yeah, that's good. That's like getting a little powerball. That's like getting a scratch ticket from the gas station.

SPEAKER_00 33:43

Yeah, I mean, three grand, that's nice. That's a little hand pay. Yeah, that's insane.

SPEAKER_04 33:49

Yeah, I like it. Let's do it. Boom, done, dude. All right, so those are plays for the UFC Fight Night Protez versus Dela Maddalena. If you like our plays, ride them. If not, fade them, don't matter, because we're gonna put these in no matter what and hope for the best. But I will say, knocking on wood, when me and Mad Dog are on the same page, especially like tonight, like I like to argue with you, but it's unfortunate that we weren't able to argue about anything because I'm not gonna.

SPEAKER_00 34:17

We've been on the same side like every single time, dude. Normally there's something we disagree with, but so this is this will be a great card.

SPEAKER_04 34:23

This will be even the underdogs we liked were the same. Like the Sutherland was crazy, the Mirror short was extra crazy. Shocked. I was shocked.

SPEAKER_00 34:34

We got some good value here, if nothing else, dude. And we'll we'll clip it a high percentage.

SPEAKER_04 34:39

Sweet. Well, um, yeah, that's what we got for today, guys. That's mic'd up and misinformed. Uh, make sure you guys give us a follow on Instagram and especially on uh YouTube.

SPEAKER_00 34:49

Yeah, like, follow, comment, you know, subscribe, do all the things everybody says to do. It just is.

SPEAKER_04 34:55

Yeah, if you uh if you do if you do end up seeing our YouTube anywhere, um comment and give us your locks of the card. Who do you guys think is like easy money? I like that. Or tell us your lock of the card and or tell us the best possible underdog um that could win outright during the fights as well. Love it.

SPEAKER_01 35:16

So alright guys, that's Mike Up and Messinformed. We out. Alright, later, guys.