UFC ANKALAEV VS GUSKOV

**Maximize Your UFC Fight Night Experience: Expert Predictions and Betting Insights**  

Are you ready to make some money on UFC Fight Night? With the highly anticipated matchup between Ankelev and Guskov set to take place in Dubai, the fight schedule is a bit different this time around—expect early morning bouts that could redefine your viewing habits. In this article, we’ll provide expert insights and predictions on several key fights, helping you navigate the betting landscape effectively. 

Transcript

SPEAKER_01 0:01

Welcome back to Miked Up and Misinformed. This week we're about to make some money on UFC fight night, Ankelev versus Guskov. These fights are going to be early, early, early in the a.m. Um because these fights are in Dubai. So be ready. They're not at your usual um 6 p.m. Pacific time.

SPEAKER_00 0:23

Yeah, they're gonna be early. Six, like six, basically six a.m. to nine a.m. depending on where you're at in the States.

SPEAKER_01 0:30

Yeah, I'm thinking like pretty much just staying awake late Friday night and then just stand up until early morning Saturday watching them.

SPEAKER_00 0:37

I'll be I'll go to bed early and wake up for Saturday morning cartoons, baby.

SPEAKER_01 0:42

Bro, I'm kinda sick though, man. I I honestly prefer the morning card because like by the time the main card hits, it's like 8 or 9 a.m. and I'm up around 6. So um I feel like it's just the perfect time. See, it's like waking up and then getting some breakfast and watching them through the main event for brunch.

SPEAKER_00 1:00

I agree, dude. I prefer it because no one else is really doing anything Saturday in the morning. Everyone's just at home chilling, anyways. So it's like I don't feel like I have to miss out on anything. I can just stay home, watch the fights, have lunch, enjoy the rest of the fights, and then go do whatever I want.

SPEAKER_01 1:15

Yeah, I I I like that. Um alright, man, let's get into it. So the first I I feel like we're gonna have a lot of different uh opinions on these fights personally, because I do like a lot of underdogs. Um but anyways, let's get into it. The Bantamweight division, we have Cody Gibson versus Abdul uh Hussein. Hussein's 15 and 2, Gibson at UFC Vet is 22 and 12. Who you got?

SPEAKER_00 1:41

I like Abdul, I think he's got better grappling and submission abilities here. And this is kind of a weird car because I feel like there's a lot of guys that like were added on late, some fights got canceled. So it's this car is kind of all over the place. But the problem is Abdul's minus 500. Cody Gibson's at plus 380. So I I like Abdul, so I think take him for the submission is probably your best value bet here. But I'll take Abdul.

SPEAKER_01 2:05

Yeah, I don't mind putting him on a on a parlay here. I believe Gibson is stepping up on short notice. He's 38 years old, you know, especially at 135. I feel like um he's definitely on the decline, and Abdul is more so on the incline in hit of his career. Yeah. The minus 500 is a pretty big line, but I don't mind it being a parlay piece. So I feel like Hussein should definitely win this fight. Alright, I guess so much damage too. So I like Hussein in that one. Alright, so we agree on fight number one. Next up we have Narulo Aliyev versus Mike Davis. Davis is 12 and 3. Aliyev is 11-0, never lost. You want me to give my prediction first on this one?

SPEAKER_00 2:51

Yeah, do it, boss.

SPEAKER_01 2:53

I got Mike Davis, bro. I can't believe he's an underdog. He's like plus 185 or 190, but I think that's a steal. This should be more so a pick'em, in my opinion. But I'm taking Mike Davis to the bank in this matchup. First underdog pick the time.

SPEAKER_00 3:08

Mike Davis is at 185, like you said. Alive is at 225. Yeah, I like Alive a little bit better. Because I feel like when you go and look, dude, yeah, Davis loses to grapplers and wrestlers. That's kind of his downfall. He's great on his feet and he's got a lot of knockouts, but he kinda if people can just, you know, keep him in the clench, he kind of gasses out and loses to the wrestling.

SPEAKER_01 3:34

I think this is gonna be one of those fights where the old dog shows the young one uh some some old tricks, man. He's gonna show him why he's a vet. Aliy's only 25 years old, Davis is 33. Um Aliv had a had a knockout in his contender series, and since then, all three of his last fights. I mean, credit to him, he's 4-0 in the UFC, but his last three fights have all come by decision. Um I don't know, bro. I feel like if he goes three rounds, Davis is either gonna knock him out or could win by decision here, in my opinion.

SPEAKER_00 4:09

Yeah, and he really Alive's only got two knockouts total. I mean, all of his fights go to decision, so he's got that gas tank, but yeah.

SPEAKER_01 4:20

So alright, so we're split on that one. Yep. Next up we have uh uh Tuchalov versus Robero. Robero has lost his last fight, last three UFC fights. You know, he's definitely on his way out of the UFC, in my opinion, unless he gets a huge knockout win here. Um Tuchilov is six and oh, never lost, and I think this is a layup matchup for him to get a finish here and try for that 100k bonus.

SPEAKER_00 4:49

Yeah, 100%, dude.

SPEAKER_01 4:51

Unfortunately, he's like a minus like six or seven hundred at least, so he's not really playable. So if you're gonna take Tuchelov, you have to do it specifically by the method of victory, whether it's mission, knockout, or decision. But personally, I'm just gonna pass on this fight.

SPEAKER_00 5:08

Yeah, Tuchelov's a minus eight fifty, so same. I'm gonna pass. Because this is first. I'm gonna wait. Yeah, I'm gonna wait and see how he performs. There's just no value here. And again, like you said, he's not really a lock necessarily, so this is just you know, watch and enjoy. This there's just no bet value here. Yeah, Uggs too big.

SPEAKER_01 5:29

All right, next up we have Axel Sola versus Ismail Bonfim. Uh Bonfim is 20 and 6. Axel Sola is 11-1 and 1. Who do you got in this one?

SPEAKER_00 5:40

Sam, I'm taking Axel on this one, dude. I like Axel a lot. The only problem is his last fight, he didn't look that great. So I'm hoping he rebounds from that, comes back and shows us his skill again. Now it's tough because Bonfeme's got a lot of, you know, he's been in the round for a long time. He's 30 years, but he's been in the UFC for a long time. The problem is he's he's only won two of his last five fights. We did he did beat up McKinney, but he's been losing basically to everybody else.

SPEAKER_01 6:08

Yeah, I feel like of the Bonfeme bros, Gabriel Bonfeme is the superior one, you know, he's a real contender. Ismail, um, I feel like he's just barely UFC level. I feel like the odds have Sola being a little bit too much of a favorite, but I'm on the Sola side here. Um, I feel like he's gonna edge out Bonfeme in a decision. But um it's it's hard for me to personally play this. But if I had to pick, I'm taking Sola.

SPEAKER_00 6:35

Solo is a minus 198, so it's not too bad. I like the value there.

SPEAKER_01 6:39

Okay. So yeah, I saw I think I saw him minus 220 the last time I checked, but I don't know, there's so many sports books in it, it changes by the day.

SPEAKER_00 6:48

That's part of it too, exactly. The books are all different, and the lines, like I said, some of them are are weird, dude, because some of these fights like last minute stuff, you know.

SPEAKER_01 6:56

And we're recording on a Wednesday night. So if you guys hear this, whether it's Thursday, Friday, or Saturday morning, um, you know, definitely the odds and things could shift, you know, depending on weight cuts and um, you know, what happens throughout this fight week.

SPEAKER_00 7:12

So when I looked at FanDuel earlier today, this morning, not even all the fights were on there at all. They had like eight of the 11 fights.

SPEAKER_01 7:21

Interesting. Next, bro, next up's a banger. We have Santi Santiago Ponzanibio versus Sam Patterson. I feel like the odds are a little bit big here with Patterson being like, I think he's uh between a minus 450 and minus 500. I know Ponzanibio is about 40 years old and on his way out, but those odds are pretty crazy, bro. What are you thinking here?

SPEAKER_00 7:46

I I do like Patterson. I think you take him for the KO. That's gonna be your best option. At minus 460, I'm again you could use him as a parlay piece and get to get the odds down. I mean, I definitely think he wins and gets the job done here. I wouldn't say this is a layup, but I I think this is, you know, they're feeding him to give him some good credibility here and move up the ranks. So I'm taking Sam Peterson and I'm thinking even by knockout.

SPEAKER_01 8:10

Yeah, Ponza Nibio is a good name to have on your resume if you beat him. Um, you know, he's no he's no walk in the park. You know, this won't be an easy fight, but I like Sam Patterson. I just feel like the odds are a little bit too juiced up on him.

SPEAKER_00 8:24

Yeah, they're juiced for sure.

SPEAKER_01 8:26

Next up we have UFC vet Dustin Jacoby versus Mohammed Saeed. Or I I hope I'm pronouncing that right. Yeah, I mean it's good. Jacoby is a minus 160. Who do you got in this one?

SPEAKER_00 8:40

Jacoby's a minus 160. I just uh dude, I'm taking Jacoby. I just think he's got those freaking giant mitts, dude, and he can knock anybody out, man. The only thing that scares me is knowing this is an Abu Dhabi, the time difference and like the jet lag with the Americans traveling over there, that always kind of scares me a little bit. But this is this is Said's first UFC fight, so again, there is part of that. So I I think Jacoby overall is gonna get the job done. And then again, I think he can even get the knockout here, honestly. The dude's got those freaking powerful mitts. His last four four or five fights ended. Oh no, the last three ended with KL because Rey has knocked him out.

SPEAKER_01 9:21

Jacoby's a gangster, bro. He's been fighting forever, and he probably has you know over a hundred um Muay Thai fights, so he's traveled to Thailand and all over the world to fight. So I don't think traveling will be an issue for him specifically. Um, the only thing I fear in this matchup is Saeed has this is his first U of C fight. So my question is, how's he gonna do with the bright lights for the first time? And then my second thing that I'm wondering with him is his last five wins have all came by knockout. So that tells me he's gonna come out super aggressive in this fight. So the fact that he does um have the aggression and he's eight years younger, he's 30 years old. I feel like if you're gonna take him, you need to take him by knockout. Um, otherwise, just take Jacoby on a parlay. So that's what what I'm thinking here on this fight.

SPEAKER_00 10:11

Yeah, I love Jacoby at minus 170. And like you said, I think both these guys have knockout abilities. So the under two and a half at minus 125, I think is the one of the best picks of the whole card, honestly.

SPEAKER_01 10:24

Yeah, because you you've got to think Mohammed's gonna come out and empty the gas cake gas tank going for that knockout, and Jakirk is gonna knock him out or pick him apart. He's a great counter-striker, so um, I feel like the odds are are pretty reasonably placed. It could be more so closer to a pick'em just because of the age difference, and uh this guy's hasn't lost yet that Jacoby's fighting, but um yeah. Um I'm probably gonna pass personally on this fight, but Jacoby has more pass to victory.

SPEAKER_00 10:56

Yeah, no, I like Jacoby and those mitts, bro. I'm telling you, he's his fists are like literally one and a half times than everybody else's.

SPEAKER_01 11:03

Bro, he's a dog. I could never hate on Jacoby. He's a dog. He'll be one of those guys like Jim Miller that just fights until his 40s, probably, too.

SPEAKER_00 11:12

Like he's just I think Jacoby's already 38. He's almost there.

SPEAKER_01 11:18

Yeah, he's the truth, bro. Alright, man. I feel like we're gonna be torn on this next matchup. Um, I'm interested to hear your take, but we have Walter Walker versus Thomas Peterson.

SPEAKER_00 11:31

I'm taking the heel hook Captain of America, bro. I'm taking him, dude. I think Walker gets the job done again, bro. It's hard to not take him, bro.

SPEAKER_01 11:40

If you're gonna take him by the other submission, it's hard not to, man. Like he's won his last like four fights in a row by the same method of victory. So taking him by submission, I can't argue with you at all. But personally, I'm taking Thomas Peterson here. My biggest question is what does Walker look like if he cannot pull off the submission? Because we really haven't seen many of his fights go into a decision, so we don't know truly where his gas tank lies. And then I haven't seen him on the feet for all three rounds either. So I don't really know what a striking truly looks like. All we see is him, and credit to him, he's taking these guys, demolishing them on the mat and ripping their heel apart. But my question that I'm taking Thomas Peterson because he's like a minus one or sorry, a plus underdog plus one fifty-five.

SPEAKER_00 12:32

Yeah, plus one fifty-five.

SPEAKER_01 12:33

He's a decent wrestler, he's a decent striker. I feel like he's a deep a well-rounded, decent UFC fighter. And um, if he can stuff the takedowns, he would be the favorite in this matchup. But obviously, can he stuff the takedowns?

SPEAKER_00 12:47

Yeah, that that's gonna be the difference maker. But I think Walker can handle himself on the feet. Often uh he hasn't been KO'd before. His only loss was decision. Before he became to the UFC, he did have quite a few decisions, and then he started getting KOs, and now he's just been relying on his his heel hooks like constantly, basically. So I think he gets into the dogfight, he gets you scrambling, and then he just shoots for a heel hook in any direction.

SPEAKER_01 13:13

Yeah. If he does, though, I will never I will never talk about I'll never fade Volter again on the spot.

SPEAKER_00 13:40

Yeah, if he pulls off a fifth heel hook, you can't fade him. But like you said, Peterson should know. Like you know his game plan, you know what he's looking for. Avoid the takedown, avoid getting in those messy, you know, confrontations, focus on stay standing. You know, don't even try to ground and pound him. Stand up, make him stand up, and keep him in your game plan. I think that that makes the difference if you can do that, you know. But I think Walker likes these messy fights and then gets you kind of scrambling and then just catches your ass all of a sudden.

SPEAKER_01 14:08

Yeah, that's the thing about Walker is he forces it to, you know, be be close distance in your face type of fight. You know, there's no it's really hard to avoid Walker's uh pressure. Alright, man. Let me get to the next fights here. Alright, so next up we have uh I'm just gonna say their last names, I'm gonna try. We have Vegeyev, Vegev Vegyv versus Zakamaz. Um both guys have won a bun, you know, 24 and 4, and um Izma Gayev is 22 and 3. Both guys both guys are similar in age as well, 33 and 31. I think both are on win streaks right now, too, if I'm not mistaken. Alright, so so Izgameov, he's four and five in his he's won four of his last five fights, but his last fight, he lost a split decision to Nicholas Dolby, and then Vejev has also won four of his last five fights. Um his last loss was in 2022 though by KO. And let's see, this will be Vege V V Vegeev's first CFC fight.

SPEAKER_00 15:41

Yeah, that's I think that makes a little bit of a difference, you know. Again, it's those those bright lights coming in, the pressure, feeling it. And again, the first fight does make a difference. He is the favorite at that minus 270. I do like him a little bit better. I think he's got both path to victories. He can stand and grapple. So I'm gonna lean towards him, but I'm honestly this, I'm gonna stay away. I'm not gonna really bet this fight.

SPEAKER_01 16:07

Yeah, personally, for me, it's a dogger pass. Um Vijayev uh has gotten knocked out multiple times, so that's something to note. Um, and I just feel like the odds should be definitely a little bit closer. Um, so for me, I'm taking Ismigayev or passing on that one.

SPEAKER_00 16:28

Yeah, I mean he really he only lost. That's crazy that his first UFC fight was Dolby too. That's nuts.

SPEAKER_01 16:38

Yeah, and bro, I know Dolby's older now. I think he's like 41 or 42, but bro, he's a dog. Dolby's Dolby's a good fight, bro. He's a good contender for the newbies.

SPEAKER_00 16:51

Yeah, he's a good gatekeeper.

SPEAKER_01 16:53

There's a reason why he's been gatekeeping so long and he's had longevity in the UFC, is he wins fights like that. But you know, you would think that this guy had learned from that and he, you know, utilizes that now that he's more so the UFC veteran in this matchup, having one fight compared to the other guy having his first fight. Alright. Next matchup we have uh heavyweight bout, Tyrell Fortune versus Rizvan Kunayev. Bro, I like Kunayev a lot. I know he's gonna minus 330, but I think I I want to say it's a lock, dude. Tyrell has decent um wrestling, but I feel like Kunayev is gonna stop stuff the takedowns, and he has more passive victory. He could um win a decision or knockout, and I don't feel like fortune could knock out Kunayev. I feel like he could maybe edge out a decision, but I doubt it. I don't think he's gonna be able to take him down and hold him down.

SPEAKER_00 17:50

I don't yeah. I think Kunev, honestly, I think Kunev's wrestling is the better too, honestly. I think it's conditioning.

SPEAKER_01 17:56

Kunev, personally, I think he's a contender, bro.

SPEAKER_00 17:58

Yeah, I think it's a solid fight for him. But like you said, the only thing I think I I do kind of feel like uh fortune could catch him like with a crazy spinning backflip or spinning back spinning back elbow and catch him with some type of like KO. But as long as he can just focus on his game plan, keep the distance, and then shoot and wrestle, I I think he's got a great chance, dude. I I like this fight a lot, actually.

SPEAKER_01 18:24

Alright, so we both like Kuneyev a lot.

SPEAKER_00 18:26

Yeah, I like yeah I like Kuniev a lot, dude. But like you said, the odds are they have him at minus 320 on Bovado right now.

SPEAKER_01 18:33

Yeah, I feel like it's pretty I feel like they're pretty spot on on that fight. He should be a favorite. Alright. Next up we have um two rising contenders, but bro, both these guys are dogs. Um we have I'm just gonna say their last I'll try to say them both. Magomed Zaynukov versus Damien Respecki. Uh Respecki is 24 years old, and Zaynukov is 31. Both guys are undefeated. 8-0 for Zanukov and Respecky is 10-0.

SPEAKER_00 19:08

Could be like I'm taking the butcher, baby. I'm taking Respecki here, dude. It's the underdog. He's the underdog, too. Yeah, underdog at plus 240. I think he's great both. Again, he can stand, he can grapple, he's got both sides of it. So I think he's got more path to victories. Where for Malcolmida, basically it's like he's either gonna get a KO early or just kind of win by decision overall. So I think if he gets a little tired, Respecty's gonna come in and just grapple him and submit him, dude. So I I love Damien here, man. And for the underdog at plus 240, I was surprised this wasn't a closer, like a pick'em, honestly.

SPEAKER_01 19:44

Alright, so we're taking Rasbecky the underdog in this one.

SPEAKER_00 19:48

Yeah, baby.

SPEAKER_01 19:49

I didn't really have an opinion on that, so you swayed me. So I'm gonna ride it this one. I'm gonna take the underdog. And bro, if you ever see two guys that are undefeated and they're fighting each other, bro, it's it's never a bad idea to take an underdog, especially at his odds.

SPEAKER_00 20:04

So yeah, especially at plus two for value player. There's something I don't know. This is this is gonna look great.

SPEAKER_01 20:12

Yeah. Alright, um, next up we have dude. This is ridiculous. Odds. We have is Islam Dulatov Dulato Dulatov versus Wellington Terman. Dulatov is a minus 1,000 here. Dude, he should absolutely win the fight, but those odds are insane.

SPEAKER_00 20:33

Yeah, the odds are ridiculous. That's the hard part. I mean, there's again, there's really just no value here. Um, they have it over under half round, so they're expecting this to be a quick finish for him, too. And I mean, Wellington Turman's been just kind of downhill, dude.

SPEAKER_01 20:49

So Yeah, I mean he's I think he's lost his last like three or four fights. I wouldn't be surprised if he gets cut in in you know the next year. So, you know, I hope he does win as the underdog, but this is definitely gonna be too tough of a matchup for him. Um, but I can't, I can't, from a betting perspective, I can't touch it.

SPEAKER_00 21:09

Yeah, he's lost his last three fights. Really, yeah. I mean, he really hasn't done that great in the UFC. He kind of beats up people that have no names, and then they give him someone who's got any credibility. He lost against Jared Goodun, he lost against Randy Brown, Andre Projowski. So it's just like, yeah, I I just don't have much faith in this guy, man, honestly.

SPEAKER_01 21:31

And then I will say that he does have the um the experience on his side, so I'll credit him that. Yeah. But I'm not taking him. Yeah. I can't take him as the underdog, bro.

SPEAKER_00 21:47

No. And again, half round. I mean, that makes it tough too.

SPEAKER_01 21:53

Next up we have a flyweight matchup. This is so interesting, bro. I feel like we are we're on different sides here. We have Steve Urseg versus Ramazan Timurov. Timrov is 29 years old, Urseg is 30. Timrov's 19 and 3, and Urseg is 14 and 4. Urseg has the UFC experience and the higher level of competition on his resume. For sure. Timrov's a problem on the feet. Who do you got?

SPEAKER_00 22:24

I dude, I like Timov. I think I think he's gonna cut up Ursay, dude. I think he's gonna get him freaking bleeding out of the eye socket and either they'll call it from the doctor stoppage or just straight up just get a regular KO. It just I don't know, man. He's Urzeg's he's got the dog in him, he's got the experience, like you said, and I feel like there's a height advantage too, right?

SPEAKER_01 22:50

Umseg is 5'8 and Tim Rov is 5'4, so yes, Urseg has a four-inch height advantage, and 5-inch reach advantage, too.

SPEAKER_00 23:02

So that that makes a difference. But I mean I I still and then for a pick'em, I still like uh Tumorov. Yeah, I'm taking Tumorov, but I'm just leaning towards it. I don't I don't really love it. The odds are nice, which I like, but Ursae's a dog, man, honestly. He he could uh I think he can get into a dog fight and then still be able to submit you, which I don't think people expect that, you know? Like they expect him to kind of stand and bang, but he he's definitely got the submission ability if he wants it. He just doesn't really use it.

SPEAKER_01 23:40

And all in the first round. Um his last fight, he went to a decision with Charles Johnson, but I'm thinking that he closes the gap here. If it was a five-round fight, I think Ursteg would be more of the favorite, but with it only being three rounds, um, I feel like Timrov, you know, if he's won his four of the last five-round five fights by first round knockout, he's gonna come out super aggressive and close the distance on Ursteg. If Ursteg has more pass to victory, because he definitely could win by submission, decision, or knockout, but he definitely also has the glass chin and you know definitely can get knocked out easily. I'm on the Timorov side with you, bro. I'm taking Tim Rov. Love it. Like he could get a knockout, could win by decision.

SPEAKER_00 24:25

I yeah, I think Timrov gets the knockout, dude. Honestly, I think he pieces apart Ursrig on the feet, but again, you you just never know when you have a live underdog like that. But I think Tumorv gets the job done. Again, 11 knockouts, 19 wins. That's that's impressive.

SPEAKER_01 24:40

And Urseg's kind of had his chance too. You know, he had his title shot fight, and uh he's already been there, so Timrov is the you know, young hungry bull looking to make his title right. Alright, bro. Now we got the main event, Magamed Anklev versus Bogdan Guskov. Um Guskov's 18 and 3, Uncle Live is 21 and 2. Uncle Ev's the favorite. I think he's like a minus like 240 or something like that.

SPEAKER_00 25:11

Dude, they have him at minus 575 now, so there's a bunch of money going on Ancleviv. Are you sure? Yeah, it's that's what it says right here. It's crazy.

SPEAKER_02 25:21

Wow. Okay.

SPEAKER_00 25:24

Interesting. Let me see what the other book says. That's how both of them.

SPEAKER_01 25:27

Okay, so I was thinking they had him at like maybe a minus two forty or two sixty, maybe.

SPEAKER_00 25:35

Yeah, minus five fifty on Caesar's on Caesar's app too. Wow, interesting. This is weird because this wasn't Moglomar's original opponent. Bogdan was supposed to fight someone else at the beginning of August. So it's like Yeah, they kind of shifted stuff around for this fight. So I mean he had a few.

SPEAKER_01 25:59

Man, ever since he came off that knockout to Pera, it seems like he's had issues getting a fight. So I'm sure he's just wanting to get back in the ring and get it get back in the W column because he is still in the top of contention for the next title shot for the light heavyweight division.

SPEAKER_00 26:16

Yeah, so I mean I like I like Mogomed here, honestly. It just those odds kind of suck. So it's like put that as the last piece of your nice parlay and hedge it if you wish.

SPEAKER_01 26:27

Yeah, so Gaskov has his last fight, he had a draw with John Blochowitz, and before that, he won four in a row. His last loss before that draw was to Vulcan Ozdemir in 2023. And other than that, he's won a bunch of his fights. So I feel like he hasn't experienced much adversity in the UFC aside from Blochschwitz. But Ancelev is just a level above him. I I can't take Giskov as an underdog. I feel like Ankleev could win by multiple ways, really however he wants. He's better at Guskov at all the same things Guskov is good at, Ankle Ev's better at.

SPEAKER_00 27:07

Yeah, exactly. I think he can outbox him. I d know he can out wrestle him. His conditioning, I would say, is a little bit better. And he he has the ability to submit, even though he doesn't really use it.

SPEAKER_01 27:19

Yeah. I I like Uncle Ev a lot, bro. He's gonna I'm definitely gonna throw him in a parlay.

unknown 27:25

Yep.

SPEAKER_01 27:25

So just put him at the end of a parlay. Those are our picks for the UFC, and now we're gonna give out our um our bets of what what we're looking at putting out.

SPEAKER_00 27:37

Alright, so my dog. Yeah, let me get it and pull it up. Alright, so let's see, from the beginning. No. I guess I'm all over the place. That's not the right one. Let me see, dude. Maybe I forgot to screenshot it. Oh, there we go. Alright, so 630. So I'm taking Alive at the very first fight. I'm taking him to start off the Martin Gale, and then I'm taking Axel Sola, and then I'm taking Walker for my third leg, if need to be.

SPEAKER_01 28:08

Walker, Sola, and who was the first?

SPEAKER_00 28:11

Uh alive. The very first fight. So those are the three for my Martin Gale. And then the the pick that I really do like the best is that Jacoby and Said to go under two and a half. So I'm doing a full unit on that one. Which again, the odds to go under two and a half at minus one twenty five. I love. And then my parlay was uh Walker, uh Rizvan Kunev, and Magamed. And that's basically plus one twenty eight, so a little bit more than plus money.

SPEAKER_01 28:43

Okay. Alright, so hopefully one of us wins then, because we got some different plays here. I'm trying to figure out what I want to put out because I got I want to put out like multiple a bunch of things, but um my first parlay, um this is like my safer, bigger one. Um I'm taking Hussein.

SPEAKER_02 29:04

I'm taking I'm taking uh let's see Kunayev. Taking Uncalaev.

SPEAKER_01 29:24

So Uncle Liv, Kunaev, and Hussein. Hussein over Gibson. What's that payout? That's probably like uh about uh minus 100, maybe plus 110.

SPEAKER_00 29:37

Yeah, minus 118 actually. Because it's my the odds are just so big. Minus 575 for Mogomedev, minus 500 for Hussein, and then Kunaive and minus 320. Okay. I think that's a solid parlay, dude.

SPEAKER_01 29:55

Alright, so and I have uh I'm gonna do a Martingale method this week too. Oh shit. This is gonna be called the underdog Martingale parlay. There you go.

SPEAKER_00 30:05

Yeah, because one of the underdogs hit last week, so that was nice.

SPEAKER_01 30:09

Alright, bro, so leg number one is Mike Davis.

SPEAKER_00 30:15

Mike Davis. Oh, we're on opposite sides there.

SPEAKER_02 30:18

Yep. Leg number two is Thomas Peterson. Oh shit, this guy. Leg number three.

SPEAKER_01 30:34

I'm gonna take uh I'm gonna take Respecky, bro. You talk me into him. And I don't think that it's even gonna have to get to that third leg, but I'm gonna take Rispecky as that third one.

SPEAKER_00 30:46

Alright, I love it, dude.

SPEAKER_01 30:50

So that's gonna be my barn go.

SPEAKER_00 30:53

I do I do like Rasbecky a lot, dude, honestly. I think he's solid, bro.

SPEAKER_01 30:58

Alright, let's do a crazy one. Let's do a crazy one for like a quarter unit. Alright. Alright, well this will be all the legs that we agree on.

SPEAKER_02 31:10

So let's take uh did we both like Sola? Yeah, we both like Sola. Alright, so take Sola. Take Patterson. Did you like Jacoby or Saiyan? I like Jacoby better.

SPEAKER_01 31:38

Alright, let's just let's just let's pass on that one. Let's take uh let's take Rispecky.

SPEAKER_02 31:52

Let's take Timorov. And let's take Uncle Live. That'll be a good one.

SPEAKER_00 32:05

Alright, so six six leg parlay.

SPEAKER_01 32:10

That's a plus twenty six hundred.

SPEAKER_00 32:14

A little less. Just because of some of the odds are so big, dude, unfortunately. So plus sixteen eighty.

SPEAKER_01 32:20

Oh, that's the plus a thousand offs. Whoops. But sixteen hundred is still pretty good, bro. Like great. I think we only have like one underdog on there, and it really. Oh, we have the pick'em fight with taking Timorov, which is will be stressful. That Earth Sake Timorov is gonna be a really good fight, bro. Um and then we took Respecki as a dog, and other than that, we took some of the favorites really like, so we'll see what happens, bro. We'll take that for a quarter unit, and then maybe like a unit on the rest of it.

SPEAKER_02 32:53

Yeah, that's what I did. Sounds good. Yeah, so we're gonna go.

SPEAKER_00 33:02

Even with that, we're basically even.

SPEAKER_01 33:04

So it's how many units are we up right now for the year?

SPEAKER_00 33:07

We were up two and a half units total.

SPEAKER_01 33:11

Sweet. And I think what are we how many units are we betting this week? Uh three and a quarter. Okay, three and a quarter. Sweet.

SPEAKER_00 33:22

Sounds good, bro. Hopefully we hit. We'll we're we've been in good shape, honestly. And like even like the last couple weeks, it's like we've had really good picks.

SPEAKER_01 33:35

Like, yeah, it's it's usually been, and I know most betters will say this and agree too. It's always been like one leg that messes us up. But I feel like generally, if if someone listened to our podcast and took like two or three of their favorite picks of all the picks we gave out, we hit it like a 70% clip at least. I feel like with generally just picking fights of who's gonna win.

SPEAKER_00 34:00

For sure, dude. Yeah, so Levi Rodriguez messed up our four-team parlay last week. Corey Sandhagen messed up our the four-leg parlay the week before, and we had a freaking nine-legger and Kavanaugh was the only loss on the whole nine legs.

SPEAKER_01 34:14

Bro, hitting eight out of nine legs is crazy itself. That's what I'm saying.

SPEAKER_00 34:19

And then we had another eight-teamer, and then Kavanaugh was the only one that lost. So it's like we like you said, we clip at a high percentage, and we we don't just take like giant thousand favorites. You know, we give out underdogs and everything else.

SPEAKER_01 34:32

Because even I don't know what it would cost, but we could do some uh round robins with a lot of our picks too, and we would hit it a pretty good clip.

SPEAKER_00 34:42

Yeah, as long as as long as the odds were decent, I think we could. Because that's the problem. Sometimes the odds are so ridiculous, is even the round robins, because I used to try to do like a bunch of three-team round robins, and I just would like break even or barely even profit because there's too many, you know, minus three, minus four, minus five hundred fights.

SPEAKER_01 35:01

It's too many legs in all reality. Like for me, it stresses me out because it's I would rather me personally, instead of like, let's say if you do it by the fours or whatever, and you have to do 35 bets or whatever, I would rather instead of doing 35 bets at whatever many cents, I'd rather just do like four or five parlays that I think are could potentially hit for the day. That's what I'd rather do. And put like five bucks instead of 40 cents on it.

SPEAKER_00 35:29

And the odds are so much better. Yeah. So I've even tried to do like MBR.

SPEAKER_03 35:35

I'm not a big round robin.

SPEAKER_00 35:37

Yeah, it's just so hard. I think it my only thing is like a sometimes with NFL, if I like four or five underdogs, I'll do like on the I'll do them as a round robin.

SPEAKER_01 35:49

Yeah, if you like underdogs, then it definitely pays really good. Yeah, that's it.

SPEAKER_00 35:52

But you kind of have to take dogs. You would basically have to take dogs to get any real money. Because like you say, even if you do like you know, a four-rounder out of like nine teams, you there's it's just so hard, dude, uh, to make profit. Because if one team loses, you loses, you lose like eight tickets.

SPEAKER_01 36:10

Yeah, 100%. Hey, bro, I can't wait to get an NFL season. Like, I got so many good um content, titles, and like ideas for what we could talk about. And I know you're you've already thought of the probably the same ones I'm thinking of, but we're gonna be kill it on NFL this year. We're gonna do a lot of fancy football. We're gonna do MVP predictions, um, you know, receiving yards predictions, receiving touchdowns. We're gonna do all the props, dude. We're gonna talk about who's gonna win the conference, everything, bro.

SPEAKER_00 36:46

You're you're so much better about that stuff than I am. I don't necessarily keep up with all the player props that well.

SPEAKER_01 36:51

I'm gonna have the sheets out too. Like, I'm gonna have it like, bro, because uh you've been carrying the load for us, so during football, I got it. So, what I'm gonna do is like, let's say when we do our we'll do like a topic of top five receivers for receiving yards for the year. I'm gonna send you one hundred the the the projected one to one hundred top NFL receivers for the year, and then I'll send that list to you, and then you can just look at it on your phone or whatever while we're both talking about it, and we'll pick our top five receivers for receiving yards, we'll do touchdowns, we'll do the running back stuff, quarterback stuff, all that.

SPEAKER_00 37:29

I love it. My man's all over it.

SPEAKER_01 37:31

Yeah, I think we're gonna still NFL this year, bro.

SPEAKER_00 37:34

And then, bro, the quarterbacks.

SPEAKER_01 37:36

No, I'm I think I might do that today, though. I saw it just came out on Netflix.

SPEAKER_00 37:41

It's good, it's worth it. It's good.

SPEAKER_01 37:42

When we get off here, too. I I want to go over some Super Bowl picks because um I was looking at the odds um yesterday and I saw some crazy value on teams.

SPEAKER_00 37:53

Who do you who do you like already?

SPEAKER_01 37:55

I'm gonna tell you off the podcast because I want the I want there to be like a build-up for the NFL season to come.

SPEAKER_00 38:01

You said build it up, wait for it, wait for it. But I guess I think is good. Yeah, the quarterbacks is good. It's like Jaden Daniels, uh Flacco, um Joe Burrow. Is Joe Burrow in it? Uh no, not really. Because he gets injured, right? And then Flacco goes over there.

SPEAKER_01 38:22

Oh. I'm I'm trying to think. I don't know who else it was in it. I haven't seen it, though.

SPEAKER_00 38:27

It's Cam from the Titans, and I can't think oh, it's uh Baker, Baker Mayfield. That's the fourth quarter.

SPEAKER_01 38:33

Okay. That's sick. I like Baker.

SPEAKER_00 38:37

Yeah, it was good. It was a good story. Uh I he seems pretty down to earth, honestly. He's kind of crazy. And just like him and his wife and his daughter, it's like it's nice to see these guys like human side a little bit, not just on the field, you know? So it's like to see them like how they're handling their injuries, and and I love it like when the physical therapists and their trainers come in and working on them and stretching them out and stuff. Like, I just love all the behind-the-scenes training and athletic part of it, not just them on the field, you know, just getting the beat up.

SPEAKER_01 39:10

Like actually showing you the real work that they put in for what they do every day. I I love that.

SPEAKER_00 39:17

I think it's just the mentality and like how they deal with the adversity and the crowd booing them and chanting them and coming back from injuries. You know, it's just again the the human side of it, it's just so much more meaningful than just seeing these, you know, sport guys out there that are like untouchable, basically.

SPEAKER_01 39:34

It's I would imagine too, you know, I've never been a professional football player, but I feel like it would be a nightmare to be a quarterback because you have to be the most locked in at that position. I feel like it takes the most dedication of any player on the field because you're basically the coach on the field, and you know, you're the most impactful player on the team. So I feel like um I feel like the you know, watching these is probably crazy because these guys are so dedicated to that to the game and their habits for perfection is crazy.

SPEAKER_00 40:08

It's like they they can't help it when the other team's on offense and your defense is out there, and it's like if your defense is letting them score and it's you know goes to like 36-38 and the other team wins by a field goal, it's like you you did the best you could, and you had still a phenomenal game, but you still lost, which sucks, you know.

SPEAKER_01 40:25

Yeah, yeah. Oh man, yeah, it'll I'm sure it'll be good though.

SPEAKER_00 40:30

It's good. I like it. It's good. I love the behind the scenes of the sports stuff for sure.

SPEAKER_01 40:36

Alright, guys. So those are our picks for the UFC though for this week. Um, not the best card, but um again, it's way better having fights than not. Um remember to tune in early in the morning. These fights are in Dubai, so um, don't miss out. Don't sleep in too late.

SPEAKER_00 40:53

Yeah, exactly. I want to go to bed early so I can wake up early.

SPEAKER_01 40:57

All right, Mike's up and misinform.