UFC Medic vs Rodriguez

The hosts discuss their predictions and picks for UFC Fight Night two eighty three, Medic versus Rodriguez. They analyze each fight, evaluate the odds, and share their insights on the fighters' strengths and weaknesses. The conversation covers UFC matchups and betting strategies, with insights into fighter analysis and betting approaches. The hosts discuss specific matchups, fighter profiles, and betting considerations, providing valuable insights for UFC enthusiasts and bettors.

Takeaways

• Fighter analysis and predictions
• Evaluation of odds and betting strategies Fighter analysis and betting strategies
• Insights into specific UFC matchups

Transcript

SPEAKER_00 0:01

Welcome back to Mic'ed Up and Misinformed with your host Mad Dog and Lunch Money. Today we're gonna be going to give out our predictions and picks for UFC Fight Night 283, Medic versus Rodriguez. You ready, bro? Let's go, baby. Alright, this is not one of the better cards of the year, but I'm always grateful to be having a fight card on any given Saturday, so let's get it, bro.

SPEAKER_02 0:25

And I think it's another early one. I want to say it starts at 7.

SPEAKER_00 0:29

Yeah, I don't know what country it's in. I I I don't have it on my sheet, but um I know that it's definitely an international fight card.

SPEAKER_02 0:37

Yeah, it's I think it starts at 7 for the West Coast.

SPEAKER_00 0:43

So it might be like in the middle of the night type of fight.

SPEAKER_02 0:48

Yeah, it's I think it's 7 a.m. for us for the prelims, and then the main card starts at 10. It doesn't say where it is, like right off the bat.

SPEAKER_00 0:56

Okay, cool. Well, make sure you guys get your bed sent early. The first fight of the night we have uh Marina Spazik versus Stephanie Lusano. Lusano is a minus 330 favorite. Who do you got?

SPEAKER_02 1:11

Oh, sorry, bro. They're in Serbia, so I think that's like right off of Russia. That's why.

SPEAKER_00 1:15

Okay. Interesting.

SPEAKER_02 1:17

Alright, dude.

SPEAKER_00 1:19

Sorry, bro. No, you're good.

SPEAKER_02 1:22

Trying to pull up the thing too.

SPEAKER_00 1:25

It said on our app we have 41 minutes to record because uh of the version we have, so I'm gonna we're gonna try to get this under 41 minutes.

SPEAKER_02 1:33

So who is the first one?

SPEAKER_00 1:35

Marina Spazik versus Stephanie Lusano.

SPEAKER_02 1:39

So I'm taking Spac, dude. She's got six KOs, which is pretty good for a woman, man.

SPEAKER_00 1:44

You're taking her as a plus two, six, seven underdog?

SPEAKER_02 1:48

Yeah, I'm taking her, yep. I got her at plus two fifty-five.

SPEAKER_00 1:51

I feel like a lot of people are gonna take Lusano on a parlay, and then they're probably gonna take over two and a half rounds. So if that spacesick does get a KO, and especially before um, you know, under two and a half rounds, that I'm sure that'd be a win for the books for sure. Even though there's probably not a lot of ton of money coming in on the fight in general.

SPEAKER_02 2:12

There's just not a lot of girls that have that much, like I think this is her first fight in the UFC, so she doesn't have a lot of experience, but even to be knocking people out in the under, you know, scene is still pretty damn good.

SPEAKER_00 2:28

Let's start off with uh underdog minus plus two six seven, that's that's pretty juicy. I like it. Alright, next up we have um Milos Yan Yanich versus Noah uh Gug Gugnon Gugnan. Uh it's about a pick'em here. I'm taking Janitch by decision.

SPEAKER_02 2:53

This is all over the place, dude. Who is it?

SPEAKER_00 2:58

It's uh Gugnon versus Janich.

SPEAKER_02 3:02

I don't even know if that was on the card or dude, because there's been so many fights got switched out. Next up we have I got it on here somewhere. I must, dude. If not, I'll just I'll just say pass. I'm gonna say pass.

SPEAKER_00 3:20

Okay. Next up we have Javon Lecca versus Alexander Propec. I believe this is both of their first fights in the UFC. Leka is minus 225 favorite.

SPEAKER_02 3:33

I'm the same thing. I'm gonna take the underdog, dude. He's got 14 KOs out of his 21 wins. I'm gonna take Popek here. I mean they both can get knockouts. I think the best bet really is to take the under.

SPEAKER_01 3:47

Interesting.

SPEAKER_02 3:48

So yeah, under two and a half is one thirty. Both of these guys have knockout powers, but I mean to see 14 KOs with 20, was it 21 wins, 23 wins? I'm taking the underdog at plus 200.

SPEAKER_00 4:01

Yeah, I I don't blame you at all. I mean, I feel like if Lekka should win this fight, I would have taken him more to minus 150, but the fact that he's a minus 225 lays the value on Pro PEC, so um, I don't mind taking the underdog in that spot either. I I probably will just pass on it, but don't mind the dog at all. It should be more competitive than what the odds reflect.

SPEAKER_02 4:21

Yeah, and again, they both can get KO. So take I think the best thing is to take the fight not to go the distance. Oh, and last week, like I had that four or five parlay with all my like don't go the finish and submissions, and it hit. That was a nice like plus three thousand ticket, too.

SPEAKER_00 4:37

Let's go! I didn't know that. That's fire, bro.

SPEAKER_02 4:40

Yeah, that was that was a good one.

SPEAKER_00 4:42

I should have put that one in. Next up, we have Haley Cohen versus Nina Milosevic. Milosevich is a minus 500. Huge woman's favorite here.

SPEAKER_02 4:56

Huge favorite. She's got both packed to victories. She can grapple, she can wrestle, she can submit, she can KO. And Cohen's lost all three of her fights in the UFC. So it's like she was doing good, you know, in the other series, but once she moved up, she just hasn't been able to perform as well. So I mean, you have to take the favorite here. Everything's pointing towards Nina.

SPEAKER_00 5:16

Yeah, I think Cohen's on her way out of the UFC, and based off of her previous performances, um, it I just can't back the underdog here. I feel like the odds are a little bit crazy, but I it's still honestly almost worth taking Nina in a parlay because Cohen not only is her um performances declining, but I feel like her confidence is as well coming off of the losses. So that's gonna be hard for her to bounce back from. Next up, we have Mateos Rebecca versus Kyle um prep Kyle Prepolek. Yeah, so we have ProPek, now we have Prepelec. Uh Rebecca, it's showing here is a minus 700, bro. Holy cow.

SPEAKER_02 6:00

Yeah, which is crazy because he's only won one of his last five fights, too. He's got more experience, he's definitely fought better opponents. And uh Propellec, Kyle's, I think he lost both of his UFC fights. So the same thing. It's like you basically have to take Rebecca, but the odds are just they're not great, especially knowing that he's only won one of his last five fights, not good.

SPEAKER_00 6:21

Yeah, 100%, bro. The fact that um those odds are that big is crazy. In my opinion, they're giving Rebecca a layup here because of the the hard fights that they've given him, and they put him through the absolute trenches. And you know what? He's made the fights competitive and he's very entertaining. You know, Rebecca is never in a boring fight. He's always coming out of the fights with either his face bloodied up or his opponents. He always puts on a show. I feel like the UC really did him right by giving him uh an opponent that he should be able to finish here.

SPEAKER_02 6:55

This will be a highlight reel for sure.

SPEAKER_00 6:58

Should be, should be for sure. It's it's hard to not throw Rebecca in a parlay, but minus 700 is crazy, bro.

SPEAKER_02 7:04

I was thinking is crazy.

SPEAKER_00 7:06

I was thinking maybe minus like 375, minus 425 max. Alright, next up we have Bogdan Grod versus Dennis uh Bazoukia. Um gra bug Bogdan is minus 190, and Dennis is a plus 165. Who do you got?

SPEAKER_02 7:27

I like Bogdan here again. Same thing. He's got nine KOs, he can fight, he's got a hard head. I feel like it's hard to knock him out. He does get into like those close dog fights where he's real into grapple and fight and you know, bang you with elbows coming off of you know breakaways and stuff. So I like Bogdan a lot here. I do wish the odds were a little bit better, but I'll take him a minus 200.

SPEAKER_00 7:49

Yeah, me too, bro. I think Bogdan could win by decision or by knockout here. So um just putting him in a parlay is more than okay with me that way. You don't have to worry about the method of victory that he does win by, but I do think he has two pass here. Um Bazookia does have the ability to put his lights out and knock him out, but I don't see it happening here. I think Bogdan, like you said, um it's tough to put him out, and uh he's a game opponent. I'm taking the I'm taking the favorite on the value here. I'm sorry, I'm taking the I'm taking the favorite despite the odds of being a minus 200.

SPEAKER_02 8:25

Yeah, which I mean the odds aren't bad. I just was thinking this would be a little bit closer, but I s I still like Bogdan a lot here.

SPEAKER_00 8:32

Yeah, let's roll with him. Next up we have Mark Vlogdan versus Borislav Nikolich. I'm totally passing on this one. I don't really know anything about either fighter. I'm just gonna enjoy it and take notes.

SPEAKER_02 8:45

Yeah, same dude. Um, this is a pass for me. I don't know anything about either of these guys. There's just so many fights got cancelled and a bunch of these like undercard guys got thrown in last minute.

SPEAKER_00 8:56

Yeah, there's a lot of new guys on this card, so this will be um not only for the casuals, but for the OG UFC fans. Um, it will be a treat in seeing some of these fighters we haven't seen yet in the UFC. Next matchup we have is Michael Oliveira versus Oban Elliott. Um, Oliveira is a minus 355. First of all, I want to say that I feel like that's crazy because Elliot has more UFC experience here, but Oliveira is just a beast, bro. He's a freaking unit. I wouldn't be surprised if he puts Elliott's lights out, but I'm gonna be honest with you, bro. I would have put Oliveira as maybe like a minus 140, maybe minus 160, minus 355 against a game opponent. I know Oban hasn't looked good in his last recent fight, but dude, he's a pretty well-rounded fighter overall, bro.

SPEAKER_02 9:46

Still, I yeah. I mean, I this is one of those times, like you said, Oliveira should win, he should get a KO. Well, this could be a humbling experience for Oliveira. He could come in here and think he's gonna get the job done and end up getting you know getting knocked out himself here. But I how can you bet against the undefeated guy who's knocked out eight opponents out of nine wins?

SPEAKER_00 10:05

I mean, Oliveira's uh his confidence is going crazy, and Elliot coming off of some adversity. Where does his confidence lie right now? So that's the ultimate question. But I would say that um if Oliveira does lose, I think the Sportsbooks would win because um I don't think a lot of people will be betting Elliot, but we'll see what happens, man. Uh that's a really interesting fight. If you're taking the underdog, I do not blame you at all. I kind of think Oliveira wins by knockout, but with the odds being that, I'm saying take Elliott or just pass.

SPEAKER_02 10:36

Yeah, you you basically have to take Oliveira by KO or the fight not to you know go the distance, essentially. One of these guys will get knocked out, but Oliveira should get the job done.

SPEAKER_00 10:47

Next up, we have Ludovic Klein versus Tofig Muzayev. Um Klein is a minus 255. Um, yeah, anywhere between a minus 220 and minus 255. Klein does have the experience here. Um, Muzaev. Um, I I gotta see. I believe he's gotta have the youth here. I don't know much about him, to be honest with you. It says he's 26 years old. He's uh wait, sorry, um, I got the I pulled up the wrong one.

SPEAKER_02 11:14

Well, he's great on his feet, he's really good on his feet, but he loses the submissions. Like that's his downfall is the jujitsu and the grappling. So I think Klein can do both, right? He can box and grapple, he's more well-rounded, he's definitely had better opponents overall. So I do like Klein here. I wish again, same thing. I wish the odds were a little bit closer to minus 200, but I'll I'm still gonna take Klein at minus you know 230 or 250, whatever your book is. I do like Klein overall. But it's same thing. If if Klein gets caught, by all means, Tofi could get a KL. But he his downfall is again the grappling of jujitsu. So he just he doesn't have that in-between game yet.

SPEAKER_00 11:55

So I didn't know much about Muzayev, but he's 36 years old. So I mean he's either at or past his prime. Um, he has 23 MMA wins. Of his 23 wins, 18 of them have come by KO. So I will say that if you are going to take Muzaev as an underdog, you might as well just take him um on method to victory by knockout. So that way you can get even more uh plus value. Because Klein, in all honesty, it's dangerous taking him in a specific method because he could win by sub, knockout, or decision. But Muzayev really only, in my opinion, is gonna win um by knockout here if you are taking him. So I'm taking Klein on a parlay, but if again, if you're taking Muzeev, throw him, throw him in there on a knockout prop so that way you can get closer instead of like a plus 220, you can get up to like maybe a plus three fifty, four hundred range.

SPEAKER_02 12:50

Yeah, I feel like either Klein gets KO'd in the first round or he just starts to wear down his opponent and then just grapples and either gets a submission or wins by decision.

SPEAKER_00 13:00

Klein's such a tough UFC fighter to watch and evaluate. Number one, he's super entertaining. I always enjoy watching a Ludovic Klein fight, but at the same time, some fights he looks like a contender, like he should be in the top 10 of the division. And then sometimes I'm thinking maybe he should just be a contender for the up-and-comers. You know, like it's hard to he's he's not a very consistent fighter, in my opinion, in terms of where he really lies contention-wise, because he's so talented.

SPEAKER_02 13:28

Yeah, he he could easily be ranked between 12 and 15 and stay there. Like you said, I don't think he's in the top five, but he definitely is a ranked opponent.

SPEAKER_00 13:38

He could be anybody outside the top five on any given night, for sure, bro. For sure. For sure. Yeah, facts, and that's a tough division, too. Next up, we have um Viesto Ceppo versus Gilbert Urbina. Ceppo is minus 360. Um, Urbina's minus 289. I do think Urbina has a little bit more UFC experience, but Cheppo is a monster, bro. He's coming in there and he's looking to get a first round knockout. And I'm I'm buying it, bro. I I don't think Urbina is a serious, you know, he's not a contender whatsoever. And Cheppo is a monster, bro.

SPEAKER_02 14:13

Yeah, Urbina just has not shown up, dude. He gets out wrestled, he gets exhausted late in the second and third round. His conditioning is not there. He always comes out really hot and looks good the first round, and then he just fades like crazy. So uh if he even survives the first round, I think he's definitely getting K''d. And Keppo's both, dude, same thing. He's got 10 KOs and four submissions, so he can grapple and submit. So he loves to stand and bang. So I 100%, dude. Keppo with the win, guaranteed. What are the odds on Keppo?

SPEAKER_00 14:44

About my minus 330. So definitely playable in my opinion. I think the only question on him for this fight is what does his gas tank look like? Because he does get a lot of early finishes. So yeah, you know, odds makers, because I I see more as a minus 500, to be honest with you, but I'm thinking odds makers are like, hey, you know what? If Chepo doesn't get a knockout or if or a submission in the first round, what does his gas tank look like in round set two and three? And maybe Urbina could pick him apart, but I don't as raw as Cheppo is and um knew he is to the UFC, I don't think Urbina's gonna be the one to expose his weaknesses. He's gonna he's gonna get exposed by a lot higher opponent.

SPEAKER_02 15:29

I think not even a low-level gatekeeper. Like I think he's just fighting to keep a contract.

SPEAKER_00 15:35

Yeah, he's like, again, no disrespect, but more so on his way out. I think we would both agree.

SPEAKER_02 15:40

Yeah, 100%, dude.

SPEAKER_00 15:42

Cheppo's a lock, bro. I hate saying lock, but I'm gonna I haven't used it in the last couple episodes, but yeah, he's a lock, bro. I agree, I agree. Next up we have Robert Valentine versus Dusko Todorovic. Um, Valentin is a minus 160. This is an interesting fight, bro. Both guys are not like, you know, top 15 contenders by any means, but at the same time, they're not really they're they're not an easy out. They're not an easy fight for anybody either.

SPEAKER_02 16:11

They're both like sitting right at 500.

SPEAKER_00 16:13

It's like middle ground, probably more so towards the decline, if anything.

SPEAKER_02 16:18

Yeah, they're both, they gotta be both aging too, like 38 to 40, I would think. But I yeah, I think I like Valentine here with the sub. I think I'm gonna take him with the sub.

SPEAKER_00 16:28

Yeah, I I like Valentine here too. I'm not gonna play him personally, but I do think he's gonna win. Um, I just don't know where Dusko's chin lies. Um, if it if if it was a couple years sooner, I would have probably taken Dusko, but I think that Valentine's gonna edge him out here. He could either um get a submission or win by decision. So I think he has more pass to victory. So I'm gonna take Valentine, but I'm not super confident about it. I I think it's a pretty uh it's a pretty um it's pretty even matchup, even though I think Valentine has a little edge. It's it's a well put together matchup. Exactly.

SPEAKER_02 17:04

It is even Desco could win, but I think like you said, I think Valentine edges him out. And again, I think he's gonna win either by grapple control time or just clear submission at some point.

SPEAKER_00 17:14

Yeah, I think Valentine's just a little bit more durable. Yeah. Alright, bro. So we have three more uh matchups. The next one is Alexander Rakich is making his heavyweight debut versus Marcin Tybora. Rakich is sitting at a minus 350. I'm gonna steal the floor right here and just tell you right now, Rakic is gonna wipe the floor with Tybora, bro.

SPEAKER_01 17:35

Yeah, baby.

SPEAKER_00 17:36

I know Rakich is very injury prone. He's had some bad luck throughout the years with injuries, tough decision losses, tough knockout losses, but I will say he only loses to the best of the best. Rakich only loses to the best guys, and he was already a pretty big frame for the light heavyweight division. So that move up to the heavyweight division should not be an issue for him. The only matchups I would really like worry for him would be if he was fighting more of a wrestle-based fighter like a Curtis Blades. Um, maybe Waldo Cortez Acosta would give him some problems. Um, I know Tybora can wrestle a little bit, but he's pushing 40 years old right now, bro. Tybora, honestly, if it's not this fight, it's gonna be the next one that he gets cut from the UFC. He's had a he's had a uh journeyman MMA career, but unfortunately, I think it's just over. And Rackage, I think that was a great move up, in my opinion, to move up to the heavyweight division because he's a very talented fighter. And again, he's right there at the cream of the crop, but he just wasn't beating the number one, number two guys. So why not go to a weak heavyweight division on the back end of your career and try your luck?

SPEAKER_02 18:51

And again, I think, like you said, I think he's been getting beat up and the weight cuts add up. I think he's gonna come in healthier, more fit. He's eating more calories, he looks good, he looks thick right now, like he doesn't look fat at all. He looks like he put on some muscle. I think this is gonna be one of his. I think he's gonna come out looking healthy and strong. I think we're gonna see a whole new ratchet over the next two, three years.

SPEAKER_00 19:13

Yeah, for sure. Especially in the biggest question mark is health regarding him. Um, a fighter that I would compare him to in terms of where he would rank amongst the heavyweight division. I don't think they fight the same, but I think they're probably about the same level would be um Alexander Volkov. You know, I think he's I think Rackage is in that range where he probably is in the rankings between like three and seven for heavyweight. That's where I put him personally.

SPEAKER_02 19:40

No, this will be a good a good fight.

SPEAKER_00 19:43

So, dude, lock him up too, bro. Uh no cap, lock him up. Yep. Yeah. All right, coming event. We have Jan Blaschwitz versus uh he who's a plus two fifty-two versus Navajo Sterling, who stepped up on short notice, is a minus 310 favorite. This is an interesting matchup, bro, because Navajo Sterling is on the up and coming. He's on fire right now. Yeah, um, his confidence is at all-time high. And Blaschwitz has been there done that. He's a former champion.

SPEAKER_02 20:11

Yeah, he needs to retire. Jan needs to retire already. Bye-bye. He's only won one fight in the last five years. He's just been fighting for money, bro. He's not even fighting to win, like you said. Navajo's going at it. The only question is, like you said, he's taking this fight on short notice. How much has he really been training, like structured and hard? How much is his conditioning coming in? But by all means, I do not see him losing. I just don't know how how Jan could get the job done, dude, honestly.

SPEAKER_00 20:42

So I think my biggest question mark for this is if Sterling, by him taking this fight late no uh late notice, what does his weight cut look like? Because weight cuts could definitely determine how your performance is on Saturday. Um, so my two questions for this fight is what does Navajo Sterling's weight cut look like? So on Friday, Thursday, Friday, that'll tell us everything. And then my second question is, what does Jan Blahovich look like with his age? Because he's 42, 43 years old right now. To make an argument with you, Mad Dog, I agree with what you're saying. But at the same time, like we were talking about a previous fighter, Jan has only fought the best of the best as well. You know, he's only fighting top three, top four guys, whether he's winning, you know, winning or losing. And he has had some really close decisions with guys who have um went on to beat him. Um, so I think that he's still gonna make it competitive, but I'm gonna bro. I really want to take Sterling, but I'm passing on this fight because I feel like Sterling cuts a lot of weight, and even though Jan isn't in his prime anymore, he's a dangerous fighter, bro. He's he's he's like the gatekeeper for the contenders right now. And Navajo Sterling is at that point of his career where he's Is he going to enter the contender phase or is he going to stay just under that top ten? And this will be his deciding fight. So this will tell us a lot. But Blaschwitz is a professional, bro. He's been prepared. He's not taking this on short notice. And he's going to come into the fight, you know, perfectly on weight.

SPEAKER_02 22:20

And it's a short notice. That's the only thing that scares me with the Sterling is him taking it on short notice. It's the only thing that scares me.

SPEAKER_00 22:27

I would I'm all I'm saying is I would put Sterling at maybe a minus 220. Minus three, minus three thirty is minus three ten to three thirty is pretty high.

SPEAKER_02 22:36

It is high. I agree with that. But I still like Sterling to get the job done.

SPEAKER_00 22:40

Yeah, that'll be an interesting fight, bro, for sure. And then lastly, our main event of the evening, we have Euros Medic versus Daniel Rodriguez. Medic is a minus 400. Rodriguez is sitting about a plus 320. Who do you got?

SPEAKER_02 22:54

Oh my god, dude. I am gonna I'm gonna lay the money on D-Rod, bro. I just absolutely love Daniel Rodriguez. He just comes in there, he's so aggressive, he's got a different style than most of these other guys. I feel like he's always he does lose by all means, but I feel like he's always kind of just crazy and scrappy, dude. I just I'm probably betting with my fan heart here and not statistically, but I just love D-Rod, dude. I'm betting D-Rod, bro.

SPEAKER_00 23:22

I'll give you credit, he's a game opponent. D-Rod's not an easy fight for anybody, but I will say I I like Medich so much in this matchup. Not only because it's a great parlay piece, it's very easy to hedge if it is the last leg for that reason. But also, Rodriguez was in the Mexican prison for like eight months, bro. I don't care what type of workouts you're doing. Medic was working out with a professional, you know, MMA gym.

SPEAKER_02 23:49

That's exactly medic is like statistically perfect, right? Like you said, he's like doing all the right things. And yeah, and Daniel Rod is just like a straight up street fighter, bro. I just I just love his style. Like he just comes in there, he's just ready to do it. He's gangster, bro. I'll give that he's a gangster.

SPEAKER_00 24:07

But bro, you know, you know what? His his looks are deceiving because he doesn't look his age, but dude, D-Rodd's like 40 years old though, too.

SPEAKER_02 24:14

Yeah, he is older too. He's just so aggressive, dude. I just love it, bro. I just absolutely love it. I love it. He is a dog.

SPEAKER_00 24:21

I gotta take Medica, bro. I just feel like D-Rod is at the end of his career. He's just collecting paychecks at this point. And again, that type of inactivity, it's one thing to just, you know, not train as hard, but to be in a prison and only get in, I don't know what his circumstances were, but he wasn't training with the same advantages that Medich has had throughout the last year.

SPEAKER_02 24:42

So he's doing body calisthenics, he's doing burpees and push-ups and dips and squats.

SPEAKER_00 24:47

Hey, but I will say, bro, if uh D-Rod does win, that's gonna be a Netflix special, dude.

SPEAKER_02 24:54

I just I just love him, bro. I don't know why. I just love him, dude.

SPEAKER_00 24:58

Hey, plus 400, those odds are crazy. If he wouldn't have gone to prison, Medic would probably be only a minus 150, minus 160, but since with the inactivity, that's why the odds reflect the way that they do it.

SPEAKER_02 25:10

Yeah, but like you said, I think medic's a professional, dude. He's doing all the right things, he's got all the right coaches around him. I mean that that is the I think that's the right bet, but I just I can't do I cannot not bet D-Rod basically.

SPEAKER_00 25:24

Who would you take Medic who would you take Medic Medic versus Holland?

SPEAKER_02 25:29

Oh man, that's a good one too. Well Holland three years ago, but Holland now, no way.

SPEAKER_00 25:37

Yeah, I'm just curious because Holland had beat D-Rod in a decision. Yeah, but in a main match, you it's easy to justify anything. I mean, you could look at any crazy scenario.

SPEAKER_02 25:47

I just look at like Patty and Gagey, Gagey and Saporia. I mean, it's just so hard, dude. You just any given Saturday, you just never know what's gonna happen, what version of some of these guys are gonna show up. But like you said, I think medic is a professional, dude. He he always is he's just he's locked in. He always looks the same, he fights the same. Where Rodriguez is just he's all over the place, dude. I think he get like you said, I think he gets in trouble outside the ring. I think he's got some family issues, and then he loses one or two fights, then he gets his shit together, he wins a fight or two, and then the same thing, it's just like the yo-yo effect of degenerateness.

SPEAKER_00 26:23

Hey, and Father Time for get is forgives nobody, and you you can't keep doing that. D-Rod's trippin', bro.

SPEAKER_02 26:30

Yeah.

SPEAKER_00 26:31

Alright, so let's go to our plays, our official plays for the UFC card. I got I got a banger parlay, dude. I'll let you go first.

SPEAKER_02 26:40

Alright, I'm not gonna do a Martingale this week, because the odds are pretty high for most of the better fighters that I like. So I'm gonna just stay away from the Martingale. And I'm also traveling, I'm going to Vegas. I'm gonna go meet lunch money down in Vegas this weekend, so no, no Martingale. Um let's see, dude, if there's anything I really like.

SPEAKER_01 27:00

Normally I do this ahead of time, but like I said, I was crazy. Uh alright, I'm gonna do I'm gonna take Sterling. I'm gonna take Capo. I'm gonna get one more good one in here.

SPEAKER_02 27:17

I'm gonna take Olivera. Let's take those three. Plus 120. That's I'm gonna do that, dude. I'll put one unit on that. And we're up four units, because like you said, we killed it last week. I think overall I only missed two fights and our parlays hit. Uh the one fight that I said is not gonna go the distance didn't go, so we we had some good picks last week.

SPEAKER_00 27:40

Yeah, we've been doing great, bro. I feel like every time we give our general predictions across the whole card, we get I would say at least 75% right. At least. At least or not, 75-80% clip, easily. Alright, bro, so I'm doing a parlay.

SPEAKER_01 27:58

I'm taking um dude, I'm gonna put I'm gonna put two and a half units on this.

SPEAKER_00 28:08

Alright. Um Rackage and Chepo. Just to the bank, bro. I know that's probably like a minus 160, but I feel like that's a really safe parlay, and this is one of those weeks where I just wanna I just wanna take a little profit and go on to the next week.

SPEAKER_02 28:27

Ratchet Rackage, who is the second one?

SPEAKER_00 28:30

Rakich and Cheppo.

SPEAKER_01 28:31

Seppo. Damn. Against Rabina? Minus 152?

SPEAKER_02 28:40

That's not bad at all, dude, honestly.

SPEAKER_00 28:42

Yeah, and I mean I know people, I don't say people like us, but the people who bet like lunch money, you know, we're only betting like five, ten, fifteen, twenty, maybe like fifty dollar bets, you know, range. For people who are betting thousands, they're honestly betting a lot safer. You know, they're betting maybe thousands on a minus three fifty, where you know, because rich people are looking at like, oh, if I'm getting a 30% return, that's great for me. But people that bet like we do, we're trying to get like four, five, six times our money. And in reality, we're losing a lot on these crazy parlays. But the people who do straight bets on the bigger favorites are gonna win at a higher clip a lot more consistently because they're taking the bigger fighter. Now, if they lose, it is devastating because you're betting a big amount for maybe a 20, 30, 40 max percent return on a favorite, but you're gonna win more often than not. So that's kind of and if you're betting like we do 30 percent, I'd be happy. Yeah, 100%. And if you're betting like $10, $15 like we are, if you were only seeing like $4 profit, $5 profit, it may not look sexy to you, but if you're betting thousands of four, five, six hundred dollar profit off a two thousand dollar bet, that looks nice. Yeah, so you know, just keep that in the back of your mind when you do hear our plays because some weeks we're gonna give out, we've given out plus five thousand plays. But when we give out these like when we give out these like favorable picks that we're like, hey, we feel pretty locked in about it, is it guaranteed no? But it's got a pretty good shot of hitting, to be honest.

SPEAKER_02 30:23

No, that's what's been happening. Like our either our single bets or our two-pick parlays have been hitting, and then we've been losing like on the eight-pick parlays by one person, which is still crazy insane to hit seven of eight, you know?

SPEAKER_00 30:35

So yeah, and I mean we're only bet like a tenth of a unit on these crazy ones, you know. We bet higher on the more favorable plays, but still, it just knows that we're hitting we're hitting at a high percentage. If that was going in around Robin, we would have profited a pretty good amount. Yep.

SPEAKER_02 30:51

No, I I think that's good, dude. I think we killed it. Yeah, this is kind of a weird wacky card. Again, like you said, there's a bunch of new fighters that haven't been in the UFC or just have one or two fights or coming off a contender series, but I think overall it's still gonna have some exciting fights and a couple of good knockouts. I mean, some of these guys are definitely game opponents, so we're not just gonna see, you know, grappling for five, ten, fifteen minutes.

SPEAKER_00 31:15

Yeah, and also I know there's a bit a lot of like flack about UFC pay for the fighters throughout recent years, but I think that with the bonuses going up to the hundred thousand, I feel like it definitely is enhanced fighters' motivation to go out and get finishes, especially for the ones on the tree limbs who need the money more so.

SPEAKER_02 31:38

Yeah, no, I agree, dude, for sure. Yeah, it is hard because like you get someone like Connor McGregor who's making, I don't know, 30 million a fight, and someone else on the same card who's making like 12 grand, there's definitely uh imbalance, but people show up for McGregor, people will tune in for McGregor, so it's like you gotta get that that status too, you know, to be able to get that pay. So I can see I understand both sides of it.

SPEAKER_00 32:01

Yeah, and I think my perspective, um, you know, like like just with the mindset of more on the content side of things, like in the UFC, you really have a platform to build your name up. Like in the NFL or MBA, there's so many sponsorship things where you may not be able to do certain deals with companies because the NBA, MLB, whatever is really strict. Where so the UFC, it's a lot more freelance. Like the UFC really encourages you to build up your social media brand, to find sponsorships because you are like essentially a signed free agent. You get paid for when you fight, you get the opportunity for bonuses, but at the same time, you get the opportunity to hustle to get your own money. It's kind of like being a teacher, and in the summertime, if I want to work and make more money, that's my option if I want to do that or not.

SPEAKER_02 32:54

Yeah, no, I agree, dude. No, I love it. So even with these bets, we're still up basically a unit overall. So we're in good, good place still, man.

SPEAKER_00 33:03

All right, and then we'll have a lot of content um over the weekend. Check out on TikTok um local to global, and also check out Mr. Webb's LV. Um, we post a lot of content off of our traveling experiences. We do local food reviews, um, cool things that are going on in town, whether you live in Phoenix, or sorry, if you whether you live in Tucson or you live in Las Vegas, um, this is the perfect content for you. Or if you just like traveling. We both travel the West Coast and internationally when we're able to. So definitely check us out on TikTok. This weekend specifically, we'll be doing um content on we'll be paddleboarding at Lake Las Vegas, which is a hidden people in Las Vegas have never heard of Lake Las Vegas, and it's a freaking gym. They got restaurants, um I can't loading equipment you can rent. It's a great, it's a great spot. And then we're also gonna go to this newly opened museum of ice cream, and um, I just know we paid a pretty good amount for the general admission, so I'm hoping we get a freaking boatload of ice cream.

SPEAKER_02 34:06

Yeah, I'm gonna eat till I get diabetes, bro. I'm gonna be throwing up by the time it's over.

SPEAKER_00 34:11

Yeah, I'm gonna get my money's worth, that's for sure.

SPEAKER_02 34:14

And I yeah, this this will be a great weekend. So yeah, I agree. Follow for the content, dude. I love the plug. This will be good. We're gonna have a lot of fun this weekend, that's for sure.

SPEAKER_00 34:23

The show. Bye, guys. Mic'ed up and misinformed. Those are our plays this week.