Let's Talk About Confidence

Bonus Episode: Positive Thinking, Without the Hype

John M Walsh Season 1 Episode 11

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Ever stand in front of a mirror chanting I am confident and feel worse? You’re not broken. You’re running into the brain’s plausibility check, where big claims trigger bigger objections. We pull apart the popular promise of affirmations and positive thinking and rebuild a practical path to real confidence that holds under pressure.

We start by examining what the research actually says, including findings from psychologist Joanne Wood that show why traditional affirmations can intensify negative mood for people with low self-esteem. From there, we introduce the belief gap: the distance between your current self-view and the identity you want. When that gap is small, reinforcement helps. When it’s wide, grand statements spark cognitive dissonance and a flurry of counter-evidence that sinks your mood and motivation.

Instead of forcing identity claims, we share three tools that work with your brain. First, use evidence-based statements that no inner critic can dismiss: I handled that tough call, I prepared well, I stayed present. Second, switch to process over identity with behavioural commitments like I show up even when I’m nervous or I do the work for ten focused minutes. Third, try interrogative self-talk to engage problem-solving: How can I make the opening smooth? What support would help? These moves keep momentum high and resistance low.

We also reframe positive thinking as a filter, not fuel. It’s powerful for directing attention toward progress, learning from setbacks, and noticing what’s working. But it cannot replace action. The real engine of self-trust is simple: take action, gather evidence, feel confident, then think more positively as a result. If affirmations have felt hollow, you’re not failing; you’re mismatching the tool to the task. Start smaller, stack proof, and let identity catch up to your behaviour.

If this resonates, follow the show, share it with a friend who’s done with empty mantras, and leave a review to tell us which tactic you’ll try this week.

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Affirmations: Promise And Problem

Research That Surprises

The Belief Gap Explained

Three Better Approaches

Positive Thinking As A Filter

Action Before Confidence

Practical Closing Advice

SPEAKER_00

Let's talk about confidence bonus episode. Affirmations and positive thinking, do they actually work? Welcome to Let's Talk About Confidence. I'm John M. Walsh. This is another bonus episode today. It's based on a question that comes up a lot. Where do affirmations and positive thinking fit into confidence? Are they a good thing or a bad thing? It's a fair question because depending on who you listen to, affirmations are either the secret to transformation or complete nonsense. The truth is somewhere more interesting than either of those positions. So let's look at what the research actually says and when this stuff helps versus when it backfires. The idea behind affirmations is appealing. It's simple even. You repeat positive statements to yourself. I'm confident, I'm worthy, I'm successful. And over time your brain starts to believe them. Your self-image shifts, your behaviour follows. And there's a kernel of truth in there. What you focus on does shape your perception. The brain does filter reality based on what it considers relevant. And we'll cover that in season two when we talk about the reticular activating system. So in theory, filling your mind with positive statements should help, right? Well sometimes, and sometimes it makes things worse. The difference depends on something that most people overlook. Here's what the research shows, and this might surprise you. A study by psychologist Joan Wood at the University of Waterloo found that positive affirmations can actually make people with low self-esteem feel worse, not better. Let that land for a moment. The people who need confidence the most are often the ones most harmed by traditional affirmations. Why? Because of something called cognitive dissonance. When you say I'm confident, but every fibre of your being knows that's not true, your brain doesn't just accept a new statement. It pushes back. It generates counter arguments. It reminds you of all evidence that contradicts what you're saying. So you stand in front of the mirror saying, I'm confident, I'm confident. And your brain responds with, No, you're not. Remember that presentation last month? Remember how your voice shook? Remember how you avoided speaking up in that meeting? The affirmation triggers an argument you can't win, and you end up feeling worse than before you started. This is why positive thinking can feel hollow to people who are genuinely struggling. It's not that they're doing it wrong, it's that the technique itself doesn't match how the brain processes contradictory information. Here's a useful way to think about it. Between where you are and where you want to be, there's a gap. Let's call it the belief gap. If this gap is small, if you're already somewhat confident and you're reinforcing that, affirmations can work. You're confirming something your brain mostly agrees with. No cognitive dissonance, the statement lands. But if the gap is large, if you're telling yourself something that your brain considers obviously false, the affirmation creates resistance instead of reinforcement. It's like telling someone who's deeply in debt that they're wealthy. Saying it doesn't make it true, and at some level they know that. So the question isn't do affirmations work or not? The question is is the gap between the statement and my current belief small enough that my brain will accept it? If yes, affirmations can reinforce and strengthen. If no, you need a different approach. So what do you do if traditional affirmations backfire for you? Well, there's the approaches that work with your brain instead of against it. The first one, use evidence-based statements instead of aspirational ones. Instead of I am confident, which your brain may reject, try something like this. I'm becoming more confident, or I'm building my confidence. Better still, anchor it in something real. I handled that difficult conversation last week. I'm capable of more than I sometimes think. The brain doesn't argue with evidence. If you can point to something you actually did, the statement becomes credible. And credible statements create change. Incredible ones create resistance. The second is to focus on process, not identity. Instead of I'm confident, try I show up even when I'm nervous. Instead of I'm successful, try I do the work whether I feel like it or not. These are behavioral statements, not identity claims, they're harder to argue with because they describe what you do, not who you are. And here's the interesting part: over time, consistent behaviour reshapes identity anyway. You become confident by acting confident, not by declaring it. And the third one is use questions instead of statements. This one comes from research on what's called interrogative self-talk. Instead of telling yourself, I can do this, ask yourself, How can I do this? Or what would help me handle this? Questions engage your problem-solving brain. Statements can trigger resistance. Questions open up thinking. They also assume capability. How can I presupposes that you can. But they do it without the direct claim that your brain might reject. So where does positive thinking actually fit? Positive thinking is useful as a filter, not as a fuel. What I mean is choosing to focus on what's working rather than what's failing, noticing progress rather than only gaps, interpreting setbacks as data rather than disasters. That's valuable, that's healthy, and that definitely helps. But positive thinking is a substitute for action, that's where it falls apart. You can't think your way to confidence, you cannot affirm your way to self-trust. At some point, you have to do something and let the evidence from that action reshape your beliefs. The formula isn't think positive, feel confident, take action. The formula is take action, gather evidence, feel confident, think more positively. Positive thinking works best as a result of confidence, not a cause of it. So affirmations and positive thinking, good thing or bad thing? Neither. Depends on how you use them. If you're using affirmations to reinforce beliefs that you already mostly hold, then it's helpful. If you're using them to bridge a massive gap between where you are and where you want to be, they're likely to backfire. If you're using positive thinking to filter your attention towards progress and possibility, well it's healthy. If you're using positive thinking to avoid taking action or feeling difficult emotions, well it's not helpful. The tools aren't good or bad. It's whether they match how your brain actually works. Here's my suggestion. If affirmations have felt hollow or frustrating to you, you're not doing it wrong. The approach just doesn't match where you are right now. Focus instead on small actions that generate real evidence. Let your brain learn from experience that you're capable. Use statements grounded in what you've actually done, not what you wish were true. Confidence built on evidence doesn't need constant reinforcement. It holds up under pressure because it's real. Thanks for listening. I'm John M. Walsh. This is Let's Talk About Confidence, and I'll see you next time.